I assume when you say "direct" you do not mean a nonstop service between the U.S. and Bangladesh, but a direct/same plane/one stop service?
The ONLY airlines that serve Bangladesh are Asian, hailing from the Indian Subcontinent, Middle East, Southeast Asia, and China. These airlines capitalize on the high O&D between Bangladesh and the relatively wealthy countries that import Bangladeshi laborers, such as Saudi Arabia, U.A.E., and Malaysia, while also offering seamless connections beyond their hubs to key markets further afield like the U.S., Canada, U.K., Italy, Japan, South Korea, and Australia. BA
was the last non-Asian carrier to serve Bangladesh; they pulled out back in 2009. Obviously if they (along with all other European airlines) don't see a business case for Bangladesh, rest assured that Bangladesh is absolutely out of the question when it comes to U.S. carriers! This leaves state owned basket case flag carrier BG
as the only candidate for U.S.-Bangladesh direct service, and their last attempt at this was a renowned failure.
The only nonstop intercontinental services from Bangladesh today are operated by BG
, an airline notorious for its chronic delays, shoddy maintenance, and poor service, not to mention lack of profitability. As such, BG
is even avoided by many Bangladeshis, in spite of the fact that Bangladeshis are said to routinely experience tacit discrimination on the ground [in transit] and onboard many of the Middle Eastern and Southeast Asian carriers that are the primary alternatives to reaching Bangladesh! Apparently, BG
's only viable intercontinental services are the U.K. and Italy. These two countries just so happen to host the largest Bangladeshi diaspora communities outside of Asia, and these Bangladeshi communities are heavily concentrated in the major urban areas of Manchester and London/Milan and Rome, respectively. The U.S. hosts fewer Bangladeshis, and while many of them live in and around New York, they tend to be much more widespread throughout the whole country than in Europe. As such, it is difficult to serve the Bangladeshis in the U.S. via a single gateway such as JFK
. and Italy. BG
did attempt to serve the New York/U.S. Bangladeshi community in the recent past, but quit after experiencing major losses. Despite the airline's acquisition of newer, more efficient aircraft, I would not expect another attempt at JFK
to fare any better than last time around.
1) I would tend to think Bangladesh is Category II
, barring Bangladeshi airlines from adding any U.S. services unless the country can achieve Category I status. If [re]gaining Cat 1 status is a difficult task for the Philippines, Indonesia, Kenya, and even Israel to achieve, I should think it would be a nearly impossible chore for Bangladesh...
2) Even if Bangladesh were to somehow get Cat 1, the U.S. gov't could still have security concerns a la Pakistan or Lebanon, barring nonstop (or perhaps even direct) services for one reason or another.
3) Ultra long haul services are extremely expensive to operate nonstop; the low-yielding U.S.-Bangladesh market could never provide the yields to support such a link. Even BKK
couldn't support ULH flights to the U.S., and that's a much larger, more affluent and popular market. A direct one (or perhaps even two) stop service would negate any advantage vs. vastly superior one-stop options like EK
, and require the acquisition of fifth freedom rights. In fact, part of the failure of BG
's last JFK
service was the inability to reroute the service via MAN
- they could not get MAN
fifth freedom rights IIRC.