Search found 11126 matches

by MIflyer12
Mon May 16, 2022 11:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Any possibility of WN adding bus service to airports not currently served by WN?
Replies: 14
Views: 1866

Re: Any possibility of WN adding bus service to airports not currently served by WN?

There are some markets in the contiguous U.S. not currently served by WN that might be able to support WN bus service (similar to the bus service that UA already operates to DEN from QKB/FNL and the recently added AA bus service to PHL from ABE/ACY), including ATW, AGS, BTR, BMI, CHA, CMI, CLL, COU...

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by MIflyer12
Mon May 16, 2022 9:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Makes Hostile Takeover Offer for Spirit
Replies: 108
Views: 14135

Re: JetBlue Makes Hostile Takeover Offer for Spirit

Again, it’s the crystal ball view, versus cash money. We can’t know what investment objectives each investor has, nor can we know if they want to be in long term. That's why we let shareholders vote. One share = one vote. We don't need to develop tortured fantasies to support our positions. Majorit...

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by MIflyer12
Mon May 16, 2022 9:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Makes Hostile Takeover Offer for Spirit
Replies: 108
Views: 14135

Re: JetBlue Makes Hostile Takeover Offer for Spirit

Seems like NK can use a massive campaign: 1) support from the political side of the spectrum to argue that constituents in large NK markets stand to lose unless a takeover gaurantees NK assets won't be stripped away. F9/NK can make such gaurantees easier than B6 and clarify that the JetBlue Effect ...

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by MIflyer12
Mon May 16, 2022 9:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What will happen to shorter routes when airlines replace 50 seaters?
Replies: 82
Views: 10015

Re: What will happen to shorter routes when airlines replace 50 seaters?

Flying out of DTW is very expensive because DL prices are astronomical, NK is hot garbage (everyone knows you only fly spirit once), and B6 and WN cost as much as full service anymore. It isn't. There's a DOT fare report by major airport that shows the airport's premium to average nationwide distan...

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by MIflyer12
Mon May 16, 2022 9:10 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Transcontinental Economy Free Meal Service Gone?
Replies: 45
Views: 3715

Re: Transcontinental Economy Free Meal Service Gone?

There is an obsession with the American public to have food in a plane. Can you really not go 6 hours without eating? Most of the world do, why not the US? Also, the food in planes is generally meh at best, and your taste buds are numb anyway; so, you're much better off with food from somewhere els...

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by MIflyer12
Mon May 16, 2022 9:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Network Thread - 2022
Replies: 616
Views: 137702

Re: Delta Network Thread - 2022

DL has been pretty consistent in recent years with the narrative that swelling costs (specifically labor) kill the economics of long-haul narrowbody flying. Not to mention that even before COVID, most of the long-haul 757 flight was performing domestic. OK. Can you point to a DL investor presentati...

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by MIflyer12
Mon May 16, 2022 8:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta and DALPA's Agreement in Principle re Global Scope
Replies: 22
Views: 2885

Re: Delta and DALPA's Agreement in Principle re Global Scope

What metric is used to measure for subpoint 1? Departures? ASMs? Frames? 1-for-1 can mean many things, especially when Delta, given its 767 fleet, has more small wide bodies than its competitors. Glad they are coming toward an agreement on this though! Let's see if it's an amendment of the EASK as ...

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by MIflyer12
Mon May 16, 2022 8:11 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Transcontinental Economy Free Meal Service Gone?
Replies: 45
Views: 3715

Re: Transcontinental Economy Free Meal Service Gone?

Are the US airlines at least offering something like a sandwich or meal as BoB these days? BoB has been distance-dependent for a while now, although I wouldn't call anything I've seen a meal, not on AA/DL/AS. Think 3+ hour flight to find a sandwich or wrap. Really, just buy it (and pay too much!) a...

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by MIflyer12
Mon May 16, 2022 7:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Network Thread - 2022
Replies: 616
Views: 137702

Re: Delta Network Thread - 2022

He also sees no need for A321XLR, since DL's routes all have enough demand to fill widebodies even in winter. This just suggests DL isn't interested in adding tertiary TATL routes on its own metal. Not just HAM, PSA and the like, but from PIT/CVG/IND... too. No new destinations in Germany, Austria ...

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by MIflyer12
Mon May 16, 2022 7:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Makes Hostile Takeover Offer for Spirit
Replies: 108
Views: 14135

Re: JetBlue Makes Hostile Takeover Offer for Spirit

Seems like NK can use a massive campaign: 1) support from the political side of the spectrum to argue that constituents in large NK markets stand to lose unless a takeover gaurantees NK assets won't be stripped away. F9/NK can make such gaurantees easier than B6 and clarify that the JetBlue Effect ...

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by MIflyer12
Mon May 16, 2022 7:37 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Transcontinental Economy Free Meal Service Gone?
Replies: 45
Views: 3715

Re: Transcontinental Economy Free Meal Service Gone?

Done a little research and it seems like only AA still offers it on select routes like JFK to LAX/SFO (at least from their website) while all others only say "available for purchase" - just wondering if any other airline offers free meals on domestic flights on other routes bc it actually...

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by MIflyer12
Mon May 16, 2022 5:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What will happen to shorter routes when airlines replace 50 seaters?
Replies: 82
Views: 10015

Re: What will happen to shorter routes when airlines replace 50 seaters?

in all seriousness, the biggest market gap I currently see is a 35-60 seat high-speed turboprop, essentially, somebody needs to redesign the DHC-8-300 with a significantly quieter cabin and the possibility of an electric engine retrofit... A turboprop doesn't in any way fix the pilot/FA/GA labor ef...

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by MIflyer12
Mon May 16, 2022 5:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Makes Hostile Takeover Offer for Spirit
Replies: 108
Views: 14135

Re: JetBlue Makes New Offer for Spirit

Re: a). Sure. But the point was that basic economy is offered by all carriers. It is not going to go away. b) Airlines will continue to offer it as there is obviously demand for it. I would guess it is a profitable fare bucket as most people do travel with bags and end up paying for bags and other ...

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by MIflyer12
Mon May 16, 2022 1:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Makes Hostile Takeover Offer for Spirit
Replies: 108
Views: 14135

Re: JetBlue Makes New Offer for Spirit

I think there is a lot of bad blood between B6 and NK BOD and this is also about ruining NK/F9 merger. NK BOD clearly does not want to get merged with B6. You're implying a breach of fiduciary duty by NK's BoD. If B6 is so confident it can get the deal through while refusing DOJ's calls to change t...

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by MIflyer12
Mon May 16, 2022 10:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska Airlines Fleet Network and News Discussion - 2022
Replies: 859
Views: 140567

Re: Alaska Airlines Fleet Network and News Discussion - 2022

I'm booking a flight to BIL and it looks like all SEA flights are Q400 before June 16, and all E175 after. Is this just the summer schedule or are the Q400s being permanently pulled from Billings? It wouldn't surprise me if the SEA-BIL flights go back the Q400's after the summer season...for now. B...

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by MIflyer12
Sun May 15, 2022 6:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US pilots age 65+
Replies: 55
Views: 6566

Re: US pilots age 65+

Here's a link to a presentation on ICAO's raise to 65 back in 2006. It discusses why the limit shouldn't be higher based on available health evidence. It's a good read. https://www.icao.int/NACC/Documents/Meetings/2011/AVMED2011/Day01-06-ICAO-Evans.pdf I'll agree with the sentiment that efforts to r...

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by MIflyer12
Sun May 15, 2022 11:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Network Thread - 2022
Replies: 616
Views: 137702

Re: Delta Network Thread - 2022

For international check in time on DL, it’s an hour. Does that apply to your first flight if your first leg is domestic? No. If your first flight is domestic, the domestic check in time applies. Many airports have exceptions to the general rule, demanding more time. https://www.delta.com/us/en/chec...

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by MIflyer12
Sat May 14, 2022 8:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DL adds MCO-AMS for NW22
Replies: 20
Views: 5150

Re: DL adds MCO-AMS for NW22

A winter seasonal flight is geared very much to a European point-of-sale; Delta must be counting on the USA making it easier for those travelers to come here (i.e., a relaxation of Covid restrictions) before this flight starts. It could very well be but I don't think Orlando is a popular destinatio...

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by MIflyer12
Sat May 14, 2022 8:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The consequences of crew and staff shortage in aviation - 2022 thread
Replies: 56
Views: 5948

Re: The consequences of crew and staff shortage in aviation - 2022 thread

It was just an example; if automotive was a bad one then perhaps supermarkets are better? Or clothing? Or appliances? Tools? Point is, no matter what industry there’s always an upscale, midscale and downscale option. Which one is the most profitable varies, but who said ultimate profitability is th...

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by MIflyer12
Sat May 14, 2022 8:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The consequences of crew and staff shortage in aviation - 2022 thread
Replies: 56
Views: 5948

Re: The consequences of crew and staff shortage in aviation - 2022 thread

Alaska CEO says they will hire and train 150 pilots, 1100 cabin crew and 200 reservations agents to get the company back on track. I just don't see how on earth they 1. did not notice this amount of people missing from the system (or if they saw it then why they decided to give it a try...) and 2. ...

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by MIflyer12
Sat May 14, 2022 3:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Airlines reaches new contract deal with pilots' union
Replies: 44
Views: 8510

Re: United Airlines reaches new contract deal with pilots' union

It prevents the company from forming a spin-off airline to perform our flying for cheaper and it controls how much flying, for instance, Lufthansa is able to perform relative to us. Delta pilots are learning this right now. Rather than performing most of their own international flying on Delta meta...

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by MIflyer12
Sat May 14, 2022 12:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Airlines Network Thread - 2022
Replies: 1023
Views: 257432

Re: United Airlines Network Thread - 2022

GYE and CLO have been done in the CO days from IAH. The current equipped should suffice but the 321XLR will have an edge. This is where I believe UA should go for some MAX7s or A319neos, sometimes you just need the brute force performance and not quite the capacity. What's wrong with the 7M8s that ...

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by MIflyer12
Sat May 14, 2022 12:12 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Wisconsin Aviation Thread - 2022
Replies: 53
Views: 7804

Re: Wisconsin Aviation Thread - 2022

MKE-LAX versus MKE-ORD Year - how much Milwaukee's fare was higher (or lower) than O'Hare 2006 -14% 2007 -15% 2008 -22% 2009 -27% 2010 -35% 2011 -17% 2012 -12% 2013 -16% 2014 -11% 2015 -6% 2016 19% 2017 28% 2018 10% 2019 16% In the first three quarters of 2020 MKE-LAX local fares were about 33% hig...

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by MIflyer12
Fri May 13, 2022 11:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska Flt Cancelations
Replies: 41
Views: 7238

Re: Alaska Flt Cancelations

This moring recevied an email with a video of Ben Minicucci talking about the flight cancelations over the past two months. He places a lot of blame on the pilots but I see it as a company wide issue. As a Gold 100K I've experienced the delays and cancels but I have also seen a change in company cu...

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by MIflyer12
Fri May 13, 2022 10:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United States Essential Air Service (EAS) Thread
Replies: 337
Views: 42434

Re: United States Essential Air Service (EAS) Thread

Contour's proposal to Paducah, which has now been uploaded, contains details of all the markets they're pitching for. https://www.regulations.gov/docket/DOT-OST-2009-0299/document?postedDateFrom=2022-05-13&postedDateTo=2022-05-13 These include: - PAH to CLT - CGI to BNA - CKB to CLT - TBN to BN...

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by MIflyer12
Fri May 13, 2022 7:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest Airlines News and Discussion Thread - 2022
Replies: 750
Views: 152526

Re: Southwest Airlines News and Discussion Thread - 2022

It's about time Southwest spent the money to address what I feel were the top-3 remaining frustrations with the customer experience. Legacy overhead bins versus the competition... Not enough self-service options because of their website front-end, and their kiosks are among the worst of all airline...

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by MIflyer12
Fri May 13, 2022 6:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Airlines reaches new contract deal with pilots' union
Replies: 44
Views: 8510

Re: United Airlines reaches new contract deal with pilots' union

The last Annual Report shows the Pilots' amendable date as January 2019, for those who don't follow UA labor negotiations closely.

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by MIflyer12
Fri May 13, 2022 5:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Flair Airlines Network Thread - 2022
Replies: 513
Views: 68493

Re: Flair Airlines Network Thread - 2022

What a worst time time conduct that audit. Especially when all airlines suffered extreme financial damage , laid off thousands of staff, modified policies and reduced service levels. Why is it a bad time? There are still hundreds of millions of airline passengers in North America this year. Their e...

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by MIflyer12
Fri May 13, 2022 3:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Flair Airlines Network Thread - 2022
Replies: 513
Views: 68493

Re: Flair Airlines Network Thread - 2022

The study measures passenger satisfaction in three segments—first/business, premium economy and economy/basic economy—and is based on responses from 7,004 passengers. Passengers needed to have flown on a major North America airline within the past month of completing a survey. The study was fielded...

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by MIflyer12
Fri May 13, 2022 3:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Return of the flying Honu – ANA to relaunch Airbus A380 aircraft to Hawaii
Replies: 27
Views: 8434

Re: Return of the flying Honu – ANA to relaunch Airbus A380 aircraft to Hawaii

From what I've heard, the state of Hawaii doesn't have enough hotel rooms to accommodate all of these new travelers; that's why deals to Hawaii are to be made airfare wise, but hotel prices have become super high. Not sure adding A380s is going to help the situation. ANA's A380s just aren't a meani...

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by MIflyer12
Fri May 13, 2022 1:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19
Replies: 2575
Views: 360527

Re: US Airline Booking Trends during COVID-19

IIRC only NK and B6 guided losses for Q2 (not sure on HA), every other carrier I believe projected profitability in Q2... AA was pretty ambivalent in the 8-K of 4/21/22: Pre-tax margin excluding net special items -3% to + 5% AA (and B6) were already close to 2019 capacity so they have less room for...

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by MIflyer12
Thu May 12, 2022 11:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The consequences of crew and staff shortage in aviation - 2022 thread
Replies: 56
Views: 5948

Re: The consequences of crew and staff shortage in aviation - 2022 thread

It was just an example; if automotive was a bad one then perhaps supermarkets are better? Or clothing? Or appliances? Tools? Point is, no matter what industry there’s always an upscale, midscale and downscale option. Which one is the most profitable varies, but who said ultimate profitability is th...

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by MIflyer12
Thu May 12, 2022 11:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue bids 3.6B for Spirit
Replies: 992
Views: 151117

Re: JetBlue bids 3.6B for Spirit

WIth the rapid changes in the market, do the banks who would be lending B6 to money to buy Spirit have an escalator in their interest rate? The banks might also have a clause regarding their ability to terminate the loan if a 'material event" occurs. Would a recession be a 'material event"...

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by MIflyer12
Thu May 12, 2022 11:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Southwest Airlines News and Discussion Thread - 2022
Replies: 750
Views: 152526

Re: Southwest Airlines News and Discussion Thread - 2022

That is not my experience at all. Last time I flew AA, they were basically telling everyone at the gate that if you are in group 7 or higher there will not be room for your bag trying to get people to check it at the gate for free before boarding. My airline choice has shifted since moving to Dalla...

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by MIflyer12
Thu May 12, 2022 10:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 737 MAX 10 Uncertainty Potentially holding up 16 billion dollars worth of Sales
Replies: 102
Views: 19358

Re: 737 MAX 10 Uncertainty Potentially holding up 16 billion dollars worth of Sales

Why is no one talking about the MAX7?? Maybe because no one wants it? Ooh, I can sense the tartness of those sour grapes all the way 2000 miles east... WN has more MAX7s on firm order (per its last 10-Q filing) than AS has mainline planes. Surely Boeing wants both -7 and -10s certified. Whether abs...

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by MIflyer12
Thu May 12, 2022 1:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Star Alliance to become Inter-modal Alliance
Replies: 19
Views: 4115

Re: Star Alliance to become Inter-modal Alliance

jeffrey0032j wrote:
ÖBB with their successful Railjet and Nightjet networks could be it. They have been the main player reviving rail travel in Europe.


IMHO, it should focus on short-haul train services so as not to undermine the air ops. MUC/FRA/ZRH hubs have a lot of logical rail connections.

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by MIflyer12
Thu May 12, 2022 1:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The consequences of crew and staff shortage in aviation - 2022 thread
Replies: 56
Views: 5948

Re: The consequences of crew and staff shortage in aviation - 2022 thread

There’s a relatively easy fix to this, however: Treat your employees well, pay them a competitive wage, empower them and offer them a clearly defined career path. But that, however, flies in the face of the industries perpetual motion towards ever lower costs. That's not unique to air passenger ser...

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by MIflyer12
Thu May 12, 2022 12:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Republic Airways seeks exemption from 1500 hour CFR rule
Replies: 74
Views: 8479

Re: Republic Airways seeks exemption from 1500 hour CFR rule

Politically, there must be a solution to the pilot shortage. It is unacceptable to enough people that RJs are being parked (no matter the reason), that there will be changes. Enough people of what stripes? A combo of sixty U.S senators (to beat a filibuster), and 218 representatives, both wanted by...

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by MIflyer12
Thu May 12, 2022 12:09 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: RUMOUR: Air New Zealand wants to return to EZE?
Replies: 11
Views: 2630

Re: RUMOUR: Air New Zealand wants to return to EZE?

I’d suggest this well respected newsletter is wrong. And it’s ironic that the regulator has issues given how difficult it is to operate at EZE. Well, if you skip town leaving a trail of debts behind (both to ticket holders who pretty much lost their money, and employees whose work relationships wer...

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by MIflyer12
Wed May 11, 2022 8:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: GOL, Avianca to form joint holding company
Replies: 32
Views: 4284

Re: GOL, Avianca announce merger

I don't think Skyteam will be at a disadvantage in South America, as DL owns 20% of LA. Wouldn't be surprised if LA joins Skyteam in the future. I believe DL's LATAM stake is down to 10% following LA's bankruptcy restructuring. https://news.delta.com/delta-fortifies-global-partner-strategy#:~:text=...

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by MIflyer12
Wed May 11, 2022 3:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airline Satisfaction Survey
Replies: 33
Views: 3322

Re: Airline Satisfaction Survey

910A wrote:
I guess it comes down to which passengers were surveyed.


So you don't think 7,000 passengers presents a good data set? Come on... J.D. Power has been doing consumer surveys for fifty years, and North American airlines since 1999, IIRC. They know good survey methodology.

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by MIflyer12
Wed May 11, 2022 2:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What will happen to shorter routes when airlines replace 50 seaters?
Replies: 82
Views: 10015

Re: What will happen to shorter routes when airlines replace 50 seaters?

I make this distinction because using the DTW-TOL example mentioned previously, a hypothetical DL chartered DTW-TOL bus could be valuable to the Toledo area travelers (if enough people were willing to use the service). But similarly a DL chartered DTW-TOL does nothing to help AA/UA pax get to/from ...

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by MIflyer12
Wed May 11, 2022 12:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Republic Airways seeks exemption from 1500 hour CFR rule
Replies: 74
Views: 8479

Re: Republic Airways seeks exemption from 1500 hour CFR rule

sierrakilo44 wrote:
In my country airlines have been training cadets since the 1960s, and haven’t seen a fatal crash.


How many pilots a year are trained in your country who go directly into jobs in scheduled air passenger service?

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by MIflyer12
Tue May 10, 2022 8:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta Network Thread - 2022
Replies: 616
Views: 137702

Re: Delta Network Thread - 2022

I think it just further highlights how DL is trying to push even more connecting traffic through ATL wherever possible. It's kind of past time to kill the 'Delta loves only Atlanta' shtick. One might observe that AA maintained DFW and CLT over JFK, LGA, MIA, ORD and LAX throughout Covid, too. (See ...

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by MIflyer12
Tue May 10, 2022 3:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What will happen to shorter routes when airlines replace 50 seaters?
Replies: 82
Views: 10015

Re: What will happen to shorter routes when airlines replace 50 seaters?

A 50 seater can make more profit than an A350 (or A320) in many, many specific market situations. Got any evidence for that? Some situations, sure. DL and UA have decided there are far fewer of those markets than there used to be, given the problem of retaining pilots at the wages regionals (and th...

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by MIflyer12
Tue May 10, 2022 1:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Republic Airways seeks exemption from 1500 hour CFR rule
Replies: 74
Views: 8479

Re: Republic Airways seeks exemption from 1500 hour CFR rule

Comes down to training quality. Since that is hard to regulate, the hours were instituted as a safeguard. They can be exempted if program quality is demonstrated. That will be up to the regulator. That's a great way to frame it. Then one has to ask if the regulator can reliably determine training p...

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by MIflyer12
Tue May 10, 2022 1:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What will happen to shorter routes when airlines replace 50 seaters?
Replies: 82
Views: 10015

Re: What will happen to shorter routes when airlines replace 50 seaters?

Well, route length does matter in an indirect way as it impacts crew duty time, need for ground crew to turn those ~45 minute flights, landing fees, and just in the fact that planes are more efficient in cruise, all of which hammer you on costs relative to use of the same resources on longer legs. ...

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by MIflyer12
Tue May 10, 2022 11:29 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What will happen to shorter routes when airlines replace 50 seaters?
Replies: 82
Views: 10015

Re: What will happen to shorter routes when airlines replace 50 seaters?

What will happen to routes like DFW-ACT/ABI/SPS, ATL-ABY/BQK/GTR, and ORD-BMI/CMI/SPI? Will they just reduce frequency and put CR7s on those routes? It's not the length of a route that determines whether it maintains service/frequency, it's demand, expressed in both passenger count and average fare...

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by MIflyer12
Mon May 09, 2022 10:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Lufthansa Cargo orders ten Boeing freighters
Replies: 23
Views: 5911

Re: Lufthansa Cargo orders ten Boeing freighters

What do people think this does for the prospects of an A350F order at LH Group within the decade?

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by MIflyer12
Mon May 09, 2022 10:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue bids 3.6B for Spirit
Replies: 992
Views: 151117

Re: JetBlue bids 3.6B for Spirit

If NK ends up staying independent, it would not be the worst outcome. They have an established brand, a low cost structure and a modern fleet. If they merge up with either competitor, the sum will end up being less than the parts and the acquiring airline will be saddled with debt required to make ...

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