Search found 5211 matches

by MIflyer12
Sat Jul 20, 2019 8:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How was WN able to grow in DEN so quickly?
Replies: 41
Views: 4910

Re: How was WN able to grow in DEN so quickly?

enilria wrote:
WN underwrote years of losses.


Can you point to evidence of that? Exec statements, SEC disclosures?

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by MIflyer12
Sat Jul 20, 2019 6:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The future of the Essential Air Service
Replies: 24
Views: 2536

Re: The future of the Essential Air Service

I think the intention is good, but a ton of the smaller communities which are close to other airports are gonna be cut. How is that going to happen? The program is immune from most economic efificiency arguments. A few airports have been cut due to max per-passenger subsidy limits but that's alread...

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by MIflyer12
Sat Jul 20, 2019 4:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Bombardier launch new 50 seater CRJ550 based on CRJ700
Replies: 105
Views: 22991

Re: Bombardier launch new 50 seater CRJ550 based on CRJ700

Do you think EVV-ORD is a market with a lot of premium demand? Not me. EVV sees a few two-class RJs but they're certainly not predominant.

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by MIflyer12
Sat Jul 20, 2019 2:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Can DL Pacific gateway in SEA work?
Replies: 45
Views: 5547

Re: Can DL Pacific gateway in SEA work?

4) DL seems to focus all TPAC connections east of the Rockies out of MSP and DTW - How do you arrive at that assertion? (For some East Coast and Midwest origins, xxx-DTW-Asia is going to be more time/distance-efficient.) SEA isn't SFO. It doesn't have the volume of Asia O&D traffic of the Bay A...

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by MIflyer12
Sat Jul 20, 2019 1:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumour: 2020 launch of UA EWR-BLR (Bangalore, India)
Replies: 34
Views: 4413

Re: Rumour: 2020 launch of UA EWR-BLR (Bangalore, India)

Route Planning may be looking at the numbers but that's a decision that gets made in the Exec suite.

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by MIflyer12
Sat Jul 20, 2019 1:34 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Why was there an innovation drought during the 1990's and 2000's?
Replies: 14
Views: 1814

Re: Why was there an innovation drought during the 1990's and 2000's?

The A320-200 (1988) and A330 (1994) reigned supreme during this time... If you had better knowledge of facts maybe you wouldn't put forward such a poor thesis. In spite of a two-year head start by A330, the A330 was handily - handily - out-delivered by 777s during the 1990s. (And 2000s.) It was the...

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by MIflyer12
Sat Jul 20, 2019 11:58 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why Virgin America Failed
Replies: 51
Views: 8818

Re: Why Virgin America Failed

Virgin America did not fail. Nobody pays billions for a failing business. AA bought TWA's assets out of bankruptcy for $500 million. Are you going to argue that TWA didn't fail? Failed businesses can have positive liquidation values. Liquidating VX is significantly what AS has done. A320 transcons ...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Jul 19, 2019 10:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: KLM/Air France Eyeing Delta focus cities
Replies: 31
Views: 5015

Re: KML/Air France Eyeing Delta focus cities

The writer of this article needs to understand how those decisions are made. As part of the JV, DL/AF/KL coordinate all their flights to North America. It's not just that AF/KL are looking to expand to those cities, it's that AF/KL, along with DL, are looking to expand to Delta's focus cities. They...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Jul 19, 2019 10:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: F9 to start FAR-PHX
Replies: 15
Views: 1475

Re: F9 to start FAR-PHX

I assumed there was a thread on this when it was announced Wednesday, but I don't see one... PHX was added to San Diego, Detroit, Fargo, and Salt Lake City. https://news.flyfrontier.com/frontier-airlines-announces-4-new-non-stop-routes-from-phoenix/ I don't see how F9 survives as the 4th non-stop c...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Jul 19, 2019 10:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United to expand premium 767s to Switzerland
Replies: 49
Views: 7681

Re: United to expand premium 767s to Switzerland

jfk777 wrote:
Why is United investing in these old 767 and not in new 787-9 for these flights.


It would seem that the 763s have the right seat count and premium mix for the market. Not every route gets a new plane.

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by MIflyer12
Fri Jul 19, 2019 8:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why Virgin America Failed
Replies: 51
Views: 8818

Re: Why Virgin America Failed

They didn't fail. They just weren't performing as well as the industry standard and were a desirable acquisition target due to their gate holdings at SFO and as competitor elimination. I agree. They were profitable when they were bought. Is profitable considered failing now???? What was the ROIC ov...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Jul 19, 2019 11:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL Planes to Carry Narcan for Drug Overdose Prevention
Replies: 82
Views: 5671

Re: DL Planes to Carry Narcan for Drug Overdose Prevention

Many of the posts here are unempathetic screeds about cost, not the virtue (and effectiveness) of Narcan in saving lives. The same kinds of people may complain about a delay when aircraft divert for a medical. Insufferable.

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by MIflyer12
Fri Jul 19, 2019 11:37 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL Planes to Carry Narcan for Drug Overdose Prevention
Replies: 82
Views: 5671

Re: DL Planes to Carry Narcan for Drug Overdose Prevention

Say everything you want about how this stuff is going to be "wasted", or "expensive". Fact is, the total cost of the drug, which would be in the hundreds of thousands, absolutely pales in comparison to what it would cost to defend a lawsuit claiming that it was negligent of DL n...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Jul 19, 2019 10:13 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: “Dear American Airlines, I Hate You With My Whole Heart.” writes disgruntled traveler
Replies: 159
Views: 19364

Re: “Dear American Airlines, I Hate You With My Whole Heart.” writes disgruntled traveler

I would like to see the no show policy challenged in court. It's completely unreasonable and possibly illegal. Fine print doesn't absolve the airlines of their legal responsibilities. There's no cost to the airline when a pax doesn't show up. In fact, the airline will possibly sell that seat a seco...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Jul 19, 2019 9:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How Little Cargo Revenue Really Matters For DL And UA
Replies: 76
Views: 7752

Re: How Little Cargo Revenue Really Matters.

What percent of revenue did Northwest generate from cargo? They operated a dedicated fleet of 747 Cargo aircraft with a hub in Anchorage. 2007 was the last full year for NW prior to merging with Delta. The 2007 Annual Report shows cargo revenue at $840 million, down 11% from the prior year. Total o...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Jul 19, 2019 9:29 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How Little Cargo Revenue Really Matters For DL And UA
Replies: 76
Views: 7752

Re: How Little Cargo Revenue Really Matters.

Again, my point is the revenue from cargo is nice, but for many airlines it is a tiny piece of their business. Not something that should be a major driver in deciding which frames to purchase, all other factors being equal. As is often the case, you’re looking at a small, US-centric picture and dra...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Jul 19, 2019 9:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: How Little Cargo Revenue Really Matters For DL And UA
Replies: 76
Views: 7752

Re: How Little Cargo Revenue Really Matters.

Once you start talking about revenue in the hundreds of millions, it may be pocket change, but and it's a big but, that is still a huge number and something any business will want to protect and grow. Certainly for the US 3 it is a small part of their overall revenue, but it's still a hundred milli...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Jul 18, 2019 11:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Unconfirmed: BA pushing A350 schedules forward
Replies: 16
Views: 4565

Re: Unconfirmed: BA pushing A350 schedules forward

That's a big Huh? on Airbus deliveries. This was DL's statement: Delta’s official statement on the matter follows: “Because Delta is taking delivery of new A330-900neo aircraft later than initially expected, Delta will debut the industry-leading widebody aircraft on scheduled Seattle-Shanghai servic...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Jul 18, 2019 11:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Expects a $5.6 Billion Hit for 737 Max Disruptions
Replies: 121
Views: 12204

Re: Boeing Expects a $5.6 Billion Hit for 737 Max Disruptions

ScottB wrote:
Kindanew wrote:
mxaxai wrote:
oof

That's a big hit that may not be available to finance NMA development.


Its ok. They will lobby even harder for tax breaks.


Maybe they should ask for "repayable loans."


Good one. Maybe NMA 'launch aid.'

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by MIflyer12
Thu Jul 18, 2019 6:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A220 dispatch reliablility?
Replies: 40
Views: 6354

Re: A220 dispatch reliablility?

Does FAA require airlines to record any delay? If so, is it a public information? There's a CFR for that! https://www.law.cornell.edu/cfr/text/14/234.4 Data are available in the aggregate by carrier, by airport, by airport by hour, and for individual flights for the last month. https://www.bts.gov/...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Jul 18, 2019 2:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019
Replies: 1750
Views: 311873

Re: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019

It saddens me to see economy plus being gutted. I get if we add P.E. seats with the economy plus seats the drop off isn't that drastic but considering some of the long haul flights UA utilizes the 789s on I was hoping for a larger E+ cabin, to go from 88 to 32 seats is a bit disappointing consideri...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Jul 18, 2019 2:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: “Dear American Airlines, I Hate You With My Whole Heart.” writes disgruntled traveler
Replies: 159
Views: 19364

Re: “Dear American Airlines, I Hate You With My Whole Heart.” writes disgruntled traveler

Is this a US thing? Yes. They have written rules and they enforce the rules - there's little reason to have rules otherwise. One might get some grace with a lengthy mechanical delay (U.S. DOT guidance comes into play), or an extraordinary weather issue, but when they say non-changeable/non-refundab...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Jul 18, 2019 2:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA’s cash position
Replies: 25
Views: 4524

Re: UA’s cash position

Delta is $2 billion cash, but long term debt only $7.7 billion. American is much worse with $337 million, cash and Long-term debt and finance leases at $20.66 billion. (1Q quarterly report) You're ignoring $4 Billion of short-term investments by AA. 'Cash and short-term investments' is the common U...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Jul 18, 2019 2:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Vietnam Airlines profits up, eyes narrowbody orders
Replies: 37
Views: 4625

Re: Vietnam Airlines profits up, eyes narrowbody orders

The Vietnamese economy is doubling in size, in real terms, every decade. If there is a one-to-one relationship between air travel capacity needs... There isn't, IME. The air travel demand function is way more complicated than that. Middle class incomes, available airport facilities, law & regul...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Jul 18, 2019 2:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: NYC-Asia DL vs UA
Replies: 58
Views: 6766

Re: NYC-Asia DL vs UA

The Asian carriers at JFK? Maybe. But some of them are quite iffy. Im sure Delta Medallions would jump at DL vs Air China. CX and KE are in the top 20 carriers by passenger count at JFK. JAL and ANA are not but I suspect they get a lot of the traffic to TYO. CX also makes the top 20 at EWR. DL has ...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Jul 18, 2019 12:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Temporarily Adds 777-200 LAS-NRT, DFW-LAS; A330 on PHL-LAS for CES 2020
Replies: 10
Views: 2606

Re: American Airlines Temporarily Adds 777-200 LAS-NRT, DFW-LAS; A330 on PHL-LAS for CES 2020

I know airlines upgauge for special events because of the traffic, but are there other examples of a US airline adding a p2p just for an event? It's very routine, and CES has been a big target. https://news.delta.com/delta-partners-add-europe-las-vegas-flights-2019-consumer-electronics-show Forty A...

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by MIflyer12
Wed Jul 17, 2019 11:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Aircraft Refurbishment Thread - 2019
Replies: 402
Views: 74200

Re: Delta Aircraft Refurbishment Thread - 2019

DL hasn't announced D1 suites for any narrowbodies. I won't declare it can't happen, should they seek directly to replace the 18 75S lie-flat configs that see some transcon and TATL runs.

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by MIflyer12
Wed Jul 17, 2019 11:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Aeromexico reports loss; cancels PVG, suspends 5 other international routes
Replies: 44
Views: 9654

Re: Aeromexico reports loss; cancels PVG, suspends 5 other international routes

Why? Airlines love the inability of competitors to grow. They're usually happy to have fewer flights at higher prices, too.

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by MIflyer12
Wed Jul 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AF to order A220, replace A380 with 787 or A350?
Replies: 164
Views: 30802

Re: AF to order A220, replace A380 with 787 or A350?

Let us discuss econ 251. By making business more expensive, growth slows as it is tougher to make the business case. For example, one of my friends has outsourced software management to France. If the costs go up to much, he doesn't care where he moves that business, he just will. I've seen him mov...

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by MIflyer12
Wed Jul 17, 2019 1:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Next wave of TATL per Boyd Group
Replies: 135
Views: 14743

Re: Next wave of TATL per Boyd Group

OAG Traffic Analyzer and other sources of passenger activity usually provide estimated passenger volumes for flights from an origin airport, city, state, country or region to a destination airport, city, state, country or region. Directionally they might be accurate but estimates are estimates. Oth...

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by MIflyer12
Wed Jul 17, 2019 12:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AF to order A220, replace A380 with 787 or A350?
Replies: 164
Views: 30802

Re: AF to order A220, replace A380 with 787 or A350?

You know, if France REALLY cared about the environment they would be punishing airlines by forcing them to have less flights rather than consumers by forcing us to pay more. This is so spot on. Did you guys get your education in economics in the 1950s Soviet Union? Apart from chronically underserve...

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by MIflyer12
Wed Jul 17, 2019 12:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumor: American Airlines To Introduce Free WiFi
Replies: 54
Views: 7805

Re: Rumor: American Airlines To Introduce Free WiFi

I sure in hell hope it works better than the free wi-fi I get on Amtrak. I can't even go up the NEC and keep reception. I'm not holding my breath though. Last flight I had was on Virgin, and I paid for the wi-fi and it was terrible. I think Amtrak is still cell-based 4G LTE tech, not satellite. Whe...

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by MIflyer12
Wed Jul 17, 2019 11:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Passenger on AA from KIN-MIA asked to deboard to change from her romper outfit
Replies: 117
Views: 8104

Re: Passenger on AA from KIN-MIA asked to deboard to change from her romper outfit

Since when was classiness a requirement to fly? Every time you step into a private property; the owner or operator can kick you out if they feel your classiness (or lack thereof) is contrary to company values or rules. And when providing a public service laws about gender and racial bias still appl...

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by MIflyer12
Wed Jul 17, 2019 11:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What’s happening at BHM?
Replies: 53
Views: 4224

Re: What’s happening at BHM?

Slightly off topic, but looking at the 1999 OAG North American timetable on Departed Flights, BHM used to have a lot more service to other southern cities that have now all but dissapeared, with the only ones left being the mega-hubs of ATL and CLT and destinations in Texas and Florida. There used ...

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by MIflyer12
Wed Jul 17, 2019 12:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What’s happening at BHM?
Replies: 53
Views: 4224

Re: What’s happening at BHM?

NolaMD88fan wrote:
Probably NK. Seems like a good market for them to hit up the leisure routes.


Orlando? Wouldn't many in the leisure crowd just drive that? Las Vegas?

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by MIflyer12
Tue Jul 16, 2019 11:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA md80s
Replies: 10
Views: 903

Re: AA md80s

If carriers knew in March that this was going to be a 9-12 month grounding they might have planned fleet retirements differently. It's not just delaying retirement fights to the desert but making sure the heavy checks, all parts, and flight crew are available. The rolling delay does not help their p...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Jul 16, 2019 11:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Next wave of TATL per Boyd Group
Replies: 135
Views: 14743

Re: Next wave of TATL per Boyd Group

Tourism is up in 2019 for Memphis, again the UK is a big source of international visitors. According to the report, music is the main draw for Memphis tourists worldwide. Domestic tourists most commonly visit Memphis from Nashville, Dallas, Atlanta, Little Rock and Chicago, while most international...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Jul 16, 2019 11:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United beats on 2Q earnings, adding used 737
Replies: 76
Views: 11542

Re: United beats on 2Q earnings, adding used 737

I would like to see a fair assessment of the 3 majors, but not just quarterly earnings but trendlines too. AA, DL and UA are all publicly-traded firms that issue quarterly income statements. They have operational data in the public forum, too, with load factors, RPMs, passenger boardings, and typic...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Jul 16, 2019 6:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA lawsuit against TWU/IAM (redux)
Replies: 254
Views: 15730

Re: AA lawsuit against TWU/IAM (redux)

More employees getting paid less than their industry counterparts equates to higher costs and less productivity. If Delta had the same exact fleet size as AA they would still have less employees doing the same work yet pay them more and still have lower overall labor costs. Pay more and get higher ...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Jul 16, 2019 3:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DFW/ATL/IAH & Hawaiian Cities Nonstop
Replies: 48
Views: 6620

Re: DFW/ATL/IAH & Hawaiian Cities Nonstop

3x HNL 3x OGG 1x KOA That is a lot of capacity. They are charging $1300+ fares in economy. The likely are pulling down Transatlantic and transpacific flying that season. Wow, what’re the aircraft used on 3x OGG? All 772? Correct. The three DFW-OGG outbound flights on 20 Dec. are all 772 (AA7, AA119...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Jul 16, 2019 1:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Next wave of TATL per Boyd Group
Replies: 135
Views: 14743

Re: Next wave of TATL per Boyd Group

A re-instate of AMS-BDL (Hartford) would be great. DL would need to convert some A321s. Successful firms and people learn from their mistakes. NW's BDL-AMS didn't even last 18 months. With the build up of LCC TATL service at BOS and NYC since then there's little reason to expect BDL-AMS to do subst...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Jul 16, 2019 1:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Next wave of TATL per Boyd Group
Replies: 135
Views: 14743

Re: Next wave of TATL per Boyd Group

Ultimately confused why Boyd did not include Cleveland on the list, especially considering that 57,000 passengers utilized flights between Cleveland and Reykjavik-Keflavik in 2018 — an impressive figure. CLE has statistical proof that strong demand exists yet it wasn’t included. Odd. :?: You have t...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Jul 16, 2019 1:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumour: Is Hawaiian Airlines going to fly nonstop to Orlando?
Replies: 18
Views: 3558

Re: Is Hawaiian Airlines going to fly nonstop to Orlando?

I seriously want to ban the use of wikipedia to start threads on this site. This is not a reflection, in my mind on the user & more on the source. Quite frankly remember the before times (Pre-Wikipedia) & lots of what I have read there has busted me up, some has been spot on accurate, but t...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Jul 16, 2019 12:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: what's going on with the last new 737-8K2 for KLM
Replies: 54
Views: 11725

Re: what's going on with the last new 737-8K2 for KLM

Boeing needs a deworming coupled with a a top-to-bottom internal audit by U.S. and foreign aviation regulators. Something is seriously wrong with this company. That's just ridiculous. Boeing has successfully delivered hundreds of quality commercial aircraft a year for decades. Carriers wouldn't kee...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Jul 16, 2019 11:35 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Solar batteries on airliner skin
Replies: 26
Views: 1618

Re: Solar batteries on airliner skin

ask again in twenty years for now no way to get considerable energie from them There won't be in twenty years, either. Solar installations of hundred of hectares angled to present to the sun can yield significant output, but solar cells on non-movable, upward-facing surfaces of the wing just aren't...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Jul 16, 2019 1:29 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Confirmed: EK launching MEX via BCN
Replies: 62
Views: 11952

Re: Rumor : Big news for EK and BCN. Here we go, Mexico !

Does the Middle East/Africa/South Asia have enough demand for a direct MEX flight!? Their better off starting a triangle routing DXB-MEX-CUN-DXB with the CUN stop both technical and passengers allowing full payload at sea level back to DXB. They're not looking to satisfy minor demand Mexico-DXB. Th...

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by MIflyer12
Mon Jul 15, 2019 11:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Next wave of TATL per Boyd Group
Replies: 135
Views: 14743

Re: Next wave of TATL per Boyd Group

Bluegrass60 wrote:
Boyd had earlier projected TATL for IND, BNA, AUS, MSY and...CHS. He was right on all counts


What markets had Boyd predicted in the last five years where he hasn't been right?

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by MIflyer12
Mon Jul 15, 2019 5:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta’s Hubs
Replies: 30
Views: 4925

Re: Delta’s Hubs

OP is ignoring competition. It's nice that UA has a hub at ORD but CHI traffic is spread across three hubs/carriers, meaning lower destination count and average gauge for all. It's the same phenomenon at LAX and NYC.

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by MIflyer12
Mon Jul 15, 2019 3:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA lawsuit against TWU/IAM (redux)
Replies: 254
Views: 15730

Re: AA lawsuit against TWU/IAM (redux)

Something interesting was pointed out to me. According to most people I know, the mechanics who are the most angry would be the TWU guys, which are basically the LAA guys in places like DFW, ORD, and MIA. The IAM guys don't have nearly the urgency to get a deal done as they continue to enjoy superi...

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by MIflyer12
Mon Jul 15, 2019 2:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: More US-Brazil flights?
Replies: 87
Views: 7255

Re: More US-Brazil flights?

Flying nonstop GIG-USA is currently so expensive due to lack of offer... In may - complete low season - GIG-MIA and ATL have run over 96% loaded with out-of-this-world fares. Carriers are going to extract hub premiums for their non-stops. DL GIG-ATL-GIG may be $1677 in October but GIG-ATL-BWI-ATL-G...

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