Search found 2788 matches

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by aerokiwi
Wed Apr 15, 2020 2:37 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1158
Views: 116839

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020

So here is a hypothetical of the VA situation: VA in its current form is finished. It has called in the restructuring experts and is now in a desperate fight against time to restructure and survive. It has to fight a battle on multiple fronts at the same time in order to pull off the deal for the n...

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by aerokiwi
Fri Apr 10, 2020 2:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 302
Views: 39307

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - April 2020

Swiss 77W pushing back at AKL with 2 LH A388's in the background https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EVEJs14UEAE2Ix7?format=jpg&name=large https://twitter.com/LX_Newsroom/status/1247790924156907523?s=20 Wow. Just... wow! A Swiss 77W and two - TWO! - LH A380s at AKL. Just amazing. But weirdly, a sight y...

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by aerokiwi
Fri Apr 10, 2020 7:13 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1158
Views: 116839

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020

Right now there is 1 QF737 airborne in all of Australia Which should indicate the VA shutdown is as much an industry issue (QF shutdown anyone?), and not just VA is screwed. There simply is no demand, so why fly planes with no pax. The question is not whether the VA shutdown means the carrier won't...

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by aerokiwi
Fri Apr 10, 2020 6:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1158
Views: 116839

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020

Found some Avalon photos of the parked aircraft: https://www.facebook.com/AvalonAirport/posts/2833179080062987 Here are some pics https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EVJAmDHUMAEAmuv?format=jpg&name=large https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EVJAow7VAAAF0VF?format=jpg&name=large https://pbs.twimg.com/media/E...

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by aerokiwi
Thu Apr 09, 2020 12:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1158
Views: 116839

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020

It would seem to me that this announcement from VA is a bit of a stunt to get attention (perhaps rightly so) from the govt to get the support it wants. I think VA could emerge well placed if it were put in voluntary administration. As others have said, they have a profitable domestic airline and Ve...

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by aerokiwi
Thu Apr 09, 2020 12:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1158
Views: 116839

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020

Easter and Australia's second biggest airline are traditionally not good bedfellows... Agreed - I do wonder what would happen if Qantas tried to follow suit with maybe just an daily MEL-SYD-BNE run now that VA is barely operating. Passengers could be staying away from flying with Virgin because of ...

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by aerokiwi
Thu Apr 09, 2020 12:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1158
Views: 116839

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020

It would seem to me that this announcement from VA is a bit of a stunt to get attention (perhaps rightly so) from the govt to get the support it wants. I think VA could emerge well placed if it were put in voluntary administration. As others have said, they have a profitable domestic airline and Ve...

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by aerokiwi
Wed Apr 08, 2020 8:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1158
Views: 116839

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020

Most landlords of commercial property are providing rent relief to their distressed tenants. Airports, being monopolies, plus also suffering a significant loss in non rental revenues, are probably not providing any rent relief. Its a pity legislation has not been passed making some form of rent rel...

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by aerokiwi
Sat Apr 04, 2020 7:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1158
Views: 116839

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020

Turns out Branson is only "deferring" licensing fees and it'll have to be "paid back eventually". RB sure doing "his part" to ensure his part owned companies (in trouble) hit the wall. RB has suspended licensing fees to companies using the "Virgin" brand for ...

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by aerokiwi
Thu Apr 02, 2020 1:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Government Does Not Plan to Bailout Virgin Australia - Could Create New Airline
Replies: 64
Views: 11069

Re: Australian Government Does Not Plan to Bailout Virgin Australia - Could Create New Airline

A few points on this: 1. Should the Australian Government bail out Virgin and Rex? The answer to that is unequivocally no. Australia has a process for Insolvent Companies to go through and yes it will mean that a whole range of people will take haircuts in that deal. But if it allows both to surviv...

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by aerokiwi
Thu Apr 02, 2020 3:31 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Government Does Not Plan to Bailout Virgin Australia - Could Create New Airline
Replies: 64
Views: 11069

Re: Australian Government Does Not Plan to Bailout Virgin Australia - Could Create New Airline

A few points on this: 1. Should the Australian Government bail out Virgin and Rex? The answer to that is unequivocally no. Australia has a process for Insolvent Companies to go through and yes it will mean that a whole range of people will take haircuts in that deal. But if it allows both to surviv...

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by aerokiwi
Wed Apr 01, 2020 11:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Government Does Not Plan to Bailout Virgin Australia - Could Create New Airline
Replies: 64
Views: 11069

Re: Australian Government Does Not Plan to Bailout Virgin Australia - Could Create New Airline

Good luck with that, Australia. Because investors are just lining up to sink money into an airline. I guess Joyce poisoned the water just enough.

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by aerokiwi
Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:25 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1158
Views: 116839

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020

The federal government is in talks with both Qantas and Virgin about repatriation flights into remote areas where Australians are stranded. The government is also in discussions with Qantas about keeping open trunk routes such as LAX, LHR and HKG operating https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/te...

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by aerokiwi
Tue Mar 31, 2020 1:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 987
Views: 99324

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020

Really hard to see VA's way out of this. Virgin Blue was easily snookered by Jetstar which in turn was supported by the very deep pockets of Qantas, so a return to being a low-cost carrier won't work, but if after all these years of being a full-service carrier the airline can't turn a dime in prof...

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by aerokiwi
Mon Mar 30, 2020 5:22 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 480
Views: 41408

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - March 2020

To be honest, I don't think you need to be an "expert" to come to most of these conclusions. Airlines have huge outgoing costs and almost no incoming money. This virus will create a global recession and the consequence of this is lighter travel demand or downsizing of airlines. Agree 100%...

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by aerokiwi
Sun Mar 29, 2020 11:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 987
Views: 99324

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020

Virgin Fleet Status A330-200 XFC - stored AVV XFD - stored BNE XFE - stored PER XFG - stored BNE XFH - stored MEL XFJ - stored AVV ATR FVN - stored MEB FVP - in service FVQ - stored MEB FVR - stored MEB FVZ - stored MEB VPJ - stored MEB 737-700 VBY - stored BNE VBZ - stored MEL 737-800 BZG - stored...

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by aerokiwi
Sun Mar 29, 2020 11:18 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 987
Views: 99324

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020

The federal government has ruled out nationalizing any airline https://www.executivetraveller.com/news/qantas-virgin-australia-nationalised Note the magic words: it is not the government's intention to nationalise airlines. So not their intention now, but 6 months, 12 months down the track? That wi...

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by aerokiwi
Sun Mar 29, 2020 6:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 480
Views: 41408

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - March 2020

Article has been updated now (It quotes another article which is what i was referring to). Mis-interpretation as I thought. VA hasn’t decided if they will come back or not. No, the article says "Virgin Australia says it intends to resume flights across the Tasman after the coronavirus crisis h...

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by aerokiwi
Sun Mar 29, 2020 6:22 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 480
Views: 41408

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - March 2020

DavidByrne you like to write a lot regarding worst case scenario and quote "international media" to justify this. We don't know how long this will or won't go on for therefore and prediction or speculations are just that. It’s not that I “like” to post re the pessimistic side of things, b...

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by aerokiwi
Sat Mar 28, 2020 7:18 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 987
Views: 99324

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020

If VA had gone broke 3 months ago, would the Government have rushed in and bailed it out? I don't think so. If it was to occur now, same loss of competition, same loss of jobs. Difficult to make a case for the Government to spend a billion or so of tax payers money to get back into the airline busi...

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by aerokiwi
Fri Mar 27, 2020 12:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: No chevron on GE9X ?
Replies: 28
Views: 6913

Re: No chevron on GE9X ?

Can someone also explain why the -9x has a much larger silvered leading edge on the nacelle than the -90? Sorry if I'm not using the right terminology, bit of a tech noob here.

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by aerokiwi
Thu Mar 26, 2020 12:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 987
Views: 99324

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020

"Virgin Australia boss Paul Scurrah says more than 1000 of the workers it stood down this week will likely be made redundant as the airline grounds almost its entire fleet during the coronavirus pandemic. The redundancies are likely to include about 500 roles at Virgin's New Zealand base, whic...

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by aerokiwi
Thu Mar 26, 2020 12:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 987
Views: 99324

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020

"If corporate Australia isn't savvy enough to recognise that and support two carriers, then they'll pay the price. As will we all." I suspect that what's left of corporate Australia will be interested in the cheapest, most efficient airline, rather than any philosophical embrace of suppor...

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by aerokiwi
Wed Mar 25, 2020 1:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 987
Views: 99324

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020

ACCC may think they have such power, but realistically no: a) JQ is a wholly owned subsidiary- separate financials don't exist b) all of JQ's maintenance and other bills, etc are paid by QF c) how do you compensate QF shareholders if part of their investment is cast off? d) Imagine the optics of th...

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by aerokiwi
Wed Mar 25, 2020 6:32 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 987
Views: 99324

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020

Problem is that none of the shareholders are in a financial position to support VA whatsover. Branson only has a minority stake (10%) but I do agree with your point regarding the license fee that he obviously benefits from. 2 of them are basically already bankrupt in "administration" befo...

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by aerokiwi
Mon Mar 23, 2020 11:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 987
Views: 99324

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020

So if you think that neither companies or individuals will have enough money to travel extensively as before, why do think JQ will "effectively close their doors"? If anything the post-COVID19 environment will favour those airlines with a low cost base - i.e. JQ I think that flag carriers...

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by aerokiwi
Sun Mar 22, 2020 3:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 987
Views: 99324

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020

You still have the following ways to get to North America: UA: SYD/MEL-SFO NZ: AKL-LAX TN: AKL-PPT-LAX (no PPT stopover permitted) UA have officially pulled the plug on SFO-SYD & MEL. United Airlines now cancels all flights with last flight departing Australia on 25 Mar 20, cancelled through to...

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by aerokiwi
Thu Mar 19, 2020 9:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 987
Views: 99324

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020

Don't call them, just wait for the automatic cancelation credit to be processed and then book for your new dates online. The cost of your new dates later in the year is only going to drop over the next few months anyway. The call centres have enough to be dealing with at the moment without stuff th...

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by aerokiwi
Thu Mar 19, 2020 10:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 987
Views: 99324

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020

I cannot see if being feasible, especially because the vast majority of calls are either going to be cancellation (which admittedly is fairly straightforward) or rebooking and ticket reissue (potentially very complex). Now is not the time to be training up new staff. It will just divert existing st...

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by aerokiwi
Thu Mar 19, 2020 5:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 987
Views: 99324

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020

Yeah I'm not sure how helpful pinging the executive and their salaries is going to be. Also things are pretty fluid and will likely be reviewed a lot before the next financial year. It is now up to airline leadership to steer their airlines through this mess to even survive and re-employ tens of tho...

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by aerokiwi
Wed Mar 18, 2020 10:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 987
Views: 99324

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020

QF/JQ Route-by-route cuts announced https://www.qantasnewsroom.com.au/media-releases/qantas-group-network-changes/ https://www.qantasnewsroom.com.au/media-releases/qantas-group-outlines-customer-and-employee-impact-of-coronavirus-related-network-cuts/ -All international flights cancelled. - 2/3rds ...

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by aerokiwi
Wed Mar 18, 2020 2:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 987
Views: 99324

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020

There may be a number of enquiries that can be managed without undertaking booking changes. Effectively a triage operation, providing reassurance and guidance to less immediate travellers and taking the burden off the experts dealing with passengers with more immediate needs (I.e. travel within the...

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by aerokiwi
Wed Mar 18, 2020 1:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 480
Views: 41408

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - March 2020

Are airports waving or reducing fees for parking planes on the tarmac? And how long is it ok to park a plane at, say AKL, given the humidity/sea air? Seems NZ is ok with the 787s on stand for lengthy periods while they undergo engine replacements.

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by aerokiwi
Tue Mar 17, 2020 9:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 987
Views: 99324

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020

Logistically, it will be a bit of a small challenge. Issues facing this including having several dozen Laptops / PC's set up available with the correct applications. Training, even on a very basic / rushed scenario of the telephone sales policy's / procedures will be a couple of weeks. Once the tra...

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by aerokiwi
Tue Mar 17, 2020 7:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 987
Views: 99324

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020

The previous posts regarding FA's taking phone calls has actually made it to leadership level.. Logistically, it will be a bit of a small challenge. Issues facing this including having several dozen Laptops / PC's set up available with the correct applications. Training, even on a very basic / rush...

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by aerokiwi
Tue Mar 17, 2020 10:23 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 987
Views: 99324

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020

Just a thought bubble, I wonder what the logistics would be like to redeploy grounded FAs to work the phones given how unable to cope VA and QF call centres are at present. A week of training? The bigger problem is probably the actual on-shore call centre infrastructure is virtually non-existent no...

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by aerokiwi
Tue Mar 17, 2020 4:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 987
Views: 99324

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020

The next debt maturity is in October 2021, which if I'm reading it right, they've already set aside $350 million for. This then reduces their cash on hand to $900 million, still a fair chunk. Given I think it's pretty likely we'll see some temporary government support - loans, lines of credit, not ...

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by aerokiwi
Tue Mar 17, 2020 3:47 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 987
Views: 99324

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020

qf2220 wrote:
It is somewhat of an anathemic suggestion, but if VA were in significant trouble, would an NZ takeover be a different thing now compared to the Ansett one?


There won't be any takeovers of anyone by anyone any time soon.

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by aerokiwi
Tue Mar 17, 2020 3:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 987
Views: 99324

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020

VA's S&P Ratings Update (17 March 2020). Ratings remain at B-, and VAH knows that ALL of their parents have 'financial' difficulties of their own to come help. Source: https://www.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20200317/pdf/44g3xsdz35m16b.pdf Although Voluntary Administration for VAH seems unlikely at this ...

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by aerokiwi
Mon Mar 16, 2020 8:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 480
Views: 41408

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - March 2020

I agree with the take-a-breath sentiment. This is, so far, peak panic mode but governments everywhere are consolidating around plans and contingencies. The public feels pretty helpless right now but as restrictions become daily life we adjust and expectations change. I also agree that the onset of w...

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by aerokiwi
Sun Mar 15, 2020 11:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 480
Views: 41408

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - March 2020

I hadn't actually thought about the airline's helpline. Was thinking more about the government virus hotline, Healthline, that is already severely understaffed and stretched. Yeah my understanding of furlough is forced unpaid leave, but rehiring as soon as whatever crisis has passed. NZ-QF merger? W...

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by aerokiwi
Sun Mar 15, 2020 10:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 480
Views: 41408

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - March 2020

From 30 Mar to 30 June NZ suspending ORD, IAH, YVR, SFO, NRT, TPE, HNL, DPS, EZE and LAX-LHR https://twitter.com/camwallace_nz/status/1239284130493292544?s=21 Just another resource for this until an official Air NZ media release is made available. https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/travel/2020/03/air-n...

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by aerokiwi
Sun Mar 15, 2020 12:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 987
Views: 99324

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020

It would actually be an easy one, 90% of VA is owned by foreign airlines/companies whereas QF is still majority Australian owned.. Any bailout should effectively wipe out equity (much like NZ Govts bailout of AirNZ) so foreign ownership won't be an issue If the bailout is in the form of the Governm...

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by aerokiwi
Tue Mar 10, 2020 8:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will Korean Air Be Shutting Down?
Replies: 105
Views: 33211

Re: Will Korean Air Be Shutting Down?

Won't the virus be sufficiently widespread within a few weeks that travel restrictions will become almost pointless? If that happens, the world will be in deep trouble, you will have more things to worry about other than deciding whether to lift travel restrictions or not. Yeah no kidding. But this...

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by aerokiwi
Tue Mar 10, 2020 10:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will Korean Air Be Shutting Down?
Replies: 105
Views: 33211

Re: Will Korean Air Be Shutting Down?

Won't the virus be sufficiently widespread within a few weeks that travel restrictions will become almost pointless? Travel restrictions aren't the only problem but also sharp drops in passengers in general. Even if there were no travel restrictions, too many people are too scared to fly, which mea...

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by aerokiwi
Tue Mar 10, 2020 10:21 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will Korean Air Be Shutting Down?
Replies: 105
Views: 33211

Re: Will Korean Air Be Shutting Down?

Won't the virus be sufficiently widespread within a few weeks that travel restrictions will become almost pointless?

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by aerokiwi
Thu Mar 05, 2020 9:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 987
Views: 99324

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020

Update on Asiana services to SYD, now cancelled through to 28 Mar 20 https://www.routesonline.com/news/38/airlineroute/290111/asiana-airlines-feb-apr-2020-network-adjustment-as-of-05mar20/ That makes more sense. The first schedule changes seemed like the normal post summer reduction. You'd think th...

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by aerokiwi
Thu Feb 27, 2020 11:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Virgin Australia considering widebody order this year, 787’s or A350’s to replace A332’s and 77W’s
Replies: 113
Views: 13423

Re: Virgin Australia considering widebody order this year, 787’s or A350’s to replace A332’s and 77W’s

Obvious 789 order tbh. They made a mistake going for a split fleet and ordering 77Ws, and they seem to know it. 787 is the only one size fits all’ choice. The only reason the A330s were introduced to the fleet was because a disgruntled Borghetti, who was overlooked for the CEO position at QF, and t...

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by aerokiwi
Thu Feb 27, 2020 11:04 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - February 2020
Replies: 613
Views: 66098

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - February 2020

Perth Airport has been awarded best major airport in Australia by the ACCC for the third year in a row. Operating profit Aeronautical fees fell 19.2% due to lower fees charged to airlines. Across the big 4 airports operating profit for aeronautical fees increased by 3.6%. Perth Airport was the only...

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by aerokiwi
Thu Feb 27, 2020 11:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - February 2020
Replies: 613
Views: 66098

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - February 2020

Looks like Tiger will be wound up eventually - I hope they only receive the oldest of VA's 737s. Such a waste to put a Sky Interior jet there like last time. Has VA actually said what will happen to the 320s other than removed from TT? The A320's are leased, so are being returned to the lessors. Su...

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