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by texl1649
Sun Feb 05, 2023 1:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Production/Deliveries - 2023
Replies: 113
Views: 12109

Re: Boeing 737MAX Production/Deliveries - 2023

I’d imagine the QR Max8 is likely an unidentified/leased frame. They still have something like 30 A320’s, including a couple in storage. A long term combination of Max8/321NEO’s wouldn’t be the craziest NB fleet.

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by texl1649
Sun Feb 05, 2023 10:31 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: "Liberty Lifter" (perhaps successor to Pelican ULTRA)
Replies: 13
Views: 1205

Re: "Liberty Lifter" (perhaps successor to Pelican ULTRA)

Yes, if the production version was only the size of a C-17, it would be pointless. I'm hoping this post was sarcastic. The bigger the aircraft becomes the fewer coastline areas it will able to unload. So the USAF would want the aircraft to be as small as possible while still being able to fit one A...

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by texl1649
Fri Feb 03, 2023 10:28 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: "Liberty Lifter" (perhaps successor to Pelican ULTRA)
Replies: 13
Views: 1205

Re: "Liberty Lifter" (perhaps successor to Pelican ULTRA)

How many nice soft beaches are there for something like this to unload/load with, that are then also well connected to a road system? This seems like a silly waste of money, to be frank. A huge lumbering target cruising across the ocean in a high (-ish) threat environment loaded with many tons of tr...

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by texl1649
Wed Feb 01, 2023 8:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing adding 737 line in Everett
Replies: 215
Views: 23740

Re: Boeing adding 737 line in Everett

I think they're still building 1.5 P-8's a month, right? https://www.reuters.com/article/us-france-airshow-boeing-p8-idUSKCN1TH09J This is essentially a separate NG line right now, as I understand it. It's sold very well, though originally the expectation had been to wind this production line down i...

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by texl1649
Wed Feb 01, 2023 2:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing adding 737 line in Everett
Replies: 215
Views: 23740

Re: Boeing adding 737 line in Everett

Also LOL @ 15-18 A220’s a month. How many years has that wild speculation been the case for ‘2 to 3 years from now’ as a production rate? It just never happens. Also LOL @ 74-80 737's a month then, based on recent track records, if we are really objective. I think both Airbus & COMAC shouldn't ...

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by texl1649
Wed Feb 01, 2023 11:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing adding 737 line in Everett
Replies: 215
Views: 23740

Re: Boeing adding 737 line in Everett

For now the target is 50 P/m by 2025/2026, that's 3-4 years from now. Pretty sure by then the supply chain would be more robust and stable than it is today. As for higher production rates, I'm guessing that's for 2026 and beyond, over 4 years from now. So we are at least 4 years away from seeing su...

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by texl1649
Thu Jan 26, 2023 9:17 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Boeing & Lockheed models for BWB tanker/cargo
Replies: 34
Views: 2337

Re: Boeing & Lockheed models for BWB tanker/cargo

My suspicion is that the Boeing windows are nothing more than letting an intern print stickers to fit the model. Just as we saw some absurd window hints with the B-21 ‘leaks’ that were nothing else, the Boeing cockpit windows/tight shape for a manned aircraft make little real world sense. At least t...

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by texl1649
Thu Jan 26, 2023 7:46 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Boeing & Lockheed models for BWB tanker/cargo
Replies: 34
Views: 2337

Re: Boeing & Lockheed models for BWB tanker/cargo

Very interesting. Pretty crude models, I doubt this is much beyond an early engineering scale-concept, but would be nice to see something like this advance.

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by texl1649
Tue Jan 24, 2023 4:32 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: European MPA Study Airbus / Dassault 2023
Replies: 42
Views: 3923

Re: European MPA Study Airbus / Dassault 2023

That’s a fairly beautiful image, imho. I do think that though the A320/737 are not ideal from certain perspectives for the mission type, the overall ‘airline durability’ baked in for these is bound to wind up keeping them in service/more affordably long term. Now, this may sound crazy, but I do wish...

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by texl1649
Mon Jan 23, 2023 11:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777-300ERSF Freighter News and Discussion - 2023
Replies: 10
Views: 3544

Re: Boeing 777-300ERSF Freighter News and Discussion - 2023

That frame really appears to have a lot less reinforcements relative to for example the EFW A330 conversions. I wonder if it was already painted partially but for the door area?

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by texl1649
Sun Jan 22, 2023 3:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MOM aircraft discussion - 100t to 200t MTOW
Replies: 409
Views: 47724

Re: MOM aircraft discussion - 100t to 200t MTOW

The issue is that Boeing is apparently unable to make the business case for building such an SUV. Not without a new engine. Open rotor won't be ready until the 2030s I believe. Open rotors of course not being available for anything else… Fred Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Or truss braced wings...

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by texl1649
Sun Jan 22, 2023 1:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MOM aircraft discussion - 100t to 200t MTOW
Replies: 409
Views: 47724

Re: MOM aircraft discussion - 100t to 200t MTOW

Already made that reference once, so here it is again: MoM is tough to crack. Look at cars. We have 2-seaters and we have 4-5 seaters. Logically, a 3-seater seems a great idea. MoM is like the 3-seater. I'd say the 737 and A320 are subcompacts, and the widebodies are full size cars of the 70s. The ...

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by texl1649
Sun Jan 22, 2023 1:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus Freighter (A330F/A350F) Discussion - 2023
Replies: 26
Views: 6856

Re: Airbus Freighter (A330F/A350F) Discussion - 2023

Is there any information about possible new-build A321XLR "F" variant being offered?

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by texl1649
Tue Jan 17, 2023 11:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MOM aircraft discussion - 100t to 200t MTOW
Replies: 409
Views: 47724

Re: MOM aircraft discussion - 100t to 200t MTOW

How many 4000+ NM flights are 321XLR’s carrying, err, wait will they really be used on? https://airinsight.com/first-delivery-airbus-a321xlr-slips-to-early-2024/ https://expertwriterforhire.wordpress.com/2022/12/21/airbus-a321xlr-makes-a-strong-case-for-long-range-efficiency-with-13-hour-flight-tes...

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by texl1649
Mon Jan 16, 2023 12:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MOM aircraft discussion - 100t to 200t MTOW
Replies: 409
Views: 47724

Re: MOM aircraft discussion - 100t to 200t MTOW

How many 4000+ NM flights are 321XLR’s carrying, err, wait will they really be used on? https://airinsight.com/first-delivery-airbus-a321xlr-slips-to-early-2024/ https://expertwriterforhire.wordpress.com/2022/12/21/airbus-a321xlr-makes-a-strong-case-for-long-range-efficiency-with-13-hour-flight-test...

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by texl1649
Sat Jan 14, 2023 9:14 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: European MPA Study Airbus / Dassault 2023
Replies: 42
Views: 3923

Re: European MPA Study Airbus / Dassault 2023

The Global Express enters to thread… https://warriormaven.com/land/army-moves-to-high-tech-fixed-wing-jet-for-surveillance-isr The USAF E-11 fleet has upwards of 25,000 hours per frame now, been leading the fleet for years. Exactly. And though the aircraft are tremendous/sound from a technical stan...

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by texl1649
Sat Jan 14, 2023 5:49 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: European MPA Study Airbus / Dassault 2023
Replies: 42
Views: 3923

Re: European MPA Study Airbus / Dassault 2023

If the Atlantiques are any indication, then the fact that A320’s are likely to be flying much longer than a biz jet should matter. You would think a bigger aircraft flies further, but an NB like a A320 is optimized for 6x 1000NM trips a day, with 150 passengers. Typical NB maximum range is 3000NM. ...

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by texl1649
Fri Jan 13, 2023 11:30 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: European MPA Study Airbus / Dassault 2023
Replies: 42
Views: 3923

Re: European MPA Study Airbus / Dassault 2023

If the Atlantiques are any indication, then the fact that A320’s are likely to be flying much longer than a biz jet should matter.

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by texl1649
Mon Jan 09, 2023 1:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MOM aircraft discussion - 100t to 200t MTOW
Replies: 409
Views: 47724

Re: MOM aircraft discussion - 100t to 200t MTOW

Keesje has waxed poetically about theorized A330 derivatives here for literally decades (and, yes, reborn A300’s). Given the production rate/order book for the A330NEO today, I think we can safely dismiss his most recent pontifications on the subject. New aircraft with very efficient/lean production...

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by texl1649
Tue Jan 03, 2023 4:27 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Bell V-280 Valor FLRAA News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 132
Views: 34802

Re: Bell V-280 Valor FLRAA News and Discussion Thread

To add to that, 3000 shp ‘class’ is what is discussed with the T901. UH-60V, Lakota, and others are probably in advanced planning stages internally/commercially. https://aviationweek.com/defense-space/aircraft-propulsion/ges-t901-engine-critical-path-us-army-modernization That may or may not be enou...

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by texl1649
Tue Jan 03, 2023 3:59 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Bell V-280 Valor FLRAA News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 132
Views: 34802

Re: Bell V-280 Valor FLRAA News and Discussion Thread

They just can’t afford to replace all of those blackhawks, 1:1 or otherwise, over 10 years or so, and Lockheed is gonna be very motivated to throw the T901’s to keep selling them both to the US Army and others, I expect. As well, the FARA won’t replace any Blackhawk’s, if I said that, sorry. The FAR...

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by texl1649
Tue Jan 03, 2023 11:12 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Bell V-280 Valor FLRAA News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 132
Views: 34802

Re: Bell V-280 Valor FLRAA News and Discussion Thread

That’s not a new analysis and I am not sure what you are throwing on the thread at this point, RJMAZ. Yes, the T901 is slated to be on the Apache, Blackhawk, and -47 down the road. No, the Army doesn’t have a specific procurement timeline on those. Yes the OH-58’s are retired. FARA is to fill that r...

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by texl1649
Sat Dec 31, 2022 11:55 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Bell V-280 Valor FLRAA News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 132
Views: 34802

Re: FARA US Army Proposals Thread

The Osprey engines have no relation to the FLRAA/FARA programs. I recommend you read up on the program/award, RJMAZ. You seem to be jumping to a lot of conclusions/guesses that are just wrong, in post 118 here. The V-280 demo prototype which is the FLRAA winner used the Honeywell T55 from the Chino...

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by texl1649
Thu Dec 29, 2022 11:05 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Bell V-280 Valor FLRAA News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 132
Views: 34802

Re: FARA US Army Proposals Thread

The Osprey engines have no relation to the FLRAA/FARA programs. I recommend you read up on the program/award, RJMAZ. You seem to be jumping to a lot of conclusions/guesses that are just wrong, in post 118 here.

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by texl1649
Thu Dec 29, 2022 11:30 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Bell V-280 Valor FLRAA News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 132
Views: 34802

Re: FARA US Army Proposals Thread

The V-280 was not really a prototype, but a developmental proof of concept vehicle, I believe. It used for instance an entirely unrelated engine (as did the Sikorsky) with something like a third less power. The composite fuselage was materially significant (from Spirit, btw, I believe), as were the ...

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by texl1649
Thu Dec 22, 2022 9:13 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Rafale pre-selected over F-16 and Gripen by Columbia
Replies: 32
Views: 4407

Re: Rafale pre-selected over F-16 and Gripen by Columbia

Congrats to the Rafale team. Perhaps the most beautiful fighter in production today. Having a dissimilar type vs. others is not always bad, certainly, and it might afford greater industrial participation than what is, at least in the Americas, a dying industrial base for production of F-16’s, moving...

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by texl1649
Tue Dec 20, 2022 11:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Scoot in talks over a 50 strong E295 order.
Replies: 43
Views: 10441

Re: Scoot in talks over a 50 strong E295 order.

I would expect Airbus would be pushing the A220 to Scoot hard. The type does not have much success in East Asia except for the 10 ordered by Korean. Korean did not follow up with additional order too. Airbus can use some new orders in this market. While one would expect Airbus to bid the A220, I co...

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by texl1649
Tue Dec 20, 2022 10:37 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737 MAX 10 Development / Testing / Production Thread - 2022
Replies: 807
Views: 200722

Re: Boeing 737 MAX 10 Development / Testing / Production Thread - 2022

Article from Dominic Gates: https://www.seattletimes.com/business/boeing-aerospace/congress-year-end-bill-clears-faa-to-certify-boeing-737-max-7-10-unchanged/ Not surprising but they really let it go down to the wire. Part of the $1.7 trillion omnibus bill. Not real surprising, they try to pass the...

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by texl1649
Sun Dec 18, 2022 12:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Update: United Airlines orders 100 787’s plus 100 options, orders 100 737MAX
Replies: 1154
Views: 297328

Re: Update: United Airlines orders 100 787’s plus 100 options, orders 100 737MAX

Yes, the existing conditions of the airline affect what is best to order for them. At the moment DL's best choices are with mostly Airbus aircraft, UA's are with Boeing. WN's approach is single model, LH seems to do well with nearly every model made. I look for trends, the best way to judge aircraf...

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by texl1649
Wed Dec 14, 2022 8:32 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Official: Contract signed by Germany for 35 F-35
Replies: 16
Views: 2662

Re: Official: Contract signed by Germany for 35 F-35

Congrats to the Luftwaffe/partner groups in Germany supporting the systems. With FCAS ostensibly to fly in 2029, it will be curious if that timeline impacts any follow on orders down the road.

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by texl1649
Tue Dec 06, 2022 3:04 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Bell V-280 Valor FLRAA News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 132
Views: 34802

Re: FARA US Army Proposals Thread

Congrats indeed to the Bell team. Now, I did always expect this to be a split award between FARA/FLRAA but this was the way I wanted the Fara to go first and foremost. I am convinced it is just a more sound/simple solution than the somewhat ungainly Lockheed. Will see how FARA is decided in 6 months?

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by texl1649
Mon Dec 05, 2022 1:58 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: B-21 Rolling out on Dec.2
Replies: 64
Views: 14220

Re: B-21 Rolling out on Dec.2

Yes, the body and the scoops are of the most interest to me, as well. It would seem tough to get enough air through one of those to an F135 but I am guessing they also are using some clever shrouding/boundary layer gimmicks to provide consistent flow, particularly at cruise speeds. We really don’t h...

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by texl1649
Thu Nov 17, 2022 10:57 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Smallest Mach 2 fighter
Replies: 19
Views: 3235

Re: Smallet Mach 2 fighter

Not as light as a MiG-21 but the F-106 always deserves mention as a very fast, light fighter.

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by texl1649
Wed Nov 16, 2022 7:04 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: SLS / Orion - Tests, Launches, & Developments
Replies: 540
Views: 66134

Re: SLS / Orion - Tests, Launches, & Developments

Congrats to the guys/gals at Nasa/SLS.

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by texl1649
Mon Nov 07, 2022 10:06 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: The future of attack helicopters????
Replies: 84
Views: 7255

Re: The future of attack helicopters????

Helicopters performed badly or those responsible for planning the missions did not coordinate properly? I don't know. Personally I would just not feel comfortable entering areas where people are shooting while being 100% dependent that nothing touches the vulnerable mechanism of my rotorhead ... In...

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by texl1649
Fri Nov 04, 2022 1:12 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: US Navy C-130 T replacement
Replies: 7
Views: 1473

Re: US Navy C-130 T replacement

The brits really should have just put them into long term storage, imho. There is more than a decent probability they will need such capabilities again in the future and operating/qualifying the A400M for all of those missions will similarly be uneconomical/infeasible. What is the purpose of puttin...

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by texl1649
Thu Nov 03, 2022 6:25 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: US Navy C-130 T replacement
Replies: 7
Views: 1473

Re: US Navy C-130 T replacement

The brits really should have just put them into long term storage, imho. There is more than a decent probability they will need such capabilities again in the future and operating/qualifying the A400M for all of those missions will similarly be uneconomical/infeasible.

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by texl1649
Thu Nov 03, 2022 6:02 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: SpaceX - Tests, Launches, Developments - 2022
Replies: 352
Views: 47751

Re: SpaceX - Tests, Launches, Developments - 2022

I wish spacex was public. Musk makes good things happen because he is willing to take risks. He’s definitely willing to take risks, but the whole risk of starlink (and spacex) going public too early is that then he wouldn’t be able to do so with them; they’d be handcuffed by a board of directors/sh...

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by texl1649
Thu Nov 03, 2022 11:19 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: SpaceX - Tests, Launches, Developments - 2022
Replies: 352
Views: 47751

Re: SpaceX - Tests, Launches, Developments - 2022

Which is a lot of words to say “Well I think you are wrong, and I may or may not have secret information about all the expertise/knowledge nasa has institutionally but I won’t post it here if so.” People see a company as a brand, like nike or reebok or Toyota, and think of it as a loyalty issue. I d...

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by texl1649
Wed Nov 02, 2022 11:37 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: SpaceX - Tests, Launches, Developments - 2022
Replies: 352
Views: 47751

Re: SpaceX - Tests, Launches, Developments - 2022

Well, we aren’t that far off then, maybe. I just don’t see things through the same prism/perspective (lacking multiple contacts at Boeing/LM etc, and not really seeing it as “spacex vs. nasa”). But, were I “king of appropriations/programs for 5 years with a finite budget of maybe $10 Billion or so” ...

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by texl1649
Wed Nov 02, 2022 10:54 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: SpaceX - Tests, Launches, Developments - 2022
Replies: 352
Views: 47751

Re: SpaceX - Tests, Launches, Developments - 2022

Even today, a decade later, SpaceX is only on the verge of being able to do so, and the design of Starship cannot be rated for human launch. And as mentioned earlier here, the NASA policy has been to commercialize when at least two vendors are able to provide the capability. And to foster the indus...

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by texl1649
Wed Nov 02, 2022 7:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing TTBW to fly on modified McDonnell Douglas T-tail fuselage
Replies: 73
Views: 17995

Re: Boeing TTBW to fly on modified McDonnell Douglas T-tail fuselage

Would using an existing a/c also alleviate the dire need to also have a new cockpit human/machine interface demanded by the FAA for new designs, they would at least be able to test the wind tunnel projections. They don't need any new cockpit for the test frames at all as this is an experimental pro...

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by texl1649
Wed Nov 02, 2022 3:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing TTBW to fly on modified McDonnell Douglas T-tail fuselage
Replies: 73
Views: 17995

Re: Boeing TTBW to fly on modified McDonnell Douglas T-tail fuselage

IFlyVeryLittle wrote:
Are the trusses shaped to also create lift?


I don't believe so. They are kept as simple/slender as possible to provide structural support only, not to add to the flex/forces impacting the frame/wings.

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by texl1649
Wed Nov 02, 2022 1:45 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: RAAF to Replace C-130Js with MORE C-130Js
Replies: 19
Views: 2463

Re: RAAF to Replace C-130Js with MORE C-130Js

Interesting. I didn't read much about that procurement, were they seriously looking at the Embraer or Airbus?

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by texl1649
Wed Nov 02, 2022 1:08 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: SpaceX - Tests, Launches, Developments - 2022
Replies: 352
Views: 47751

Re: SpaceX - Tests, Launches, Developments - 2022

and he forgot about this https://arstechnica.com/science/2016/04/without-nasa-there-would-be-no-spacex-and-its-brilliant-boat-landing/ In his excellent book Elon Musk, author Ashlee Vance recounts the most dramatic of NASA's saves. From 2006 to 2008, SpaceX endured three failed launches of the Falc...

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by texl1649
Mon Oct 31, 2022 7:06 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: SpaceX - Tests, Launches, Developments - 2022
Replies: 352
Views: 47751

Re: SpaceX - Tests, Launches, Developments - 2022

SpaceX puts a lot more stuff in orbit nowadays than NASA, or nasa money does. https://twitter.com/BryceSpaceTech/status/1586179769007316993 NASA’s fatality and launch failure rates over a 30 year period would be a lot higher in any comparable analyses than SpaceX ‘in a vacuum,’ so I certainly hope ...

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by texl1649
Mon Oct 31, 2022 1:37 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: SpaceX - Tests, Launches, Developments - 2022
Replies: 352
Views: 47751

Re: SpaceX - Tests, Launches, Developments - 2022

basic point is that as Starship comes closer to viability and carrying humans, SpaceX will have to demonstrate the same levels of safety as NASA. NASA does this by extensive testing of every component, then also testing them again while integrated together. Their method is methodical and precise. N...

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by texl1649
Mon Oct 31, 2022 9:37 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: The future of attack helicopters????
Replies: 84
Views: 7255

Re: The future of attack helicopters????

https://twitter.com/janesintel/status/1 ... 4735969280

I would say that to me that looks…very busy, visually. Whatever, it should work for the mission.
-->

The Koreans are the latest to invest in a future attack helicopter, with this news;

https://twitter.com/janesintel/status/1 ... 4735969280

I would say that to me that looks…very busy, visually. Whatever, it should work for the mission.

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by texl1649
Sat Oct 29, 2022 3:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Happy birthday A300 - 50 years since FF
Replies: 40
Views: 14437

Re: Happy birthday A300 - 50 years since FF

CrewBunk wrote:
DeltaRules wrote:
I've always wondered- what's the purpose of the strip that runs across the top of the fuselage? Air intake? Older-style antenna?


It housed the HF antennae.


Was this unique vs. the other aircraft of the day, in it’s placement?

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by texl1649
Sat Oct 29, 2022 7:19 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Happy birthday A300 - 50 years since FF
Replies: 40
Views: 14437

Re: Happy birthday A300 - 50 years since FF

https://mydailykona.blogspot.com/2022/1 ... -a300.html

The plane itself was the beginning of a great story!
-->

Here is a tribute/perspective from a blog I read sometimes.

https://mydailykona.blogspot.com/2022/1 ... -a300.html

The plane itself was the beginning of a great story!

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