WestWing
Topic Author
Posts: 1133
Joined: Thu Feb 03, 2005 2:01 am

787 First Flight Bets Part 3 (and 748 Also)

Tue Oct 06, 2009 3:46 pm

With today's announcement of yet another delay in the 748 program, I thought it might be interesting to have yet another thread to capture our guesses about the exact date for the first flights of both the 787 and the 748. The dates should be based on local time at PAE.

Previous guesses for the 787 from: 787 First Flight Bets Part 2 (by ZBBYLW Jun 14 2009 in Aviation Polls)

March 3, 2009: Bbinn333
March 20 2009: 787seattle
March 29 2009: Allpress
April 9, 2009:MEA-707
April 11, 2009: Pilotboi
April 14,2009:Isitsafenow
April 20, 2009: sebjacques92
May 15, 2009: ZBBYLW
June 1, 2009: B747forever
June 12, 2009: ACDC8
June 13, 2009: 767nutter
June 29, 2009: Kappel
July 4, 2009: Part147
July 7, 2009: AirframeAS
July 8, 2009: TGIF
July 10th, 2009: PHLapproach
July 16, 2009: CairnterriAIR
July 21, 2009: Af773atmsp
August 4, 2009: PGNCS
August 7, 2009: ERJ135
August 18, 2009 N776AU
August 30, 2009: Virgin747lgw
September 10, 2009: Super80DFW
September 17, 2009: OHLHD
September 27, 2009: RussianJet

October 10, 2009: Mal787
October 11, 2009: SAS A340
October 20, 2009: BlueShamu330s
January 15, 2010: DocLightning
March 22, 2010: UltimateDelta

---------------------------------------------------------------

I'll start. My current guesses are:

787: 17-Dec-2009 (anniversary of the Wright brothers' first flight)
748: 09-Feb-2010 (anniversary of the 747-100 first flight)
The best time to plant a tree is 40 years ago. The second best time is today.
 
f.pier
Posts: 1405
Joined: Fri Aug 25, 2000 2:50 am

RE: 787 First Flight Bets Part 3 (and 748 Also)

Tue Oct 06, 2009 6:30 pm

It seems something like the end of the world day foreseen in the past by Jehovah's Witnesses.
 
TGIF
Posts: 262
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RE: 787 First Flight Bets Part 3 (and 748 Also)

Mon Oct 19, 2009 8:39 pm



Quoting WestWing (Thread starter):
July 8, 2009: TGIF

I'm I allowed to go at it again?  Smile

I was over in SEA on June 23rd when they announced the wing box issues. I looked forward to going up to PEA to spot it, but that went down the drain...

787:
West Wing: 17-Dec-2009 (anniversary of the Wright brothers' first flight)
TGIF: 24-Feb-2010

748:
West Wing: 09-Feb-2010 (anniversary of the 747-100 first flight)
TGIF: 03-Mar-2010 (one week after the 787. They won't let the 748 in the air before the 787)
 
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DocLightning
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RE: 787 First Flight Bets Part 3 (and 748 Also)

Tue Oct 27, 2009 5:28 pm



Quoting WestWing (Thread starter):
January 15, 2010: DocLightning

I think it was a good year ago I made this prediction and I'm sticking with it. I think it will be early 1Q2010. I think 4Q2009 is just too ambitious.
-Doc Lightning-

"The sky calls to us. If we do not destroy ourselves, we will one day venture to the stars."
-Carl Sagan
 
KPHXFlyer
Posts: 185
Joined: Sat Mar 15, 2008 4:52 am

RE: 787 First Flight Bets Part 3 (and 748 Also)

Tue Oct 27, 2009 6:29 pm

787: 21-Dec-2009.

748: 30-Apr-2010.
 
WestWing
Topic Author
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RE: 787 First Flight Bets Part 3 (and 748 Also)

Sun Nov 08, 2009 7:04 am



Quoting DocLightning (Reply 3):
I think it was a good year ago I made this prediction and I'm sticking with it. I think it will be early 1Q2010. I think 4Q2009 is just too ambitious.

While I do hope the 787 will fly before the year end, it is looking a bit bleak. Since Boeing have not yet announced a firm target date, your prediction is likely to be accurate. Of course, in the months after the first flight Boeing may face more challenges during the test phase than they have estimated. But at least getting the aircraft airborne would be a huge milestone, and a much needed confidence boost for Boeing.
The best time to plant a tree is 40 years ago. The second best time is today.
 
jetfuel
Posts: 1027
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RE: 787 First Flight Bets Part 3 (and 748 Also)

Sun Nov 08, 2009 12:24 pm

waiting waiting waiting

Than after the 1st flight we wont here a peep out of them for another year...
Where's the passion gone out of the airline industry? The smell of jetfuel and the romance of taking a flight....
 
isitsafenow
Posts: 3413
Joined: Sun Feb 01, 2004 9:22 am

RE: 787 First Flight Bets Part 3 (and 748 Also)

Sun Nov 08, 2009 6:13 pm

SECOND CHANCE.......
787......DEC 28th, 2009
747-8 JAN 21th, 2009
safe
If two people agree on EVERYTHING, then one isn't necessary.
 
ATCtower
Posts: 471
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RE: 787 First Flight Bets Part 3 (and 748 Also)

Mon Nov 09, 2009 1:37 am

787: 03/16/2010
748: 05/15/2010

So I may be optimistic, or pessimistic as some may say, I guess those are the best I can come up with.
By reading the above post you waive all rights to be offended. If you do not like what you read, forget it.
 
isitsafenow
Posts: 3413
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RE: 787 First Flight Bets Part 3 (and 748 Also)

Sun Nov 15, 2009 2:36 am

Note reply 7...
I did it again...
Should read for the 747-8
JAN 21, 2010
safe  banghead 
If two people agree on EVERYTHING, then one isn't necessary.
 
WestWing
Topic Author
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RE: 787 First Flight Bets Part 3 (and 748 Also)

Tue Nov 17, 2009 2:50 pm

Here is a consolidated summary of the guesses so far. The speculation for the 787 is that the first flight target date is "just before Christmas", so KPHXFlyer may have the closest 787 guess.

787:

17-Dec-2009 : WestWing
21-Dec-2009 : KPHXFlyer
28-Dec-2009 : IsItSafeNow
15-Jan-2010 : DocLightning
24-Feb-2010 : TGIF
16-Mar-2010 : ATCTower
22-Mar-2010 : UltimateDelta

748:

21-Jan-2010 : IsItSafeNow
09-Feb-2010 : WestWing
03-Mar-2010 : TGIF
30-Apr-2010 : KPHXFlyer
15-May-2010 : ATCTower
The best time to plant a tree is 40 years ago. The second best time is today.

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