Search found 51 matches

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by mayohoo
Fri Feb 15, 2019 4:56 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: A380 Biggest manufacturing loss in civil aviation to date?
Replies: 127
Views: 14157

Re: A380 Biggest manufacturing loss in civil aviation ?

The development cost in 2006 according to Airbus was approximately 18 billion euros ($22.5 billion dollars at the 2006 exchange rate). It then said in 2015 development costs were 15 billion euros ($16 billion) Since that time it is reasonable to expect they have spent more money on development (NEO ...

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by mayohoo
Thu Feb 14, 2019 4:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Official: Airbus announces A380 production to end in 2021
Replies: 870
Views: 104639

Re: Official: Airbus announces A380 production to end in 2021

True. But you still have to make the initial infrastructure investment for the unique model (380). So somebody had to put the money down... all for 250 aircraft.

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by mayohoo
Thu Feb 14, 2019 4:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Official: Airbus announces A380 production to end in 2021
Replies: 870
Views: 104639

Re: Official: Airbus announces A380 production to end in 2021

A few questions: 1. How many airports are 380 capable? 2. Of these airports, how many required modifications to become 380 capable? 3. What was the cost to modify these airports? (rough figures?) 4. If you total the RLI from the European taxpayers and the airport infrastructure modifications made by...

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by mayohoo
Mon Nov 12, 2018 7:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: War Hero, Religious melange, Boeing exec
Replies: 4
Views: 1281

Boeing leadership

https://www.seattletimes.com/business/b ... airplanes/

Sorry is already mentioned
-->

Remarkable story

https://www.seattletimes.com/business/b ... airplanes/

Sorry is already mentioned

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by mayohoo
Tue Nov 06, 2018 3:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 787 at rate 14...sustainable?
Replies: 12
Views: 3087

787 at rate 14...sustainable?

Back last year when Boeing announced the rate increase to 14/month there was a great deal of concern by analysts that this was unsustainable. https://leehamnews.com/2017/09/13/boeing-boost-787-rate-14mo/ What does the Anet community think now that a year has passed? Is Boeing's order book growing fa...

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by mayohoo
Wed May 16, 2018 3:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why is the A350 so expensive?
Replies: 142
Views: 26554

Re: Why is the A350 so expensive?

Perhaps I can say that kanban is pointing out that the Boeing line system is more efficient (once the kinks are worked out and you are going for highest most cost efficient production rate), while the Airbus station system is more flexible (but may require more movement time where production is not ...

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by mayohoo
Mon Apr 09, 2018 3:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future of the A338
Replies: 123
Views: 17209

Re: Future of the A338

If we go back 7 years or so, it seems to me Airbus had to make a choice. The 320 was doing well, the 380 was doing poorly. The 330 was entering a twilight period and was competing against a new model where in the long run it would have difficulty competing (787). The 350 was going to do well, but wa...

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by mayohoo
Sat Apr 07, 2018 5:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines orders 47 additional 787's (22 788's and 25 789's), cancels A350 order
Replies: 565
Views: 76622

Re: American Airlines orders 47 additional 787's (22 788's and 25 789's), cancels A350 order

I speculate that the recent success in 787 sales is due to combination of 1) projected improvements in manufacturing in the future resulting in lower costs but still a reasonable margin 2) projected bundled maintenance in the future as Boeing brings more work in house and away from third parties 3) ...

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by mayohoo
Fri Dec 22, 2017 7:42 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: A400M Update
Replies: 958
Views: 140299

Re: A400M Update

http://www.infodefensa.com/es/2017/12/2 ... a400m.html

I don't speak spanish but it appears they are reducing production rate next year?
-->

http://www.infodefensa.com/es/2017/12/2 ... a400m.html

I don't speak spanish but it appears they are reducing production rate next year?

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by mayohoo
Fri Jun 09, 2017 1:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X - Updated Information And Developments
Replies: 2650
Views: 260000

Re: Boeing 777X - Updated Information And Developments

I would think that the 777 wing fabrication center could also be used to produce cfrp wings for the MOM and NSA when they are launched. Would there be a reason the space and equipment could not be used for other programs? Tape laying machines can be used for different wings/fuselage barrels etc. Fou...

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by mayohoo
Thu May 25, 2017 4:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Next generation VLA, and why it will be an A380
Replies: 187
Views: 21627

Re: Next generation VLA, and why it will be an A380

The 748F had two advantages on the A380F: 1. Nose loading 2. It wasn't delayed for pax production Add: 1. The a380 fuselage is structurally a double deck and cannot be utilized to its full size for large oddly shaped cargo 2. The a380 floors and structure/doors would have to be strengthened to suppo...

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by mayohoo
Fri Feb 26, 2016 9:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Telegraph: A380 May Have Been A Mistake Part 2
Replies: 280
Views: 31397

RE: The Telegraph: A380 May Have Been A Mistake Part 2

Actually, the full quote from the Boeing 2000 CMO pdf you provided on page 33 is: "Summing the projected requirements for 747-and-larger airplanes in all major travel markets reveals a total need for 1,010 airplanes over the next 20 years. Within this size category, about two-fifths of the requireme...

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by mayohoo
Thu Nov 12, 2015 4:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rolls Royce Faces Profitability Issues...
Replies: 96
Views: 15759

Rolls Royce Faces Profitability Issues...

what are the implications for its aerospace division?

http://www.bbc.com/news/business-34795769

WIll R and D be cut? Capital expenditures?

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by mayohoo
Mon Jun 08, 2015 7:01 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Airbus A400 Crashes In Spain
Replies: 369
Views: 36268

RE: Airbus A400 Crashes In Spain

The plane crashed. All reports suggest there was a software mishap. For this to happen, presumably errors in loading or running the software program occurred or there was faulty software that was insufficiently tested. What steps are normally done to test and fail-safe the software prior to integrat...

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by mayohoo
Thu Jun 04, 2015 4:24 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Airbus A400 Crashes In Spain
Replies: 369
Views: 36268

RE: Airbus A400 Crashes In Spain

Look, guys. It is not an A or B thing. It is a tragic plane crash where there clearly was a problem with the aircraft (it crashed). It could have been pilot error, it could have been structural, it could have been a myriad of other possibilities. However, the only information we have been given is t...

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by mayohoo
Fri May 29, 2015 6:48 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Airbus A400 Crashes In Spain
Replies: 369
Views: 36268

RE: Airbus A400 Crashes In Spain

For educational purposes, how are software updates tested and then implemented? I presume they are ground simulated before flight testing.
Isn't there redundancy built into the system? How does something like this happen?

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by mayohoo
Sun Dec 21, 2014 5:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AvWeek Summarizes Recent A380 Events
Replies: 99
Views: 14845

RE: AvWeek Summarizes Recent A380 Events

<table border="0" align="CENTER" width="95%" class="quote"><tr><td><font size="2" face="ARIAL, Helvetica, Geneva" color="#9A9DA0">Quoting <a href="/profile/mjoelnir" class="quote" target="_blank">mjoelnir</a> (<a href="#69" class="quote">Reply 69</a>):<br/><i>I thought the production rate was 10 fra...

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by mayohoo
Fri Dec 19, 2014 10:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AvWeek Summarizes Recent A380 Events
Replies: 99
Views: 14845

RE: AvWeek Summarizes Recent A380 Events

From Kaitak744 via Ascend database last week reply 142 12/10/2014 Basically 120 fairly confident sales (84 <acronym title="Emirates (United Arab Emirates)">EK</acronym>, 9 <acronym title="Etihad Airways (United Arab Emirates)">EY</acronym>, 4 <acronym title="Asiana Airlines (South Korea)">OZ</acrony...

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by mayohoo
Wed Nov 12, 2014 8:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: McNerney: Clean-Sheet 737 Replacement By 2030
Replies: 173
Views: 26881

RE: McNerney: Clean-Sheet 737 Replacement By 2030

According to Seatguru, Qatar 787-8s have a 31 inch pitch and 17.2 inch seats.

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by mayohoo
Tue Sep 30, 2014 4:02 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Aboulafia Is Not Kind To Boeing...
Replies: 34
Views: 14257

RE: Aboulafia Is Not Kind To Boeing...

I am struck by how much power/influence that the Wall Street analyst evaluations seem to have. Given that it is a duopoly and neither is going to destroy the other, why go to such extremes to squeeze the last cent from the workers hides? Boeing stock is up from $70 to $120 over the last few years. I...

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by mayohoo
Mon Sep 29, 2014 6:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Aboulafia Is Not Kind To Boeing...
Replies: 34
Views: 14257

Aboulafia Is Not Kind To Boeing...

http://www.richardaboulafia.com/shownote.asp?id=416

Pretty harsh words for management. What can be done to improve things?

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by mayohoo
Tue Sep 23, 2014 11:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Tom Enders On A350 (incl. A350-1100), A330neo
Replies: 121
Views: 26437

RE: Tom Enders On A350 (incl. A350-1100), A330neo

GIven that Airbus has production constraints on the 350 line (110/year beginning in 2018) and is sold out until 2021 or 2022, would it not make sense for Airbus to decide to open a new FAL before they commit to an -1100? They are unable to actually get the planes out the door at the same rate as Boe...

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by mayohoo
Tue Aug 19, 2014 4:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: NY Times On The 380: Oversize Expectations Part 1
Replies: 285
Views: 48163

NY Times On The 380: Oversize Expectations Part 1

It is highly likely traffic will increase over the next 15 years. More people, more middle class, more travel. However, I am not at all certain that the surge in travel passengers will be covered by VLAs. Since large twins are now approaching/surpassing 400 seats, I am wondering if the increase in c...

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by mayohoo
Sat Aug 16, 2014 10:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: NY Times On The 380: Oversize Expectations Part 1
Replies: 285
Views: 48163

NY Times On The 380: Oversize Expectations Part 1

<table border="0" align="CENTER" width="95%" class="quote"><tr><td><font size="2" face="ARIAL, Helvetica, Geneva" color="#9A9DA0">Quoting <a href="/profile/astuteman" class="quote" target="_blank">astuteman</a> (<a href="#203" class="quote">Reply 203</a>):<br/><i>Quoting Mayohoo (Reply 199): Hey, it...

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by mayohoo
Thu Aug 14, 2014 7:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: NY Times On The 380: Oversize Expectations Part 1
Replies: 285
Views: 48163

NY Times On The 380: Oversize Expectations Part 1

Actually, astuteman, the page you reference has a graph that is specifically titled "New passenger aircraft deliveries will average 733 a year" and then the narrative describes the specific number of aircraft expected to be delivered in each size category. Hey, it's your source, I only read it  ...

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by mayohoo
Wed Aug 13, 2014 10:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: NY Times On The 380: Oversize Expectations Part 1
Replies: 285
Views: 48163

NY Times On The 380: Oversize Expectations Part 1

At the bottom of page 29 of the Airbus 2000 GMF you will see a forecast for:- 360 x 400+ seat aircraft from 2000 -2009, and 1 235 x 400+ seat aircraft from 2010 - 2019 Question. Isn't the 777-x expected to begin delivery in 2019-2020? So presumably the VLA numbers should reflect only the 747 family ...

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by mayohoo
Fri May 23, 2014 2:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Amadeo And Doric Issues?
Replies: 12
Views: 3975

Amadeo And Doric Issues?

Does anyone know what this means? Dated 5/15, 2014 Doric Refutes Amedeo Claims Doric is receiving an increasing number of inquiries regarding Amedeo, who is wrongfully using the Doric franchise and Doric track record for its own benefit. Doric is a fund manager with 60 employees and more than USD 8 ...

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by mayohoo
Wed Apr 16, 2014 6:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta To Issue RFP For 767 & 744 Replacement
Replies: 309
Views: 50862

RE: Delta To Issue RFP For 767 & 744 Replacement

<table border="0" align="CENTER" width="95%" class="quote"><tr><td><font size="2" face="ARIAL, Helvetica, Geneva" color="#9A9DA0">Quoting <a href="/profile/tortugamon" class="quote" target="_blank">tortugamon</a> (<a href="#276" class="quote">Reply 276</a>):<br/><i> Honestly I can think of multiple ...

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by mayohoo
Fri Mar 21, 2014 7:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330 NEO Becoming More Likely Part 6
Replies: 327
Views: 46447

RE: A330 NEO Becoming More Likely Part 6

Good point.

What the heck, optimize the 350-800, rewing and rengine the 330. There, I have infinite power and resources. Good plan   

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by mayohoo
Fri Mar 21, 2014 7:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330 NEO Becoming More Likely Part 6
Replies: 327
Views: 46447

RE: A330 NEO Becoming More Likely Part 6

Well, maybe a dumb question but would it be possible for Airbus to 777-x the A330? Keep the fuselage and change the wing and engines? Would that plus the cost advantage be enough to be competitive with the 787? I still think the best long term solution for Airbus would be to optimize a 350-800 with ...

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by mayohoo
Thu Mar 20, 2014 8:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330 NEO Becoming More Likely Part 6
Replies: 327
Views: 46447

RE: A330 NEO Becoming More Likely Part 6

We can speculate all we want, but I am guessing that the total Business case for a 330NEO may not be as solid as Airbus would like. The 350-800 is not popular, so it seems to be 330NEO versus doing nothing (at least according to Anet wisdom). I am not sure if the Resource outlay (engineering etc) ma...

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by mayohoo
Sun Feb 16, 2014 3:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus Future Line Up
Replies: 46
Views: 13540

RE: Airbus Future Line Up

A 330 neo is now likely since the 350-800 is being aggressively killed off by Airbus. The line is paid for and the aircraft is good (for now) and can be sold on price and availability. In 5-7 years, if the 787 line ramps up successfully and continues with PIP then the gap begins to widen to the poin...

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by mayohoo
Tue Feb 04, 2014 11:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leeham.net Discusses Possible A380 Improvements
Replies: 270
Views: 33459

RE: Leeham.net Discusses Possible A380 Improvements

The arguments are tiresome, but I think it is safe to say the a380 is a VLA. It has 4 engines, is >20% larger than the largest proposed twin (777-9) [407/555], requires special procedures/gates/runways etc. It is clearly not selling that well but long term it at least has a chance to sell more and t...

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by mayohoo
Tue Jan 21, 2014 11:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330 NEO Becoming More Likely Part 3
Replies: 250
Views: 33642

A330 NEO Becoming More Likely Part 3

I would argue that the 737 and 320 are the end of the line for their design and that most of the improvement is in the engines. By 2025 I would guess that there would be significant improvements in: 1. CFRP wing (5%) 2. New generation engine (10%): say 2nd gen <acronym title="Great Falls - Internati...

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by mayohoo
Tue Jan 21, 2014 6:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A330 NEO Becoming More Likely Part 3
Replies: 250
Views: 33642

A330 NEO Becoming More Likely Part 3

Airbus also is developing and certifying the 320 neo line in the same time frame. The core issue is can Airbus compete with optimized 787s and refreshed 777s using only the 350 line. To do so, they will have to: 1.Ramp up and increase industrilized rate to meet demand 2. Optimize a small 787 widebod...

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by mayohoo
Mon Jan 13, 2014 5:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New A320 Seat Count: 189
Replies: 52
Views: 23311

RE: New A320 Seat Count: 189

How often do the extra seats come into play? Is load factor of a 100% that common in normal LCC or airline scheduling?

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by mayohoo
Sun Nov 10, 2013 4:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airline Tells Man He's 'too Fat To Fly'
Replies: 159
Views: 24738

RE: Airline Tells Man He's 'too Fat To Fly'

In defense of the Mayo Clinic, the policy is if you have elective care needs and you do not live in Mn, Ia, Nd, Sd, Wi, or Ill then you will be asked to seek treatment in your home state unless there is a unique issue with your care (eg: Mayo has a unique procedure ). Otherwise, it would be inundate...

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by mayohoo
Fri Nov 01, 2013 5:06 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Best Airport Restaurants In The US
Replies: 19
Views: 4044

RE: Best Airport Restaurants In The US

Try Frontera Grill in ORD by Rick Bayliss. Food is excellent for price.

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by mayohoo
Wed Oct 30, 2013 5:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Improves 737 MAX Performance
Replies: 47
Views: 23160

RE: Boeing Improves 737 MAX Performance

Both A and B single aisles are sold out for 7-8 years. By the time they work through the backlog (which will continue to increase) they will be planning the NSA replacements for launch in the 2019-2021 time frame for first flight in the 2025-2027 time frame. The prevailing opinion in the past was th...

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by mayohoo
Sat May 25, 2013 6:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Aboulafia: Airbus The More Reliable Jet Maker
Replies: 48
Views: 14961

RE: Aboulafia: Airbus The More Reliable Jet Maker

Actually, it is a fairly even handed article although the title is a little sensational. I think most would say the 787 has had a rough development period with delays and issues. It is now at the ramp up stage with much of its risk retired for the 787-8. It is likely the 787-9 is on firm footing, bu...

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by mayohoo
Thu May 09, 2013 11:58 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Grants Authority To Offer 777X?
Replies: 239
Views: 34162

RE: Boeing Grants Authority To Offer 777X?

It is likely in 10-15 years the major advances in efficiency will continue to be the engines. What would preclude the 777-9x from doing a neo? And in 20-25 years it is likely the Y3 BWB or whatever concept will be what replaces the 777-9x. I think that it is possible that the science of aerodynamics...

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by mayohoo
Tue Nov 27, 2012 4:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 787 Production/Delivery Thread Part 11
Replies: 278
Views: 31338

RE: 787 Production/Delivery Thread Part 11

IF B achieves its 10/m by the end of 2013, then by end of 2019 it will have burned through the 850 orders it has currently. 2011-12= 45 2013 at 5/m and 7/m= 72 2014=120 2015=120 2016=120 2017=120 2018=120 2019=120 Plus 25 reworked aircraft by 2015 Total 862 One would presume that they would like to ...

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by mayohoo
Tue Nov 06, 2012 8:22 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: 787 And A350 Engines And Electrical Systems
Replies: 4
Views: 6967

787 And A350 Engines And Electrical Systems

I noticed this article /n the Boeing Aero magazine. How will the a350 differ in both engine design (RR of ocurse) and electrical architecture? <a href="http://www.boeing.com/commercial/aeromagazine/articles/2012_q3/2/" target="_blank">http://www.boeing.com/commercial/aeromagazine/articles/2012_q3/2/...

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by mayohoo
Fri Oct 12, 2012 2:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A380 Production Thread Part 12
Replies: 257
Views: 52003

RE: A380 Production Thread Part 12

Still, since one airline makes up a high percentage of the aircraft volume, you would expect the Emirates a380s to be completed at a much faster pace compared to the others simply due to the fact that there should be some familiarity with how they are being set up. It seems as though the a380 just t...

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by mayohoo
Thu Jul 26, 2012 3:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Kulula's Ridiculously Posh New Boeing
Replies: 21
Views: 21234

Kulula's Ridiculously Posh New Boeing

That is genius...the first, second, third and fourth wife was a LOL!  

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by mayohoo
Thu May 10, 2012 4:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Etihad Cancels Another 7 A350-1000
Replies: 241
Views: 45782

RE: Etihad Cancels Another 7 A350-1000

So to try and fairly summarize (first post): The 787-8 is out and after PIP and fine tuning will be a fine airplane and better than predecessors (2013). The -9 will be out (2014) and will build on the -8 experience and will likely itself be a fine airplane and better than predecessors. Rampup of bot...

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