Search found 7272 matches

by Polot
Wed Sep 19, 2018 4:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Should AB launch A310-300 based on A330NEO
Replies: 27
Views: 4560

Re: Should AB launch A310-300 based on A330NEO

The A310 weighs an amazing 25% less then the lightest A330/340, the A330-200. OEW's - A300-600 : 89t (195k lb) - A310-300 : 79t (175k lb) - A330-200 : 120t (265k lb) http://i191.photobucket.com/albums/z160/keesje_pics/A330%20wingroot_zpsysveha9g.jpg It has smaller, lighter, wings, wing-box, landing...

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by Polot
Wed Sep 19, 2018 2:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Would KLM be interested in an Airbus 380 combi version ?
Replies: 23
Views: 2844

Re: Would KLM be interested in an Airbus 380 combi version ?

The A380 is too large to be an effective combi. How many routes out there do you think can handle a ~A330 load of passengers plus ~77F volume of cargo (or v/v) each way approximately every day? The A380 is too expensive (in both acquisition costs and operating costs) to be lugging around an empty to...

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by Polot
Wed Sep 19, 2018 12:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Cargo planes - Why so popular?
Replies: 20
Views: 4793

Re: Boeing Cargo planes - Why so popular?

Aesma wrote:
Factory built freighters make money for aircraft makers, conversions, not so much.

Will that depends on who is doing the conversion. There are OEM options. Planes flying also continue to make money on support. Parked ones don’t.

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by Polot
Tue Sep 18, 2018 7:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: First 777 produced heading to a Museum
Replies: 76
Views: 11842

Re: First 777 produced heading to a Museum

B764er wrote:
UA owns 777# 2,3,4,5 &7. Don't know about #6.

#6 is with BA.

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by Polot
Tue Sep 18, 2018 4:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Brussels Airlines looking at wet-lease options to replace SSJ-100
Replies: 15
Views: 1707

Re: Brussels Airlines looks at wet-lease options for Sukhoi aircraft

Why doesn't Brussels Airlines add its own jets to the fleet, but instead wet leases this capacity? Seems like an expensive solution to use over a number of years. Because flying it with their own fleet with their own crews would be too expensive. It is essentially the same as farmed out regional fl...

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by Polot
Mon Sep 17, 2018 12:48 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: WN rolls out free texting onboard
Replies: 37
Views: 3760

Re: WN rolls out free texting onboard

I still prefer a time in the air with no one addicted to their cell phones and laptops. Ahh those days are past now. I dread the day when a loud person next to me is on their phone bragging about his/her feats at altitude while I’m trying to sleep. How did you survive the 20-yr GTE Airfone era? How...

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by Polot
Sat Sep 15, 2018 1:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A350 Production/Delivery Thread 2018
Replies: 1347
Views: 467345

Re: Airbus A350 Production/Delivery Thread 2018

Didn't know that; is Airbus not entering this race at all, in which case can we take it that the 778X has it "in the bag" as far as Qantas is concerned? Airbus is in the running, but proposing a modified -1000 ULR or a ULH -900 more akin to the original -900R (basically a -1000 shrink), I...

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by Polot
Fri Sep 14, 2018 4:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A350 Production/Delivery Thread 2018
Replies: 1347
Views: 467345

Re: Airbus A350 Production/Delivery Thread 2018

QR has caught up a lot but is still behind. To put it in perspective, Airbus is delivering MSNs in the 230 range right now. There are still 8 QR frames undelivered of MSN 215 or lower. The QR 359 backlog should clear by year end. The QR 35J backlog should clear by Q1-2019. On the A35J front, CX has...

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by Polot
Fri Sep 14, 2018 3:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Christian Scherer replaces Eric Schultz as Airbus CCO
Replies: 25
Views: 3855

Re: Christian Scherer replaces Eric Schultz as Airbus CCO

You always have to be careful, sometimes it is personal & few analists apologize later on. Wut? ( ref: https://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=analist ) Yes, that can be a personal reason to leave. Specially if they even didn't apologized after. Maybe, but the optics don’t look good (no...

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by Polot
Fri Sep 14, 2018 3:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American A333s
Replies: 100
Views: 16059

Re: American A333s

Well, they fitted the B773ER with heavy premium though. A333 only have business, economy + and economy normal. The A333s don’t even have economy +, AA just gave the Y+ designation to the seats that always have more legroom (bulkhead and exit rows). Personally speaking, since they have houng A332, t...

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by Polot
Wed Sep 12, 2018 6:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska Airlines starts repainting Airbus fleet
Replies: 410
Views: 89178

Re: Alaska Airlines starts repainting Airbus fleet

N835VA (VX Name "Arnold") is now out of the paint shop and flying under AS colors. https://i.imgur.com/pBNlSvE.png The Airbus fleet is being repainted at an average of 2 per week now; they'll all be done in short order. So they’ll all be repainted by the beginning of the summer season. Th...

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by Polot
Wed Sep 12, 2018 5:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX10, updates, orders, developments.
Replies: 100
Views: 13308

Re: Boeing 737-10, updates, orders, developments.

By the way, how do you "force" an airline to order 737-900ER? I guess make them an offer they cannot refuse (speculation was they received a 51% discount, though considering the massive and long-term backlogs for both families (old and new engines) from both OEMs, this might very well be ...

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by Polot
Wed Sep 12, 2018 5:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: ULCC (NK/F9) Lack of West Coast Presence
Replies: 13
Views: 1201

Re: ULCC (NK/F9) Lack of West Coast Presence

Interestingly I don't think Southwest is as cheap as it used to be. It’s not but they are still fairly in expensive for most trans cons and near transcon. People in the East coast/Midwest primarily go to Southern California for the “SoCal” experience- ie Venice beach, Santa Monica Pier, Rodeo drive...

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by Polot
Wed Sep 12, 2018 4:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: ULCC (NK/F9) Lack of West Coast Presence
Replies: 13
Views: 1201

Re: ULCC (NK/F9) Lack of West Coast Presence

There are fewer people in the western US, hence the smaller presence. Long flights with low fares is not a great recipe for success so the ULCC minimize the amount they fly. Spirit hits many of the major eastern US cities from LAX. Also it is not like the eastern US is lacking in theme parks and bea...

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by Polot
Wed Sep 12, 2018 3:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American A333s
Replies: 100
Views: 16059

Re: American A333s

AA hasn’t replaced any 77Es yet. Sure you can lease cheap A330s but why? They just ordered more 787s to eventually replace the 767s and A333s. Yes they could maybe replace them faster with leased A330s, but you guys don’t seem to get that AA wants to cut (future) capacity some. They don’t want ~25 ...

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by Polot
Wed Sep 12, 2018 3:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American A333s
Replies: 100
Views: 16059

Re: American A333s

I think the original plan was to get rid of the 333s quickly because of the small fleet however the plans got reshuffled earlier this year with the expanded 788/789 order, instead of rushing out the 333, they decided to fast track the 763 retirements with 788 replacements and later replace the 333 ...

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by Polot
Wed Sep 12, 2018 3:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American A333s
Replies: 100
Views: 16059

Re: American A333s

Granted, the benefits of fleet standardization seem to be overstated, but i would think there would be benefit to keeping them given the large number of new narrowbody Airbii that AA has placed into service recently. A320 series Captain to A330 series Captain is probably much quicker than A320 seri...

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by Polot
Wed Sep 12, 2018 2:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American A333s
Replies: 100
Views: 16059

Re: American A333s

To be fair though, the -300 fits their European routes pretty nicely. The 3000nm-4000nm operations between JFK/PHL/MIA and Europe/South America seems more viable with A330-300 or B767-300ER. It also probably doesn't hurt that the A333 seats 13 less pax than the 77W. Must have quite a good casm. Wel...

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by Polot
Wed Sep 12, 2018 12:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Confirmed: EI to MSP and YUL in 2019
Replies: 173
Views: 9691

Re: Aer Lingus rumor - announcement 9/12

How about Tokyo, Hong Kong or Johannesburg ? Aer Lingus is too focused on the English speaking Americas. The USA & Canada should not be EI's only long haul market. Dublin to Narita sipping Guinness is on my bucket list, nonstop. With what aircraft? Those routes are pushing it to undoable for A3...

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by Polot
Tue Sep 11, 2018 10:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Confirmed: EI to MSP and YUL in 2019
Replies: 173
Views: 9691

Re: Aer Lingus rumor - announcement 9/12

How about Tokyo, Hong Kong or Johannesburg ? Aer Lingus is too focused on the English speaking Americas. The USA & Canada should not be EI's only long haul market. Dublin to Narita sipping Guinness is on my bucket list, nonstop. With what aircraft? Those routes are pushing it to undoable for A3...

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by Polot
Tue Sep 11, 2018 2:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Confirmed: Aeroflot and UAC sign agreement for 100 Superjet 100
Replies: 55
Views: 7059

Re: Aeroflot is probably preparing to purchase another 100 SSj100 aircraft

How accurate is FlightAware showing only 7 SSJs (all Aeroflot) currently flying? https://flightaware.com/live/aircrafttype/SU9 This seems really, really bad... We are talking about 7 at a time in the air aircraft. According to statistics, for example, for 08.09.2018 (per day: https://ssj-aeroflot.b...

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by Polot
Mon Sep 10, 2018 3:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: BA and DTW: What Went Wrong?
Replies: 33
Views: 4527

Re: BA and DTW: What Went Wrong?

GM and Chrysler didn’t go into Chapter 11 until June and April 2009 respectively. September 2007 is a year before the fall of Lehman Brothers that really ushered the start of the global financial crisis in September 2008. DTW was not able to stand on its own even when the times were good, and BA cut...

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by Polot
Mon Sep 10, 2018 3:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: BA and DTW: What Went Wrong?
Replies: 33
Views: 4527

Re: BA and DTW: What Went Wrong?

4. BA considered IAH to be the stronger originating market but were suffering because of the stop in DTW. BA wanted to serve IAH nonstop but didn't want to grow capacity in the face of a recession and knew DTW couldn't stand on its own (there's a reason that DTW was ALWAYS either a tag-on or tag-th...

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by Polot
Fri Sep 07, 2018 8:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumor: Interjet to sell its SSJ100 to focus on its A320 fleet.
Replies: 78
Views: 12989

Re: Report: Interjet to sell its SSJ100 to focus on its A320 fleet

Hybrid is a jack of all trades master of none technique. Great in limited competition market namely one sided competition ie no premium carrier or no ULCC. When there is heavy competition it falls apart. Hybrids don’t have the CASM to compete with ULCCs on price for price sensitive travelers, and d...

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by Polot
Fri Sep 07, 2018 5:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumor: Interjet to sell its SSJ100 to focus on its A320 fleet.
Replies: 78
Views: 12989

Re: Report: Interjet to sell its SSJ100 to focus on its A320 fleet

Hybrid is a jack of all trades master of none technique. Great in limited competition market namely one sided competition ie no premium carrier or no ULCC. When there is heavy competition it falls apart. Hybrids don’t have the CASM to compete with ULCCs on price for price sensitive travelers, and do...

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by Polot
Fri Sep 07, 2018 3:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Boeing meet Qantas Project Sunrise challenge, RFP to be completed by end of 2019
Replies: 264
Views: 36962

Re: Airbus and Boeing meet Qantas Project Sunrise challenge, RFP to be completed by end of 2019

The -9 is also only 3 rows longer than the 300, not five, and that would be 30 passengers, 3t. The 779 is only three rows longer but do remember that the overwing exits are also being deleted which frees up space in the cabin for at least another row (assuming the operator doesn’t go for the option...

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by Polot
Thu Sep 06, 2018 10:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumor: Interjet to sell its SSJ100 to focus on its A320 fleet.
Replies: 78
Views: 12989

Re: Report: Interjet to sell its SSJ100 to focus on its A320 fleet

Interjet needs to figure out what it wants to be- a ULCC or a proper full service carrier. Right now it is trying to be both and it’s not working as their financial results show. A 93 seat jet has no place in their fleet, and as comfortable as the A320s/A321 are Interjet really needs to densify the...

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by Polot
Thu Sep 06, 2018 7:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumor: Interjet to sell its SSJ100 to focus on its A320 fleet.
Replies: 78
Views: 12989

Re: Report: Interjet to sell its SSJ100 to focus on its A320 fleet

Interjet needs to figure out what it wants to be- a ULCC or a proper full service carrier. Right now it is trying to be both and it’s not working as their financial results show. A 93 seat jet has no place in their fleet, and as comfortable as the A320s/A321 are Interjet really needs to densify them...

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by Polot
Thu Sep 06, 2018 4:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Singapore Airlines reveals configuration on 2 class A359, ADL to be first route
Replies: 47
Views: 8066

Re: Singapore Airlines reveals configuration on 2 class A359, ADL to be first route

I don't thnk that's even mathematically possible and not in line with anything I've read e.g. And that's your issue. People such as yourself focus too much on what the "PaxEx experts" say without looking at the actual numbers, because it is mathematically possible using the the same exact...

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by Polot
Thu Sep 06, 2018 12:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Singapore Airlines reveals configuration on 2 class A359, ADL to be first route
Replies: 47
Views: 8066

Re: Singapore Airlines reveals configuration on 2 class A359, ADL to be first route

Why dedicate some A359s on short routes if you have a big fleet of 787-10? It could be that the difference is cargo. ADL-SIN is a cargo heavy route with especially food flying from ADL to SIN while I presume SIN-ADL is equipment. SQ is merging the cargo business with pax business and now flying mos...

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by Polot
Thu Sep 06, 2018 12:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Production Thread 2018
Replies: 215
Views: 50792

Re: Boeing 777X Production Thread 2018

The 777X has 263 orders when you forget to look at the -8 and unidentified orders.

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by Polot
Thu Sep 06, 2018 1:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A220: AtlasGlobal cancels LOI & BRA Braathens seeks indefinite delay
Replies: 42
Views: 6003

Re: A220: AtlasGlobal cancels LOI & BRA Braathens seeks indefinite delay

sunking737 wrote:
Why do folks keep talking about Republic.?? I thought that order was long since cancelled in Chap 11??

Nope, it is still on the books. Not that anyone expects Republic to take the plane.

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by Polot
Thu Sep 06, 2018 1:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Muddle of the Market aircraft (No, this isn’t a typo)
Replies: 327
Views: 29277

Re: The Muddle of the Market aircraft (No, this isn’t a typo)

The 787 and A380, the last all-new frames, were YEARS late and way over budget Boeing has made it clear that this won't be a "moon shot" like 787 (CFRP barrels, CFRP wing, barrel stuffing production line, more-electric architecture) and A380 (very large structures, 5000 psi systems, CFRP ...

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by Polot
Wed Sep 05, 2018 10:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumour: Lufthansa transferring its A330-300 to Eurowings
Replies: 15
Views: 6902

Re: Lufthansa transferring its A330-300 to Eurowings

If they become OO registered wouldn’t they be used by Eurowings from BRU? Nope. There are already Eurowings A340s registered in Belgium flown by Brussel Airlines that are flying long haul from Germany. I think the intention is for SN to eventually take over all Eurowings long haul flying (still und...

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by Polot
Wed Sep 05, 2018 9:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Muddle of the Market aircraft (No, this isn’t a typo)
Replies: 327
Views: 29277

Re: The Muddle of the Market aircraft (No, this isn’t a typo)

The 787 cost over $30 billion. Not to design it didn't. Deferred Production Cost is different from R&D spend. For what we are looking at here, that is irrelevant. It is money Boeing now has to make back by charging on top of build cost (and that is after you get well up the learning curve). It’...

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by Polot
Wed Sep 05, 2018 5:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A220: AtlasGlobal cancels LOI & BRA Braathens seeks indefinite delay
Replies: 42
Views: 6003

Re: A220: AtlasGlobal cancels LOI & BRA Braathens seeks indefinite delay

More delivery slots available for real airlines Half these airlines probably never had delivery slots assigned/secured in the first place, especially in regards to the LOIs. Airbus and Boeing would have let a 7+ year old LOI expire years ago, BBD only kept them around because they were desperate fo...

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by Polot
Wed Sep 05, 2018 3:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A100, Fliegerfaust. Airbus might buy & upgrade CRJ line.
Replies: 86
Views: 13415

Re: Airbus A100, Fliegerfaust. Airbus might buy & upgrade CRJ line.

Why would it be dumb to get the 70-100 seat "jet" range covered as complement to the <100 seat ATR segment? There are plenty opportunities to upgrade the CRJ as in "real nextgen" with a GTF, some composite upgrade, etc. Not sure even a new wing would be needed. That would furthe...

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by Polot
Wed Sep 05, 2018 1:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: NK coming to ELP?
Replies: 24
Views: 2190

Re: NK coming to ELP?

No, NW flew ELP -MSP for a short time with a CRJ-200. Does anybody like being in a CRJ for 3 hours? Nobody flew n/s to DTW. It should work because of the automotive industry. A lot of components aré manufactured in Mexico and get into the US through ELP, LRD, and maybe MFE and BRO. Components for r...

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by Polot
Tue Sep 04, 2018 8:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Flybe reveals updated livery
Replies: 77
Views: 10938

Re: Flybe reveals updated livery

Yeah JetMagic, I forgot about them. Pretty close resemblance. So how many airlines have had three liveries in operation at the same time ? Delta Air Lines famously had three at once (Ron Allen, Song, and Wavy Gravy. Around 2006 when I was based in JFK, I had seen all of them at once along with a fe...

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by Polot
Tue Sep 04, 2018 5:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian to sell up to 140 aircraft
Replies: 25
Views: 8186

Re: Norwegian to sell up to 140 aircraft

That's the whole point behind leasing companies and financial organizations ordering planes! Its extremely common for airlines to order frames to only turn around and sell them at profits. Its actually quite good business practice by locking in low discount price, and turning around and reselling f...

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by Polot
Tue Sep 04, 2018 5:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian to sell up to 140 aircraft
Replies: 25
Views: 8186

Re: Norwegian to sell up to 140 aircraft

It is difficult to be both an airline and leasing company. Competitors will not be keen to lease from you giving you money, and you have to have a solid financial base. Nobody is going to lease from you if they fear you are going to go under or in bankruptcy before the planes get delivered leaving t...

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by Polot
Tue Sep 04, 2018 4:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian to sell up to 140 aircraft
Replies: 25
Views: 8186

Re: Norwegian to sell up to 140 aircraft

So the OEM's allowed someone to purchase a/c that they were not going to operate but were going to sell to make a profit...something smells fishy. We recall the Ryan Air issue with Boeing, how come this one has just slipped under the radar? DY purchased the A320neo with the intention of leasing the...

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by Polot
Tue Sep 04, 2018 3:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A100, Fliegerfaust. Airbus might buy & upgrade CRJ line.
Replies: 86
Views: 13415

Re: Airbus A100, Fliegerfaust. Airbus might buy & upgrade CRJ line.

First of all, Sylvain Faust is only well informed when it comes to C series production. Everything else he says can be taken with huge grains of salt and is often times wrong more than right (basically every airline on earth has been on the verge of ordering the C series if we believe him until the...

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by Polot
Tue Sep 04, 2018 3:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A100, Fliegerfaust. Airbus might buy & upgrade CRJ line.
Replies: 86
Views: 13415

Re: Airbus A100, Fliegerfaust. Airbus might buy & upgrade CRJ line.

First of all, Sylvain Faust is only well informed when it comes to C series production. Everything else he says can be taken with huge grains of salt and is often times wrong more than right (basically every airline on earth has been on the verge of ordering the C series if we believe him until they...

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by Polot
Tue Sep 04, 2018 2:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Flybe reveals updated livery
Replies: 77
Views: 10938

Re: Flybe reveals updated livery

My only criticism is the tiny 'Flybe' titles by the nose - would have looked better if they'd occupied a much bigger space.[/quote http://i.imgur.com/WexHJtkl.jpg That's a significant improvement on the final product. The small titles make the livery look unfinished. I'm afraid that the rest of it ...

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by Polot
Mon Sep 03, 2018 11:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TG gets new President, plans revised turn-around plan, considers refinancing Nok
Replies: 34
Views: 4784

Re: TG gets new President, plans revised turn-around plan, considers refinancing Nok

Stating that TG needs to focus on one is not turning the thread into A vs B. I never stated which one TG should focus on, as it honestly does not matter. They just need to pick one. The airlines you mentioned have all selected replacements. VN, for example, is down to only 2 A330s and is dumping th...

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by Polot
Mon Sep 03, 2018 11:44 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: ULCC and LD3 containers
Replies: 8
Views: 1003

Re: ULCC and LD3 containers

LD3-45s cost money, as does the equipment to load them onto the plane (more than equipment used to hand load). Labor in the US is cheap enough that the extra cost of a few more rampers is not a big deal.

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by Polot
Mon Sep 03, 2018 11:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TG gets new President, plans revised turn-around plan, considers refinancing Nok
Replies: 34
Views: 4784

Re: TG gets new President, plans revised turn-around plan, considers refinancing Nok

Plenty of other airlines do or plan to do this without a replacement plan for A330, think of KE (and they have some 20-year-old A330s), CA, CZ, MU, SQ, VN, BR, AA, AC, QF, AF, KL, and the list goes on. Many of those airlines are much much larger than TG or have much older A330s that have long since...

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by Polot
Mon Sep 03, 2018 11:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TG gets new President, plans revised turn-around plan, considers refinancing Nok
Replies: 34
Views: 4784

Re: TG gets new President, plans revised turn-around plan, considers refinancing Nok

It’s not the 787/A350 combo that is the issue, it is the 787/A330 combo. Thai needs one or the other, not both. Plenty of other airlines do or plan to do this without a replacement plan for A330, think of KE (and they have some 20-year-old A330s), CA, CZ, MU, SQ, VN, BR, AA, AC, QF, AF, KL, and the...

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by Polot
Mon Sep 03, 2018 10:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TG gets new President, plans revised turn-around plan, considers refinancing Nok
Replies: 34
Views: 4784

Re: TG gets new President, plans revised turn-around plan, considers refinancing Nok

It’s not the 787/A350 combo that is the issue, it is the 787/A330 combo. Thai needs one or the other, not both.

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