Search found 10424 matches

by seahawk
Tue Jan 24, 2023 4:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MOM aircraft discussion - 100t to 200t MTOW
Replies: 385
Views: 43910

Re: MOM aircraft discussion - 100t to 200t MTOW

Of course not. But there aren't that many routes in the world that require exactly that capacity, that won't soon grow into big enough for a WB, and you are ignoring my main point - if the A321XLR did not exist - A330NEO would have a lot better backlog (probably). And you come to the conclusion how...

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by seahawk
Tue Jan 24, 2023 1:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MOM aircraft discussion - 100t to 200t MTOW
Replies: 385
Views: 43910

Re: MOM aircraft discussion - 100t to 200t MTOW

I never said you would plan to operate at 60%. The person I was responding too made a very definitive statement in that "but you would never fly an A330/787 at 60% load". Basically implying that if its at 60% load factor or less the flight is cancelled. BTW you get to 80% fleet average lo...

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by seahawk
Tue Jan 24, 2023 11:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MOM aircraft discussion - 100t to 200t MTOW
Replies: 385
Views: 43910

Re: MOM aircraft discussion - 100t to 200t MTOW

A330 and 787 fly at 60% all the time. Frequency matters for business people but not for Leisure travellers. When they are hundred's of new point to point routes in excess of 4,000NM but less than 4,700NM that open up that weren't big enough for a A330 or 787 then I will agree. We will also ignore t...

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by seahawk
Mon Jan 23, 2023 6:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MOM aircraft discussion - 100t to 200t MTOW
Replies: 385
Views: 43910

Re: MOM aircraft discussion - 100t to 200t MTOW

If they would stretch the A321, they will take the MTOW of the XLR and use it for a standard A322. They won´t stretch A321XLR, as it offers no benefit at all. And if you look at the operational limits (angel of rotation) there is not that much length left in the A321. To be honest the A321 has very...

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by seahawk
Mon Jan 23, 2023 5:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MOM aircraft discussion - 100t to 200t MTOW
Replies: 385
Views: 43910

Re: MOM aircraft discussion - 100t to 200t MTOW

Then you are down to around 8,6° from 9,7° rotation angle compared to the A321. This comes with drawbacks in performance and an increased tailstrike risk. Looking at aircraft stretches, usually the stretch is 2/3 in front of the wing, 1/3 after the wing, so for a 3.7m stretch, this would be ~1.3m a...

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by seahawk
Mon Jan 23, 2023 2:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MOM aircraft discussion - 100t to 200t MTOW
Replies: 385
Views: 43910

Re: MOM aircraft discussion - 100t to 200t MTOW

Then you are down to around 8,6° from 9,7° rotation angle compared to the A321. This comes with drawbacks in performance and an increased tailstrike risk.

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by seahawk
Mon Jan 23, 2023 11:38 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MOM aircraft discussion - 100t to 200t MTOW
Replies: 385
Views: 43910

Re: MOM aircraft discussion - 100t to 200t MTOW

If they would stretch the A321, they will take the MTOW of the XLR and use it for a standard A322. They won´t stretch A321XLR, as it offers no benefit at all. And if you look at the operational limits (angel of rotation) there is not that much length left in the A321. To be honest the A321 has very ...

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by seahawk
Fri Jan 20, 2023 4:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MOM aircraft discussion - 100t to 200t MTOW
Replies: 385
Views: 43910

Re: MOM aircraft discussion - 100t to 200t MTOW

This chart is only interesting, if you compare it to the standard A321NEO. Which show that the XLR makes sense from 2500nm to 3700nm, if you can fill the maximum payload. Or in other words. it extends the fully useful range of your A321 fleet by nearly 50% and it does this with a very tiny drawback...

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by seahawk
Fri Jan 20, 2023 10:19 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MOM aircraft discussion - 100t to 200t MTOW
Replies: 385
Views: 43910

Re: MOM aircraft discussion - 100t to 200t MTOW

This chart is only interesting, if you compare it to the standard A321NEO. Which show that the XLR makes sense from 2500nm to 3700nm, if you can fill the maximum payload. Or in other words. it extends the fully useful range of your A321 fleet by nearly 50% and it does this with a very tiny drawback ...

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by seahawk
Fri Jan 20, 2023 10:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Transat replacement A330s A350 or A330-8
Replies: 15
Views: 5448

Re: Air Transat replacement A330s A350 or A330-8

It would have to be a very short, less than 1000nm trip, for the CEO to come out on top in pure operating costs. That's kind of why I made reference to AC's better access to capital markets, above. Air Transat isn't flush with capital. IMHO, this is far from a pure operating cost decision, to be ma...

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by seahawk
Thu Jan 19, 2023 7:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Transat replacement A330s A350 or A330-8
Replies: 15
Views: 5448

Re: Air Transat replacement A330s A350 or A330-8

It would have to be a very short, less than 1000nm trip, for the CEO to come out on top in pure operating costs.

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by seahawk
Tue Jan 17, 2023 2:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MOM aircraft discussion - 100t to 200t MTOW
Replies: 385
Views: 43910

Re: MOM aircraft discussion - 100t to 200t MTOW

The thing that is missing in this analysis is that the XLR brings different economics to the field and that the market has changed quite a lot. Compare the average density of a 1990 747 vs a 2022 787 and you will see that the density has dropped quite a lot in favor of more spacious business class....

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by seahawk
Tue Nov 09, 2021 8:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Airbus goes legal as Qatar Airways jet row escalates
Replies: 1232
Views: 220739

Re: Qatar Airways has grounded 13 A350’s at the request of the Qatar Aviation regulator

And that is the point. This coating is not part of the structural element. So is this paint or structure? Or something in between. Obviously Airbus has some serious quality issues with the A350, but so far it show now indication that the actual structural elements are effected. And who should pay f...

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by seahawk
Tue Nov 09, 2021 8:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Airbus goes legal as Qatar Airways jet row escalates
Replies: 1232
Views: 220739

Re: Qatar Airways has grounded 13 A350’s at the request of the Qatar Aviation regulator

And that is the point. This coating is not part of the structural element. So is this paint or structure? Or something in between. Obviously Airbus has some serious quality issues with the A350, but so far it show now indication that the actual structural elements are effected.

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by seahawk
Tue Nov 09, 2021 7:51 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Airbus goes legal as Qatar Airways jet row escalates
Replies: 1232
Views: 220739

Re: Qatar Airways has grounded 13 A350’s at the request of the Qatar Aviation regulator

We are talking about CFRP - a composite material, the epoxy layers are an integral part of the structure and if they degrade it is structural damage.

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by seahawk
Tue Nov 09, 2021 7:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Airbus goes legal as Qatar Airways jet row escalates
Replies: 1232
Views: 220739

Re: Qatar Airways has grounded 13 A350’s at the request of the Qatar Aviation regulator

We have also a clear statement from EASA that no structural components are involved.

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by seahawk
Tue Nov 09, 2021 6:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Airbus goes legal as Qatar Airways jet row escalates
Replies: 1232
Views: 220739

Re: Qatar Airways has grounded 13 A350’s at the request of the Qatar Aviation regulator

" "This is not a paint issue," Al Baker said on Thursday. " https://www.lse.co.uk/news/update-1-qatar-airways-says-airbus-spat-risks-industrial-repercussions-4a4z8sr62bge8rl.html ....it doesn't get any more straightforward than that. This depends on how you define paint. AAB doe...

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by seahawk
Mon Nov 08, 2021 7:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Airbus goes legal as Qatar Airways jet row escalates
Replies: 1232
Views: 220739

Re: Qatar Airways has grounded 13 A350’s at the request of the Qatar Aviation regulator

Just no. They talked about paint degradation or cracks on the composites panel, which just means in the paint.

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by seahawk
Mon Nov 08, 2021 9:58 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Airbus goes legal as Qatar Airways jet row escalates
Replies: 1232
Views: 220739

Re: Qatar Airways has grounded 13 A350’s at the request of the Qatar Aviation regulator

The more interesting point is that other airlines seem to have found no problems.

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by seahawk
Mon Nov 08, 2021 6:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: FT: Risks of Airbus passing 60% market share.
Replies: 92
Views: 17475

Re: FT: Risks of Airbus passing 60% market share.

Like someone said above, the market works in cycles and Boeing will most likely be fine. It was just around 2005 with the A380 issues that some (mostly) American A.net posters (including a few present in this thread) would tell us of Airbus' impending end due to all the A380 issues and overruns, no...

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by seahawk
Fri Nov 05, 2021 9:28 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Spain to choose F-35 or Typhoon to replace F-18
Replies: 54
Views: 8743

Re: Spain to choose F-35 or Typhoon to replace F-18

~20 EFs for the F-A-18+ at Gando.

~12-20 F-35B for the Navy.

which leaves replacement for the ~50 F-18Ms. Considering they are used by 2 wings, I think it will be a split buy. ~25 F-35A + ~ 25 EF. Or mabye keep one wing with the F-18Ms till FCAS arrives.

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by seahawk
Fri Nov 05, 2021 6:18 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Spain to choose F-35 or Typhoon to replace F-18
Replies: 54
Views: 8743

Re: Spain to choose F-35 or Typhoon to replace F-18

35-50 F-35 (12-25 Bs and the rest As) and about 40-45 EFs.

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by seahawk
Thu Nov 04, 2021 10:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: FT: Risks of Airbus passing 60% market share.
Replies: 92
Views: 17475

Re: FT: Risks of Airbus passing 60% market share.

In the end it is not Airbus reaching 60%, it is Boeing reaching 40%. The imbalance is solely created by errors committed at Boeing. If Boeing continues to fumble the certification process with the regulators and continues to fail to establish a working quality control in their manufacturing, Airbus...

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by seahawk
Thu Nov 04, 2021 8:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: FT: Risks of Airbus passing 60% market share.
Replies: 92
Views: 17475

Re: FT: Risks of Airbus passing 60% market share.

In the end it is not Airbus reaching 60%, it is Boeing reaching 40%. The imbalance is solely created by errors committed at Boeing. If Boeing continues to fumble the certification process with the regulators and continues to fail to establish a working quality control in their manufacturing, Airbus ...

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by seahawk
Tue Nov 02, 2021 9:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Reuters: Airbus launches A350 freighter
Replies: 1858
Views: 335000

Re: Updated: Reuters: Airbus launches A350 freighter

Without new engines the 767 production ends in 2027, after that you can not longer register a 767 for the first time.

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by seahawk
Tue Nov 02, 2021 8:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus blasted by leasing companies over plans to lift jet production
Replies: 231
Views: 33861

Re: Airbus blasted by leasing companies over plans to lift jet production

The end the question will be what products does the production cover. Will it be A319/A320/A321 or will they add an A322? Personally I think 75 is too much and Airbus should not go over 60 frames a months, as it seems like COVID will be with us for a long time and the economic consequences are just ...

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by seahawk
Mon Nov 01, 2021 9:11 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Where would De Havilland be today if the Comet didnt have issues?
Replies: 16
Views: 3188

Re: Where would De Havilland be today if the Comet didnt have issues?

The limitations of the design, would still be a problem. The pax capacity is still smaller and the embedded engines make it a lot harder to modify the design for newer engines.

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by seahawk
Sat Oct 30, 2021 1:58 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: what's so wrong about eurowhihte/simple livery?
Replies: 43
Views: 2908

Re: what's so wrong about eurowhihte/simple livery?

Not the branding though. The logo looks better in the booking engines, the lounges look better, the check-in counters look better, the website looks much better and the whole branding just works. Who cares about the livery? I think back in the day (meaning, up to the 80s or so), a lot of airports a...

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by seahawk
Fri Oct 29, 2021 2:25 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Can somebody tell me why sewage is being dumped in UK rivers ??
Replies: 31
Views: 3085

Re: Can somebody tell me why sewage is being dumped in UK rivers ??

Having overflows during strong rains is the normal technology standard, as long as you have a system that collects waste water and rain water. It does have that system but it is nowhere near sufficient for volume of rain nor the population of the UK as it is today. That's why the system reaches a l...

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by seahawk
Fri Oct 29, 2021 7:03 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: what's so wrong about eurowhihte/simple livery?
Replies: 43
Views: 2908

Re: what's so wrong about eurowhihte/simple livery?

I rarely look at my phone from a distance. And the most time I see the logo is on the internet or maybe in the airport, where the new branding works just fine.

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by seahawk
Fri Oct 29, 2021 5:12 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Can somebody tell me why sewage is being dumped in UK rivers ??
Replies: 31
Views: 3085

Re: Can somebody tell me why sewage is being dumped in UK rivers ??

Having overflows during strong rains is the normal technology standard, as long as you have a system that collects waste water and rain water.

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by seahawk
Thu Oct 28, 2021 3:14 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: what's so wrong about eurowhihte/simple livery?
Replies: 43
Views: 2908

Re: what's so wrong about eurowhihte/simple livery?

I simply disagree. The new logo looks modern and makes the crane logo much easier to recognize. The old one looked like Lidl or an egg - cheap and dated.

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by seahawk
Thu Oct 28, 2021 5:39 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Interesting article on the 787 at 10 years old - "is the Boeing 787 Dreamliner still more dream than nightmare?"
Replies: 58
Views: 11427

Re: Interesting article on the 787 at 10 years old - "is the Boeing 787 Dreamliner still more dream than nightmare?"

I don't think the 787 is a 'game-changer' as much as is sometimes perceived, it's the next step after the 777/A330, and what it has achieved is following a similar line of evolution to those aircraft. That said, it has been very good for the airlines, its size, capabilities and efficiency were exac...

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by seahawk
Thu Oct 28, 2021 5:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus blasted by leasing companies over plans to lift jet production
Replies: 231
Views: 33861

Re: Airbus blasted by leasing companies over plans to lift jet production

Airbus rebuffs concerns: https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/airbus-rebuffs-complaints-over-plans-to-lift-jet-output-2021-10-25?amp Airbus has responded by saying it is sticking to its plans, which involve a firm target of 64 A320-family jets a month in the second quarter of 2023, along with studies to...

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by seahawk
Wed Oct 27, 2021 3:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Interesting article on the 787 at 10 years old - "is the Boeing 787 Dreamliner still more dream than nightmare?"
Replies: 58
Views: 11427

Re: Interesting article on the 787 at 10 years old - "is the Boeing 787 Dreamliner still more dream than nightmare?"

What a nightmare. * technology breakthrough * unbeaten performance * outstanding dispatch reliability * best operating cost in the market * flown by all major airlines * totally crushed the competition You choose to miss the points relating to the factors needed for the airframe to be considered to...

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by seahawk
Wed Oct 27, 2021 5:14 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Interesting article on the 787 at 10 years old - "is the Boeing 787 Dreamliner still more dream than nightmare?"
Replies: 58
Views: 11427

Re: Interesting article on the 787 at 10 years old - "is the Boeing 787 Dreamliner still more dream than nightmare?"

What a nightmare.

* technology breakthrough
* unbeaten performance
* outstanding dispatch reliability
* best operating cost in the market
* flown by all major airlines
* totally crushed the competition

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by seahawk
Wed Oct 27, 2021 5:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus blasted by leasing companies over plans to lift jet production
Replies: 231
Views: 33861

Re: Airbus blasted by leasing companies over plans to lift jet production

Airbus rebuffs concerns: https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/airbus-rebuffs-complaints-over-plans-to-lift-jet-output-2021-10-25?amp Airbus has responded by saying it is sticking to its plans, which involve a firm target of 64 A320-family jets a month in the second quarter of 2023, along with studies to...

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by seahawk
Tue Oct 26, 2021 6:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air France-KLM signs for up to 160 A320neos and eight A350 freighters
Replies: 372
Views: 83386

Re: AF-KLM Group Narrowbody tender

Opus99 wrote:
https://twitter.com/officialgmoore/status/1452742259200430093?s=21

And as we expected. Major for win Boeing

All 160 jets to be 737 MAX


That would be fantastic news for KLM/Transavia and Boeing.

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by seahawk
Tue Oct 26, 2021 5:07 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus blasted by leasing companies over plans to lift jet production
Replies: 231
Views: 33861

Re: Airbus blasted by leasing companies over plans to lift jet production

Placing CEOs for good rates, has also become difficult.

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by seahawk
Tue Oct 26, 2021 5:04 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: what's so wrong about eurowhihte/simple livery?
Replies: 43
Views: 2908

Re: what's so wrong about eurowhihte/simple livery?

Not the branding though. The logo looks better in the booking engines, the lounges look better, the check-in counters look better, the website looks much better and the whole branding just works.

Who cares about the livery?

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by seahawk
Mon Oct 25, 2021 4:56 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: what's so wrong about eurowhihte/simple livery?
Replies: 43
Views: 2908

Re: what's so wrong about eurowhihte/simple livery?

If you look at the LH livery, you need to remember that is was a complete brand refresh and the whole branding looks a lot better now.

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by seahawk
Mon Oct 25, 2021 4:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus blasted by leasing companies over plans to lift jet production
Replies: 231
Views: 33861

Re: Airbus blasted by leasing companies over plans to lift jet production

Boeing's issues lie with Boeing itself. It is hard to imagine that Airbus should stay still just because they need to maintain a duopoly where one competitor is sabotaging itself. What means staying still? Does it mean making money considering that the portfolio is as up-to-date as it can be. With ...

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by seahawk
Mon Oct 25, 2021 7:39 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus blasted by leasing companies over plans to lift jet production
Replies: 231
Views: 33861

Re: Airbus blasted by leasing companies over plans to lift jet production

Crush Boeing and achieve what? Turning the duopoly into a monopoly just to be split up or having governments invest money into building new competitors? The only way to "crush" Boeing is destroying the business case of a MoM and securing the market with the A321. But that is not "cru...

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by seahawk
Sun Oct 24, 2021 8:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus blasted by leasing companies over plans to lift jet production
Replies: 231
Views: 33861

Re: Airbus blasted by leasing companies over plans to lift jet production

Crush Boeing and achieve what? Turning the duopoly into a monopoly just to be split up or having governments invest money into building new competitors? The only way to "crush" Boeing is destroying the business case of a MoM and securing the market with the A321. But that is not "crus...

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by seahawk
Fri Oct 22, 2021 5:13 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Why did the A340-600 turn out to be vastly inferior to the 777-300ER when the 343 was able to do quite well against 772?
Replies: 61
Views: 9587

Re: Why did the A340-600 turn out to be vastly inferior to the 777-300ER when the 343 was able to do quite well against

What I'm interested to know is why some airlines bought the A346. VS presumably did so because of "4 engines 4 long haul." But what about TG and LH? They were looking at replacing DC-10/747 Classics. The A343 did okay against the 777-200/777-200ER and the A340NG promised even better econo...

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by seahawk
Thu Oct 21, 2021 7:42 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: what's so wrong about eurowhihte/simple livery?
Replies: 43
Views: 2908

Re: what's so wrong about eurowhihte/simple livery?

The livery does hardly matter at all. Put a free coffee machine into the waiting area for boarding and you achieve more for customer satisfaction.

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by seahawk
Thu Oct 21, 2021 5:17 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Why did the A340-600 turn out to be vastly inferior to the 777-300ER when the 343 was able to do quite well against 772?
Replies: 61
Views: 9587

Re: Why did the A340-600 turn out to be vastly inferior to the 777-300ER when the 343 was able to do quite well against

That is not the interesting question if you compare aircraft. Interesting is the OEW, MTOW in relation to payload and range. And if you look at the OEW and MTOW the A343 had a lower OEW and similar MTOW as the 777-200, which resulted in a longer range while carrying a similar payload. The 777-200ER ...

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by seahawk
Wed Oct 20, 2021 1:37 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Why did the A340-600 turn out to be vastly inferior to the 777-300ER when the 343 was able to do quite well against 772?
Replies: 61
Views: 9587

Re: Why did the A340-600 turn out to be vastly inferior to the 777-300ER when the 343 was able to do quite well against

I would not say the 343 did quite well against the 772. A340-300 entered service in 1993 and 777-200 in 1995. However, the 1995 version of 772 is the "A" model. It was designed to fly medium range routes, not long range routes. The competitor of 772A model is really the A330-300, not A340...

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by seahawk
Wed Oct 20, 2021 10:31 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Why did the A340-600 turn out to be vastly inferior to the 777-300ER when the 343 was able to do quite well against 772?
Replies: 61
Views: 9587

Re: Why did the A340-600 turn out to be vastly inferior to the 777-300ER when the 343 was able to do quite well against

Engines. The GE90-115B was a big success and tailor-made for the 777W, the Trent 500 not so much. If Airbus would have gone for the proposed PW GTF or GE would have decided to offer the proposed scaled down GE90, it would have been less one sided. But a quad with inferior engines, has not much chance.

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by seahawk
Tue Oct 19, 2021 3:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus pushed for A220-500, replacing A320CEO / 737-800.. ?
Replies: 330
Views: 68023

Re: Airbus pushed for A220-500, replacing A320CEO / 737-800.. ?

You could make a point that a A322 seems like a way better idea to improve the line-up.

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