Search found 6852 matches

by astuteman
Fri Aug 16, 2019 2:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 Developments : more of a match for A320neo than Airbus says
Replies: 301
Views: 49253

Re: Airbus A220 Developments : more of a match for A320neo than Airbus says

There's the argument that the 320 competes against the 220-500. I don't buy it. Airbus controls production and sales of the 220 and the 320 NEO families. They can optimize sales and production rates to ensure that overall profit is higher, even with the cut they might have to pay BBD. And the perfo...

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by astuteman
Thu Aug 15, 2019 5:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Qantas saying it is almost ready to select Project Sunrise aircraft
Replies: 1460
Views: 263178

Re: Updated: Qantas saying it is almost ready to select Project Sunrise aircraft

So I guess the Freighter will likely be based on the -9X instead of the -8X? Or the -8X becomes solely a Freighter once 777F orders dwindle to the point a production shift becomes viable? The 777-8 makes the most sense as a replacement for the 777 Freighter. 777 Freighter sales are still decent at ...

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by astuteman
Sun Aug 11, 2019 9:06 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: A320neo vs B737max
Replies: 61
Views: 6565

Re: A320neo vs B737max

please tell me about "max advantage on shorter routes" A poster called Mandala499 very kindly posted images of FCOM's for 737-800 (with winglets) and A320CEO ( without sharklets) on here a long time ago. They showed that the 737-800 had a slight fuel burn advantage (c.4%) at very short ra...

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by astuteman
Sun Aug 11, 2019 8:48 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: A320neo vs B737max
Replies: 61
Views: 6565

Re: A320neo vs B737max

The 737-8 can also fly further than the than the A320NEO. Between 5-10% further depending on who you ask. . can you provide any reliable data? If you look at both OEM's ACAP documents (Airbus A320NEO ACAP Feb 19 and Boeing 737MAX ACAP June 2019), they show that the inflection point on the range/pay...

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by astuteman
Sat Aug 03, 2019 3:07 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Max Engines
Replies: 30
Views: 4042

Re: Max Engines

Remarkably similar, ha ha, they are different. In fact the LEAP-1C might have made the LEAP=1A obsolete since it has a 'O' Reverser nacelle, rather than the 'C/D' nacelle found on the old LEAP-1A. -1A designed for A-320 family, -1C designed for C919. Sounds like they will not find their way onto th...

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by astuteman
Sat Aug 03, 2019 3:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Airbus plans to open new A321neo assembly line in Toulouse
Replies: 73
Views: 1858

Re: Airbus studying an A321neo line in Toulouse

Any relationship between this and the launch of the XLR? Center section of the XLR will be majorly different (pressure vessel roof over the main gear bay will need to extend back to near the aft hold door, and the two forward ACT slots in the aft hold are replaced with an integral tank). Presumably...

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by astuteman
Thu Aug 01, 2019 4:54 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Max Engines
Replies: 30
Views: 4042

Re: Max Engines

The 1B is an orphan sadly. Rgds Can you show us where the LEAP-1B is a orphan ? For if the LEAP-1B is a orphan, then so are the siblings, the LEAP-1A and -1C. Or is it just someone prattling on...... From October 2018 numbers .................................................Aircraft ..................

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by astuteman
Tue Jul 30, 2019 12:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019
Replies: 1216
Views: 165665

Re: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019

Since Boeing uses 31 inch pitch for the 737 and 767. I'd assume they are using it for the 797. This seems pretty straight forward to me. The discussion is 1 class seating. Very straight forward. One could always be ridiculous and say that Boeing used a record 26inch seat pitch when determining the ...

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by astuteman
Sat Jul 27, 2019 9:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 2310
Views: 301776

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-07-27/latest-737-max-fault-that-alarmed-test-pilots-rooted-in-software Just possible that a bit of good news has leaked out from two 'sources'. Maybe they can get it ungrounded without any hardware changes? If I was a lessor my finger would be near the c...

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by astuteman
Sat Jul 27, 2019 5:39 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Max Engines
Replies: 30
Views: 4042

Re: Max Engines

I have no doubt that the Max will fly again but none the less i find the prospect of a permanent grounding fascinating in terms of how it would be handled. There are more than 700 engines that would need to find new homes, not to mention all the other equipment that can be re-homed. But specificall...

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by astuteman
Fri Jul 26, 2019 8:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: G-XWBA - First A350 for British Airways
Replies: 112
Views: 27367

Re: G-XWBA - First A350 for British Airways

As the A350 severely lacks range will it be able to do LHR-MAD without heavy payload restrictions? Only kidding of course. Can’t wait to see the A350 with the Union Jack!!!!! :lol: I'd be surprised if it can make it all the way to Madrid to be honest. They will probably have to divert to Bilbao at ...

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by astuteman
Fri Jul 26, 2019 7:20 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019
Replies: 1216
Views: 165665

Re: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019

Thing is, the info we get from the media about what NMA is has not changed in at least a year now. It could be viewed as disinformation perhaps up to a certain point in time, but when you have people like David Neeleman, a big player in the industry and historically a big buyer of Airbus products, ...

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by astuteman
Tue Jul 23, 2019 6:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019
Replies: 1216
Views: 165665

Re: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019

https://theaircurrent.com/aircraft-development/this-is-boeings-nma/ which seems to reinforce the "small, tight 7-abreast ovoid twin aisle" which the likes of Morrisond and myself think is the only twin aisle configuration that is remotely feasible for NMA. Because if that is what you beli...

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by astuteman
Mon Jul 22, 2019 7:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019
Replies: 1216
Views: 165665

Re: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019

The product design is wrong – I think that is a mis-representation of the debate. Some people's opinions of what the product design might be are likely to be wrong – Boeing themselves are fairly tight lipped on this one. But we have posters who variously think the 797 will be:- A 787 lite A reincar...

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by astuteman
Mon Jul 22, 2019 8:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019
Replies: 1216
Views: 165665

Re: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019

The 72 Tonnes I think is an Anet creation - no one knows for sure what the OEW weight will be. If an 797-6 (only 10-20 more seats than A321 not 50) is going to be competitive with A321NEO it's going to have to weigh a lot less than 72 tonnes - which is why I keep banging on about a tight light 7W -...

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by astuteman
Mon Jul 22, 2019 7:09 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019
Replies: 1216
Views: 165665

Re: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019

I believe that there are some who don’t want Boeing to be successful. Airbus obviously doesn’t want the the NMA to be successful. The Fear, Uncertainty and Doubt (FUD) falls into a few categories: ⋅ It will be late regardless of what the actual schedule and progress is. This is part of a ...

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by astuteman
Fri Jul 19, 2019 1:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 2310
Views: 301776

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

And as a point of order, it was US contractors ability to spend the roughly 10% profit margin and cash generation virtually guaranteed on Military programmes (at least until the KC46) to underwrite their civil airliner developments that prompted the development of RLI for Airbus as a response. Rgds...

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by astuteman
Fri Jul 19, 2019 12:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 2310
Views: 301776

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

Someone asked in another post if Boeing could simply "move" money from the defense/space division to the commercial division to cover the writeoff. The answer would likely be "No". Furthermore, Boeing is still writing off cost overruns caused by the troubled, KC-46 tanker progra...

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by astuteman
Wed Jul 17, 2019 4:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019
Replies: 1216
Views: 165665

Re: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019

I think that something not getting enough attention is Boeing's goal for a leap in manufacturing efficiency with the NMA. It's not a question of if a 7W fuselage will be more efficient than a 6W with a wide aisle. The question is, can Boeing get the manufacturing costs low enough to be able to sell...

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by astuteman
Tue Jul 16, 2019 8:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019
Replies: 1216
Views: 165665

Re: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019

And that makes the business case problematic. Does Boeing really need another plane to kill the A330NEO for good or should the 787 not do exactly that? And if you look at the limited sales of the A330NEO would the large MoM not only eat into 787 sales? The business case isn't problematic though. It...

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by astuteman
Sun Jul 14, 2019 8:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019
Replies: 1216
Views: 165665

Re: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019

I still think tight 8-across is too big for the goals of the programme - it replicates the 767 that no-one has bought in pax form for heaven only knows how long, You actually just proved my argument. 8ab on the 797 replicates the A330 that killed the 7ab 767. I don't think I did. The 767 is a tight...

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by astuteman
Sun Jul 14, 2019 8:20 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019
Replies: 1216
Views: 165665

Re: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019

There's something badly wrong though if a plane that's 40% heavier than the XLR, and purpose designed only carries 20% more passengers less distance. The -6's range has to be a minimum of 5 000Nm in my book . If it doesn't outrange the XLR then it does not have a bright future. Previous articles ha...

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by astuteman
Sun Jul 14, 2019 6:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019
Replies: 1216
Views: 165665

Re: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019

The smallest 797 model is approx 20% bigger than the A321 and the largest 797 is approx 40% bigger. Just clearing this up again. So what am I missing? In the article linked they quote:- The Boeing 797 numbers are with a two class cabin you are comparing them to a single class cabin on the A321. Boe...

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by astuteman
Sat Jul 13, 2019 6:09 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019
Replies: 1216
Views: 165665

Re: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019

Latest article from Leeham says the NMA 7 will be launched first based on rumours from PAS. Indeed. https://simpleflying.com/boeing-nma-comparison/ says: This may help Boeing put some clearer product differentiation between the A321XLR and its 797. The 797-7 could fly 500 nautical miles further and...

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by astuteman
Thu Jul 11, 2019 12:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus product range 2028
Replies: 62
Views: 7072

Re: Airbus product range 2028

I have a hard time seeing Airbus spending money developing A320.5 and A220-500 just to compete with... Airbus. They are better off spending their money getting CSALP to the point where they can build A220s profitably, and saving the rest for the big check they will need to cut to buy BBD out of the...

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by astuteman
Thu Jul 11, 2019 7:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus product range 2028
Replies: 62
Views: 7072

Re: Airbus product range 2028

Your rant ignores the rumored A320.5. Such a plane, when paired with the A220-500 and the A321 XLR seems possible to me. It fills the gap. The low fuel consumption of the GTF totally changes the mission profile of the 320 imho and makes it more 319ish, ie, too big and too heavy for 149 seat markets...

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by astuteman
Wed Jul 10, 2019 1:37 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus And Boeing 2019 Orders
Replies: 200
Views: 57666

Re: Airbus And Boeing 2019 Orders

A320neo: -229 A321neo: +359 (total for a320 family: 130 new orders) According to the figures above, with 57 new orders for the A321neo and 73 for the A320neo, this means that there would have been 302 conversions from the A320neo to the A321neo in June (253 for AirAsia alone) Total A320NEO orders 3...

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by astuteman
Sun Jul 07, 2019 11:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates renegotiating 777X order
Replies: 742
Views: 127726

Re: Emirates renegotiating 777X order

For me, the 777X finds itself in the uncomfortable place the A380 found itself in - that lonely spot as the largest, most expensive, least flexible airframe out there, undercut by smaller, more versatile modern airframes. But it's future got brighter with the untimely demise of the A380. It's the l...

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by astuteman
Sun Jul 07, 2019 4:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates renegotiating 777X order
Replies: 742
Views: 127726

Re: Emirates renegotiating 777X order

Firm orders for Boeing 777X Lufthansa.........................20 Etihad Airways.................25 Cathay Pacific..................21 Emirates.........................150 Qatar Airways..................60 All Nippon Airways...........20 Unidentified customer......10 Singapore Airlines...........20 ...

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by astuteman
Fri Jul 05, 2019 4:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 2310
Views: 301776

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-48872395

The MAX is still appearing as headline news in national media …

Rgds
-->

Spotted this whilst having breakfast this morning.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-48872395

The MAX is still appearing as headline news in national media …

Rgds

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by astuteman
Tue Jul 02, 2019 11:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Federal Prosecutors Expanding Boeing Investigation to CHS 787 Production Site
Replies: 154
Views: 19063

Re: Federal Prosecutors Expanding Boeing Investigation to Alleged Shoddy 787 Site

Why weren't you this upset about the A330 ADIRU? They never have figured out why the ADIRU went psycho on Qantas 72. Had they been at a lower altitude when it occurred it would have ended very badly. You're not the first BA hardcore defender to try and deflect towards Airbus (or, as it happens, Nor...

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by astuteman
Mon Jul 01, 2019 4:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: LH will look at A321XLR, but it's no game-changer: CEO
Replies: 183
Views: 24854

Re: LH will look at A321XLR, but it's no game-changer: CEO

The facts are that there is very little demand to/from secondary European cities relative to the big cities and MAN is no different. Uhm...which is exactly where the 321XLR comes into play? Those secondary cities can't fill a 787 or even a 330, but a 321 can open up a lot of new TATL lines that can...

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by astuteman
Thu Jun 27, 2019 3:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR
Replies: 409
Views: 45776

Re: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR

Despite all the evidence pointing to how airlines actually use their aircraft* - the order books tell something else about their reasoning when buying - its illogical. The maxim "the customer is always right" means it doesn't matter if your producing the best thing since sliced bread if t...

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by astuteman
Thu Jun 27, 2019 3:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Bloomberg:Airbus Says It Must Slash A350 Costs to Win Wide-Body Price War
Replies: 292
Views: 34054

Re: Bloomberg:Airbus Says It Must Slash A350 Costs to Win Wide-Body Price War

The set of videos I watched, and then compared to videos of the 787 barrels being manufactured suggested that there are no major differences besides the obvious one (panel vs barrels). I also struggled to see the panel manufacture itself as "labour intensive" when the only thing you see i...

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by astuteman
Wed Jun 26, 2019 3:38 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Bloomberg:Airbus Says It Must Slash A350 Costs to Win Wide-Body Price War
Replies: 292
Views: 34054

Re: Bloomberg:Airbus Says It Must Slash A350 Costs to Win Wide-Body Price War

It's such inefficient that Boeing basically copied the process for the 787: subcontract the subassemblies to suppliers all over the world and fly all those to 2 places for final assembly... And why is Boeing implementing a Completion Center in China if it was that crazy? Sometimes, you have to spen...

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by astuteman
Wed Jun 26, 2019 3:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Bloomberg:Airbus Says It Must Slash A350 Costs to Win Wide-Body Price War
Replies: 292
Views: 34054

Re: Bloomberg:Airbus Says It Must Slash A350 Costs to Win Wide-Body Price War

From footage I've seen about the A350 fuselage panel construction, this looks like a really time-consuming labor and machining intensive proces. Thus really expansive. Here is an example: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=6_R54EVDdf0 And another one that shows another eliminatable logistics step: Examp...

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by astuteman
Mon Jun 24, 2019 4:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Bloomberg:Airbus Says It Must Slash A350 Costs to Win Wide-Body Price War
Replies: 292
Views: 34054

Re: Bloomberg:Airbus Says It Must Slash A350 Costs to Win Wide-Body Price War

If the 787 empty weight is significantly reduced (just the 3D printed stuff going on at the end of this year should remove about 500kg), this will nicely open up the payload/range charts. You know which plane is called "the most 3D-printed plane in history”? It is the A350. Source 1: https://w...

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by astuteman
Mon Jun 24, 2019 3:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR
Replies: 409
Views: 45776

Re: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR

The trouble for NMA is:- NMA will be bigger than the A321XLR and therefore inherently more expensive - if we're taling about a 70t OEW/140t MTOW plane, it will be about 40% more expensive on a like-for-like basis (assuming no production method changes). But the kicker is that the A321XLR will come ...

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by astuteman
Mon Jun 24, 2019 6:25 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Bloomberg:Airbus Says It Must Slash A350 Costs to Win Wide-Body Price War
Replies: 292
Views: 34054

Re: Bloomberg:Airbus Says It Must Slash A350 Costs to Win Wide-Body Price War

The A350 is a good plane. It simply needs to reduce fixed costs for the revenue capability. It still sells. It will continue to sell no matter how much we debate. What matters is there is evidence Boeing has entered a price war and done so on the back of reduced manufacturing costs: HA, AA, NZ, and...

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by astuteman
Mon Jun 24, 2019 5:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR
Replies: 409
Views: 45776

Re: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR

There appears to be more than enough space between the NB and WB to fit in a NMA at rate 14. The A321 may do excellent at longer ranges that current, but the upper left of the pax / range chart is begging to be filled. If 2 NMA flights replace 3 738 flights that is 2 less pilots, 1 less set of land...

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by astuteman
Mon Jun 24, 2019 5:35 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR
Replies: 409
Views: 45776

Re: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR

I have seen nothing but hope and visions to make believe a twin aisle could come close to NB OEW / efficiency for the same seat capacity. No breakthroughs in sight IMO. In the "Airbus must cut A350 cost" thread ( https://www.airliners.net/forum/viewtopic.php?f=3&t=1425217 ) it is ment...

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by astuteman
Sun Jun 23, 2019 1:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Bloomberg:Airbus Says It Must Slash A350 Costs to Win Wide-Body Price War
Replies: 292
Views: 34054

Re: Bloomberg:Airbus Says It Must Slash A350 Costs to Win Wide-Body Price War

KE just included 787-10 in its order at PAS, and the KE order was the only wide body order of significance at PAS. EK just ordered large numbers of A330neo and A350 but is STILL saying they are looking in to ordering 787-10. Note most of the 787-10 customers are also current or likely 77x customers...

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by astuteman
Sat Jun 22, 2019 6:39 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Operational Weak Spots of the Airbus A321NEO/LR/XLR Discussion Thread
Replies: 92
Views: 34847

Re: Operational Weak Spots of the Airbus A321NEO/LR.

1) One problem I do see, that was not raised here is the MTOW of 97 tonnes with two wheel bogies, which will probably not allow this aircraft to have the short runway performance that the 757 had. I was wondering if Airbus would re-activate the 4 wheel bogie for this option as they had for the earl...

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by astuteman
Fri Jun 21, 2019 4:13 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: F9 Could Use A321XLR Order for Transatlantic
Replies: 116
Views: 11100

Re: F9 Could Use A321XLR Order for Transatlantic

It's a lot more complicated than just gcmap ranges. Getting a nat track with .80 assigned for example burns more fuel. International derived alternates, weather, loads, runway analysis. All that stuff pilots are paid for, but A.net fanboy's know nothing about. I am not pretending that it isn't more...

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by astuteman
Fri Jun 21, 2019 10:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A321LR Versus XLR
Replies: 93
Views: 14865

Re: A321LR Versus XLR

Is the 4700 NM range for the XLR only achievable with the additional forward tank ? Extrapolating from the max fuel ranges in the other configurations, I think that is correct. Rgds Didn't the "stock" A321LR fly 4750nm air distance with simulated 160 passenger + 11 crew load, and the XLR ...

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by astuteman
Fri Jun 21, 2019 4:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A321LR Versus XLR
Replies: 93
Views: 14865

Re: A321LR Versus XLR

Max Q wrote:
Is the 4700 NM range for the XLR only achievable with the additional forward tank ?


Extrapolating from the max fuel ranges in the other configurations, I think that is correct.

Rgds

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by astuteman
Fri Jun 21, 2019 2:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A321LR Versus XLR
Replies: 93
Views: 14865

Re: A321LR Versus XLR

Some more info about the redesigned inboard flap: the intention with the switch to the single-slotted inboard flaps on the A321XLR is to reduce weight and complexity without exceeding the V-speeds of the original A321. we've been able to design a single-slotted flap that's as efficient as a double-...

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by astuteman
Fri Jun 21, 2019 2:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A321LR Versus XLR
Replies: 93
Views: 14865

Re: A321LR Versus XLR

Sorry, but no. Some features of the Xlr will be implemented,in the regular A321 family but the Xlr itself will not get the standard A321 version. The Xlr is a niche bird, the upgrades (new fuel tank e.g.) will have a limited to no benefit for the standard use of an A321 and many disadvantages. The ...

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by astuteman
Fri Jun 21, 2019 12:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A321LR Versus XLR
Replies: 93
Views: 14865

Re: A321LR Versus XLR

As I said in another thread (I think the AA one) the A321LR is now a dead product walking. In marketing only because I'm convinced the LR will become the baseline A321NEO, where the third fuel tank is just an option. We're nearly there already as from 2020 the baseline A321NEO will really be an A32...

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by astuteman
Thu Jun 20, 2019 8:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IAG sign LOI for 200 B737 Max
Replies: 344
Views: 43803

Re: IAG sign LOI for 200 B737 Max

I think it's a bit weird to order 200 aircraft from one manufacturer - without the other manufacturer even knowing about it. That leads to one of two conclusions: 1. Either the deal is so good it's impossible to beat. 2. It's a tactic to negotiate an even better deal on the other side of the aisle....

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