Search found 3399 matches

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by StTim
Tue Aug 20, 2019 9:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 2538
Views: 329465

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

We expect old ladies and old men (me) to do fairly complicated things with their car in less than 4 seconds. People die when they don't. And most of us expect them to quit driving before they cause an accident. Contrary to popular legends most people do quit driving at about the right time. Relevan...

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by StTim
Fri Aug 16, 2019 4:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumor: Airbus to launch A350-1000ULR
Replies: 387
Views: 64502

Re: Rumor: Airbus to launch A350-1000ULR

They changed the 358 to be a simple shrink. That was when it became uncompetitive

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by StTim
Fri Aug 16, 2019 9:52 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: A320neo vs B737max
Replies: 61
Views: 7321

Re: A320neo vs B737max

With each passing year (even before the MAX crashes), it seems more and more unlikely that Boeing will regain its dominant position in narrowbody aircraft. I would think the Max 10 is pretty competitive and probably has better availability, once actually available, than the A321. But when was the l...

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by StTim
Thu Aug 15, 2019 10:58 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumor: Airbus to launch A350-1000ULR
Replies: 387
Views: 64502

Re: Rumor: Airbus to launch A350-1000ULR

I am sure I read at the time that the ULR used the same tank volume as the -1000 and that it was not maxed out.

Of course I cannot find that now.

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by StTim
Thu Aug 15, 2019 10:02 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Qantas saying it is almost ready to select Project Sunrise aircraft
Replies: 1492
Views: 271726

Re: Updated: Qantas saying it is almost ready to select Project Sunrise aircraft

Now that language sounds like it comes from a Boeing source. For a Qantas source to use compelling would imply they are sold on it and for an insider that would be a huge leak to give.

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by StTim
Thu Aug 15, 2019 7:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 2538
Views: 329465

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

Also remember the training regime for the MAX was devised by Boeing to not require hands on simulator training AND MCAS was effectively hidden from most operators and pilots. Now when the accident reports come out the will be many recommendations including pilot training, fault reporting, maintenanc...

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by StTim
Thu Aug 15, 2019 6:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ural Airlines A321 VQ-BOZ 15 august 2019 Moscow emergency landing
Replies: 174
Views: 25618

Re: Ural Airlines A321 VQ-BOZ 15 august 2019 Moscow emergency landing

Luck and skill played their part. Pleased to hear all survived.

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by StTim
Wed Aug 14, 2019 9:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates renegotiating 777X order
Replies: 758
Views: 131806

Re: Emirates renegotiating 777X order

no. 350 series is too costly. EK hasn't been at all interested in this frame, and only took a handful of them because of their deposit situation with the A380. If the 380 hadn't gone through this discontinuation, EK would not have these airbus widebodies. Adding extra range via reduced payload *doe...

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by StTim
Mon Aug 12, 2019 10:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 (CSeries) Delivery/Production Thread - 2019
Replies: 508
Views: 121511

Re: Airbus A220 (CSeries) Delivery/Production Thread - 2019

It also gives the opportunity for line upgrades as well as maintenance- without disrupting line operations.

Plus you get line staff who are properly refreshed as well. I know that in an anathema to many people in the USA but most of the world looks after their staff.

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by StTim
Sat Aug 10, 2019 8:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian plane loses small pieces over inhabitated area at FCO
Replies: 39
Views: 10855

Re: Norwegian plane loses small pieces over inhabitated area at FCO

Do we know it was a wide body flight?

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by StTim
Fri Aug 09, 2019 1:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: S7 flight runs off end of runway, barely takes off
Replies: 84
Views: 20426

Re: S7 flight runs off end of runway, barely takes off

Wasn't there an A350 that aborted its take off (and I mean the plane rather than the crew) as it identified they were starting from a different point than the calculated position due to a late ATC request to do an intersection departure?

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by StTim
Tue Aug 06, 2019 6:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Milestone: Airbus launches A220 production at Alabama facility
Replies: 19
Views: 3977

Re: Milestone: Airbus launches A220 production at Alabama facility

Still a long way from Q3 2020 though.

Airbus doing their normal steady, find issue, analyse, resolve, continue approach. Not spectacular but hopefully less rework and better long term quality.

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by StTim
Mon Aug 05, 2019 5:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 787 deferred production cost watch
Replies: 164
Views: 24938

Re: Boeing 787 deferred production cost watch

this is all internal accounting and accounting for Tax Purposes. Boeing hasn't lost a public DIME. Not true. What the Programme Accounting did is allow Boeing to declare profits in the early years when the huge deferred cost was being run up. Now however as the deferred cost is being wound down the...

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by StTim
Mon Aug 05, 2019 12:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 2538
Views: 329465

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

So they are going to check the the flying FCC against the standby one - and if there is a disagreement auto switch over? What if the standby FCC is the one that has developed a fault?

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by StTim
Sun Aug 04, 2019 7:40 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: High pressure hydraulics vs bleed air
Replies: 15
Views: 2127

Re: High pressure hydraulics vs bleed air

There is also the issue of failure in a pneumatic vs hydraulic system. As air is compressible should say the accumulation break when at high pressure you have an explosion. With hydraulic systems a similar situation results in a leak only.

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by StTim
Fri Aug 02, 2019 5:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A220 sales tour and sales campaigns, 2019
Replies: 77
Views: 9262

Re: A220 sales tour and sales campaigns, 2019

The supply chain for an aircraft is vast and complex.

The ceo cannot just state I want to go from rate 5 to rate 25 in a year and it will be acheived.

Go too fast and quality will suffer.

I am sure Airbus are working hard to improve the production rate.

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by StTim
Fri Aug 02, 2019 4:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Tower Air
Replies: 96
Views: 15703

Re: Tower Air

The misfortune to fly them when they were wet leasing a classic to Zambia Airways. Very very late so missed connection in Lusaka to Harare. Next flight was 27 hours later...

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by StTim
Fri Aug 02, 2019 12:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019
Replies: 640
Views: 166057

Re: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019

So it is standard practice for Boeing to start building airplanes destined to customers even before the prototype makes its first flight? of course. Same for Airbus too. They don't just wait for certification to be complete and say 'ok, now let's build some of these' Of course they do but I cannot ...

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by StTim
Fri Aug 02, 2019 9:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019
Replies: 640
Views: 166057

Re: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019

CX Flyboy wrote:
StTim wrote:
How long and how costly was the rework on the terrible teens?


But that was an unusual event and not the standard to which normal and future certification programs should be scheduled to.


Agree - unusual and I doubt this will be anywhere near as bad. But we do not know what testing will show.

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by StTim
Fri Aug 02, 2019 7:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019
Replies: 640
Views: 166057

Re: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019

How long and how costly was the rework on the terrible teens?

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by StTim
Fri Aug 02, 2019 7:05 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019
Replies: 640
Views: 166057

Re: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019

How many will they have produced before certification completes?

A lot of inventory with potential rework required.

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by StTim
Thu Aug 01, 2019 6:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 2538
Views: 329465

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

It is also a dangerous game for the FAA to certify if the other agencies are not ready to also certify. I do not think (at least from EASA) that there will be pettiness but I also do not think they will be bullied into certification.

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by StTim
Wed Jul 31, 2019 1:56 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: 777X high lift system
Replies: 20
Views: 2882

Re: 777X high lift system

(...) On ailerons - the stiffer Airbus wings allow just out board devices as you do not get roll reversal. The Boeing wing has both outboard and the flaperon inboard because of the potential for roll reversal. Dear StTim, I have one question about "roll reversal" and the need for inbord a...

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by StTim
Tue Jul 30, 2019 4:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 2538
Views: 329465

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

Too much gloom and doom imho. If there is one firm on the globe that can fix this quickly it is Boeing. To be honest this is not getting better for Boeing. I originally expected them to have resolved the issues by now and even with the long lead times in aviation be flying or close to flying again....

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by StTim
Tue Jul 30, 2019 10:09 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: 777X high lift system
Replies: 20
Views: 2882

Re: 777X high lift system

I think we are confusing Flaps and Ailerons. The 777X is does have a split on the outer flap that I do not think was there for the 777. This may well be a factor due to the different design philosophy on Boeing wings which leads to a more flexible wing and so as hitower3 postulates the change may be...

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by StTim
Tue Jul 30, 2019 9:14 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: 777X high lift system
Replies: 20
Views: 2882

Re: 777X high lift system

There must be significant benefit to the 777X to split the outer flaps into two sections - adding additional flap tracks is not good for the overall aerodynamics so the benefit must be somewhere....

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by StTim
Mon Jul 29, 2019 1:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 2538
Views: 329465

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

I sometimes wonder how many on here have ever read through an accident report produced by the NTSB or the AAIB (the ones I have read are from these two agencies). They are factual dry documents. They produce many recommendations and these are usually spread across the spectrum of those involved. I h...

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by StTim
Sun Jul 28, 2019 4:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: BA using remote gates
Replies: 31
Views: 6814

Re: BA using remote gates

Had a remote gate at AUH for an EY flight to Hyderabad.

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by StTim
Sun Jul 28, 2019 8:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Delivery/Production Thread - 2019
Replies: 374
Views: 104871

Re: Boeing 737MAX Delivery/Production Thread - 2019

I don’t think even Boeing are saying they will clear the backlog in 2020 and they still think the Max will be flying in October.

It will fly again but my money is on the grounding lasting around a year give or take.

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by StTim
Sat Jul 27, 2019 6:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: BA using remote gates
Replies: 31
Views: 6814

Re: BA using remote gates

BA use remote stands at T5 as part of normal operations.

It is no big deal really.

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by StTim
Sat Jul 27, 2019 9:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A350 Production/Delivery Thread - 2019
Replies: 856
Views: 348102

Re: Airbus A350 Production/Delivery Thread - 2019

Kindanew wrote:
marcelh wrote:
hkcanadaexpat wrote:
MSN 326 (BA#1) on its delivery flight as BA9151. #294. #59 in 2019. #6 in July

And heading for Chateauroux. Some additional crew training?


Range maxed out already?

You win post of the day with that one. :D

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by StTim
Thu Jul 25, 2019 6:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Confirmed: 777X First Flight Delayed Due GE9X Issues
Replies: 317
Views: 69433

Re: Confirmed: 777X First Flight Delayed Due GE9X Issues

With regard to first flight in early 2020 and certification by the end of 2020, there are certification tests that don't require flying to accomplish. Examples would be: Cargo compartment fire suppression HIRF investigation Structural vibration frequency investigation Vmcg (probably doubtful at Pai...

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by StTim
Thu Jul 25, 2019 12:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 2538
Views: 329465

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

Moore Aerospace is arguing on Twitter that a grounding was not required, that it is a political act and that all that was required was an AD stopping CAT III landings. https://twitter.com/mooreaerospace/status/1154145702152478720?s=12 Credible? Considering one crashed shortly after taking off... no...

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by StTim
Thu Jul 25, 2019 9:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Confirmed: 777X First Flight Delayed Due GE9X Issues
Replies: 317
Views: 69433

Re: Confirmed: 777X First Flight Delayed Due GE9X Issues

Would ETOPs be effected if there was an engine failure in flight testing? That would be good reason to wait for perfect engines. Boeing would be better off waiting 6 months and have full ETOPS than have an engine failure and the ETOPs reduced to say 180 minutes. Plausible but I don't know if that w...

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by StTim
Thu Jul 25, 2019 7:28 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 2538
Views: 329465

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

I think there are very few NG frames left in the schedule. Sales would also be required.

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by StTim
Thu Jul 25, 2019 7:22 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 787 deferred production cost watch
Replies: 164
Views: 24938

Re: Boeing 787 deferred production cost watch

That makes no difference to profit booked.

These are quite separate.

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by StTim
Thu Jul 25, 2019 7:02 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Delivery/Production Thread - 2019
Replies: 374
Views: 104871

Re: Boeing 737MAX Delivery/Production Thread - 2019

Man, the job of clearing the backlog of undelivered frames is going to be massive. Read some estimates of taking all of 2020 to clear the ramps. I think they may well be right. Not a chance it takes that long. They will gone much more quickly than they came in. Not a chance. There will be many airl...

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by StTim
Thu Jul 25, 2019 6:58 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 787 deferred production cost watch
Replies: 164
Views: 24938

Re: Boeing 787 deferred production cost watch

An increase in the accounting block should, and always should have been, be related to reasonable expectations of sales. It is good to see this coming down at a significant rate. It is good for Boeing to have one program producing cash but that is not helping profits as those were baked in years ago...

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by StTim
Thu Jul 25, 2019 6:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 2538
Views: 329465

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

https://twitter.com/mooreaerospace/stat ... 78720?s=12

Credible?
-->

Moore Aerospace is arguing on Twitter that a grounding was not required, that it is a political act and that all that was required was an AD stopping CAT III landings.

https://twitter.com/mooreaerospace/stat ... 78720?s=12

Credible?

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by StTim
Thu Jul 25, 2019 6:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Confirmed: 777X First Flight Delayed Due GE9X Issues
Replies: 317
Views: 69433

Re: Confirmed: 777X First Flight Delayed Due GE9X Issues

What prevents the engine from flying? The specifics are up-thread, but the tl;dr is the stator vane actuators on the front-end of the compressor are not as durable as expected so GE is re-engineering them to improve maintenance intervals. https://www.flightglobal.com/news/articles/paris-ge-redesign...

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by StTim
Wed Jul 24, 2019 7:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019
Replies: 640
Views: 166057

Re: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019

A couple of points. The test frames with engines do not have the engine config they need to use for testing. If they did they would be flying now. Secondly test flying identifies changes required in order for the frame to be certified. Some will be software. Some will be hardware. Every frame produc...

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by StTim
Wed Jul 24, 2019 1:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019
Replies: 640
Views: 166057

Re: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019

No way will they have 5 production engine sets immediately.

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by StTim
Wed Jul 24, 2019 1:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019
Replies: 640
Views: 166057

Re: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019

One wonders how many production frames Boeing will build before certification is complete and how much rework this will then incur.

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by StTim
Wed Jul 24, 2019 12:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019
Replies: 640
Views: 166057

Re: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019

These new engines seem to have more issues as the envelope is pushed.

Sometimes it is technology and sometimes it is resource.

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by StTim
Sun Jul 21, 2019 6:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 2538
Views: 329465

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

Each frame is going to need a return to service plan. It isn't just upload the new software, fill her up and off you go. These planes have been sat idle for months. That was covered long ago: If I recall the previous post the Airlines estimated in the range of 100 to 150 manhours to return to each ...

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by StTim
Sun Jul 21, 2019 6:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 2538
Views: 329465

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

Each frame is going to need a return to service plan. It isn't just upload the new software, fill her up and off you go. These planes have been sat idle for months.

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by StTim
Sun Jul 21, 2019 11:29 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why did Luton Airport build its original terminal in that specific position?
Replies: 17
Views: 4407

Re: Why did Luton Airport build its original terminal in that specific position?

I think Luton is a testimony into how a quart is just about squeezed into a pint pot. It was a municipally owned airport with little money for grand expansion plans - yet somehow they have grown it, piecemeal, into an effective functioning airport. The latest upgrades are the largest I have seen and...

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by StTim
Sat Jul 20, 2019 9:30 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: A380 Slats
Replies: 14
Views: 3385

Re: A380 Slats

Ah thanks

Now on board I can see the flaps are extended to take off position.

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by StTim
Sat Jul 20, 2019 8:46 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: A380 Slats
Replies: 14
Views: 3385

A380 Slats

Just landed in Abu Dhabi and notice that all the A380’s are sitting at the gate with the slats extended.

I have not seen that on other types.

Is it just the A380?
Is it just Etihad SOP for the A380?

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by StTim
Sat Jul 20, 2019 3:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Boeing website updated to match FR's Boeing 737MAX200 rename
Replies: 116
Views: 6312

Re: Boeing website updated to match Ryanair's Boeing 737MAX200 rename.

More interesting, or disturbing, they now have seats as 210.

I can’t see Ryanair going over the 200 as that would require an additional flight attendant.

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