Search found 149 matches

by sq256
Mon Sep 03, 2018 12:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2018
Replies: 444
Views: 34823

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2018

Brisbane ... Samoa needs the link, profitability is probably not the most important factor. APW already has a link to BNE on VA - this adds nothing. Further, profitability most definitely is important, as PH nearly bankrupted Samoa in the 2000's. If they want a new port, I would've suggested WLG - ...

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by sq256
Mon Sep 03, 2018 12:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2018
Replies: 444
Views: 34823

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2018

eta unknown wrote:
Well if TG is reducing a daily 788 to 4x/week I'd say BNE-BKK is not long for this world.


You've said that before for Eva Air, Etihad, Air Canada, et al years ago and you've never been right. Whatever vendetta you may have against Brisbane you should keep it to yourself.

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by sq256
Mon Sep 03, 2018 4:55 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Northwest Airlines Terminal at JFK?
Replies: 11
Views: 1565

Re: Northwest Airlines Terminal at JFK?

Terminal 2. They later moved in T9 after Braniff went into liquidation in the 1980s, and eventually moved back to T4 / T2 as part of the DL merger. Edit: NW moved back to T4/IAB in the mid 90s: http://www.departedflights.com/JFK95.html NW was also in the old T9 in 1991, shortly after UA moved out to...

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by sq256
Sun Sep 02, 2018 1:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2018
Replies: 444
Views: 34823

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2018

Hey guys, Firstly Happy Fathers Day to those who are fathers, caregivers and support men.... Secondly the austbt article about Singapore possibly buying out HNA's stake (and/or Etihad's stake) in Virgin Australia makes complete sense to me. I hope that it happens and that Singapore gives Virgin Aus...

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by sq256
Sat Sep 01, 2018 6:09 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018
Replies: 660
Views: 55525

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018

After the small shareholders are excluded there are only 5 shareholders (SQ ~20%, EY ~20%, HNA ~21%, Nanshan ~20%, Virgin ~11%). EY and Virgin have no interest in increasing their holding because EY can't afford it and Virgin are happy with a minor holding and board representation. This means that ...

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by sq256
Wed Aug 29, 2018 1:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018
Replies: 660
Views: 55525

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018

- Wouldn't the 77W's size be less of an issue if all operations were hubbed through one airport? - Wouldn't hubbing through one airport allow VA to operate higher frequencies than otherwise? All 77W operations are hubbed through one airport, it’s just that hub is in the US rather than being in Aust...

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by sq256
Wed Aug 29, 2018 1:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018
Replies: 660
Views: 55525

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018

In my opinion VA's China venture is a suicide mission and should never have started. The right decision back then should be sacking JB right then and there. It wasn't going to happen when the other shareholders (EY, SQ and Virgin Group) didn't agree with Luxon's "alleged" demands for VA t...

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by sq256
Wed Aug 29, 2018 12:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Virgin Australia reports underlying $109m profit, converts 10 737MAX8 to 10 737MAX10
Replies: 24
Views: 4505

Re: Virgin Australia reports $109m profit, orders MAX10

I would say this title is a bit misleading as the ultimate result they reported after everything is a loss of $653m.... Yes - they made a profit "operationally", but their definition of "operation" excludes any restructuring costs. If you include that, they're already making a l...

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by sq256
Wed Aug 29, 2018 12:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018
Replies: 660
Views: 55525

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018

In my opinion VA's China venture is a suicide mission and should never have started. The right decision back then should be sacking JB right then and there. It wasn't going to happen when the other shareholders (EY, SQ and Virgin Group) didn't agree with Luxon's "alleged" demands for VA t...

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by sq256
Wed Aug 29, 2018 6:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018
Replies: 660
Views: 55525

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018

VS's HKG flight also has a interline arrangement with VA's ex-SYD/MEL-HKG flights. Although slots at HKG are difficult to get atm, I would think both VS and VA would ideally want the slots at HKG and/or LHR traded/retimed to ensure a quicker connection westbound (6 hour transit at HKG ex-SYD/MEL atm).

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by sq256
Wed Aug 29, 2018 1:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018
Replies: 660
Views: 55525

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018

I wonder what would the future hold for VA. The usual two suspects that have been mentioned in the past in media (SQ and DL) have not expressed interest in taking over for the short (to medium) term, whilst 2 of their existing shareholders (HNA and EY) are both in massive debt. One has to wonder if ...

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by sq256
Sun Aug 19, 2018 2:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018
Replies: 660
Views: 55525

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018

May have been CX’s old A340s on the old MEL-ADL-HKG-MEL triangular route? (ADL now has its own standalone CX flights to HKG, and the A340s have long gone).

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by sq256
Sat Aug 18, 2018 9:12 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018
Replies: 660
Views: 55525

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018

Just because the parent of airlines are owned by the larger carriers in the big 3 doesn't necessarily mean they'll immediately join the alliance of their parent. EI (BA), VS (DL), etc. Also, EY may possibly be facing a veto from UA on the back of the CEOs of the US3 hostilities towards the ME3. The...

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by sq256
Sat Aug 18, 2018 8:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018
Replies: 660
Views: 55525

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018

https://centreforaviation.com/analysis/ ... wth-432701
-->

Although not guaranteed, I do have to wonder if a CEB-BNE link may work from a loads and/or yield perspective, even if it only starts at 2 or 3 weekly.

https://centreforaviation.com/analysis/ ... wth-432701

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by sq256
Sat Aug 18, 2018 8:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018
Replies: 660
Views: 55525

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018

I do think as more 789 are delivered we’ll more fragmentation of QF markets, as the 744 capacity is replaced, and growth continues in markets. Fragmentation is all well and good but where do the aircraft come from? The current order book has 10x 789s to replace 10x 744s with little slack left elsew...

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by sq256
Sat Aug 18, 2018 8:35 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018
Replies: 660
Views: 55525

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018

I still don't understand the VA in SkyTeam argument. Two of their largest shareholders SQ and EY, one is in *A and the other is getting ever closer to *A. DL is not even on the board. I know your argument about UA and NZ's veto power and I agree nothing can happen in the short term but perhaps we w...

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by sq256
Thu Aug 16, 2018 4:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018
Replies: 660
Views: 55525

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018

I don't really think the QF/NZ relationship can go any further than what it is now. How many of you really think QF/NZ partnership makes any sense? Maybe after JB is gone, all parties could go back to more rational thinking. NZ and QF can't go any further because of massive competition issues. Any ...

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by sq256
Thu Aug 16, 2018 4:38 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018
Replies: 660
Views: 55525

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018

I don't really think the QF/NZ relationship can go any further than what it is now. How many of you really think QF/NZ partnership makes any sense? Maybe after JB is gone, all parties could go back to more rational thinking. I see it as a 'the enemy of my enemy is my friend' situation. Would serve ...

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by sq256
Thu Aug 16, 2018 12:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018
Replies: 660
Views: 55525

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2018

There's also the infamous QF/CX "relationship" where the only co-operation is lounge accesss & interline arrangements. VA passengers being removed from the *A lounge at LAX was a NZ decision (as NZ operates the *A lounge at LAX), and was the beginning of the end of the NZ/VA JV. Previo...

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by sq256
Thu Aug 02, 2018 3:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JAL plans high-density Dreamliners for new long-haul LCC
Replies: 50
Views: 1567

Re: Japan Airlines to start new Long Haul Low Cost airline

Considering how much JAL lags behind ANA now in terms of medium and long haul, an LCC may allow them to break thru, and there are certainly a lot of opportunities. First, destinations such as HNL and BNE can be transferred to the LCC. JAL doesn't fly to BNE. It's already covered by QF and JL codesh...

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by sq256
Sun Oct 15, 2017 4:22 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: When will Virgin Australia expand its network?
Replies: 26
Views: 3588

Re: When will Virgin Australia expand its network?

As far as expansion goes, I'd suggest the selling off of the E-Jet and ATR families of aircraft will have a subsequent impact on passengers flown. So from this perspective the airline will probably be in contraction for a few years as it exits the (regional) markets that were a drain on its profits...

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by sq256
Fri Oct 13, 2017 1:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: When will Virgin Australia expand its network?
Replies: 26
Views: 3588

Re: When will Virgin Australia expand its network?

As mentioned, you won't see VA expanding outside of their HK/China plans (using the A330s) anytime soon considering their financial situation ever since they rebranded from the Virgin Blue LCC to hybrid-carrier Virgin Australia. VA as already mentioned was also crippled with the multiple shareholder...

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by sq256
Sun Sep 24, 2017 1:39 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2017
Replies: 395
Views: 38386

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2017

From what I am can work out VA is trying to transform itself back to something a tad more luxurious than the old VB. Putting my Armchair CEO hat, getting more consistency at VA would be a start. Reducing their fleet types (which they have started to do), along with the decision of going to MoM (Hyb...

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by sq256
Sat Sep 23, 2017 6:02 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2017
Replies: 395
Views: 38386

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2017

At least SYD shares the 'pain' of Bus Boarding between all carriers (home & overseas) rather than adopting the standard at other international ports of subjecting the 'Home Carriers' to bus boarding whilst dedicating the jetways to international carriers Most other ports worldwide (& MEL fro...

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by sq256
Fri Sep 22, 2017 4:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA announces IAH-SYD, starting Jan 18, 2018
Replies: 155
Views: 26529

Re: UA announces IAH-SYD, starting Jan 18, 2018

I wonder how this will impact the QF/AA JV that is in the pipelines, this to me would highlight conpetition is live and well, and the DOT should not be worried about AA/QF, and would look to approve NZ/UA as pacific JV. It also highlights to me, VA have once again chosen a the wrong partner. UA and...

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by sq256
Sun Sep 17, 2017 4:04 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2017
Replies: 395
Views: 38386

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2017

According to this article there is an airline looking Bali and beyond from TSV, though the person who has mentioned this is a politician so I will believe it when something is actually announced http://www.townsvillebulletin.com.au/news/options-in-store-for-bali-flights-as-jetstar-cease-services/ne...

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by sq256
Thu Sep 14, 2017 9:31 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2017
Replies: 395
Views: 38386

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2017

Someone's gotta tell them that a full plane doesn't automatically equal profit. If JQ had to continually offer $99 base fares (not including baggage and credit card fees) to fill up the flights, it only confirms the suspicions that the yields on TSV-DPS were extremely low, making the route unviable.

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by sq256
Wed Sep 13, 2017 2:32 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Would UA and/or AA adopt a similar p2p/focus city strategy to keep up with DL?
Replies: 71
Views: 10083

Re: Would UA and/or AA adopt a similar p2p/focus city strategy to keep up with DL?

Past attempts at Focus Cities didn't quite work with UA (Seattle & Miami). Although UA never considered JFK as a "hub" or "focus city", their JFK operations at their peak was one large O&D outstation with a international crew base, at least before UA's drawback to just p....

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by sq256
Mon Sep 04, 2017 7:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2017
Replies: 395
Views: 38386

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2017

I have heard on the grapevine that an airline (from Asia) that currently does not fly to PER yet has been in town evaluating the airport over the past week or so I know who it is- a little out of left field and not that exciting, but I guess it's an extra notch in the PER belt. The monopoly carrier...

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by sq256
Sat Sep 02, 2017 2:26 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: American Airlines at JFK, A Few Years From Now
Replies: 29
Views: 3469

Re: American Airlines at JFK, A Few Years From Now

IMO, JFK may be "right-sized" for AA to be primarily a O&D "hub", similar to how LAX is for UA.

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by sq256
Tue Aug 29, 2017 8:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2017
Replies: 550
Views: 54876

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2017

I have just read that BNE CEO Julieanne Alroe stating that the QF 789s would allow an increase of up 70,000 seats per year on the BNE-USA route (in general, not LAX in particular). So, assuming the current 744 config of 364 seats per day = 2548 per week (132860 per year) Extra 70000 seats per year =...

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by sq256
Tue Aug 29, 2017 5:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2017
Replies: 550
Views: 54876

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2017

My guess for the 4 BNE based B789s: The first 2: BNE-LAX-JFK-LAX-BNE will switch from B744 to B789, this will also enable aircraft rotation on the return through LAX with the MEL based B789s (QF96) The second 2: BNE-DFW-BNE, this will pick up some of the capacity short fall by the replacement of th...

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by sq256
Fri Aug 18, 2017 9:22 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2017
Replies: 550
Views: 54876

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2017

wouldn't AVV & OOL be perfect for Norwegian ? AVV doesn't have customs for passenger services currently, although it could be done NZ got customs added to MCY for there flight to AKL. OOL is almost near breaking point, so would need to be in the off-peak. MCY's runway is only long enough for sh...

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by sq256
Wed Aug 16, 2017 1:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Virgin Australia announces a net loss of $185 million for FY16/17
Replies: 103
Views: 10759

Re: Virgin Australia announces a net loss of $185 million for FY16/17

NZ will not be buying out SQ and EY under any scenario. The biggest risk to NZ, and the reason they pulled the pin when they realised where this was heading, is that VA is a larger carrier than NZ. This had the potential to be Ansett 2.0, and could have pulled down NZ if VA really hit the rocks. At...

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by sq256
Tue Aug 15, 2017 3:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Virgin Australia announces a net loss of $185 million for FY16/17
Replies: 103
Views: 10759

Re: Virgin Australia announces a net loss of $185 million for FY16/17

https://www.ausbt.com.au/air-berlin-files-for-insolvency-after-etihad-withdraws-support Expect Alitalia and Virgin Australia to be next on the chopping block for EY divesting from their investments (and away from the "Hogan" legacy). Though both Alitalia and Air Berlin were both known to b...

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by sq256
Mon Aug 14, 2017 3:12 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Virgin Australia announces a net loss of $185 million for FY16/17
Replies: 103
Views: 10759

Re: Virgin Australia announces a net loss of $185 million for FY16/17

I think what needs to happen is a massive simplification and retreat to the domestic market. Strip all the cost out of the business and position yourself as the cheaper qantas and more civilised Jetstar. Cheap fares that are unbundled but give you plus legroom, plus luggage, plus food (like NZ). Gr...

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by sq256
Sat Aug 12, 2017 1:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Virgin Australia announces a net loss of $185 million for FY16/17
Replies: 103
Views: 10759

Re: Virgin Australia announces a net loss of $185 million for FY16/17

VA has never made a full financial year profit since their days as DJ the LCC.

There has been the occasional "quarterly" profit from VA, but that counts for nothing when the full financial year ends in a loss.

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by sq256
Sat Aug 12, 2017 11:23 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Virgin Australia announces a net loss of $185 million for FY16/17
Replies: 103
Views: 10759

Re: Virgin Australia announces a net loss of $185 million for FY16/17

I suspect Borghetti was well aware of the low yield he would be facing into China but he simply did not have another option when no one else would inject cash into his airline when he needed it other than HNA. He probably also thought HNA would be happy to lease them some long haul aircraft they di...

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by sq256
Thu Aug 10, 2017 12:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Virgin Australia announces a net loss of $185 million for FY16/17
Replies: 103
Views: 10759

Re: Virgin Australia announces a net loss of $185 million for FY16/17

I would go as far as saying they should also end than Trans-Tasman service, and just keep coding sharing with VA for the Tasman feed. With NZ using additional 787/777 services on the Tasman/Pacific ex-AKL it could free up some A320s to release VA from the remaining Tasman Network. Surely after losi...

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by sq256
Thu Aug 10, 2017 6:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Virgin Australia announces a net loss of $185 million for FY16/17
Replies: 103
Views: 10759

Re: Virgin Australia announces a net loss of $185 million for FY16/17

Putting on my armchair CEO hat, whilst it's too easy to say VA should pull out of almost all international routes and focus mostly being on a AU/NZ Domestic & Trans-Tasman carrier, I personally do think they have a place on the international stage, if managed carefully (which is no where near th...

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by sq256
Wed Aug 02, 2017 11:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is the Bay Area the only region in the US to have three Int'l airports?
Replies: 89
Views: 11392

Re: Is the Bay Area the only region in the US to have three Int'l airports?

The SE Queensland region in Australia (Brisbane & the Coasts) have 2 full-time Intl Airports (BNE & OOL), and 2 smaller Airports with limited Intl services - MCY (Seasonal NZ services to AKL) & WTB (1 per week freighter service to HKG). That's 4 Airports in the region with Intl services ...

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by sq256
Mon Jun 19, 2017 1:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2017
Replies: 292
Views: 39302

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2017

Personally, I would love to see 9W launch MEL & SYD from BOM - split into maybe 3x weekly each. If you look at the India side (http://www.tourism.australia.com/documents/Markets/TASI11145_Market_Profiles_2017_India-Full-V5.pdf) the southern half of India dominate tourist flows. With the state o...

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by sq256
Wed Jun 07, 2017 1:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2017
Replies: 292
Views: 39302

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2017

a return on mainline to DPS /CGK. DPS is a beach market with very low yielding demand. Running QF mainline 737s will likely run into a loss for them considering the PER-DPS market is already saturated with LCCs, and there aren't enough CUBs in suits to make QF mainline service on the PER-DPS viable...

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by sq256
Wed May 24, 2017 1:18 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Hard Stand Airline in the US......
Replies: 52
Views: 7164

Re: Hard Stand Airline in the US......

EK371 ex-BKK (a DXB redeye) semi-regularly gets bus gates at Bangkok complete with the provided bus ride from the bus gate waiting areas. Usually due to EK384 departing an hour prior to that at one of the A380 gates.

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by sq256
Fri May 19, 2017 8:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Fifth freedom flights of the past
Replies: 14
Views: 1906

Re: Fifth freedom flights of the past

QF had CGK-SIN, SIN-BKK, BKK-HKG & AKL-LAX in the 90s/early 00s.

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by sq256
Thu May 18, 2017 11:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2017
Replies: 402
Views: 42856

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2017

Could Tigerair's 737s make SYD/BNE-APW at full payloads? Both routes seem to be candidates for "Tigerisation" to their LCC subsidiary.

Edit: Looking at SYD-APW's flight times, perhaps not unless if seats are blocked off (payload restricted).

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by sq256
Thu May 18, 2017 12:53 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2017
Replies: 402
Views: 42856

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2017

Looks like it's "Ansett repeated" for Virgin, although not as bad as Ansett's MkI's situation financially.
Surely Borghetti must be under the pump by now.

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by sq256
Thu May 11, 2017 11:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United's future International Expansion
Replies: 101
Views: 17633

Re: United's future International Expansion

Maybe SFO-MNL or LAX-MNL. That route is long overdue. Both routes are way too low yielding to support 2 carriers profitably (in Y heavy seating configs) on non-stop runs. LAX-BNE anyone? The BNE-LAX route can barely accomodate 2 carriers at satisfactory yields. I'm aware VA lacks the international ...

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by sq256
Thu May 11, 2017 5:04 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2017
Replies: 402
Views: 42856

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2017

JQ & NAN... didn't they also try OOL-NAN and it didn't work? Beach Market to Beach Market route that was a very risky attempt due to the ultra low yield nature on both ends of the route. Not sure if BNE-NAN can support 3-carriers, in addition to JQ's parent company (QF group) having a stake in ...

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by sq256
Wed Apr 26, 2017 2:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2017
Replies: 292
Views: 29915

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2017

eta unknown wrote:
Thai77w wrote:
Re: air asia at BNE.

If it happens there won't be any reductions to OOL. It will be standalone.


Confirmed D7 to BNE is NOT happening.


Malindo Air/Batik Air Malaysia had a 1 month lead time for their BNE-KUL-DPS route. I'll give D7 til early-mid May before writing them off.

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