Search found 1377 matches

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by DavidByrne
Sat Aug 24, 2019 4:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas plans 3 Project Sunrise research flights in Q4 2019 using 787-9's, final decision on PS by end of 2019
Replies: 188
Views: 25266

Re: Qantas plans 3 Project Sunrise research flights in Q4 2019 using 787-9's, final decision on PS by end of 2019

Why do people keep asking the same question? it has been addressed many times earlier in the thread And why are people do exercised about QF operating these flights in the first instance? You'd think they'd made a wrong decision of gigantic proportions the way some people are going on. The way I lo...

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by DavidByrne
Fri Aug 23, 2019 3:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas plans 3 Project Sunrise research flights in Q4 2019 using 787-9's, final decision on PS by end of 2019
Replies: 188
Views: 25266

Re: Qantas plans 3 Project Sunrise research flights in Q4 2019 using 787-9's, final decision on PS by end of 2019

My very strong recollection of the NZ announcement is that a reduced-capacity 789 would be the aircraft for AKL-EWR, and that the 78J was capable of performing all (most?) of the carrier's 77E routes. There were positively no statements or even suggestions that the 78J would be used on AKL-EWR. In b...

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by DavidByrne
Thu Aug 22, 2019 3:04 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas plans 3 Project Sunrise research flights in Q4 2019 using 787-9's, final decision on PS by end of 2019
Replies: 188
Views: 25266

Re: Qantas plans 3 Project Sunrise research flights in Q4 2019 using 787-9's, final decision on PS by end of 2019

I may be a cynic but this whole test flight thing is more a stunt than anything else. QF will be planning to use them for lots of free publicity; whilst they say it is QF staff only, what's the bet 7 or 9 get a reporter and camera crew on-board? If QF do it quietly without press onboard, I may have...

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by DavidByrne
Sat Aug 17, 2019 11:20 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019
Replies: 164
Views: 18092

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019

On that note, is there any prospect of RNP-capable 787s operating from Australia to ZQN in the winter peak? The runway length should be enough, but not sure whether the terrain or terminal would cope. :rotfl: :rotfl: :rotfl: :rotfl: Not sure why it's so funny! If the airport is capable then given t...

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by DavidByrne
Sat Aug 17, 2019 3:39 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019
Replies: 164
Views: 18092

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019

If it was during winter, would enough Kiwis be encouraged to go there based on the weather within the Gulf of Thailand (Ko Samui) and maybe the North (Chiang Mai) for exmaple? The weather in those places is more suitable Mar-Aug/Sep but the hotspots BKK and HKT are better suited during our summer m...

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by DavidByrne
Thu Aug 15, 2019 12:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019
Replies: 164
Views: 18092

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019

That’s true and I was one that didn’t expect to see ICN or TPE, however they are star hubs where KUL isn’t, maybe NZ could work closer with TG and add BKK at some point? I'd be less confident about BKK as an NZ destination given that any connection traffic would be at the expense of the close partn...

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by DavidByrne
Tue Aug 13, 2019 10:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019
Replies: 164
Views: 18092

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019

NZ offer KUL via SIN with SQ, MH hardly do that well and a fair potion of their PAX would be connecting, basically via SIN is better for NZ and IMO not enough PAX for another non stop carrier. D7 talked about it however before pulling their OOL-AKL service, their costs might be more likely than NZ ...

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by DavidByrne
Tue Aug 13, 2019 8:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019
Replies: 164
Views: 18092

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019

The real issue here, if there is one, is the gap between the ATR and the A320 on the domestic market, there is no larger turboprop on the market and our geographical footprint means most ATR flights are around 60mins or less, while there's a number of regional jets in the market now over these sect...

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by DavidByrne
Thu Aug 08, 2019 8:29 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Why no Japanese airline flying to auckland
Replies: 10
Views: 1969

Re: Why no Japanese airline flying to auckland

First ask, how many weekly flights do Air NZ fly between Japan & NZ? JL is not longer government owned. ANA can easily codeshare on NZ and send their low-density, premium-class centered widebody fleet elsewhere around the globe. Currently, NZ operates 10x weekly to NRT and 3x weekly to KIX in s...

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by DavidByrne
Thu Aug 08, 2019 4:13 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019
Replies: 164
Views: 18092

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019

So, correct me if I'm wrong, you're saying the A220 is more expensive to run per seat per km than the A320? If correct, you then go on to suggest the airline buys this aircraft to run it on, quote "marginal" routes?. Do I have that right? So buying a more expensive plane to operate, run i...

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by DavidByrne
Thu Aug 08, 2019 12:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019
Replies: 164
Views: 18092

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019

The airline won't buy a new aircraft for "risky" and "unknown" new routes. They'll test the waters with older A320 first, besides the benefits of an A220 wouldn't outweigh all the risk around having that type in fleet vs just using what you have. With the benefit of some operati...

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by DavidByrne
Wed Aug 07, 2019 9:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019
Replies: 164
Views: 18092

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019

is the time right for NZ to start expanding into secondary AUS cities? Yes. They need A220s for that though IMO. HBA and TSV should be first Yes, the A220 seems to be the best option. Interesting that one of the major customers (AF/KL) is pressing for a stretch to the -300 which would compete direc...

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by DavidByrne
Tue Aug 06, 2019 12:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019
Replies: 164
Views: 18092

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019

Interesting though that IAH looks to be getting 77Ws this NW 6 weekly, last NW was 3 77W/4 772 while the previous year was a daily 789 code 2, so pushing more connections away from LAX which was always the plan with NZ5/6 then being a 772 daily. With that said my question is if IAH is doing that we...

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by DavidByrne
Mon Aug 05, 2019 10:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019
Replies: 164
Views: 18092

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019

Noted that UA is scheduling the 78J on the LAX-PVG route from December. This is a great circle distance of 6,485 statute miles - a whisker shorter than LAX-AKL. Yes, different conditions etc but notwithstanding it seems that the 78J may already be more capable than many of us had assumed. And with t...

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by DavidByrne
Wed Jul 31, 2019 1:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread -July 2019
Replies: 278
Views: 31613

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread -July 2019

Same issue: why do we think Luxon is brilliant when he buys the 78Js but suddenly out of touch when he says the airline will need something in the 35K/77X class to replace the 77Ws? Who knows if any of Luxon's decisions will turn out to be brilliant? It's not so black and white IMHO. I imagine NZ w...

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by DavidByrne
Wed Jul 31, 2019 5:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread -July 2019
Replies: 278
Views: 31613

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread -July 2019

They have been able over time to drop the 737 and make the A320 its sole narrow body which won’t happen with wide bodies. Unless, of course, the 78J does end up being the 77W replacement, which is a real possibility, especially given that EWR is likely to be served by 789s and therefore the range o...

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by DavidByrne
Mon Jul 29, 2019 8:31 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread -July 2019
Replies: 278
Views: 31613

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread -July 2019

Not sure I can see more aircraft long haul before 2022 given the new product will be introduced then, doesn’t seem an efficient use of the seats to replace them so quickly. I think with adjusting of the schedules and use of alliances and a slight down turn currently they will get by. I can’t rememb...

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by DavidByrne
Mon Jul 29, 2019 8:28 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread -July 2019
Replies: 278
Views: 31613

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread -July 2019

Not sure I can see more aircraft long haul before 2022 given the new product will be introduced then, doesn’t seem an efficient use of the seats to replace them so quickly. I think with adjusting of the schedules and use of alliances and a slight down turn currently they will get by. Sorry, but I j...

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by DavidByrne
Sun Jul 28, 2019 11:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread -July 2019
Replies: 278
Views: 31613

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread -July 2019

Wondering what NZ's short/medium-term long-haul fleet plan might be. Looking at the forthcoming summer, it seems to me that from my back-of-the-envelope calculations there's very little slack in the fleet (though various routes like EZE, ORD, TPE and ICN operate only 5x weekly, so there's potentiall...

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by DavidByrne
Wed Jul 24, 2019 3:35 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - July 2019
Replies: 428
Views: 57731

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - July 2019

International flights out of HBA have been talked about for years, and the airport has had limited provisions for intl ops for quite some time now (which the Skytraders flights have made use of, I believe). As much as I would love to see the resumption of flights to NZ, I am not convinced the busin...

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by DavidByrne
Tue Jul 23, 2019 9:07 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - July 2019
Replies: 428
Views: 57731

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - July 2019

The Council were probably better off throwing the money at NZ than VA. I tend to agree. In fact, I'm guessing they may have had to throw less money at NZ than they are throwing at VA. My reasoning: 1. This is clearly an inbound market for NTL, and therefore most of the marketing grunt needs to be i...

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by DavidByrne
Tue Jul 23, 2019 5:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - July 2019
Replies: 428
Views: 57731

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - July 2019

Virgin Australia / Newcastle Airport have announced the return of seasonal flights between Newcastle and Auckland for the next three years. Apparently the flights were quite popular and generated a lot of revenue for the Hunter Region. Not that popular - working from BITRE you can see that there wa...

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by DavidByrne
Mon Jul 22, 2019 1:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread -July 2019
Replies: 278
Views: 31613

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread -July 2019

ZK-NBT wrote:
Good point re the A321, it gives them more flexibility to match capacity to demand where 1 A321 is better than 2 A320s in this case for that season at least.

Agree completely but it's still a bit of a negative when a really well-established route (CHC-MEL) goes sub-daily for an extended period.

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by DavidByrne
Mon Jul 22, 2019 4:58 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread -July 2019
Replies: 278
Views: 31613

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread -July 2019

planemanofnz wrote:
A shame, if true re NZ and BNE/MEL.

Not quite sure what you mean by "if true"? Do you doubt the published timetable?

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by DavidByrne
Sun Jul 21, 2019 11:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread -July 2019
Replies: 278
Views: 31613

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread -July 2019

Just noted that NZ's CHC-BNE and MEL flights have had their frequency cut right back from that which was promised after the Virgin divorce. CHC-BNE does get up to 9x weekly at the summer peak, and CHC-MEL 12x weekly, but in the off-season CHC-BNE is daily and CHC-MEL down to 6x weekly. Coupled with ...

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by DavidByrne
Fri Jul 19, 2019 1:37 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread -July 2019
Replies: 278
Views: 31613

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread -July 2019

Some interesting clues being dropped by NZ on facebook at the moment in a series of short videos featuring Steve Hanson. Reveal date to be 1 August So, anyone got any ideas? Special scheme on 77W for RWC? Yeah, has to be an All Blacks livery for the RWC on a 77W. Otherwise, why involve Steve Hansen...

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by DavidByrne
Thu Jul 18, 2019 6:19 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread -July 2019
Replies: 278
Views: 31613

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread -July 2019

HP69 wrote:
What’s the latest on a potential AKL-EWR/JFK route?

NZ don't have a suitable aircraft for EWR in the fleet, and haven't yet ordered one. They've signalled it will be a 789 with GE engines and they have 789s on option, but have not yet ordered it.

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by DavidByrne
Mon Jul 15, 2019 9:05 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread -July 2019
Replies: 278
Views: 31613

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread -July 2019

[code][/code] Surely the risk over return is just awful. Just a little gentle tease: surely your comments are exactly the sort of opinions based on half information etc that you (and I) despair of when applied to Air NZ? I'm very tired after supporting the Black Caps most the night, what do you mean...

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by DavidByrne
Mon Jul 15, 2019 7:32 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread -July 2019
Replies: 278
Views: 31613

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread -July 2019

NZ6 wrote:
Surely the risk over return is just awful.

Just a little gentle tease: surely your comments are exactly the sort of opinions based on half information etc that you (and I) despair of when applied to Air NZ?

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by DavidByrne
Mon Jul 15, 2019 3:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread -July 2019
Replies: 278
Views: 31613

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread -July 2019

Anyone Know which Airline this could be for sale in New Zealand https://www.businessesforsale.com/Regional-Airline-For-Sale-1.aspx Some of the details (regional airline based in Auckland, where the owners live, the price they want for it) sound suspiciously like FlyMySky. V/F Another clue is that t...

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by DavidByrne
Fri Jul 12, 2019 1:44 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - July 2019
Replies: 428
Views: 57731

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - July 2019

Isn’t VANZ still a contract crew employer as such? Even though they no long have aircraft or an AOC, they still employ crew and contract them to VA? Probably as much to do with scheduling and utilisation as anything else. Starting and finishing each day in NZ allows an airline to operate two return...

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by DavidByrne
Thu Jul 11, 2019 8:47 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - July 2019
Replies: 428
Views: 57731

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - July 2019

Essendon can handle larger aircraft than Moorabbin. Essendon was Melbourne's airport up until 1970 so could in theory handle up to an A320/738. Moorabbin has always only been general aviaiton. Pretty sure they had 767s land there back in the day, maybe DC-8s too? No, Essendon closed as a commercial...

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by DavidByrne
Wed Jul 03, 2019 5:53 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread -July 2019
Replies: 278
Views: 31613

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread -July 2019

Every person in that lounge - even the person who is there for no other reason than their credit card e-voucher, believes: - that their right to be in the lounge is absolute and incontestable - anyone else that is in the lounge is an inconvenience, probably doesn't deserve to be there at all (or at...

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by DavidByrne
Tue Jun 25, 2019 9:09 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 479
Views: 61482

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2019

I just read an article (below) about QF 747 points planes. Anyone have more info? https://www.ausbt.com.au/qantas-considers-boeing-747-points-plane-for-frequent-flyers I'm positive that I saw an item on Airline Route yesterday which listed some domestic 747 sectors QF was planning to operate in the...

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by DavidByrne
Sun Jun 23, 2019 1:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How much range is too much?
Replies: 30
Views: 5191

Re: How much range is too much?

Won't the PIP also improve the 787-9, and how will the dynamic of the smaller plane with equal economics tends to have higher RASM affect this? NZ has plans to serve AKL-EWR (probably, rather than JFK) and has signalled that a GE-powered 789 is how it will be done. I believe this will be achieved w...

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by DavidByrne
Sun Jun 23, 2019 1:58 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 291
Views: 28243

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

I'd argue to the US point, especially if it's a startup. You would have read the comments from the Cook Island government on LAX-RAR, now factor in just how hard it is to gain awareness and exposure in the US market of the South Pacific Islands but also operating costs, you'd need crew change given...

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by DavidByrne
Sat Jun 22, 2019 1:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 291
Views: 28243

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

Random blue-sky thinking: is there potential for a Pacific Island-based LCC operating 321XLRs between Aus, NZ and West Coast USA? Potentially to (say) Oakland and other secondary airports via RAR? That would be welcomed by airports like WLG and CHC. Still may founder on the lack of accommodation in ...

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by DavidByrne
Thu Jun 20, 2019 2:21 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 291
Views: 28243

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

I believe NZ18 RAR-LAX and NZ61 RAR-SYD are subsidised. Being really nit-picky, but the services are under-written by the Cooks Govt, rather than subsidised automatically. This means that they may or may not receive a subsidy, depending on performance of the route. Highly likely, though, that they'...

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by DavidByrne
Thu Jun 20, 2019 2:09 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 291
Views: 28243

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

apart from their initial disastrous flirtation with daylight flights) on the Pacific long-haul routes David can you elaborate on this? The lack of daylight Pacific long haul flights is one of the reasons I prefer QF to to the US - even via Australia, you're out of bed for a shorter period of time. ...

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by DavidByrne
Wed Jun 19, 2019 11:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 291
Views: 28243

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

If you could send a 787 return in 24 hours during June/July/August 3 days a week, we might have seen it already. Sorry, but I don't get this thing about flights having to be less than 24-hours return to give them that added viability - enabling a return trip in a single day. Logic suggests to me th...

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by DavidByrne
Wed Jun 19, 2019 12:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 291
Views: 28243

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

Modelling all these other factors in is where it begins to become complex or least opens a multitude of scenarios up. Put another 30 pax onto my above scenario and the -9 starts to become the better aircraft. Thanks for that. Having read the Project Sunrise thread elsewhere, though, I'm not going t...

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by DavidByrne
Tue Jun 18, 2019 3:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 291
Views: 28243

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

How are you getting that trip cost info? It's not a loaded question, I'm keen to see what you're using It’s strictly back-of-the-envelope stuff based on half-confirmed information, but the logic goes something like this. The current quoted ranges of both variants are in the same ballpark, though th...

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by DavidByrne
Mon Jun 17, 2019 11:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 291
Views: 28243

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

Going back to the 4700nm A321XLR. I think it could be an interesting vehicle for both freeing up Widebodies for the long haul growth and boosting frequency on flights like PER/PPT/HNL as well as replacing short-haul widebodies on certain routes. The important thing is that it should allow for more ...

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by DavidByrne
Mon Jun 17, 2019 11:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 291
Views: 28243

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

Out of interest, how and where would you use the -8 and why would this be better than a -9 The only conceivable use I can think of, and it's really a very long shot, is that it IF the -8 got the same MTOW bump as the -9 and -10 are rumoured to be getting, then it might be able to carry the same pay...

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by DavidByrne
Mon Jun 17, 2019 10:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 291
Views: 28243

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

Okay... a few things here. a) We know the 78J will have some improvements but the details of that are unknown. b) NZ has said the 789 with GE engines will go to NYC but they haven't ordered them or converted them c) There are options for 12 additional frames d) The order is interchangeable between ...

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by DavidByrne
Mon Jun 17, 2019 6:32 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 291
Views: 28243

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

Here is the press release again, it says the 78J can fly similar not all 772 missions. IAH and EZE seem to far for me, EZE given the lack of diversion points.. Agree - there's no prospect of the 78J flying Americas routes further than SFO/LAX in my view. They won’t have 1 odd 789 with a different c...

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by DavidByrne
Mon Jun 17, 2019 5:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 291
Views: 28243

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

Another small point which seems to have escaped comment so far: NZ has for the first time (in my recollection, at least) mentioned Toronto in the same breath as New York and Sao Paulo as potential new destinations. I doubt very much that will happen until New York is well-established, but maybe some...

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by DavidByrne
Mon Jun 17, 2019 5:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 291
Views: 28243

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

The dust has settled on the NZ 787-10 order, but there remain some big unanswered questions. New York, for example. The airline has said that it sees New York being serviced by the 787-9 with GE engines – but at this stage such aircraft are not on order. Meanwhile, “credible media reports” suggest a...

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by DavidByrne
Fri Jun 07, 2019 2:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Qantas saying it is almost ready to select Project Sunrise aircraft
Replies: 1493
Views: 272620

Re: Updated: Qantas saying it is almost ready to select Project Sunrise aircraft

Take any payload range chart from the 777, A350, 787, A340 and pick the worst one with the steepest gradient. Even using this worse case gradient the 8690nm easily exceeds the Sydney-London route. So my firm conclusion is completely supported. On that basis I don’t know why airlines even bother wit...

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