I realize this is probably way premature, but i'd be interested in hearing opinions. Will the 787 in all its varients outsell the 737 in all its varients?
I am fairly new to the whole civil aviation thing, and have been at anet for less than a year, but i think i have gained quite a bit of knowledge in that time. Personally, i think it would be tough for the 787 to reach the point the 737 is at right now(5000 delivered, 7000 orders). But, you can't discount the fact that the 787 has over 600 orders even before roll out, never mind first flight or EIS.
Some reasons for me thinking it probably won't happen is that there is just a larger market for a smaller plane than a medium size wide body, especially europes domestic operations, and companies like southwest and ryanair using only 737s. These are obvious markets that the 787 makes no sense in. But are there enough markets and airlines where high numbers of 787s would be very beneficial? This can also be impacted by the A350, as it is almost the same type of new gen aircraft. But alas, boeing has 5 year lead on them. Is my logic correct that there is a much larger market for a plane the size of the 737 over the 787?
so my question to you is, can the 787 eclipse the 737 at some point far down the road, or will it be a large initial ordering frenzee for everyone who thinks they need one, and then small, but consistent orders to keep the line going.