Fund your unfounded liabilities, California.Jump to post
India’s situation is going from bad to worse. Let’s hope the US finally gives away those extra AZ doses. Send them all to India I’d say, given they’re an important vaccine manufacturing hub for the world. Don’t want that crawling to a halt… https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/india-posts-reco...Jump to post
An easy problem to solve: pay them more. Hmmm to bad freight rail is not considered more. Sigh. Rail is important but it’s slow (stops along the way) and it’s got less capillarity to get the cargo where it needs to go. I’ve heard from an auto plant manager that rail can take a week to deliver equipm...Jump to post
https://www.dw.com/pt-br/guedes-diz-que-chin%C3%AAs-criou-o-coronav%C3%ADrus-e-desenvolveu-vacina-pior-que-a-dos-eua/a-57356927 Brazilian Minister of economy claim Chinese vaccines less effective than American while calling China invented the virus, in a meeting he didn't know would stream online. ...Jump to post
Sinovac may be 73.4% effective against transmission 5 weeks after second dose. This, per a study conducted at a Brazilian university hospital that had 20,000 workers vaccinated. Link in Portuguese only: https://www.cnnbrasil.com.br/saude/2021/04/08/coronavac-apresenta-ate-73-8-de-eficiencia-diz-est...Jump to post
Sinovac may be 73.4% effective against transmission 5 weeks after second dose. This, per a study conducted at a Brazilian university hospital that had 20,000 workers vaccinated. Link in Portuguese only: https://www.cnnbrasil.com.br/saude/2021/04/08/coronavac-apresenta-ate-73-8-de-eficiencia-diz-estu...Jump to post
It would be an interesting aircraft for South American ops: low utilization (almost exclusively red-eyes), lots of cargo, not too many pax.
But 60 frames is a lot of frames.
Excellent thread writeup on what occurred here. https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1354517067240771584.html?utm_source=fark&utm_medium=website&utm_content=link&ICID=ref_fark I missed out on the fact that at some point these hedge funds had Shorted 140% of available stock in GME. That ne...Jump to post
“Israel sees 60% drop in hospitalizations for age 60-plus 3 weeks after 1st shot”
https://www.timesofisrael.com/israel-se ... ccination/
There have been over 23 million vaccines given worldwide. Even if the vaccine is perfectly safe, some people are going to die shortly after getting it. If anyone dies as a result of taking a vaccine, then it's not "perfectly safe." However, if the risk is low, then it becomes tolerable an...Jump to post
Sinovac is 78% effective, 100% effective against severe cases.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles ... ha-reports
IMO, crude and simple works best: 1. Healthcare workers 2. Long term care residents and workers 3. 75+ 4. 65+ 5. Anybody with other ailments 6. 55+ 7. 45+ And so on. Once you reach 50% of one group, start on the next. Clearly we have vaccine hesitancy even among healthcare workers, so there’s no poi...Jump to post
Generally speaking the greatest pressure in the medical system, I think, has come from the elderly. So healthcare workers first, elderly home workers second, the residents of such homes third. Logistically you might as well just add steps two and three... probably much easier than a second visit lat...Jump to post
Across the globe, there’s a roughly 50-50 split between left and right in just about every country. There’s no reason to think any particular group, be it ethnic, race or sexual orientation, will not fall within that 50-50 split. But obviously, if you’re a party that still hangs on to anti-gay marri...Jump to post
Besides that, what’s shortened the time a lot was running the 3 different phases of the trials concurrently. I don't believe that is true. Phase 1 and 2 trials were run before phase 3 was started. We have shortened the time where we are manufacturing the vaccine before approval. “ To speed up devel...Jump to post
IIRC the immune system definitely responds to Cancer (we all have some degree of cancer cells) it just can't keep up because its the rapid replication of cells beyond what it normal. I recall that one of the ways Cancer can be detected in the body is an elevated T-cell and white blood cell level in...Jump to post
Here you can clearly see the onset of protection 11-12 days after the first shot: This graph is so impressive. After a single exposure to an antigen, we begin to see a robust antibody response at 7-14 days. This is a beautiful textbook example of this phenomenon. In fact, just by eyeballing, it app...Jump to post
Just on a national level, recent figures for the larger European countries are proportionately way below the US. UK, France, Italy have about 20% of the population of the US. Infections per day are not 20% of the US figures. Yesterday US 200,121 UK 14,717 France 3,411 Italy 13,715 Source: https://w...Jump to post
John Hopkins is still reporting lower deaths per capita in the USA than in the UK, Spain and Italy:
Americans report widespread usage of masks: “ Similarly, adults ages 65 and older (62%) along with Democrats (65%) are more likely to say they are bothered a lot when people around them do not wear masks in public. Majorities across all major demographic groups say they are not too or not at all bot...Jump to post
One might have hoped that common sense would prevail. The science behind the spread of the disease and it's capacity for both death and a tremendous drain on overstretched emergency services is hard to argue against. The most effective way to stop the disease in its tracks (pre vaccine) is to restr...Jump to post
“The dis- parate treatment is even more striking in an orange zone. While attendance at houses of worship is limited to 25 per- sons, even non-essential businesses may decide for them- selves how many persons to admit.“ https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/20pdf/20a87_4g15.pdf There’s a reason Cuom...Jump to post
There is no reason to treat them differently to secular businesses. They were treated as “non essential businesses” because they are. Don’t need to attend religious worship place to survive. Need to go to grocery store to get food to sustain life. There’s a difference. They were treated more strict...Jump to post
Point being, none of the judges are going to base their opinions on what health policy should be. When people start saying this... “ joining the conservative extremists on the court in supporting religious freedom over critical public health.orders.” ... is just wrong. The dissenting opinions acknow...Jump to post
The Supreme Court of the US just before midnight on Wednesday, 11/25 in a 5-4 emergency decision, temporally overrules public health orders of the Governor of NY State, Democrat Mario Cuomo of very necessary and special and tight (10-25 persons) restrictions on the numbers who can attend religious ...Jump to post
FGITD wrote:In what way is the US a “controlled burn”?
The current policy seems to follow the Flanders doctrine of “we’ve tried nothing, and we’re all out of ideas”
I mean it is until it's not. Up until a week and a half ago Europe was in the pits, and still is in some parts. Many areas of the US are implementing restrictions and mitigation measures, so we shall see how things play out. Hopefully it starts to bend the right way. Very true. It worries me that M...Jump to post
Formalization is also a challenge, however. You give some poor guy his documents and rights and all of a sudden he is out of compliance with all kinds of things: 1. His house is not up to code, and there’s no way he can afford to change that anytime soon. 2. Owe back taxes? Yeah forget it. 3. He’s b...Jump to post
This is a very very broad topic. The video below is the best summary of the most fundamental problem. It’s one hour long. This is from a Peruvian perspective, but it’s the same problem in Brazil and the rest of South America. The Power of the Poor - Hernando de Soto https://youtu.be/rxd55k2w6tM Ess...Jump to post
This is a very very broad topic. The video below is the best summary of the most fundamental problem. It’s one hour long.
This is from a Peruvian perspective, but it’s the same problem in Brazil and the rest of South America.
The Power of the Poor - Hernando de Soto
I think that schools in which students are obliged to wear masks are an example of the success of masks in reducing infection, IIRC New York's threshold for closing schools was when they reached 3% positive tests. I believe that is lower than the rate generally found in testing. Seems to me that th...Jump to post
Times opinion columnist Nicholas Kristof, who has won two Pulitzer Prizes and often appears on the liberal news network CNN, wrote a piece Wednesday headlined “When Trump Was Right and Many Democrats Wrong” shortly after New York City officials announced schools would be shutting down again. I thin...Jump to post
“COVID-19 reinfection unlikely for at least six months, study finds”
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-heal ... SKBN28015L
I've known 4 separate "events" of friends/family getting COVID now. In two cases, whoever caught it first spread it to the rest of the family and even extended family. The two others managed to keep it from spreading to other family members, but BOTH of them are healthcare workers. Nobody ...Jump to post
The Chicago Boys fixed Chile. Not Pinochet. It’s purely a happy coincidence that Pinochet claimed complete economic ignorance and instead allowed the Chicago Boys to fix Chile’s economy. AND the fact that the Chicago Boys were politically savvy enough to navigate a dictator’s many feelings and fears...Jump to post
It’s their private property. They make the rules, if that means you need to wear a mask, you wear a mask. Or expect to get bounced out. Oh, *now* we care about property rights and personal sovereignty? Remember 5 minutes ago when you didn't believe that? "They" (private businesses) aren't...Jump to post
ArcticSEA wrote:When I get the vaccine, and I will, my mask is coming off. Then I'll get denied entry into businesses. Then I call my lawyer.
Amazon is not a market failure. Scale alone is never sufficient to call it a negative. While Amazon has not been good for brick a mortar, that doesn’t mean it’s effects are negative in the aggregate. Amazon made my life more efficient—less time waste, less product waste (thanks to the review system...Jump to post
"Moderna’s COVID-19 Vaccine Candidate Meets its Primary Efficacy Endpoint in the First Interim Analysis of the Phase 3 COVE Study" "As more cases accrue leading up to the final analysis, the Company expects the point estimate for vaccine efficacy may change." https://investors.mo...Jump to post
Anyone notice how small the infection rate is for the placebo groups? Are you talking about the number of cases these companies were waiting for to publish preliminary results? I think those are bare minimum numbers, probably determined by some minimum statistics significance. In other words, they’...Jump to post
Amazon is not a market failure. Scale alone is never sufficient to call it a negative. While Amazon has not been good for brick a mortar, that doesn’t mean it’s effects are negative in the aggregate. Amazon made my life more efficient—less time waste, less product waste (thanks to the review system)...Jump to post
It is government that derails markets. The terms “regulation” implies rules that will yield better functioning, yet it invariably introduces dysfunction rather than stability and improvement. What brings about the initial regulation is often populism. The dysfunction introduced then leads to calls f...Jump to post
The next challenge will be convincing the Anti-Vaxers and Covid-19 deniers to get the vaxine. Luckily, as doc alluded to, with such a high level of effectivity, what the anti-vaxers do doesn't even matter to us rationals. If they want to keep getting it and dying from it, let them knock themselves ...Jump to post
Doc, thank you very much for this write up and the previous thread that detailed more of the science. All excellent information.
This is exciting stuff and I didn’t realize this also meant good news for the other prospects, which means there will be some price competition, too.