Search found 8471 matches

by PPVRA
Wed Jul 08, 2020 6:55 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: SCOTUS unanimous: electors must vote how states want them to
Replies: 51
Views: 1947

Re: SCOTUS unanimous: electors must vote how states want them to

You do realise that California is but one state out of 50, wasn't even around when the constitution was written and one person one vote is about as democratic as it gets. One state of 40m does not make a majority. If the EC is so important why even go through the pretense of having a popular vote, ...

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by PPVRA
Sun Jul 05, 2020 10:02 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Is the surge of coronavirus cases in the United States a good opportunity to test treatment candidates?
Replies: 3
Views: 446

Re: Is the surge of coronavirus cases in the United States a good opportunity to test treatment candidates?

All kinds of vaccines, from the Oxford vaccine to a Chinese one, I’m sure others too, and drugs are being tested in Brazil right now. Because we’re still in the thick of it, it makes all the sense.

I’m sure there’s still testing going on in the US.

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by PPVRA
Sat Jul 04, 2020 5:09 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020
Replies: 148
Views: 6591

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020

Individuals physically distanced before state mandates, slowing COVID-19 spread Residents in all 25 of the U.S. counties hardest hit by COVID-19 began to limit their public movements six to 29 days before states implemented stay-at-home orders, according to Johns Hopkins University researchers. http...

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by PPVRA
Thu Jul 02, 2020 1:42 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020
Replies: 148
Views: 6591

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q3 2020

You can't compare the progression of a viral outbreak in a small and extremely confined and crowded environment to its progression in society at large. In the former, it would have time to propagate much further into the population before the attenuating effects of herd immunity would be felt. Herd...

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by PPVRA
Tue Jun 23, 2020 12:21 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - June 2020
Replies: 285
Views: 16141

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - June 2020

Has a herd immunity strategy worked anywhere yet? Sweden has successfully flattened the curve. And their case fatality rates are coming down: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/coronavirus-cfr?time=2020-03-07..&country=SWE~NOR~DNK (Compare Sweden, Denmark and Norway) New daily deaths and new da...

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by PPVRA
Sun Jun 21, 2020 3:52 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - June 2020
Replies: 285
Views: 16141

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - June 2020

par13del wrote:
is there supposed to be a correlation of infected to admitted to death to recovered?


There are so many different “rates” in different countries, states, cities.... such correlations I’d guess are influenced by many different factors, from demographic to health even to social.

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by PPVRA
Sat Jun 20, 2020 1:25 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - June 2020
Replies: 285
Views: 16141

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - June 2020

Sweden has successfully flattened the curve. And their case fatality rates are coming down: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/coronavirus-cfr?time=2020-03-07..&country=SWE~NOR~DNK (Compare Sweden, Denmark and Norway) New daily deaths and new daily hospitalizations are way down from a month or ...

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by PPVRA
Sat Jun 20, 2020 1:16 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - June 2020
Replies: 285
Views: 16141

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - June 2020

tommy1808 wrote:
PPVRA wrote:
Newark727 wrote:
Has a herd immunity strategy worked anywhere yet?


Sweden has successfully flattened the curve. And their case fatality rates are coming down:



But not due to herd immunity.

Best regards
Thomas


It takes a while to get there.

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by PPVRA
Sat Jun 20, 2020 4:47 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - June 2020
Replies: 285
Views: 16141

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - June 2020

Has a herd immunity strategy worked anywhere yet? Sweden has successfully flattened the curve. And their case fatality rates are coming down: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/coronavirus-cfr?time=2020-03-07..&country=SWE~NOR~DNK (Compare Sweden, Denmark and Norway) New daily deaths and new da...

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by PPVRA
Sat Jun 20, 2020 3:56 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - June 2020
Replies: 285
Views: 16141

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - June 2020

It always seems to be all-or-nothing in this country. Either we all need to be locked-up for the greater good, or people scream about "Rights!" and refuse to social distance and wear face masks. How about the middle road? No strict lock-down, but when you do go out please social distance ...

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by PPVRA
Sat Jun 13, 2020 3:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer's has projects for a new turboprop plane [June/2020]
Replies: 127
Views: 17844

Re: Embraer's has projects for a new turboprop plane [June/2020]

Embraer absolutely could and should consider it! Even in the current situation. Perhaps an Embraer 120 NG on steroids? 30 to 50 seats would be ideal. Will never happen. Again, a small niche with small gains ... I know what you mean. However, would it not be wise to build a smaller aircraft with CFR...

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by PPVRA
Sat Jun 13, 2020 1:35 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: John Bolton Book Reveals Fractured White House Foreign Policy
Replies: 77
Views: 4374

Re: John Bolton Book Reveals Fractured White House Foreign Policy

I’d hate to give the man credit for anything, but... has Trump gotten the US involved in any new foreign military entanglements? I think not... there are so many I may be losing track... He brought us right to the edge with Iran. Pretty sure "incoming missiles to US bases" constitutes an ...

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by PPVRA
Sat Jun 13, 2020 1:29 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: The Confederate Flag - Stars & Bars and Southern heritage
Replies: 185
Views: 5931

Re: The Confederate Flag - Stars & Bars and Southern heritage

The south would have ended slavery on their own, just like every other country did, and without a war. Same with Jim Crow laws, police brutality, etc. but there would have been a time delay—history does not happen everywhere at the same time. Northern states were just as nasty towards blacks, but a...

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by PPVRA
Sat Jun 13, 2020 1:22 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: The Confederate Flag - Stars & Bars and Southern heritage
Replies: 185
Views: 5931

Re: The Confederate Flag - Stars & Bars and Southern heritage

The south would have ended slavery on their own, just like every other country did, and without a war. Same with Jim Crow laws, police brutality, etc. but there would have been a time delay—history does not happen everywhere at the same time. Northern states were just as nasty towards blacks, but a...

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by PPVRA
Sat Jun 13, 2020 1:06 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: The Confederate Flag - Stars & Bars and Southern heritage
Replies: 185
Views: 5931

Re: The Confederate Flag - Stars & Bars and Southern heritage

It's easy to glorify Lincoln or ascribe noble or ignoble intent to his actions and statements. But he is but one actor in a culmination of increasingly intensive conflict going back all the way back to 1820 (and arguably earlier). The idea of trying to distract "what the Civil War was about&qu...

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by PPVRA
Fri Jun 12, 2020 8:55 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: The Confederate Flag - Stars & Bars and Southern heritage
Replies: 185
Views: 5931

Re: The Confederate Flag - Stars & Bars and Southern heritage

It's easy to glorify Lincoln or ascribe noble or ignoble intent to his actions and statements. But he is but one actor in a culmination of increasingly intensive conflict going back all the way back to 1820 (and arguably earlier). The idea of trying to distract "what the Civil War was about&qu...

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by PPVRA
Fri Jun 12, 2020 8:33 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: The Confederate Flag - Stars & Bars and Southern heritage
Replies: 185
Views: 5931

Re: The Confederate Flag - Stars & Bars and Southern heritage

Every single state banned the international slave trade before a federal law came into existence. One “exception” is South Carolina, who first banned the trade then revoked the law. Nonetheless, one exception to the general trend.

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by PPVRA
Fri Jun 12, 2020 8:19 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: The Confederate Flag - Stars & Bars and Southern heritage
Replies: 185
Views: 5931

Re: The Confederate Flag - Stars & Bars and Southern heritage

I work off the exact same facts. Lincoln fought the war to keep the union together, not to free slaves. It was his anti-secession opinion that drove him to fight, not his abolitionist views. I will disagree. Working off the exact same facts: He was leading a nation that was driving toward ending sl...

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by PPVRA
Fri Jun 12, 2020 7:27 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: The Confederate Flag - Stars & Bars and Southern heritage
Replies: 185
Views: 5931

Re: The Confederate Flag - Stars & Bars and Southern heritage

Dieuwer wrote:
So Lincoln was a bad guy.


Exactly what I did not say.

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by PPVRA
Fri Jun 12, 2020 7:10 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: The Confederate Flag - Stars & Bars and Southern heritage
Replies: 185
Views: 5931

Re: The Confederate Flag - Stars & Bars and Southern heritage

"It can all be looked up easily" is the the same rallying cry of anti-vaxxers and other folks who tend to find that the facts they seek tend not to exist in respected literature. I'm not sure what your quote is supposed to represent. It only reinforces the fact that the Civil War was abou...

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by PPVRA
Fri Jun 12, 2020 6:50 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: The Confederate Flag - Stars & Bars and Southern heritage
Replies: 185
Views: 5931

Re: The Confederate Flag - Stars & Bars and Southern heritage

It’s pointless to point to one document and state it did not include all the reasons, therefore the other reasons don’t matter. What did you expect this proclamation to be, hundreds of pages long?

The US Declaration of Independence did not go into every little grievance with Britain, either.

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by PPVRA
Fri Jun 12, 2020 6:46 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: The Confederate Flag - Stars & Bars and Southern heritage
Replies: 185
Views: 5931

Re: The Confederate Flag - Stars & Bars and Southern heritage

That is incorrect. There were a litany of reasons, all well known and can be looked up easily. “I have no purpose, directly or indirectly, to interfere with the institution of slavery where it now exists. I believe I have no lawful right to do so, and I have no inclination to do so.” Abraham Lincol...

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by PPVRA
Fri Jun 12, 2020 6:36 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: The Confederate Flag - Stars & Bars and Southern heritage
Replies: 185
Views: 5931

Re: The Confederate Flag - Stars & Bars and Southern heritage

The Civil War was 100% fought over slavery. Or, perhaps better stated, the Civil War was 100% fought over the economic interests of slavery. In the South, rich people's wealth was entirely dependent upon plantations which were perceived to be entirely dependent on low cost (read: slave) labor to be...

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by PPVRA
Fri Jun 12, 2020 6:33 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: The Confederate Flag - Stars & Bars and Southern heritage
Replies: 185
Views: 5931

Re: The Confederate Flag - Stars & Bars and Southern heritage

The south would have ended slavery on their own, just like every other country did, and without a war. Same with Jim Crow laws, police brutality, etc. but there would have been a time delay—history does not happen everywhere at the same time. Northern states were just as nasty towards blacks, but a...

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by PPVRA
Fri Jun 12, 2020 6:17 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: The Confederate Flag - Stars & Bars and Southern heritage
Replies: 185
Views: 5931

Re: The Confederate Flag - Stars & Bars and Southern heritage

Note: I do not mean these posts to take credit away from Lincoln for being an abolitionist and signing the emancipation proclamation. He deserves all that, he always was an abolitionist, but pragmatically there’s only so much he could have done.

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by PPVRA
Fri Jun 12, 2020 6:13 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: The Confederate Flag - Stars & Bars and Southern heritage
Replies: 185
Views: 5931

Re: The Confederate Flag - Stars & Bars and Southern heritage

“My paramount object in this struggle is to save the Union, and it is not either to save or to destroy slavery. If I could save the Union without freeing any slave I would do it; and if I could save it by freeing all the slaves I would do it; and if I could save it by freeing some and leaving others...

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by PPVRA
Fri Jun 12, 2020 6:08 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: The Confederate Flag - Stars & Bars and Southern heritage
Replies: 185
Views: 5931

Re: The Confederate Flag - Stars & Bars and Southern heritage

The Civil War was fought over many different reasons. It’s incorrect to resume it to only slavery. Of course, slavery is the only reason black Americans care for, and this is completely understandable from their point of view. I’d probably not give two sh!ts about the other reasons, either, if I wa...

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by PPVRA
Fri Jun 12, 2020 5:42 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: John Bolton Book Reveals Fractured White House Foreign Policy
Replies: 77
Views: 4374

Re: John Bolton Book Reveals Fractured White House Foreign Policy

I’d hate to give the man credit for anything, but... has Trump gotten the US involved in any new foreign military entanglements? I think not... there are so many I may be losing track...

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by PPVRA
Fri Jun 12, 2020 5:15 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: The Confederate Flag - Stars & Bars and Southern heritage
Replies: 185
Views: 5931

Re: The Confederate Flag - Stars & Bars and Southern heritage

Yes, and the North was a so clean, free of any racism or slavery. Do you any American history? Well, by the time the Civil War erupted, all Northern states had abolished slavery (North meaning states north of the Mason Dixon line, except MO). New states being admitted were balanced: slave state wit...

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by PPVRA
Fri Jun 12, 2020 5:05 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: The Confederate Flag - Stars & Bars and Southern heritage
Replies: 185
Views: 5931

Re: The Confederate Flag - Stars & Bars and Southern heritage

I don't revere the Confederate Battle Flag at all, but I find NASCAR's move to be a token move and nothing more. Why would they fly it in the first place? That being said, Southerners love to defend it as a symbol of Southern heritage, conveniently omitting all the reasons Southern states seceded f...

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by PPVRA
Thu Jun 11, 2020 6:42 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Minneapolis To Disband Police
Replies: 174
Views: 6502

Re: Minneapolis To Disband Police

California Ammunition Raids Put Innocent People at Risk of Police Violence The state boasts of blocking 754 illegal purchases, but it wrongly tagged 101,047 law-abiding people as prohibited. Any of them could have been targeted. “The potential for not just injustice, but tragedy, in such cases is ap...

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by PPVRA
Mon Jun 01, 2020 10:23 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Another day another police killing
Replies: 863
Views: 33935

Re: Another day another police killing

The Supreme Court Has a Chance To End Qualified Immunity and Prevent Cases Like George Floyd's The Supreme Court could announce as early as Monday that it's revisiting qualified immunity, a doctrine that shields rotten cops from civil rights lawsuits. https://reason.com/2020/05/29/the-supreme-court-...

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by PPVRA
Mon Jun 01, 2020 5:49 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Why don't more corporations support Single Payer in the US
Replies: 55
Views: 2664

Re: Why don't more corporations support Single Payer in the US

Early retirement reduces revenues for social security and health systems through lower income/payroll taxes. This adds strains to these programs who are already on unsustainable financial legs. The problem is healthcare costs. Single payer won’t do much of anything towards this, seeing as healthcare...

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by PPVRA
Sun May 24, 2020 3:59 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 118
Views: 6901

Re: COVID-19 Vaccine News and Discussion Thread

https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog ... t-covid-19
-->

Apparently melatonin may be able to help fight off the inflammation attack:

https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog ... t-covid-19

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by PPVRA
Wed May 20, 2020 2:20 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23739

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

Is it possible that a treatment drug could be widely available to the public this summer? I know that a vaccine is most likely coming only in late 2020 or early 2021. But if there is a viable cure rolled out soon (during the next few months), many of the world's industries could reopen to a close t...

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by PPVRA
Mon May 18, 2020 8:58 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23739

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

https://harvardmagazine.com/2020/05/r-nought

Somewhat alarming headline but read on. It’s pretty good info for the layman.
-->

Good article that puts epidemiological modeling and the concepts of R0 and herd immunity into perspective.

https://harvardmagazine.com/2020/05/r-nought

Somewhat alarming headline but read on. It’s pretty good info for the layman.

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by PPVRA
Sun May 17, 2020 8:31 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23739

Re: We need to reopen now!

Point 1/ Yes there are vast areas of the US where nobody has the virius, nobody knows anyone who has had it. The same can be said for where I live in Eastern Germany. Yes there are protests here, from the far left and far right. 2/ If every Govenment reacted properly to this, in a timey fashion the...

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by PPVRA
Sat May 16, 2020 1:43 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23739

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

Number of coronavirus (COVID-19) cases in Sweden in 2020, by age groups (as of May 15, 2020) https://www.statista.com/statistics/1107905/number-of-coronavirus-cases-in-sweden-by-age-groups/ A roughly even spread between those over 60 and under 60. Much better than Italy and Spain, where the majority...

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by PPVRA
Fri May 15, 2020 2:48 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23739

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

Looks like in the US, the majority of confirmed cases are in people aged less than 65 years old. See "Cases by Age": https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/cases-in-us.html This keeps hospitalization and death rates lower, while building herd immunity in the younger popula...

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by PPVRA
Thu May 14, 2020 12:39 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23739

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

Even developing countries with terrible economy and not much money manage to feed their populace during lock downs, sometimes by direct food drop off at the doorstep I’m not aware of such logistical endeavors, but it’s dubious it would work, especially in a developing country. If for no other reaso...

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by PPVRA
Thu May 14, 2020 12:10 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23739

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

funny how that works here without even stay at home orders, and without shuttering the economy, and most people still going to work every day. Of course we got masks and disinfectant everywhere, and distancing rules and what not, and didn´t have it spiral out of control in the first place..... If p...

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by PPVRA
Thu May 14, 2020 3:41 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23739

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

Looks like Spain is actually estimating 5% of people already had the disease, not 10%. First of all, that is a depressingly low number of immunity given the high death toll they’ve had. A look through their numbers on their Wikipedia response page shows a very large percentage of cases (confirmed ca...

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by PPVRA
Wed May 13, 2020 5:24 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23739

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

Spain’s population: 47 million

10% is 4.7 million

Spain Confirmed: 229,000

That’s 1 in 20 cases actually discovered.

For reference, GLOBAL confirmed cases: 4.3 million

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by PPVRA
Wed May 13, 2020 5:18 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23739

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

Here in spain they’ve tested a large group of people and the infection rate results look to be low, like less than 10%. So the talk of loads of people having it and not knowing it might not be true. According to what I’m reading, Spain has 229,000 confirmed cases. If just under 10% or so of Spain’s...

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by PPVRA
Tue May 12, 2020 10:28 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23739

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

South Korea’s Coronavirus Efforts Spark Privacy Concerns in Gay Community Responding to fresh outbreak, health officials have sought to track down thousands of Seoul nightclub patrons, many of whom fear being outed https://www.wsj.com/articles/south-koreas-coronavirus-efforts-spark-privacy-concerns-...

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by PPVRA
Tue May 12, 2020 2:26 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: U.S. Mercenaries Captured in Venezuela After Failed Coup Attempt
Replies: 89
Views: 2842

Re: U.S. Mercenaries Captured in Venezuela After Failed Coup Attempt

The old embargo argument, while a legitimate argument, has always been wrong. And this is plainly obvious to everybody in Latin America now—just look at Venezuela. Everybody knows Venezuela descended into a economic and democratic disaster by pursuing Cuban-like policies WITHOUT ever being subjected...

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by PPVRA
Tue May 12, 2020 2:20 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: U.S. Mercenaries Captured in Venezuela After Failed Coup Attempt
Replies: 89
Views: 2842

Re: U.S. Mercenaries Captured in Venezuela After Failed Coup Attempt

You know that infant mortality rates and maternal (first couple of months) mortality rates go hand in hand. Medical care in Cuba is second to none. Ask (experts) Americans, Britts, Russians and they all agree. Cuban medical care is as good as it can be. Everything else we can discuss and most of it...

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by PPVRA
Mon May 11, 2020 11:37 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23739

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

“Over the weekend, police in London said they were “losing the battle” in parks as hundreds of people ignored social distancing rules to enjoy the Bank Holiday weekend sunshine. Pictures on social media showed large groups of people sat on the grass eating pizza and drinking beer as the police looke...

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by PPVRA
Mon May 11, 2020 12:54 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 435
Views: 23739

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - May 2020

I just worrry that we will rush Phase 2 and be in even deeper trouble. I noticed today in the US as I went around that more people were out and about and there are more gatherings in driveways of people hanging out . Couple that with day cares reopening and people going back to work that probably d...

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by PPVRA
Mon May 11, 2020 12:38 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: U.S. Mercenaries Captured in Venezuela After Failed Coup Attempt
Replies: 89
Views: 2842

Re: U.S. Mercenaries Captured in Venezuela After Failed Coup Attempt

Sure. Costa Rica (twice GDP per capita as Cuba), Puerto Rico (4 times), Uruguay (3 times) and Chile (twice again). Do you understand what punching above their weight means now? Even focusing on a single metric doesn't make much of a dent of their claim to have a system with developed country outcom...

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