Search found 574 matches

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by Cerecl
Fri Sep 27, 2019 12:37 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: 787-10 NG vs. A350 NEO, Which Succeeds the 777-300ER?
Replies: 126
Views: 6943

Re: 787-10 NG vs. A350 NEO, Which Succeeds the 777-300ER?

Tough to say. The Chinese carriers are pretty silent on the A350. We'll have to see what Tim Clark does with his Airbus order. It wouldn't shock me if, in the end, he just turned around and sold the frames to others in an effort to consolidate into an all-Boeing, all-GE fleet between the 78X and 77...

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by Cerecl
Tue Aug 13, 2019 3:02 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Hong Kong airport disruptions due protest
Replies: 183
Views: 33380

Re: Hong Kong airport disruptions due protest

Just playing devils advocate... This egocentric attitude is probably a reason to go big or go home. I mean, what alternatives would you suggest that would make you pay attention and not just get on your flight and leave and forget about it all with the next news cycle? When was the last time you sa...

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by Cerecl
Tue Aug 13, 2019 2:45 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Hong Kong airport disruptions due protest
Replies: 183
Views: 33380

Re: Hong Kong airport disruptions due protest

I don't understand what the protestors are trying to achieve. How does blocking check-in counters so that thousands of people can't leave help their cause? Surely a less disruptive protest would be more effective and attract more sympathy? I don't know about you guys but if I arrived at an airport a...

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by Cerecl
Tue Aug 13, 2019 2:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: CAAC issued security warning against Cathay over Hong Kong protest, ban protest-supporting staffs from flying into China
Replies: 146
Views: 22996

Re: CAAC issued security warning against Cathay over Hong Kong protest, ban protest-supporting staffs from flying into C

While what you said is true and not just for airlines but all major companies and organisations in general. There is one difference here. In the examples you have given, it would by the companies suggesting they have violated their social media policy. They are self limiting exposure of their brand...

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by Cerecl
Mon Aug 12, 2019 11:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: CAAC issued security warning against Cathay over Hong Kong protest, ban protest-supporting staffs from flying into China
Replies: 146
Views: 22996

Re: CAAC issued security warning against Cathay over Hong Kong protest, ban protest-supporting staffs from flying into C

In the recording, the captain claim the protest have been mostly peaceful so far. That's contrary to the official attribution that the protest is violent and those mobs should be put down immediately The captain also encourage passengers listen to what the protesters say. But given that China have ...

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by Cerecl
Sat Aug 10, 2019 2:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: CAAC issued security warning against Cathay over Hong Kong protest, ban protest-supporting staffs from flying into China
Replies: 146
Views: 22996

Re: CAAC issued security warning against Cathay over Hong Kong protest, ban protest-supporting staffs from flying into C

A question related to the topic: I recently came across a video clip purportedly recording a cabin announcement during a CX flight in support of the protestors in HK. The announcement itself is inoffensive and does not advocate violence. Nevertheless, what are the rules or regulations with regard to...

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by Cerecl
Sat Aug 10, 2019 12:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: CAAC issued security warning against Cathay over Hong Kong protest, ban protest-supporting staffs from flying into China
Replies: 146
Views: 22996

Re: CAAC issued security warning against Cathay over Hong Kong protest, ban protest-supporting staffs from flying into C

The more I think about this...what does HK Police info has to do with mainland China anyway? Unless PRC is admitting that Officers from Public Security Bureau had infiltrate the HKPF, as widely suspected. No need for conspiracy theory here. The HK police soccer team whose flight details were leaked...

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by Cerecl
Sat Aug 10, 2019 12:34 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Do NOT travel to Hong Kong, in particular on weekends
Replies: 182
Views: 18881

Re: Do NOT travel to Hong Kong, in particular on weekends

I'll have to find the chart, but ~60-70% of outside money going into PRC still flows through HK. Plus, where do you think those CCP officials are going to put their money? Mainland China? Macau? No, it's HK. As people said - HK had been return to China for 22 years now. Chinese economy had also bee...

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by Cerecl
Fri Aug 09, 2019 3:34 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Do NOT travel to Hong Kong, in particular on weekends
Replies: 182
Views: 18881

Re: Do NOT travel to Hong Kong, in particular on weekends

The unfortunate truth though is that Hong Kong is going to be part of the mainland in 2047 anyways, so it is only natural that the central government is going to start slowly stripping away freedoms. What you stated is a common belief and anxiety about it almost certainly contributed to the current...

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by Cerecl
Fri Aug 09, 2019 3:15 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Do NOT travel to Hong Kong, in particular on weekends
Replies: 182
Views: 18881

Re: Do NOT travel to Hong Kong, in particular on weekends

It saddens me to see what started as an protest against an unpopular law turned into this protest against everything that is not great about life in HK and both side of the conflict have become more irrational. In the end I don't see this protest solving any of the major problems facing HK, but I gu...

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by Cerecl
Fri Jul 19, 2019 2:27 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Do NOT travel to Hong Kong, in particular on weekends
Replies: 182
Views: 18881

Re: Do NOT travel to Hong Kong, in particular on weekends

Since the post only contains what Trump could have used as an argument, and that pushback against it would be unlikely if he had, but no opinion of my own, there obviously isn't any bias in that post. Let's not kid ourselves, as if Trump cares enough or is smart (or dumb?) enough to sanction China ...

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by Cerecl
Wed Jul 17, 2019 2:17 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Do NOT travel to Hong Kong, in particular on weekends
Replies: 182
Views: 18881

Re: Do NOT travel to Hong Kong, in particular on weekends

"We put an sanctions on China for what is going on in Hongkong" -> hardly anyone could argue with it "We put an sanctions on China for what is going on in Tibet" -> hardly anyone could argue with it "We put an sanctions on China for what is going on with the Uyghurs" -...

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by Cerecl
Wed Jul 17, 2019 1:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates renegotiating 777X order
Replies: 759
Views: 139867

Re: Emirates renegotiating 777X order

I am still inclined to think the 777-9 order is safe long-term. EK has 123 A380s that will eventually need replacement and the 777-9 is 25-30% smaller (depending on configuration). EK would have to see a massive traffic contraction on their A380 routes for a 777-9 to be "too big". And the...

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by Cerecl
Tue Jul 16, 2019 11:21 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates renegotiating 777X order
Replies: 759
Views: 139867

Re: Emirates renegotiating 777X order

Correct me if im wrong The strategy change is to use smaller aircrafts to operate routes currently operated by 77W (Minimum ~350 seats) and A380. Another words, a reduction of capacity on some routes. It is no longer wise to assume 777X alone will replace 77W and A380. Consequently the requirement ...

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by Cerecl
Wed Jun 26, 2019 2:49 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square
Replies: 72
Views: 3874

Re: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square

What is important is fact not opinion. What was described to.happen in the article? As for opinion, you think it is right to remove anyone who you don't like their behavior from any sort of congress that represent opinion of people? The fact is, two newly elected representatives, during a ceremony ...

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by Cerecl
Wed Jun 26, 2019 2:22 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square
Replies: 72
Views: 3874

Re: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square

In China, what happens if you burn the flag? Are you considered a patriot? Is the fact you can face prison indicate that it is an act of disloyalty? Can you actively work to unseat President Xi? Is that disloyalty? Who gets to define what a patriot is and what is being disloyal? Also remember that ...

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by Cerecl
Mon Jun 24, 2019 7:44 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square
Replies: 72
Views: 3874

Re: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square

https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/beimengfu/hong-kong-lawmaker-swears-oath-to-peoples-re-fucking-of-chin Not sure the point of this article is? We know these two were disqualified eventually. In fact this article quoted several opinions not dissimilar to what I posted. The law stated a fact, doe...

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by Cerecl
Mon Jun 24, 2019 7:28 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square
Replies: 72
Views: 3874

Re: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square

Isn't that what anyone should do/be if the nation they live in begins to abuse its powers and its people? Don't expect me to follow bad law or bad leadership. Nations need to be loyal to their people first. "Loyalty" is an often abused term much like patriot. I am no patriot, rather I lov...

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by Cerecl
Fri Jun 21, 2019 9:32 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square
Replies: 72
Views: 3874

Re: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square

If you understood anything about the Chinese history you would know that whenever the country was fragmented, war, death and famine followed-until someone unifies the country again after knocking over all other opponents after countless war death. That is a lie. It is comical that you try to defend...

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by Cerecl
Fri Jun 21, 2019 8:45 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square
Replies: 72
Views: 3874

Re: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square

as of last April i have been to China 14 times, the democratic one, and i work in IT, and since other departments source from PRC suppliers, i get to talk to lots of Chinese people all the time. After a few beers they don´t have much good to say about their "government". And you haven´t b...

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by Cerecl
Fri Jun 21, 2019 8:31 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square
Replies: 72
Views: 3874

Re: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square

But certain pro-government member of the Congress was also invalidated and they was allowed to redo the process Pretty sure there are opposition members who was invalidated then re-did the process as well (several times?). Some of them then lost a legal battle to have their position recognised. No ...

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by Cerecl
Fri Jun 21, 2019 8:02 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square
Replies: 72
Views: 3874

Re: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square

Not going to argue with someone who hasn't even been to China let alone understanding its history and why despite all these perceived evils China continues to grow economically and politically. Pretty laughable for someone who thought they are holier than thou to not comprehending the importance of...

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by Cerecl
Fri Jun 21, 2019 7:55 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square
Replies: 72
Views: 3874

Re: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square

Are you disloyal to whichever country you are a citizen of? Yes, all the time. If that is what is required. Tugg :shock: Tell us more what you meant and under what circumstance would you be disloyal to your country. By loyalty I don't mean supporting your own country's national sports teams...

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by Cerecl
Thu Jun 20, 2019 2:25 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square
Replies: 72
Views: 3874

Re: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square

I am pretty sure that is not the case and that's why they choose to challenge the legal status of the sworn procedure instead, and it's also very intentional from the government and the legislative session that allowed members from pro-government camp to redo the process while blocking those that a...

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by Cerecl
Thu Jun 20, 2019 11:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qatar speeds up A380 retirement
Replies: 94
Views: 17100

Re: Qatar speeds up A380 retirement

Replacing four narrowbody flights with a single A380 will fix their congested airspace. Such an obvious fix. The congestion in Chinese airspace is primarily due to PLA Air Force controlling much of the routes not that there are too many aircrafts. 1-2 hrs flight is not the forte of A380, it does no...

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by Cerecl
Thu Jun 20, 2019 10:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qatar speeds up A380 retirement
Replies: 94
Views: 17100

Re: Qatar speeds up A380 retirement

China should snap up all the used A380's and put them to work between their megahubs. Get 800 seats on them. Fuel burn wouldn't be an issue on short routes. Not happening. They need sort out their congested airspace first. Can you imagine the calamity of having to rebook/reschedule 800 people? I am...

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by Cerecl
Thu Jun 20, 2019 10:34 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square
Replies: 72
Views: 3874

Re: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square

Best day ever ;) Good. Tibet is occupied and there is no reason why all Crimea related sanctions should not apply to China. For HK one could argue that the PRC broke the treaty with the UK, and they should demand Hongkong to be handed back over :) So what? If a majority of Chinese didn't see the Ju...

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by Cerecl
Thu Jun 20, 2019 6:06 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square
Replies: 72
Views: 3874

Re: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square

Is it just the political freedom that is a problem in China nowadays? If you check any news about people in China complaining about different things and then get clamped down by the government, barely any of them are inherently political yet Chinese government still exert full control on those matt...

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by Cerecl
Thu Jun 20, 2019 5:58 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square
Replies: 72
Views: 3874

Re: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square

What is considered "extreme"? An ethnic Chinese people using derogatory term to refer to other Chinese people is widely recognized as an action not banned from the law of Hong Kong, not to mention they were referring to the country of People's Republic of China instead of people in it whe...

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by Cerecl
Thu Jun 20, 2019 5:33 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square
Replies: 72
Views: 3874

Re: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square

Can you imagine what an US congressman uttering "f*$%ing United States of America" or "dirty ni*&er” would do to his political career? Nothing in US law would stop them from appearing on a ballot. Would they get (re)elected? I doubt it. Oh, and where have you been in 1960s? Polit...

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by Cerecl
Thu Jun 20, 2019 5:22 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square
Replies: 72
Views: 3874

Re: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square

Can you imagine what an US congressman uttering "f*$%ing United States of America" or "dirty ni*&er” would do to his political career? Propel him to the highest office in the nation. Where have you been for the past 3-4 years? Huh? I have nothing but disdain for Trump but he has ...

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by Cerecl
Thu Jun 20, 2019 5:21 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square
Replies: 72
Views: 3874

Re: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square

In my mind that is to be left to the citizens to decide, not the state. When you allow the state to decide they use that power everywhere, normal citizens, politicians. companies, etc. That power is always best placed in the hands of the people. Tugg In general I agree. But in this case national so...

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by Cerecl
Thu Jun 20, 2019 5:12 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qatar speeds up A380 retirement
Replies: 94
Views: 17100

Re: Qatar speeds up A380 retirement

After all, if cebu can cram 460 seats in an A330neo, imagine what a 7779 could fit with some exit changes....550 or more perhaps? Qr tried and failed to copy emirates in buying large numbers of a380s and in the end couldn't keep up. Like Istanbul, Doha is a total dumping ground and people still tra...

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by Cerecl
Thu Jun 06, 2019 3:39 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square
Replies: 72
Views: 3874

Re: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square

Tell me, how is not letting an activist run for LegCo just b/c their ideal are deem "extreme" not "silencing" them? How is kicking people that were legitimately elected, by people's vote (and voice), out of LegCo just b/c they were more or less deem "not necessary" not...

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by Cerecl
Thu Jun 06, 2019 3:07 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square
Replies: 72
Views: 3874

Re: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square

You seem to imply the same in your full post but I just don’t buy it. You’re right that Chinese people are smart, they’re amongst the smartest and hardest working in the world. But it does them a great disservice to believe that they would be incapable of open dissent and full freedom of expression...

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by Cerecl
Wed Jun 05, 2019 4:51 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square
Replies: 72
Views: 3874

Re: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square

Hack, even in "free" HK, where societal problems are much deeper with an unpopular (and IMHO, totally inept) gov't, they had been able to silent the young activists, denied them representation, and just ignore any protest by playing "strongman" (or strongwoman in HK case). Well,...

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by Cerecl
Wed Jun 05, 2019 4:01 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square
Replies: 72
Views: 3874

Re: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square

It's not just economic growth. You have to keep in mind Chinese citizens are brainwashed from birth. A good number see through it at some point, but not enough to foment a revolution. So far. Again, ignorance on full show here. I just can't get over how so many genuinely believe this stuff. You mig...

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by Cerecl
Wed Jun 05, 2019 3:36 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square
Replies: 72
Views: 3874

Re: June 4th, 1989: Tiananmen Square

[Anyway, too bad Chinese forum members can’t read this thread, if they did China’s GDP might drop to 2% overnight. It’s hard to imagine much good coming from a country addicted to nothing but consumption and that doesn’t tolerate free expression or dissent, what could possibly go wrong? I can confi...

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by Cerecl
Mon Jun 03, 2019 4:40 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Donald Trump = Herbert Hoover 2.0?
Replies: 60
Views: 2699

Re: Donald Trump = Herbert Hoover 2.0?

Case in point is the media-induced hysteria about tariffs. Wow, just wow. Trump is using tariff to force a confrontation of the largest and second largest economy in the world and you think it is all hysteria?? :roll: Trump slaps a tariff on Mexico just when US-mexico trade agreement was about to b...

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by Cerecl
Mon May 27, 2019 4:23 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3768
Views: 390718

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

1) Misconception & Outright Not True: Boeing hid the MCAS system, its design functions, etc from anyone. I found this claim baffling when the Boeing itself said a description of the MCAS was not included in FCOM and it was reported the company withheld information from pilots for concern about ...

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by Cerecl
Mon Mar 11, 2019 10:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: CAAC ground all 737 MAX in China
Replies: 116
Views: 20280

Re: CAAC ground all 737 MAX in China(require confirmation)

Sorry but I don't buy that China cares about its citizens' safety. On the other hand China is trying to secure a trade deal with Trump, so I'm not sure how that plays into it. I pondered if I should reply when I saw your initial post comprised of the first sentence only. Then I saw you adding a sec...

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by Cerecl
Sat Feb 16, 2019 3:19 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus aims to reach breakeven on A350 this year
Replies: 29
Views: 4885

Re: So Airbus is losing money on every a350 sold??

WIederling wrote:
Cerecl wrote:
ADD: I have doubts that A350 will reach program break-even this year.


nobody with authority said that.

My post was a direct response to that by scbriml immediately above. Can I request you to please read the whole thread first?

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by Cerecl
Fri Feb 15, 2019 4:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus aims to reach breakeven on A350 this year
Replies: 29
Views: 4885

Re: So Airbus is losing money on every a350 sold??

In a word, No. Less than 30% of the current A350 backlog has been delivered. Barring any earth-shattering disaster the program will become cash positive on per plane basis some time this year and the overall program will be cash positive well before the entire current backlog is delivered. Put anoth...

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by Cerecl
Sun Jan 27, 2019 9:58 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: a MTOW increase on 787-10 to compete with A359?
Replies: 605
Views: 86595

Re: a MTOW increase on 787-10 to compete with A359?

If by shorthaul you mean 8 hours Well, first... yeah. That's pretty shorthaul for these types of airframes. that is roughly the mark where the 77L becomes more efficient than the 77E Based on whose numbers? As is often referenced here, DL found the 77L excels closer to the 4hr mark I guess my quest...

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by Cerecl
Sat Jan 26, 2019 12:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: a MTOW increase on 787-10 to compete with A359?
Replies: 605
Views: 86595

Re: a MTOW increase on 787-10 to compete with A359?

The odd A350-900 placement on the chart is I guess a labeling error. Transpose the positions of the A330-300 on the chart and the A350-900 and everything make sense. Not really, the chart makes little sense even if 333 and 359 positions are swapped.. Firstly, what is the "industrial average fu...

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by Cerecl
Sat Jan 05, 2019 10:16 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Sinking US aircraft carriers will resolve tension in South China Sea, says Chinese admiral
Replies: 112
Views: 7144

Re: Sinking US aircraft carriers will resolve tension in South China Sea, says Chinese admiral

As a fan of Taiwan, I find it to be one of the few good things about Trump because he doesn't seem to mind helping Taiwan (and acknowledging its existence as a separate entity from China) as long as they want to buy weapons from us, build big factories in Wisconsin, and stroke his ego. Giving furth...

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by Cerecl
Sat Jan 05, 2019 10:03 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Sinking US aircraft carriers will resolve tension in South China Sea, says Chinese admiral
Replies: 112
Views: 7144

Re: Sinking US aircraft carriers will resolve tension in South China Sea, says Chinese admiral

Getting somewhat off topic, but too bad money ultimately talks and of course, Taiwan just go back to the "PRC ass-kisser" aka KMT again. Yes, DPP is useless and corrupt, but you can also thank that PRC propaganda machine and demonized DPP (and Tsai) on all of Taiwan's woe (Most of which a...

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by Cerecl
Sat Jan 05, 2019 6:26 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Sinking US aircraft carriers will resolve tension in South China Sea, says Chinese admiral
Replies: 112
Views: 7144

Re: Sinking US aircraft carriers will resolve tension in South China Sea, says Chinese admiral

Reality check: Admiral Luo is a 69yo Rear Admiral who has not held significant commanding position in his active service career. He is a known hawk who is the former deputy head of a department of a military academy (He would have retired from admin position due to his age). Equating his position/op...

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by Cerecl
Sun Nov 25, 2018 8:24 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Taiwan election and referendum 2018
Replies: 4
Views: 760

Re: Taiwan election and referendum 2018

The "unfair advantage" argument falls apart when one considers the fact that DPP was in power during 10 of the past 18 years with that massive victory only 2 years ago. Clearly whatever advantage KMT might have counted for very little when they were emphatically voted out. In this context,...

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by Cerecl
Sun Nov 25, 2018 11:07 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Words in your language that mean completely different/gross/disgusting things in another
Replies: 90
Views: 10120

Re: Words in your language that mean completely different/gross/disgusting things in another

The word "that" (as in that man) in Mandarin, particularly when spoken quickly, sounds quite similar to "n**ger", as I found out to my astonishment when I first moved to an English-speaking country (thankfully NZ not USA!)

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