Search found 5372 matches

by frmrCapCadet
Fri May 20, 2022 1:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Makes Hostile Takeover Offer for Spirit
Replies: 352
Views: 44715

Re: JetBlue Makes Hostile Takeover Offer for Spirit

Perhaps someone could offer insights as to how Europe (plus UK?) support two evidently healthy low cost airlines, Ryan and Easy. I don't think the US has even one as healthy. F9 and NK together might be as strong. I continue to think HA, AS, and B6 should be allowed to have an alliance (not merge), ...

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by frmrCapCadet
Thu May 19, 2022 1:56 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 - Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 574
Views: 59348

Re: COVID-19 - Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

epidemiology question/observation: I check the US and Washington State statistics plus my county and Seattle on the Washington Post. I think they mostly use John Hopkins data. There seems to be a drop in hospitalization days to about I day in the hospital per 5 new cases reported. Reported cases are...

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by frmrCapCadet
Wed May 18, 2022 1:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 2584
Views: 362333

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

Most on this site are just interested in the data. We have our suspicions as to interpretation, but they remain that: suspicions. To all those credible data suppliers - thank you!

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by frmrCapCadet
Wed May 18, 2022 1:04 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Elon Musk offers to buy Twitter for $43 billion
Replies: 201
Views: 12139

Re: Elon Musk offers to buy Twitter for $43 billion

He has made, if I understand correctly three major errors in the course of this bid: 1. bought many shares and with the intention of buying more without following proper procedures. 2 He incorrectly submitted information that he was a passive buyer, not an active buyer 3 He made these offers to buyo...

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by frmrCapCadet
Mon May 16, 2022 10:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The consequences of crew and staff shortage in aviation - 2022 thread
Replies: 56
Views: 6206

Re: The consequences of crew and staff shortage in aviation - 2022 thread

Friedman was also opposed to child labor laws. I quit reading him after that. It is possible it was just a smartass comment, but one I could do without. Companies that exist only to make short term profit deserve to go out of business. I suspect Friedman would agree.

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by frmrCapCadet
Sun May 15, 2022 6:28 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Water Wars & Mega Droughts in the US Southwest
Replies: 55
Views: 2171

Re: Water Wars & Mega Droughts in the US Southwest

Farmers cannot afford real market rates for the cost of even existing irrigation. Unless those new sources are highly subsidized (mostly by people living in metro areas) there are no new large supplies of water available for farming in desert areas. The US needs to begin some farming industrial poli...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sat May 14, 2022 6:31 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Water Wars & Mega Droughts in the US Southwest
Replies: 55
Views: 2171

Re: Water Wars & Mega Droughts in the US Southwest

If you have access to the Washington Post it has a longer article today with some outstanding photography of the Colorado River and surrounding territory. It does not really have a lot of new 'wonky' information if you have been keeping up with this. But the pictures and interviews with people along...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sat May 14, 2022 4:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Airlines reaches new contract deal with pilots' union
Replies: 44
Views: 8792

Re: United Airlines reaches new contract deal with pilots' union

Scope needs to be greatly limited by law. It is a restraint on trade which is tolerated in almost no other industry. (and I am pro union - was as a kid and still am). Police, pilots, and West Coast longshore men unions have way to much power, and they abuse it. Nor do their members support other le...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sat May 14, 2022 3:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Airlines reaches new contract deal with pilots' union
Replies: 44
Views: 8792

Re: United Airlines reaches new contract deal with pilots' union

Scope needs to be greatly limited by law. It is a restraint on trade which is tolerated in almost no other industry. (and I am pro union - was as a kid and still am). Police, pilots, and West Coast longshore men unions have way to much power, and they abuse it. Nor do their members support other les...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sat May 14, 2022 2:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airline Satisfaction Survey
Replies: 33
Views: 3371

Re: Airline Satisfaction Survey

In the olden day on this site, people would complain about this or that. The insiders would tell us to shut up, only duty of airline is to get you from point A to point B, admittedly somewhat in a timely manner. Now we know that we shouldn't complain, and that getting at all from point A to point B ...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sat May 14, 2022 2:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Return of the flying Honu – ANA to relaunch Airbus A380 aircraft to Hawaii
Replies: 27
Views: 8526

Re: Return of the flying Honu – ANA to relaunch Airbus A380 aircraft to Hawaii

Can US people book flights to Japan? This could be the chance to fly in a 380 for those of us who have missed it before?

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by frmrCapCadet
Sat May 14, 2022 1:41 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Water Wars & Mega Droughts in the US Southwest
Replies: 55
Views: 2171

Re: Water Wars & Mega Droughts in the US Southwest

Short answer is obviously, "No". At this time it is not even worthy of a discussion.

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by frmrCapCadet
Fri May 13, 2022 7:49 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Water Wars & Mega Droughts in the US Southwest
Replies: 55
Views: 2171

Re: Warer Wars & Mega Droughts in the US Southwest

https://www.newyorker.com/news/dispatch/the-biggest-potential-water-disaster-in-the-united-states?utm_content=Top+news%3A&utm_source=Sightline%20Institute&utm_medium=web-email&utm_campaign=Sightline%20News%20Selections I knew California Central Valley and the Sacramento Delta was in trou...

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by frmrCapCadet
Fri May 13, 2022 7:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Civil Aviation Related *Discussion* Thread
Replies: 782
Views: 243713

Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Civil Aviation Related *Discussion* Thread

YYZ - your response is needlessly simplistic. First of all, Russia is in the medium term all but bankrupt. Second it is a sovereign country. Third leasers would have to find courts with jurisdiction who would ignore current treaties.

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by frmrCapCadet
Fri May 13, 2022 3:44 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Water Wars & Mega Droughts in the US Southwest
Replies: 55
Views: 2171

Re: Warer Wars & Mega Droughts in the US Southwest

When I was at a conference in the mountains near Las Vegas in the 1980s we had an assignment to do research for one day. I chose to organize a group to look at the Las Vegas water district's efforts even then to switch over to low water residential yards. We also were told that those extravagant loo...

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by frmrCapCadet
Fri May 13, 2022 2:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Civil Aviation Related *Discussion* Thread
Replies: 782
Views: 243713

Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Civil Aviation Related *Discussion* Thread

The policy of the US and the EU, along with aiding the Ukraine, is to coerce Russia back into some sort of normal relationship. It does not need to add the complications. Sanctions are doing their job. Whatever mutual agreement settles all of this will include just how international trade is restore...

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by frmrCapCadet
Fri May 13, 2022 1:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Russia’s UAC to begin restoration work on Il-96, Tu-204 and An-124 aircraft
Replies: 41
Views: 9025

Re: Russia’s UAC to begin restoration work on Il-96, Tu-204 and An-124 aircraft

By 2024 one could hope that Russia will have come to the conclusion that they exist on the face of the planet Earth, and like the rest of us just have to get along. I am not an economist, but I suspect that the Russian economy cannot survive without reasonable accommodations in trade with the West. ...

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by frmrCapCadet
Fri May 13, 2022 12:49 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Water Wars & Mega Droughts in the US Southwest
Replies: 55
Views: 2171

Re: Warer Wars & Mega Droughts in the US Southwest

Perhaps another title can better fit the post and link. It was, I think The New Yorker which had an article on this about a year ago. It is becoming obvious that there may be enough water for one of the two lakes. Precipitation is not expected to improve according to current climate science. All of ...

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by frmrCapCadet
Thu May 12, 2022 3:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The consequences of crew and staff shortage in aviation - 2022 thread
Replies: 56
Views: 6206

Re: The consequences of crew and staff shortage in aviation - 2022 thread

I have never understood why industry has not demanded that the government take over medical care, and possibly pensions (especially for lower paid workers). The former can be a $25+K burden for every young hiree, and pensions a burden on the back of future profits. Government does two things better ...

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by frmrCapCadet
Thu May 12, 2022 1:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Tibet Airlines A319 on fire at Chongqing
Replies: 45
Views: 10000

Re: Tibet Airlines A319 on fire at Chongqing

It is always interesting reading a post mortum on the evacuations: what went right (about everything in this case), but also what went wrong. The later because it can be instructive for crew training throughout the aviation world.

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by frmrCapCadet
Tue May 10, 2022 2:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AerCap CEO says “Boeing will Bounce Back”
Replies: 48
Views: 5929

Re: AerCap CEO says “Boeing will Bounce Back”

'Bounce' implies a certain lightness of foot and speed. Somehow not quite the right metaphor. Perhaps the Japanese Zen "Fall down seven times, get up eight: The power of Japanese resilience" is a bit more descriptive of the road ahead for Boeing.

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by frmrCapCadet
Sun May 08, 2022 12:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 2584
Views: 362333

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

Actually I see the trend continuing for high end leisure travelers to spend for premium class, given just how bad coach has become. Remember some people that make high six figures and seven figures don't regularly travel for work and for them a $2K domestic ticket is nothing. In fact, if coach pric...

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by frmrCapCadet
Fri May 06, 2022 1:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Avolon CEO says Boeing has "lost its way"
Replies: 90
Views: 15441

Re: Avolon CEO says Boeing has "lost its way"

I think this is hard for many of us, particularly those of us who grew up with Boeing as an engineering icon that we deeply respected and whose success followed on from presenting terrific products. But it's inescapable that something is now badly amiss and has been for quite some time. I don't act...

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by frmrCapCadet
Thu May 05, 2022 5:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue bids 3.6B for Spirit
Replies: 992
Views: 152497

Re: JetBlue bids 3.6B for Spirit

[i] Our Mission The mission of the FAA is to provide the safest, most efficient aerospace system in the world. The role of the FAA Airports organization in meeting this goal is to provide leadership in planning and developing a safe and efficient national airport system to satisfy the needs of avia...

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by frmrCapCadet
Thu May 05, 2022 2:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue bids 3.6B for Spirit
Replies: 992
Views: 152497

Re: JetBlue bids 3.6B for Spirit

While I probably would not choose a ULCC there is no doubt that a strong carrier operating in that niche is needed in the US. JetBlue's proposal would set back that possibility for years. I suspect that in itself would be a legitimate reason for the FAA to reject a merger that would do that. While c...

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by frmrCapCadet
Thu May 05, 2022 2:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Third 777-300ER P2F conversion launched with an order for three 777-300ERCF aircraft
Replies: 33
Views: 7379

Re: Third 777-300ER P2F conversion launched with an order for three 777-300ERCF aircraft

Only a bit off topic: res interest rates, with at 4% i a retiree could count on $300,000 giving them a thousand a month for rent. With the housing boom suddenly that rent is $2000 a month, and at 1% it takes $2 million. My point relating to aviation is that ultra low interest rates are very much a m...

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by frmrCapCadet
Thu May 05, 2022 1:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 2584
Views: 362333

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

Curious, North Dakota down almost 25%, South Dakota up 8%

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by frmrCapCadet
Wed May 04, 2022 12:34 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: What should JetBlue do now?
Replies: 82
Views: 7475

Re: What should JetBlue do now?

I have often wondered if JetBlue and Alaska could simply be allowed to optimize their two networks without breaking monopoly laws. I don't think either of them compete on any(?) routes without competition from the big 4. Even Hawaii could be encouraged to join. The 'price' they might be required to ...

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by frmrCapCadet
Mon May 02, 2022 2:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Do they exceed MTOW/TBO in less developed countries?
Replies: 21
Views: 4922

Re: Do they exceed MTOW/TBO in less developed countries?

The prevalence of overloading has much more to do with the sector of the industry than national location. Ad hoc cargo operations have notoriously thin margins, and carriers compete with one another to move as much freight as quickly as possible. One way to do that is toss caution to the wind and o...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sun May 01, 2022 10:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeings 1Q22 Earnings
Replies: 146
Views: 16521

Re: Boeings 1Q22 Earnings

Five years ago speculation that Boeing could call this far and this badly, and largely from their own mis-actions would have been considered silly and stupid. Questions about Boeing's survival five years from now are far more realistic. Some sort of buyout or drastic reorganization are not out of th...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sun May 01, 2022 3:10 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Military Aviation News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 945
Views: 125674

Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Military Aviation News and Discussion Thread

An appreciation of evolutionary ethics and psychology provides important insights. Note, evolutionary ethics ain't very nice much of the time.

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by frmrCapCadet
Sun May 01, 2022 1:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeings 1Q22 Earnings
Replies: 146
Views: 16521

Re: Boeings 1Q22 Earnings

Oil prices will be volatile for the next several years, but the trend likely is a surplus of supply willing sellers. We are living in an active war, and one which impinges existing buyers and sellers.

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by frmrCapCadet
Fri Apr 29, 2022 1:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Civil Aviation Related *Discussion* Thread
Replies: 782
Views: 243713

Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Civil Aviation Related *Discussion* Thread

Those seized planes are potential valuable assets, particularly to an almost bankrupt Russia. A further point on future negotiations, the airlines will have to provide insurance protecting Boeing and Airbus from any and all lawsuits on planes not certified for flying into the US and EU. Those Russia...

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by frmrCapCadet
Fri Apr 29, 2022 12:56 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Finland and Sweden: Together To NATO, Applying In May?
Replies: 141
Views: 9774

Re: Finland and Sweden: Together To NATO, Applying In May?

I always thought Russia had a case for the former SSRs as well as Finland and Sweden not joining NATO. Gorbachev thought the same. But, Mr Putin, you are no Gorbachev. It is increasingly clear that Putin has wished war on the world. The world will respond.

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by frmrCapCadet
Thu Apr 28, 2022 5:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeings 1Q22 Earnings
Replies: 146
Views: 16521

Re: Boeings 1Q22 Earnings

Boeing's Y2 and Airbus's counter with the 350 (and to a much lesser degree the 330neo) have been wildly successful in defining the niches above the NBs. Barring some sort of technological marvel Y3 seems now to be a null niche, apart from not all that many 777Xs.

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by frmrCapCadet
Thu Apr 28, 2022 2:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Civil Aviation Related *Discussion* Thread
Replies: 782
Views: 243713

Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Civil Aviation Related *Discussion* Thread

Russian Airlines will be negotiating intensively after the Ukraine War is settled. This likely will entail Russia, the EU, and the US governments as well. The world economy needs to incorporate all sorts of countries and their government many of whom are perfectly horrible. But they are there, and ...

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by frmrCapCadet
Thu Apr 28, 2022 2:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeings 1Q22 Earnings
Replies: 146
Views: 16521

Re: Boeings 1Q22 Earnings

Hemingway's often quoted line “How did you go bankrupt?" Two ways. Gradually, then suddenly.” Boeing has not had a good year since October of 2018, This October will mark the 4th bad year for Boeing. The next two years will be difficult - I am not sure China is recoverable for a variety of reas...

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by frmrCapCadet
Wed Apr 27, 2022 9:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeings 1Q22 Earnings
Replies: 146
Views: 16521

Re: Boeings 1Q22 Earnings

Has anyone done a back of the envelope of what shape Boeing could be in when the sell those some 400 planes already produced? I don't know how many bad quarters the company can continue to post and still survive.

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by frmrCapCadet
Wed Apr 27, 2022 6:04 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: The GOP has decided to punish free speech
Replies: 112
Views: 7208

Re: The GOP has decided to punish free speech

The governors' supporters nationwide will not be deterred that the law passed ending Disney World's status was not vetted by anyone competent to determine its consequences. Govern by tweet, govern by tantrum, govern by fiat, so long as it has a ultra rightwing flavor to it, it's just OK by them.

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by frmrCapCadet
Tue Apr 26, 2022 3:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Civil Aviation Related *Discussion* Thread
Replies: 782
Views: 243713

Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine - Civil Aviation Related *Discussion* Thread

Russian Airlines will be negotiating intensively after the Ukraine War is settled. This likely will entail Russia, the EU, and the US governments as well. The world economy needs to incorporate all sorts of countries and their government many of whom are perfectly horrible. But they are there, and w...

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by frmrCapCadet
Tue Apr 26, 2022 3:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Hawaiian Partners With Elon Musk's SpaceX Co. To Offer Free Inflight WIFI
Replies: 26
Views: 3593

Re: Hawaiian Partners With Elon Musk's SpaceX Co. To Offer Free Inflight WIFI

It seems that providing over the ocean service is using Starlink in times and places where it otherwise would be sitting idle.

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by frmrCapCadet
Tue Apr 26, 2022 1:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Amazon Fleet News and Discussion Thread - 2022
Replies: 96
Views: 18855

Re: Amazon Fleet News and Discussion Thread - 2022

When the fleet first started lots of flying some of us wrongly assumed that its primary function was to balance stock*. It wasn't and isn't, it is for carrying individual packages. Which is a very expensive way to deliver pliers and wrenches. (lots of the elements of the tool kits I gave grandkids a...

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by frmrCapCadet
Sat Apr 23, 2022 11:24 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Florida Votes to Remove Self Governing Status for Walt Disney World
Replies: 34
Views: 3203

Re: Florida Votes to Remove Self Governing Status for Walt Disney World

Those on the left have long been dubious about the Florida laws granting Disney quasi-governmental status. Disney seems not to have abused that, but still corporations should not directly exercise that sort of political power. Most of us thought it would be better for Florida and Disney to devolve t...

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by frmrCapCadet
Fri Apr 22, 2022 3:12 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q2 2022
Replies: 82
Views: 6981

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q2 2022

Here is an update on origins of the virus. What is interesting to me is that this is the first article which credibly suggests the outbreak may have begun as early as September. It also discusses at length the Chinese researcher who seems to have been the first to sequence the virus. She was effecti...

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by frmrCapCadet
Fri Apr 22, 2022 1:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Mike Tyson Punches Passenger on JetBlue Flight
Replies: 97
Views: 17128

Re: Mike Tyson Punches Passenger on JetBlue Flight

If you assault someone in the US it is legal to defend yourself, some states carry it to such extremes (stand your ground) I avoid visiting them.

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by frmrCapCadet
Thu Apr 21, 2022 1:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737 MAX 10 Development / Testing / Production Thread - 2022
Replies: 188
Views: 44919

Re: Boeing 737 MAX 10 Development / Testing / Production Thread - 2022

I don't know how Ewbank intends to circumvent the sensor issue. My guess is that CAS Lite is not a true CAS, but rather a consolidation of various alarms and warnings on a central CAS-like screen, that is hyperlinked to the quick reference manual. Currently, the crew have tablets with a menu system...

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by frmrCapCadet
Thu Apr 21, 2022 2:27 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Abortion Ban in Oklahoma Passed
Replies: 107
Views: 5490

Re: Abortion Ban in Oklahoma Passed

Documented Republican statements: Viagra for men No birth control for women No abortion for women No maternal care for women No support for children of single women. Interesting that, biology hints there is a man somewhere in the background Lets cut food stamps for children And maybe medical care wh...

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by frmrCapCadet
Wed Apr 20, 2022 9:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Fuel Hedging
Replies: 7
Views: 1943

Re: Fuel Hedging

There is a value to jet fuel suppliers to tie up prices a certain percent of their output. All of the cost of hedging may not fall upon the airline.

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by frmrCapCadet
Wed Apr 20, 2022 9:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737 MAX 10 Development / Testing / Production Thread - 2022
Replies: 188
Views: 44919

Re: Boeing 737 MAX 10 Development / Testing / Production Thread - 2022

I wouldn't read too much into this besides publicity. There is no mechanism by which people can submit engineering systems to Congress for the FAA to then enforce on a manufacturer. No mechanism? Well, that is pretty much just what has happened. Those two were pretty much invited to submit a system...

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by frmrCapCadet
Tue Apr 19, 2022 9:55 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Global Food shortage late 2022?
Replies: 40
Views: 3618

Re: Global Food shortage late 2022?

A potential food shortage and developing food security could be a unifying agreement for all of the world, even including Russia, The Ukraine, and China. I remember in the 50s/60s(?) piles of wheat and corn with no customers. We should have at least a 6 month supply of food stored to feed all of the...

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