Guest

Will We Need More Pilots..

Thu Mar 08, 2001 5:02 am

Hi all, if this topic has been put out and discussed already please bear with me. I've heard that in the next 5 to 10 years there's going to be a shortage of pilots due to retirement and thus a huge hole in the industry. Is this true?? Any comments or web sites to check out would be greatly appreciated.

Thanks!!
 
Mit
Posts: 165
Joined: Tue Dec 19, 2000 6:48 am

RE: Will We Need More Pilots..

Thu Mar 08, 2001 6:14 am

Competition/technology is making flight cheaper to all and economic growth is making flight more affordable to many. Both of those are longterm trends pointing to increased demand for pilots. There aren't many longterm factors that will decrease demand. (One could imagine pilotless airplanes, major energy / enviromental crises or virtual reality teleconferencing, but those don't seem likely anytime soon.)

As for supply, the market is tight right now. (Flight schools have real problems keeping instructors.) The baby boomers start hitting 60 in four years, and the military is turning out significantly fewer pilots than in decades past. However, the "echo boom" will enter the workforce soon, and a tight market will attract plenty of people. And the airlines will do what it takes to get pilots. In the past, they have even hired single-engine private pilots! Maybe we'll see US majors extensively using ab initio programs.

So will there be a "shortage?" Depends what you mean, but in terms of pilot job opportunities, the future looks good.
 
Guest

RE: Will We Need More Pilots..

Thu Mar 08, 2001 8:29 am

According to the Airbus market report there is going to be a major shortage of pilots in the next 10-15 years...apparently it could get so bad that the majors could be hiring straight outta college...so if you're lookin for a job in the airlines and you're in your teens like me then things look pretty good for you. Smile

Happy flying
 
che
Posts: 516
Joined: Wed Feb 09, 2000 10:02 am

RE: Will We Need More Pilots..

Thu Mar 08, 2001 11:09 am

Thats great!!  Smile  Smile! I am 15 and I want to be a pilot. So I figure in 10 years or so (thats a long time) i will be ready to get a pilot job. Of course a lot could change by then.
che
 
sushka
Posts: 4657
Joined: Thu Nov 18, 1999 12:33 am

RE: Will We Need More Pilots..

Thu Mar 08, 2001 2:17 pm

Hey Im 15 also! , Do you think they will lower the amount of hours needed?
Pershoyu Spravoyu Litaki!
 
Pilot1113
Posts: 2276
Joined: Thu Aug 05, 1999 1:42 pm

RE: Will We Need More Pilots..

Thu Mar 08, 2001 2:24 pm

I don't think they'll drop the number of hours or hire out of college. The airlines follow basic economic theory and are thus, cheap.

I could see them dropping certain routes that aren't as profitable as some and consolidating flights. This wouldn't hurt the business person as many are now flocking to fractional ownership programs (ie: FlexJet and NetJet) or are buying their own aircraft. As there is no mandatory retirement on business flying, they can hire recently retired airline pilots.

The only people, that I foresee, being hurt are the leisure traveller. Many of these people only travel at certain times of the year, so they don't care if a Monday flight from JFK to ORD is dropped (or consolidated on to a bigger aircraft at a later time), just as long as they get there.

- Neil Harrison
 
caddy
Posts: 11
Joined: Wed Jan 24, 2001 12:25 pm

RE: Will We Need More Pilots..

Thu Mar 08, 2001 3:26 pm

Well since I am already in the industry I can safely say that there is already a shortage of pilots slowy begining and the demand is already starting to go up.

As for the travelers Pilot1113 is correct in terms of the leisure travellers!

So to put it short there will be a big demand, but if I where you I wouldn't waste any time getting it and I really won't lose any contacts that you might have!

Remember in this industry it's not what you know, it's who you know!!
 
caddy
Posts: 11
Joined: Wed Jan 24, 2001 12:25 pm

RE: Will We Need More Pilots..

Thu Mar 08, 2001 3:27 pm

Well since I am already in the industry I can safely say that there is already a shortage of pilots slowy begining and the demand is already starting to go up.

As for the travelers Pilot1113 is correct in terms of the leisure travellers!

So to put it short there will be a big demand, but if I where you I wouldn't waste any time getting it and I really won't lose any contacts that you might have!

Remember in this industry it's not what you know, it's who you know!!
 
Delta737
Posts: 469
Joined: Sat Jun 05, 1999 11:23 am

RE: Will We Need More Pilots..

Thu Mar 08, 2001 3:30 pm

There will always be a need for pilots, but generally, the "pilot shortage" will never happen.

Flight schools talk about the "pilot shortage" to sell more training packages.

Career books talk about the "pilot shortage" to sell more books, magazines and services.

Politicians talk about the "pilot shortage" to press legislation to kill the mandatory age-60 retirement rule.

Airlines talk about the "pilot shortage" to pressure the FAA for more lenient work regulations to maximize efficiency without hiring extra pilots.

If you want to be a pilot, by all means, go for it! it's the best job in the world and good pay to boot.

But if you're chasing the latest occupational field experiencing a shortage, I wouldn't suggest aviation. it's got to be in your blood or not at all!

Doug Taylor
Delta MD-90 FO
www.jetcareers.com