Search found 614 matches

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by ucdtim17
Sat Aug 01, 2020 2:57 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Long Beach (LGB) increasing number of air carrier slots
Replies: 426
Views: 54789

Re: Long Beach (LGB) increasing number of air carrier slots

AS made it clear in an internal employee publication, they have zero interest in LGB. Crap yields. They won’t be looking for any slots. I don’t doubt it but obviously that is based on a market dynamic where B6 is there. Take them away and it’s certainly possible things change. LGB is a much larger ...

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by ucdtim17
Fri Jul 24, 2020 7:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue potential at SFO
Replies: 72
Views: 11469

Re: JetBlue potential at SFO

How many unrefurbished A320s does B6 still have flying? Those certainly don't have an entertainment advantage over AS planes.

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by ucdtim17
Sun Jul 12, 2020 1:11 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Why can't AA make OAK work
Replies: 13
Views: 2134

Re: Why can't AA make OAK work

AA dropped OAK service June 3, and specifically cited the pandemic. They had cited the Max grounding when suspending OAK-DFW last year. Without those two crises I expect they would have stayed, but here we are. OAK continues to undershoot its local market fundamentals more than any other airport in ...

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by ucdtim17
Mon Jul 06, 2020 2:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 7/5/2020:LongHaul Carnage;AA Cuts Intl 2021;AS Adds in RDM;DL Out MEX-MSP,DTW-SJU,JFK-KIN;CUN Loses Routes
Replies: 59
Views: 12935

Re: OAG Changes 7/5/2020:LongHaul Carnage;AA Cuts Intl 2021;AS Adds in RDM;DL Out MEX-MSP,DTW-SJU,JFK-KIN;CUN Loses Rout

AS LAX-RDM MAR 1.0>2[1.0] APR 1.0>2[1.0] MAY 1.0>2[1.0] AS RDM-SFO MAR 1.0>2[0.4] APR 1.0>2[1.0] MAY 1.0>2[0.9] **AS RDM-SJC MAR 0>1.0[0] APR 0>1.0[0] MAY 0>1.0[0] Three new flights is a lot of extra lift for an airport the size of RDM! Is there tech in RDM? Are you thinking Redmond, WA - Microsoft...

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by ucdtim17
Tue Jun 09, 2020 3:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Sacramento (SMF) Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 181
Views: 17820

Re: Sacramento (SMF) Aviation Thread - 2020

Not to get into too much of a back and forth, but my point isn't that everyone in the metro only flys WN, but rather that WN enjoys a very high, nearly insurmountable brand loyalty there. It makes sense given their large market share and near-constant growth. Of course every airline enjoys frequent...

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by ucdtim17
Tue Jun 02, 2020 11:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Network Thread - 2020
Replies: 1203
Views: 201514

Re: American Airlines Network Thread - 2020

I know OAK-DFW ended last year, but when did OAK-LAX end? I swore they did this as well. Sad to see the station close, but I would be wiling to bet that AA will be back eventually in a better economy. I'd be willing to bet loads were fine, but yields were terrible and AA simply couldn't compete aga...

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by ucdtim17
Tue Jun 02, 2020 8:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Network Thread - 2020
Replies: 1203
Views: 201514

Re: American Airlines Network Thread - 2020

AA is operating 1x daily PHX-OAK right now vs 3-4x daily before coronavirus. It was going to be suspended until the middle of August starting June 3. Now it is not resuming. Virtually every market for AA is well below capacity levels operating 3 months ago. Financial performance of routes is varyin...

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by ucdtim17
Sun May 31, 2020 7:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 5/31/2020: JUNE GLOOM; WN Makes Move for ATL;AA Exits OAK-PHX,PHL-YOW;DL Exits YOW-DTW/LGA;FI Exits PHL/PDX
Replies: 86
Views: 13949

Re: OAG Changes 5/31/2020: JUNE GLOOM; WN Makes Move for ATL;AA Exits OAK-PHX,PHL-YOW;DL Exits YOW-DTW/LGA;FI Exits PHL/

AA leaving OAK again. Not a shock given this new reality. Hopefully they’ll return next year when things are hopefully starting to get back to normal.

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by ucdtim17
Thu May 07, 2020 11:06 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Airports that can be accessed on foot vs airports that can only be accessed by car / train
Replies: 72
Views: 4465

Re: Airports that can be accessed on foot vs airports that can only be accessed by car / train

SNA should have better pedestrian access given how close everything is. It's Orange County though, so the expectation is everyone will take every trip in a car. Try to walk in or out of there and you'll quickly learn that the place was not designed with pedestrians in mind. OAK has good pedestrian a...

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by ucdtim17
Mon Mar 30, 2020 4:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA's PHX Hub in Jeopardy?
Replies: 198
Views: 27275

Re: AA's PHX Hub in Jeapordy?

I agree airlines are fighting for survival. They are not going to dehub anything or make drastic changes to hubs. PHX is safe. This is a little contradictory. If they're fighting for survival, everything is on the table, including hubs. If everything is hunky dory, as it was 3 months ago, PHX is sa...

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by ucdtim17
Mon Mar 30, 2020 2:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA's PHX Hub in Jeopardy?
Replies: 198
Views: 27275

Re: AA's PHX Hub in Jeapordy?

Main hubs for AA, DL, and UA are not going away. They may be seriously cutback for the time being, but once this crisis is passed us service will start to be restored. “Once the crisis is passed” could be a long time from now. All bets are off if we have 18-24 months of demand at 40-60% of what it ...

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by ucdtim17
Wed Mar 18, 2020 4:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II
Replies: 1993
Views: 336495

Re: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II

I am surprised the Australian government is allowing SFO-SYD and SFO-MEL to continue operating considering the level of the outbreak in San Francisco. The city of San Francisco under a lock down ordered by the mayor. Why Australia is still allowing flights from SFO is beyond me, if we suspend these...

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by ucdtim17
Sun Mar 01, 2020 7:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 3/1/2020:AA Moves IPT to CLT;DL Adds SEA-CMH/DFW;3M Adds CHS;Y4 Adds MLM-PDX/SEA/SMF
Replies: 66
Views: 12595

Re: OAG Changes 3/1/2020:AA Moves IPT to CLT;DL Adds SEA-CMH/DFW;3M Adds CHS;Y4 Adds MLM-PDX/SEA/SMF

enilria wrote:
AS OAK-PDX SEP 3>4[3] OCT 3>4[3]


The first service increase for AS at long-neglected OAK since the VX purchase, and maybe the first overall since Hawaii increases in 2012.

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by ucdtim17
Thu Feb 27, 2020 5:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is Alaska struggling at SFO?
Replies: 92
Views: 13232

Re: Is Alaska struggling at SFO?

I’m just hoping a full service carrier will decide to build SJC versus or as an alternative to driving to SFO. There are lots of people who drive to SFO but live, work or travel closer to SJC. Nothing against WN, I just prefer business class and reserved seating and so on. You already mostly have t...

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by ucdtim17
Wed Feb 26, 2020 10:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DY Financial Discussion - 2020
Replies: 584
Views: 146896

Re: DY about to go bust?

There are certainly people who are rooting for them to fail because of their labor practices

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by ucdtim17
Wed Feb 26, 2020 4:31 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: SFO or SJC
Replies: 16
Views: 564

Re: SFO or SJC

If you like riding slow trains, or walking with bags and waiting for trains, a LOT more than waiting in line at customs, it could conceivably make sense I guess, but it's definitely not going to save time compared to just dealing with customs at SFO and getting on BART

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by ucdtim17
Tue Feb 25, 2020 11:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is Alaska struggling at SFO?
Replies: 92
Views: 13232

Re: Is Alaska struggling at SFO?

It's really hard to tell, since they did buy VX for their SFO network, but at the same time they seem to be focusing more on OAK and SJC traffic. Although who knows, maybe with the arrival of OW they might even rival to a small extent United's network at SFO. They've done just about zero with their...

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by ucdtim17
Tue Feb 25, 2020 10:16 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: SFO or SJC
Replies: 16
Views: 564

Re: SFO or SJC

SFO to Oakland is easy on BART. SJC to Oakland is much more difficult as noted above.

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by ucdtim17
Tue Feb 25, 2020 10:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is Alaska struggling at SFO?
Replies: 92
Views: 13232

Re: Is Alaska struggling at SFO?

It's really hard to tell, since they did buy VX for their SFO network, but at the same time they seem to be focusing more on OAK and SJC traffic. Although who knows, maybe with the arrival of OW they might even rival to a small extent United's network at SFO. They've done just about zero with their...

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by ucdtim17
Fri Feb 21, 2020 7:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Hawaiian most punctual airline - recipe?
Replies: 52
Views: 5661

Re: Hawaiian most punctual airline - recipe?

A small piece, but they also more or less equally distribute flights between SFO/OAK/SJC, as opposed to concentrating at the delay-prone SFO like most airlines

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by ucdtim17
Thu Feb 20, 2020 7:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will there ever been a new greenfield major airport in the USA?
Replies: 144
Views: 14685

Re: Will there ever been a new greenfield major airport in the USA?

SFO/SJC/OAK as a group are not going to reach a meaningful limit in our lifetimes, so no, there won't be any new airport built to replace SFO. If we somehow reach that limit, we probably have bigger problems and shouldn't be building any new airports for carbon-spewing planes anyways.

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by ucdtim17
Wed Feb 12, 2020 3:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SFO landing Rwy 01R today
Replies: 59
Views: 9696

Re: SFO landing Rwy 01R today

timz wrote:
Has any aircraft landed on runways 10 in the last couple of years?


Jan 5, 2019 had arrivals and departures on the 10s

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by ucdtim17
Sun Feb 09, 2020 7:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SFO landing Rwy 01R today
Replies: 59
Views: 9696

Re: SFO landing Rwy 01R today

Diverts from OAK to SMF and SJC so far

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by ucdtim17
Wed Feb 05, 2020 1:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 2019 Airport Passenger Traffic Statistics
Replies: 65
Views: 8732

Re: 2019 Airport Passenger Traffic Statistics

SNA is not at 16.6 mil. Should that be 10.6?

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by ucdtim17
Sun Feb 02, 2020 6:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: San Francisco Bay Area Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 98
Views: 11052

Re: San Francisco Bay Area Aviation Thread - 2020

I take Bart from Pittsburg in the North east Bay Straight into the Terminal when I fly out and leave my car at the Pittsburg Bart station so I don't have to walk far to get to it when I get off the Bart Train. The Ride is a little less than an hour and it's easy as heck! BART Pittsburg to SFO is 1:...

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by ucdtim17
Sat Jan 18, 2020 4:58 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Jetblue trims LGB further
Replies: 306
Views: 40426

Re: Updated: Jetblue trims LGB further

A few more comments here. 1) I'm surprised not more people have addressed closing OAK here. To me, that's the even bigger story. Now, one of their earliest cities in west coast, their bay area station in the very beginning is gone. Not only does this show part of their move to the primary airport. ...

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by ucdtim17
Fri Jan 17, 2020 5:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: San Francisco Bay Area Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 98
Views: 11052

Re: San Francisco Bay Area Aviation Thread - 2020

I wonder what else OAK can do to attract carriers. It has so much potential to be a great secondary airport to SFO. Maybe they need to get serious about improving the passenger experience by overhauling the terminals. The new concessions and facelift about ten years ago helped, but Terminal 1 is es...

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by ucdtim17
Thu Jan 16, 2020 8:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: San Francisco Bay Area Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 98
Views: 11052

Re: San Francisco Bay Area Aviation Thread - 2020

Spirit is adding seasonal daily OAK-FLL Tragicomic for OAK that every recent addition seems to be counterbalanced by a larger reduction. One step forward, two steps back, while SFO and SJC are taking 2, 3, 4, steps forward and 0 steps back.[/quote Unfortunately the City of Oakland and it suburbs ha...

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by ucdtim17
Thu Jan 16, 2020 7:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: San Francisco Bay Area Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 98
Views: 11052

Re: San Francisco Bay Area Aviation Thread - 2020

ericm2031 wrote:
Spirit is adding seasonal daily OAK-FLL


Tragicomic for OAK that every recent addition seems to be counterbalanced by a larger reduction. One step forward, two steps back, while SFO and SJC are taking 2, 3, 4, steps forward and 0 steps back.

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by ucdtim17
Thu Jan 16, 2020 7:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Jetblue trims LGB further
Replies: 306
Views: 40426

Re: Jetblue senior leadership meeting at LGB

Leaving OAK entirely? They just announced increased frequency to BOS a few weeks ago.

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by ucdtim17
Thu Jan 16, 2020 5:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: San Francisco Bay Area Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 98
Views: 11052

Re: San Francisco Bay Area Aviation Thread - 2020

New route announcement at OAK today. Presumably not the UA return as that would be a bigger deal.

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by ucdtim17
Thu Jan 09, 2020 9:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Network Thread - 2020
Replies: 1080
Views: 166634

Re: JetBlue Network Thread - 2020

Tphuang, Do you think B6 would do a lot better on JFK-PHX and BOS-PHX if they had at least 2x daily, or otherwise had better timed flights? I’ve talked to a lot of people on AA flights from PHX-JFK who say they would rather fly on B6 but the times (primarily bc of the redeye) make it a nonstarter. ...

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by ucdtim17
Mon Jan 06, 2020 4:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: San Francisco Bay Area Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 98
Views: 11052

Re: San Francisco Bay Area Aviation Thread - 2020

BayAreaFlyer wrote:
In the eye of 2020, UA will be returning to OAK after a seven-year absence in the East Bay, resuming connections to DEN and IAD.

More developments out of OAK, a new Asian carrier will be announced this year.


IAD seems an odd add before ORD/EWR. DEN most likely. From SJC, it's DEN/ORD/IAH.

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by ucdtim17
Mon Dec 30, 2019 6:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska Airlines Network Thread - 2019
Replies: 203
Views: 27329

Re: Alaska Airlines Network Thread - 2019

Not sure if this is the right thread to talk about this on, and correct me if it isn't, but I will be on AS 2830 from PAE - SFO for New Years Eve. I have been looking at historical data for the past two weeks for AS 2830 and it is almost always delayed, if not diverted. I have NYE dinner reservatio...

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by ucdtim17
Mon Dec 30, 2019 4:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska Airlines Network Thread - 2019
Replies: 203
Views: 27329

Re: Alaska Airlines Network Thread - 2019

Not sure if this is the right thread to talk about this on, and correct me if it isn't, but I will be on AS 2830 from PAE - SFO for New Years Eve. I have been looking at historical data for the past two weeks for AS 2830 and it is almost always delayed, if not diverted. I have NYE dinner reservatio...

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by ucdtim17
Thu Dec 19, 2019 10:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian Air to Consolidate All Routes in the Bay Area to SFO
Replies: 54
Views: 7658

Re: Norwegian Air to Consolidate All Routes in the Bay Area to SFO

"Undeniable success for OAK"? On what planet? It would be interesting to hear them speak honestly about 1. What has changed this decade to drive all Bay Area growth to SFO (and a lesser extent SJC) and 2. What they are going to do to change this dynamic going forward, but it's not really ...

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by ucdtim17
Thu Dec 19, 2019 5:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian Air to Consolidate All Routes in the Bay Area to SFO
Replies: 54
Views: 7658

Re: Norwegian Air to Consolidate All Routes in the Bay Area to SFO

I flew Norwegian from CDG-OAK in July. We landed maybe 5 minutes before a Volaris flight from Leon. First, we had to wait for the entire Volaris flight to deplane since evidently two planes can't unload simultaneously at OAK? Then, there were 2 customs agents working the entire facility. It took al...

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by ucdtim17
Thu Dec 19, 2019 5:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian Air to Consolidate All Routes in the Bay Area to SFO
Replies: 54
Views: 7658

Re: Norwegian Air to Consolidate All Routes in the Bay Area to SFO

"Undeniable success for OAK"? On what planet? It would be interesting to hear them speak honestly about 1. What has changed this decade to drive all Bay Area growth to SFO (and a lesser extent SJC) and 2. What they are going to do to change this dynamic going forward, but it's not really ...

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by ucdtim17
Thu Dec 19, 2019 4:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian Air to Consolidate All Routes in the Bay Area to SFO
Replies: 54
Views: 7658

Re: Norwegian Air to Consolidate All Routes in the Bay Area to SFO

https://www.sfgate.com/travel/article/Norwegian-Air-abandons-Oakland-International-14905500.php This is the MARTY effect. Marty St George is aligning DY-B6. They are moving to B6 cities that will give DY more connectivity on paper. B6 gets benefit of all this. DY will fly to FLL/JFK/MCO/BOS/SFO. Th...

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by ucdtim17
Tue Dec 17, 2019 4:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian Air to Consolidate All Routes in the Bay Area to SFO
Replies: 54
Views: 7658

Re: Norwegian Air to Consolidate All Routes in the Bay Area to SFO

There's still a lot of Europe advertising OAK (especially at the airport) is going to have to replace. It's disappointing, as prior to Norwegian's entrance, the type of airline you could see succeeding at OAK would look at lot like Norwegian. If you're flying to or from Europe, there's little differ...

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by ucdtim17
Wed Dec 11, 2019 6:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: San Francisco Bay Area Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 76
Views: 11363

Re: San Francisco Bay Area Aviation Thread - 2019

It's chicken and egg. The flights are at SFO, so that's where people fly. I don't think it's really plausible that 90+% of the BOS-Bay Area traffic would choose SFO given equal options at SJC and OAK. But they aren't equal. There are factors that nudge business there, and then once some goes there, ...

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by ucdtim17
Tue Dec 10, 2019 7:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: San Francisco Bay Area Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 76
Views: 11363

Re: San Francisco Bay Area Aviation Thread - 2019

OTOH, OAK continues to founder, losing more service than gaining. The airport is not pumping out monthly press releases anymore about record traffic, so presumably the numbers are down from last year, which is still down from the mid-2000s peak. The ongoing F&B overall is a much needed improveme...

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by ucdtim17
Sat Dec 07, 2019 3:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Japan Airlines Eyeing New U.S. Destinations
Replies: 130
Views: 18859

Re: Japan Airlines Eyeing New U.S. Destinations

Maybe it's OAK, since they are losing all of their overseas service. Probably too close to SFO. If OAK couldn't even hold onto Ultra Low Cost carriers with popular leisure destinations on both ends, I highly doubt they can sustain any long haul legacy airline service at this point. For decades, OAK...

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by ucdtim17
Wed Dec 04, 2019 4:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Collapsing US hubs
Replies: 93
Views: 19728

Re: Collapsing US hubs

As Americans continue to cluster themselves in 20 or so major metropolitan areas, we will probably see fewer and fewer connecting passengers relative to nonstop passengers. Never mind the fact that planes with 75-100 seats can fly 2-3x farther today than planes of similar size in years past, when f...

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by ucdtim17
Mon Dec 02, 2019 10:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SFO Runway 28L closure - How Bad?
Replies: 144
Views: 27986

Re: SFO Runway 28L closure - How Bad?

And even if a cap forces a large chunk of domestic SFO traffic across the Bay or down south (and AA, Alaska, and Delta aren’t going to let UA further strengthen their hub without a fight), you’ve still got some of the same issues with runway restrictions at both OAK and SJC. They have plenty of cap...

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by ucdtim17
Mon Dec 02, 2019 5:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: SFO Runway 28L closure - How Bad?
Replies: 144
Views: 27986

Re: SFO Runway 28L closure - How Bad?

It would be a stupendous – 10-to-11 digit – waste of money. There already exists a perfectly good, under-utilized airport across the bay that is equally or more convenient for 80+% of SFO’s market, that has space for new terminals and runway capacity for decades of growth. The only reason we’re havi...

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by ucdtim17
Thu Nov 21, 2019 4:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AS MAX impact and the NEO's future
Replies: 261
Views: 45696

Re: AS MAX impact and the NEO's future

vadodara wrote:
Now that the center of tech industry has moved from the Bay area to Seattle


:eyebrow:

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by ucdtim17
Wed Nov 13, 2019 11:37 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: SFO Weather Delays
Replies: 12
Views: 2258

Re: SFO Weather Delays

Everybody already Knows that OAK or SJC are not foung to solve the problems unless extending the Runways at the Moffett Field Facility or moving to Solano County with an Expansion of Travis AFB is a solution. I don't think "everybody" knows that. OAK has plenty of runway space and real es...

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by ucdtim17
Tue Oct 22, 2019 5:20 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: How can UA expand at LAX?
Replies: 12
Views: 6385

Re: How can UA expand at LAX?

Top domestic destinations that UA doesn't currently serve nonstop from LAX include DFW, PDX, ATL, MIA/FLL, MSP, PHL, DTW, MSY, BNA, MCI, STL, ABQ, CLT, TPA, IND, CVG, PIT, GEG, CMH, TUS, ELP, and MKE. They also don't serve OAK, which is a much busier route than many of those listed. Obvious possibi...

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