Search found 17894 matches

by lightsaber
Mon Sep 16, 2019 10:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta 757 hard landing this morning at Azores PDL
Replies: 176
Views: 54061

Re: Delta 757 hard landing this morning at Azores PDL

litz wrote:
For anyone worried about pressurization, it's currently at 28,000 feet, heading up to 38,000.

Scheduled arrival is 9:23pm ATL time.

Well, I need a serving of crow...

Lightsaber

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by lightsaber
Mon Sep 16, 2019 11:51 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Thai govt ask for airlines to utilize more widebodies at Bangkok DMK
Replies: 29
Views: 5675

Re: Thai govt ask for airlines to utilize more widebodies at Bangkok DMK

Good for Thailand that DMK used up the available slots. What are the BKK expansion plans? When does BKK add a terminal and runway?

Lightsaber

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by lightsaber
Sun Sep 15, 2019 11:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 787 Trouble in the Future?
Replies: 82
Views: 18498

Re: 787 Trouble in the Future?

It’s not the 787 that is in trouble, it is the 14 per month rate that is unsustainable, and that is not 787’s fault. This rate has served its purpose during the period, and it is now time to make a change. Not yet. They still have about a year. Let us clarify that timeline. Options and purchase rig...

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by lightsaber
Sun Sep 15, 2019 10:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta 757 hard landing this morning at Azores PDL
Replies: 176
Views: 54061

Re: Delta 757 hard landing this morning at Azores PDL

A good crew of mechanics would be able to remove the best parts of it in a week or two. Doors, avionics, actuators, engines, apu. They can be loaded into shipping containers. An excavator and truck could dispose of the aircraft into landfill in a day. Sometimes they are donated as airport fire figh...

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by lightsaber
Sun Sep 15, 2019 10:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL retiring MD-80s quickly
Replies: 59
Views: 10583

Re: DL retiring MD-80s quickly

Very good question. Perhaps Delta was granted a waiver for the MD88 subfleet until they are gone for good - end of 2020? Well, the very fact of a waiver to an operation of dozens of aircraft, this way, would be a bit disturbing. It's ADS-B, these things are smart, and allow for many improvements in...

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by lightsaber
Sun Sep 15, 2019 10:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta 757 hard landing this morning at Azores PDL
Replies: 176
Views: 54061

Re: Delta 757 hard landing this morning at Azores PDL

The cost of scrapping and parting out will not be cheap in the Azores - this is likely to make the case for a repair more compelling. A good crew of mechanics would be able to remove the best parts of it in a week or two. Doors, avionics, actuators, engines, apu. They can be loaded into shipping co...

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by lightsaber
Sun Sep 15, 2019 9:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL retiring MD-80s quickly
Replies: 59
Views: 10583

Re: DL retiring MD-80s quickly

... ADS-B is coming. That puts a damper on the MD-80 future. How many MD-80/90 are under contract for an upgrade? Lightsaber That's something I don't get, and any info is appreciated. It is understood that ADS-B is mandatory for all commercial aircraft in the US, come January 1, 2020. Now, most opi...

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by lightsaber
Sun Sep 15, 2019 9:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL retiring MD-80s quickly
Replies: 59
Views: 10583

Re: DL retiring MD-80s quickly

$8.5 million for a 319 is a lot more than $1. (Maybe you were engaging in a little playful hyperbole above.) . I said $1 more than scrap, please do not cut out important words when quoting me. I assumed people look at the aircraft value and lease threads and have an idea of used values. https://www...

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by lightsaber
Sun Sep 15, 2019 8:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus launching A220LR or XLR according to Jon Ostrower
Replies: 79
Views: 16040

Re: Airbus launching A220LR or XLR according to Jon Ostrower

The 220 is still just getting started. Imagine 5 years from now.....3 fuselage lengths and multiple weight/range versions available from 2 factories, with the 5 abeast market a virtual monopoly. Just getting started = 14 years since it was first announced? The C-series maybe. But now we're talking ...

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by lightsaber
Sun Sep 15, 2019 3:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Improvements to the Boeing 787-8
Replies: 33
Views: 11156

Re: Improvements to the Boeing 787-8

So are we confirming there is a market for the NMA? We know there is a market. It is at what price vs. capability and for Boeing to first get their house in order (deficit on engineers and engineers avoiding the program as it being run as another burn out the technical staff and if they cannot meet...

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by lightsaber
Sun Sep 15, 2019 3:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Market Surpression within Markets
Replies: 79
Views: 5058

Re: Market Surpression within Markets

I grew up in the deregulation era and I assure you I'm paying a lot more now than I was then and getting less. The only real plus today over flying in the late 70's and early 80's is the IFE everything else is a downgrade. Complete nonsense if you adjust for inflation. Please give one example. DTW-...

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by lightsaber
Sun Sep 15, 2019 3:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus launching A220LR or XLR according to Jon Ostrower
Replies: 79
Views: 16040

Re: Airbus launching A220LR or XLR according to Jon Ostrower

And to think that just a short time ago, many people were saying the 220 wasn't viable. While I see the LR/XLR as a niche product, it does help set the table for the 500, which will be launched before 31 Dec 2021 imho. The 220 is still just getting started. Imagine 5 years from now.....3 fuselage l...

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by lightsaber
Sun Sep 15, 2019 2:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Narrow Body Longhaul development thread
Replies: 80
Views: 8005

Re: Narrow Body Longhaul development thread

I disagree on narrowbody long haul mostly being on existing widebody routes. Due to the reduced costs, new routes will be tried. Look at narrowbody TCON flights. While some were widebody (LAX/SFO to BOS/JFK), most are new. E.g., LAX-BDL/TPA. With the incredibly low A220 costs, that means exciting ne...

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by lightsaber
Sun Sep 15, 2019 7:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Narrow Body Longhaul development thread
Replies: 80
Views: 8005

Re: Narrow Body Longhaul development thread

Currently the longest scheduled flights using narrow bodies for each model are: 3,641 nm Reykjavik to San Francisco | time 8:55 on a B757-200 using Icelandair 3,318 nm Montréal to Nice | time 7:25 on an A321neo using Air Transat 3,300 nm Brasília to Orlando | time 9:50 on a 737 MAX 8 using Gol Tran...

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by lightsaber
Sun Sep 15, 2019 7:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Allegiant Discussion Thread - 2019
Replies: 247
Views: 33763

Re: Allegiant Discussion Thread - 2019

Allegiant's N279NV and N280NV are also 7 year old A320s from Cebu. Fascinating. I would love to know the purchase terms. I was under the impression G4 normally bought 12+ year old aircraft to minimize purchase price , excluding the small number of A320 bought new. For the right price, why not? Alle...

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by lightsaber
Sun Sep 15, 2019 6:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL retiring MD-80s quickly
Replies: 59
Views: 10583

Re: DL retiring MD-80s quickly

Just to add I still think the 717 is on borrowed time. Once the MD88/90 are gone the 717 will start to be phased out. Many say they don't share many parts, sorry they all share a lot on the airframe side. All those special sheetmetal parts that get replaced during heavy check are going to get real ...

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by lightsaber
Sun Sep 15, 2019 3:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Allegiant Discussion Thread - 2019
Replies: 247
Views: 33763

Re: Allegiant Discussion Thread - 2019

6.8 year old Cebu Pacific A320 RP-C3271 is en route MNL-GUM-HIK-ONT-LCQ, and will re-register as N281NV. 55 x A320 on property now at Allegiant. That is interesting they were able to pick up such a young A320. I know G4 bought A319s from Cebu Pacific, have they bought other young (under 10 year) A3...

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by lightsaber
Sun Sep 15, 2019 12:12 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: KLM to replace one daily flight to BRU with Rail service
Replies: 91
Views: 10843

Re: KLM to replace one daily flight to BRU with Rail service

Not about emissions Completely about money Can't blame KLM for optimizing their operations. Even if it's indeed about money, taking one flight off the air does reduce emissions. It's a win-win situation. Although they will put another plane in their air in the freed up slot. But at least it shows i...

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by lightsaber
Sat Sep 14, 2019 11:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL retiring MD-80s quickly
Replies: 59
Views: 10583

Re: DL retiring MD-80s quickly

Currently, used A319s are sold at scrap value. Bid $1 more than the scrapyard and it is yours. 737NG values were spiked by WN's 733 retirement and then the MAX. That's an odd situation given the MAX groundings at AA and UA and their use of the type (plus by DL/AS/F9/G4/NK and many others). Are the ...

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by lightsaber
Sat Sep 14, 2019 10:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 787 Trouble in the Future?
Replies: 82
Views: 18498

Re: 787 Trouble in the Future?

There is no trouble with the 787 at a rate of 14 per month or 168 per year. Boeing does NOT need to sell 168 per year to maintain rate. It does NOT need to maintain a backlog of 500+ aircraft. If Boeing sold 120 aircraft per year for the next 10 years it will still be at rate 14 for the next 7-8 ye...

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by lightsaber
Sat Sep 14, 2019 10:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: KLM to replace one daily flight to BRU with Rail service
Replies: 91
Views: 10843

Re: KLM to replace one daily flight to BRU with Rail service

Looks like KLM was serious about its carbon emission reduction aims. It plans to reduce from five daily to four through a partner ship with NS Dutch Railways. Unless they replace the shorter/lower yielding flight with another flight. Slots are too precious to forfeit. Since it will undoubtedly be r...

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by lightsaber
Sat Sep 14, 2019 9:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL retiring MD-80s quickly
Replies: 59
Views: 10583

Re: DL retiring MD-80s quickly

I track MD-80s in service, I use a free source with a time lag and record in a spreadsheet:. https://www.airfleets.net/exploit/production-md80.htm Until 7/23/17 Delta had 181 MD-80+MD-90 (back then there were Qty 63 MD-90 and happens to be the first time I noticed a MD-90 retirement (drops to 62 re...

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by lightsaber
Sat Sep 14, 2019 8:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MD90 vs B737 Max
Replies: 49
Views: 7178

Re: MD90 vs B737 Max

Douglas sold themselves to Boeing as their products were not selling. The ND-90 has high wing loading, so is not efficient on longer missions. In effect, Douglas design strategy was optimized for lower oil prices. With the same engines, the MD-90 has significantly less range than the A329. The impro...

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by lightsaber
Sat Sep 14, 2019 8:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 3702
Views: 483475

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

Folks, this is a fact based forum. Flamebait discussion on conspiracy theory results in A vs. B discussion that is just antagonistic.

Please review the forum rules

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by lightsaber
Sat Sep 14, 2019 8:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 787-10 Missions in the transpacific market
Replies: 142
Views: 33586

Re: Boeing 787-10 Missions in the transpacific market

Anyone have any idea of UA's current cargo loads on SFO-AKL? I emphasize that in the future Air New Zealand could replace the Boeing 777-300ER with Boeing 787-10 can easily fly to SFO and LAX which are the high density destinations of the NZ route network and with the JV with United they do not nee...

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by lightsaber
Sat Sep 14, 2019 5:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA downgauges SFO-HKG and EWR-HKG
Replies: 59
Views: 10437

Re: UA downgauges SFO-HKG and EWR-HKG

Edited title for proper terminology.

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by lightsaber
Sat Sep 14, 2019 4:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL retiring MD-80s quickly
Replies: 59
Views: 10583

Re: DL retiring MD-80s quickly

In another thread it was noted DL is having to lease power by the hour engines to sustain the minimal MD-80 fleet: https://www.airliners.net/forum/viewtopic.php?f=3&t=1431205&p=21658619#p21658619 As wave46 notes, we've seen this before in the harsh airline business. What was different is AA ...

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by lightsaber
Sat Sep 14, 2019 4:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will anyone pick up AA’s retired MD80’s ?
Replies: 37
Views: 6668

Re: Will anyone pick up AA’s retired MD80’s ?

I find it facinating DL is paying power by the hour for engines to sustain the fleet of their MD-80s. The AA engines/gear/other rare parts will be salvaged. I doubt more than a handful might be put into temporary service. This tells me scavanged parts are already becoming difficult to procure at eco...

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by lightsaber
Sat Sep 14, 2019 3:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Market Surpression within Markets
Replies: 79
Views: 5058

Re: Market Surpression within Markets

Isn’t this whole thread a discussion of supply and demand? Yes! I'm glad someone brought it up. Now, there is also frequency stimulation (people are more likely to fly if convenient). Air travel is a classic example of an elastic market. Now the inflation adjusted fare is only one part of costs (ad...

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by lightsaber
Sat Sep 14, 2019 3:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL retiring MD-80s quickly
Replies: 59
Views: 10583

DL retiring MD-80s quickly

I track MD-80s in service, I use a free source with a time lag and record in a spreadsheet:. https://www.airfleets.net/exploit/production-md80.htm Until 7/23/17 Delta had 181 MD-80+MD-90 (back then there were Qty 63 MD-90 and happens to be the first time I noticed a MD-90 retirement (drops to 62 reg...

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by lightsaber
Sat Sep 14, 2019 2:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LH and the a220
Replies: 35
Views: 7130

Re: LH and the a220

At some point, LH will order the A220 for itself. They might wait for further improvements and higher output of the frames. The news about an undisclosed A220LR/XLR shows that improvements might be / are on the way. I believe LH/LH group will order far more A220s. They must be doing a demand list w...

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by lightsaber
Sat Sep 14, 2019 2:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: ​Emirates begins A380 retirements to support in-service fleet
Replies: 94
Views: 18546

Re: ​Emirates begins A380 retirements to support in-service fleet

So, is it confirmed that EEH & EEK are the two unfortunate frames that will meet a premature end ? I wouldn't say it's confirmed just yet, but most of the rumours are pointing to those two. My initial suspicions about it being EEJ were proven wrong because it returned to commercial service, pre...

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by lightsaber
Sat Sep 14, 2019 2:18 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Belgium 10 yr dry lease 2 falcon 7-x for 124 million Euros
Replies: 13
Views: 1989

Re: Belgium 10 yr dry lease 2 falcon 7-x for 124 million Euros

Corrected title to 7x of article. Moderators do not edit post content.

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by lightsaber
Sat Sep 14, 2019 2:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Indian Aviation Thread - September 2019
Replies: 195
Views: 12917

Re: Indian Aviation Thread - September 2019

India's biggest loss w.r.t global aviation (so far) - Being an Australasia-Europe stopover. How could this be true? For instance, SYD to LHR passes through China and no where through India http://www.gcmap.com/mapui?P=LHR-SYD MEL- LHR (only passes at the very edge of India's far eastern states that...

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by lightsaber
Sat Sep 14, 2019 2:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus launching A220LR or XLR according to Jon Ostrower
Replies: 79
Views: 16040

Re: Airbus launching A220LR or XLR according to Jon Ostrower

This is to bypass the JVs. Ironically, their boosting of fares creates an opportunity for Moxie and JetBlue. The A223xLR will open up say South America to the USA. Mid size cities of the EU to BOS or IAD. DUB becomes a much more viable TATL hub (with the 2nd runway too). As an analogy, when JetBlue...

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by lightsaber
Fri Sep 13, 2019 11:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A350 Production/Delivery Thread - 2019
Replies: 910
Views: 374903

Re: Airbus A350 Production/Delivery Thread - 2019

It is not unreasonable to assume that Etihad will operate those 5 A35K frames, of which the first couple are in temporary storage in Bordeaux. Why else were these aircraft painted in full EY colors? At this time I would expect EY to flip the aircraft. EY was forced to keep to the terms. As the rudd...

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by lightsaber
Fri Sep 13, 2019 10:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Improvements to the Boeing 787-8
Replies: 33
Views: 11156

Re: Improvements to the Boeing 787-8

Boeing is reducing cost and weight by reaching commonality with the 789: https://leehamnews.com/2018/04/17/boeing-to-implement-structural-design-change-in-787-8-for-production-commonality/ The 787-8 sells on cost now. The first part of this cost reduction efforts should already be in place. by next ...

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by lightsaber
Fri Sep 13, 2019 10:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus launching A220LR or XLR according to Jon Ostrower
Replies: 79
Views: 16040

Re: Airbus launching A220LR or XLR according to Jon Ostrower

Assuming this config would be more of a Y+(domestic F class) and Y. With JVs on one side or the other of the Atlantic for example, I am not sure how many city pairs we will see flown. Event A321 sized numbers will be limited. Maybe some routes with premium demand to South America. Hawaii has so muc...

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by lightsaber
Fri Sep 13, 2019 9:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus launching A220LR or XLR according to Jon Ostrower
Replies: 79
Views: 16040

Re: Airbus launching A220LR or XLR according to Jon Ostrower

Why not just wait for reengine in 2025 which should be substantial? New engine design costs billions. In general, at least a new wing to help sell the plane The NEO happened because Pratt needed a high volume launch platform. In general, one produces an engine for 15 years for the business case. En...

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by lightsaber
Fri Sep 13, 2019 8:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus launching A220LR or XLR according to Jon Ostrower
Replies: 79
Views: 16040

Re: Airbus launching A220LR or XLR according to Jon Ostrower

Correct. The number of passengers & utilization to spread out fixed & variable costs is lower, boosting CASM. For Moxy it increases operational flexibility. I don't think airbus would invest in a MTOW bump for range only. The expected payload for range "-500" would require it anyw...

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by lightsaber
Fri Sep 13, 2019 7:52 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Flying with an emotional support animal may soon get a whole lot more difficult
Replies: 60
Views: 6873

Re: Flying with an emotional support animal may soon get a whole lot more difficult

people who cannot fly without their pet shouldn't fly excepting seeing eye dogs or other actual service animals the pathology of the USA's pet fetish must be confronted Agree 100%. People are pretty spoiled these days. It is hard on the pets and hard on one's fellow passengers. But it's hard to put...

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by lightsaber
Fri Sep 13, 2019 5:50 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Flying with an emotional support animal may soon get a whole lot more difficult
Replies: 60
Views: 6873

Re: MAJOR crackdown on "Emotional Support" pets on the way

Finally. Frankly this should have been enforced from day one but that’s for another day. I pay to fly with my dog and follow all the rules. I get treated great! Yes, $250 round trip. But traveling with my pet is a luxury. I want emotional support pets to stop being a scam. Charge everyone and every...

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by lightsaber
Fri Sep 13, 2019 4:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus launching A220LR or XLR according to Jon Ostrower
Replies: 79
Views: 16040

Re: Airbus launching A220LR or XLR according to Jon Ostrower

Those are going to have to be on premium routes. Correct. The number of passengers & utilization to spread out fixed & variable costs is lower, boosting CASM. For Moxy it increases operational flexibility. I don't think airbus would invest in a MTOW bump for range only. The expected payload...

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by lightsaber
Fri Sep 13, 2019 12:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SAS 737-600 Retirement
Replies: 52
Views: 7224

Re: SAS 737-600 Retirement

I love flying the 736, but the cost per passenger versus a 738 isn't manageable. With the A220 production finally starting to accelerate, aI expect displacement quickly. How the last few survived versus the E190 smazes me. Versus the newer competition, they won't last long. Cest la vie. Seriously, t...

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by lightsaber
Fri Sep 13, 2019 1:29 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Moxy - News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 477
Views: 75488

Re: Moxy - News and Discussion Thread

How much is due to GE financing the A220s? https://www.bloomberg.com/amp/news/articles/2019-09-12/neeleman-mulls-used-embraer-jets-for-new-u-s-airline-next-year I know GE financed quite a few E-Jets. This could be a multitude of factors. Moxy will be talked to. Does anyone have an idea how many of t...

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by lightsaber
Fri Sep 13, 2019 12:19 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Moxy - News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 477
Views: 75488

Re: Moxy - News and Discussion Thread

Where exactly is he getting these pilots from to launch earlier? The airline will post reqs and pilots will have to decide if they want to join an airline where they will be Captain in a year (or less). Many pilots will be hired straight in a Captains, of course. Considering how many pilots with AT...

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by lightsaber
Thu Sep 12, 2019 11:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Dubai World Central (DWC) expansion officially halted
Replies: 204
Views: 27598

Re: Dubai World Central (DWC) expansion officially halted

Huh... I was wrong. EK is expecting better profit: https://amp.thenational.ae/business/aviation/despite-brexit-uk-remains-emirates-airline-s-most-profitable-market-1.906990 Huh... I'm willing to admit when my assumptions are wrong. Lightsaber Most EK flight deck will tell you, the loads this summer...

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by lightsaber
Thu Sep 12, 2019 11:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Moxy - News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 477
Views: 75488

Re: Moxy - News and Discussion Thread

An article just landed in my inbox from Air Transport World... confirms the tweet. It's behind a pay wall so I couldn't read much of it. https://atwonline.com/airlines/neeleman-establish-another-us-airline-used-e195s That link says another AOC... Why? I am confused. The little bit implies E1-195. B...

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by lightsaber
Thu Sep 12, 2019 10:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer E2 Testing/Production Thread - 2019
Replies: 93
Views: 17581

Re: Embraer E2 Testing/Production Thread - 2019

Which MSN and line#? Airfleets hasn't updated. Last E195 in the database was added in 2015 for Azul. Planespotters.net shows it as MSN 19020018 PR-PJN https://www.planespotters.net/airframe/Embraer/E190-E2/PR-PJN-Azul-Linhas-Aereas-Brasileiras/nPlPCXWD1p From the top 5 pics. It appears to be that o...

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by lightsaber
Thu Sep 12, 2019 10:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Cathay Pacific to cut capacity
Replies: 37
Views: 11106

Re: Cathay Pacific to cut capacity

Folks this is aviation. Please take political discussion to non aviation. If it is impossible to separate the two, discuss in non-aviation

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