Search found 2136 matches

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by chrisair
Mon Aug 10, 2020 12:04 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: QANTAS to mothball most of the 787 fleet
Replies: 82
Views: 26997

Re: QANTAS to mothball most of the 787 fleet

But as has been mentioned already, companies like QF have access to information you very likely do not. I would imagine all major airlines including Qantas have access to large amounts of economic data and forecasts, prepared by an in house team and from external sources. Some of those external sou...

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by chrisair
Sat Aug 08, 2020 9:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 337
Views: 40946

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

This is a generational event and will alter much of what we once knew. I believe the sooner people realize this the better one can plan for a future. I know how difficult it is based on my own consternation while contemplating retirement and sitting pretty with over 9 years left to bid. I 100% agre...

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by chrisair
Fri Aug 07, 2020 10:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: QANTAS to mothball most of the 787 fleet
Replies: 82
Views: 26997

Re: QANTAS to mothball most of the 787 fleet

United has been flying LAX-SYD cargo flights since the early stages of this pandemic, opening the route up to around 40-50 passengers is practically meaningless, UA is on this route for cargo. I’ve wondered what kind of cargo they’re flying on those flights. It’s not like they can take the heavy ha...

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by chrisair
Fri Jul 31, 2020 7:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 337
Views: 40946

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

I have a feeling people are going to heavily overanalyze September capacity cuts and September TSA screenings. No one should be expecting #'s to increase or even be flat from peak summer travel to one of the slowest leisure months of the year. People have been heavily analyzing every tick up or dow...

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by chrisair
Thu Jul 30, 2020 5:44 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: End of an era: Last Qantas 747 retired today
Replies: 119
Views: 20851

Re: End of an era: Last Qantas 747 retired today

LAXintl wrote:
Send off from the LAX team.


Love that WN photo bombed them.

Great work from the photographers that have been uploading lately. The ones over Sydney Harbor are beautiful.

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by chrisair
Tue Jul 28, 2020 3:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 337
Views: 40946

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

I work for a firm that is a top 5-10 in business travel spend and there are no signs of us doing any business travel really for the remainder of 2020. At this rate it may be sometime next spring or summer. Same here, except I don't work for a top 10 (or even 1,000) company. All our air travel is de...

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by chrisair
Sat Jul 25, 2020 7:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska Q2 2020 results
Replies: 43
Views: 7167

Re: AS Q2 results

Another problem is that you're not talking about one or two lessors, but dozens of them - no one was interested in seeing more than a few of their assets leased to VX at a time because they were just so unstable. So, VX had to get their planes from many, many sources. You ever see the lease documen...

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by chrisair
Sat Jul 25, 2020 7:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 337
Views: 40946

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

Most families don’t take summer vacations in August. They don’t? I wonder why. I would always see busy airports in August. The only exception were around states that had early August start dates. For whatever reason kids go to school in Arizona in early August, so by the end of July, PHX would star...

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by chrisair
Tue Jul 21, 2020 6:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons
Replies: 376
Views: 55055

Re: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons

atcsundevil wrote:
We do not and have never edited posts. We aren't permitted to edit posts.


Thanks for the correction. I guess I got y’all confused with FT.

Cheers.

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by chrisair
Mon Jul 20, 2020 3:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons
Replies: 376
Views: 55055

Re: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons

Since I'm sure my post will get edited or deleted, it's good to see growth from June to July. Even cherry picking the dates looks somewhat encouraging. Look, you can't really pull out trends from day to day numbers until you get farther in the future. Comparing seven day averages is better, IMO. Tha...

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by chrisair
Sun Jul 19, 2020 6:29 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons
Replies: 376
Views: 55055

Re: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons

So out of touch with reality if some people are thinking that the majority are travelling because of $600 from the Government. It wouldn’t surprise me if there’s additional people traveling locally and using the $600 to get out of the house. Not everyone flies places. Contrary to what people on her...

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by chrisair
Wed Jul 15, 2020 3:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest Furloughs
Replies: 40
Views: 16433

Re: Southwest Furloughs

Mac289 wrote:
[...]the guy in the hat who has that one office in that one cubicle who nobody is really certain why he stares at cameras all day issuing letters for minor infractions that hurt literally no one-- all in an effort to seem needed...[...]


We found the guy who got a letter once! :D

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by chrisair
Wed Jul 15, 2020 12:51 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Hawaii reopening delayed until Sep. 1
Replies: 49
Views: 6868

Re: Hawaii reopening delayed until Sep. 1

The reality is now if all these tech workers flee places like SFO, SJC, LAX, SEA, AUS, etc and move to mountain or beach towns they will drive-up the real estate market, force locals out, make it increasing unaffordable for those supporting the tourism and service industry and messing up the housin...

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by chrisair
Sat Jul 11, 2020 4:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons
Replies: 376
Views: 55055

Re: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons

Regarding the cares act $600, that is the smartest thing our govt has done, so they best continue it. Many if not most other Govts worldwide have done similar, with some just straight up initiating UBI UFN. Several of my customers are having difficulty filling open positions. Some claim that people...

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by chrisair
Fri Jul 10, 2020 4:29 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 337
Views: 40946

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

Considering the data I posted goes up through July 8, that’s almost a months worth of data so I'd say it probably gives a preliminary look at how things are trending. I have noticed the increase in cases is starting to get less news coverage as of the past week, and some of the "hot spot"...

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by chrisair
Fri Jul 10, 2020 1:09 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 337
Views: 40946

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

If consumer confidence had substantially decreased since June, close-in bookings should be way down, instead we are seeing a larger decrease in bookings for August onward. The Arizona spike in cases started being reported on and picked up in the data around June 15. Can’t speak for the other places...

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by chrisair
Thu Jul 09, 2020 7:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Questions regarding MTV's Fly2K DC-10
Replies: 5
Views: 1616

Re: Questions regarding MTV's Fly2K DC-10

Back when there was music on MTV...

(I feel old right now).

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by chrisair
Thu Jul 09, 2020 4:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Phoenix Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 361
Views: 43576

Re: Phoenix Aviation Thread - 2020

Any insight in to how busy T3 is these days?

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by chrisair
Tue Jul 07, 2020 10:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons
Replies: 376
Views: 55055

Re: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons

On the other hand... who is going to drive from Chicago to Florida when you can book flight tickets for less than 50 USD return? Wow, someone read a post I wrote! :D To be fair, that was written a while ago at least in COVID-19 terms. There's a good amount of truth to what you posted and I'm sure t...

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by chrisair
Mon Jul 06, 2020 10:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Did people really fly all the way on flights like this?
Replies: 119
Views: 29293

Re: Did people really fly all the way on flights like this?

Heck not that long ago I'd do a Southwest routing that took eight hours: TUS-LAX/SAN-SJC/OAK-PDX (or SEA). Also had one that would do TUS-ABQ-OAK-SEA-GEG. Nonstop these are 2.5 or 3 hours. I learned I could ask a pilot to grab food for me if they were doing a food run for the FAs at a stop. In 1970 ...

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by chrisair
Mon Jul 06, 2020 10:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons
Replies: 376
Views: 55055

Re: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons

Are there any confirmed outbreaks on planes? Wear a mask. You’ll be fine. I'm not worried about the plane ride at all. If everyone wears a mask, it's probably better in a plane than going inside a Target. My concern comes from everything else you have to do when traveling. Parking and the parking s...

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by chrisair
Mon Jul 06, 2020 8:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons
Replies: 376
Views: 55055

Re: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons

For what it's worth, I drove by LAX on Sunday 6/28 at about 8p. I know there's a lot of talk about flights being trimmed later at night, but it took me five minutes to drive the horseshoe in the arrivals level and three minutes on departures. Rental car busses were largely empty. More people than wh...

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by chrisair
Thu Jun 25, 2020 2:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 337
Views: 40946

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

Texas Medical Center in Houston, and yes 27% is accurate https://www.tmc.edu/coronavirus-updates/proposed-early-warning-monitoring-and-mitigation-metrics/ Realized after I posted that it probably was referring to somewhere in Texas. Had Tucson on my mind, where those stats aren't correct. That TMC ...

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by chrisair
Thu Jun 25, 2020 6:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 337
Views: 40946

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

LOT767301ER wrote:
TMC is at 97% but COVID patients are only 27% of that. 70% of the ICU is occupied by people that have nothing to do with COVID.


Are you talking about Tucson Medical Center (TMC)? If so, do you have data from the hospital that specifically says the split is 27%COVID/70% Non?

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by chrisair
Tue Jun 23, 2020 9:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AS officially sending the E175 to Alaska
Replies: 76
Views: 12209

Re: AS officially sending the E175 to Alaska

32andBelow wrote:
No passengers. No TSA. Not a part 139 airport.


Does the TSA still fly agents in to some airports in Alaska to do passenger screenings?

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by chrisair
Tue Jun 23, 2020 8:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Denver International Airport Fined $33.5M For Noise Violations
Replies: 21
Views: 2946

Re: Denver International Airport Fined $33.5M For Noise Violations

It must be all the black helicopters that arrive and depart constantly.

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by chrisair
Tue Jun 23, 2020 3:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AS officially sending the E175 to Alaska
Replies: 76
Views: 12209

Re: AS officially sending the E175 to Alaska

I'm not sure southwest would want to go into Alaska cause I don't believe most of their aircraft have the right options for operating in Alaska where CAT III equipment so unless southwest wants to dedicate aircraft they would have to upgrade a lot of planes equipment. WN has CAT IIIA capability on ...

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by chrisair
Tue Jun 23, 2020 12:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons
Replies: 376
Views: 55055

Re: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons

I'm not trying to be negative, but there may be a cause for concern. For 13 consecutive days, from June 4 to June 16, our week-over-week increase was 21.8% or higher. For the 5 days since, June 17 to June 21, that week-over-week increase has only maxed out at 16.0% (the min was 8.5%). We may be see...

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by chrisair
Thu Jun 18, 2020 11:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SoCal Boneyard Storage and Activity Thread
Replies: 682
Views: 83484

Re: SoCal Boneyard Storage and Activity Thread

First trip out to VCV today, went with fellow A.netters DarkSnowyNight and (old-school member) SuperFly. Superfly is still around? What was even more interesting than the aircraft, is (1) how often security interacted with us, but even more so (2) how friendly they were. They kept stopping us to se...

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by chrisair
Wed Jun 17, 2020 8:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 337
Views: 40946

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

The piece you are quoting is from Kayak's search data specifically, although nearly all the other data points posted in this thread have been related to actual bookings. The Kayak data is good since it gives a look at a multitude of different airports instead of just 10 That’s what I thought. I jus...

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by chrisair
Wed Jun 17, 2020 12:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 337
Views: 40946

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

Looking at Kayak flight search trends, here are the top 10 airports in terms of recovery: [...] Consumers in China have increased searches for international flights, now down 64% from a year ago versus the trough of an 87% decline in late April. Their top destinations are San Francisco, Vancouver a...

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by chrisair
Tue Jun 16, 2020 7:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 337
Views: 40946

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

Two anecdotal stories for y’all. My company has operations in two states, and we have a team scattered about the country. I’m in Arizona and I have coworkers in a handful of other states. All air travel is restricted. We are slowly opening that up for intra-company travel (ie someone from site A goe...

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by chrisair
Tue Jun 02, 2020 6:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Phoenix Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 361
Views: 43576

Re: Phoenix Aviation Thread - 2020

Looks like JSX has scaled back to only one flight a day: PHX-BUR.

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by chrisair
Mon Jun 01, 2020 6:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL1327 (FAI-SEA) diverts to YXY
Replies: 35
Views: 6170

Re: DL1327 (FAI-SEA) diverts to YXY

Take a tip from a long time traveller; never, ever leave on any trip without your passport. I always have my passport and NEXUS card when I'm flying. It lives in my bag next to my wallet. You never know if you'll get stuck someplace and a route through Canada is your only way home. Plus the NEXUS c...

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by chrisair
Thu May 28, 2020 6:35 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: AA is allowed to give hand sanitizer
Replies: 39
Views: 6135

Re: AA is not (yet) allowed to give hand sanitizer

flyboy7974 wrote:

Served with drinks on flights over 2200 miles.


Purell makes a good mixer!

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by chrisair
Sat May 23, 2020 6:38 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest Airlines planning on squeezing competitors in weaker positions
Replies: 236
Views: 38906

Re: Southwest Airlines planning on squeezing competitors in weaker positions

Dieuwer wrote:
If you think Trump will allow a major airline to go under and have 50,000+ unemployed on the streets in an election year.... think not.


There are already 43 million unemployed now.

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by chrisair
Fri May 22, 2020 3:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: High altitude balloons
Replies: 15
Views: 3483

Re: High altitude balloons

There are three new High Balloons up today.showing on Flightradar24 and Flightaware. HBAL 111,170 & 176. Please and thank you, what is their purpose?. Chemtrail dispensing units. With the reduction in air traffic, the Global Elite has partnered with Google to add chemtrail dispensing units to t...

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by chrisair
Fri May 22, 2020 12:18 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Private Aviation after COVID
Replies: 22
Views: 2159

Re: Private Aviation after COVID

I’ve looked at a jet card with Flexjet and EJA. Haven’t pulled the trigger, but it’s on the table. Before it was a nonstarter.

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by chrisair
Mon May 18, 2020 8:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 5/17/2020: UNRAVELING; DL Leaves CAK/MHT/PHF/SWF/CZM w/No Resumption Planned
Replies: 138
Views: 15772

Re: OAG Changes 5/17/2020: UNRAVELING; DL Leaves CAK/MHT/PHF/SWF/CZM w/No Resumption Planned

I can only speak for AS, but we're seeing very solid increases in daily systemwide LF, and have actually had our contact center agents calling guests on flights that are more heavily booked that we'd like and offering other options if they're uncomfortable being seated next to another passenger. Th...

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by chrisair
Sun May 17, 2020 10:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 5/17/2020: UNRAVELING; DL Leaves CAK/MHT/PHF/SWF/CZM w/No Resumption Planned
Replies: 138
Views: 15772

Re: OAG Changes 5/17/2020: UNRAVELING; DL Leaves CAK/MHT/PHF/SWF/CZM w/No Resumption Planned

jetmatt777 wrote:
3.7% of demand was reached around 4/20 - we are at 9.5% - which means, we have touched the bottom. Again, the lowest point. The bottom is the lowest point.



Beware of a dead cat bounce...

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by chrisair
Sat May 16, 2020 6:14 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Planes in boneyards that are never scrapped
Replies: 35
Views: 9786

Re: Planes in boneyards that are never scrapped

TWA 741 The rumor about the TWA 747 at Marana is the owner is a fan of TWA and hopes a museum will take it and preserve it. That’s why it’s still in the (rather faded) TWA colors. No idea if that’s urban legend or what. Some military airplanes are left in the open and largely intact to satisfy stra...

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by chrisair
Tue May 12, 2020 12:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons
Replies: 376
Views: 55055

Re: TSA Screening Numbers - Charts and Comparisons

People making their once a year visits to friends and family are gonna crush “businessmen”. They are? If you are unemployed (like 33+ million are currently), and don't have much money to pay for your family's food/utilities, you're not going to fly somewhere to see friends or family. You're going t...

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by chrisair
Sun May 10, 2020 7:37 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Person killed by plane on runway at Austin
Replies: 97
Views: 25332

Re: Person killed by plane on runway at Austin

I hit a deer once on touch and go in C-5, left gear down, taxied in, Fire crew hosed off the gear. Done for the night local. None of this a big deal. Oh deer. I’m sure the deer disagrees with it not being a big deal. :D Ugh, more “journalism” at work: https://people.com/human-interest/man-hit-kille...

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by chrisair
Wed May 06, 2020 7:39 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Dominic Gates and Team Wins Pulitzer Prize for MAX Reporting
Replies: 10
Views: 2033

Re: Dominic Gates and Team Wins Pulitzer Prize for MAX Reporting

I didn’t realize but this is actually the third Pulitzer won by the Times for Boeing stories. They won the feature writing one in 1984 for their “Making it Fly” series by Pete Rinearson and a 1997 one for reporting on 737 issues by Byron Acohido. The Making it Fly series is really a good nostalgic r...

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by chrisair
Tue May 05, 2020 5:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Phoenix Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 361
Views: 43576

Re: Phoenix Aviation Thread - 2020

That doesn't even count the Honeywell corporate buildings off Sky Harbor Circle west of 24th St. Yep. They have a huge presence in the Valley and really Arizona as a whole. Speaking of 24th Street, I took a little drive through PHX this afternoon and went the back way to 24th Street. You now drive ...

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by chrisair
Tue May 05, 2020 1:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Dominic Gates and Team Wins Pulitzer Prize for MAX Reporting
Replies: 10
Views: 2033

Re: Dominic Gates and Team Wins Pulitzer Prize for MAX Reporting

Well deserved to the entire Seattle Times team. Dominic is a fantastic reporter.

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by chrisair
Mon May 04, 2020 9:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Phoenix Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 361
Views: 43576

Re: Phoenix Aviation Thread - 2020

I believe in one of the previous threads, maybe earlier in this one there is a land use diagram in the Master Plan Document. This diagram shows how expansive Honeywell is across that North side. The Honeywell campus more or less spans from 38th Street to 28th Street. Wonder if they’ll have to move ...

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by chrisair
Mon Apr 13, 2020 7:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Oregon Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 463
Views: 60634

Re: Oregon Aviation Thread - 2020

Our planned nonstop to Puerto Vallarta (where shutdown is lifted on 1 May) would now be a 27-hour flight with connection. You're nuts if you travel, let alone take an international flight. No way in hell would I be flying to Mexico (or anywhere internationally) right now. The chances of getting stu...

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by chrisair
Mon Apr 06, 2020 5:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 4/5/2020: Jaw-Dropping
Replies: 152
Views: 25175

Re: OAG Changes 4/5/2020: Jaw-Dropping

EA CO AS wrote:
The AS schedule load includes some interesting tag flights:

SEA-PIT-BWI
SEA-RDU-CHS
SEA-DFW-IAH
SEA-MSP-CMH
SEA-SBP-SBA
SEA-FCA-HLN


Oh and those are all bookable! If you’ve ever wanted to fly SBP-SBA now you can! Minus the whole flying during a pandemic thing...

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by chrisair
Wed Apr 01, 2020 9:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will airlines end Hawaii service later this week?
Replies: 55
Views: 14620

Re: Will airlines end Hawaii service later this week?

Probably not a lot of people but a supplement to UPS and FedEx for all the stuff people are priority ordering from Amazon, who doesn't seem to have any large fulliment centers in Hawaii, for 1 to 2 day delivery. Also probably a fair amount of perishable cargo/medical supplies that you can't send on...

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