Search found 264 matches

by gaystudpilot
Mon Sep 14, 2020 6:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL/NW Merger....12 Years Later
Replies: 120
Views: 15108

Re: DL/NW Merger....12 Years Later

How is a $2B equity investment in a carrier that's in the middle of shedding current equity vindication for anything? I'm not any kind of expert on the JAL/KE codeshare, but a simple google search shows their codeshare partnership has been in place since 2004, before the Delta move for JAL, and enh...

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by gaystudpilot
Mon Sep 14, 2020 5:32 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: WN Kelly seems to think change fee elimination won't help the legacy carriers
Replies: 77
Views: 8119

Re: WN Kelly seems to think change fee elimination won't help the legacy carriers

SW is government owned and mostly flies intra-Africa. But @reltney is an expert with an impressive pedigree: I have worked in the airlines as a pilot for 30 years And 4 years in management at AA, my father worked for the airlines 35 years before that. I am a pilot, my wife is a SW pilot, my mother ...

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by gaystudpilot
Mon Sep 14, 2020 5:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL/NW Merger....12 Years Later
Replies: 120
Views: 15108

Re: DL/NW Merger....12 Years Later

Interesting. Aspirations of a larger Delta Pacific network hinged on keeping American at bay as much as possible. Jal would have accomplished that + allow Delta/Northwest merger investment to be used more efficiently in an era increasingly reliant on JV partners. Ed Bastian was the warrior behind t...

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by gaystudpilot
Sun Sep 13, 2020 9:53 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: WN Kelly seems to think change fee elimination won't help the legacy carriers
Replies: 77
Views: 8119

Re: WN Kelly seems to think change fee elimination won't help the legacy carriers

I’m sure folks in revenue management would balk and argue about the instability and unpredictability this would create in projecting and protecting revenue... the industry still operates based on dated paradigms. Easy, airlines would go out of business. I could book 140 seats and never show up and ...

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by gaystudpilot
Sun Sep 13, 2020 9:44 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: WN Kelly seems to think change fee elimination won't help the legacy carriers
Replies: 77
Views: 8119

Re: WN Kelly seems to think change fee elimination won't help the legacy carriers

SW isn’t a low fare carrier but they have brilliant marketing and you think they are a low fare carrier. Laughable. SW is government owned and mostly flies intra-Africa. But @reltney is an expert with an impressive pedigree: I have worked in the airlines as a pilot for 30 years And 4 years in manag...

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by gaystudpilot
Sun Sep 13, 2020 9:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL/NW Merger....12 Years Later
Replies: 120
Views: 15108

Re: DL/NW Merger....12 Years Later

Agree that it was a well executed integration from many perspectives. I also believe DL did a tremendous job building the brand post integration. I would, however, be curious to read the merger business case presented to the DL BOD, specifically regarding the TPAC network, market share and revenue ...

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by gaystudpilot
Sun Sep 13, 2020 2:29 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Pt2: Southwest CEO Kelly, "If things don't improve, this cannot continue"
Replies: 114
Views: 13077

Re: Pt2: SouthWest CEO Kelly, "If things don't improve, this cannot continue"

STATUS was what multiplied business travel many fold. We need to show this customer how important he is by spending a day in his office with 6 of our people, meanwhile the customer is thinking "How did I get into this". Now that it is acceptable to teleport the work vs be there, teleporti...

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by gaystudpilot
Sat Sep 12, 2020 6:38 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: WN Kelly seems to think change fee elimination won't help the legacy carriers
Replies: 77
Views: 8119

Re: WN Kelly seems to think change fee elimination won't help the legacy carriers

Change fees were rolled out in the days of paper tickets. Airlines we’re struggling with costs in a newly deregulated environment and with new or expanding airlines like WN who had simpler business models and much lower costs. The change fees were to (at least partially) offset the frontline and bac...

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by gaystudpilot
Tue Sep 08, 2020 1:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier
Replies: 2164
Views: 380662

Re: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier

This topic is very frustrating. I have watched over the many weeks and the content does not align with the title. There is really no significant discussion about what Delta may look like in 2022 or beyond. There is a lot of arguing that things will be normal in Jan 2021 and everything is coming bac...

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by gaystudpilot
Tue Sep 01, 2020 5:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL/NW Merger....12 Years Later
Replies: 120
Views: 15108

Re: DL/NW Merger....12 Years Later

Agree that it was a well executed integration from many perspectives. I also believe DL did a tremendous job building the brand post integration. I would, however, be curious to read the merger business case presented to the DL BOD, specifically regarding the TPAC network, market share and revenue p...

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by gaystudpilot
Mon Aug 31, 2020 6:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United B763 7+ hours in a high-altitude holding pattern
Replies: 20
Views: 6872

Re: United B763 7+ hours in a high-altitude holding pattern

Testing out the new, improved Polaris Bloody Mary cart service.

:D

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by gaystudpilot
Sat Aug 29, 2020 6:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American to cut 19,000 jobs in October
Replies: 121
Views: 19358

Re: American to cut 19,000 jobs in October

Thank You! Sticking with it. :) That is fine...just label it as your prediction. Nothing more, nothing less. Neither pessimistic nor overly optimistic given the pandemic and recession twofer. And grounded in what others in the industry, with more data and who sit on a different perch, believe — all...

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by gaystudpilot
Sat Aug 29, 2020 3:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American to cut 19,000 jobs in October
Replies: 121
Views: 19358

Re: American to cut 19,000 jobs in October

jfklganyc wrote:
32andBelow wrote:
gaystudpilot wrote:

The US airline industry will be *lucky* to see 75% of pre-Covid/recession demand by 2024.

No one has any idea what 2024 is going to be like. It could be 50% or the busiest year ever.


Thank You!


Sticking with it. :)

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by gaystudpilot
Sat Aug 29, 2020 12:55 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American to cut 19,000 jobs in October
Replies: 121
Views: 19358

Re: American to cut 19,000 jobs in October

The thing about Doug is that he is willing to say anything just to keep things moving forward. I don't understand how back in May and June you go from a stance of "we are going to do everything in our power to avoid having to involuntarily furlough anyone" to "we are overstaffed in s...

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by gaystudpilot
Fri Aug 07, 2020 5:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest cutting back on aircraft cleaning for Covid
Replies: 83
Views: 14086

Re: Southwest cutting back on aircraft cleaning for Covid

Agree that there is a lot of cleaning theatre going on — and not just airlines. We haven’t heard evidence of infection acquisition from surface contact. We are being asked to do three things: 1. Wear a mask 2. Socially distance 3. Wash hands frequently and thoroughly In the beginning there were stor...

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by gaystudpilot
Fri Aug 07, 2020 6:44 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: QANTAS to park most of the 787 fleet
Replies: 86
Views: 29590

Re: QANTAS to mothball most of the 787 fleet

The airline industry will be lucky if demand returns to 75% of pre-Covid levels by 2024. The tentacles into related industries are vast and the economic impact will be huge. QANTAS and others are smart to hunker down for the long term. As demand returns it will not be a quick rebound and airlines wi...

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by gaystudpilot
Wed Aug 05, 2020 1:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Virgin Atlantic creditors aprove restructuring; (files for BK in US Court)
Replies: 1516
Views: 183544

Re: Updated: Virgin Atlantic seeks restructuring; files for BK in US Court

I hope that they will recover and go back to normal, I don't want to see Virgin Atlantic gone, I think they can do it, I am sure they will recover. It makes me sad to see all these airlines in bankrupt and all that stuffs. The industry will be lucky if demand returns to 75% of pre-US recession, pre...

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by gaystudpilot
Wed Aug 05, 2020 1:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Virgin Atlantic creditors aprove restructuring; (files for BK in US Court)
Replies: 1516
Views: 183544

Re: Updated: Virgin Atlantic seeks restructuring; files for BK in US Court

It is interesting to read all the opinions from "this is a move in the US to get one creditor on-board with a recovery plan" to "they're doomed". I guess it is fair to say they have filed for bankruptcy protection in the US, because that's exactly what they've done. What it mean...

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by gaystudpilot
Sat Aug 01, 2020 5:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier
Replies: 2164
Views: 380662

Re: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier

*If* AA+AS+oneworld are successful in SEA, I do not see a scenario where DL could successfully operate a hub in SEA. Delta could cut bait and focus TPAC elsewhere. A strategy for DL could be not having a “primary TPAC gateway.” The US airline industry will be lucky to return to 75% of pre-recession...

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by gaystudpilot
Thu Jul 30, 2020 12:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier
Replies: 2164
Views: 380662

Re: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier

I'd argue that means they still see some long term benefit (read profitability) from the SEA hub, and maybe it wasn't doing as badly as a.net lore likes to claim it was before COVID-19... If DL saw no future chance of profitability at SEA, why would they need to try to defend their gate share there...

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by gaystudpilot
Thu Jul 23, 2020 9:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: American Airlines Business & Finance Discussion
Replies: 355
Views: 66648

Re: Updated: American Airlines Business & Finance Discussion

AA and B6 discussing a slot swap between JFK and LGA....with AA giving up some slots at LGA to B6 in exchange for B6 slots at JFK. Interesting....I see these two fumbling toward a merger in 2-5 years. AA+AS+B6 by 2024. And, no, the DOJ will not present many challenges other than a few divestitures....

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by gaystudpilot
Sat Jul 18, 2020 8:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership
Replies: 323
Views: 41323

Re: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership

B752OS wrote:
Someone should post a simple tl:dr of what this agreement actually means. A lot of confusion it seems.


There is less confusion than speculation.

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by gaystudpilot
Sat Jul 18, 2020 6:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership
Replies: 323
Views: 41323

Re: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership

DL’s strategy seemed interesting with the potential for success. Their risk assessments obviously included regional and country geopolitical scenarios. I wonder if a global pandemic that would bring the global aviation sector to near collapse was a risk factor and how it was weighted. (Probably the...

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by gaystudpilot
Sat Jul 18, 2020 5:20 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Most obvious way to significantly cut boarding time
Replies: 45
Views: 5621

Re: Most obvious way to significantly cut boarding time

1. Airlines learned that the boarding process can be a revenue stream and this overrode a desire for efficiency 2. Each system/method assumes a) all passengers are at the gate and ready to board; and b) passengers will follow their assigned boarding order. These are faulty assumptions so most airlin...

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by gaystudpilot
Sat Jul 18, 2020 4:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership
Replies: 323
Views: 41323

Re: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership

Agree. I’m getting ahead. Now: AA<->AS and AA<->B6 (within legal parameters) Next: AA<->AS<->B6<->AA (within legal parameters) Eventually: AA+AS+B6 (single entity) So your assumption is that long-term this will result in a three-way merger between AA, AS, and B6? Because shy of that, there are no l...

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by gaystudpilot
Sat Jul 18, 2020 3:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership
Replies: 323
Views: 41323

Re: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership

All this talk of merger makes my head spin. I’m just hoping all the airlines are flying by this time next year. They won’t be. Too much capacity/assets/infrastructure chasing too little demand. The industry will be lucky if it returns to 75% of pre-2020 levels by 2024. Hence another round of consol...

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by gaystudpilot
Fri Jul 17, 2020 6:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership
Replies: 323
Views: 41323

Re: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership

So if AA/AS/B6 merge, that would mean DL/UA would likely merge as well. Then the US would have two mega legacies and a bunch of LCC/ULCC’s. Not sure if that would be good or bad The two partnerships (AA+AS and AA+B6) will likely lead to additional partnerships to protect market share. If AA, AS and...

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by gaystudpilot
Fri Jul 17, 2020 6:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership
Replies: 323
Views: 41323

Re: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership

I realize the rules are going to change dramatically during and after COVID, but won't AA + AS + B6 still be far too large to be approved as a merger? To compete with that domestically, you would almost need to see UA and DL merge, and possibly see WN merge with two or more LCCs (now that's a scary...

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by gaystudpilot
Fri Jul 17, 2020 6:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership
Replies: 323
Views: 41323

Re: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership

So your assumption is that long-term this will result in a three-way merger between AA, AS, and B6? Because shy of that, there are no legal parameters which allow for any sort of pricing or schedule coordination between any of the three carriers and pilot scope clauses are going to make even codesh...

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by gaystudpilot
Fri Jul 17, 2020 5:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership
Replies: 323
Views: 41323

Re: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership

But there is no AA+AS+B6 partnership. There is an AA+AS partnership which serves the purpose of SEA feed to AA INTL, and then there is a separate AA+B6 partnership, which serves the different purpose of an NYC presence. On top of that, all three of those mentioned carriers are still competitors , f...

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by gaystudpilot
Fri Jul 17, 2020 9:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: BA fleet parking, will retire 747 fleet
Replies: 350
Views: 87522

Re: Updated: BA fleet parking, will retire 747 fleet

Basically BA has given up hope on travel returning to normal until 2022 at least. That said, what are the odds that the A388 at BA returns to service? I would say about 20-25 percent at best...and then the B772 (GE ER fleet) will have to soldier on a bit longer. The industry will be lucky if it ret...

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by gaystudpilot
Fri Jul 17, 2020 5:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership
Replies: 323
Views: 41323

Re: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership

AA and B6 are so polar opposite with just about everything. AA soft product sucks and they gleefully keep making it worse. B6 about the best there is. Agree. AA has been leading the race to the bottom for years. What a tarnished brand. AS and B6 try to differentiate themselves by being better. I su...

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by gaystudpilot
Fri Jul 17, 2020 5:21 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership
Replies: 323
Views: 41323

Re: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership

It's kind of ironic. Half of a.net still doesn't get how dire a financial situation the airlines are in. They still want mega mergers, dog fights, and flying prestige routes. The reality is airlines are working together for survival. Pretty much the opposite of what a.net wants the airlines are all...

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by gaystudpilot
Fri Jul 17, 2020 5:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership
Replies: 323
Views: 41323

Re: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership

It is not an interline agreement! What are we talking about on here? Does anyone read a press release? My God! It is a domestic codeshare. It is a big deal. A very big deal. Read, then post. Again, read, then post. Still no pricing coordination Still no schedule coordination Still no supply chain o...

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by gaystudpilot
Thu Jul 16, 2020 11:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership
Replies: 323
Views: 41323

Re: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership

This sets the stage for the eventual next round of consolidation in the industry. -AA+AS+B6 The question then being, who acquires who? Does AS pull off a HP-style takeover of AA? And B6 is forced to come along for the ride or be left out of the party? I’m sure there are multiple scenarios and strat...

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by gaystudpilot
Thu Jul 16, 2020 8:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership
Replies: 323
Views: 41323

Re: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership

Barron's has an article questioning if this is the beginning phases of what could be an AA/B6 merger, down the road, but quickly pivots to UA being a better fit for B6, going on to say UA would get access to JFK in a meaningful way, and B6 could rationalize EWR. I don't see either happening in the ...

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by gaystudpilot
Thu Jul 16, 2020 8:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership
Replies: 323
Views: 41323

Re: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership

This sets the stage for the eventual next round of consolidation in the industry. -AA+AS+B6 -DL+UA -WN -F9 -G4 -HA -NK To obtain real value AA, AS and B6 will have to coordinate schedules and pricing. US antitrust laws prevent them from doing so. This “partnership” will play out as an interim step w...

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by gaystudpilot
Thu Jul 16, 2020 7:53 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta airlines Q2 2020 earnings thread
Replies: 128
Views: 14759

Re: DAL Q2 2020 earnings thread

2-3 years recovery time...then facing a huge debt load. Seems the industry will be changing real fast in the coming years with new hungry startups filling the capacity voids of legacy pull-backs and the legacies thinking of how to bring value to their shareholders in this new reality. Seems like th...

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by gaystudpilot
Tue Jul 14, 2020 11:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta airlines Q2 2020 earnings thread
Replies: 128
Views: 14759

Re: DAL Q2 2020 earnings thread

2-3 years recovery time...then facing a huge debt load. Seems the industry will be changing real fast in the coming years with new hungry startups filling the capacity voids of legacy pull-backs and the legacies thinking of how to bring value to their shareholders in this new reality. Seems like th...

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by gaystudpilot
Tue Jul 14, 2020 9:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier
Replies: 2164
Views: 380662

Re: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier

It's going to be interesting to see if and when Delta rationalizes their network to optimize efficiency. Going forward there is not going to be enough people flying to fly 3 or 4 flights a day into 3 or 4 hubs. I still see one of the hubs getting greatly downsized but we won't see that until Octobe...

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by gaystudpilot
Tue Jul 14, 2020 9:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Virgin Atlantic creditors aprove restructuring; (files for BK in US Court)
Replies: 1516
Views: 183544

Re: Virgin Atlantic secures rescue package

Glad to hear a package has been put together that staves off an imminent collapse. Along with the other measures recently taken such as closing LGW, immediately retiring the 747’s and the sad loss of jobs, I am hopeful this will see them through until things pick up again. The next unknown besides ...

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by gaystudpilot
Mon Jul 13, 2020 8:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier
Replies: 2164
Views: 380662

Re: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier

Keep in mind a lot of work related trips are going to cut because economy is not going to do very well coming out of this. The impact of millions of permanent job losses will be felt. Certain long haul travels that used to get easily approved will now need higher level approval for economic reasons...

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by gaystudpilot
Sun Jul 12, 2020 8:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta 1990s International Cabin Configurations
Replies: 13
Views: 2023

Re: Delta 1990s International Cabin Configurations

On the A310-200, how did the F and J seats differ? They are both in 2-2-2 configuration (except for the closet in F). Was there greater seat pitch in F? Or were they identical and service was the differentiator?

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by gaystudpilot
Tue Jul 07, 2020 6:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Time For Delta To Consider New Airline Partners?
Replies: 85
Views: 12462

Re: Time For Delta To Consider New Airline Partners?

strfyr51 wrote:






'




















?


What’s your point with this?

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by gaystudpilot
Sun Jul 05, 2020 10:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Time For Delta To Consider New Airline Partners?
Replies: 85
Views: 12462

Re: Time For Delta To Consider New Airline Partners?

Delta was last to the game when the three major alliances were being formed. Delta was a very different airline in 1997 when Star Alliance was formed. Those airlines left, including Delta, had been picked over twice. Would Delta prefer partners that would be a better strategic and more profitable fi...

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by gaystudpilot
Wed Jul 01, 2020 10:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Network Thread - 2020
Replies: 1724
Views: 237357

Re: American adds more Asia to SEA, and other long-haul changes

It is all a giant chess match, and this move by AA basically solidifies the proverbial “your move, Delta.” Up until the AS to OneWorld move, Delta was winning the long term battle for SEA. Yes AS still had a much larger presence and was not going away, but Delta was quickly becoming the go-to airli...

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by gaystudpilot
Mon Jun 29, 2020 6:12 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Name change for John Wayne Airport (SNA) ?
Replies: 84
Views: 3352

Re: Proposal to rename John Wayne Airport (SNA)

John Lennon is known for preaching peace but many over look the fact he was a terrible father which he boasted that his son Julian was the product of drunkenness and beat his wives and girlfriends. Imagine ...if the airport got renamed. John Lennon... Imagine... Thanks, now I have it in my head... ...

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by gaystudpilot
Sun Jun 28, 2020 8:25 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Name change for John Wayne Airport (SNA) ?
Replies: 84
Views: 3352

Re: Proposal to rename John Wayne Airport (SNA)

whisperjet727 wrote:
I never understood the fascination with Americans naming airports after people. Isn’t Atlanta’s airport now officially named after three people while everyone just calls it Atlanta.


Naming airports after people is not uniquely American.

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by gaystudpilot
Sun Jun 28, 2020 8:21 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Name change for John Wayne Airport (SNA) ?
Replies: 84
Views: 3352

Re: Name change for John Wayne Airport (SNA) ?

NWAESC wrote:
I know it’s beside the point here, but Does anyone actually refer to it as “John Wayne?” I think renaming it would be kind of a nonissue.


Well according to some posts above, people use it, apparently a lot.

I’m sticking with Orange County.

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by gaystudpilot
Sun Jun 28, 2020 2:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SLC Terminal Construction Updates
Replies: 209
Views: 52301

Re: SLC Terminal Construction Updates

SLC will be a really nice airport when complete. I’m always fascinated by the planning and execution of building a new terminal (and more in this case) on top of an existing, operational airport. Yes, it’s inconvenient for a few years, but it’s a fantastic feat. The thing about this project is that...

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