Search found 303 matches

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by sagechan
Wed Aug 21, 2019 2:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Eagle's Future Discussion Thread
Replies: 542
Views: 110011

Re: American Eagle's Future Discussion Thread

Most of the E145 now at Piedmont are at least 19 years old. I know in the past few years they retired their Dash fleet but it doesn't seem like the E145 is a long term solution. Will they order new planes or will they become strictly a Ground Handling company? It was the lowest cost option at the t...

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by sagechan
Wed Aug 21, 2019 1:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: "Open Skies" in a World of Slot-Controlled Airports
Replies: 24
Views: 2324

Re: "Open Skies" in a World of Slot-Controlled Airports

They are completely separate issues. But they're not always treated as such, in fact there's been some rather blatant (and arguably quite hypocritical) disparity in approach to the two. The US' negotiations with the UK in 2002 (and to a lesser extent, 1998) to end Bermuda II, vs the the "open ...

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by sagechan
Wed Aug 21, 2019 2:07 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: "Open Skies" in a World of Slot-Controlled Airports
Replies: 24
Views: 2324

Re: "Open Skies" in a World of Slot-Controlled Airports

They are completely separate issues. Unless slot controles are used to prevent access to an airport that is undercapacity, it should remain outside the scope of the open skies. The solution is medium term leasing of slots. If an airport is slot controlled 10% of slots should be available to lease by...

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by sagechan
Mon Aug 19, 2019 10:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumors of American Airlines 2nd announcement coming soon (HND + AUS/NZ)
Replies: 51
Views: 13292

Re: Rumors of American Airlines 2nd announcement coming soon (HND + AUS/NZ)

My guesses
LAX-MEL (year round, non daily NS)
LAX-CHC (NW Seasonal)
LAX-AKL (back to year round)
DFW-AKL (NW seasonal)

Japan
HND-LAX/DFW (as awarded)
1 DFW-NRT cancelled
ORD-NRT Cancelled

Slight chance (dont think they will be announced this time though)
DFW-KIX or NGO
LAX-ICN

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by sagechan
Mon Aug 19, 2019 1:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 787 trouble in the future
Replies: 29
Views: 8433

Re: 787 trouble in the future

It's an interesting and valid disclaimer to make. However, excluding a situation where Boeing received massive cancellations of closer in orders, it's not a difficult to manage problem. Rates can be cute by several frames per month and maintain positive margins on production. There would be some mar...

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by sagechan
Sat Aug 17, 2019 10:30 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Switzerland to follow suit with Eco-Tax
Replies: 95
Views: 6995

Re: Switzerland to follow suit with Eco-Tax

Pricing is the correct mechanism for addressing fossil fuels, but really needs to be nearly global tax on carbon that's reinvested into no carbon alternatives in energy and transportation especially. Other than aviation, we could choose to spend the money to go carbon free on both electric and trans...

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by sagechan
Thu Aug 15, 2019 5:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA to Tweak 737 MAX Order
Replies: 55
Views: 13953

Re: UA to Tweak 737 MAX Order

I have no idea what tech is currently available for PTVs but my understanding is they're still all pretty much dumb screens controlled by the onboard server. Has anyone come up with a solution yet based on using actual tablets? Use a modular design for the seat that you can install a custom android...

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by sagechan
Thu Aug 15, 2019 5:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Far fetched idea on AA performance especially in the stock market!
Replies: 24
Views: 2764

Re: Far fetched idea on AA performance especially in the stock market!

It's funny that so many a.nutters complain that AA's only strategy is copy delta, then say their strategy is the main cause of the problems. The problem is that AA’s strategy seems to be to copy Delta half assedly. Delta goes to 30” pitch and installs brand new cabins and state of the art IFE on th...

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by sagechan
Thu Aug 15, 2019 4:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Far fetched idea on AA performance especially in the stock market!
Replies: 24
Views: 2764

Re: Far fetched idea on AA performance especially in the stock market!

To the OP's take, it's very unlikely Doug would risk prison time for a plan that has questionable success even if it weren't illegal. Doug's entire compensation is in stock and many if those options come due on an annual basis, so to fully maximize his income a high stock is far more valuable than r...

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by sagechan
Wed Aug 14, 2019 12:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Schedules 787 & 772 On DFW-PHX-DFW
Replies: 50
Views: 6560

Re: American Airlines Schedules 787 & 772 On DFW-PHX-DFW

I believe there where on time issues with the A330 CLT-PHX-HI so the flights will just originate in PHX. That must have been quite a long time ago - PHX-HNL has been running 757s for a very long time - and it will switch to 321Ns in the fall. Even US did some A330 PHX-HNL in winter. I believe at 1 ...

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by sagechan
Wed Aug 14, 2019 12:32 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: US DOT awards Haneda slots
Replies: 786
Views: 137866

Re: Updated: US DOT awards Haneda slots

U.S. carriers have until October 3, 2019 to file applications with the Japanese authorities for Haneda takeoff and landing slot times. DOT requires the carriers to institute their proposed services within 90 days after March 29, 2020, the date on which the IATA 2020 summer season begins. Do you kno...

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by sagechan
Wed Aug 14, 2019 12:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: American Airlines Increases International Presence, Makes First Entrance Into Africa
Replies: 508
Views: 94612

Re: Updated: American Airlines Increases International Presence, Makes First Entrance Into Africa

I guess it does squeeze into range from DFW as well. Just see it as a LAX route. Be surprised if the XLR doesn't do quite a few domestic Transcons to LAX and it's doesn't take much to run a daily down to PPT. LAX is already an A320 crew base anyway. Is it possible for an A321T as currently configur...

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by sagechan
Tue Aug 13, 2019 11:58 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA gets permanent injunction against mechanics union
Replies: 85
Views: 9372

Re: AA gets permanent injunction against mechanics union

Hopefully, this is enough to get NMB to add more mediation, the solution is a contract. Mediation was ended months ago. It's time to ask if both sides will accept arbitration to bring this to a quicker end. The NMB hasn't released so mediation hasn't ended and could resume. Getting to arbitration m...

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by sagechan
Tue Aug 13, 2019 2:22 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA gets permanent injunction against mechanics union
Replies: 85
Views: 9372

Re: AA gets permanent injunction against mechanics union

Hopefully, this is enough to get NMB to add more mediation, the solution is a contract.

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by sagechan
Mon Aug 12, 2019 2:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Schedules 787 & 772 On DFW-PHX-DFW
Replies: 50
Views: 6560

Re: American Airlines Schedules 787 & 772 On DFW-PHX-DFW

Good wide body uptick for PHX! I'd expect less next year when the upcoming QF JV flights will be flying in northern winter.

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by sagechan
Sat Aug 10, 2019 6:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: American Airlines Increases International Presence, Makes First Entrance Into Africa
Replies: 508
Views: 94612

Re: Updated: American Airlines Increases International Presence, Makes First Entrance Into Africa

Varsity1 wrote:
PHL-KEF could be a 737 or A320. A lot less resource 'intense' than DFW or CLT,

KEF is apparently included in the JV with IAG/AY, therefore requires lie flat seats.

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by sagechan
Sat Aug 10, 2019 5:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: American Airlines Increases International Presence, Makes First Entrance Into Africa
Replies: 508
Views: 94612

Re: Updated: American Airlines Increases International Presence, Makes First Entrance Into Africa

Would anyone mind summarizing what "actual" was announced and why two parts? I cant read nine pages of arguing and would truly like to know New service PHL-CMN 3x weekly, seasonal 757 DFW-TLV 3x weekly, year round 789 ORD-KRK 5x weekly, seasonal 788 New routes ORD-PRG 5x weekly, seasonal ...

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by sagechan
Fri Aug 09, 2019 12:09 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: American Airlines Increases International Presence, Makes First Entrance Into Africa
Replies: 508
Views: 94612

Re: Updated: American Airlines Increases International Presence, Makes First Entrance Into Africa

I don’t think AA would drop their DFW-NRT flight. Although that being their only NRT route is also not good news, unless they are launching a flight from another hub. I'm honestly not sure what is going to be with NRT. I'm list 1 of the NRT flights cancelled (and moved to HND.) Whether AA keeps LAX...

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by sagechan
Thu Aug 08, 2019 11:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: American Airlines Increases International Presence, Makes First Entrance Into Africa
Replies: 508
Views: 94612

Re: Updated: American Airlines Increases International Presence, Makes First Entrance Into Africa

So for the second part/TPAC announcements, thoughts? My guesses for AA * is what I think will actually be announced LAX-MEL* very likely LAX-BNE possible, depends on if QF needs frames LAX-AKL*- return to year round or very short no-fly season LAX-CHC*- seasonal LAX-NRT - dropped LAX-PPT - seasonal...

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by sagechan
Thu Aug 08, 2019 11:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: American Airlines Increases International Presence, Makes First Entrance Into Africa
Replies: 508
Views: 94612

Re: Updated: American Airlines Increases International Presence, Makes First Entrance Into Africa

So for the second part/TPAC announcements, thoughts? My guesses for AA * is what I think will actually be announced LAX-MEL* very likely LAX-BNE possible, depends on if QF needs frames LAX-AKL*- return to year round or very short no-fly season LAX-CHC*- seasonal LAX-NRT - dropped LAX-PPT - seasonal ...

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by sagechan
Thu Aug 08, 2019 10:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Philadelphia Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 409
Views: 49859

Re: Philadelphia Aviation Thread - 2019

Reference the Points Guy. PHL-SBN is definitely coming It's just a matter of when. AA's handling contractor at SBN was informed last October that it will happen within the next 18 months. With UA abandoning their regional jet flying at EWR and the SBN-EWR flights going seasonal I can see this happe...

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by sagechan
Wed Aug 07, 2019 6:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: American Airlines Increases International Presence, Makes First Entrance Into Africa
Replies: 508
Views: 94612

Re: Rumor: American to make huge announcement

Why does HEL keep coming up. I don’t think AA has made any hint that they want to serve HEL for whatever connection opportunities AY can provide. HEL seems to be a 321XLR route to me. I dont get DFW, but PHL to HEL would open up pretty good connections to SE Asia from east coast. AY being a JV part...

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by sagechan
Wed Aug 07, 2019 2:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: American Airlines Increases International Presence, Makes First Entrance Into Africa
Replies: 508
Views: 94612

Re: Rumor: American to make huge announcement

Announcement will be made on Thursday .New international routes covering Europe ,Asia ,and Oceana.. And considering how AA's widebody fleet really isn't going to grow anytime soon, it will also likely include a number of cuts as well (although they'll either not be included with this announcement o...

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by sagechan
Sat Aug 03, 2019 12:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Eagle's Future Discussion Thread
Replies: 542
Views: 110011

Re: American Eagle's Future Discussion Thread

Skywest is doing some CR2 flying that doesn't seem to be in the fleet guidance. Is it all at-risk flying that 00 is choosing to do?

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by sagechan
Fri Aug 02, 2019 6:23 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Qantas BNE-LAX-JFK flight question
Replies: 7
Views: 1175

Re: Qantas BNE-LAX-JFK flight question

Have to clear customs in LAX, then reboard.

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by sagechan
Thu Jul 25, 2019 12:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AAL posts solid Q2 results despite 737 Max grounding
Replies: 66
Views: 6940

Re: AAL posts solid Q2 results despite 737 Max grounding

Solid? In Net Income it's less than WN made - on twice the revenue. Compare margins to carriers that have already released 2Q earnings: DL, UA, B6, WN. They beat EPS estimates and had decent YoY increases despite MAX and mechanics issues. Solid is not wrong on internal comparisons. That said, they ...

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by sagechan
Sun Jul 14, 2019 8:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: More US-Brazil flights?
Replies: 87
Views: 9488

Re: More US-Brazil flights?

Brazil fares are expensive due to the north-south flying, which reduces aircraft utilization. With few exceptions, it’s a red eye going each way, requiring the aircraft to sit at the outstation for the whole day not being utilized. Why does north-south flying reduce utilization? No or little time z...

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by sagechan
Sun Jul 07, 2019 9:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA BLQ asymmetric loads
Replies: 30
Views: 6747

Re: AA BLQ asymmetric loads

It’s been noted that there’s a ton of J award space... not good... Wouldn’t be surprised if they try something like Naples next year instead. Just checked, based on seat maps, many routes aren't doing so well from hub to another city. Tonight's (July 7th) last flight on DFW-LHR is only about 45% fu...

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by sagechan
Sun Jul 07, 2019 5:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA BLQ asymmetric loads
Replies: 30
Views: 6747

Re: AA BLQ asymmetric loads

Was looking at loads on AA's new BLQ flight and it seems to be very asymmetric. Flights from PHL-BLQ apparently aren't doing so well, but flights from BLQ-PHL are close to full. I assume this may be a case of people starting their trip elsewhere and finding BLQ a good place to return home from. Any...

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by sagechan
Sun Jul 07, 2019 5:09 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA BLQ asymmetric loads
Replies: 30
Views: 6747

Re: AA BLQ asymmetric loads

This route is doing horribly, as is Berlin. I don’t think it will return. Dubrovnik, however, is over performing. Yeah, BLQ doesn't look good at all, fares seem low too. TXL seems to be underperforming though not nearly as bad as BLQ. But less total performance, I find the massive difference in loa...

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by sagechan
Sun Jul 07, 2019 4:44 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA BLQ asymmetric loads
Replies: 30
Views: 6747

AA BLQ asymmetric loads

Was looking at loads on AA's new BLQ flight and it seems to be very asymmetric. Flights from PHL-BLQ apparently aren't doing so well, but flights from BLQ-PHL are close to full. I assume this may be a case of people starting their trip elsewhere and finding BLQ a good place to return home from. Any ...

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by sagechan
Fri Jun 28, 2019 10:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UPDATED: AA drops ORD-PEK/PVG, reduces NRT
Replies: 685
Views: 113838

Re: UPDATED: AA drops ORD-PEK/PVG, reduces NRT

Given the restrictions does AA have to return the slots to apply for a completely different pair? (I'm assuming they just don't want any more Sino-US loses for now though)

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by sagechan
Fri Jun 28, 2019 12:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Adds JFK-MBJ/SJO/LIR, PHX-CID/ICT/MSY + Caribbean Extensions/Increases
Replies: 73
Views: 9115

Re: AA Adds JFK-MBJ/SJO/LIR, PHX-CID/ICT/MSY + Caribbean Extensions/Increases

JFK will get more Europe too. Probably ATH and a second Paris. They just cut the second CDG. Being all 777 to Europe now may be too much capacity for them. AA has been gradually shrinking at JFK for years. they made a huge mistake this June by essentially removing themselves from the Transcon marke...

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by sagechan
Tue Jun 25, 2019 12:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Virgin Atlantic demands 150 slots at expanded Heathrow airport
Replies: 136
Views: 19444

Re: Virgin Atlantic demands 150 slots at expanded Heathrow airport

Auction! Airlines should just put up the money for limited slots.

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by sagechan
Sat Jun 22, 2019 3:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Question about Piedmont/AA employee Flight Benefits
Replies: 7
Views: 670

Re: Question about Piedmont/AA employee Flight Benefits

I've been with Piedmont for 14 years (it's a second job for me.) It has its problems, but definitely not the worst regional out there. In CLT PGH handles about 350 departures a day so can be hectic. Pay attention to the dependability policy, learn the contract and talk to your stewards as you can if...

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by sagechan
Sat Jun 22, 2019 3:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Question about Piedmont/AA employee Flight Benefits
Replies: 7
Views: 670

Re: Question about Piedmont/AA employee Flight Benefits

1)Same benefits and same priority as mainline/PSA/envoy 2) spouse/children/parents/registered companion if not married or spouse also works 3) guest pass are 12 max have to leave on for 1 year, above pass are unlimited to those groups except reg companion has to be on for 12 months before changing 4...

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by sagechan
Thu Jun 20, 2019 12:14 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: AA agrees to order 50 Airbus A321XLR's
Replies: 325
Views: 53155

Re: Updated: AA agrees to order 50 Airbus A321XLR's

Given AA's route structure what could be some interesting, possible, but out of left field routes for the XLR?

I'd go with LAX-PPT. Likely to see the plane do some Transcons so could easily route it down and back.

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by sagechan
Wed Jun 19, 2019 9:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: AA agrees to order 50 Airbus A321XLR's
Replies: 325
Views: 53155

Re: Updated: AA agrees to order 50 Airbus A321XLR's

BestWestern wrote:
I really do see the 321XLR as a hub bypass.

Berlin - New York
Urumqi - Madrid
Dublin - Lagos
Beirut - Bangkok


For a LLC/ULLC that adds it to a 320fleet it very well could be. For Legacies it's a hub to medium-long & thin plane

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by sagechan
Wed Jun 19, 2019 8:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: AA agrees to order 50 Airbus A321XLR's
Replies: 325
Views: 53155

Re: Updated: AA agrees to order 50 Airbus A321XLR's

I hope the A321XLR is utilized for the thin MIA-South America routes that recently got 737MAX'ed...it sounds like a much better plane for these routes. Adam Thusfar, there's been no mention on anyone's part of MIA being one of the bases. My intel was JFK/PHL bases, and then today the -possibility- ...

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by sagechan
Wed Jun 19, 2019 4:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: AA agrees to order 50 Airbus A321XLR's
Replies: 325
Views: 53155

Re: Updated: AA agrees to order 50 Airbus A321XLR's

This replaces their aging fleet of 757-200s, the exact aircraft we expected to be replaced by an A321XLR, and the exact part of the market that Boeing was willing to give up when looking at the NMA. Not a surprise here at all. Well, I must confess to be surprised at your lack of surprise! If this A...

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by sagechan
Wed Jun 19, 2019 3:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: AA agrees to order 50 Airbus A321XLR's
Replies: 325
Views: 53155

Re: RUMOR: American to order A321LR

CNBC reporting AA will order 50 XLRs (converting some existing outstanding orders). No surprise here and it makes sense. The 321XLR is ideally suited for West Coast (and maybe DFW/ORD to Hawaii, East Coast TATL to secondary markets, and with it, AA might just be able to rebuild some JFK TATL market...

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by sagechan
Wed Jun 19, 2019 2:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: AA agrees to order 50 Airbus A321XLR's
Replies: 325
Views: 53155

Re: Updated: American ordered A321xLR

Any configuration speculation? JonNYC was also hinting at all-aisle access J cabin. I'm really curious if it gets a PE cabin as well. Not sure exactly how the floor area works out, but would like to see something like 10J/12W/24Y+/~130Y American's international PE seat is the same as domestic F, so...

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by sagechan
Wed Jun 19, 2019 2:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: AA agrees to order 50 Airbus A321XLR's
Replies: 325
Views: 53155

Re: Updated: American ordered A321xLR

gatibosgru wrote:
Any configuration speculation?


JonNYC was also hinting at all-aisle access J cabin. I'm really curious if it gets a PE cabin as well. Not sure exactly how the floor area works out, but would like to see something like 10J/12W/24Y+/~130Y

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by sagechan
Fri Jun 14, 2019 3:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Philadelphia Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 409
Views: 49859

Re: Philadelphia Aviation Thread - 2019

No new runways, certainly no new terminals anytime soon. Are all three hardstands used in the afternoon? Buses are not that bad having done it in other countries. The airport would need continue growth for a new terminal.I would think around 35 million passengers a year would make the case for expa...

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by sagechan
Wed Jun 12, 2019 3:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DFW-KEF on AA for 2020
Replies: 19
Views: 3059

Re: DFW-KEF on AA for 2020

With the retirements of the 757 fleet and decreased competition/demand, any chance this could be moved to one of the east coast hubs and flown by an A321neo? PHL seems most obvious, but I suppose JFK, ORD, and CLT are options also. The 75Ls (the international config 757) do not have a retirement da...

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by sagechan
Sat Jun 08, 2019 4:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumour: AA Making Asia Route Adjustments
Replies: 75
Views: 12730

Re: Rumour: AA Making Asia Route Adjustments

My bet would be either in TPAC development on US East coast hubs of AA or expansion into new destinations (not for AA only)... maybe Delhi/Brisbane? Or maybe expanding capacity in China? Or try to mess with the Southeast Asian market? That’s really worth investigating. I'm going to assume your talk...

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by sagechan
Sat Jun 08, 2019 3:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: AA agrees to order 50 Airbus A321XLR's
Replies: 325
Views: 53155

Re: RUMOR: American to order A321LR

sagechan wrote:
sagechan wrote:
rj1385 wrote:

Was just surprised actually that AA or Finnair do not have a flight to connect to Helsinki.


And if the XLR has the top end of it's rumored range it could be a good fit to launch it (also other Nordic region routes)

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by sagechan
Sat Jun 08, 2019 3:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: AA agrees to order 50 Airbus A321XLR's
Replies: 325
Views: 53155

Re: RUMOR: American to order A321LR

AA flies to, I believe 21 destinations in Europe now, with 20 from PHL. LHR and MAD are the only true OW partner hubs, though BCN and DUB could be considered. Was just surprised actually that AA or Finnair do not have a flight to connect to Helsinki. And if the XLR has the top end of it's rumored r...

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by sagechan
Fri Jun 07, 2019 10:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: AA agrees to order 50 Airbus A321XLR's
Replies: 325
Views: 53155

Re: RUMOR: American to order A321LR

airzona11 wrote:
VS11 wrote:
airzona11 wrote:


2- What JV routes are AA flying that don't touch a hub?


AA flies to, I believe 21 destinations in Europe now, with 20 from PHL. LHR and MAD are the only true OW partner hubs, though BCN and DUB could be considered.

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by sagechan
Fri Jun 07, 2019 9:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: AA agrees to order 50 Airbus A321XLR's
Replies: 325
Views: 53155

Re: RUMOR: American to order A321LR

American will be insane not to order the LR/XLR. One could argue that their BA TATL JV may become obsolete at some point. Why share revenue with BA when they can deploy efficient aircraft to many European destinations from Boston, Philly and NYC? This keeps being repeated as it the A321XLR is a mir...

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