Search found 495 matches

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by aaexecplat
Fri Jul 19, 2019 7:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Expects a $5.6 Billion Hit for 737 Max Disruptions
Replies: 121
Views: 12231

Re: Boeing Expects a $5.6 Billion Hit for 737 Max Disruptions

Lol. I find it comical that the same folks who have derided the A380 program as catastrophic to Airbus on this site for months/years are now twisting themselves into a pretzel to describe this initial set of charges as inconsequential to Boeing.

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by aaexecplat
Sun Jun 30, 2019 10:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 849
Views: 122037

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

Interesting standards. We're OK with bad journalism at the headline and intro level as long as we eventually find good journalism? Evidence shows that most people won't wait for the good journalism to show up, they'll just run with the bad journalism. Look. I don't disagree with your general beef w...

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by aaexecplat
Sun Jun 30, 2019 1:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3768
Views: 383179

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

Some context to a few points made here. I have hired and worked with outsourced talent (software engineering and call center) from India and the Philippines. There is nothing inherently wrong or bad with outsourcing. It can be a fantastic tool for companies to manage their cost for fairly modular b...

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by aaexecplat
Sat Jun 29, 2019 10:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3768
Views: 383179

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

Some context to a few points made here. I have hired and worked with outsourced talent (software engineering and call center) from India and the Philippines. There is nothing inherently wrong or bad with outsourcing. It can be a fantastic tool for companies to manage their cost for fairly modular bu...

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by aaexecplat
Tue Jun 11, 2019 1:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A380 was success for Airbus, says new CEO
Replies: 453
Views: 42831

Re: A380 was success for Airbus, says new CEO

But let the record show that I have been a member of this board for over a decade and have provided ample documentation to support my post, whereas you joined 2 months ago and have provided zero documentation whatsoever and have done nothing but muckrack here right at the time that Boeing needs som...

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by aaexecplat
Tue Jun 11, 2019 12:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A380 was success for Airbus, says new CEO
Replies: 453
Views: 42831

Re: A380 was success for Airbus, says new CEO

Some of the information goes back only as far as 1992 leaving out the most of the money spent on the A300 launched in 1969, A320 launched in 1984, A330 and A340 launched in 1987. The Washington Post opinion piece was notable for it's misleading weasel words: Here is how it works: Since 1992 Europea...

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by aaexecplat
Mon Jun 10, 2019 11:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A380 was success for Airbus, says new CEO
Replies: 453
Views: 42831

Re: A380 was success for Airbus, says new CEO

Every number is redacted. How can you claim that proves your speculation was right on the money? I knew this was going to be useless...Leave it to you to latch on to one thing, completely misapply it to what I said and then using that as an argument to refute me...where I was right on the money was...

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by aaexecplat
Mon Jun 10, 2019 2:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A380 was success for Airbus, says new CEO
Replies: 453
Views: 42831

Re: A380 was success for Airbus, says new CEO

thing is the 787 is only partly through the first half of its life cycle. boeing will almost certainly cell another 300 to 400 787s by the time ultrafan is ready. and a 787neo will almost undoubtedly sell several hundred units, probably more like a thousand. will the 787 be a massive financial succ...

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by aaexecplat
Mon Jun 10, 2019 2:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A380 was success for Airbus, says new CEO
Replies: 453
Views: 42831

Re: A380 was success for Airbus, says new CEO

Sorry the burden of proof is on you. Don't expect me to do your research for you. Info about A380 RLI and repayments: https://simpleflying.com/airbus-a380-loan-dispute/ AND https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/taxpayers-braced-for-loss-on-730m-aid-for-airbus-superjumbo-xvjnjb93p Info about A320 progr...

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by aaexecplat
Mon Jun 10, 2019 12:12 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A380 was success for Airbus, says new CEO
Replies: 453
Views: 42831

Re: A380 was success for Airbus, says new CEO

Not to mention that the (supposedly) $25 billion Airbus lost on the A380 includes development cost. The 787 deferred production cost calculation did not include development cost. Are you sure about that? What I found indicated that there was a total of $32 billion in development and deferrals which...

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by aaexecplat
Mon Jun 10, 2019 12:09 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A380 was success for Airbus, says new CEO
Replies: 453
Views: 42831

Re: A380 was success for Airbus, says new CEO

Yes, I went back an reread your earlier post. Pro tip: When referencing an earlier post either link to it or provide the post number. Post #344 is long on speculation and short on facts, and peppered with phrases like "as far as I can tell," "it stands to reason," "what I d...

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by aaexecplat
Sun Jun 09, 2019 11:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A380 was success for Airbus, says new CEO
Replies: 453
Views: 42831

Re: A380 was success for Airbus, says new CEO

But it is difficult for me to see how the 787 will ever be a huge money maker Thanks for the back of the envelope estimates comparing the 787 and A380 losses. It does prove the point that if you bet right but screw up the execution, you still have a chance to make it up. The 787 will have the benef...

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by aaexecplat
Sun Jun 09, 2019 1:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A380 was success for Airbus, says new CEO
Replies: 453
Views: 42831

Re: A380 was success for Airbus, says new CEO

Well, if you flip it around and see how Boeing messed up with the 787. One could say Boeing's lessons learned with the 787 would cost almost as much if not more than the A380 from a pure dollar standpoint. However, in the long run because they guessed right, the impact is not as glaring. Apples and...

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by aaexecplat
Sun Jun 09, 2019 4:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A380 was success for Airbus, says new CEO
Replies: 453
Views: 42831

Re: A380 was success for Airbus, says new CEO

When Airbus started thinking about the A380, and even when they launched it, Airbus was not seen as a manufacturer with a complete line; they needed something above the A330/340 combo. While a commercial disaster, the A380 did establish Airbus a true competitor. The fact that they can absorb the co...

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by aaexecplat
Thu Jun 06, 2019 1:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A380 was success for Airbus, says new CEO
Replies: 453
Views: 42831

Re: A380 was success for Airbus, says new CEO

No different than Boeing putting the gun to the head of several governors and threatening to move production if tax breaks were to not be extended or implemented... One minor difference, Boeing has given back to the community all the benefits they received by having successful airplane programs :re...

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by aaexecplat
Wed Jun 05, 2019 5:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A380 was success for Airbus, says new CEO
Replies: 453
Views: 42831

Re: A380 was success for Airbus, says new CEO

One nit: The A380 marks the first time that any EU State has ever taken a bath on an investment https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2017/10/21/airbus-seeks-cut-repayments-government-controversial-launch/ says "An earlier Airbus jet, the A340, received RLI funding but investors lost out on the...

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by aaexecplat
Wed Jun 05, 2019 4:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3768
Views: 383179

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

The 737 Max program will probably never run at a profit in total but that is not really a problem, there is enough revenue generated elsewhere. So of the four current civil programs in production (737-MAX, 747-8, 777, and 787) two of them will never turn a total program profit and that's not a prob...

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by aaexecplat
Wed Jun 05, 2019 3:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A380 was success for Airbus, says new CEO
Replies: 453
Views: 42831

Re: A380 was success for Airbus, says new CEO

Good God this board has become a place of awful tribalism. I have seen little intellectual curiosity from several here to dissect the Airbus CEO's statement. And there is so much misinformation that I feel compelled to add some information: 1) If we define success as either making a profit in the pr...

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by aaexecplat
Tue May 28, 2019 2:18 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Tries to Seat 2-,4-,6-Year Old Children Separate from Parents
Replies: 105
Views: 13349

Re: United Tries to Seat 2-,4-,6-Year Old Children Separate from Parents

I can't speak to what happened in this news worthy event, but I CAN tell you that the same thing happened to me and my family in 2014. We were booked on IAH-LHR on UA. I was a UA 1k (still am) and we had 4 seats together in E+ for months before the flight. Except within 24 hours before the flight, U...

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by aaexecplat
Wed May 22, 2019 7:42 pm
Forum: Site Related
Topic: Why Anet Is Declining
Replies: 66
Views: 5054

Re: Why Anet Is Declining

Another long-time member here. This site is only a shadow of itself. While it is ostensibly made up of "airplane enthusiasts" or avgeeks, most of the discussion in the Civil Av forum is now A vs B or some other tribalism. It has become impossible reading the threads in there and it is aggr...

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by aaexecplat
Sun May 12, 2019 1:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Etihad loses 5 star ranking
Replies: 55
Views: 11357

Re: Etihad loses 5 star ranking

I also can't make sense of the rankings. I have some flying on NH and TG in F and J coming up. All products I have flown before. And I can't even understand how they come up with what should be more of an objective rating like hard product/seat. Safe to ignore these ratings.

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by aaexecplat
Tue Apr 30, 2019 4:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019
Replies: 3768
Views: 383179

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q2 2019

So in the end I think Boeing 737Max will be judged on its economics, just like last year. Agreed - but does the MAX now carry more economic risk than A32x? i.e. When making a decision on what to buy will an airline ponder "what if MAX has another accident, regardless of the reason, is there a ...

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by aaexecplat
Sat Apr 27, 2019 12:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q1 2019
Replies: 6472
Views: 714048

Re: B737MAX Grounded Worldwide

And this is an issue how? Yes, because it questions if aerodynamics of the plane is sound. If review panel decides tailplane redesign is on order, god bless Boeing. And again, with no data on MCAS, this is not an impossible scenario. Worst case one, pessimistic, but not impossible. I doubt they wou...

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by aaexecplat
Wed Apr 17, 2019 5:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA300 JFK-LAX Hits object on takeoff!
Replies: 150
Views: 44851

Re: AA300 JFK-LAX Hits object on takeoff!

I was on this flight and it was the roughest takeoff by far I had ever been a part of. To the point I bought the internet after take off and texted my father within 8 minutes to tell him how bad it was. It took over 10 minutes for the pilot to tell us of an incident that he related to “computer pro...

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by aaexecplat
Thu Apr 11, 2019 1:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA300 JFK-LAX Hits object on takeoff!
Replies: 150
Views: 44851

Re: AA300 JFK-LAX Hits object on takeoff!

jfklganyc wrote:
I don’t know if this info helps ... 31R is closed til Nov.

Winds were 310 G 26. They were using the 4s and 31L KE

Assuming they took off on 4L, good crosswind


They took off on 31L.

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by aaexecplat
Mon Apr 08, 2019 5:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ethiopian Airlines 737MAX crashes enroute to Nairobi Q1 2019
Replies: 5474
Views: 716613

Re: Ethiopian Airlines 737MAX crashes enroute to Nairobi

In my opinion... I think thats what happened. The Captain asked the FO if it was working and he tried his yoke switch. But there is absolutely no way to know. Why? Check the FDR plot. Hint: there is no electric trim input visible so we absolutely know that he did not continue using the yoke switch....

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by aaexecplat
Mon Apr 08, 2019 4:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q1 2019
Replies: 6472
Views: 714048

Re: B737MAX Grounded Worldwide

But maybe it wasn’t engineered by the qualified engineers. Maybe it was engineered by management and accountants because when those people try to engineer something, you get junk like this that crashes and kills people. Why do you think over the years there have been, and I had contact with one for...

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by aaexecplat
Wed Apr 03, 2019 10:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Lion Air 737MAX8 Crashed Jakarta to Pangkal Pinang
Replies: 3188
Views: 594353

Re: Lion Air 737MAX8 Crashed Jakarta to Pangkal Pinang

Classic example of the news outlets getting the headline wrong because the details are too complicated for them... How I read this is that JT changed the AOA sensor before JT43. And they assume it was faulty because it malfunctioned on JT43 and JT601. But they cannot have any idea whether the sensor...

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by aaexecplat
Fri Mar 29, 2019 12:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ethiopian Airlines 737MAX crashes enroute to Nairobi Q1 2019
Replies: 5474
Views: 716613

Re: Ethiopian Airlines 737MAX crashes enroute to Nairobi

From https://www.reuters.com/article/us-ethiopia-airplane-investigators/investigators-believe-anti-stall-system-activated-in-ethiopian-crash-wsj-idUSKCN1RA0E1 Investigators looking into a Boeing 737 MAX crash have reached a preliminary conclusion that an anti-stall system was activated before the p...

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by aaexecplat
Fri Mar 29, 2019 12:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ethiopian Airlines 737MAX crashes enroute to Nairobi Q1 2019
Replies: 5474
Views: 716613

Re: Ethiopian Airlines 737MAX crashes enroute to Nairobi

What really surprises me is that it's claimed that the flight prior to the crashed lion air flight was flown fully manually for most of its duration. Means the pilots were using a handwheel to move the control surfaces. And in full manual mode their must be several other auto or help features bypas...

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by aaexecplat
Thu Mar 28, 2019 1:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q1 2019
Replies: 6472
Views: 714048

Re: B737MAX Grounded Worldwide

What I find fascinating is the belief held by some here that just because MCAS is now more limited in its authority, that this makes the plane automatically 100% safe. We still don't know what caused the stickshaker, unreliable airspeed and AOA readings. The assumption around these parts is that an...

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by aaexecplat
Thu Mar 28, 2019 12:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q1 2019
Replies: 6472
Views: 714048

Re: B737MAX Grounded Worldwide

What I find fascinating is the belief held by some here that just because MCAS is now more limited in its authority, that this makes the plane automatically 100% safe. We still don't know what caused the stickshaker, unreliable airspeed and AOA readings. The assumption around these parts is that any...

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by aaexecplat
Fri Mar 22, 2019 10:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Garuda to keep 737MAX order, add 787s in agreement with Boeing
Replies: 161
Views: 42710

Re: Garuda may cancel remaining orders of 737 MAX

The crashes and the whole issue with the MAX's air worthiness might give them legal coverage to just void those contracts. It all depends of course how things play out regarding the certification of the aircraft being revoked by their respective countries. And even more importantly in which jurisdi...

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by aaexecplat
Fri Mar 22, 2019 2:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Garuda to keep 737MAX order, add 787s in agreement with Boeing
Replies: 161
Views: 42710

Re: Garuda may cancel remaining orders of 737 MAX

Hmmm, loosing Lion Air, Garuda and Jet Airways would wipe out 500 MAX orders = 10 per cent of the order book. Looks like trouble is ahead. However, I wonder how the airlines think they can get out of the contract with Boeing. I doubt that airline order contracts are drafted in a way that the airlin...

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by aaexecplat
Fri Mar 22, 2019 2:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q1 2019
Replies: 6472
Views: 714048

Re: B737MAX Grounded Worldwide

First there is nothing fundamentally wrong with the MAX. Add an AoA disagree warning and correct the MCAS software and it is just fine. Secondly any competition still lacks the economy of scales advantage and product support to compete with the 2 big players. The existence of MCAS would indicate th...

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by aaexecplat
Mon Mar 18, 2019 1:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q1 2019
Replies: 6472
Views: 714048

Re: B737MAX Grounded Worldwide

So Leeham knows that the nations grounded the MAX because the fix Boeing was working on would have prevented the crashes? Hmmm.....let's hope the official investigations don't result in another grounding for different reasons then the whole conspiracy theories will rise again. Of course he doesn't....

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by aaexecplat
Mon Mar 18, 2019 1:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q1 2019
Replies: 6472
Views: 714048

Re: B737MAX Grounded Worldwide

Over the years I have seen dozens of well substantiated discussions on e.g. the 737MAX engines placement, partial FBW, grandfathering and FAA / Boeing relations. Usually followed by comments like "speculation", "FAA seems to disagree", "not official", "arm chair C...

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by aaexecplat
Sun Mar 17, 2019 11:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Lion Air 737MAX8 Crashed Jakarta to Pangkal Pinang
Replies: 3188
Views: 594353

Re: Lion Air 737MAX8 Crashed Jakarta to Pangkal Pinang

While there is only two physical AOA sensors, each sensor has two resolvers, the resolvers are basically the raw AOA values. In reality there is presently 4 AOA values which could be compared. There could be a local comparison on the sensor as each resolver should agree with each other, if one reso...

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by aaexecplat
Fri Mar 15, 2019 12:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ethiopian Airlines 737MAX crashes enroute to Nairobi Q1 2019
Replies: 5474
Views: 716613

Re: Ethiopian Airlines 737MAX crashes enroute to Nairobi

It shouldn’t go into effect until flaps are retracted. That doesn’t mean it doesn’t go into effect until flaps are retracted. From the Lion Air crash we know it has gone into effect when it shouldn’t before and there’s no way of knowing if this is isolated to one specific set of circumstances or an...

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by aaexecplat
Thu Mar 14, 2019 1:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ethiopian Airlines 737MAX crashes enroute to Nairobi Q1 2019
Replies: 5474
Views: 716613

Re: Ethiopian Airlines 737MAX crashes enroute to Nairobi

Which other systems are disabled if the crew toggled the cutoff switch as per the procedure to disable MCAS? All automatic pitch trim functions stop and the pilots would have to manually trim the aircraft - something they are trained to handle. Yup, but they are not trained (nor does anyone know) w...

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by aaexecplat
Thu Mar 14, 2019 1:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: EWR and Slot Controlled: Not a Question of "If" but "When"
Replies: 13
Views: 2403

Re: EWR and Slot Controlled: Not a Question of "If" but "When"

I fly in and out of EWR every week and have been doing so for 12 years. There is NO QUESTION that things have deteriorated dramatically since the facility was downgraded to Cat2. On a day where the weather isn't perfect, you will notice that EWR is running delays when neither LGA nor JFK are. On day...

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by aaexecplat
Wed Mar 13, 2019 11:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How does Boeing "survive" this crisis?
Replies: 53
Views: 5325

Re: How does Boeing "survive" this crisis?

Even if this turns out to be a case of corporate gross negligence or malfeasance, Boeing will do just fine. They get 25% of their revenue from the US tax payer and that is not going to change anytime soon. They also sell several other models of airplanes that have juicy margins at this point and are...

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by aaexecplat
Wed Mar 13, 2019 11:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 2019 Post Grounding 737 MAX Storage, Production and Modification
Replies: 23
Views: 4066

Re: 2019 Post Grounding 737 MAX Storage, Production and Modification

Realistically, if they wanted to really remediate all the issues, they would need to: - Add a third AOA sensor to all planes - Create logic in the FC to make use of all 3 AOA sensors - Rewrite the MCAS logic - Make aerodynamic changes to the nacelles to reduce lift - potentially increase the contro...

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by aaexecplat
Wed Mar 13, 2019 11:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 2019 Post Grounding 737 MAX Storage, Production and Modification
Replies: 23
Views: 4066

Re: 2019 Post Grounding 737 MAX Storage, Production and Modification

Realistically, if they wanted to really remediate all the issues, they would need to: - Add a third AOA sensor to all planes - Create logic in the FC to make use of all 3 AOA sensors - Rewrite the MCAS logic - Make aerodynamic changes to the nacelles to reduce lift - potentially increase the control...

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by aaexecplat
Wed Mar 13, 2019 2:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: B737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q1 2019
Replies: 6472
Views: 714048

Re: Should airline regulators consider grounding B737 MAX series

Secondly, it's a bit off topic but Boeing already shot themselves in the foot because the Lion Air accident exposed that they did not adequately alert crews as to the intricacies of the MCAS on the new aircraft. You see in others what you know about yourself. The US as conjoinment of government and...

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by aaexecplat
Mon Mar 11, 2019 1:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ethiopian Airlines 737MAX crashes enroute to Nairobi Q1 2019
Replies: 5474
Views: 716613

Re: Ethiopian Airlines 737MAX crashes enroute to Nairobi

SOmeone else mentioned that solution is being developed, without extra details. I don't see a simple one here, but Boeing definitely has more skill and data than entire forum combined. I suspect the only good option is to add another AOA sensor and develop a software solution similar to what Airbus...

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by aaexecplat
Mon Mar 11, 2019 12:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ethiopian Airlines 737MAX crashes enroute to Nairobi Q1 2019
Replies: 5474
Views: 716613

Re: Ethiopian Airlines 737MAX crashes enroute to Nairobi

I can see Boeing completely deal away with the MCAS. In that case the airplane would lose its certification. To regain certification, Boeing would have to come up with a fix for the problem that MCAS currently addresses. SOmeone else mentioned that solution is being developed, without extra details...

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by aaexecplat
Fri Feb 15, 2019 2:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will Airbus accept any more A380 orders ?
Replies: 95
Views: 13536

Re: Will Airbus accept any more A380 orders ?

Then why did Boeing outsell Airbus last year, and that was with Airbus including A220 sales but Boeing not including E2 sales? Obviously airline buyers are just plain stupid. Because Airbus had already earlier filled their order book. You have to look at the whole backlog, not just orders in indivi...

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by aaexecplat
Fri Feb 15, 2019 2:38 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: A380 Biggest manufacturing loss in civil aviation to date?
Replies: 127
Views: 14157

Re: A380 Biggest manufacturing loss in civil aviation ?

These threads are just all so sad. There are now 5+ threads open and more opening every few hours to mostly $hit on Airbus. Is all this really necessary? And very little facts are presented along the way. Mostly personal opinions, and in many cases provable falsehoods (some clearly intentional). It ...

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by aaexecplat
Fri Feb 15, 2019 2:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will Airbus accept any more A380 orders ?
Replies: 95
Views: 13536

Re: Will Airbus accept any more A380 orders ?

Then why did Boeing outsell Airbus last year, and that was with Airbus including A220 sales but Boeing not including E2 sales? Obviously airline buyers are just plain stupid. Because Airbus had already earlier filled their order book. You have to look at the whole backlog, not just orders in indivi...

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