Search found 22028 matches

by lightsaber
Wed Jun 16, 2021 1:58 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest faces another IT outage, all flights stopped.
Replies: 51
Views: 6138

Re: Southwest faces another IT outage, all flights stopped.

CALMSP wrote:
was flying through DEN on my way to GJT and every gate on C was full of WN and then I counted 27 just on the west side of the airport waiting for gates. What a mess.

Photos Please.

This is interesting...

Lightsaber

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by lightsaber
Wed Jun 16, 2021 1:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumor: Used Delta Aircraft Order
Replies: 49
Views: 6955

Re: Rumor: Used Delta Aircraft Order

Based on internal rumors and recent hints from the VP of Flight Operations, Delta could announce an aircraft order in the coming days for around 7 A350s and 27-30 used 737s. If DL has the cash on hand and the price is right, why not. As they say on wall street, buy when there's blood in the streets...

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by lightsaber
Wed Jun 16, 2021 1:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 Production/Delivery Thread - 2021
Replies: 122
Views: 36259

Re: Airbus A220 Production/Delivery Thread - 2021

Did they share the same production line? E2 re-uses the same production line as E1. All subsystems are based on already developed platforms. Economies of scale is already there. But I am going off topic here. Just saying that you might be looking at the wrong side. Very same production line for Md-...

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by lightsaber
Wed Jun 16, 2021 1:12 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Relaunch of the Dornier 328
Replies: 200
Views: 40553

Re: Relaunch of the Dornier 328

I believe there is a market for smaller than 70 seat aircraft in the US. It may only be 1/3 of what it was at it's peak, but it's there. The existing 70 seaters and downsized CRJ-550 will not survive forever. They will cycle out or aging aircraft maintenance costs will ground them. No one bought pr...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jun 15, 2021 11:20 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q2 2021
Replies: 309
Views: 20652

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q2 2021

Oh no, my relative's area had a surge in cases. Now a small area, but this might be enough to require another coronavirus ward. Was, 44 hospitizations for coronavirus yesterday, today 49 (one more out of county resident hospitalized too). It is case by case, but this might be enough to force anothe...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jun 15, 2021 11:09 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q2 2021
Replies: 309
Views: 20652

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q2 2021

Oh no, my relative's area had a surge in cases. Now a small area, but this might be enough to require another coronavirus ward. Was, 44 hospitizations for coronavirus yesterday, today 49 (one more out of county resident hospitalized too). It is case by case, but this might be enough to force another...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jun 15, 2021 11:05 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q2 2021
Replies: 309
Views: 20652

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q2 2021

Measles was worse. While one varriant, the vaccines work. We just need a high global vaccination rate. Speaking of colds (and flus), when mRNA vaccines are available, I will sign up. We could reduce infections. I expect employers to increase mandates. Lightsaber Measles is not a great comparison. F...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jun 15, 2021 10:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 Production/Delivery Thread - 2021
Replies: 122
Views: 36259

Re: Airbus A220 Production/Delivery Thread - 2021

The only issue with your comparison of the E2 with 717 is that the E2 is part of the E-Jets family, which has delivered more than 1500 units in 15 years of service. Although the brand name is E2, the project names are ERJ 190-300 (E190-E2), ERJ 190-400 (E195-E2) and ERJ 190-500 (E175-E2). This is a...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jun 15, 2021 10:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 Production/Delivery Thread - 2021
Replies: 122
Views: 36259

Re: Airbus A220 Production/Delivery Thread - 2021

How many aircraft do they plan to deliver in 2021? I'm not sure of the total, but JetBlue, Breeze, and AirFrance will all start accepting deliveries. This is the year that the A220 grows to 4 major customers! :hyper: https://simpleflying.com/air-france-a220-delivery-september-2021/ We do know produ...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jun 15, 2021 9:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates 5.5bn Loss
Replies: 45
Views: 6631

Re: Emirates 5.5bn Loss

Forbes is not kind in their reporting: https://www.forbes.com/sites/dominicdudley/2021/06/15/emirates-airline-reveals-extent-of-coronavirus-damage-to-its-business/amp/ $3.1 bn in government support which is $1.1 bn more than previously known, 88% drop in business... plus repeated reporting of number...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jun 15, 2021 9:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Pratt & Whitney - Future widebody engine?
Replies: 22
Views: 2824

Re: Pratt & Whitney - Future widebody engine?

If their GTF is truly scalable to any thrust level that could be their entry back in to the widebody market Only after all the bugs are worked out on the narrow body side of the house first and the engine matures to where the airlines are comfortable with the reliability. It took longer than plan, ...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jun 15, 2021 9:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest faces another IT outage, all flights stopped.
Replies: 51
Views: 6138

Re: Southwest faces another IT outage, all flights stopped.

2nd glitch making financial news just within last hour: https://www.msn.com/en-us/travel/news/southwest-airlines-suffers-technical-issues-for-second-straight-day/ar-AAL4RO5?ocid=BingNewsSearch Southwest Airlines said it was working Tuesday to restore normal operations after a technology-related issu...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jun 15, 2021 8:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A330neo Sales Campaigns and Prospects Thread - 2021
Replies: 127
Views: 26008

Re: Airbus A330neo Sales Campaigns and Prospects Thread - 2021

Re possible "commercial penalties" I was looking at the bigger picture in terms of guaranteed asset values, buyback support, financing, etc. Plus the residual value hit to the worldwide fleet once a type goes out of production. All of which may, as suggested, add up to a small sum. There ...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jun 15, 2021 8:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest faces another IT outage, all flights stopped.
Replies: 51
Views: 6138

Re: Southwest faces another IT outage, all flights stopped.

Flights resumed: https://www.msn.com/en-us/travel/news/southwest-airlines-operations-return-to-normal-after-tech-issue-grounded-flights-nationwide/ar-AAL41vQ?ocid=BingNewsSearch Interesting that weather information stopped them. Lightsaber As the other poster said, this is new and current. I was li...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jun 15, 2021 7:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Steven Udvar-Hazy: 737 needs replacement
Replies: 138
Views: 13434

Re: Steven Udvar-Hazy: 737 needs replacement

I think the next narrow-body from either Boeing or Airbus has to be a significant improvement. All composite, with open-rotor engines. It looks like open rotors (nee propfans) are getting interest again. That said, Boeing needs to milk the 737 cash cow for now. The 2030 timeframe will be good timin...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jun 15, 2021 6:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates 5.5bn Loss
Replies: 45
Views: 6631

Re: Emirates 5.5bn Loss

From a quick look at the financials in the annual report the net result is overwhelmingly an operating loss, not due to asset write-downs of aircraft, parts, etc. It looks like only about $128 million (AED 500 million) was from an aircraft impairment charge. So, if they're going to have a significa...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jun 15, 2021 6:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates 5.5bn Loss
Replies: 45
Views: 6631

Re: Emirates 5.5bn Loss

Please go back to my 2015 and earlier posts celibrating their business model. You would do everyone a favour if you linked to the posts in question, rather than referring to them. "Calibrating Emirates Business Model lightsaber" doesn't really find anything now. Sure here is one link, but...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jun 15, 2021 6:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest faces another IT outage, all flights stopped.
Replies: 51
Views: 6138

Re: Southwest faces another IT outage, all flights stopped.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/travel/news/s ... NewsSearch

Interesting that weather information stopped them.

Lightsaber
-->

Flights resumed:
https://www.msn.com/en-us/travel/news/s ... NewsSearch

Interesting that weather information stopped them.

Lightsaber

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by lightsaber
Tue Jun 15, 2021 5:33 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Lawsuit Against Houston Hospital Mandating Vaccine for Employees Fails
Replies: 78
Views: 2333

Re: Lawsuit Against Houston Hospital Mandating Vaccine for Employees Fails

... The vaccines have been proven safe and effective. There are 3 to choose from. The anti-vax histeria needs to end Pick one. ... I wish OSHA had mandated all essential workers be vaccinated. ... Lightsaber They are unofficially safe, officially benefits outweigh risks per EUA definition. FDA can ...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jun 15, 2021 5:19 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q2 2021
Replies: 309
Views: 20652

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q2 2021

More data on Delta, 64% more transmittable than Alpha, so the ~2.6x more transmittable than the original Wuhan variant. The chance of hospitizations keeps going up, now considered twice as likely to hospitilize. I believe that is because of all the pediatric cases, so unusual for coronavirus. https...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jun 15, 2021 5:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 Production/Delivery Thread - 2021
Replies: 122
Views: 36259

Re: Airbus A220 Production/Delivery Thread - 2021

Good news, I missed the announcement of a ramp to 6/month! https://www.compositesworld.com/news/airbus-updates-single-aisle-aircraft-production-plans- A220 Family: Currently at around rate five aircraft per month from Mirabel, Quebec and Mobile, Alabama locations, the rate is confirmed to rise to a...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jun 15, 2021 4:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates 5.5bn Loss
Replies: 45
Views: 6631

Re: Emirates 5.5bn Loss

From a quick look at the financials in the annual report the net result is overwhelmingly an operating loss, not due to asset write-downs of aircraft, parts, etc. It looks like only about $128 million (AED 500 million) was from an aircraft impairment charge. So, if they're going to have a significa...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jun 15, 2021 4:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 1898
Views: 250816

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

Here's an interesting comparison of daily COVID case counts versus TSA throughput numbers since the pandemic began. Fascinating how they are almost mirror images of one another, especially the 2021 portion of it. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5f26e1b9a201d6315c6f696c/1623014521623-6...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jun 15, 2021 3:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A350F. Airbus looking to launch: Looking for customers
Replies: 723
Views: 98557

Re: A350F. Airbus looking to launch: Looking for customers

After reading the above discussion, I understand that the A350F would have A350-1000's landing gears, wings and engines. Considering how popular the A350-1000 is, I am wondering if this freighter version is just to increase the volume (production) of the engines and landing gear. Freighters have th...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jun 15, 2021 3:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates 5.5bn Loss
Replies: 45
Views: 6631

Re: Emirates 5.5bn Loss

I have to wonder how many more A380s will be parked, along with routes moved to FZ, especially with the MAX returning. They’re an airline begging to have the B789/B78X in their fleet, which would enable a single wide body pilot group down the line. (The 777 will be needed for cargo.) It's interesti...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jun 15, 2021 3:16 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q2 2021
Replies: 309
Views: 20652

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q2 2021

More data on Delta, 64% more transmittable than Alpha, so the ~2.6x more transmittable than the original Wuhan variant. The chance of hospitizations keeps going up, now considered twice as likely to hospitilize. I believe that is because of all the pediatric cases, so unusual for coronavirus. https:...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jun 15, 2021 2:49 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Lawsuit Against Houston Hospital Mandating Vaccine for Employees Fails
Replies: 78
Views: 2333

Re: Lawsuit Against Houston Hospital Mandating Vaccine for Employees Fails

The general public doesn't risk vulnerable people. Lightsaber Agree 100% with you, but same health care workers risked their lives when nothing was available, including PPE. Pfizer/Moderna got federal indemnity, private hospitals got liability protections under state emergency laws, but HCWs who ri...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jun 15, 2021 1:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 Production/Delivery Thread - 2021
Replies: 122
Views: 36259

Re: Airbus A220 Production/Delivery Thread - 2021

How many aircraft do they plan to deliver in 2021? I'm not sure of the total, but JetBlue, Breeze, and AirFrance will all start accepting deliveries. This is the year that the A220 grows to 4 major customers! :hyper: https://simpleflying.com/air-france-a220-delivery-september-2021/ We do know produ...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jun 15, 2021 1:05 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q2 2021
Replies: 309
Views: 20652

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q2 2021

California is reopening today: https://ktla.com/news/california/california-reopens-says-goodbye-to-nearly-all-covid-19-restrictions/amp/ Just in time for summer, California wants to send the message that life in the Golden State is getting much closer to normal. The economy is fully reopening for th...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jun 15, 2021 12:52 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Lawsuit Against Houston Hospital Mandating Vaccine for Employees Fails
Replies: 78
Views: 2333

Re: Lawsuit Against Houston Hospital Mandating Vaccine for Employees Fails

If you want to work in healthcare but don't want to get vaccinated, then go find somewhere else. There is no exact analogy so pardon me for giving an off-topic example but if FAA certifies a new type with 3 1/2 month testing, general public may fly but there will be hesitation within the aviation c...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jun 15, 2021 12:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates 5.5bn Loss
Replies: 45
Views: 6631

Re: Emirates 5.5bn Loss

This is a staggering loss. EK will have no choice but to return as many aircraft as possible. When the 777-300ERSF was launched, I thought feed stock would be dear. I no longer think that. As it is a group, catering and ground handling were also hard hit. EK wasn't the boogieman in 2019, they certai...

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by lightsaber
Tue Jun 15, 2021 2:21 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: California Defies Doom With No. 1 U.S. Economy
Replies: 58
Views: 1724

Re: California Defies Doom With No. 1 U.S. Economy

What about the debt, including the pensions? There will be interesting times ahead. California unemployment 8.3% Florida 4.8% Everyone I know with high skills is employed in California. But the high school education is suffering. This is a K recovery state and we exclude pension debt, so at some poi...

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by lightsaber
Mon Jun 14, 2021 11:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Relaunch of the Dornier 328
Replies: 200
Views: 40553

Re: Relaunch of the Dornier 328

The reference to the size of the American market was due to the fact that a whole slew of CRJ's and EMB in the US will age out soon with no identified replacement. Does any other region or single country operate as many 40 to 50 seat aircraft as the US? The rest of the world already uses ATRs and o...

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by lightsaber
Mon Jun 14, 2021 11:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 Production/Delivery Thread - 2021
Replies: 122
Views: 36259

Re: Airbus A220 Production/Delivery Thread - 2021

How many aircraft do they plan to deliver in 2021? I'm not sure of the total, but JetBlue, Breeze, and AirFrance will all start accepting deliveries. This is the year that the A220 grows to 4 major customers! :hyper: https://simpleflying.com/air-france-a220-delivery-september-2021/ We do know produ...

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by lightsaber
Mon Jun 14, 2021 7:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A350F. Airbus looking to launch: Looking for customers
Replies: 723
Views: 98557

Re: A350F. Airbus looking to launch: Looking for customers

After reading the above discussion, I understand that the A350F would have A350-1000's landing gears, wings and engines. Considering how popular the A350-1000 is, I am wondering if this freighter version is just to increase the volume (production) of the engines and landing gear. Freighters have th...

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by lightsaber
Mon Jun 14, 2021 7:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: GE, Safran announce new airliner engine for the mid 2030s
Replies: 51
Views: 5445

Re: GE, Safran announce new airliner engine for the mid 2030s

Nice to finally see how this development looks. In recent years I read about the development of these large adjusting stators. Goal is to get the swirl out of the rotor wake, which is of course a waste of energy. The stators add weight & complexity, but way less than a counter rotating fan. And...

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by lightsaber
Mon Jun 14, 2021 5:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 1898
Views: 250816

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

Calculated Risk did a nice summary of travel:
Image

We have good growth, but a lot more to go.

Lightsaber

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by lightsaber
Mon Jun 14, 2021 5:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 News and Reference Thread
Replies: 743
Views: 473077

Re: COVID-19 News and Reference Thread

https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2021 ... 4.html?m=1
-->

Cslculated risk did a nice plot of 2019 vs. 2020 vs. 2021 TSA numbers, same data, better presentation:
https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2021 ... 4.html?m=1

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by lightsaber
Mon Jun 14, 2021 3:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Steven Udvar-Hazy: 737 needs replacement
Replies: 138
Views: 13434

Re: Steven Udvar-Hazy: 737 needs replacement

Hopefully as Mr. Udvar-Hazy weighs in we're getting closer on reaching some sort of critical mass to push Boeing off of their hands. The 737 has certainly been good to Boeing, and would still sell in the absence of anything new. But it's time. Overdue. And I can only hope that what they produce wil...

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by lightsaber
Mon Jun 14, 2021 3:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: GE, Safran announce new airliner engine for the mid 2030s
Replies: 51
Views: 5445

Re: GE, Safran announce new airliner engine for the mid 2030s

What sort of performance implications would arise from adding an engine cowling around the propellers? Obviously there are a ton of open-prop aircraft flying every day but it seems like a cowling around the propellers would protect both the blades and any ground personnel around it The unducted fan...

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by lightsaber
Mon Jun 14, 2021 2:27 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q2 2021
Replies: 309
Views: 20652

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q2 2021

The Delta variant is 60% more transmissible than the Alpha (Kent) variant, new data from Public Health England (PHE) shows. (News from three days ago) https://www.itv.com/news/2021-06-11/covid-delta-variant-around-60-more-transmissible-than-alpha-kent-variant-public-health-england-data-finds Here's...

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by lightsaber
Mon Jun 14, 2021 1:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Frontier Airlines Network Thread - 2021
Replies: 140
Views: 18937

Re: Frontier Airlines Network Thread - 2021

It amazes me that Provo, Utah (via PIE) and Boise, Idaho (presumably) have a non-stop to Tampa, but Portland doesn't? These and ONT-ATL are what, at least four hour flights, no? Hey great that they’re in the market offering people what they want. I’d rather shove bamboo under my fingernails than tr...

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by lightsaber
Mon Jun 14, 2021 1:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Fleet Thread - 2021
Replies: 358
Views: 56172

Re: American Airlines Fleet Thread - 2021

https://www.dallasnews.com/business/air ... mic-began/

This will let them grow during the recovery and accept incoming aircraft.

Lightsaber
-->

While not fleet per se, AA generated positive cash in May:
https://www.dallasnews.com/business/air ... mic-began/

This will let them grow during the recovery and accept incoming aircraft.

Lightsaber

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by lightsaber
Mon Jun 14, 2021 1:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A350F. Airbus looking to launch: Looking for customers
Replies: 723
Views: 98557

Re: A350F. Airbus looking to launch: Looking for customers

Moderators do not arbitrate the facts. Post links for your opinions and never discuss other users. When I was growing up, we were taught that as soon as someone else started attacking the presenter instead of the debating the topic, that person forfeits the discussion. Please read the forum rules an...

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by lightsaber
Mon Jun 14, 2021 1:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Steven Udvar-Hazy: 737 needs replacement
Replies: 138
Views: 13434

Re: Steven Udvar-Hazy: 737 needs replacement

He’s not saying anything new though. 737 needs replacement. The question is when does it need a replacement. He needs to clarify. I think the idea that the max is a poor investment for airlines is quite a weak argument. In the same breadth he praised the aircraft. He is saying what everyone is sayi...

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by lightsaber
Mon Jun 14, 2021 4:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA Expands California->Florida (LAX-TPA/RSW, SFO-RSW)
Replies: 45
Views: 6805

Re: UA Expands California->Florida (LAX-TPA/RSW, SFO-RSW)

This is a thread on new routes, not politics. Let's discuss the routes.

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by lightsaber
Mon Jun 14, 2021 1:53 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q2 2021
Replies: 309
Views: 20652

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q2 2021

But… how many new children’s cases are happening because variants might be more contagious and affect children more seriously, and how many cases are occurring because we are no longer protecting our children the way we were up until now? With dramatically easing restrictions everywhere, I unvaccin...

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by lightsaber
Sun Jun 13, 2021 11:58 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q2 2021
Replies: 309
Views: 20652

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q2 2021

We’re going to see a higher proportion of kids being hospitalized for the delta variant, because it’s going to become the dominant strain during a time when people 12+ have been fully vaccinated. Remember that evolutionary biologists wil tell you that only a slight advantage is required to become d...

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by lightsaber
Sun Jun 13, 2021 8:51 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q2 2021
Replies: 309
Views: 20652

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q2 2021

We’re going to see a higher proportion of kids being hospitalized for the delta variant, because it’s going to become the dominant strain during a time when people 12+ have been fully vaccinated. Remember that evolutionary biologists wil tell you that only a slight advantage is required to become d...

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by lightsaber
Sun Jun 13, 2021 7:35 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q2 2021
Replies: 309
Views: 20652

Re: COVID-19 Non Aviation Thread - Q2 2021

Wait until next wave. You cannot beat a R0-6 VOC just with vaccination. Period. As some one said, CDC guidance is fan fiction based on meta analysis, not public health guidance based on detailed scientific studies. That’s a very alarmist prediction. The epidemiologists scream about the remotely pos...

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