|Quoting LAXintl (Reply 10):|
But thankfully with continued air service liberalization across Asia, the region is going the way of Europe and North America where frequency is becoming the competitive key and carriers are shifting to smaller gauge aircraft.
It was terrible imo back in the days when airlines only had a couple flights between major centers, when today we can often find the carrier manage to operate dozen.
There are more flights and choices today because the Asian markets have exploded in demand. This is by no means any indication that the Asian air market is "going the way of Europe and North America".
|Quoting mercure1 (Reply 34):|
The clear trend is Asia is for smaller planes and much higher frequency.
The arrival of LCCs has pushed thus along nicely with even major carriers getting involved in going down in aircraft size in favor of frequency.
Use of craft like the A380 will be exception not the rule. More common and preferred will be things like the A320 up to A330 size.
If there is a "clear trend", it should be easy to offer evidence of that? Care to share some with us, because I remain thoroughly unconvinced.
In my home market of SIN
, the only possible support of your thesis is the SIN
route, and even then, it was an unusual case of an extremely regulated route with equal profit-sharing which was suddenly liberalised, and the unusual situation of SQ
flying widebodies on such a short route. With the drop in demand due to price pressure rather than scheduling preferences, SQ
reduced its widebody flights to a handful and left the rest to MI
, representing a drop in capacity. And for the record, MH
has been and continues to fly smaller aircraft on this route, and even they had to trim frequencies as demand shifts to the LCCs due to cost. So where exactly is there a shift due to preferences for higher frequencies by customers alone?
In the rest of Asia, the arrival of LCCs has pushed down prices, but they certainly did not lead to the patterns as you have described in the vast majority of markets. Most LCCs routes are still relatively infrequently served (just look at the number of LCC routes with just one flight per day or less), so just where is the pressure for main carriers to add more frequencies?
The A380 will continue to play a bigger role across Asia, not by replacing frequencies, but by increasing frequencies and with even more capacity.
Last I checked, major Asian airlines are upsizing and hesitation is not due to lack of demand, but lack of competing products in that segment.
So your point being? Last I checked, 77Ws are huge widebodies, not little 737s. They fly this much into CDG
because the demand is humongous at all times of the day, and not mere because of "customer preferences for choices in flight timings" and that kind of nonsense.
Come back to us if SQ
decides to pull out its widebodies into CDG
and replaces them with 40 MI
flights (ironically, SQ
actually pulled its MI
flights out of CDG
So in summary, Asia's aviation will *not* go the way of the European or American experience in the near future unless the following factors disappears in Asia:
- Rising purchasing power and demand for air travel.
- Continued aviation growth exceeding airline's capability to meet demand.
- Regulated airspaces and rights restricting schedule and capacity flexibility.
- Congested airports with insufficient room for growth.
- Consumer preference for larger, quieter planes with superior service.
[Edited 2013-05-05 04:43:29]
It's huaiwei...not huawei. I have nothing to do with the PRC! :)