Search found 6062 matches

by mjoelnir
Thu Sep 20, 2018 3:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Should AB launch A310-300 based on A330NEO
Replies: 33
Views: 5003

Re: Should AB launch A310-300 based on A330NEO

Sure it would be a major engineering effort and major investment. Airbus would need to run the numbers to see how the economics of a rewinged/re-engined A310/300 making heavy use of A330 systems would work out. But I can't understand all the hysteria about the concept. The closest modern parallel h...

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by mjoelnir
Wed Sep 19, 2018 3:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Would KLM be interested in an Airbus 380 combi version ?
Replies: 23
Views: 2870

Re: Would KLM be interested in an Airbus 380 combi version ?

By definition , a "Combi" combi aircraftcombines passenger and cargo space on the main deck.. Belly capacity dooe not count Semantics. Frames with limited belly space had to put cargo on the main deck, to carry both a significant amount of cargo together with the passengers.. So we had na...

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by mjoelnir
Wed Sep 19, 2018 2:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Should AB launch A310-300 based on A330NEO
Replies: 33
Views: 5003

Re: Should AB launch A310-300 based on A330NEO

It would need a new wing and a modernized systems architecture since many of those components are all out of production and with obsolete designs. If Airbus is going through that effort, it might as well be clean sheet. There is no point trying to preserve a 40 year old aluminum fuselage design tha...

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by mjoelnir
Wed Sep 19, 2018 11:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Would KLM be interested in an Airbus 380 combi version ?
Replies: 23
Views: 2870

Re: Would KLM be interested in an Airbus 380 combi version ?

There are combi aircraft build and in use today. A330, A350, 787 and 777. Wide body frames with a big cargo capacity in the belly.

If some airline would like to use a A380 for fewer passengers and more cargo, one could imagine moving the passengers luggage to the main deck.

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by mjoelnir
Tue Sep 18, 2018 3:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Discussion Thread - 2018
Replies: 2952
Views: 355084

Re: Boeing 797 Discussion Thread - 2018

Revelation wrote:
I know. Why would we give credence to a knowledgeable corporate officer instead of a journo looking for clicks?



Because the knowledgeable corporate officers did misjudge in a big way the time needed for a development the last time?

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by mjoelnir
Thu Sep 13, 2018 3:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American A333s
Replies: 100
Views: 16068

Re: American A333s

What's the MTOW for the US A333s ? I assume 215 tons ? Thanks, The EIS of the 230t version of the A330-300 was 1999 after the A330-200 was introduced with 230 t in 1998, no 212t version off that bird. The oldest A330-300 at American Airlines is from March 2000, the newest is from March 2001. I assu...

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by mjoelnir
Thu Sep 13, 2018 8:37 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Feasibility of 787 engine split fleet between GE and RR
Replies: 14
Views: 1637

Re: Feasibility of 787 engine split fleet between GE and RR

One of the 787 marketing hype that did not work out. If the engine pylon would have been the the same, and if you would only have to inform the software what engine is fitted. But the reality came out different. That Boeing has moved some frames from one engine to another is no proof for anything, t...

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by mjoelnir
Wed Sep 12, 2018 3:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American A333s
Replies: 100
Views: 16068

Re: American A333s

AA hasn’t replaced any 77Es yet. Sure you can lease cheap A330s but why? They just ordered more 787s to eventually replace the 767s and A333s. Yes they could maybe replace them faster with leased A330s, but you guys don’t seem to get that AA wants to cut (future) capacity some. They don’t want ~25 ...

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by mjoelnir
Wed Sep 12, 2018 2:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Production Thread 2018
Replies: 215
Views: 50799

Re: Boeing 777X Production Thread 2018

If I understood correctly winglet are more efficient at cruise and for such an LR bird I'd think you don't want a "flat" wing once folding tips are deployed, right ? Or the tip device is just missing as not needed for fatigue testing ? The raked wingtip (while flat) adds 85% of the wingti...

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by mjoelnir
Wed Sep 12, 2018 2:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Trans-Atlantic Fuel Efficiency by Airline 2017
Replies: 49
Views: 6681

Re: Trans-Atlantic Fuel Efficiency by Airline 2017

Interesting is the position of Icelandair, flying mainly old 757 and 767, and only 3 737-8. Still they manage to be right on the industry average.

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by mjoelnir
Wed Sep 12, 2018 2:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why doesn´t Boeing make a longer range 737 Max?
Replies: 22
Views: 2987

Re: Why doesn´t Boening make a loger range 737 Max?

One must remember that this same 60 year old design is able to be competitive even using a lower bypass engine Definitely not an engineer, but would raising the plane a few inches permit a good deal of advancements on engine options? I've never quite understood why the 737 is so low to the ground. ...

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by mjoelnir
Wed Sep 12, 2018 12:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Nordic aviation - 2018
Replies: 939
Views: 114245

Re: Nordic aviation - 2018

Of course they could, but ARN would be more likely considering SAS is leaving and it’s a significantly bigger city. Just be careful when using the "Stockholm is a much bigger city" line - yes, it is bigger but airports also serve a wider region, which in the case of CPH includes Skåne in ...

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by mjoelnir
Wed Sep 12, 2018 12:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Nordic aviation - 2018
Replies: 939
Views: 114245

Re: Nordic aviation - 2018

And defining catchment areas for airports is hard. Sjælland + Skåne = 3,655,000 inhabitants, Stockholms län, Uppsala län, Södermanlands län, Västmanlands län + Gävle kommun = 3,363,000 inhabitants. It's all about where you draw the borders. Also frequence of travel. I would guess a inhabitant of Co...

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by mjoelnir
Wed Sep 12, 2018 11:20 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American A333s
Replies: 100
Views: 16068

Re: American A333s

When A330neo are starting to come into the market, the price for the current used A330ceo will lower. AA could add used A330 to expedite the removal of 767 out of the fleet. They could also replace the old P&W A330-300 with newer GE or RR A330-300. I look at the 24 A330 at AA as one fleet, as l...

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by mjoelnir
Wed Sep 12, 2018 11:05 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is ATL really within a 2hr flight of 80% of the US population?
Replies: 66
Views: 11799

Re: Is ATL really within a 2hr flight of 80% of the US population?

Are posters still at this stupid game? 80% inside 2 hours from ATL is an advertising lie, perhaps true some decades ago. Today more than 20% of the USA population live more than 2 hours flying time away from ATL. Trying to pad the statement with including flights of 2 hours 30 or more, shows some de...

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by mjoelnir
Wed Sep 12, 2018 10:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American A333s
Replies: 100
Views: 16068

Re: American A333s

When A330neo are starting to come into the market, the price for the current used A330ceo will lower. AA could add used A330 to expedite the removal of 767 out of the fleet. They could also replace the old P&W A330-300 with newer GE or RR A330-300. I look at the 24 A330 at AA as one fleet, as lo...

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by mjoelnir
Wed Sep 12, 2018 10:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Singapore’s Sovereign Wealth Fund interested in purchasing GECAS
Replies: 14
Views: 2099

Re: Singapore’s Sovereign Wealth Fund interested in purchasing GECAS

jfk777 wrote:
Anything Aviation related at GE is a Crown Jewel at the center of the future. Almost everything else is for sale potentially. GE is not selling the Health division they are spinning it off.


They are spinning it off to be able to sell it or parts of it.

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by mjoelnir
Wed Sep 12, 2018 10:39 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Singapore’s Sovereign Wealth Fund interested in purchasing GECAS
Replies: 14
Views: 2099

Re: Singapore’s Sovereign Wealth Fund interested in purchasing GECAS

Correct me if I am wrong, if the sales goes through does it mean GECAS will no longer has the obligation to order GE-engines only for their purchase? Or I am wrong? Btw, GE has been busy offloading their assets for cash and seeks to ally investors' concern. They have sold off their health care busi...

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by mjoelnir
Wed Sep 12, 2018 10:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Singapore’s Sovereign Wealth Fund interested in purchasing GECAS
Replies: 14
Views: 2099

Re: Singapore’s Sovereign Wealth Fund interested in purchasing GECAS

Selling GECAS would be like PanAm selling the Intercontinental hotel chain, a really bad long term move. Aircraft leasing does well attached to another business to help make bond sales easier. A wise investment. Will GE sell? Lightsaber GE needs capital. They have to sell something that they get pa...

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by mjoelnir
Tue Sep 11, 2018 12:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Nordic aviation - 2018
Replies: 939
Views: 114245

Re: Nordic aviation - 2018

Keflavik Airport August 2018 numbers: Departing 340,623 Arriving 335,012 Transfer/Transit 513,615 together 1,189,250 10% increase over August 2017. Transfer passenger numbers growing faster than O&D. Third month with more than a million passengers this year. Juni, July and August. Year 2018 til ...

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by mjoelnir
Mon Sep 10, 2018 4:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Icelandair Rebanking
Replies: 44
Views: 7986

Re: Icelandair Rebanking

Icelandair is confirming the second bank in this article today: https://turisti.is/2018/09/nyir-timar-hja-icelandair-a-keflavikurflugvelli/ Confirmed routes for the second bank: Europe: Copenhagen, Frankfurt, Munich, Amsterdam, Stockholm, Oslo, Paris, Brussels, Berlin, Hamburg and Zürich North Amer...

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by mjoelnir
Mon Sep 10, 2018 3:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Icelandair Rebanking
Replies: 44
Views: 7986

Re: Icelandair Rebanking

Icelandair is confirming the second bank in this article today: https://turisti.is/2018/09/nyir-timar-hja-icelandair-a-keflavikurflugvelli/ Confirmed routes for the second bank: Europe: Copenhagen, Frankfurt, Munich, Amsterdam, Stockholm, Oslo, Paris, Brussels, Berlin, Hamburg and Zürich North Amer...

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by mjoelnir
Sun Sep 09, 2018 11:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 737 Production Delays
Replies: 57
Views: 6748

Re: 737 Production Delays

The 737 production delays seem to be increasing. https://www.seattletimes.com/business/boeing-aerospace/737-problems-have-grown-in-renton-despite-boeings-reassurances/?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=article_title_1.1 The number of unfinished frames increased from about 40 ...

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by mjoelnir
Fri Sep 07, 2018 12:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Icelandair Rebanking
Replies: 44
Views: 7986

Re: Icelandair Rebanking

Icelandair went from a partial two bank system in S17 to a one bank system in S18 (one bank in the morning going east and one bank in the afternoon going west, is still a one bank system). Now they seem to go back to a partial two bank system (two banks going east and two banks going west) in S19. I...

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by mjoelnir
Fri Sep 07, 2018 12:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Icelandair Rebanking
Replies: 44
Views: 7986

Re: Icelandair Rebanking

So a 757 will no longer overnight in DEN. I could never figure out how that low utilization ever worked. The low utilization works, because Icelandair uses owned, written off frames, with low fixed cost. Nearly all the cost left is connect to usage, aka flight hours and cycles. The same principle t...

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by mjoelnir
Fri Sep 07, 2018 12:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Boeing meet Qantas Project Sunrise challenge, RFP to be completed by end of 2019
Replies: 264
Views: 36973

Re: Airbus and Boeing meet Qantas Project Sunrise challenge, RFP to be completed by end of 2019

With regards to weight, the current average estimate for the 778 is 165t. Versus 145t for a 77L, 167t for a 77W, and 159t for A35J (vs 141t for A359, a 7m stretch and at least 30 to 38 t OEW increase before Project Sunrise changes). The 77W is a 10m stretch of the 77L. So 2t per meter of stretch, w...

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by mjoelnir
Thu Sep 06, 2018 9:13 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Muddle of the Market aircraft (No, this isn’t a typo)
Replies: 327
Views: 29286

Re: The Muddle of the Market aircraft (No, this isn’t a typo)

I'll believe it when i see it. Performance of the last 15 years says it'll be late, heavy, and over budget. You seem to have forgotten the A350 in your previous comment. The A380 was not Airbus’s last new plane. You are correct, I did forget. After various fits and starts, Airbus delivered very wel...

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by mjoelnir
Thu Sep 06, 2018 9:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Muddle of the Market aircraft (No, this isn’t a typo)
Replies: 327
Views: 29286

Re: The Muddle of the Market aircraft (No, this isn’t a typo)

The 787 cost over $30 billion. Not to design it didn't. Deferred Production Cost is different from R&D spend. So what did Boeing directly write of in context of 787 development? .. and don't forget all the subsidies from various governments around the globe. Boeing had to book development cost ...

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by mjoelnir
Thu Sep 06, 2018 8:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Muddle of the Market aircraft (No, this isn’t a typo)
Replies: 327
Views: 29286

Re: The Muddle of the Market aircraft (No, this isn’t a typo)

Yes, but what NMA is sold as it is? We look at at least 6 years of sales not bothered by the Boeing MOM. That means at least 1200 more likely 2000 frames taking the place the MOM intends to fill. The question is, what will be left for the MOM. Not true. Production slots for 737, A320 and 787 are fi...

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by mjoelnir
Wed Sep 05, 2018 4:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Muddle of the Market aircraft (No, this isn’t a typo)
Replies: 327
Views: 29286

Re: The Muddle of the Market aircraft (No, this isn’t a typo)

Any new frame sold in this size, be it a 737-10 or A321, 787 or A330, reduces the size of the market left for the MOM. Which also means any NMA sold also reduces the market for 737-10/A321/787/A330? If Boeing goes ahead and sells 2000-4000 of them, I think they'll be OK with that. I also think NMA ...

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by mjoelnir
Wed Sep 05, 2018 3:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Muddle of the Market aircraft (No, this isn’t a typo)
Replies: 327
Views: 29286

Re: The Muddle of the Market aircraft (No, this isn’t a typo)

The problem is just, that both airframers had products in this size and weight and for the advertised range that stopped selling, or never sold well.. Airbus the A310/300 and Boeing the 757 and 767-200. They were all huge sellers. Airbus was a brand new and unknown manufacturer starting from scratc...

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by mjoelnir
Wed Sep 05, 2018 12:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Muddle of the Market aircraft (No, this isn’t a typo)
Replies: 327
Views: 29286

Re: The Muddle of the Market aircraft (No, this isn’t a typo)

It is silly when people say there is no market because there is currently no product. 4 years ago people would say there is no market for mobile phones with 6+inch screens as they had less than 1% market share. Now every brands best selling phone has a 6+ inch screen. All because the bezel around t...

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by mjoelnir
Tue Sep 04, 2018 2:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Hamburg - just one US flight satisfying the demand?
Replies: 51
Views: 6078

Re: Hamburg - just one US flight satisfying the demand?

Let us look at some numbers and facts. Population, Hamburg 1,830,431, Seattle 724,745 Population metro, Hamburg 5,3 million, Seattle 3.7 million. 34 % of the population in Hamburg are foreigners, or their progeny. Hamburg is the third biggest aviation cluster in the world, after Seattle and Toulous...

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by mjoelnir
Tue Sep 04, 2018 2:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Hamburg - just one US flight satisfying the demand?
Replies: 51
Views: 6078

Re: Hamburg - just one US flight satisfying the demand?

You are comparing Hamburg's population with a land area of 755 km² against the population and land areas of Barcelona (101.9 km²), Munich (310.4 km²), Milan (181.8 km²), Brussels (161.4 km²). Obviously this isn't a fair comparison given these cities have population densities several orders of magni...

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by mjoelnir
Tue Sep 04, 2018 11:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Hamburg - just one US flight satisfying the demand?
Replies: 51
Views: 6078

Re: Hamburg - just one US flight satisfying the demand?

Let us look at some numbers and facts. Population, Hamburg 1,830,431, Seattle 724,745 Population metro, Hamburg 5,3 million, Seattle 3.7 million. 34 % of the population in Hamburg are foreigners, or their progeny. Hamburg is the third biggest aviation cluster in the world, after Seattle and Toulouse...

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by mjoelnir
Tue Sep 04, 2018 10:04 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: First ANA A380 rolls out of final assembly
Replies: 140
Views: 28825

Re: First ANA A380 rolls out of final assembly

Again, I'm sure sure Airbus would have been happy to trade off some or all of that cancellation fee for A350s. Or even A330NEOs. I'll be waiting for mjoelnir 's demand that you prove your statement. I expect to be waiting a long time. He declared his opinion as a opinion. Very different from declar...

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by mjoelnir
Tue Sep 04, 2018 10:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: First ANA A380 rolls out of final assembly
Replies: 140
Views: 28825

Re: First ANA A380 rolls out of final assembly

I find it highly unlikely that Airbus had any influence on the decision if ANA or Delta would get Skymark. - Skymark was a Japanese airline, ANA had therefore the better cards than Delta anyway. Think about what would have been the situation with an hypothetical USA airline that ANA and Delta would ...

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by mjoelnir
Tue Sep 04, 2018 8:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: First ANA A380 rolls out of final assembly
Replies: 140
Views: 28825

Re: First ANA A380 rolls out of final assembly

Just because it is repeated again and again a fake news does not become a fact. I have not seen the slightest bit of proof for the allegation that Airbus pressured ANA to buy the 3 A380. Nobody has said, as far as I can see, that there was any "pressure" exerted on NH by Airbus or any oth...

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by mjoelnir
Tue Sep 04, 2018 8:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Muddle of the Market aircraft (No, this isn’t a typo)
Replies: 327
Views: 29286

Re: The Muddle of the Market aircraft (No, this isn’t a typo)

VSMUT, How many orders does the A321LR have? Has it even reached 100 orderw yet? How are you justifying the statement that airlines are completely happy with the A321LR? If the smallest capable plane is the winner, that probably explains why there are 4 airlines using the 737-8 on transatlantic rou...

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by mjoelnir
Mon Sep 03, 2018 8:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Muddle of the Market aircraft (No, this isn’t a typo)
Replies: 327
Views: 29286

Re: The Muddle of the Market aircraft (No, this isn’t a typo)

Airlines are completely happy with the A321LR. There is no market for a more capable plane in this class , and the smallest plane capable of doing it will inevitably be the winner. Not true: Lufthansa CEO says considering A321LR, but range not enough VSMUT, How many orders does the A321LR have? Has...

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by mjoelnir
Mon Sep 03, 2018 2:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: First ANA A380 rolls out of final assembly
Replies: 140
Views: 28825

Re: First ANA A380 rolls out of final assembly

If DL wasn't about to gain control of Skymark and its HND slots, ANA would have never bought the A380s, plain and simple. ANA is making the best of a bad situation and faces "digestible losses", just like Airbus does while making 6 A380s per year. Well written post. I think ANA can eek ou...

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by mjoelnir
Mon Sep 03, 2018 2:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: First ANA A380 rolls out of final assembly
Replies: 140
Views: 28825

Re: First ANA A380 rolls out of final assembly

If DL wasn't about to gain control of Skymark and its HND slots, ANA would have never bought the A380s, plain and simple. ANA is making the best of a bad situation and faces "digestible losses", just like Airbus does while making 6 A380s per year. Well written post. I think ANA can eek ou...

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by mjoelnir
Mon Sep 03, 2018 2:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How is Icelandair performing at MCI?
Replies: 41
Views: 6220

Re: How is Icelandair performing at MCI?

FI has had a pretty terrible year. The expansion across North America, alone with growing competition (WOW, more direct service to KEF from US competitors, the growing availability of unbundled fares), has sharply impacted earnings. In response, the CEO has recently resigned. Big question marks are...

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by mjoelnir
Mon Sep 03, 2018 1:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Hamburg - just one US flight satisfying the demand?
Replies: 51
Views: 6078

Re: Hamburg - just one US flight satisfying the demand?

They are quick to reach by plane. That is a very different argument than you presented first. Every airport in Europe is quick to reach, what takes time is having to change flights at a hub. All the talk about point to point, but when one talks about why a rather big city does not have point to poi...

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by mjoelnir
Mon Sep 03, 2018 1:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Muddle of the Market aircraft (No, this isn’t a typo)
Replies: 327
Views: 29286

Re: The Muddle of the Market aircraft (No, this isn’t a typo)

The financial position of all three engine OEM's has changed. Senior management / board composition is changing / has changed, and the ownership structures too are poised for a shake up. A & B have been acquiring suppliers for some time, Boeing partly forced by 747 and 787 suppliers activating ...

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