Search found 1846 matches

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by enzo011
Fri Jul 03, 2020 5:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: ​Internal tussle as Boeing weighs future of 747
Replies: 327
Views: 49079

Re: ​Internal tussle as Boeing weighs future of 747

If you are bleeding cash as you are trying to get 2 models certified, one of which is supposed to be your moneymaker, you cannot responsibly allow another model to lose you $40m per delivery as order are only trickling in without ever increasing the rate to make it worth your while.

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by enzo011
Tue Jun 30, 2020 4:25 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: A350-1000 fuel burn
Replies: 99
Views: 12980

Re: A350-1000 fuel burn

Would you please be a little more analytic before posting, so we don't have to read claims like that? 4 QSuites means a whole row (4 abreast). Sure, that's one row. Of Qsuites, not economy. How much is the pitch difference QSuites to economy? Cheers, Adam Thats a rhetorical question. On average a 7...

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by enzo011
Thu Jun 18, 2020 5:32 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounding, General Discussion Thread, Q2 2020
Replies: 607
Views: 56241

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounding, General Discussion Thread, Q2 2020

Because it is an election year is the primary reason there is any movement on this. :worried: But as this is something well outside their areas of expertise and all they probably know about it is that the pilots were overloaded so let's focus on lightening their load via legislation. As Revelation'...

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by enzo011
Wed Jun 17, 2020 2:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounding, General Discussion Thread, Q2 2020
Replies: 607
Views: 56241

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounding, General Discussion Thread, Q2 2020

So in the end the Senate seems to want to be looking like they're "doing something" and at best hoping their emphasis on increased FAA authority and increased human factors participation will be able to improve the process and perhaps avoid this kind of episode, but they're not doing anyt...

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by enzo011
Sun Jun 14, 2020 1:53 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: B787-8 / -9 performance out of GCM
Replies: 2
Views: 1085

Re: B787-8 / -9 performance out of GCM

Dear All Can somebody please tell me if there would be load penalties for BA operating a B787-8 or -9 GCM-LHR non-stop with a full load? What would be the maximum load that BA could carry? GCM runway is 2135m. Appreciate any feedback. best regards Pran Quick look in the ACAP a 787-8 should be able ...

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by enzo011
Wed Jun 03, 2020 10:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounding, General Discussion Thread, Q2 2020
Replies: 607
Views: 56241

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounding, General Discussion Thread, May 2020

This was posted in the general thread on the groundings, TUI and Boeing reach a comprehensive agreement to resolve 737 MAX grounding impacts TUI and Boeing have agreed on a comprehensive package of measures to offset the consequences of the grounding of the 737 MAX. While the details of the agreemen...

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by enzo011
Tue Jun 02, 2020 6:21 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Invest in Airbus or Boeing
Replies: 27
Views: 2341

Re: Invest in Airbus or Boeing

Isn't this just another way of asking what either companies prospects are for the next 12 months? I see it, in a very crude and non financial way not looking aspects of either company other than aviation, that Boeing has a lot of hurdles they still need to overcome. Not only is the MAX still grounde...

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by enzo011
Mon Jun 01, 2020 7:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL to permanently retire entire 777 fleet
Replies: 725
Views: 110082

Re: DL to permanently retire entire 777 fleet

Have you looked at aircraft performance with altitude and temperature? Both Boeing and Airbus have extensive outlines: http://www.boeing.com/commercial/airports/plan_manuals.page For the 777-200LR: http://www.boeing.com/resources/boeingdotcom/commercial/airports/acaps/777_2lr3er.pdf See slide 44 fo...

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by enzo011
Sun May 31, 2020 7:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL to permanently retire entire 777 fleet
Replies: 725
Views: 110082

Re: DL to permanently retire entire 777 fleet

Just to be clear, hot is defined as 30C/86F when engines start to produce less thrust. As JNB isn't over 86F, engines produce full thrust and thus it is not hot. There is actually a technical threshold for hot. Yes, some engines that were Marginal on thust, such as initial CF6 on A330 (later PiP'd ...

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by enzo011
Mon May 25, 2020 5:40 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: A350-1000 fuel burn
Replies: 99
Views: 12980

Re: A350-1000 fuel burn

Looks very disappointing to me. 787-10 can do much better. If I recall correctly the fuel burn number for a fully loaded 787-10 is around 5.4t/hour. Hello apples, meet my oranges. What is the range for a fully loaded 78X? What is the range for a 78X with 33t payload? What is the comparable capacity...

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by enzo011
Thu May 21, 2020 7:59 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Can the A359 Do JNB-ATL for DL With Meaningful Cargo?
Replies: 98
Views: 9943

Re: Can the A359 Do JNB-ATL for DL With Meaningful Cargo?

[I have no interest in which aircraft is better. The question was could the A359 fly the mission since DL was eliminating their 777 fleet. It appears DL has answered the question. Regards. No, your question was if the A359 could do the route with meaningful cargo. Do you want to define what meaning...

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by enzo011
Thu May 21, 2020 8:20 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL to permanently retire entire 777 fleet
Replies: 725
Views: 110082

Re: DL to permanently retire entire 777 fleet

The larger aircraft is actually a slight negative on the demand side with more seats to fill. Also, the 77L now has the latest D1 seats, Premium Select, and retained Comfort+. There's no advantage there for the A359. Look at it from a network cost perspective. Costs are on a collective basis. For e...

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by enzo011
Thu May 21, 2020 8:00 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Can the A359 Do JNB-ATL for DL With Meaningful Cargo?
Replies: 98
Views: 9943

Re: Can the A359 Do JNB-ATL for DL With Meaningful Cargo?

As others have pointed out just above, the A350 does lag in performance out of JNB, which is why it will stop in CPT coming back. It just takes a little common sense and to be able to step back a bit to see it. If the A350 was superior on the JNB and SYD routes, it would have already been flying it...

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by enzo011
Thu May 21, 2020 7:31 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL to permanently retire entire 777 fleet
Replies: 725
Views: 110082

Re: DL to permanently retire entire 777 fleet

Fixes the obvious plane performance issue that prevents a nonstop JNB-ATL. But it creates a higher economic hurdle to clear for viability. I could see this proposal remain in the rumor mill for some time. It would be a tough route to justify economically. Larger aircraft that is lighter and burns a...

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by enzo011
Mon May 18, 2020 8:13 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Project Sunrise Approved - Pilot Agreement or Not
Replies: 376
Views: 55929

Re: Project Sunrise Approved - Pilot Agreement or Not

Did you stop reading? I said $100 million and used that in my calculations. Of course I know they wouldn't pay list but to buy a unique ULR model that no one else needs they will pay more per aircraft than any other A350-1000 operator. $100 million is actually very comservative. That assumed a reco...

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by enzo011
Sun May 17, 2020 6:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Project Sunrise Approved - Pilot Agreement or Not
Replies: 376
Views: 55929

Re: Project Sunrise Approved - Pilot Agreement or Not

Relying entirely on the price of oil being low is very risky, anything could happen between now and a time when PS because viable again. The A35K is a far safer bet, would be far more fuel efficient going to JFK, LHR and any Asian destinations they have, even with fuel prices being low it's still a...

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by enzo011
Sun May 17, 2020 5:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Project Sunrise Approved - Pilot Agreement or Not
Replies: 376
Views: 55929

Re: Project Sunrise Approved - Pilot Agreement or Not

No, the A350-900 or 787-9 were not considered because they do not even have the range to fly the route even with 100 passengers. It had nothing to with their cabin size. As I said. Qantas will want less premium seats now. The number of passengers in total travelling between Australia and Europe wil...

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by enzo011
Sun May 17, 2020 10:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Project Sunrise Approved - Pilot Agreement or Not
Replies: 376
Views: 55929

Re: Project Sunrise Approved - Pilot Agreement or Not

https://www.seatguru.com/airlines/Delta_Airlines/Delta_Airlines_Boeing_777-200ER_V3.php# Here is the new seat map. I think this is absolutely perfect. After COVID these non stops will attract passengers from the lower cost carriers for the first time. Qantas will no longer be just for premium custo...

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by enzo011
Sat May 16, 2020 8:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Project Sunrise Approved - Pilot Agreement or Not
Replies: 376
Views: 55929

Re: Project Sunrise Approved - Pilot Agreement or Not

I'd expect them to just put Qantas stickers over any Delta logo. The aircraft have fresh cabins. They have similar density to Qantas. On the New York route they wouldn't even need to block seats. I'm not sure if the Delta aircraft have any optional ACT tanks fitted. I think the middle east to New Z...

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by enzo011
Sat May 16, 2020 7:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Project Sunrise Approved - Pilot Agreement or Not
Replies: 376
Views: 55929

Re: Project Sunrise Approved - Pilot Agreement or Not

Delta is retiring 10 777Lr aircraft that just had a refurb. Buying these aircraft might be the only chance of the Project Sunrise route happening. Cash flow at Qantas has taken a huge hit and buying a new aircraft might not be possible. The decision of picking the best aircraft for the route was ba...

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by enzo011
Fri May 08, 2020 6:21 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing/Production Thread - 2020
Replies: 1289
Views: 244280

Re: Boeing 777X Testing/Production Thread - 2020

Those who think that Boeing will know (or have reasonable insights on) the final performance of the 779 frame are I think living in a fantasy land. We all know that up tp now that the 779 hasn't flown particularly high or fast (well the last couple of days have seen some change in that) and the per...

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by enzo011
Mon May 04, 2020 8:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Reuters: Boeing considering 757-Plus and 767-X
Replies: 520
Views: 90170

Re: Reuters: Boeing considering 757-Plus and 767-X

Most people see a crisis, visionaries see a chance. A MoM is probably the perfect aircraft from the air travel needs under the new normal. It has the potential to sell by the thousands and that in a situation in which the competition lacks the financial means to counter it. It is now or never for B...

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by enzo011
Sun May 03, 2020 4:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Warren Buffet out of aviation
Replies: 19
Views: 2836

Re: Warren Buffet out of aviation

At one point, Buffet is said to have joked that capitalists should have shot the Wright Flyer out of the sky. It's safe to say he's never been particularly bullish on the industry overall. His fund held around 10% stake in each of DL, UA, AA and WN. That is a substantial stake in airlines before th...

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by enzo011
Sun May 03, 2020 7:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing raises $25B in new Debt sale
Replies: 61
Views: 6819

Re: Boeing raises $25B in new Debt sale

This is airinsights take on the $25bn financing and it is not the positive spin of some above. https://airinsight.com/boeings-debt-will-return-to-haunt-the-companys-future-viability-or-lack-thereof/ I am not an avid reader of airinsight but I have not marked them out as anti Boeing so far. Air Insi...

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by enzo011
Thu Apr 30, 2020 6:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing announces wider Q1 loss, cuts 787/777 production and workforce
Replies: 38
Views: 5770

Re: Boeing announces wider Q1 loss, cuts 787/777 production and workforce

Boeing has over 400 737MAX to deliver. Yet they will restart production at 31 per month next year. Their 787 production will decrease to 7 frames per month by 2022. Quick math: 7 months in 2020 Boeing will produce 70 787s (10×7). Then in 2021 they will produce another 110 787s (11×10). Gives us a g...

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by enzo011
Mon Apr 27, 2020 5:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Cathay Pacific eyes Boeing 787-10 Dreamliner as swap for 777X
Replies: 161
Views: 26325

Re: Cathay Pacific eyes Boeing 787-10 Dreamliner as swap for 777X

the 777x does offer an altitude and humidity advantage - exact same as the 787. So the 787 altitude and extra humidity was just BS? I thought it was only possible on the CFRP 787 because the higher humidity would cause problems with existing (up to that time) designs? So what makes the 777X special...

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by enzo011
Mon Apr 27, 2020 11:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Cathay Pacific eyes Boeing 787-10 Dreamliner as swap for 777X
Replies: 161
Views: 26325

Re: Cathay Pacific eyes Boeing 787-10 Dreamliner as swap for 777X

Not convinced, It seems maybe you ignore that the cabin of the 777-X is wider and allows to adapt the SAME seat widht as the 787. I see no difference on a 10-abreast to get out of my seat and take the aisle if you sit in the center like a 9-abreast. Frankly I don't understand your reasoning. In add...

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by enzo011
Sun Apr 26, 2020 6:20 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ryanair Threatens EU Over State Aid to Airlines
Replies: 342
Views: 29865

Re: Ryanair Threatens EU Over State Aid to Airlines

He should ask the Irish government for support if needed, that’s where his company is located. Hey, don't drag Irish taxpayers into a Ryanair fight with the EU. :talktothehand: :biggrin: As for this case, it does seem like MOL has a point, although we are only seeing one side of the argument right ...

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by enzo011
Sat Apr 25, 2020 9:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Cathay Pacific eyes Boeing 787-10 Dreamliner as swap for 777X
Replies: 161
Views: 26325

Re: Cathay Pacific eyes Boeing 787-10 Dreamliner as swap for 777X

It would seem that a 4-class 787-10 would make more sense than an A350-1000 to replace its 777-9X. Note that a 4-class 787-10 would fly FURTHER than a 3-class 787-10 This is why, they will change (maybe, is not official) the 777-X to the 787-10 and nowhere does it mention the A350-1000 If this happ...

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by enzo011
Sat Apr 25, 2020 6:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing/Production Thread - 2020
Replies: 1289
Views: 244280

Re: Boeing 777X Testing/Production Thread - 2020

Apologies if this has been asked or mentioned before. But just by looking at the incredible pic above, it would appear the GE engines are slightly more inboard to the fuselage than the 77W. Is this the case? Looking at head on pictures of the 779 versus other 777s I don’t think the engines are any ...

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by enzo011
Fri Apr 24, 2020 7:39 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Cathay Pacific eyes Boeing 787-10 Dreamliner as swap for 777X
Replies: 161
Views: 26325

Re: Cathay Pacific eyes Boeing 787-10 Dreamliner as swap for 777X

Makes sense if they don't want the 777X any longer. That way Boeing gets to lessen the blow a little by booking 787 orders. The downgrade in comfort in Y at CX will be quite steep if they do swap this order. From having a 9-abreast Y in the 777 to the A350, to 10-abreast Y in the 777 to the 787. To ...

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by enzo011
Thu Apr 23, 2020 3:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MoL - leaving middle seat empty " idiotic "
Replies: 79
Views: 11470

Re: MoL - leaving middle seat empty " idiotic "

I won't claim to be an expert, but having followed this situation, having worked in aircraft cabins, this is my take: -MOL is right that physical distancing of leaving the middle seat empty is insufficient -The most workable solution is to have 2 persons per row in a narrowbody, as follows: OOX OOX...

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by enzo011
Thu Apr 23, 2020 3:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: MoL - leaving middle seat empty " idiotic "
Replies: 79
Views: 11470

Re: MoL - leaving middle seat empty " idiotic "

I think Ryanair has sold tickets with the assumption of a +90% load factor and thus they are priced that way to ensure a profit. The earlier you buy your tickets the cheaper they are. So if he has to work off a 66% load factor it messes with their costs and profit projections and more than a few fli...

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by enzo011
Thu Apr 23, 2020 11:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing is being forced to give larger discounts
Replies: 66
Views: 10273

Re: Boeing is being forced to give larger discounts

This forum is so fixated with list prices and the theory that any discount eats into Boeing's profit margin considerably. Rest assured that any deal made will result in revenue for Boeing. Be it upfront at sale or in recurring form from support, parts, etc for X amount of years. The same will be tr...

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by enzo011
Tue Apr 21, 2020 12:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounding, General Discussion Thread, Q2 2020
Replies: 607
Views: 56241

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounding, General Discussion Thread, April 2020

seahawk wrote:
Current training for all airliners expects crews to memorize memory items, which the Lion Air co-pilot clearly did not.



Is that the MCAS memory item that he didn't memorize? Care to refresh us of the steps he forgot to take?

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by enzo011
Mon Apr 20, 2020 7:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumor: CX to walk away from 777X order
Replies: 225
Views: 41103

Re: Rumor: CX to walk away from 777X order

You are almost surely wrong. Almost all of the development costs have already been spent on the 777X. The only thing that matters now is can you get more revenue than you will spend on production over the life of the program. That seems like a very likely outcome, considering the 777-9 is now the l...

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by enzo011
Sun Apr 19, 2020 6:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounding, General Discussion Thread, Q2 2020
Replies: 607
Views: 56241

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounding, General Discussion Thread, April 2020

The 737 series of a/c is the outlier, what other commercial a/c is being produced today that is not FBW? As stated before, the debate as it relates to the MAX is not about whether FBW a/c are safer than non-FBW a/c, the issue is whether the MAX can be made safe to fly without FBW. If the answer is ...

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by enzo011
Sun Apr 19, 2020 8:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounding, General Discussion Thread, Q2 2020
Replies: 607
Views: 56241

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounding, General Discussion Thread, April 2020

No just that i don't think non-back driven controls are a good idea - pilots lose the feel for actually flying and become systems operators. That's fine if that is where we are headed - but all designs still assume pilots can actually fly. I don't think it would be idea to move to a future cockpit ...

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by enzo011
Sun Apr 19, 2020 8:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumor: CX to walk away from 777X order
Replies: 225
Views: 41103

Re: Rumor: CX to walk away from 777X order

I will make a prediction that Boeing will cancel the 777X. No one who currently has ordered will actually want/need it; the demand has taken a huge hit, and they will try to cope with the aircraft they already have. Even when the demand recovers, it will not do so at the level we had before Covid. ...

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by enzo011
Sat Apr 18, 2020 5:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounding, General Discussion Thread, Q2 2020
Replies: 607
Views: 56241

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounding, General Discussion Thread, April 2020

morrisond wrote:
That's a lot harder in the era of non-back driven side sticks when you only have that 150 hours in an Cessna.



You seem to be blaming Airbus now for pilots being overwhelmed in a Boeing.

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by enzo011
Fri Apr 17, 2020 8:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounding, General Discussion Thread, Q2 2020
Replies: 607
Views: 56241

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounding, General Discussion Thread, April 2020

Not to belabour the point but the December tests also highlighted the need for better Pilot training worldwide that I have been calling for for over a year now and people continually pillared me for it. Is this our, " We remember Budapest differently" moment? I seem to recall you focusing...

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by enzo011
Wed Apr 15, 2020 7:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing CEO: NMA will "start with a clean sheet of paper again"
Replies: 1642
Views: 154408

Re: Boeing CEO: NMA will "start with a clean sheet of paper again"

Nope I'm using Keesje's standard of saying orders will drop to 2K on MAX, and I did say it was my guess. I also didn't say anything about paying back sunk costs - I'm using Boeing's historical Margin advantage to make that guess. Airbus seems to have really benefitted from going over 50 per month, ...

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by enzo011
Wed Apr 15, 2020 6:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounding, General Discussion Thread, Q2 2020
Replies: 607
Views: 56241

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounding, General Discussion Thread, April 2020

My understanding (and it may be wrong) is that they are related. My understanding is that the bit-flip is seen by regulators as (another) mechanism that could falsely trigger MCAS run-away. If the MAX would not have MCAS, the bit flip may not have posed a serious problem. However with MCAS presence...

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by enzo011
Wed Apr 15, 2020 5:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing CEO: NMA will "start with a clean sheet of paper again"
Replies: 1642
Views: 154408

Re: Boeing CEO: NMA will "start with a clean sheet of paper again"

I think Boeing will be looking at survival for the next few years before they start looking at launching new products in a space where the demand is iffy in good times. They will concentrate on actually getting the 737MAX and the 777X produced and delivered and paying off the costs of the delays fir...

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by enzo011
Wed Apr 15, 2020 4:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounding, General Discussion Thread, Q2 2020
Replies: 607
Views: 56241

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounding, General Discussion Thread, April 2020

morrisond wrote:
It was a relatively easy fix until they discovered the bit flip issue which made things exponentially more complicated.



Unless the bit flip is not related to the MCAS fix, then it wasn't a relatively easy fix surely. So was the bit flip a totally new problem totally separate from the MCAS fix?

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by enzo011
Tue Apr 14, 2020 8:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing CEO: NMA will "start with a clean sheet of paper again"
Replies: 1642
Views: 154408

Re: Boeing CEO: NMA will "start with a clean sheet of paper again"

It can and it is already slightly more efficient than the Airbus model due to the slightly lighter/tighter fuselage. The crashes will be long forgotten after the market recovers. Most will be nervously listening out for any passenger coughing, the last thing in their mind will be the aircraft crash...

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by enzo011
Thu Apr 09, 2020 9:20 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus Cuts A320, A330, and A350 Production Rate
Replies: 120
Views: 13886

Re: Airbus Cuts A320, A330, and A350 Production Rate

However, it would not surprise me if Airbus is having discussions to end A330NEO production. The first step would be to contact the suppliers of these long lead time items to finish producing the current parts but for them to not start producing new parts. The second step would be to contact airlin...

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by enzo011
Tue Apr 07, 2020 4:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Curious: Which OEM will have the upper hand after Coronavirus?
Replies: 15
Views: 2047

Re: Curious: Which OEM will have the upper hand after Coronavirus?

The premise of the article is that widebody demand will fall more than narrowbody demand. That’s likely true. That will affect Boeing more than Airbus since Boeing is the market share leader for widebodies. Airbus is the narrowbody leader and that segment bounces back faster. Let’s dig further. Boe...

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by enzo011
Tue Apr 07, 2020 8:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates seeking loans on top of government bailout
Replies: 43
Views: 7762

Re: Emirates seeking loans on top of government bailout

2) Some people talked about the option of EK being helped/taken over by UAE government and I have to say that it may make sense to me as EK is a very important tool to the entire country. But, to what extant is there such a thing as a UAE? I was under the impression that UAE was more a confederatio...

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by enzo011
Mon Apr 06, 2020 11:55 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future demand for widebodies
Replies: 100
Views: 13187

Re: Future demand for widebodies

Why is the -8 so heavy when it’s quite smaller than the 77W and A35K. Seeing as Boeing has not released the OEW for this aircraft. I sometimes get the feeling it should have been the leader between the two seeing as it’s fuel burn should be much lower than the 777-9 seeing as it should definitely w...

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