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CCA
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Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Fri Nov 16, 2012 12:01 pm

http://www.flightglobal.com/news/art...ls-787-10-to-replace-a330s-379045/

Quote:
He adds that those decisions are still some way off

Interesting I thought the 787 was dead in the eyes of CX.

What's the earliest an order in say a year from now would have the A/C arriving in CX/KA colors?

CX first A330s must be circa 1997
P1 in A330, A340, A346, B742, B744, B748.
 
Someone83
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Fri Nov 16, 2012 12:08 pm

Quoting CCA (Thread starter):
CX first A330s must be circa 1997

The two oldest ones was produced in 1992 (LN12 and LN17), and was used as test aircrafts for Airbus, before delivered to CX in the mid-90s
 
StickShaker
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Fri Nov 16, 2012 12:15 pm

Scoring a large order from CX would be a major coup for Boeing and the 787-10.
Its going to be a popular aircraft.


Cheers,
StickShaker
 
na
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Fri Nov 16, 2012 12:17 pm

The article also mentions older 777 to be replaced. Its about time to do so, once the 787-10 is there, those plane will be pretty old.
 
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EK413
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Fri Nov 16, 2012 12:31 pm

Quoting Someone83 (Reply 1):
The two oldest ones was produced in 1992 (LN12 and LN17), and was used as test aircrafts for Airbus, before delivered to CX in the mid-90s

What is it with CX and the habit of buying the test aircraft... I believe CX purchased the Boeing B772 test frame too...


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I guess if the shoe fits...

Regardless congratulations Boeing and CX when the order is announced that is...

EK413
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Someone83
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Fri Nov 16, 2012 12:32 pm

Quoting na (Reply 3):
The article also mentions older 777 to be replaced. Its about time to do so, once the 787-10 is there, those plane will be pretty old.

True, they also have the oldest 777, and several other non-ER models from the mid-90s that should need replacement at the end of this decade, about the time when the -10X should arrive
 
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Fri Nov 16, 2012 12:37 pm

Quoting Someone83 (Reply 5):
True, they also have the oldest 777, and several other non-ER models from the mid-90s that should need replacement at the end of this decade, about the time when the -10X should arrive

CX still has A333s on order, I expect some of those could very well replace the oldest -300s and 772s.

Quoting EK413 (Reply 4):
Regardless congratulations Boeing and CX when the order is announced that is...

There is IMO an excellent chance CX will find the 78J very much suited to its needs. But I don't expect them amongst the early buyers.
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kaitak
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Fri Nov 16, 2012 12:40 pm

Quoting CCA (Thread starter):
Interesting I thought the 787 was dead in the eyes of CX.

The -8 (too small) and -9 (conflicts with A359) definitely, but the -10 is a different bird, in terms of CASM. In a 2 class layout, (albeit with 9 abreast in Y), the 787-10 could seat up to around 386, although in CX config (they'd be more likely to go 8 abreast in Y), it would be more like 340-350, not far off the current 333 config.

Although I expect most 788/789 customers to go for the 787-10 at some stage, I don't this would be the case with CX. However, I'm sure Boeing would be more than happy with c. 50 from CX.

Interestingly, there is also an article in the "pro" section of Flightglobal - to which unfortunately I don't have access - which says that CX is targeting a mid 2013 decision re the A388 and 747-8, and is also interested in the 777X.

Their 744s are pretty much "has beens" and the fleet is gradually been whittled down, leaving the 77W as its main long haul type; as the CX product is expanded with a new J class and Y+, the capacity of these acft is being reduced, so it really doesn't surprise me that CX is still interested in ULH acft.

[Edited 2012-11-16 04:47:09]
 
mogandoCI
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Fri Nov 16, 2012 2:29 pm

All the current 777-200A and 333 operators in Far East Asia that use widebodies for intra-Asia hops should definitely consider the 787-10X - OZ, KE, CA, MU, TG, SQ ....

I still think the 787-9 would be the best selling of the family, but the -10 should definitely eclipse the -8.
 
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Stitch
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Fri Nov 16, 2012 2:48 pm

An interesting development considering zeke has stated one of the reasons CX went with the A350-900 over the 787-9 was due to the narrower cabin of the 787 not allowing a "common Economy Class hard product experience" across CX's future widebody fleet.

If CX is now willing to budge on tighter seating for a larger 787, perhaps they are willing to budge on tighter seating for a larger 777 (the 777-9X)?

[Edited 2012-11-16 06:50:30]
 
mogandoCI
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Fri Nov 16, 2012 2:58 pm

Quoting Stitch (Reply 9):

An interesting development considering zeke has stated one of the reasons CX went with the A350-900 over the 787-9 was due to the narrower cabin of the 787 not allowing a "common Economy Class hard product experience" across CX's future widebody fleet.

If CX is now willing to budge on tighter seating for a larger 787, perhaps they are willing to budge on tighter seating for a larger 777 (the 777-9X)?

Or ... CX is splitting their economy class into regional and long-haul ?

Put the 787-10X on flights 6 hours or shorter (out to India, DPS, and CTS), and use tighter 3-3-3 regional Y seating

Put 359 and 777-8x/9x on flights 7 hours or longer (including all M.E. and O.Z. flights) using a comfortable 3-3-3 long haul Y.
 
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Fri Nov 16, 2012 3:06 pm

Quoting Someone83 (Reply 5):
True, they also have the oldest 777, and several other non-ER models from the mid-90s that should need replacement at the end of this decade, about the time when the -10X should arrive

If by "several other non-ER models from the mid-90s" you mean 777-200s, yes, I would agree. But I'm not so sure about the 777-300.

CX has 398 seats in the 777-300 - more seats than any other type in its fleet. The 787-10 isn't going to be as big as the 777-300, and given that the 787-10 is likely to be configured in an 8-abreast layout - as I would expect them to be - there is going to be quite a significant seat count deficit between the 787-10 and the 777-300. It may well be that the 787-10, despite the seat count deficit, ends up having better costs per seat. But I think the 777-300 is in a unique position as a very high capacity, medium haul aircraft, with no imminent replacement that fills its shoes precisely.

Besides, CX's newest 777-300 (non-ER) was delivered in 2006. 5 of their 12 777-300s aren't even 10 years old, so I'd expect those to carry on in the fleet until post-2020.

Quoting kaitak (Reply 7):
although in CX config (they'd be more likely to go 8 abreast in Y), it would be more like 340-350, not far off the current 333 config.

I would expect that they'll put 8-abreast in the 787-10 as well. That way, they can offer product consistency across the range. The 787-10 should have wider seats at 8-abreast than the A350XWB at 9-abreast.

The 787-10 would make a perfect A330-300 replacement. While they still have A333s on order (so I don't expect the 787-10 to completely displace the A333s in CX's fleet), some of their older ones are likely to make way by the end of this decade when the 787-10 arrives.

Quoting mogandoCI (Reply 8):
All the current 777-200A and 333 operators in Far East Asia that use widebodies for intra-Asia hops should definitely consider the 787-10X

  

Agreed.
Boeing 777 fanboy
 
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Fri Nov 16, 2012 3:18 pm

Quoting mogandoCI (Reply 10):
Or ... CX is splitting their economy class into regional and long-haul?
zeke specifically noted that CX did not want customers switching between long-haul and regional aircraft from noticing the hard product was different.

That being said, the A350 order was placed when Tony Tyler was CEO. It is possible that new CEO John Slosar has a different view on hard product consistency in the Economy cabin.



Quoting CXB77L (Reply 11):
But I think the 777-300 is in a unique position as a very high capacity, medium haul aircraft, with no imminent replacement that fills its shoes precisely.

The A350-1000 would be an excellent airframe to replace the 777-300.



Quoting CXB77L (Reply 11):
The 787-10 should have wider seats at 8-abreast than the A350XWB at 9-abreast.

In such a configuration, the 787-10 would offer about an extra inch of seat-cushion width.

[Edited 2012-11-16 07:21:03]
 
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Fri Nov 16, 2012 3:22 pm

Quoting Stitch (Reply 9):

Boeing has been talking to CX for a long time on all the different 787 models, which is why I was surprised with the Boeing news release that came out last week saying they are now able to talk to airlines about it, they have been. I did not see the point of it.

The oldest A330s have been replaced with new A330s for some time now, with more of them departing the fleet next year, I think I the next 12 months there are around another 6 new A330s coming in, with only an overall fleet increase of one frame.
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Someone83
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Fri Nov 16, 2012 3:28 pm

Quoting CXB77L (Reply 11):
If by "several other non-ER models from the mid-90s" you mean 777-200s, yes, I would agree

Yes, I only meant the -200s
 
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Stitch
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Fri Nov 16, 2012 3:32 pm

Quoting zeke (Reply 13):
Boeing has been talking to CX for a long time on all the different 787 models, which is why I was surprised with the Boeing news release that came out last week saying they are now able to talk to airlines about it, they have been. I did not see the point of it.

The impression I received from both CX's press release at the time of the 2010 order and your subsequent posts on the matter was that CX had decided on the A350 family over the 787 family and that no further RFPs would be issued for this class of aircraft.

So I admit to being intrigued and surprised that Boeing and CX have still been speaking about the 787 since the original A350 order was placed and subsequently expanded.
 
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zeke
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Fri Nov 16, 2012 3:38 pm

Quoting Stitch (Reply 15):

Boeing talk to CX all the time about every product, 737 to 747-8, talk does not mean we are buying. Airbus is exactly the same.
We are addicted to our thoughts. We cannot change anything if we cannot change our thinking – Santosh Kalwar
 
mogandoCI
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Fri Nov 16, 2012 3:58 pm

Quoting Stitch (Reply 12):
zeke specifically noted that CX did not want customers switching between long-haul and regional aircraft from noticing the hard product was different.

That being said, the A350 order was placed when Tony Tyler was CEO. It is possible that new CEO John Slosar has a different view on hard product consistency in the Economy cabin.

Switching from their flat bed J on 77Ws to those hideous reclining "regional Js" on 773As is a much larger inconsistency compared to switching 3-3-3 on 777 to 3-3-3 on 787.

Nothing as extreme as Lufthansa though - going from A380 F to "intra European J" (aka economy class with middle seat blocked out).
 
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Fri Nov 16, 2012 4:29 pm

Quoting Stitch (Reply 9):
zeke has stated one of the reasons CX went with the A350-900 over the 787-9 was due to the narrower cabin of the 787 not allowing a "common Economy Class hard product experience" across CX's future widebody fleet.

They can still keep a "common Economy Class hard product experience" by using 8-across seating in the 787-10. I think the fact that they didn't for smaller 787 variants is that the cost per seat equation doesn't add up. That's where the extra size of the 787-10 comes in.

Quoting Stitch (Reply 12):
The A350-1000 would be an excellent airframe to replace the 777-300.

I agree, and have said so in other threads, but I meant specifically a large widebody optimised around high capacity, medium haul missions. I guess the A350-1000, being very much a long haul aircraft, could be paper derated to a lower MTOW to fulfill medium haul missions to replace the 777-300, though. I would imagine that such an arrangement would allow the operator the flexibility of re-rating it to a higher MTOW should the need arise, thus the need for a dedicated very large mid hauler is no longer present.
Boeing 777 fanboy
 
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Fri Nov 16, 2012 4:42 pm

Quoting Stitch (Reply 12):
zeke specifically noted that CX did not want customers switching between long-haul and regional aircraft from noticing the hard product was different.


I would take anything he said concerning Boeing with (cfrp) barrels of salt.
Potestatem obscuri lateris nescitis
 
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Stitch
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Fri Nov 16, 2012 5:01 pm

Quoting CXB77L (Reply 19):
They can still keep a "common Economy Class hard product experience" by using 8-across seating in the 787-10. I think the fact that they didn't for smaller 787 variants is that the cost per seat equation doesn't add up. That's where the extra size of the 787-10 comes in.

I would expect the 787-10 at 8-abreast would seat less than the A350-900 at 9-abreast so I'd be interested to see how the CASM argument works out.

That being said, if CX did fly the 787-10 at 8-abreast, it would be the most comfortable regional airframe in operation with any airline - more comfortable than SQ's A350s and TZ's 787s. More comfortable than JQ's 787s and QF's A330s. More comfortable than NH's and JL's 787s. And significantly more comfortable than Air Asia's A330s and A350s.

So perhaps CX is hoping a class-leading product will result in class-leading fares and therefore the RASM will outweigh the CASM.
 
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Fri Nov 16, 2012 5:35 pm

Quoting mogandoCI (Reply 18):

The old regional business is in the process of being pulled out across the fleet. Not many aircraft remain, the regional economy is not the long haul economy either. The priority was with the long haul product, all of the long haul 77Ws have now been converted with the new long haul product.
We are addicted to our thoughts. We cannot change anything if we cannot change our thinking – Santosh Kalwar
 
mogandoCI
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Fri Nov 16, 2012 6:49 pm

Quoting zeke (Reply 21):
The old regional business is in the process of being pulled out across the fleet. Not many aircraft remain, the regional economy is not the long haul economy either. The priority was with the long haul product, all of the long haul 77Ws have now been converted with the new long haul product.

The "new" regional business is still ... well, regional. It's a nice premium economy seat with extra legroom. They should've went with a product comparable to SQ's new regional.
 
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flylku
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Fri Nov 16, 2012 11:51 pm

Quoting Stitch (Reply 20):
That being said, if CX did fly the 787-10 at 8-abreast, it would be the most comfortable regional airframe in operation with any airline - more comfortable than SQ's A350s and TZ's 787s. More comfortable than JQ's 787s and QF's A330s. More comfortable than NH's and JL's 787s. And significantly more comfortable than Air Asia's A330s and A350s.

What would make it more comfortable than NH's 8 abreast 787 configuration? Is NH the only airline that has or plans for 8 abreast 787 configuration?
...are we there yet?
 
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Sat Nov 17, 2012 12:08 am

Quoting EK413 (Reply 4):

What is it with CX and the habit of buying the test aircraft... I believe CX purchased the Boeing B772 test frame too...

I'm sure they got a great deal.
The best contribution to safety is a competent Pilot.
 
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Stitch
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Sat Nov 17, 2012 12:10 am

Quoting flylku (Reply 23):
What would make it more comfortable than NH's 8 abreast 787 configuration?

The 8-abreast configuration is meant for long-haul services to the US and EU, I believe. Yes, they are using it on flights to HKG (or at least were during the route proving), but I believe the regional airframes will be 9-abreast and I believe NH is planning to reconfigure the 8-abreast domestic birds to 9-abreast.
 
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Sat Nov 17, 2012 1:50 am

Quoting flylku (Reply 23):
Is NH the only airline that has or plans for 8 abreast 787 configuration?

SIA was going to do it (pretty sure Scoot won't!); I think BA will be eight abreast.
 
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Sat Nov 17, 2012 2:41 am

Quoting mogandoCI (Reply 22):

The "new" regional business is still ... well, regional. It's a nice premium economy seat with extra legroom. They should've went with a product comparable to SQ's new regional.

SQ does not really have a new regional product or for that matter aircraft that are used only for regional routes. That is their medium haul product, it is not a flat (it goes to an angle) and used on overnight flights to Australia etc where CX provides a lie flat long haul product. Where CX has the premium economy seat installed, they have flat long haul business class seats.
We are addicted to our thoughts. We cannot change anything if we cannot change our thinking – Santosh Kalwar
 
rcair1
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Sun Nov 18, 2012 11:59 pm

Quoting Stitch (Reply 9):
due to the narrower cabin of the 787 not allowing a "common Economy Class hard product experience" across CX's future widebody fleet.
Quoting Stitch (Reply 12):
zeke specifically noted that CX did not want customers switching between long-haul and regional aircraft from noticing the hard product was different.

Frankly - I think this is a non-issue for most of the flying public. They think "I'm on a different airplane - it is different" if they think about it at all. Probably they don't think about it.

That means - the decision is one of economics and perhaps CX is realizing that. So - if the plane makes sense from an economics standpoint - then it makes sense.

Oh - BTW - yes. Customer experience is part of the economics of course. However, to the level we are talking about here (noticing subtle differences in hard product), it is a 3rd or 4th order effect (IMO)
rcair1
 
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zeke
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Mon Nov 19, 2012 12:43 am

Quoting rcair1 (Reply 28):
They think "I'm on a different airplane - it is different" if they think about it at all. Probably they don't think about it.

That is your view, our frequent travelers which there are a lot of, do notice the difference.
We are addicted to our thoughts. We cannot change anything if we cannot change our thinking – Santosh Kalwar
 
CX Flyboy
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Mon Nov 19, 2012 2:00 am

Quoting rcair1 (Reply 28):
Frankly - I think this is a non-issue for most of the flying public. They think "I'm on a different airplane - it is different" if they think about it at all. Probably they don't think about it.

Remember the really frequent travellers treat planes as their second homes and many will spend more time in a CX plane than in their own beds. They get to know the cabin crew even though you would think that with 7000+ of them, you wouldn't meet the same crew more than once let alone get to know them. These travellers know exactly which seats in the cabin are the best, they know the menus even so yes these travellers definately know when they step on board a cabin that's different. Granted the majority of passengers are not frequent in that sense of the word but it is tr frequent travellers who are the most valuable to the airline.
 
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Mon Nov 19, 2012 2:24 am

Quoting Stitch (Reply 12):
zeke specifically noted that CX did not want customers switching between long-haul and regional aircraft from noticing the hard product was different.

To date, the difference between long haul and some regional planes is quite noticeable for most frequent CX travellers. But in the end, the old regional Y seats are much more comfortable than the hard shell long haul seats, IMO.
The PTV system would be the most noticeable "downgrade" from Long Haul to the old Regional configuration.

[Edited 2012-11-18 18:25:33]
 
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Stitch
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Mon Nov 19, 2012 2:50 am

As a heavy United Business Class traveller in the mid-2000s, I didn't notice the difference between the 21" wide seats on the 777-200 and 20.5" wide seats on the 747-400, but I did indeed notice the difference when in the 19" wide seats on the 767-300.
 
lutfi
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Mon Nov 19, 2012 5:01 am

When CX said that the A350/787 debate had been settled for the A350, I think they were talking very specifically about that RFP - which was for A340 replacement, and long haul aircraft for growth

This would be a new campaign, for the replacement of A market B777's and medium range A330, to serve flights under 8 hours or so.

Is the 787-10X in with a chance? I would think very much so.
 
AeroWesty
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Mon Nov 19, 2012 11:54 pm

Quoting kaitak (Reply 26):
I think BA will be eight abreast.

The BA 787 seat plan has been posted on another forum, and it shows 3-3-3 in World Traveller (Coach/Economy).
International Homo of Mystery
 
N62NA
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Mon Nov 19, 2012 11:57 pm

Quoting frigatebird (Reply 6):
the 78J

Is this how the 787-10 will be represented in 3 characters? I always wondered how they were going to do that!
 
mogandoCI
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Tue Nov 20, 2012 4:05 pm

Quoting AeroWesty (Reply 34):
The BA 787 seat plan has been posted on another forum, and it shows 3-3-3 in World Traveller (Coach/Economy).

Link please ?
 
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Stitch
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Tue Nov 20, 2012 4:32 pm

Quoting AeroWesty (Reply 34):
The BA 787 seat plan has been posted on another forum, and it shows 3-3-3 in World Traveller (Coach/Economy).
Quoting mogandoCI (Reply 36):
Link please?

It's on FlyerTalk.com - http://www.flyertalk.com/forum/briti...b/1408362-boeing-787-seatplan.html

CW:35 (2-3-2), WT+:25 (2-3-2), WT:154 (3-3-3). Making a total of 214.
 
kaitak
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Tue Nov 20, 2012 6:07 pm

Quoting Stitch (Reply 37):
It's on FlyerTalk.com - http://www.flyertalk.com/forum/briti...b/1408362-boeing-787-seatplan.html

CW:35 (2-3-2), WT+:25 (2-3-2), WT:154 (3-3-3). Making a total of 214.

Hmm ... disappointing. I'm sure I had read somewhere that BA was originally going to go 8 abreast. I guess the sums just didn't add up. I wonder if this was a factor in SQ's decision to transfer the 789s to Scoot; the longer airplane, the greater the cost differentials (i.e. more rows); SQ, had they kept the 789, would definitely want to have gone 8 abreast in Y, but they may have come to the conclusion that the figures looked much better in 9 abreast, but this would deny pax a level of comfort they were used to (and result in unfavourable comparisons with other types) and therefore, the decision was taken that it was best to transfer them to Scoot.
 
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Stitch
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Tue Nov 20, 2012 6:42 pm

Quoting kaitak (Reply 38):
I'm sure I had read somewhere that BA was originally going to go 8 abreast.

Yes, the original configuration was believed to be 2-3-2 in WT+ and 2-4-2 in WT.


Quoting kaitak (Reply 38):
I wonder if this was a factor in SQ's decision to transfer the 789s to Scoot...

3-3-3 on the 787-9 will be no less comfortable than 3-4-3 on the 777-200ER so TZ's customers should not notice any difference as the 77Es are phased out.

However, does this mean SQ will go 2+4+2 on the A350-900 or will they choose 3+3+3?
 
kaitak
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Tue Nov 20, 2012 7:26 pm

Quoting Stitch (Reply 39):
However, does this mean SQ will go 2+4+2 on the A350-900 or will they choose 3+3+3?

Hmm .... hard to tell, the future is! I tend to think they'll go for 3-3-3.

The cabin widths of the various models are as follows, in ascending order:

A330/340 17'4"
787 18'
A350 18'4"
777 19'3"

Going from the A330/340, you basically have an extra foot to play with, so you could fit an extra one abreast, albeit with a marginally narrower seat.

If you were to assume that aircraft aisles are about 20" wide (too generous?), we can work out some figures. Let's just work with 20" for now, which means 40" for two aisles (ah, my mathematical skills!)

If we apply that to the aircraft listed above, we're talking about 208" fuselage width for the A330/340; take away 40" for the aisles, divide by 8, = 21". (Now I know that's just a tad too generous) and I'm not allowing for armrest width.

For the 787, if we apply the same measurement, it's 22" at 8 abreast, but 19.5" at 9 abreast (still not bad).

For the A350, just under 22.5" at 8 abreast, but 20" at 9 abreast.

For the 777, it's 21" at 9 abreast, but 19" at 10 abreast.

Now, from the above, it appears that an A350 at nine abreast gives you an extra inch in seat width, vs. the 777 at 10 abreast; I've flown in the 777 at ten abreast and even though my proportions are often described as "generous" (also "voluminous" and some others, less charitable), I find it ok, so I think 9 abreast in the A350 will be perfectly fine; even 9 abreat in the 787 is a little wider than the 777 at ten abreast).

I also think that the issue that airlines are worried about is not just the 788 itself, but future models. The 787 is a relatively chubby machine compared to its future stablemates; the 789 will be at extra 7-8 rows longer, the 787-10 another few rows extra too; at those extra lengths, the difference in revenue in extra seats per row will make a pretty big difference to the aircraft's economic attractiveness.
 
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Stitch
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Tue Nov 20, 2012 9:06 pm

Quoting kaitak (Reply 40):
Going from the A330/340, you basically have an extra foot to play with, so you could fit an extra one abreast, albeit with a marginally narrower seat.



At 2+4+2 on the 787, the seat cushion width is 18.5" with a 21.5" aisle
At 3+3+3 on the 787, the seat cushion width is 17.2" with a 18.0" aisle

To fit 3+3+3 with an 18" seat cushion width on the 787 would reduce the aisles to 14.4"



At 2+5+2 on the 777, the seat cushion width is 18.5" with a 19.3" aisle
At 3+4+3 on the 777, the seat cushion width is 17.0" with a 17.0" aisle

To fit 3+4+3 with an 18" seat cushion width on the 777 would reduce the aisles to 12.5"



At 2+4+2 on the A350, the seat cushion width is 19.3" with a ~20" aisle
At 3+3+3 on the A350, the seat cushion width is 17.5" with a 18.4" aisle

To fit 3+3+3 with an 18" seat cushion width on the A350 would reduce the aisles to 16.1"



Figures from the 787-8 ACAP (December 2011) | 777-300ER ACAP (May 2011) | A350-900 ACAP (July 2011)
 
Viscount724
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Tue Nov 20, 2012 9:20 pm

Quoting Stitch (Reply 25):
Quoting flylku (Reply 23):
What would make it more comfortable than NH's 8 abreast 787 configuration?

The 8-abreast configuration is meant for long-haul services to the US and EU, I believe. Yes, they are using it on flights to HKG (or at least were during the route proving), but I believe the regional airframes will be 9-abreast and I believe NH is planning to reconfigure the 8-abreast domestic birds to 9-abreast.

All their seat maps on their website show 8-abreast. Why would a carrier taking delivery of a new aircraft type plan to change the seating so soon after entry into service? Seems like a huge waste of money. If they were considering 9 abreast, why not do it right away?

JAL is also 8-abreast on their 787s. I can't believe NH would change to 9-abreast unless JL does.
 
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Stitch
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Tue Nov 20, 2012 10:05 pm

Quoting Viscount724 (Reply 42):
All their seat maps on (NH's) website show 8-abreast.
NH will operate the 787-8 domestically in two configurations:

264 - 12F | 252Y (2+4+2)

http://www.socialwelfareagency.org/Public/Graphics/Aviation/SeatMaps/NH_788_D_Old.gif


335 - 12F | 323Y (3+3+3)

http://www.socialwelfareagency.org/Public/Graphics/Aviation/SeatMaps/NH_788_D_New.gif

[Edited 2012-11-20 14:05:58]
 
sunrisevalley
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Tue Nov 20, 2012 10:35 pm

From another thread.. I can see the 787-10 being attractive to a carrier like CX in an 8-across configuration .

Quote.........

Quoting CXB77L (Reply 160):
I would guess that they hadn't considered doing the same with the 787-8 or 787-9 is that the cost per seat equation in an 8-abreast layout isn't quite to CX's liking, whereas the larger size of the 787-10 would lower that number somewhat, despite the 8-abreast economy layout.


From Piano-X; on the assumption that a 8-abreast in economy 787-10 has 297-seats , max. range with a 297 seat passenger load is ~ 7122nm. For this distance the fuel burn /seat is 279.4kg. For the same distance the 789 with 280-seats with 9-abreast in economy has a fuel burn of 275.28kg/seat or about a 1.5% spread. There are probably savings to be had based on the extra 17-seats . Thus I would think an 8-abreast layout 787-10 could be very attractive for some of the premium carriers
 
Viscount724
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Tue Nov 20, 2012 10:39 pm

Quoting Stitch (Reply 43):
Quoting Viscount724 (Reply 42):
All their seat maps on (NH's) website show 8-abreast.
NH will operate the 787-8 domestically in two configurations:

Thanks. The 9-abreast one must be fairly new. They also have 2 other 8-abreast configurations for international flights which would seem to indicate that the majority of their fleet will be 8-abreast. How many aircraft are intended for the high-density domestic operations?
 
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zeke
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Wed Nov 21, 2012 1:08 am

Quoting Lutfi (Reply 33):
When CX said that the A350/787 debate had been settled for the A350, I think they were talking very specifically about that RFP - which was for A340 replacement, and long haul aircraft for growth

They didn't say that, they said the A350 would " "form the backbone of Cathay Pacific's future mid-sized wide-body fleet". The A350s will replace a lot more than the handful of A340s.

Quoting kaitak (Reply 38):
I wonder if this was a factor in SQ's decision to transfer the 789s to Scoot; the longer airplane, the greater the cost differentials (i.e. more rows); SQ, had they kept the 789, would definitely want to have gone 8 abreast in Y, but they may have come to the conclusion that the figures looked much better in 9 abreast, but this would deny pax a level of comfort they were used to (and result in unfavourable comparisons with other types) and therefore, the decision was taken that it was best to transfer them to Scoot.

SQ are not the only ones, QF look like they will have the 787s with Jetstar. Everyone seems to forget that Cathay purchases aircraft for a number of airlines in the group.

Quoting Stitch (Reply 43):
NH will operate the 787-8 domestically in two configurations:

Is that correct ? last time I looked at their website, they had the 8 abreast on their domestic website, and the 8 abreast on their international website. Sure they may use the long haul aircraft between trips domestically, however I do not think that is their primary role.

Quoting sunrisevalley (Reply 44):
From Piano-X; on the assumption that a 8-abreast in economy 787-10 has 297-seats , max. range with a 297 seat passenger load is ~ 7122nm. For this distance the fuel burn /seat is 279.4kg. For the same distance the 789 with 280-seats with 9-abreast in economy has a fuel burn of 275.28kg/seat or about a 1.5% spread. There are probably savings to be had based on the extra 17-seats . Thus I would think an 8-abreast layout 787-10 could be very attractive for some of the premium carriers

For a premium carrier the seat count is much reduced from that again.
We are addicted to our thoughts. We cannot change anything if we cannot change our thinking – Santosh Kalwar
 
jfk777
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Wed Nov 21, 2012 1:17 am

Quoting zeke (Reply 46):
They didn't say that, they said the A350 would " "form the backbone of Cathay Pacific's future mid-sized wide-body fleet". The A350s will replace a lot more than the handful of A340s

The A350-900 always looked as the A330 replacement. With 50 77W and about 50 A350-900/1000 where is Cathay going to fly all these planes. Cathay has an extensive European system and a six cities in North America. Their service to the USA has a few more cities that could support its service but all the obvious ones are served alraedy. Cathay alwasy surprises me, never thought they would have as many flights to JFK as LAX.
 
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zeke
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Wed Nov 21, 2012 1:35 am

Quoting jfk777 (Reply 47):
The A350-900 always looked as the A330 replacement.

That is your observation not mine. I do not recall any announcement to suggest that is the case. CX is still taking delivery of new A330s.

Quoting jfk777 (Reply 47):
With 50 77W and about 50 A350-900/1000 where is Cathay going to fly all these planes.

They are your numbers not mine, I am not going to either agree or disagree with them. The A350 will allow CX to fly to times/places where a 77W is not viable.
We are addicted to our thoughts. We cannot change anything if we cannot change our thinking – Santosh Kalwar
 
mffoda
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RE: Cathay Mulls 787-10 To Replace A330s

Wed Nov 21, 2012 2:19 am

Quoting zeke (Reply 48):
That is your observation not mine.

Zeke, you seem to be very well connected to the CX decision making process?

What do you think of aspire aviation article (below) on CX, SQ and QF... As far as recent and future profits?

One would think that they would reconsider their products, IF there was more money to be had with with higher density seating package's... you think?

http://www.aspireaviation.com/2012/1...-rough-year-sia-cathay-and-qantas/
harder than woodpecker lips...

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