Search found 874 matches

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by SYDSpotter
Fri Jul 03, 2020 10:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - July 2020
Replies: 126
Views: 14240

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - July 2020

Rex having another dig at QF for starting a new route to OAG on 20th July calling it predatory. Rexs' most expensive fare on this route is over $500 and they sell still them at peak times. REX has asked the government to "review" any assistance provided to Qantas under the various COVID-1...

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by SYDSpotter
Wed Jul 01, 2020 9:38 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - July 2020
Replies: 126
Views: 14240

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - July 2020

I'm away that this is way out there and likely impossible for hundreds of reasons so don't berate me but if VA REALLY wanted to do some slot sitting, could they wet lease a plane and crew from ANA ? Yup it's a silly suggestion. You wet lease an aircraft where you don't have spare aircraft/staff, VA...

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by SYDSpotter
Wed Jul 01, 2020 9:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - July 2020
Replies: 126
Views: 14240

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - July 2020

gpasternak wrote:
From my armchair CEO position, if VA flew to AKL, HND, LAX/SFO and code shared with Star Alliance members NZ/NH/UA/AC/CA/BR it might be a small but successful operation.


Which is basically no different to their pre-COVID situation with the exception of their Pacific Island routes...

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by SYDSpotter
Tue Jun 30, 2020 10:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020
Replies: 495
Views: 67626

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020

Flymetothemoono wrote:
7 aircraft would be better. 3 each at Syd & Mel & a spare.
.


But REX have said they intend to fly SYD/MEL/BNE, they only have enough initial capital to lease 5-10 aircraft, so you can't have a small fleet, offer high frequency and fly SYD/MEL/BNE.....

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by SYDSpotter
Tue Jun 30, 2020 10:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020
Replies: 495
Views: 67626

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020

I agree, I would also argue VA may have a tough time selling tickets. Whilst their brand isnt damaged, people will lack confidence. Why would they have a tough time selling tickets? They're a known quantity, have just been freshly recapitalised and have an existing frequent flyer program and base t...

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by SYDSpotter
Tue Jun 30, 2020 10:31 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020
Replies: 495
Views: 67626

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020

The problem with a small fleet and tight turns is that delays knock on throughout the day and by the end of the day your entire schedule is stuffed. This was Tiger's issue also. Yup, Tiger's issue was exacerbated by the fact that small fleet was spread across multiple destinations (SYD/MEL/BNE/CNS/...

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by SYDSpotter
Tue Jun 30, 2020 10:18 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020
Replies: 495
Views: 67626

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020

I don’t believe that an ATR42 is that much bigger in size. 48 sears versus 34. Given that they will be offering a “Business Light” product on their proposed NB jets, they may offer something sort of similar. Instead of 2x1 seating, it may just be 2x2 but with a few more inches of legroom. In absolu...

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by SYDSpotter
Mon Jun 29, 2020 10:55 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020
Replies: 495
Views: 67626

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020

So REX has gone from a speculative $200m capital injection/equity raise to now raising "at least $30m" to fund capital city services. 5-10 jets means Rex can only offer services every 1-2 hours out of SYD/MEL/BNE compared with QF/VA who offered frequency up to every 30 mins in peak times (...

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by SYDSpotter
Thu Jun 25, 2020 10:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020
Replies: 495
Views: 67626

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020

[ Think things will return to normal much faster than some here suggesting. Too much talk of cases & not of deaths. Healthy people don't die. That's truely healthy. The unhealthy won't be flying. Well QF certainly has different view as their announcement today shows. And they are in a pretty go...

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by SYDSpotter
Mon Jun 22, 2020 3:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020
Replies: 495
Views: 67626

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020

That is an extremely misleading way to frame the question. I could say “would we all accept never leaving our state for the rest of our lives if it meant stopping a disease whose median age of death is 80?” and probably get a different response. I don’t mean any offense, but the issue is much more ...

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by SYDSpotter
Mon Jun 22, 2020 10:29 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020
Replies: 495
Views: 67626

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020

A significant part of the economy is one that isnt riddled with debilitating respiratory illnesses too. Im not sure we really know where the balance between those two competing factors is just yet. This is the call the various governments need to make, what we can see is varying approaches around t...

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by SYDSpotter
Wed Jun 17, 2020 10:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020
Replies: 495
Views: 67626

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020

The only possible problem with such an approach is if the aircraft are used as security on financing. Declaring an asset has no value may mean the lender does also meaning loan covenants may be breached and extra security provided. For real estate/property, yes there would be covenants based on ass...

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by SYDSpotter
Tue Jun 16, 2020 9:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020
Replies: 495
Views: 67626

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020

SCA has ambitions of direct flights from Asia and Perth If you look 200km south a much larger tourist area has only a few direct flights from Asia and Perth and I thing they are handling around 4x the flights from Sydney and Melbourne, so the likelihood of a lot of traffic from Asia or Perth would ...

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by SYDSpotter
Tue Jun 16, 2020 9:37 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020
Replies: 495
Views: 67626

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020

No China at the moment, reports today are saying a 2nd break out of COVID has hit Beijing. So unless they can contain this and not lie about it China is out for the time being. Given the Chinese Government issued an 'advisory' recommending their citizens not visit Australia for tourism purposes (an...

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by SYDSpotter
Mon Jun 15, 2020 10:05 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020
Replies: 495
Views: 67626

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020

plenty of people think September will have to be go for all flights. We like NZ need all the tourists will can get. It would be insane to be able to fly to somewhere only via NZ but not direct. Plenty of people have opinions, doesn't mean they are right. For now all we have is the Government guidan...

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by SYDSpotter
Fri Jun 12, 2020 11:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020
Replies: 495
Views: 67626

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020

QF have already announced they have stopped all remaining international routes, namely LHR and LAX. My bet is that if International were to return in the next 12 months, it would be Singapore, Hong Kong and Auckland. But any passenger services would only be operated to ports that were inside the so...

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by SYDSpotter
Fri Jun 12, 2020 10:55 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020
Replies: 495
Views: 67626

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020

Why would operating a brand new financed aircraft be cheaper to operate than an older far more depreciated aircraft (with cheaper flight and cabin crew)? The fuel burn difference would be negligible between Brisbane and Perth (the longest flight in the Australian domestic network). Remember QF have...

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by SYDSpotter
Fri Jun 12, 2020 9:28 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020
Replies: 495
Views: 67626

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020

Yes I've heard a rumour & its obviously all dependant on how quickly passenger loads return, but there is a belief that the initial return to flying will be with B737's and A330's with B787's returning by mid next year if not earlier and the A380's slated to return late in 2021. Be interesting ...

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by SYDSpotter
Fri Jun 12, 2020 9:18 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020
Replies: 495
Views: 67626

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020

Queensland and South Australia will open up their state borders in July. Queensland originally said it would be September. With the 747 gone, and if you are suggesting that there is no 787 or 380 flying for the next 12 months, this would then suggest that there will be no LAX or LHR flights for ove...

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by SYDSpotter
Tue Jun 09, 2020 8:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020
Replies: 495
Views: 67626

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020

..mainly 'mums and dads' .... most Morgans clients who bought into the Virgin fundraising last November have individual investments of up to $50,000.. I dont know many mums and dads that have 50k to drop into one investment, let alone an airline one. I feel this is a biased beat up. Mum and dad inv...

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by SYDSpotter
Mon Jun 01, 2020 9:22 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020
Replies: 495
Views: 67626

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2020

Not much news on the ZL Jet idea - was this industry speculation that started trending, or something more firm that was actually announced. Really hoping this one goes ahead. It was based off an AFR interview with the Chairman of REX whereby he stated REX had done some "confidential explorator...

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by SYDSpotter
Wed May 20, 2020 9:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 512
Views: 68265

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2020

[ Your completely misreading the public opinion in those locations. In South Australia there is widespread public support for keeping the borders closed. There is very little public support for opening the borders and the Premier's popularity has been steadily increasing through this crisis. I susp...

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by SYDSpotter
Tue May 19, 2020 8:38 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 512
Views: 68265

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2020

No vaccine has ever been created for ANY corona virus ever and with countries like the U.S. looking down the barrel of 100% infections and some people having the virus reoccur, will a country like Australia, who may totally eliminate the virus, ever open their borders to them again for fear of brin...

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by SYDSpotter
Sun May 17, 2020 12:18 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 512
Views: 68265

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2020

The fact that they aren't at said airline anymore means they were held accountable. Find them in the Jobseeker queue :duck: JB won't be needing welfare anytime soon, he got paid handsomely for his time at both QF and VA, so JB is probably cruising around in his vintage cars looking sharp in his fin...

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by SYDSpotter
Sat May 16, 2020 9:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 512
Views: 68265

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2020

I think someone mentioned this briefly either here or in the VA thread in passing, what is the likelihood that the administrators will be looking for any sign that the previous CEO mismanaged the company? Is that something in their brief, will new owners do anything about that, current leadership o...

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by SYDSpotter
Sat May 16, 2020 3:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 512
Views: 68265

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2020

Here is what a 737, A320 and even an A332 would look like in REX colour's, time for a new paint job perhaps? It'd be the quite the sight if REX operated an A332 ! But stranger things have happened. I remember sitting on a REX Saab 340 flight from SYD-GFF taxing to the runway and we had a QF A330 be...

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by SYDSpotter
Fri May 15, 2020 9:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 512
Views: 68265

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2020

SCFlyer wrote:
with BNE-HND on the 5th 77W.


That's a tonne of capacity for BNE-HND ! Its most definitely 787/A330 territory, but I appreciate they don't have 787's and abusing a 77W is the lesser of 2 evils vs continuing to lease A330's.

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by SYDSpotter
Wed May 13, 2020 8:32 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 512
Views: 68265

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2020

Because Queensland politics is always crazy, they’ve launched a bid for VA. It feels like every man and his dog are having a go. https://www.smh.com.au/politics/queensland/queensland-government-to-bid-for-virgin-australia-airline-20200513-p54sny.html Well the plot thickens... The potential bid will...

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by SYDSpotter
Tue May 12, 2020 9:02 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 512
Views: 68265

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2020

A320neos would be part of the new Rex capital city service image, not that it would attract people because they are A320neos but it'd let Rex talk them up as a point of differentiation and also talk up that they are quiet, spacious and modern, all of which is true. Most 'business class travellers' ...

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by SYDSpotter
Tue May 12, 2020 2:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2020
Replies: 512
Views: 68265

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - May 2020

According to media reports this morning, looks like Rex is seriously considering buying jets to operate the main trunk routes, positioning themselves in between QF and JQ but with a lower cost base. Interesting times!! The plan is the lease jets rather than buy jets. The reports are that they are a...

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by SYDSpotter
Mon Apr 27, 2020 9:14 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1158
Views: 116281

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020

There is a quirk in th accounting standards for buying into an entity that you already own part of where the part you already own is revalued based on the purchase price you pay for the step acquisition. I have seen one instance in my professional life where this has lead to an executive overpaying...

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by SYDSpotter
Fri Apr 24, 2020 8:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1158
Views: 116281

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020

But in all seriousness, does the airport have that right? What if it’s a leased aircraft and one not owned? Given the amount of airlines failing over the years, is this “normal practice”? If the aircraft is leased, the lessor owns it. An airport couldn't just seize the aircraft. If the aircraft was...

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by SYDSpotter
Fri Apr 24, 2020 8:07 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1158
Views: 116281

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020

There is a bit of speculation around that QF will go for an equity raising in the next few weeks to shore up its balance sheet. Both QF and VA are looking at substantial losses with ineffective fuel hedges following the collapse of the oil price. The fall in the AUD will also be an issue given QF's...

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by SYDSpotter
Wed Apr 22, 2020 9:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1158
Views: 116281

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020

Only thing I found on Reuter’s was the following. Only indication is a creditors meeting on April 30. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-virgin-australia/virgin-australia-administrator-to-hold-first-creditors-meeting-on-april-30-idUSKCN224087 2GB reported it and said based on a R...

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by SYDSpotter
Sun Apr 19, 2020 10:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1158
Views: 116281

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020

Genuine question, open to anyone ... what is the issue with foreign ownership of an airline operating domestically, as opposed to any other business operating in Australia. Is it an emotional response? Is it something else? I don't understand why some are against this, and looking for some genuine ...

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by SYDSpotter
Sun Apr 19, 2020 7:53 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1158
Views: 116281

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020

And lets not forget MU has some 80 billion USD cash reserves to pull on I think you've got far too many zero's in that number, that don't even make anywhere near that in revenue... Being 62% state owned by the Chinese government, they get afforded luxuries many airlines do not. One of those things ...

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by SYDSpotter
Sun Apr 19, 2020 1:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1158
Views: 116281

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020

Morrofinch wrote:
And lets not forget MU has some 80 billion USD cash reserves to pull on


I think you've got far too many zero's in that number, that don't even make anywhere near that in revenue...

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by SYDSpotter
Sat Apr 18, 2020 9:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1158
Views: 116281

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020

This is getting ridiculous- there's no pint following the VA developments on this thread. In the space of a few minutes we've gone from SQ/EY agree not to move on VA to SQ to take control of VA- which I highly doubt would be allowed if SQ just got bailed out by their govt. Well they're not really d...

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by SYDSpotter
Sat Apr 18, 2020 8:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1158
Views: 116281

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020

So three weeks ago the Govt was so concerned about 'the Chinese' snapping up distressed Aussie companies, but now it would be okay if the Chinese snapped up a distressed Virgin Australia? I suppose the Govt's justification would be that this keeps a second airline flying, and they could also crow a...

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by SYDSpotter
Wed Apr 15, 2020 10:51 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1158
Views: 116281

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020

VA recently spent $700 million to take full ownership of their Velocity Rewards customer loyalty program. In essence they reduced their liquidity, when they had low equity and an inability to raise new debt. The $700 million outlay essentially changed the risk and debt profile of the business. Ther...

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by SYDSpotter
Fri Apr 10, 2020 3:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1158
Views: 116281

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020

Tomorrow Qantas is operating 1 flight between MEL and SYD but no return flight. The flight is being operated by a Q400 and going via CBR. For the return leg JQ will be the only airline offering a SYD-MEL service https://twitter.com/FATIIIAviation/status/1248443921123835905?s=20 So there will be mor...

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by SYDSpotter
Sat Apr 04, 2020 9:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1158
Views: 116281

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020

These VA LAX-BNE repatriation flights puzzle me. I can buy a SFO-SYD ticket on UA all next week and the seat maps show no more than 1/3 full. Are the VA flights to avoid a 2 week quarantine in SYD followed by another 2 weeks in BNE? And what about MEL? The flights are going from BNE to evenly sprea...

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by SYDSpotter
Sat Apr 04, 2020 8:32 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1158
Views: 116281

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020

aerokiwi wrote:

Raises the question of whether any of that will go to VA.


Highly unlikely. As a minority 10% shareholder, why would he tip money in when the other 4 shareholders with 80% shareholding aren't doing anything...

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by SYDSpotter
Thu Apr 02, 2020 7:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1158
Views: 116281

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - April 2020

qf789 wrote:
Nepal Airlines repatriation flight is currently about 30 minutes out from BNE


Never thought I'd see a direct Aus-Nepal flight let alone a Nepal Airlines plane in Oz !!

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by SYDSpotter
Mon Mar 30, 2020 8:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 987
Views: 98900

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020

If it is indeed the end of the road for QF's 747, it will be very sad. My first QF 747 flight was to HKG, with my most recent experience being a hop to HND last year. Have always enjoyed my 747 flights except for 1 flight from SYD-SIN when I was stuck in a middle seat between two large gentlemen :cr...

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by SYDSpotter
Wed Mar 25, 2020 8:29 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 987
Views: 98900

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020

If we do get through this with two carriers, I wonder if corporate Australia would be savvy enough to share their travel contracts around to ensure a two-carrier future? Because if they don't and one is left to weaken and die, well, they're hostage to QF forever more afterwards. If things back to h...

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by SYDSpotter
Wed Mar 25, 2020 8:28 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 987
Views: 98900

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020

Yes I definitely don't see EY or HNA coming to any party, HNA at least may be lucky to survive. One route of investment I could see is if VA is considered worthless, and the Australian government comes in with an investment in the airline where EY, HNA etc surrender their shares in return for the c...

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by SYDSpotter
Tue Mar 24, 2020 7:32 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 987
Views: 98900

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020

I think that flag carriers will be the priority to get state support, and that carriers like JQ will be considered expendable. If carriers are parking 80%-95% of their fleets (as most are) for a period of two, three, six months (or longer), and even then have to re-establish routes to markets that ...

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by SYDSpotter
Mon Mar 23, 2020 7:25 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 987
Views: 98900

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020

Not being negative, but realistic: I personally think that the "ramp up" of services "post-virus" that some are already postulating will be many, many months away, and that when it occurs it will be a long and slow process. I believe that we will look back on early 2020 as "...

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by SYDSpotter
Fri Mar 20, 2020 7:31 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020
Replies: 987
Views: 98900

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - March 2020

Jesus Christ! Stop the grandstanding. It's not constructive and it does not change a thing. People in the travel industry will be lucky to have jobs at all by the end of the month. Thank god someone said this! Now is not the time to bash AJ or QF! We the family of crew have just learnt we are a one...

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