Search found 2405 matches

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by VV
Wed May 04, 2022 6:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus to increase A320 production to 75 aircraft a month
Replies: 60
Views: 12675

Re: Airbus to increase A320 production to 75 aircraft a month

When rumors become reality: Airbus will increase production of its A320 family to 75 aircraft per month: “These Q1 results reflect a solid performance across our commercial aircraft, helicopter and defence businesses. Our 2022 guidance is unchanged, even though the risk profile for the rest of the ...

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by VV
Tue May 03, 2022 8:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign Thread - 2022
Replies: 160
Views: 35289

Re: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign Thread - 2022

I think its tongue in cheek because so many here seem to want him to cancel (and frankly the 777X to fail). I do not think many of us want him to cancel. The truth is that EK's CEO has repeatedly said he might cancel the order if the 777X is delayed. His statements do not reflect his actions. I sur...

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by VV
Tue May 03, 2022 8:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign Thread - 2022
Replies: 160
Views: 35289

Re: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign Thread - 2022

Bad news for you guys, "Clark is sticking with the 777x" https://www.seattletimes.com/business/boeing-aerospace/boeing-writes-off-1-2b-and-delays-777x-another-year-adding-1-5b-more-in-future-costs/?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=article_inset_1.1 Why would it be...

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by VV
Tue May 03, 2022 12:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign Thread - 2022
Replies: 160
Views: 35289

Re: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign Thread - 2022

.... If Tim wasn't bluffing, then it might spell the end for the 777-programm. He should be more coherent and just cancel his 777x orders. He can then order a lot of A350-1000. Really? It does sound like EK claims to want both (a) price concessions to take 5 year old aircraft and (b) compensation f...

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by VV
Tue May 03, 2022 4:09 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign Thread - 2022
Replies: 160
Views: 35289

Re: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign Thread - 2022

Dutchy wrote:
....
If Tim wasn't bluffing, then it might spell the end for the 777-programm.


He should be more coherent and just cancel his 777x orders.

He can then order a lot of A350-1000.

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by VV
Mon May 02, 2022 8:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Are the Pratt & Whitney GTF reliability issues fixed now?
Replies: 57
Views: 18110

Re: Are the Pratt & Whitney GTF reliability issues fixed now?

The main issue with the GTF is not reliability, it is longevity. These two issues seem to be getting intermixed in this thread. The dispatch and in-service reliability has improved dramatically as bugs get addressed. The time-on-wing has only improved marginally. So is the issue premature wear of c...

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by VV
Mon May 02, 2022 3:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas/Airbus to launch Project Sunrise and firm narrowbody order tomorrow (2 May 22)
Replies: 369
Views: 85797

Re: Qantas/Airbus to launch Project Sunrise and firm narrowbody order tomorrow (2 May 22)

Can Airbus tweak the MTOW up a few tons by trading against maintenance tasks set by cycles? These frames will by definition fly low numbers of cycles You are right. These aircraft will fly at most 360 flights per year. Normally the engine wear and tear will also be modest considering the fact those...

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by VV
Sun May 01, 2022 7:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas/Airbus to launch Project Sunrise and firm narrowbody order tomorrow (2 May 22)
Replies: 369
Views: 85797

Re: Qantas/Airbus to launch Project Sunrise and firm narrowbody order tomorrow (2 May 22)

Airbus’s standard marketing “ULR configuration” referenced in the Airbus infographic is 80J/93Y for a total of 173 seats. For comparison the standard Airbus marketing A359 configuration is 315 seats (48J/267Y). Is that the A350-1000 that would be operated by Qantas for Project Sunrise? No. That is ...

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by VV
Sun May 01, 2022 4:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas/Airbus to launch Project Sunrise and firm narrowbody order tomorrow (2 May 22)
Replies: 369
Views: 85797

Re: Qantas/Airbus to launch Project Sunrise and firm narrowbody order tomorrow (2 May 22)

from https://www.airbus.com/sites/g/files/jlcbta136/files/2021-10/Infographic-A350-Family.pdf "True long range leader flying up to 9,700nm***" "***ULR configuration" Can somebody please tell us what the exact configuration is for the ULR? Thank you. Airbus’s standard marketing “...

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by VV
Sun May 01, 2022 2:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign Thread - 2022
Replies: 160
Views: 35289

Re: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign Thread - 2022

Don't think it is mentioned anywhere on A.net or news reports, but Boeing further removed 29 777Xs from the firm order backlog & moved them into the ASC 606 bucket, making the firm order 224 at end-Mar 22 instead of 253 at end-2021. This compares to the 334 777Xs on contract. P.40 "Account...

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by VV
Sun May 01, 2022 1:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas/Airbus to launch Project Sunrise and firm narrowbody order tomorrow (2 May 22)
Replies: 369
Views: 85797

Re: Qantas/Airbus to launch Project Sunrise and firm narrowbody order tomorrow (2 May 22)

Has Airbus even confirmed that there'll be such an aircraft? from https://www.airbus.com/sites/g/files/jlcbta136/files/2021-10/Infographic-A350-Family.pdf "True long range leader flying up to 9,700nm***" "***ULR configuration" Can somebody please tell us what the exact configura...

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by VV
Fri Apr 29, 2022 7:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Are the Pratt & Whitney GTF reliability issues fixed now?
Replies: 57
Views: 18110

Re: Are the Pratt & Whitney GTF reliability issues fixed now?

We do not know (well, most of you) the level of engine change on the PW1500G or on PW1100G-JM.

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by VV
Thu Apr 28, 2022 12:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign Thread - 2022
Replies: 160
Views: 35289

Re: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign Thread - 2022

I do think it is dangerous to assume that the ME3, and particularly EK, are wedded to having the largest WB available. The world is potentially heading for the biggest economic shock in decades, on the back of the Russian situation, with a possibly prolonged global recession, with air travel doing ...

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by VV
Wed Apr 27, 2022 12:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign Thread - 2022
Replies: 160
Views: 35289

Re: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign Thread - 2022

The current thinking seems to be that the A380 was too big for most carriers and that most routes are better served by frequency rather than capacity. If that continues to be the case, will there really be a market for a plane of greater capacity than the 777W? And if not, might not the A350-1000 (...

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by VV
Sun Apr 24, 2022 5:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign Thread - 2022
Replies: 160
Views: 35289

Re: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign Thread - 2022

You are implying more than two engines due to GTF sizing limitation??? :spin: :spin: :spin: :spin: Nope. I am saying that geared turbofan for long-haul widebody aircraft would not yield in good enough fuel efficiency improvement at overall aircraft level to justify a development. In addition, the m...

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by VV
Sun Apr 24, 2022 5:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign Thread - 2022
Replies: 160
Views: 35289

Re: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign Thread - 2022

... Basically I am saying that a geared turbofan is probably not a thing for such a big engine. No, I sincerely do not believe in geared turbofan for application in long-haul widebody aircraft. You do not need to believe what I said. You are implying more than two engines due to GTF sizing limitati...

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by VV
Sun Apr 24, 2022 4:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign Thread - 2022
Replies: 160
Views: 35289

Re: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign Thread - 2022

I am wondering if the combined 777-9, 77-8 and 77-8F total deliveries would exceed 1,000 units during the first 20 years after EIS or even earlier. I would say easily 700 777-9 and 300 777-8X in the first 20 years after deliveries begin is a reasonable target that will be achieved. Airports will be...

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by VV
Sun Apr 24, 2022 12:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign Thread - 2022
Replies: 160
Views: 35289

Re: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign Thread - 2022

The following is my opinion about the 777-8. The initial specification of the 777-8 looks like a payload hauler for medium-range routes. I mean it would be good to carry a lot of passengers and cargo (the proportion is up to the airline) on routes up to 5,000 nmi. As such, it could go very long dist...

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by VV
Sun Apr 24, 2022 12:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign Thread - 2022
Replies: 160
Views: 35289

Re: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign Thread - 2022

... I think it is now likely that the A350neo (ultrafan) will be launched before 777X service entry. The lifespan of the 777X program will be shorter than most here anticipates. My guess is that the 777X will have an even smaller share of the long-haul widebody market than the A380 had. When the 77...

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by VV
Sun Apr 24, 2022 10:19 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign Thread - 2022
Replies: 160
Views: 35289

Re: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign Thread - 2022

... I think it is now likely that the A350neo (ultrafan) will be launched before 777X service entry. The lifespan of the 777X program will be shorter than most here anticipates. My guess is that the 777X will have an even smaller share of the long-haul widebody market than the A380 had. When the 77...

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by VV
Sun Apr 24, 2022 9:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign Thread - 2022
Replies: 160
Views: 35289

Re: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign Thread - 2022

Potential 777X customers: 777-9: United - 22 American- 20 Qantas - 12 KLM - 16 EVA Air - 16 Air China - 20 China Eastern - 20 China Southern - 20 Korean Air - 20 Air Canada - 12 Air India - 16 Turkish Airlines - 12 Ethiopian Airlines - 10 Saudia - 12 Egyptair - 6 Bambo Airways - 12 Thai Airways - 1...

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by VV
Sat Apr 23, 2022 2:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign Thread - 2022
Replies: 160
Views: 35289

Re: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign Thread - 2022

I am wondering if the combined 777-9, 77-8 and 77-8F total deliveries would exceed 1,000 units during the first 20 years after EIS or even earlier.

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by VV
Sat Apr 23, 2022 12:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign Thread - 2022
Replies: 160
Views: 35289

Re: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign Thread - 2022

Will be interesting to see what EK does now with the reported EIS of 2025? A few weeks ago STC was saying that if the 777X was delayed longer than 2024, he'd be looking to cancel. Perhaps he should cancel half of the order to demonstrate he's not bluffing. He needs to be a little bit more credible.

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by VV
Fri Apr 22, 2022 4:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign Thread - 2022
Replies: 160
Views: 35289

Re: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign Thread - 2022

Do you think Air France will order the 777-9? Yes, but not as 1 to 1 replacements. They have 43 77Ws, but I'd expect the A350 to cover a lot of that. Maybe 20-25? I dont think so, they said the 350 will be their largest aircraft going forward and range is no problem. So if they keep their strategy ...

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by VV
Fri Apr 22, 2022 3:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign Thread - 2022
Replies: 160
Views: 35289

Re: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign Thread - 2022

Is there a possibility Ethiopian would order the passenger version of the 777X?

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by VV
Fri Apr 22, 2022 2:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign Thread - 2022
Replies: 160
Views: 35289

Re: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign Thread - 2022

Do you think Air France will order the 777-9?

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by VV
Wed Apr 13, 2022 12:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Aircraft Certification Problems
Replies: 25
Views: 3662

Re: Aircraft Certification Problems

Do you think all potential derivative aircraft would be impacted? I was thinking about the A220-500 that has been lengthily discussed here in airliners.net. The aircraft version is the one that could become a very huge success. Do you think the certification would be an issue in light of the discus...

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by VV
Tue Apr 12, 2022 4:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Aircraft Certification Problems
Replies: 25
Views: 3662

Re: Aircraft Certification Problems

Do you think all potential derivative aircraft would be impacted?

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by VV
Fri Apr 08, 2022 6:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Boeing 2022 orders
Replies: 338
Views: 118116

Re: Airbus and Boeing 2022 orders

I see in the "Worldwide" tab the total order for A350-1000 is at 154 units. I remember on 28 Feb it was 162. There was one recent cancelation in Qatar's orders, but the difference between Feb and March is larger. Have there been converted A350-1000 orders? What are the changes? Thank you.

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by VV
Fri Apr 08, 2022 8:58 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why hasn't the A330NEO been nearly as successful as the A330ceo?
Replies: 200
Views: 46780

Re: Why hasn't the A330NEO been nearly as successful as the A330ceo?

We talked a lot about the competition from young second hand A330 ceo. Should we also think there is some level of threat posed by relatively young second hand 787? After all the first 787 entered into service in 2011. The GEnx, Trent1000 and Trent7000 are more or less of the same generation. I know...

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by VV
Fri Apr 08, 2022 8:53 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why hasn't the A330NEO been nearly as successful as the A330ceo?
Replies: 200
Views: 46780

Re: Why hasn't the A330NEO been nearly as successful as the A330ceo?

JerseyFlyer wrote:
Delta was pushing Airbus to develop the 330neo when it knew the other options available


It is very good for Delta Airbus was willing to listen to their recommendation.

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by VV
Thu Apr 07, 2022 6:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why hasn't the A330NEO been nearly as successful as the A330ceo?
Replies: 200
Views: 46780

Re: Why hasn't the A330NEO been nearly as successful as the A330ceo?

tvh wrote:
a A330NEO can take more payload on many trips because it burns less fuel and therefor has to carry less fuel.


The maximum revenue payload plus the loading devices' weight is not related to fuel burn.

It has something to do with the maximum zero fuel weight and the empty weight.

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by VV
Thu Apr 07, 2022 1:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why hasn't the A330NEO been nearly as successful as the A330ceo?
Replies: 200
Views: 46780

Re: Why hasn't the A330NEO been nearly as successful as the A330ceo?

I dont think your comparison does work as the moment 339 will be converted to 339F the feedstock for 333F conversions is already dried up. So what will happen is that at one point the 339F will replace the 333F and not compete against it. We are a looonnng way away from A333 feedstock being dried u...

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by VV
Thu Apr 07, 2022 1:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why hasn't the A330NEO been nearly as successful as the A330ceo?
Replies: 200
Views: 46780

Re: Why hasn't the A330NEO been nearly as successful as the A330ceo?

I think that eventually a A339F will be a reality and taking into account the available and compatible options for cargo doors, floors, cargo systems etc it's just a matter of having the market interest on it. Did you evaluate the empty weight? Even a converted A330-300 would be better as freighter...

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by VV
Thu Apr 07, 2022 12:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why hasn't the A330NEO been nearly as successful as the A330ceo?
Replies: 200
Views: 46780

Re: Why hasn't the A330NEO been nearly as successful as the A330ceo?

It seems there is future is opportunity for the A330NEO, in the form of -800F/900Ffreighters and an MRTT NEO. https://leehamnews.com/2022/04/07/an-a330neo-freighter-should-it-happen/ I think that eventually a A339F will be a reality and taking into account the available and compatible options for c...

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by VV
Thu Apr 07, 2022 9:18 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why hasn't the A330NEO been nearly as successful as the A330ceo?
Replies: 200
Views: 46780

Re: Why hasn't the A330NEO been nearly as successful as the A330ceo?

I was reading again my above comment and the excerpts of Hawaiian's CEO statement. His statement (in the highlighted parts) seems to underline the real reason why the A330neo is not as popular as it older sibling the A330 ceo. It is about the A330neo's future value . Time to time people call it the ...

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by VV
Wed Apr 06, 2022 11:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 Production/Delivery Thread - 2022
Replies: 372
Views: 130442

Re: Airbus A220 Production/Delivery Thread - 2022

Certified seat count increased to 149 per Air Baltic. "airBaltic Airbus A220-300 Seat Count Increased up to 149" https://newsroom.aviator.aero/airbaltic-airbus-a220-300-seat-count-increased-up-to-149/ According to the Type Certificate Data Sheet, the maximum capacity of 149 seats needs so...

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by VV
Wed Apr 06, 2022 11:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why hasn't the A330NEO been nearly as successful as the A330ceo?
Replies: 200
Views: 46780

Re: Why hasn't the A330NEO been nearly as successful as the A330ceo?

... The A330ceo was (and still is) a very good aircraft. The A330neo is even better, but as previously mentioned the A330-900 is somehow too close to the A350-900. Many airlines would choose the A330-900 over the A350 if the commercial terms are correct because the A330-900 can do more than 90% of ...

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by VV
Wed Apr 06, 2022 11:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why hasn't the A330NEO been nearly as successful as the A330ceo?
Replies: 200
Views: 46780

Re: Why hasn't the A330NEO been nearly as successful as the A330ceo?

Airbus are no fools. They now they should be able to offer the A330-900 priced just under the 787-9. This is after all the discounts both Airbus and Boeing give. Those discounts make it difficult to see what is really being offered and Airbus and Boeing do that on purpose. it is the poker game they...

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by VV
Wed Apr 06, 2022 10:37 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why hasn't the A330NEO been nearly as successful as the A330ceo?
Replies: 200
Views: 46780

Re: Why hasn't the A330NEO been nearly as successful as the A330ceo?

Perhaps it is exactly why the A330-900 does not sell well. It's pricing may be too high compared to the A350-900 or the 787-9. However, lowering A330-900 pricing means destroying A350-900 business. Airbus are no fools. They now they should be able to offer the A330-900 priced just under the 787-9. ...

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by VV
Wed Apr 06, 2022 10:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why hasn't the A330NEO been nearly as successful as the A330ceo?
Replies: 200
Views: 46780

Re: Why hasn't the A330NEO been nearly as successful as the A330ceo?

I have been reading predictions of the early demise of the A330neo on this site since it was launched by Airbus 8 years ago. Today it is flying successfully for a number of operators and still selling - with essentially no "new tech" risk, except for the engine which seems to be holding u...

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by VV
Wed Apr 06, 2022 7:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why hasn't the A330NEO been nearly as successful as the A330ceo?
Replies: 200
Views: 46780

Re: Why hasn't the A330NEO been nearly as successful as the A330ceo?

Let us see it this way. The A330neo as an aircraft is just fine. However, the specification of the A330-900 is relatively close to the A350-900. Airbus has to choose between selling more A330-900, but then sells fewer A350-900 or to sell more A350-900 but reducing A330-900 sales. That's an interesti...

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by VV
Wed Apr 06, 2022 3:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why hasn't the A330NEO been nearly as successful as the A330ceo?
Replies: 200
Views: 46780

Re: Why hasn't the A330NEO been nearly as successful as the A330ceo?

Most A330ceos are only mid-life, don’t need replacing for a decade yet. And they’re really good aeroplanes. The 777X sold less than 300 even before Covid, for the same reason — the 777-300ER is a very capable and efficient bird and many of them are still quite young. It doesn't explain why one thou...

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by VV
Tue Apr 05, 2022 10:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why hasn't the A330NEO been nearly as successful as the A330ceo?
Replies: 200
Views: 46780

Re: Why hasn't the A330NEO been nearly as successful as the A330ceo?

Perhaps it is exactly why the A330-900 does not sell well.
It's pricing may be too high compared to the A350-900 or the 787-9.

However, lowering A330-900 pricing means destroying A350-900 business.

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by VV
Tue Apr 05, 2022 9:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why hasn't the A330NEO been nearly as successful as the A330ceo?
Replies: 200
Views: 46780

Re: Why hasn't the A330NEO been nearly as successful as the A330ceo?

The A330-900 is a good aircraft, but it is too close to the A350-900.
It is very likely Airbus puts the priority selling the latter

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by VV
Mon Apr 04, 2022 4:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A350 Production/Delivery Thread - 2022
Replies: 574
Views: 243250

Re: Airbus Weighs Further Delay in A350 Ramp-Up

It's unfortunate. They could have taken the opportunity to deliver more A350 while the 787 and the 777X are still having issues.

What the heck is going on?

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by VV
Wed Mar 30, 2022 6:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Breeze Airways - News and Discussion Thread - 2022
Replies: 1633
Views: 368793

Re: Breeze Airways - News and Discussion Thread - 2022

When is Breeze going to fly revenue flight with the A220-300? Thanks.

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by VV
Mon Sep 20, 2021 3:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future of the A319NEO in Airbus portfolio
Replies: 154
Views: 24282

Re: Future of the A319NEO in Airbus portfolio

... You obviously believe Airbus made a mistake with the A319neo , you've made it clear in this thread. It seems a lot of posters (including myself) are not in agreement with you. What are you trying to do? Convinced those who don't agree with you? Or trying to find excuses to convince yourself you...

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by VV
Mon Sep 20, 2021 12:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Future of the A319NEO in Airbus portfolio
Replies: 154
Views: 24282

Re: Airbus having to sell A220-300s & A319s - 1970s Fokker/VFW dilemma revisited?

This was a “plausibly deniable” acquisition of a competitive threat, so the threat could be controlled, starved, and made to linger for a few years, without harming Airbus A320 revenue (which is the backbone of the company.) I wish that Airbus were motivated to make the A220 a success. They can als...

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