Search found 190 matches

by Airlinerdude
Sun Oct 25, 2020 11:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AC YYZ-DOH Effective 15DEC20
Replies: 32
Views: 4295

Re: AC YYZ-DOH Effective 15DEC20

Out of all the things to happen in 2020, this one is starting to take the cake. Never would have anticipated this in a regular year, let alone in 2020. I noticed that the return time gives a 16 hour layover in DOH and isn't consistent with the return timings for neighbouring DXB. I wonder if this is...

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by Airlinerdude
Thu Oct 22, 2020 8:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Canada News And Discussion Thread
Replies: 822
Views: 34734

Re: Air Canada News And Discussion Thread

I recall when they tried this a few months ago, it wasn't overly successful. I was seeing loads of 2 or 3, maybe max 10 passengers per flight. The reviews on youtube corroborate this testimony. Hopefully it goes better the second time around!

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by Airlinerdude
Thu Oct 22, 2020 8:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The WestJet Thread - 2020
Replies: 830
Views: 138460

Re: The WestJet Thread

Once again the government showing where its head lies. Instead of focusing on a real international airport - the likes of YVR/YYZ/YUL - it is going to pilot this in Cowboy land with nil international presence. I know it says 'pilot program' but honestly, I wouldn't be surprised to see the Premiers ...

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by Airlinerdude
Thu Oct 22, 2020 3:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The WestJet Thread - 2020
Replies: 830
Views: 138460

Re: The WestJet Thread

Basic fares are nonrefundable, it says so before you purchase them. Should they be refunded then if you knowingly bought a non refundable ticket? The issue has been that the airline unilaterally didn't perform their obligation in the contract by cancelling the flight but kept the consideration (the...

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by Airlinerdude
Thu Oct 22, 2020 4:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Canada News And Discussion Thread
Replies: 822
Views: 34734

Re: Air Canada’s CEO Calin Rovinescu to Retire Feb 2021

As much as I think Air Canada has stopped innovating, especially on the network side Just out of curiosity, what else should AC have done? I personally think that they've done a great job at innovating within the AC brand (through Rouge) and reaching many destinations that I never thought they woul...

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by Airlinerdude
Tue Oct 20, 2020 6:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 10/20/2020:KEEP IT ROLLING (THE CANCELS);EK Suspends ATHEWR,JFKMXP,DXBSEA;UA Adds IAD-ABE/ERI/Carib,LAXSAP
Replies: 63
Views: 9603

Re: OAG Changes 10/20/2020:KEEP IT ROLLING (THE CANCELS);EK Suspends ATHEWR,JFKMXP,DXBSEA;UA Adds IAD-ABE/ERI/Carib,LAXS

I'm guessing the following overseas airlines will NOT return to SEA post-pandemic: EK ... Seattle has turned into such a crap-hole that no one in their right mind would want to come back or come visit. Doubtful. If you look at the DOT Data, SEA was continually one of EK's high LF routes in the US. ...

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by Airlinerdude
Mon Oct 19, 2020 6:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Canada isn't ruling out taking a stake in Canadian airlines: Leblanc
Replies: 34
Views: 4204

Re: Canada isn't ruling out taking a stake in Canadian airlines: Leblanc

Insofar as aid to airlines, I would think the primary focus would be on supporting domestic services only. The federal government doesn't seem to concerned about those wanting to travel outside of the country as they would rather have everyone stay within Canada due to the global pandemic. Therefor...

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by Airlinerdude
Sun Oct 11, 2020 7:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AI adds DEL-YVR October 25th 2020
Replies: 26
Views: 4092

Re: AI adds DEL-YVR October 25th 2020

This isn’t really a new route for AI. They’ve been operating YVR since at least June at three times weekly under the guise of being ‘repatriation’ flights. All that’s being allowed is AI can now openly sell the seats. In terms of AC, I don’t believe they’ve been operating their YVR DEL flight for mo...

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by Airlinerdude
Sun Oct 11, 2020 7:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Air Canada/Transat A.T. Inc. Conclude Amended Transaction for Combination of the Two Companies
Replies: 417
Views: 5125

Re: Updated: Air Canada/Transat A.T. Inc. Conclude Amended Transaction for Combination of the Two Companies

Just to reiterate what the articles have said, AC’s acquisition of TS isn’t a done deal until shareholders vote in December. What has been concluded is an amended offer of $5 per share, or an exchange for 0.2862 of Air Canada shares. I don’t recall the original deal having the provision to exchange ...

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by Airlinerdude
Mon Sep 21, 2020 6:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1565
Views: 23197

Re: EK to resume DXB-AKL nonstop with longest ever 77W flight

It seems very pointless, unless that are expecting an huge amount of New Zealanders to leave the country if the current government is re-elected? I think the chances of flight happening, very low. It's all cargo related. The flight's seating is capped at about 50% on AKL-DXB (the longer of the two ...

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by Airlinerdude
Mon Sep 21, 2020 6:16 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What assets have the US3 not yet leveraged
Replies: 23
Views: 2974

Re: What assets have the US3 not yet leveraged

The problem is, when no airlines are buying planes, the value of a fleet of used planes is quite a bit lower. So is the value of say LHR slots. And of course, without business travel, the FF programs also get much less valuable. Building on your point... Even more concerning is the possible impairm...

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by Airlinerdude
Sat Sep 19, 2020 6:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is DL taking delivery of A350’s from NRT to avoid tariffs?
Replies: 207
Views: 30960

Re: Is DL taking delivery of A350’s from NRT to avoid tariffs?

If Delta wants to play this game then the government should take notes and hold Delta to the law no matter in the future. Stuff that usually gets a "fix it ticket" from the FAA should be fined to the highest extent possible to makeup for the loss in tax revenue. Why? I see no abusive use ...

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by Airlinerdude
Fri Sep 18, 2020 1:18 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: First TLV - UAE flight
Replies: 187
Views: 29753

Re: Emirates will launch DXB-TLV probably in January 2021

TLV has to be one of the biggest cities within nonstop range of DXB that didn't have service on Emirates. Not quite, there are quite a few cities in China and a few more in India with populations much greater than TLV. Unfortunately EK was maxed out on their bilateral with both of these countries. ...

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by Airlinerdude
Wed Sep 16, 2020 3:16 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Boeing 787-9 gets range boost.
Replies: 49
Views: 7010

Re: Boeing 787-9 gets range boost.

I know there have been plenty of threads talking about the 789's hot and high performance, but it did surprise me to hear that UA is launching EWR-JNB on the 789. However, it's fantastic to see the airplane have such capabilities. Are there any other improvements that are being talked about to optim...

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by Airlinerdude
Sun Aug 23, 2020 5:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1565
Views: 23197

Re: Emirates axes MEX

I'm not sure what the source is behind this thread, but COO Al Redha has come out and said that Emirates will return to all 143 destinations served prior to the impact of Covid19. For what it's worth, MEX is still available for booking in the EK booking system. See post #511 in the following thread:...

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by Airlinerdude
Fri Aug 21, 2020 6:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1565
Views: 23197

Re: Rumour: Emirates to decommission 40% of A380 fleet

COO Al Redha says Emirates will be serving 143 destinations by next summer: Dubai state carrier Emirates Airline will serve all of its 143 destinations by the summer of 2021, with the frequency of flights depending on demand, the company’s chief operating officer said this week. ... Al-Redha said th...

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by Airlinerdude
Wed Aug 19, 2020 1:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1565
Views: 23197

Re: Rumour: Emirates to decommission 40% of A380 fleet

To provide a quick update on things at EK: It looks like Emirates has yet to receive it's government injection: DUBAI - Emirates needs a bailout from its sole shareholder, the Dubai government, to survive the corona crisis, CEO Tim Clark said in an interview with FlightGlobal. He does not mention a ...

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by Airlinerdude
Tue Aug 18, 2020 6:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330neo future bleak from COVID impact
Replies: 251
Views: 28376

Re: A330neo future bleak from COVID impact

My contrarian view is that the A330neo has the potential to do well post-covid on the basis of being the cheaper of wide-bodies to purchase, and that the CASM differential between the 339 and the 350/787 will be immaterial for the foreseeable future with lower fuel prices. As pointed out in the arti...

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by Airlinerdude
Tue Aug 18, 2020 6:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus is stepping up development A321XLR
Replies: 231
Views: 38286

Re: Airbus is stepping up development A321XLR

The idea is that an A321XLR will make some routes possible that previously could not be done because a wide-body is too much plane. So much of what we're discussing depends on the recovery curve in the coming years. I share consensus with the part of your post I've left out, but again, I'm suspect ...

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by Airlinerdude
Mon Aug 17, 2020 3:23 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus is stepping up development A321XLR
Replies: 231
Views: 38286

Re: Airbus is stepping up development A321XLR

No crew rest will also limit the max range the XLR can fly. So a game changer only for a narrow band of flying distances. Unless we see more multiple stops It shouldn't be too much of an issue if the airplane is outfitted with lie-flat J seats. Most airlines have a policy to use a J seat as a crew ...

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by Airlinerdude
Fri Aug 14, 2020 1:30 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Normalisation of relations between Israel and UAE air links
Replies: 124
Views: 13673

Re: Normalisation of relations between Israel and UAE air links

This is unquestionably a pretty exciting development for all parties. I'm curious to see if this may have some impact on some EK/EY routings to Southern Europe / N. Africa. I know there are limited airways in the region, but I imagine that this may pose a very favourable routing (from a safety persp...

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by Airlinerdude
Thu Aug 06, 2020 7:28 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Why didn't EK order 787 instead of A380?
Replies: 47
Views: 6591

Re: Why didn't EK order 787 instead of A380?

The problem with the 380 is it can't carry the belly cargo like the 787 and 777W. While EK does have some dedicated freighters, most of the vanilla cargo is shipped in the belly of pax aircraft. So, while it might appear to the uninformed that running 3 787s is not efficient, it most likely is. The...

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by Airlinerdude
Thu Aug 06, 2020 7:21 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Why didn't EK order 787 instead of A380?
Replies: 47
Views: 6591

Re: Why didn't EK order 787 instead of A380?

Until 6 months ago, EK has run a very successful and profitable business That, my friend, is very much up to debate. Yes, I know EK publish financial reports that show they are profitable, but I would like to see those numbers run on US-GAAP, published to US listed company rules. I daresay the resu...

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by Airlinerdude
Fri Jul 31, 2020 9:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SQ flights to LAS, YYZ & ORD and JFK via BRU
Replies: 54
Views: 11082

Re: SQ flights to LAS, YYZ & ORD and JFK via BRU

If SQ can make SIN-SEA work, how can they not make SIN-YVR work with AC being there? AC codeshares with SQ unlike UA so I think its very possible with a A359 since that can fly to YVR direct from SIN. I would suspect that this has something to do with the pretty extensive codeshare SQ has with AS. ...

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by Airlinerdude
Fri Jul 31, 2020 5:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Canada News And Discussion Thread
Replies: 822
Views: 34734

Re: Air Canada reports 2Q20 loss of C$1.75 Billion

I just had a quick glance through their financials, some interesting things I found: ‘Advance ticket sales’ liability was sitting at $2.4bn (2.9 at Dec 31), which in large part are ticket holder’s interest free loan to AC. I’m a bit surprised this remains as high as it does. I’ve noticed AC has been...

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by Airlinerdude
Sat Jul 11, 2020 1:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1565
Views: 23197

Re: Rumour: Emirates to decommission 40% of A380 fleet

Who are they going to hire after proving they’ll just drop you immediately in a downturn? I'm not trying to defend Emirates right now, rather just trying to state the facts - but I'm not sure that this downturn can be extrapolated to all future downturns. We've never seen the likes of this kind of ...

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by Airlinerdude
Sat Jul 11, 2020 12:09 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1565
Views: 23197

Re: Rumour: Emirates to decommission 40% of A380 fleet

All true, yet hard to reconcile with the 60%+ by December comment that some have raised above. On this page we have figures suggesting ~1600 pilots were let go with a large percentage current or future A380 pilots, and ~325 A380 flight crew are left . They have 110 A380 so flying 60% would be 66 fr...

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by Airlinerdude
Thu Jul 09, 2020 9:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1565
Views: 23197

Re: Rumour: Emirates to decommission 40% of A380 fleet

Coming from the article posted in another thread: The Gulf carrier, also the biggest customer for the Airbus super-jumbo, plans to take the delivery of three A380s during the fiscal year ending in March, Al Redha said. While the delivery schedule for the last five planes remains unchanged, “if the n...

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by Airlinerdude
Mon Jul 06, 2020 7:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1565
Views: 23197

Re: Emirates Orders

A little bit of positive news for the A380: “The A380 has defined us,” Clark tells The Times. “As demand returns, and given the slot availability at prime hubs, there will be a place for it. I’m hoping by April 2022, all our A380s will be flying again.” https://www.executivetraveller.com/news/emirat...

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by Airlinerdude
Mon Jul 06, 2020 7:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Canada News And Discussion Thread
Replies: 822
Views: 34734

Re: Air Canada Cutting 30 Domestic Routes, 8 Stations

It would be very exciting to see Porter expand their presence in the region, perhaps targeting some of those maritime routes. There could be a few opportunities to fill in gaps left by AC at both YHZ/YOW. YFC and YQM could be extended to YHZ from their existing YOW flights. YXU could be added from Y...

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by Airlinerdude
Mon Jul 06, 2020 4:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1565
Views: 23197

Re: Emirates Orders

Posters in this thread seem to be missing two very important details: 1. Fleet decisions are not based on short-term outlooks. The resulting fleet decisions will look at an outlook past just the temporary demand slump from covid, and look anywhere from 10 to 20 years into the future. Investing in a ...

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by Airlinerdude
Mon Jul 06, 2020 4:38 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Canada News And Discussion Thread
Replies: 822
Views: 34734

Re: Air Canada Cutting 30 Domestic Routes, 8 Stations

Well this thread was ruined. I think with Air Canada, like many things, people see what they want to see. What you can't argue with (well, some do, but they're objectively wrong) is Air Canada's overall success pre covid. The airline has completely turned itself around. I disagree. This thread quic...

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by Airlinerdude
Thu Jul 02, 2020 5:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Canada News And Discussion Thread
Replies: 822
Views: 34734

Re: Air Canada Cutting 30 Domestic Routes, 8 Stations

Not that the blame is entirely on them; the Government should have stepped in, forced refunds, and provided a bailout; certainly less egregious than some of the more random and questionable billion $ handouts that followed the EI and wage subsidy ones. If only they had. Unfortunately the government...

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by Airlinerdude
Fri Jun 26, 2020 10:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1565
Views: 23197

Re: Official: Emirates to consider adding narrow body aircraft

Emirates can and will use Max jets with/from the Flydubai. No need for new order. And their won't be a new order. Yeah I think so as well. The MAX suits Emirates pretty well, Dubai is close enough to most destinations that the extra range of the A321LR/XLR are not needed. The MAX8 and also MAX9 wit...

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by Airlinerdude
Wed Jun 03, 2020 5:39 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Air Canada/Transat A.T. Inc. Conclude Amended Transaction for Combination of the Two Companies
Replies: 417
Views: 5125

Re: Confirmed: Air Canada to buy Air Transat

Neither Air Canada nor Transat would comment on the news reports, which first appeared in the French-language daily Journal de Montreal on 2 June. The story cites three sources that say Air Canada is lobbying the Canadian government to block the deal. You've got to be kidding me... AC trying to lob...

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by Airlinerdude
Wed May 27, 2020 9:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: AA is allowed to give hand sanitizer
Replies: 39
Views: 6204

Re: AA is not (yet) allowed to give hand sanitizer

From a safety perspective, is this much different than every passenger (who are probably already) bringing their own hand sanitizer?

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by Airlinerdude
Sun May 24, 2020 6:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Group announces $456 million profit for 2019/2020
Replies: 17
Views: 3580

Re: Emirates Group announces $456 million profit for 2019/2020

Emirates annual reports are transparently opaque, oxymoron but true. No one knows if they really have $7B cash. No one knows what is their burn rate. I'm not sure if this is some kind of philosophical statement or just a misunderstanding of how financial statements are produced and later audited. I...

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by Airlinerdude
Sun May 24, 2020 6:32 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1565
Views: 23197

Re: Rumour: Emirates to decommission 40% of A380 fleet

The numbers you quote don’t show the detail you need to complete a full analysis, it’s not a criticism from me, but merely pointing out that to understand the detail there needs to be a route by route analysis along with a specific daily capacity. To give you an example, several years ago there wer...

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by Airlinerdude
Sat May 23, 2020 8:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Group announces $456 million profit for 2019/2020
Replies: 17
Views: 3580

Re: Emirates Group announces $456 million profit for 2019/2020

Interesting, but I believe not enough Convid19 impact was recognized for the time frame. DL does own far more aircraft. If I do back of the envelope cash burn, EK has far less in labor, but about $5million/day more in aircraft financing. Aircraft do not have infinite costs. So EK's daily caah burn ...

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by Airlinerdude
Sat May 23, 2020 7:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1565
Views: 23197

Re: Rumour: Emirates to decommission 40% of A380 fleet

Revelation, You forget that the 77W has between 15-20 tonnes of premium cargo space available on missions 12hrs or less with a full pax load, that is most certainly also the case with the 380 in terms of payload...but not in terms of physical space, it is usually around 5-6 tonnes on a DXB-LHR sect...

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by Airlinerdude
Fri May 22, 2020 9:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Group announces $456 million profit for 2019/2020
Replies: 17
Views: 3580

Re: Emirates Group announces $456 million profit for 2019/2020

An interesting thing I picked up from reading Emirates' financials this morning was that EK has entered into a fuel hedge. the resulting hedge ineffectiveness (loss) of AED 1.1bn was recognised in the income statement. Reading into this a little bit more on pg. 123, EK has hedged 45% of expected jet...

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by Airlinerdude
Fri May 22, 2020 6:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1565
Views: 23197

Re: Rumour: Emirates to decommission 40% of A380 fleet

I did not read the FT article, it's behind a paywall. It would be nice if posters avoided such sites, or provided a bit more context such as you have done. Fair enough. In all truthfulness, there wasn't much new in the article that we didn't already know. I think the main emphasis of the article wa...

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by Airlinerdude
Fri May 22, 2020 3:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1565
Views: 23197

Re: Rumour: Emirates to decommission 40% of A380 fleet

Yet just two weeks ago STC said: “We have just got to accept that in the next year or two, perhaps a bit longer, demand for air travel is going to be tempered in many respects,” he said. “What emerges from this will be in my view almost perhaps 20 or 30 per cent less than what we were experiencing ...

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by Airlinerdude
Tue May 19, 2020 8:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1565
Views: 23197

Re: Rumour: Emirates to decommission 40% of A380 fleet

70% load factor suggests they aren't "always packed". I suspect the Emirates' report numbers are revenue passengers, versus total. Per the EK 2019-20 financials pg. 181: Passenger load factors for 2019 was 78.5%; 2018 was 76.8%; and 2017 was 77.5%. The 'Overall load factor' which you guys...

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by Airlinerdude
Tue May 19, 2020 7:22 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1565
Views: 23197

Re: Rumour: Emirates to decommission 40% of A380 fleet

The EK business model is resilient; I have internal sources telling me that they're operating at about 70% average revenues right now because of the huge amount of freight flying. I questioned that number, but knowing current freight prices and multiplying it across the 80 odd flights currently ope...

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by Airlinerdude
Tue May 19, 2020 5:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1565
Views: 23197

Re: Rumour: Emirates to decommission 40% of A380 fleet

Reading this thread and you'd come to the conclusion that international travel will cease to exist when this is pandemic is over... how interesting. Let me preface this by saying that I am relatively impartial when it comes to the A380. I've probably enjoyed the shower more times than anyone else in...

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by Airlinerdude
Fri May 08, 2020 4:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1565
Views: 23197

Re: EK's possible future?

Exact same for the 30 A350s as well too. Wonder why you did not the mention thems also too. For two reasons: 1. The hot and high performance on the A350 has been pointed out by those in this forum to be superior, which is an important factor for operating out of DXB during the summer. 2. That EK wo...

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by Airlinerdude
Fri May 08, 2020 2:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates Network & Fleet discussion 2020
Replies: 1565
Views: 23197

Re: EK's possible future?

Contrary to popular opinion on this forum, I think it's very possible that this pandemic has killed the chances of Emirates taking any of the 789 orders. There will soon be an excessive amount of wide body aircraft coming onto the market which will make it a lessee's market for a few years to come. ...

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by Airlinerdude
Fri May 08, 2020 2:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Sir Tim Clark "A380 is OVER"
Replies: 135
Views: 31229

Re: Sir Tim Clark "A380 is OVER"

I wonder what aviation finance community thinks about his comments. Those are not his frames, or even Emirates frames. These are owned by banks and lessors who bet their farms on his misadventures. Now making it sound like Airbus couldn't sell enough or other airlines didn't buy enough to save the ...

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by Airlinerdude
Mon May 04, 2020 5:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Canada News And Discussion Thread
Replies: 822
Views: 34734

Re: Air Canada announced for Q1 2020 a $1.05B loss + retirement of 79 older aircraft

I don't think it will be a Rouge (not Rogue!) Transat merger. If the deal for Transat goes through, and AC has not pronounced itself on that yet, I think Rouge will simply go rogue and get disbanded, ... Transat then becomes the LCC brand for AC. It has much higher brand reputation especially in Qu...

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