Search found 298 matches

by a7ala
Wed Sep 18, 2019 4:09 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2019
Replies: 391
Views: 42390

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - September 2019

From AusBT/ET, "Virgin Atlantic eyes Sydney, Auckland, Singapore in bold (and possibly bonkers) expansion plan" ! https://www.executivetraveller.com/virgin-atlantic-eyes-sydney-auckland-singapore-in-expansion-plan Its just VS picking dots on a map without looking at it seriously. Even Air...

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by a7ala
Tue Sep 17, 2019 2:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - September 2019
Replies: 235
Views: 20940

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - September 2019

https://www.routesonline.com/news/29/breaking-news/286302/adelaide-market-review-and-passenger-traffic-forecast/ Interesting analysis of the potential for CHC-ADL, proposing 5x weekly service if by QF 73H in summer peak. My gut feeling is that that’s too high but it does fill one of the important g...

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by a7ala
Mon Sep 09, 2019 9:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - September 2019
Replies: 235
Views: 20940

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - September 2019

The logic here is connecting points on the map aka current ports between the next biggest city. Works for major international ports without direct flights aka CDG-DXB and DXB-AKL creating an AKL-CDG connection but people won't fly AKL-WAG-WLG so unless there is independent demand WLG-WAG it's point...

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by a7ala
Mon Sep 09, 2019 2:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - September 2019
Replies: 235
Views: 20940

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - September 2019

Just on 3C, I believe they won't want to compete with NZ in any markets If you look at their network, obviously CHT is their home route but outside of this they have WAG, WHK and PPQ which are routes NZ has closed down. With regard to NLK, I'm assuming conversations were held and assurances given b...

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by a7ala
Wed Aug 28, 2019 4:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019
Replies: 260
Views: 27998

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019

Going by Virgin Australia's recent financial announcement, it looks as though NZ made the right call to bail when they did. Also, Luxons comments that VA need to refocus their business on domestic and get their financial performance sorted seems on the money. Of course he would say that as he doesn...

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by a7ala
Sun Aug 25, 2019 2:35 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019
Replies: 260
Views: 27998

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019

My question is: given the nature of JQ's regional operation, why couldn't they just scrap Q300's 2-3 times daily and just run 5-7 times weekly 320's. Surely frequency doesn't have as much bearing on demand than price, plus they're not really going to catch much business traffic anyway. PMR and NPE ...

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by a7ala
Sat Aug 24, 2019 8:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019
Replies: 260
Views: 27998

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019

The OEW is about 144t. SQ A359 takes about 253 pax, so its about 25t for pax. Assuming 5t reserve fuel, and 5.4t/hr for the mission of 9.5 hours. TOW of about 225t will be sufficient for the mission for rule of thumb. I presume your takeoff weight is based on dry runway. Wet performance will be wor...

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by a7ala
Sat Aug 24, 2019 10:51 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019
Replies: 260
Views: 27998

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019

Based on Airbus data, A359 can do SIN-WLG easily as the runway can accomodate TOW of 231 t. Is it more complex than just that though? For example, what does WLG's wind and rain do to that capability? Cheers, C. Wind should make the capability better, rain would make it worse. Can they tow be achiev...

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by a7ala
Tue Aug 20, 2019 10:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019
Replies: 260
Views: 27998

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019

But there's so not absolute clarity on the exact numbers of revenue passengers flying WLG-SIN on SQ. Yes there is. Eg. Jan19 Airline Country by Port says WLG-MEL on SQ was 5,000 pax. This is just the local traffic. Then Jan19 seat utilisaion singapore airlines to country New Zealand says 8,431 pax ...

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by a7ala
Tue Aug 20, 2019 9:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019
Replies: 260
Views: 27998

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019

But there's so not absolute clarity on the exact numbers of revenue passengers flying WLG-SIN on SQ. Yes there is. Eg. Jan19 Airline Country by Port says WLG-MEL on SQ was 5,000 pax. This is just the local traffic. Then Jan19 seat utilisaion singapore airlines to country New Zealand says 8,431 pax ...

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by a7ala
Mon Aug 19, 2019 9:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019
Replies: 260
Views: 27998

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019

Re BITRE 44% WLG-MEL-SIN traffic... But how do you know those MEL-SIN pax are on the ex WLG flight? My understanding is transit pax are not included in BITRE stats. Probably the best example IIRC is to look at UTA loads ex SYD in the 90's- there was only one CDG flight/week that always arrived full...

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by a7ala
Mon Aug 19, 2019 2:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019
Replies: 260
Views: 27998

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019

They can or could....they just don't or can't. Gosh, that's a headache. What I'm saying is, if WLG had such a strong need for long haul flights SQ could restrict MEL joining passengers on this particular flight. They don't because they likely need both markets or more likely, WLG needs MEL more tha...

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by a7ala
Mon Aug 19, 2019 1:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019
Replies: 260
Views: 27998

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019

They cant fill the whole plane with long haul traffic as 1) many of the MEL-SIN seats are taken by the MEL long haul market (some of which will be higher yielding than WLG so makes sense to carry them) They can or could....they just don't or can't. Gosh, that's a headache. What I'm saying is, if WL...

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by a7ala
Mon Aug 19, 2019 12:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019
Replies: 260
Views: 27998

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019

Any information of monthly one way passenger movement from Wellington to Singapore taking SQ 247/248? As others have said, it's almost impossible to tell... What I do hear and see a lot is a) The flights are reasonably full WLG-MEL and also MEL-SIN b) Availability on the flight seems to be wide ope...

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by a7ala
Sun Aug 18, 2019 9:12 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019
Replies: 260
Views: 27998

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - August 2019

Any information of monthly one way passenger movement from Wellington to Singapore taking SQ 247/248? Sadly this information is next to impossible to gather as I don't believe New Zealand does certain airport to airport movements compared to Australia (via BITRE) which lists load factors for every ...

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by a7ala
Wed Aug 07, 2019 10:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: American Airlines Increases International Presence, Makes First Entrance Into Africa
Replies: 508
Views: 96235

Re: Rumor: American to make huge announcement

zkojq wrote:
LAX-CHC?


Yes that will be one of the announcements coming up. A poorly kept secret in the New Zealand travel trade. Expect it to be seasonal NW.

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by a7ala
Sat Aug 03, 2019 6:51 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2019
Replies: 471
Views: 66344

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2019

New fresh crew do a day trip to CBR and back... so Expensive operation. I’d say part of the route is underwritten by CBR airport. This would definitely be the case, like many airports CBR has money to spend in encouraging airlines, QR was a big feather in its cap but there is no way the CBD-SYD-DOH...

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by a7ala
Fri Aug 02, 2019 7:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2019
Replies: 471
Views: 66344

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2019

The 777 fuel burn on takeoff alone would be costing a fortune, now multiply it by 2 (SYD-CBR, CBR-SYD) daily. But I agree I don't think QR would have imagined that the operational costs would have been so big since these aren't being offset with pax revenue. OOL really wouldn't work- everyone from ...

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by a7ala
Thu Aug 01, 2019 10:22 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2019
Replies: 471
Views: 66344

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - August 2019

BITRE for May available For those interested since it was discussed last month https://www.bitre.gov.au/publications/ongoing/files/International_airline_activity_1905.pdf AC loads on MEL-YVR inbound 62% outbound 81% QF MEL-SFO loads for May 88% inbound and 90% outbound, maybe an increase in frequen...

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by a7ala
Wed Jul 24, 2019 4:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - July 2019
Replies: 429
Views: 58223

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - July 2019

[photoid][/photoid] And the link from the Qantas news room, with the timings of the flights ... https://www.qantasnewsroom.com.au/media-releases/qantas-flights-from-brisbane-to-chicago-and-san-francisco-open-for-business/ Any thoughts on what the 787’s will do between 6am and 15:30/20:35 in BNE? QF...

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by a7ala
Sun Jul 21, 2019 3:16 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines/Qantas Joint Venture Approved
Replies: 151
Views: 21637

Re: American Airlines/Qantas Joint Venture Approved

I do see LAX-AKL returning to year round. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Speculation that AA LAX-CHC (I'm guessing seasonal nw) is on the cards and presumably a requirement of the JV in New Zealand. It's not a requirement at all. Out of all three countries in scope, NZ is probably the least res...

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by a7ala
Sat Jul 20, 2019 3:39 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines/Qantas Joint Venture Approved
Replies: 151
Views: 21637

Re: American Airlines/Qantas Joint Venture Approved

chepos wrote:
I do see LAX-AKL returning to year round.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk


Speculation that AA LAX-CHC (I'm guessing seasonal nw) is on the cards and presumably a requirement of the JV in New Zealand.

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by a7ala
Thu Jul 04, 2019 8:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread -July 2019
Replies: 278
Views: 32101

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread -July 2019

I'm hearing rumours that JQ are planning to pull out 2 aircraft from New Zealand. Not sure whether they are both A320's or one of each. I presume the CHC-SYD cancellation is part of that.

Anyone know any more?

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by a7ala
Wed Jul 03, 2019 4:05 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread -July 2019
Replies: 278
Views: 32101

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread -July 2019

JQ suspending CHC-SYD 5/week from 15Oct noting it had been commercially challenging for some time. That plus the VA suspension on the same sector is a significant capacity loss. I guess the EK A380 is having a big impact in the market. https://www.stuff.co.nz/travel/news/113965108/jetstar-to-stop-ch...

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by a7ala
Thu Jun 20, 2019 4:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 290
Views: 28446

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

Hi there, does anyone know what the current status is of the RESA extension at WHK? Has it been completed? Thanks.

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by a7ala
Thu Jun 20, 2019 2:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 290
Views: 28446

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

- If the RAR-LAX service is maintained at a minimum level with the help of a subsidy, how does it make sense to make it 3-4x weekly, just by adding a WLG-RAR connection? It makes the service much more viable as a through flight from WLG as you are carrying WLG-LAX passengers it whereas the current ...

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by a7ala
Thu Jun 20, 2019 2:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 290
Views: 28446

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

- If the RAR-LAX service is maintained at a minimum level with the help of a subsidy, how does it make sense to make it 3-4x weekly, just by adding a WLG-RAR connection? It makes the service much more viable as a through flight from WLG as you are carrying WLG-LAX passengers it whereas the current ...

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by a7ala
Thu Jun 20, 2019 1:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 290
Views: 28446

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

My replies in order. - RAR does experience a capacity issue due to the lack of accommodation on the Island(s). Does NZ need to displace those transitting AKL so it can pick up more AKL traffic as well as generating more WLG? There are times when the airline can't give away seats as there's either n...

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by a7ala
Thu Jun 20, 2019 12:35 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 290
Views: 28446

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

Firstly an LAX-RAR-WLG route sounds great as it opens a WLG-RAR flight if such a thing was needed, will it convince more people in WLG to visit RAR? or will free up space for AKL-RAR etc... There will clearly be some displacement from AKL-RAR, but you only need to see whats occurred with more non-s...

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by a7ala
Wed Jun 19, 2019 9:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 290
Views: 28446

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

An intriguing suggestion; one that goes against the grain of funnelling services through Auckland (and a lesser extent Christchurch), but which would connect the Cook Islands with New Zealand’s captital, and also connect Wellington with the movie-making capital of the world without requiring an int...

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by a7ala
Tue Jun 18, 2019 12:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 290
Views: 28446

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

You're proposing a huge jump in capacity on the proposed 321XLR routes. For example, AKL-PER has about 3,000 seats a week in summer, 2,100 in winter; you'd get 4,200 seats a week at TP's 200-seat config.Likewise CHC-PER is summer only 600 seats/week; you'd get about 1,400 seats a week. Even at a lo...

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by a7ala
Sat Jun 15, 2019 10:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 290
Views: 28446

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

Since the switch to MEL in May last year its averaged around 83% to march in the latest bitre stats: May 68% June 69% July 80% August 74% September 78% October 87% November 87% December 90% January 93% February 82% March 79% This is the load factor on wlg-mel only. If a new aircraft comes on I woul...

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by a7ala
Sat Jun 15, 2019 2:55 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 290
Views: 28446

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

Via MEL I’d expect the regional 359, they are getting more long hauls but still have IST as a 772 to change over, the 359 should lower the costs significantly however while increasing capacity. That flight ex MEL is the only one less than daily and the only regional product, the other 4 daily ex ME...

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by a7ala
Sat Jun 15, 2019 2:05 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 290
Views: 28446

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

Since the switch to MEL in May last year its averaged around 83% to march in the latest bitre stats: May 68% June 69% July 80% August 74% September 78% October 87% November 87% December 90% January 93% February 82% March 79% This is the load factor on wlg-mel only. If a new aircraft comes on I would...

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by a7ala
Wed Jun 12, 2019 4:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 478
Views: 61809

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - June 2019

For those interested, BITRE International Airline Activity - March 2019 report is out. https://www.bitre.gov.au/publications/ongoing/files/International_airline_activity_1903.pdf With the NT government nearly broke wonder how much longer they can afford to prop up a China service with only about 30...

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by a7ala
Wed Jun 05, 2019 10:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 290
Views: 28446

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

From StatsNZ International Travel (YEMarch19): https://www.stats.govt.nz/information-releases/international-travel-march-2019 Singapore visitor arrivals to New Zealand = 61,622 New Zealand resident arrivals from Singapore = 26,202 Total = 87,824 Times 2 for two directions = 175,648 Capacity New Zea...

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by a7ala
Wed Jun 05, 2019 9:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 290
Views: 28446

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

I think NZ would want to compete on the potential.CHC - LAX is AA start this. Cant see them just sitting there and now with 787 the have a better aircraft. Just my 2 cents I doubt it. Unfortunately its a fact of life for a hub and spoke carrier that other airlines will come in over time to your spo...

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by a7ala
Wed Jun 05, 2019 2:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 290
Views: 28446

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

Big enough for up to 6 daily flights in peak season, 3x AKL 2x CHC 1x WLG via MEL That’s probably the largest long haul market ex NZ to a single city by quite a distance, sure it’s a hub but flights spread across AKL/WLG/CHC. Probably not big enough however for another carrier At this stage. Most o...

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by a7ala
Wed Jun 05, 2019 2:05 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 290
Views: 28446

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

True and I guess the SYD stop works well with the QF/EK deal, rather than via an Asian port SIN/BKK/KUL, I wonder if a BKK/KUL stopover would work given no one flies there from CHC? I’d see the AKL-DPS moving to SIN maybe given more year round and premium demand. Rumours were that was the original ...

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by a7ala
Wed Jun 05, 2019 1:58 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 290
Views: 28446

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

I think NZ would want to compete on the potential.CHC - LAX is AA start this. Cant see them just sitting there and now with 787 the have a better aircraft. Just my 2 cents I doubt it. Unfortunately its a fact of life for a hub and spoke carrier that other airlines will come in over time to your spo...

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by a7ala
Wed Jun 05, 2019 12:13 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 290
Views: 28446

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

Havent EK 77L's been de-LR'ed? I thought Id read the thinks that make it an LR (except the engines) were deactivated and cargo capacity increased Personally im not convinced CHC is quite there yet in terms of a DXB-CHC non-stop. Its a pretty seasonal market and a service like that would pretty much...

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by a7ala
Tue Jun 04, 2019 11:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 290
Views: 28446

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

Havent EK 77L's been de-LR'ed? I thought Id read the thinks that make it an LR (except the engines) were deactivated and cargo capacity increased Personally im not convinced CHC is quite there yet in terms of a DXB-CHC non-stop. Its a pretty seasonal market and a service like that would pretty much...

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by a7ala
Tue Jun 04, 2019 9:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 290
Views: 28446

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

[ Yes you could well be right there, I thought CHC had done alright, it has picked up CZ/CX, lost CI, but more SIN services, always been a bit surprised KE haven’t been back since 2005/06, maybe a PVG service, would have to be MU as NZ/CA have a JV but CA would likely operate to PEK instead. I thin...

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by a7ala
Tue Jun 04, 2019 9:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 290
Views: 28446

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

Personally I’d see UA running a 787 LAX/SFO-CHC over an NZ operated service, I was surprised when NZ announced their own service CHC-SIN. Remember it was a requirement of the NZ/SQ JV to NZ to do it. With SQ introducing the lower capacity A350 into CHC it would have resulted in a loss of annual sea...

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by a7ala
Tue Jun 04, 2019 7:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 290
Views: 28446

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

AA service AKL-DFW is quite likely. Agree - this has to be the front-runner for any new AA service here. The connections through DFW are growing - like with AA's new DFW - DUB flight, launching this week. Cheers, C. I suspect CHC-LAX with AA is part of the deal to get regulatory approval here in Ne...

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by a7ala
Tue Jun 04, 2019 7:59 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019
Replies: 290
Views: 28446

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - June 2019

With the QF/AA JV having received its interim approval by the USDOT, what could we see here from AA/QF? Obviously AA AKL-LAX will receive a boost, but could there be a possibility of say AKL-DFW? I was thinking the same and mentioned it in the OZ thread, they mentioned 3 new routes initially of whi...

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by a7ala
Thu May 30, 2019 11:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2019
Replies: 374
Views: 43843

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2019

Motorhussy wrote:
A320’s still leaving WLG, clearing the backlog. Not sure whose the last one was.


Looks like a couple of B787 flights operating akl-wlg-akl tomorrow as well to help clear the backlog

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by a7ala
Mon May 27, 2019 9:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2019
Replies: 374
Views: 43843

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2019

One of the interesting things to come out of the Air NZ investor presentation was CZ apparently reducing AKL-CAN from 10/week to daily. Does anyone know any more about this as I haven't seen any announcement around it. I can’t say I noticed anything about CZ in their or Chins for that matter. Certa...

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by a7ala
Mon May 27, 2019 3:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2019
Replies: 374
Views: 43843

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2019

One of the interesting things to come out of the Air NZ investor presentation was CZ apparently reducing AKL-CAN from 10/week to daily. Does anyone know any more about this as I haven't seen any announcement around it.

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by a7ala
Tue May 21, 2019 9:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2019
Replies: 374
Views: 43843

Re: New Zealand Aviation Thread - May 2019

Does it? This document - https://www.singaporeair.com/saar5/pdf/Investor-Relations/Financial-Results/presentation/slide-analystbriefingq4fy1819.pdf - has 1 777-200 and 1 777-200ER in the fleet at 31 March 2020. See also https://www.airliners.net/forum/viewtopic.php?f=3&t=1422943 V/F They couldn...

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