Search found 4753 matches

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by frmrCapCadet
Mon May 17, 2021 9:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing CEO's Comments On Their Next Airplane
Replies: 1824
Views: 186447

Re: Boeing CEO's Comments On Their Next Airplane

Back before the MAX disaster many of the respected posters on this seemed dismissive of a Boeing MOM. At the time it struck me that a 'light' 767/ modern version of an Airbus 300 would have been good for Boeing. It may not have produced a total return on investment, but it would have asserted a beli...

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by frmrCapCadet
Mon May 17, 2021 3:34 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Chips, Cars, (and even planes)
Replies: 18
Views: 695

Chips, Cars, (and even planes)

https://www.bloomberg.com/hyperdrive The above link may not be specific to the article on the big, even bigger than thought a month ago, hit automotive production is talking. Four million or so cars not manufactured, over $100 billion in missed revenue for 2021. Major consumers of chips need to be m...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sun May 16, 2021 8:53 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: US counties split 70 to 30 GDP in last election
Replies: 20
Views: 1014

Re: US counties split 70 to 30 GDP in last election

Well, keep your eyes on Austin. It is not there yet but as I report on track. It has the major U of Texas University, and headquarters for much of Texas higher education is there. Don't sell Texas short.

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by frmrCapCadet
Sun May 16, 2021 1:54 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: US counties split 70 to 30 GDP in last election
Replies: 20
Views: 1014

Re: US counties split 70 to 30 GDP in last election

Only slightly off topic. One academic wrote on this, and suggested the solution was the planned developing of more super cities throughout flyover country. I was disappointed that Amazon went looking for a 2nd headquarters and landed with two chosen, Washington DC area and NYC. I was rooting for Pit...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sat May 15, 2021 9:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus puts supply chain executive at helm of A220
Replies: 134
Views: 16476

Re: Airbus puts supply chain executive at helm of A220

A lower passenger count and 2-3 abreast seating is inherently less stress and more comfortable than 3-3. I would choose it and pay some extra to fly on the 220. (if I could tell what I were going to get if I bought a ticket). But it has got to be worrisome that the clear paths to profits and good ma...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sat May 15, 2021 1:55 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Greyhound to exit Canada
Replies: 7
Views: 641

Re: Greyhound to exit Canada

I suspect that the Canadian government is going to have to reinvent a national surface transportation system. There are likely bits and pieces of it still surviving but some sort of knitting together and subsidies could make it work. Daily passenger railroad service on existing routes, and then bus/...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sat May 15, 2021 1:34 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Aluminum Ion battery tech could change the world
Replies: 25
Views: 1216

Re: Aluminum Ion battery tech could change the world

Battery technology is leapfrogging ahead, and there are all sorts of specific technologies and materials being advanced. For the next 5(?) years it is going to be lithium (with ever decreasing amounts of cobalt) and well as some interesting uses of iron. Most people are charging at home with a level...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sat May 15, 2021 1:17 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Lack of truck drivers in USA and problems from it
Replies: 69
Views: 3610

Re: Lack of truck drivers in USA and problems from it

We had a rancher friend, also ran a bank. He would work in MacDonald's sometimes in the winter. What's a day for? For him some hard work.

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by frmrCapCadet
Fri May 14, 2021 12:33 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: US fuel pipeline cyber-attack, fuel shortages maybe
Replies: 41
Views: 1989

Re: US fuel pipeline cyber-attack, fuel shortages maybe

I think generally US authorities recommend against paying ransom, but do not (in fact cannot) forbid it.

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by frmrCapCadet
Thu May 13, 2021 2:16 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Lack of truck drivers in USA and problems from it
Replies: 69
Views: 3610

Re: Lack of truck drivers in USA and problems from it

To further trash railroads: Any number of the 'suits' at headquarters are convinced that all they need to do (exaggeration) is reduce operating ratio to less than 50, and have only one person on that 200 cars train. O yes, and send but one train a day/week whatever from point to point. Somehow it es...

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by frmrCapCadet
Wed May 12, 2021 3:04 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: US fuel pipeline cyber-attack, fuel shortages maybe
Replies: 41
Views: 1989

Re: US fuel pipeline cyber-attack, fuel shortages maybe

This is the 21st version of piracy. A combination of state violence against the perpetrators and bribes for better behavior has been the partial solution over the centuries. Were the US, EU, China, Russia and close allies to decide to put a stop to this it would greatly reduce the risk.

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by frmrCapCadet
Wed May 12, 2021 2:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus puts supply chain executive at helm of A220
Replies: 134
Views: 16476

Re: Airbus puts supply chain executive at helm of A220

Tube and wing, jets on underwing pylons have had a run for at least 70 years. Many of us are expecting different technologies will be affecting the various modes of transportation in a number of ways, esp for distances of less than 500 miles. While this will not directly challenge the 220 with its l...

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by frmrCapCadet
Tue May 11, 2021 1:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing's 737 Max has new problem that will require electrical inspection
Replies: 224
Views: 47526

Re: Boeing's 737 Max has new problem that will require electrical inspection

Back in the dark ages, say 1940s to 1970s car were typically considered old and unfixable (except by backyard mechanics - and that can be a fun topic) when they got to 75K miles, maybe a good chunk earlier. Now it is expected that any car/small truck should go at least 150K, and for really good ones...

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by frmrCapCadet
Mon May 10, 2021 1:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Jet Fuel Prices this Summer
Replies: 47
Views: 6308

Re: Jet Fuel Prices this Summer

Probably before 2026 EVs will result in 2 MBD drop in expected oil demand. I don't expect oil demand from growing economies to increase demand as much as some predicters in the industry expect. Economic output per unit of energy consumption has been increasing for decades. Short term increases in oi...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sun May 09, 2021 7:16 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: European Commission Vaccination Strategy News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 1387
Views: 75718

Re: European Commission Vaccination Strategy News and Discussion Thread

And the pity is that AZ is an OK and probably inexpensive vaccine that could save a lot of lives where the others may be too expensive. But after all the failings and bad publicity (much self induced) a lot of very low income nations will find it is politically impossible to use it.

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by frmrCapCadet
Sun May 09, 2021 1:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Jet Fuel Prices this Summer
Replies: 47
Views: 6308

Re: Jet Fuel Prices this Summer

Starting in a few years electric ground vehicles will begin to destroy demand for gasoline. That 'gas' will be available for planes. The problem, referred to in an earlier post, is that refineries will have to figure out how to make a larger ratio of aviation fuel. Personally, I have long felt that ...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sun May 09, 2021 1:03 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Your view of a pull out from Afghanistan ?
Replies: 81
Views: 5051

Re: Your view of a pull out from Afghanistan ?

https://www.nytimes.com/2009/10/18/week ... iller.html
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Had to do some creative googling, but managed to come up with an article on this, but I had read a similar story years ago. There were actually some decades when hope and advances were happening in Afghanistan.
https://www.nytimes.com/2009/10/18/week ... iller.html

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by frmrCapCadet
Sun May 09, 2021 12:53 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: CoVid Vaccine Experience
Replies: 87
Views: 5290

Re: CoVid Vaccine Experience

Not the covid vaccine, but as soon as possible after those, I got the two shingles ones. The second was a doozy, by early afternoon feelings were all gloom, doom, like I was dying. Ignored it all and went to bed an hour early, woke up long before dawn feeling great.

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by frmrCapCadet
Fri May 07, 2021 12:37 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Your view of a pull out from Afghanistan ?
Replies: 81
Views: 5051

Re: Your view of a pull out from Afghanistan ?

The international community has a responsibility to stay invested in Afghanistan. Remember what happened in Rwanda after the international community upped and left? We cannot have a repeat of that! Ofcourse, it is also unfair to suggest that the US alone should do the lifting . Afghanistan is a sha...

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by frmrCapCadet
Wed May 05, 2021 5:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 1790
Views: 232620

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

I have no doubt that a lot of business travel is essential. Nor that a lot of business travel is useful. But I do note that companies which did a lot of business travel survived a hell of a lot better than say restaurants.

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by frmrCapCadet
Wed May 05, 2021 2:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 1790
Views: 232620

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

About no one has said business travel has come to an end. But an awful lot of it was simply not economically justified. In the end the ultimate customer has to pay for it. And those ultimate customers are going to trim business travel to some degree. I would tend to go along with Gates's 50%. Those ...

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by frmrCapCadet
Tue May 04, 2021 9:47 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Amtrak turns 50
Replies: 26
Views: 1604

Re: Amtrak turns 50

Upgrading RR tracks does not just help the admittedly marginal passenger trains, it also improves freight trains economics. That freight traffic is an essential part of US transportation, and given improvements could do even better.

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by frmrCapCadet
Tue May 04, 2021 4:20 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Bill and Melinda Gates Divorcing
Replies: 56
Views: 3205

Re: Bill and Melinda Gates Divorcing

I suspect the Gates have always spent a lot on accountants and attorneys. There will likely be an uptick in the amounts but nothing spectacular.

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by frmrCapCadet
Tue May 04, 2021 3:37 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 1880
Views: 119656

Re: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

Short term side effect are only discovered by testing. The blood clotting problems with some vaccines was totally unexpected until those vaccines were very widely used. Like one case per 100K people or so. Young children are a little biologically different than teen agers, so as I understand it, if ...

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by frmrCapCadet
Tue May 04, 2021 3:32 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Empire State Building Turns 90 Years Old
Replies: 13
Views: 714

Re: Empire State Building Turns 90 Years Old

I am sure it can be found online, but the building has had a super updating in this century. An oddity: the hallways all have black ceilings, and much of the utilities/wiring run openly in that space. All painted black. It allows easy updating for all sorts of things. Also all windows were removed, ...

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by frmrCapCadet
Tue May 04, 2021 3:13 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Herd Immunity Losing Out To Vaccine Hesitation and Virus Mutation
Replies: 201
Views: 10119

Re: Herd Immunity Losing Out To Vaccine Hesitation and Virus Mutation

While I am a believer, I also fully espouse evolution in about everything that is important. Evolution is a starting point to understand how we think, how we act, how we create meaning, why politics is so hard, and even how religion arose. In the midst of a pandemic I want the best minds in science ...

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by frmrCapCadet
Tue May 04, 2021 2:55 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Amtrak turns 50
Replies: 26
Views: 1604

Re: Amtrak turns 50

AF77... Good summary. My overview: except for the Boston New York Washington service I don't see a need for much true HSR. There is a need for faster trains and more frequency. Example, there is a long run from Vancouver BC, Everett, Seattle, Tacoma etc all the way down to San Diego. It now is mostl...

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by frmrCapCadet
Mon May 03, 2021 6:54 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q2 2021
Replies: 174
Views: 11242

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q2 2021

It does seem as though the citizens could be quarantined in armed forces bases or other isolated places at minimal expense.

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by frmrCapCadet
Sun May 02, 2021 4:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Washington State Aviation Thread - 2021
Replies: 88
Views: 9499

Re: Washington State Aviation Thread - 2021

Correction, there is both a morning and evening bus Port Angeles to Bainbridge except just one on Sunday. And sprx.. , you are right, Tacoma traffic is the worst. We drive around fairly frequently and aim for the windows of close to noon, or after 8PM.

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by frmrCapCadet
Sun May 02, 2021 2:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Washington State Aviation Thread - 2021
Replies: 88
Views: 9499

Re: Washington State Aviation Thread - 2021

For those of us living on the Kitsap Peninsula driving to Port Angeles is a quick and easy trip. The problem for 'mainland' is the need to catch a ferry to Seattle which can easily add 1-3+ hours, particularly if traveling at certain times when ferries are packed, car space limited and you have to w...

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by frmrCapCadet
Fri Apr 30, 2021 4:11 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q2 2021
Replies: 174
Views: 11242

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q2 2021

I think I mentioned it before, but in February of 2020 a study came out that if people reduced their social contact by 75% the epidemic could be stopped. I don't know if that statistic would still be considered correct. We still are above the 75% reduction (plus vaccinated), and for most of the year...

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by frmrCapCadet
Fri Apr 30, 2021 3:10 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 1880
Views: 119656

Re: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

Res the town in Switzerland ramping up. Those kinds of details really flesh out what has to happen to ramp up vaccine production. I would enjoy seeing an update on that from time to time. Seattle ramped up a similar percentage 2008-2018, it is difficult, there are unexpected consequences, and what t...

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by frmrCapCadet
Fri Apr 30, 2021 2:41 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q2 2021
Replies: 174
Views: 11242

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q2 2021

For most of a year I have not worn a mask when outdoors, except on busy downtownish streets. None of the other runners or walkers did so either. We were on side streets and just kept our distance. At the track where I do sprints just about no one wore masks, again we kept our distance. If it appeare...

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by frmrCapCadet
Thu Apr 29, 2021 12:38 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Private school warning staff against vaccine.
Replies: 15
Views: 983

Re: Private school warning staff against vaccine.

And I see New Jersey and New York helping Florida stay Florida. A certain former president is planning on living in NJ short term, NY is likely to try to call for his arrest and extradite him.

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by frmrCapCadet
Wed Apr 28, 2021 6:28 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Lack of truck drivers in USA and problems from it
Replies: 69
Views: 3610

Re: Lack of truck drivers in USA and problems from it

Most of us have rightfully been angry about truly careless truckers who cause fatal accidents. But most accidents involving trucks are at least partially the fault of those driving smaller vehicles. The huge advantage of advanced auto-pilot on vehicles large and small is most of those accidents, reg...

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by frmrCapCadet
Wed Apr 28, 2021 6:16 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Indonesian Navy Submarine Missing
Replies: 37
Views: 5748

Re: Indonesian Navy Submarine Missing

'adiabatic process' sounds perfectly horrible in a collapsing sub, but how long does the collapse itself take? Both processes may be faster than nerves travel to register pain (one could hope).

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by frmrCapCadet
Wed Apr 28, 2021 2:42 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Lack of truck drivers in USA and problems from it
Replies: 69
Views: 3610

Re: Lack of truck drivers in USA and problems from it

Hope we get some good links and insight into this. It also intersects with the railroad industry. Truck driving is an inherently difficult job, and often physically debilitating. Tesla and other Full(er) Self Driving will be cranking into the industry. And as will the Teamsters Union. Another 'and',...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sun Apr 25, 2021 12:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Real Estate Sell Off in Puget Sound Region
Replies: 23
Views: 4969

Re: Boeing Real Estate Sell Off in Puget Sound Region

Washington tax base has been reduced enough that it no longer provides enough money for roads, bridges, the U of WA and etc. There are simply too many citizen who are believers in the immaculate conception of infrastructure - it doesn't need taxes, it doesn't need tolls, maybe God will provide, in a...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sat Apr 24, 2021 11:57 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Why News is Not Covered as Well and as Accurately as in Times of Yore
Replies: 22
Views: 1358

Re: Why News is Not Covered as Well and as Accurately as in Times of Yore

I started to quit watching TV news in the late 70s. (prior millennium - LOL). Still an inveterate newspaper reader (4-5 a day, sometimes more). Good news reporting is hard to find. VOX was great, but their 2 star reporters have moved on. I even miss the multiple page ads from Nordstrom, Bon Marche, ...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sat Apr 24, 2021 5:50 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Why News is Not Covered as Well and as Accurately as in Times of Yore
Replies: 22
Views: 1358

Re: Why News is Not Covered as Well and as Accurately as in Times of Yore

Luckyone - interesting link, I don't regularly read Politico (too much time online as is) And a more general comment. Wikipedia works hard at being accurate and most succeeds, but an ongoing battle. Local news blogs really need a paid editor or two, but it is difficult to come up with enough ad mone...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sat Apr 24, 2021 5:02 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Why News is Not Covered as Well and as Accurately as in Times of Yore
Replies: 22
Views: 1358

Why News is Not Covered as Well and as Accurately as in Times of Yore

https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/stopping-the-presses-again-the-story-ends-for-two-more-century-old-seattle-newspapers/ Read it and weep. Several centuries of what was part and parcel of the Enlightenment and our history is irrevocably gone. No one is really to blame, it just happens. Don't...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sat Apr 24, 2021 3:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Speculation : Airbus Response to a possible NMA-5
Replies: 151
Views: 21254

Re: Speculation : Airbus Response to a possible NMA-5

Res why the MOM gap, not a solution but a restatement. Somehow it has to do with the 'bones' of the planes. Somewhat like a 5 person sedan, a compact SUV, likewise a 7 person SUV all look alike, to the bewilderment of designers who struggle to make them look distinctive. A five abreast jet turbine b...

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by frmrCapCadet
Fri Apr 23, 2021 1:18 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: European Commission Vaccination Strategy News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 1387
Views: 75718

Re: European Commission Vaccination Strategy News and Discussion Thread

I have not seen any discussion, but are the AZ/JJ clotting problems appearing mostly in menstrual women? If this is the case girls over age 12(?) may also be vulnerable to the clotting problem. Now they are wondering if it is women 18-50, but I suspect they are also wondering about 12-50. There seem...

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by frmrCapCadet
Thu Apr 22, 2021 1:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Speculation : Airbus Response to a possible NMA-5
Replies: 151
Views: 21254

Re: Speculation : Airbus Response to a possible NMA-5

Obviously it would be a tight 8AB with no room for 9AB like the Airbus models. 210" width versus 222" of the A300? Ovoid? A320 container or new container? I'm not a fan of ovoid. You save a bit of drag but the fuselage gains weight compared to a circular fuselage. The extra weight then br...

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by frmrCapCadet
Thu Apr 22, 2021 12:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing CEO's Comments On Their Next Airplane
Replies: 1824
Views: 186447

Re: Boeing CEO's Comments On Their Next Airplane

China's total balance of trade is not really a problem. It is less than 1% of their BDP. The US and EU may be negative, but not all of the rest of the world. China had a total export of 2,494,230,194.97 in thousands of US$ and total imports of 2,134,982,614.99 in thousands of US$ leading to a positi...

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by frmrCapCadet
Wed Apr 21, 2021 1:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: CEO Boeing: “We want to get back to a dividend policy”
Replies: 24
Views: 6437

Re: CEO Boeing: “We want to get back to a dividend policy”

Maybe Boeing is planning on becoming a defense company who also happens to make a few commercial jets. For those of us who have certain feelings about Boeing being the 'home team' a successful MOM is/was essential for the company to be an international leader in civil aviation. It doesn't have to bl...

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by frmrCapCadet
Wed Apr 21, 2021 1:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing's 737 Max has new problem that will require electrical inspection
Replies: 224
Views: 47526

Re: Boeing's 737 Max has new problem that will require electrical inspection

Failure to ground instruments, several dozen planes effectively grounded, taking two weeks to resolve the problem, and posters in effect say, 'happens all the time'. It doesn't.

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by frmrCapCadet
Tue Apr 20, 2021 8:03 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 1880
Views: 119656

Re: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

Individual human, vocational preferences, national reactions both political and scientific have always experienced peculiar sensitivities to perceived and actual risks. Behavioral scientists as much as physical scientists are needed to address this.

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by frmrCapCadet
Mon Apr 19, 2021 2:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing CEO's Comments On Their Next Airplane
Replies: 1824
Views: 186447

Re: Boeing CEO's Comments On Their Next Airplane

Airbus and Boeing do not need to each have the 'best' plane in every niche to compete. They do need, amongst the variants of each model, a number of best. A number of goods, and a few merely OKs is in fact OK. Boeing has an almost unacceptable gap between the MAX8 and the 787-9. Airbus has a gap at ...

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by frmrCapCadet
Mon Apr 19, 2021 1:34 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 1880
Views: 119656

Re: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

The main benefit of vaccines is to slow the spread
Not unrelated, but a vaccinated world will greatly reduce variants. We are not safe, until the rest of the world is safe. (of course that really is true for all of the issues facing our specie)

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