Search found 1024 matches

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by 2175301
Sun Sep 23, 2018 7:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Congress working on a bill that would force FAA to mandate minimum seat size
Replies: 89
Views: 6038

Re: US Congress working on a bill that would force FAA to mandate minimum seat size

I personally believe some sort of minimum seat width/pitch standard should be developed. In part to ensure typical passenger safety and evacuation times. This is not anything close to the pre-1978 regulation days; and will have minimal effect overall. We have minimum door size requirements, and many...

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by 2175301
Sat Sep 22, 2018 2:44 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Discussion Thread - 2018
Replies: 3061
Views: 363639

Re: Boeing 797 Discussion Thread - 2018

Are you calling 2175301 a liar or are you expecting someone to leak engineering drawings? I've been called that before. Not a problem for me. Lets just see what transpires, shall we. Then everyone can judge who had better information. I would like to admit to one mistake in my post above: My inform...

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by 2175301
Fri Sep 21, 2018 2:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Discussion Thread - 2018
Replies: 3061
Views: 363639

Re: Boeing 797 Discussion Thread - 2018

The Programme Office I now work in was established 2 years ago, for a product that is unlikely to enter production for another decade or more - possibly up to 15 years after the Programme Office was established. Sounds like your program office needs to clear out its dinosaurs. I have seen this firs...

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by 2175301
Thu Sep 20, 2018 9:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Discussion Thread - 2018
Replies: 3061
Views: 363639

Re: Boeing 797 Discussion Thread - 2018

We havent had a cleansheet in the last 10 years to take advantage of this improved computing power and software. The A380, 787, A350, F-35 all predate this. Doing any of these designs from scratch today would easily be 10 times faster to develop. So you can not use their development costs as exampl...

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by 2175301
Thu Sep 20, 2018 4:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Discussion Thread - 2018
Replies: 3061
Views: 363639

Re: Boeing 797 Discussion Thread - 2018

We havent had a cleansheet in the last 10 years to take advantage of this improved computing power and software. The A380, 787, A350, F-35 all predate this. Doing any of these designs from scratch today would easily be 10 times faster to develop. So you can not use their development costs as exampl...

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by 2175301
Thu Sep 20, 2018 3:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airline Pilots Indicted for lying on FAA medical application
Replies: 15
Views: 2754

Re: Airline Pilots Indicted for lying on FAA medical applicatiom

The issue is about lying. Not likely about the medical condition. I work in the Nuclear industry; and we are asked to disclose many things that we may not want generally known that do not affect a security clearance - unless you lie about them (the deep background check will find them). Example: Ali...

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by 2175301
Tue Sep 18, 2018 9:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Discussion Thread - 2018
Replies: 3061
Views: 363639

Re: Boeing 797 Discussion Thread - 2018

Aircraft development periods grew over the last 50 years. From ~4 to ~ 8 years. But maybe you are right. Everything has changed, development efforts imploded. Boeing can have been preparing secretly, can cut 2-3 years and EIS in 2025. Hurray! :shy: Except they have not been secret about it: Boeing ...

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by 2175301
Tue Sep 18, 2018 4:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Discussion Thread - 2018
Replies: 3061
Views: 363639

Re: Boeing 797 Discussion Thread - 2018

I do not believe in 2 engine options. If the 2025 EiS is to be achieved, GE/CFM is in the best position to deliver this with a scaled up LEAP. But if a second geared turbo fan engine is allowed in, maybe with a later EiS, the long term outlook for the GE offering is not good. If the market is divid...

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by 2175301
Tue Sep 18, 2018 5:02 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Discussion Thread - 2018
Replies: 3061
Views: 363639

Re: Boeing 797 Discussion Thread - 2018

https://twitter.com/jonostrower/status/1041768368007655424 says: Jon Ostrower @jonostrower SCOOP: Best and final engine offers from Pratt, Rolls & CFM due before Christmas, engine selection in February, authority to offer in March and launch of Boeing’s 797 for the Paris Air Show in June. http:...

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by 2175301
Mon Sep 17, 2018 5:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Jersey bill proposes tax hike for United only
Replies: 52
Views: 8032

Re: New Jersey bill proposes tax hike for United only

This bill may be illegal, likely to be in conflict with the Constitution may make it dumb to push it. So you think it's likely UA could sue New Jersey for this, based probably on the 14th Amendment if applicable, as aemoreira1981 suggested? Or will they wait until the governor decides if he will ve...

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by 2175301
Sun Sep 16, 2018 2:00 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: What Cargo Freight Planes Carry The Most?
Replies: 25
Views: 3189

Re: What Cargo Freight Planes Carry The Most?

zeke wrote:
Air is what they carry the most of


That's by volume; not by weight.

What is the most by weight?

Have a great day,

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by 2175301
Thu Sep 13, 2018 7:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Rolls out Static Test 777-9X
Replies: 125
Views: 21223

Re: Boeing Rolls out Static Test 777-9X

To be honest, in the first few pics: if I didn't see the wingtips, I'd have thought it was just another 77W. But in that last pic, with it inside and pointed to the left: HOLY CRAP, that wing is **ENORMOUS** :eek: :eek: Seriously, that thing is gonna generate some LIFT. Not really that much more li...

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by 2175301
Thu Sep 13, 2018 7:50 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: 777 maxed out pavement loading
Replies: 1
Views: 1921

Re: 777 maxed out pavement loading

What advantage or benefit would that bring? The 777-9 is within rated loading of major airports and adding more wheels increases weight, cost, etc of the 777-9? When you look at the routes that need an aircraft the size of a 777-9 you discussing major airports; not smaller airports with lessor weigh...

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by 2175301
Thu Sep 13, 2018 3:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Feasibility of 787 engine split fleet between GE and RR
Replies: 14
Views: 1645

Re: Feasibility of 787 engine split fleet between GE and RR

While it can be done you need both the pylon/engine set. That is a rare combination to have on hand for more than a few engines. As a planned evolution pylons can be ordered likely 3-6 months in advance. I'm not sure of the lead time or availability of the engines. The software update is trivial onc...

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by 2175301
Tue Sep 11, 2018 4:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is Honeywell testing a new prop Engine?
Replies: 3
Views: 1252

Re: Is Honeywell testing a new prop Engine?

While the base engine is not new... I believe that they may be testing a new sub-model of the TPE331. I think there have been about 10 previous upgrades and multiple models are in production. It makes perfect sense to develop a new variant at this time, as very few engine designes are static. There ...

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by 2175301
Mon Sep 10, 2018 1:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Muddle of the Market aircraft (No, this isn’t a typo)
Replies: 327
Views: 29353

Re: The Muddle of the Market aircraft (No, this isn’t a typo)

Here is something I saw on CNN Money. The article says Boeing looked into the future and saw..... https://money.cnn.com/2018/07/17/news/companies/boeing-aviation-forecast/index.html In a nutshell, it says Asia will be where the growth is, old planes need to be replaced because of fuel efficiency, (...

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by 2175301
Tue Sep 04, 2018 6:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Hypersonic commercial flight?
Replies: 23
Views: 1830

Re: Hypersonic commercial flight?

No, no and no. No hypersonic passenger planes, no blended wing airliners, no rocket planes straight out of The Man in the High Castle. Like it or not, we're stuck with tubes with two ever-more-efficient fanjets for as far as anyone can see. Development costs are just going to be too high to spread ...

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by 2175301
Mon Sep 03, 2018 11:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: COPA 738 burst tyre upon landing today @ COR
Replies: 2
Views: 708

Re: COPA 738 burst tyre upon landing today @ COR

Tire failures are relatively common. I suspect they occur every week, if not more often around the world somewhere.

However, this being A-Net we could well have hundreds - if not thousands - of replies to this common incident; or perhaps only this one...

Have a great day

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by 2175301
Sun Sep 02, 2018 11:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Muddle of the Market aircraft (No, this isn’t a typo)
Replies: 327
Views: 29353

Re: The Muddle of the Market aircraft (No, this isn’t a typo)

I just want to re-register my prediction for this field: Boeing's current vision of ~2025 NMA with "LEAP 1.5" engines is for a marginal product with a marginal business case. Only by waiting a few years longer for Ultrafan-gen engines to be mature can Boeing produce the obviously compelli...

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by 2175301
Sun Sep 02, 2018 2:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Muddle of the Market aircraft (No, this isn’t a typo)
Replies: 327
Views: 29353

Re: The Muddle of the Market aircraft (No, this isn’t a typo)

Ok. Sure. DL too, so 3 airlines. So that's what 200 planes at most? I still don't see the potential of this market for an entirely new plane. Maybe if they could make a shorter/lighter and cheaper 787 and let existing 787 orders be converted for it, it could work. Hmmm... If you have been following...

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by 2175301
Sat Sep 01, 2018 11:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Muddle of the Market aircraft (No, this isn’t a typo)
Replies: 327
Views: 29353

Re: The Muddle of the Market aircraft (No, this isn’t a typo)

Ok. Sure. DL too, so 3 airlines. So that's what 200 planes at most? I still don't see the potential of this market for an entirely new plane. Maybe if they could make a shorter/lighter and cheaper 787 and let existing 787 orders be converted for it, it could work. Hmmm... If you have been following...

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by 2175301
Sat Sep 01, 2018 6:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Muddle of the Market aircraft (No, this isn’t a typo)
Replies: 327
Views: 29353

Re: The Muddle of the Market aircraft (No, this isn’t a typo)

RE: 77 and 79, now we are getting into the realm of fanciful internet rumors, rather than sourced information, so I'll bow out again. I don't find "I've heard rumors about this confidential hundreds of millions of dollar contract offer" nor do I think Boeing offered/solicited an option fo...

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by 2175301
Fri Aug 31, 2018 8:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Muddle of the Market aircraft (No, this isn’t a typo)
Replies: 327
Views: 29353

Re: The Muddle of the Market aircraft (No, this isn’t a typo)

My information is that the 797 will be a go. 3 keys being worked out: 1) Boeing is investing a lot of up front money into design and production process so that they have a much more accurate idea of the final cost of manufacture (at less than half the risk value of before). 2) Boeing and the supplie...

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by 2175301
Sun Aug 26, 2018 3:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is ATL really within a 2hr flight of 80% of the US population?
Replies: 66
Views: 11815

Re: Is ATL really within a 2hr flight of 80% of the US population?

Since the US Airforce has retired the SR-71 Blackbird this is no longer true. There are various Blackbird speed records depending on the course (Top is 2,070.101 mph over a straight course). For commercial aviation purposes the NY to London run (1,806.95 mph) is likely the better comparison. Amazing...

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by 2175301
Sun Aug 26, 2018 4:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why doesn't AF fly the A380 to HKG?
Replies: 15
Views: 2220

Re: Why doesn't AF fly the A380 to HKG?

Ask the people who book tickets... As with many such questions the answer to why an airline does this or that is mainly determined by market demand. AF obviously feels that it is more profitable for them to use their A380's elsewhere, based on market demand.

Have a great day,

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by 2175301
Sat Aug 25, 2018 8:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A320 Engine Fix Won't Come for Months, Lufthansa Says
Replies: 84
Views: 16261

Re: Airbus A320 Engine Fix Won't Come for Months, Lufthansa Says

It seems to me that the idea of multi-year delays on aviation products has become a new normal for the industry, with the A350 being the one major exception. The A350 is not an exception to delays... Chart out the full development cycle and promises.... I clearly remember a statement about "if...

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by 2175301
Sat Aug 25, 2018 4:32 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Death of 747-400 Greatly Exaggerated
Replies: 129
Views: 19044

Re: Death of 747-400 Greatly Exaggerated

I can't find the thread about the 747P2F so I'll ask here, doesn't it serve a fundamentally different role as the 748F, considering it doesn't have the nose door ? My understanding is that the nose door is required on 5-10% of 747F flights. Also that the P2F has a somewhat less cargo weight ability...

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by 2175301
Fri Aug 24, 2018 6:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Death of 747-400 Greatly Exaggerated
Replies: 129
Views: 19044

Re: Death of 747-400 Greatly Exaggerated

As you stated, I don’t believe that 6 airframes a year of production for the 747 is meeting demand. I don’t think Boeing is going to up the production though. They are selling out the slots they need to and have the line at maximum efficiency. I believe that IAI sees the new/used 747 shortfall and ...

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by 2175301
Sat Aug 18, 2018 7:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Which Frame Will Be More Efficient....The A35J or the 779?
Replies: 299
Views: 29504

Re: Which Frame Will Be More Efficient....The A35J or the 779?

To answer the OP's original question: The A35J will burn less fuel in almost all scenarios. By simple textbook definition it will be "more fuel efficient - to fly" There is a size and capacity difference though... so more than that cannot be said without a lot of other information. However...

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by 2175301
Sat Aug 18, 2018 6:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What will supersede the Boeing 717
Replies: 78
Views: 9586

Re: What will supersede the Boeing 717

Increase the ground time between flights. Which = substantially increase in ticket cost. More aircraft will be needed, Flight crew time increases, etc. That is the future dilemma. The engines on the 717 do not need to cool down like almost all other modern engines. They can do short hops and short ...

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by 2175301
Fri Aug 17, 2018 5:02 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Discussion Thread - 2018
Replies: 3061
Views: 363639

Re: Boeing 797 Discussion Thread - 2018

The day will come when decisions for make or buy have to be made. The suppliers have their own owners, Shares and have to satisfy their shareholders. When I am a supplier and Boeing demands a larger slice of my profitable parts of my component business (let’s say the aftermarket piece, while my ori...

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by 2175301
Thu Aug 16, 2018 9:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: EgyptAir updates freighter fleet with A332 P2F
Replies: 15
Views: 2072

Re: EgyptAir updates freighter fleet with A332 P2F

The fact that they already owned the aircraft and needed additional freight capability - and it likely had a book value of "Zero" (or very close to that) makes a P2F conversion more likely. If someone has to buy a used frame for P2F it changes the financial dynamics of P2F. I'm not saying...

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by 2175301
Thu Aug 16, 2018 4:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: EgyptAir updates freighter fleet with A332 P2F
Replies: 15
Views: 2072

Re: EgyptAir updates freighter fleet with A332 P2F

The fact that they already owned the aircraft and needed additional freight capability - and it likely had a book value of "Zero" (or very close to that) makes a P2F conversion more likely. If someone has to buy a used frame for P2F it changes the financial dynamics of P2F. I'm not saying ...

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by 2175301
Sat Aug 04, 2018 8:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Discussion Thread - 2018
Replies: 3061
Views: 363639

Re: Boeing 797 Discussion Thread - 2018

Obviously there are possible issues that noone could possibly have imagined. I'm not arguing that. Zoom in to the Everett facility in Google maps. Or drive by it some time. The full scale 787 article is still viewable in maps. It's been abused beyond what you can imagine. It IS fear mongering when ...

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by 2175301
Fri Aug 03, 2018 2:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 737 Production Delays
Replies: 57
Views: 6761

Re: 737 Production Delays

Question for those who might know (paging Planesmart): the 737MAX was delivered a few months earlier than Boeing was intitially anticipating at program launch. If an airline’s delivery date is moved up by Boeing, but later delayed due to engines, but not after the original delivery date agreed to a...

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by 2175301
Fri Aug 03, 2018 3:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Reduction of 787 deferred production cost slows.
Replies: 288
Views: 20458

Re: Reduction of 787 deferred production cost slows.

mjoelnir: With all due consideration. As far as I can tell what your entire point boils down to is that you personally do not like the principals behind Program Accounting; and believe the it misleads people. It clearly does not meet your "modern" practice personal definition. That is OK w...

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by 2175301
Fri Aug 03, 2018 2:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Reduction of 787 deferred production cost slows.
Replies: 288
Views: 20458

Re: Reduction of 787 deferred production cost slows.

You capitalise things witch have long time worth. A building used over many years for example. You capitalise intellectual property, for example a patent. In the oil industry you capitalise the cost finding a new oil field for later exploitation. All this examples capitalise cost for something that...

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by 2175301
Thu Aug 02, 2018 7:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Reduction of 787 deferred production cost slows.
Replies: 288
Views: 20458

Re: Reduction of 787 deferred production cost slows.

I also vote for keeping this thread open so that anyone who wants to discuss it in the future can just be referred here and we can keep this subject out of other threads...

Have a great day,

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by 2175301
Thu Aug 02, 2018 7:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Reduction of 787 deferred production cost slows.
Replies: 288
Views: 20458

Re: Reduction of 787 deferred production cost slows.

The only reason to use program for cost accounting is to move profits around. If investors know everything anyway and nobody is confused by showing higher profits, why the hell bother about this charade? Why not use just normal accounting rules like everybody else? Why does every Boeing fan gets ri...

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by 2175301
Wed Oct 18, 2017 6:32 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Bombardier Announce CSeries Partnership
Replies: 1568
Views: 181068

Re: Breaking: Airbus and Bombardier Announce C Series Partnership

I respectfully disagree.... If airlines purchased based on your analysis the A380 would be the dominant airplane in the sky... thousands of them... That is about the worst example you can give for a counter argument. I'm talking going from 12 daily narrowbody flights down to 8 flights using a large...

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by 2175301
Wed Oct 18, 2017 3:32 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Bombardier Announce CSeries Partnership
Replies: 1568
Views: 181068

Re: Breaking: Airbus and Bombardier Announce C Series Partnership

Which is one of two reasons that I doubt that the tariff would have stood at all... Please tell me which US made product the CS-100 and CS-300 competes against. Damn this annoyed me. I've heard this like 10 times from various posters as an argument. You are 100% wrong. Airlines don't purchase based...

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by 2175301
Tue Oct 17, 2017 9:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: FedEx Equipment Update
Replies: 42
Views: 6518

Re: FedEx Equipment Update

http://www.airbus.com/newsroom/press-releases/en/2015/06/efw-st-aerospace-and-airbus-to-launch-a320-a321p2f-freighter-conversion-programme.html Unfortunately, that does not mean that any will actually be converted... I believe there are at least 2, if not 3, 777 P2F conversion programs in place... ...

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by 2175301
Tue Oct 17, 2017 7:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Bombardier Announce CSeries Partnership
Replies: 1568
Views: 181068

Re: Breaking: Airbus and Bombardier Announce C Series Partnership

[ Basically their complaint was "Hey BBD used a direct government injection in order to offer a product that competes with a US-made product at a price below cost. That's illegal and hurts US manufacturing." Which is one of two reasons that I doubt that the tariff would have stood at all....

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by 2175301
Tue Oct 17, 2017 7:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Bombardier Announce CSeries Partnership
Replies: 1568
Views: 181068

Re: Breaking: Airbus and Bombardier Announce C Series Partnership

I believe that Airbus will wind down the 319 program (not instantly dead.... but, likely no more active sales efforts shortly); and, that the CS500 development will start within a year - with primary assembly slated for the US.

Have a great day,

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by 2175301
Mon Oct 16, 2017 10:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MH370: Malaysia resumes search to find aircraft
Replies: 418
Views: 73933

Re: MH370: Malaysia set to announce resumption of search as early as this week

Good luck on that. Amazing with all our technology we can't find every piece of metal in the ocean bigger than 3 by 3 meters. Oh, we can find that size of metal. The only question is to have an idea where to look for it. It also cost a lot of money to search every square kilometer of ocean floor fo...

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by 2175301
Mon Oct 16, 2017 6:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Bombardier exploring sale of aircraft programs
Replies: 136
Views: 21416

Re: Bombardier exploring sale of aircraft programs

I would not rule out Viking... Viking is too small. I don't see any chance of them buying anything. As others have said, the Q400 is not going to find any buyers. Now if the C-Series subsidiary were to be put on the market, I am sure there will be lots of interest. But there's little chance of eith...

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by 2175301
Mon Oct 16, 2017 12:58 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Bombardier exploring sale of aircraft programs
Replies: 136
Views: 21416

Re: Bombardier exploring sale of aircraft programs

I would not rule out Viking... They may actually have a better chance than any Chinese company.

I doubt that either Airbus or Boeing are that interested.

Have a great day,

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by 2175301
Thu Oct 12, 2017 6:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Reports 3Q deliveries
Replies: 25
Views: 4625

Re: Boeing Reports 3Q deliveries

But a 6 year old A330 can be bought for less than $40M. See http://www.airliners.net/forum/viewtopic.php?f=3&t=1361025&p=19499831&hilit=price+777+330#p19499831 And an older one for less... Now add in the conversion cost. Then consider how often the freighter is expected to be used and f...

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by 2175301
Mon Oct 09, 2017 4:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AF66 CDG-LAX (A388-F-HPJE) diverts to Goose Bay (YYR) with an uncontained engine failure to #4 engine
Replies: 687
Views: 190358

Re: AF66 CDG-LAX (A388-F-HPJE) diverts to Goose Bay (YYR) with an uncontained engine failure to #4 engine

Amazing...they can find a 1m long piece of a fan blade which exited a cruising aircraft at 38,000ft and landed on an Arctic shelf of ice, but we still cannot locate a missing airliner on the other side of the planet. It would have been very easy to find that missing airliner if it was on top of a w...

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by 2175301
Sat Oct 07, 2017 1:13 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus is examining 'A380-Plus'
Replies: 1034
Views: 193005

Re: Airbus is examining 'A380-Plus'

It only makes sense to compare one variant of A380, namely A388, to one variant of 747. 748 is definitely the right variant to compare to since it has to go throw the same market conditions that A388 has. 748 is more superior than 744 when it comes to technical specification, but 744 was far more s...

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