Search found 9212 matches

by MIflyer12
Sun Apr 18, 2021 1:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Network Thread - 2021
Replies: 1140
Views: 164672

Re: American Airlines Network Thread - 2021

I guess let me clarify. "Summer" being June through half of August. Everything returns mid month, which I don't know how that makes sense unless there's a strong hope that things turn around as summer evolves. Even that doesn't make sense. A lot of the summer TATL capacity historically re...

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by MIflyer12
Sun Apr 18, 2021 1:22 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: India Europe nonstop market
Replies: 20
Views: 1177

Re: India Europe nonstop market

CaliguyNYC wrote:
FCO/MAD may work, but they would need US connections to even being close to viable.


Iberia and Alitalia don't have the robust U.S. networks to add much, frankly. BA, AFKL, LH, and Emirates will offer much more comprehensive 1-stop USA-India routings.

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by MIflyer12
Sat Apr 17, 2021 8:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA’s new MCO routes on 777s?
Replies: 5
Views: 2957

Re: AA’s new MCO routes on 777s?

This is "journalism" in 2021. They rarely proofread or fact check anything. Someone probably told him it was a 777 and there it goes in print. At least they got a plane AA actually flies. This has nothing to do with aviation and just modern journalism They did come back and publish a corr...

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by MIflyer12
Sat Apr 17, 2021 6:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United adding seatback IFE - AVOD to older narrow body aircraft
Replies: 116
Views: 12605

Re: United adding seatback IFE - AVOD to older narrow body aircraft

Delta also has an in-house proprietary wireless IFE system that is already on certain aircraft (A220, A330neo, 767-400) and will be retrofitted across the fleet replacing Panasonic. The screens are basically a tablet which receives content from a central onboard server. Greatly reduces weight. No w...

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by MIflyer12
Sat Apr 17, 2021 3:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: When a hub is no longer a hub
Replies: 115
Views: 11639

Re: When a hub is no longer a hub

NW and Delta Merge - CVG and MEM shut down, DTW and ATL win DL de-banked CVG in 2003, and began drawing it down significantly in 2005. By the time of the 2008 merger, CVG had already lost the majority of its international flights, and served 12million LESS passengers than its 2004/2005 high. And fu...

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by MIflyer12
Sat Apr 17, 2021 11:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Frontier Announces ANC/DRO/GJT/FCA
Replies: 48
Views: 5922

Re: Frontier Announces ANC/DRO/GJT/FCA

Is there no public transport in these places? Likely there's a bus line that runs along the airport which you could take to get to your hotel. And any popular leisure/outdoor destinations would have bus lines serving them as well, wouldn't they? America needs the European mentality when it comes to...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Apr 16, 2021 10:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Rest of New England (BDL/PVD/MHT/PWM/ORH/BTV/HVN/BGR) Aviation Thread - 2021
Replies: 386
Views: 39967

Re: The Rest of New England (BDL/PVD/MHT/PWM/ORH/BTV/HVN/BGR) Aviation Thread - 2021

With the many recent adds from PWM from airlines, is B6 adding MCO/FLL/LAX possible? I would think B6 staying year-round would be the first step. Nationwide I think a lot of the Florida service is not at sustainable levels, its a miserable place to go in the summer. Maybe so, but kids are out of sc...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Apr 16, 2021 9:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United adding seatback IFE - AVOD to older narrow body aircraft
Replies: 116
Views: 12605

Re: United adding seatback IFE - AVOD to older narrow body aircraft

Ziyulu wrote:
I really don't think seat back screens are necessary for flights under 3 hours.


Other than regional jets which lack t-con range, UA doesn't segregate aircraft types by flight distance. You might get a 319 on a 2000-mile flight, or it could be a 777.

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by MIflyer12
Fri Apr 16, 2021 7:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: When a hub is no longer a hub
Replies: 115
Views: 11639

Re: When a hub is no longer a hub

Pittsburgh is declining? I've read so many articles lately stating that PIT is on its way to becoming a business and technology hub. If you want to ignore everything that happened in greater PIT from ~1970 to 2000, sure, go ahead. That won't get any intellectual traction. It what decade did the reg...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Apr 16, 2021 7:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: When a hub is no longer a hub
Replies: 115
Views: 11639

Re: When a hub is no longer a hub

"Don't work out" != "stuck with the tab", but PIT comes close to that standard: The airport underwent a massive $1 billion rebuilding and expansion which was completed in 1992 and became a major hub for US Airways. The new airport was one of the most innovative in the world, dub...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Apr 16, 2021 7:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: When a hub is no longer a hub
Replies: 115
Views: 11639

Re: When a hub is no longer a hub

CVG was quite an operation at its peak - though fares were exorbitantly high. What good were nonstops to places like Anchorage, Rome or Vail if nobody could afford them? Surely folks in the Cincinnati area today appreciate the presence of F9, G4 and WN these days; and the significantly lower fares ...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Apr 16, 2021 3:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: When a hub is no longer a hub
Replies: 115
Views: 11639

Re: When a hub is no longer a hub

and often ask taxpayers to fund huge expansions that often times don't work out (ref: PIT). That's a bit of fiction as applied to U.S. airports which don't - generally - rely on taxpayer funds but instead on federal airport improvement grants, PFCs (passenger-paid, not taxpayers), and leases. Airpo...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Apr 16, 2021 1:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska Airlines Fleet/Network Thread - 2021
Replies: 829
Views: 95475

Re: Alaska Airlines Fleet/Network Thread - 2021

alohashirts wrote:
Hoping AS does SEA-SGU.


That seems a little optimistic since they don't even get SFO or LAX-SGU according to ITA Matrix schedules for August.

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by MIflyer12
Thu Apr 15, 2021 6:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta post Q1 Loss
Replies: 31
Views: 4647

Re: Delta post Q1 Loss

You're not making a coherent case. You said DL is 'probably worst' positioned because of premium seat density. It doesn't have the highest premium seat density. I am happy to see you corrected with publicly available info. Compare E75, 763, 764, 319, 320, 739, 772 to 333, 789 to 359... UA has a high...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Apr 15, 2021 6:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta post Q1 Loss
Replies: 31
Views: 4647

Re: Delta post Q1 Loss

The first part of your analysis is spot on but I disagree DL is the best positioned - quite the opposite, I think they are probably worst positioned coming out of this - for the exact reason you mentioned: premium seat density. DL was/is a very premium centric airline and they heavily rely on paid ...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Apr 15, 2021 5:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta post Q1 Loss
Replies: 31
Views: 4647

Re: Delta post Q1 Loss

One can clearly see how revenue lagging far behind demand. For Q2 they forecast to fly 68% of 2019 capacity but estimate 50-55% of revenue. I've been posting of that problem for months, in response to the overexcited 'Carrier xx is scheduling XX% of 2019 capacity next month!' remarks. That doesn't ...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Apr 15, 2021 4:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta post Q1 Loss
Replies: 31
Views: 4647

Re: Delta post Q1 Loss

Cash positive of $4M a day in March. Doesn’t appear to be caveated as “core” or whatnot. Oh, it's heavily footnoted: Cash (Burn)/Generation. We present cash (burn)/generation because management believes this metric is helpful to investors to evaluate the company's ability to maintain liquidity and ...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Apr 15, 2021 4:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air France Adds Denver
Replies: 80
Views: 11984

Re: Air France Adds Denver

trexel94 wrote:
What an awesome surprise! Certainly didn’t see this coming. Although to be fair, I would have thought if any Skyteam airline were to add DEN it would have been KL.


Why is that? France gets 2x the American travelers The Netherlands does.

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by MIflyer12
Wed Apr 14, 2021 9:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Denver Air Connection wins EAS away from Skywest for PIR and ATY
Replies: 63
Views: 5197

Re: Denver Air Connection wins EAS away from Skywest for PIR and ATY

Boutique Air had submitted $0 subsidy bids for these two airports last year along with $0 subsidy proposals for JLN, SUX and WYS. But Boutique withdrew its proposals in February due to what it called a lack of DOT responsiveness. Boutique in its withdrawal letter also questioned whether the DOT is ...

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by MIflyer12
Wed Apr 14, 2021 3:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DTW Detroit Aviation Thread - 2021
Replies: 409
Views: 39809

Re: DTW Detroit Aviation Thread - 2021

McNamara bathrooms are much more clean as I feel that this has been a complaint for many in years past. No longer do they smell horrid and look unattended. From the very first week McNamara opened, and every single time though 2019. Seriously. I look forward to observing the improvement. The Spring...

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by MIflyer12
Wed Apr 14, 2021 3:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Network Thread - 2021
Replies: 1140
Views: 164672

Re: American Airlines Network Thread - 2021

I’m quite sure LAX O&D can support more than 1x daily on a ULCC. I don’t understand why AA would cede this ground to NK when they’re so well established on the route, maybe yields were poor? You have likely answered your own question. With business travel down and now NK on the route you can be...

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by MIflyer12
Wed Apr 14, 2021 2:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA announces a slew of new leisure routes for summer
Replies: 64
Views: 11197

Re: AA announces a slew of new leisure routes for summer

Ishrion wrote:
I've been waiting on DFW-BGR. Great route to complement DFW-PWM going daily this summer.


DFW-BGR, huh? I guess they have high hopes for travel to Camden and to Acadia NP. If you go before August, buy many cans of bug spray the minute you pass through the terminal.

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by MIflyer12
Wed Apr 14, 2021 1:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas expects A380 fleet to return
Replies: 65
Views: 12792

Re: Qantas expects A380 fleet to return

Regarding efficiency, if the 77W is still viable in 2023 then so is the A380. You just need routes with adequate demand, which QF does but AF or MH did not. Well, that's the thing: A380 CASM is comparable to a typical 77W config but it's a much bigger increment of capacity to fill. They get used on...

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by MIflyer12
Wed Apr 14, 2021 12:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Denver Air Connection wins EAS away from Skywest for PIR and ATY
Replies: 63
Views: 5197

Re: Denver Air Connection wins EAS away from Skywest for PIR and ATY

Or maybe Skywest is re-evaluating how they allocate costs to their at-risk EAS flying, or maybe even getting a little cavalier. Skywest has such a big EAS network yet it is a drop in the bucket revenue-wise so they can afford to roll the dice with a high bid and lose a few. That is the nature of ma...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Apr 13, 2021 10:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Fleet Thread - 2021
Replies: 257
Views: 33705

Re: American Airlines Fleet Thread - 2021

Personally I believe November 1H will be around 105% 2019 domestic/Latin America levels and Nov 2H and Dec 2H will be around 115% - even factoring in the availability of domestic widebodies... What level of business demand is implicit in that? AA is going to have a ton of widebody slack - it does s...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Apr 13, 2021 9:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: American Airlines Business & Finance Discussion
Replies: 597
Views: 112776

Re: Updated: American Airlines Business & Finance Discussion

AA estimates its cash burn rate for Q1 was $27mil/day generating net loss of $2.7-2.8bil on 62% reduction in revenue. Ended Q1 with $17.3bil liquidity. SEC filing https://americanairlines.gcs-web.com/node/39021/html It should be noted that is available liquidity, as noted in the linked SEC filing.

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by MIflyer12
Tue Apr 13, 2021 7:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: HRL - New Airline Announcement 4/14
Replies: 45
Views: 5977

Re: HRL - New Airline Announcement 4/14

How is Mexico to HRL demand compared to Mexico to LRD/MFE? Could HRL-MEX/MTY/GDL be viable? Too much of the ticket price gets eaten up by various cross-border fees demanded by both parties. For most any U.S. city proximate to the Mexican border it's going to be better to cross by land and take an i...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Apr 13, 2021 6:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Frontier Announces ANC/DRO/GJT/FCA
Replies: 48
Views: 5922

Re: Frontier Announces ANC/DRO/GJT/FCA

It’s been over a decade - both were Q400 routes on the old Lynx Aviation under the old Frontier. Will be interesting to watch! - GJT is interesting - is it just to plug folks into the broader system? Doesn’t seem to be much of a “tourist” draw unlike the other 3 GJT is the closest airport to Arches...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Apr 13, 2021 5:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Fleet, Network, and Discussion Thread - Q2 2021
Replies: 468
Views: 76132

Re: 1

United looking for more cash. United Airlines intends to commence a private offering to eligible purchasers of US$5.5 billion in aggregate principal amount of two series of notes, the senior secured notes due 2026 and the senior secured notes due 2029, subject to market and other conditions. The No...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Apr 13, 2021 11:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 Sales Campaign Thread - 2021
Replies: 92
Views: 13898

Re: Airbus A220 Sales Campaign Thread - 2021

I don't want to take the position that it's impossible this is a DL order, but it strikes me as odd that they would order more so quickly after major A220 deferments. https://www.airliners.net/forum/viewtopic.php?t=1457783 changes from 12/31/19 to 12/31/20: A220-100, pushed 3 from 2020 into 2021; pu...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Apr 13, 2021 11:23 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Fleet, Network, and Discussion Thread - Q2 2021
Replies: 468
Views: 76132

Re: United Fleet, Network, and Discussion Thread - Q2 2021

Greece, Iceland, and now Croatia will welcome vaccinated tourists. More will follow... The big destinations for Americans are the UK, Italy, France, Spain and Germany. Most Americans couldn't find Croatia with a good map and half an hour, Game of Thrones geeks included. Until some subset of the big...

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by MIflyer12
Tue Apr 13, 2021 12:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Canada to get federal aid
Replies: 17
Views: 3202

Re: Air Canada to get federal aid

piedmontf284000 wrote:
*The completion of the airline's acquisition of 33 Airbus A220 aircraft, manufactured at Airbus' Mirabel, Quebec facility.


That suggests the dozen A220s it cancelled in Nov. 2020 stay cancelled - not 'just a bargaining chip' as posited by some.

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by MIflyer12
Mon Apr 12, 2021 4:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: France moves to ban short-haul domestic flights where same journey could be made by train in under 2,5 hours
Replies: 128
Views: 14138

Re: France moves to ban short-haul domestic flights in a bid to reduce carbon emissions.

Assuming transfer passengers can still connect, isn't taking local passengers off of the flights, in effect making those flights even less efficient? Yes. This will be the death knell of many routes, even those remaining 'allowed' for connecting passengers. Imagine running NYC-DCA for connecting pa...

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by MIflyer12
Mon Apr 12, 2021 12:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: France moves to ban short-haul domestic flights where same journey could be made by train in under 2,5 hours
Replies: 128
Views: 14138

Re: France moves to ban short-haul domestic flights in a bid to reduce carbon emissions.

Well, if the TGV stops at CDG then I see less of a problem. But from my experience it is a pain in the ass to travel by train with a lot of luggage, much more comfortable by plane. Furthermore, inbound passenger, often coming from another continent, have a preference to directly arrive at the desti...

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by MIflyer12
Mon Apr 12, 2021 12:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Midwest Express dead? And how it should have restarted
Replies: 17
Views: 3711

Re: New Midwest Express dead? And how it should have restarted

You're ignoring yields in the E75 vs. CR2 comparison. If people will pay for F (and maybe Y+) the higher trip costs can be covered. The type of plane is not irrelevant to an important subset of passengers. DL/AA/UA/AS have spent a decade fleeing from single-class express fleets. CR2s were better tha...

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by MIflyer12
Mon Apr 12, 2021 11:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: France moves to ban short-haul domestic flights where same journey could be made by train in under 2,5 hours
Replies: 128
Views: 14138

Re: France moves to ban short-haul domestic flights in a bid to reduce carbon emissions.

There are some things that are pretty uniquely French that make this work: 1. They've spent 45 years building out a comprehensive TGV network. 2. Over 90% of electrical generation in 2019 was carbon-free: nuclear (overwhelmingly) but also hydro, wind and solar. 3. Long-haul air travel is almost excl...

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by MIflyer12
Mon Apr 12, 2021 11:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing board shake up; CEO Extension?
Replies: 27
Views: 3617

Re: Boeing board shake up; CEO Extension?

Boeing is also struggling to find directors that are qualified for the role because nobody seems to be interested. That's quite an exaggeration - a phrase not found in the linked WSJ piece. The WSJ spends more time on the matter of seeking diversity candidates: Mr. Kellner said earlier this year th...

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by MIflyer12
Sun Apr 11, 2021 11:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Breeze - News and Discussion Thread - 2021
Replies: 398
Views: 85016

Re: Breeze - News and Discussion Thread - 2021

By this, and this is just purely my speculation and opinion, I expect, just like Allegiant, the E190/E195 not to fly a lot in September and October. For most of the year, I expect reduced flying on reduced demand days where Breeze works to find out what the seasonal demand is and what the demand pr...

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by MIflyer12
Sun Apr 11, 2021 7:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Fleet, Network, and Discussion Thread - Q2 2021
Replies: 468
Views: 76132

Re: United Fleet, Network, and Discussion Thread - Q2 2021

jayunited wrote:
United is starting to get away from selling the full domestic scheduled until 4 weeks out...


Can you explain what that means, please? Are there schedule flights on which they're selling no tickets? Or are they selling some tickets but severely restricting inventory?

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by MIflyer12
Sun Apr 11, 2021 2:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will airlines require COVID vaccine for employees?
Replies: 220
Views: 15226

Re: Will airlines require COVID vaccine for employees?

Some employers have already mandated vaccines. A few states have removed religious or philosophical exemptions for school vaccination requirements. I wouldn't assume a religious declaration will prove a universally successful skip-vaccine loophole. Citrus1492 may just have to self-terminate . “We fe...

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by MIflyer12
Sun Apr 11, 2021 1:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: WN 737MAX at FLL?
Replies: 10
Views: 2546

Re: WN 737MAX at FLL?

How far could WN make it into South America if they decide to give it a go from FLL? BSB? You're dreaming. WN couldn't even make MEX work from any U.S. origin. MEX, the fifth highest passenger volume international destination airport from the U.S., ahead of FRA and NRT. Anything in Brazil would be ...

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by MIflyer12
Sat Apr 10, 2021 12:46 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Who will take over the A350s from Latam?
Replies: 35
Views: 4455

Re: Who will take over the A350s from Latam?

Under U.S. Chapter 11 bankruptcy proceedings, once the court accepts LATAM's motion to terminate leases or return aircraft to lenders, LATAM is done. It's up to the aircraft owners to decide. If there are multiple owners it makes an 'all of them' deal much harder to achieve.

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by MIflyer12
Fri Apr 09, 2021 1:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Avelo Airlines News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 363
Views: 80547

Re: Avelo Airlines News and Discussion Thread

Some of these are absolutely bizarre... ACV and RDD? How on earth are you going to fill a 180+ seat 738 to/from cities of that size. UA runs CR2s for a reason - and even they aren’t full. Good luck! Filling 738 s from BUR to ACV and RDD, with no interlining? Hah hah hah. Not even at $19 each way, a...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Apr 09, 2021 1:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Avelo Airlines News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 363
Views: 80547

Re: Avelo Airlines News and Discussion Thread

BA744PHX wrote:
Many companies prefer clients not to use Amex due to their horrific fees to vendors.


Those companies have no reason to care about Amex fees to vendors. They care about spending management reporting. The price is the same whether Visa gets a 1.8% cut or Amex gets a 2.2% cut.

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by MIflyer12
Fri Apr 09, 2021 12:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Fleet, Network, and Discussion Thread - Q2 2021
Replies: 468
Views: 76132

Re: United Fleet, Network, and Discussion Thread - Q2 2021

50 Seaters : United is looking at restricting the stage length of the 50 seaters, United still see a bright future for the CJR550s customers love the onboard configuration. UA will keep some regular CJR200s on hand to feed the hubs from some smaller towns/cities. For now nothing really concrete to ...

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by MIflyer12
Fri Apr 09, 2021 11:31 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: LATAM files for Bankruptcy
Replies: 385
Views: 85652

Re: Updated: LATAM files for Bankruptcy

Regarding the A350-900 they will probably be replaced by the 787-9 and also by the smaller 787-8 but here starts the problem : Which model will replace the 77W ? Maybe with some refines in the 787-10 project it will be a solid cadidate as it is capable of operating GRU-Europe without penalities but...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Apr 08, 2021 10:36 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Affirmative Action in Airlines
Replies: 57
Views: 4220

Re: Affirmative Action in Airlines

Unfortunately, this thread will go down the same rabbit hole that they always do painting a false picture of companies passing up qualified candidates for less qualified or unqualified candidates because of their race, which is not the reality. UA is trying to increase outreach and break down barri...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Apr 08, 2021 7:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: LATAM files for Bankruptcy
Replies: 385
Views: 85652

Re: LATAM A350 Will be retired

Having all three - 77W, 787-9s, and A359s - would have been tough to rationalize for a carrier the size of LATAM in a weakened long-haul market. This is another win for fleet simplicity.

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by MIflyer12
Thu Apr 08, 2021 6:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: LATAM files for Bankruptcy
Replies: 385
Views: 85652

Re: LATAM A350 Will be retired

There was a some news last year that Delta were going to take them off their hands as part of the cash injection, but that was before COVID. Buying four used LATAM A350s was one of the series of obligations of DL's LATAM equity buy (along with taking over orders for ten new A350s). DL paid $62 mill...

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by MIflyer12
Thu Apr 08, 2021 5:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Rest of New England (BDL/PVD/MHT/PWM/ORH/BTV/HVN/BGR) Aviation Thread - 2021
Replies: 386
Views: 39967

Re: The Rest of New England (BDL/PVD/MHT/PWM/ORH/BTV/HVN/BGR) Aviation Thread - 2021

Is the BTV-BOS an EAS route? If not seems kind of out of place, given the current environment. I know BTV has been begging for a BOS link for years, but if it didn't get it pre-COVID when any business PAX would have used the route, who is going to be flying the route post-COVID, when by and large, ...

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