Search found 13824 matches

by keesje
Wed Jun 24, 2020 4:13 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Opinion: Launch a Super Lean NB for US Civil Aerospace Now.
Replies: 24
Views: 2471

Re: Opinion: Launch a Super Lean NB for US Civil Aerospace Now.

They now have to go after 120-200 seats up to 3000NM. Because instead of the CSeries, the MAX didn't make it. MoM/NMA concepts hit the wall time and time again when the airlines were profitable and the market booming. And Boeing expected the MAX would be ok. If you go bigger, more capable, it won't ...

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by keesje
Wed Jun 24, 2020 11:28 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Opinion: Launch a Super Lean NB for US Civil Aerospace Now.
Replies: 24
Views: 2471

Re: Opinion: Launch a Super Lean NB for US Civil Aerospace Now.

This size is too small. We'd need like around 150 to 250 seats. Add a few more seats and give it 5-6,000 miles range. It would be great for the middle of the market and probably sell by the thousand. :wink2: It's an uphill battle. On the top of the hill there is PIP'd A220-500 looking down. With PW...

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by keesje
Wed Jun 24, 2020 10:33 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Opinion: Launch a Super Lean NB for US Civil Aerospace Now.
Replies: 24
Views: 2471

Opinion: Launch a Super Lean NB for US Civil Aerospace Now.

It seems there only one way to restore US Civil Aerospace Industry health. Leading Seattle based commentary Leeham News is deeply supportive of US Aerospace communities, but not blinded, ignoring unwelcome realities https://leehamnews.com/2020/06/24/looking-ahead-for-2020-and-2030-decades-boeing/ ht...

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by keesje
Wed Jun 24, 2020 5:56 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Germany cancels P-3C modernisation; looking for replacement
Replies: 89
Views: 4729

Re: Germany cancels P-3C modernisation; looking for replacement

Not sure keeping the 60 years old Hercules line open for ever, regardless of operational requirements is a German priority too. https://historynewsnetwork.org/article/150978 The P3C used to have an extensive crew including pilots, radio man, plotters, Taco, observers. Much of this can be automated. ...

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by keesje
Tue Jun 23, 2020 2:54 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Germany cancels P-3C modernisation; looking for replacement
Replies: 89
Views: 4729

Re: Germany cancels P-3C modernisation; looking for replacement

I kinda doubt Airbus, nor any customers, want to revisit the TP400 disaster, let alone Germany which is still trying to shed some A400’s. The P-1 has a great design but again integrating it across EU/NATO countries would be quite a pain for a number of reasons, and at the volumes discussed/mooted i...

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by keesje
Mon Jun 22, 2020 10:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounding, General Discussion Thread, Q2 2020
Replies: 607
Views: 56241

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounding, General Discussion Thread, Q2 2020

QR has cancelled their max order! But being AAB, take it with a grain of salt! https://simpleflying.com/qatar-airways-boeing-737-max-cancellation/ Qatar Airways has told Boeing that it won’t be taking up its order for 30 Boeing 737 MAX aircraft, according to the airline’s CEO, Akbar al-Baker. He me...

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by keesje
Mon Jun 22, 2020 4:20 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Germany cancels P-3C modernisation; looking for replacement
Replies: 89
Views: 4729

Re: Germany cancels P-3C modernisation; looking for replacement

This then is why I see Germany will chose the P-8 as the interim vs the smaller turboprop. And assuming budget will be available, a possibility of the A320 MMA in the long run. This would be both logical and practical. bt Other EU nations have used the smaller turboprops on the same missions. In th...

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by keesje
Mon Jun 22, 2020 12:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounding, General Discussion Thread, Q2 2020
Replies: 607
Views: 56241

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounding, General Discussion Thread, Q2 2020

Curtis Ewbank confirms what we know & try to generalize / go away. - Boeing / Congress overpowering the FAA (jobs, competition, stock value in reality easily beat safety as priority) check 2010-1018 FAA reauthorizations. - Cockpit emergency warning systems not meeting requirements (known since e...

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by keesje
Fri Jun 19, 2020 1:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AC Rouge to eventually use A321's on TATL routes
Replies: 23
Views: 5482

Re: AC Rouge to eventually use A321's on TATL routes

Air Canada shocked Airbus again in 2013 by placing a large A320 replacement MAX order, after placing a big A330/A340 replacement 777/787 order shortly after exiting their bankruptsy. The plan was to replace the total Airbus NB fleet. Meanwhile used A321s were bought to temporary supplement the fleet...

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by keesje
Wed Jun 17, 2020 3:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qatar CEO: no new Airbus or Boeing deliveries until 2022
Replies: 103
Views: 17628

Re: Qatar CEO: no new Airbus or Boeing deliveries until 2022

Wow! Pretty certain there is quite a few aircraft already in assembly. Anyone know how many were due from now till 2022? From either OEM As far as I can see, it looks like- Airbus: 50 x A321neo 27 x A350-1000 Boeing: 65 x 777X 23 x 787-9 Interestingly, Boeing only lists QR as having ordered 5 737MA...

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by keesje
Wed Jun 17, 2020 9:13 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounding, General Discussion Thread, Q2 2020
Replies: 607
Views: 56241

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounding, General Discussion Thread, Q2 2020

Linnking to the "Boeing 737MAX Grounding News and Reference Thread 2020" Transport Canada certified MAX in 2017 despite not getting answers from FAA / Boeing on MCAS questions posed in 2016 https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/boeing-737-max-second-canadian-public-hearing-1.5492306 Thanks for ...

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by keesje
Wed Jun 17, 2020 7:24 am
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: A321NEO and A321XLR Structural and System Changes
Replies: 7
Views: 3124

Re: A321NEO and A321XLR Structural and System Changes

"Our [computational fluid dynamics] capabilities have improved a lot since the 1980s so we've been able to design a single-slotted flap that's as efficient as a double-slotted design and gives a similar kind of performance globally, because it also saves some weight." He adds: "For t...

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by keesje
Tue Jun 16, 2020 7:48 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air France Studies Stretched Airbus "A220-500"
Replies: 217
Views: 38315

Re: Air France Studies Stretched Airbus "A220-500"

I don’t remember either Boeing or any of the 787-10 launch customers (ALC, GECAS, IAG/British Airways, Singapore Airlines and United ) getting government bailouts In 2013 like Airbus and Air France are getting now to prevent them laying off thousands. -- Boeing was strongly supported and in deep tr...

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by keesje
Mon Jun 15, 2020 10:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air France Studies Stretched Airbus "A220-500"
Replies: 217
Views: 38315

Re: Air France Studies Stretched Airbus "A220-500"

“We will propose solutions when the time has come, and the time is not now ,” Balducchi says. “We will continue to listen to what the customers… want.” Ref: https://www.flightglobal.com/air-transport/a220-cost-reductions-on-track-as-airbus-seeks-to-make-the-quebec-programme-profitable/136164.articl...

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by keesje
Mon Jun 15, 2020 9:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air France Studies Stretched Airbus "A220-500"
Replies: 217
Views: 38315

Re: Air France Studies Stretched Airbus "A220-500"

Compare it to the 787-10, launched in 2013, while 787 production problems hadn't recovered, 787s weren't making any profit and the -9 hadn't even entered service. 787 Backlog was above 1000 and the -10 overlapped with the ailing 777 line . Still Boeing (and me) thought it was a good investment, bec...

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by keesje
Mon Jun 15, 2020 8:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air France Studies Stretched Airbus "A220-500"
Replies: 217
Views: 38315

Re: Air France Studies Stretched Airbus "A220-500"

Compare it to the 787-10, launched in 2013, while 787 production problems hadn't recovered, 787s weren't making any profit and the -9 hadn't even entered service. The 787 Backlog was above 1000 and the -10 overlapped with the 777 line . Still Boeing (and me) thought it was a good investment, because...

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by keesje
Mon Jun 15, 2020 3:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air France Studies Stretched Airbus "A220-500"
Replies: 217
Views: 38315

Re: Air France Studies Stretched Airbus "A220-500"

I think we have heard over the years many instances the strategies of - "let's fix our current business first, before we do something new" - "with the current backlog / market position, there is no need to invest even if airlines ask for it" I think often those reasonable strate...

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by keesje
Mon Jun 15, 2020 9:28 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air France Studies Stretched Airbus "A220-500"
Replies: 217
Views: 38315

Re: Air France Studies Stretched Airbus "A220-500"

It has a (maybe) 600 unit backlog, but as many unheard posters have already said, IT LOSES MONEY... ...There is virtually no chance Airbus will be able to squeeze costs making production more scalable, or out of the subs with fanciful Powerpoint slides and now, especially now cash flow is important...

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by keesje
Sun Jun 14, 2020 11:51 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air France Studies Stretched Airbus "A220-500"
Replies: 217
Views: 38315

Re: Air France Studies Stretched Airbus "A220-500"

Maybe if you are on a 2 year horizon and see any investment as losing free cash flow, you're not going to be succesfull in this industry.

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by keesje
Sun Jun 14, 2020 10:02 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air France Studies Stretched Airbus "A220-500"
Replies: 217
Views: 38315

Re: Air France Studies Stretched Airbus "A220-500"

I think companies that were recently boasting free cash flow, cost reductions, buy backs and certification efficiency with a 3 month horizon are now confronted. A220 operators like JetBlue, Baltic and Delta clearly indicate the A220 is the right size post Covid-19. If a -500 can maximize profit/slot...

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by keesje
Sat Jun 13, 2020 8:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air France Studies Stretched Airbus "A220-500"
Replies: 217
Views: 38315

Re: Air France Studies Stretched Airbus "A220-500"

Airbus has a 8-9 year A320/321 backlog. Even longer now. Creating some air by converting to A220s seems the least of concerns, now the 737 is on its knees. Few A319NEO sales lost to the A220-300. If European employment was the holy grail, there would be no assembly lines in Tianjin & Mobile.

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by keesje
Sat Jun 13, 2020 7:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air France Studies Stretched Airbus "A220-500"
Replies: 217
Views: 38315

Re: Air France Studies Stretched Airbus "A220-500"

Two months after your article, Faury, April 29, middle of the COVID-19 crisis: “I would see it more positively for us,” Faury said. “The A220 is well-suited to the post-coronavirus market…It is a very good plane and a very good program at the right point in time for Airbus.” https://www.forbes.com/s...

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by keesje
Sat Jun 13, 2020 6:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air France Studies Stretched Airbus "A220-500"
Replies: 217
Views: 38315

Re: Air France Studies Stretched Airbus "A220-500"

I think the investments Airbus makes in the A220 program and the CEO's public comments during the COVID-19 crisis tell a lot. https://business.financialpost.com/transportation/airlines/airbus-investing-up-to-1-bln-euros-on-a220-passenger-jet-program-this-year The suggestions Airbus doesn't want to m...

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by keesje
Fri Jun 12, 2020 10:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer's has projects for a new turboprop plane [June/2020]
Replies: 127
Views: 17443

Re: Embraer's has projects for a new turboprop plane [June/2020]

High Speed turboprops. How fast a "fast turboprop" can go ? A400M is M 0.7 Is there any faster turboprop on the market? An oldy, the Tupolev Tu-95 geared contra rotating props. 4x 13000 shp, 925 km/hr. Not on the market though. https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/c/cb/Rus...

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by keesje
Sun Jun 07, 2020 10:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer's has projects for a new turboprop plane [June/2020]
Replies: 127
Views: 17443

Re: Embraer's has projects for a new turboprop plane [June/2020]

What are landing speeds of turboprops compared to jets? I believe flaps work mostly by increasing the camber. Even though: Is wing area calculated different for a wing with extended flaps and slats? If yes, how is the wing loading of turboprops compared with turbofans that have their flaps and slat...

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by keesje
Sat Jun 06, 2020 8:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer's has projects for a new turboprop plane [June/2020]
Replies: 127
Views: 17443

Re: Embraer's has projects for a new turboprop plane [June/2020]

My biggest question: Are they looking at a clean-sheet design, or a design based off of the E120? I would think that something based off of the 120 would be cheaper to develop, and there WILL be a niche for smaller turboprop airliners in the coming years. They were looking at using the 4 abreast, d...

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by keesje
Sat Jun 06, 2020 2:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer's has projects for a new turboprop plane [June/2020]
Replies: 127
Views: 17443

Re: Embraer's has projects for a new turboprop plane [June/2020]

https://i191.photobucket.com/albums/z160/keesje_pics/Turbolineraircraftturboprop-1.jpg?t=1208899184 keesje “This concept would be some kind of "kiss of death" to almost any aircraft constructor.” This quote is so correct. A modern turboprop jetliner, this aircraft concept may be, but it i...

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by keesje
Sat Jun 06, 2020 9:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The Sud Aviation SE-210 Caravelle Thread
Replies: 115
Views: 12991

Re: The Sud Aviation SE-210 Caravelle Thread

https://youtu.be/TT3vioHx1g4

I plan to make 282 posts over the course of this thread


:bigthumbsup:
-->

A nice video of one of the later Caravelle operational flights to Libreville, in 1999.

https://youtu.be/TT3vioHx1g4

I plan to make 282 posts over the course of this thread


:bigthumbsup:

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by keesje
Fri Jun 05, 2020 12:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air France Studies Stretched Airbus "A220-500"
Replies: 217
Views: 38315

Re: Air France Studies Stretched Airbus "A220-500"

Seems AB doesn't care, they do the exactly same thing already now with the new 252t MTOW 330neos and their own A350. Delta changed some orders because of that. There probably is some benefit there ( I hope ;)) Both the A320 and A220 are supporting the same bottom line and are sold out for a long pe...

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by keesje
Fri Jun 05, 2020 12:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer's has projects for a new turboprop plane [June/2020]
Replies: 127
Views: 17443

Re: Embraer's has projects for a new turboprop plane [June/2020]

Second: Turboprops above 90 PAX lose the benefit in comparison to jets and turboprop engines for above 100 PAX planes do not work any more. This is just physic, please just believe it, it will be pages after pages to explain it in detail (and this I will not do). So, if Embraer will construct a new...

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by keesje
Fri Jun 05, 2020 9:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air France Studies Stretched Airbus "A220-500"
Replies: 217
Views: 38315

Re: Air France Studies Stretched Airbus "A220-500"

The most important question to be answered is how much of the sales would come at the expense of A320 sales canibalization? Seems AB doesn't care, they do the exactly same thing already now with the new 252t MTOW 330neos and their own A350. Delta changed some orders because of that. There probably ...

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by keesje
Fri Jun 05, 2020 7:44 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing to close 777x and 787 order before month-end
Replies: 140
Views: 33817

Re: Boeing to close 777x and 787 order before month-end

If it a chinese carrier 777X order, the chinese want something back, something substantial.

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by keesje
Thu Jun 04, 2020 7:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer's has projects for a new turboprop plane [June/2020]
Replies: 127
Views: 17443

Re: Embraer's has projects for a new turboprop plane [June/2020]

And go the way of the F100, CSeries, 728, ARJ, Spacejet, Superjet, AN-158, 717, A318, AE317, 736, Tu-334, YPX? Nope. This is 190/195E2 that we already have. I mean an airplane for 180 to 220 passengers capacity. If Embraer comes up with something very good, Airbus might undercut them for years with...

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by keesje
Thu Jun 04, 2020 7:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer's has projects for a new turboprop plane [June/2020]
Replies: 127
Views: 17443

Re: Embraer's has projects for a new turboprop plane [June/2020]

I personally believe that one of Embraer's great advantages, even because it is a smaller company, is seeing niche markets and anticipating them with good products. Time to think bigger. Otherwise, as I said, we will continue to "eat at the edge of the plate". I don´t believe anymore in t...

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by keesje
Thu Jun 04, 2020 4:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer's has projects for a new turboprop plane [June/2020]
Replies: 127
Views: 17443

Re: Embraer's has projects for a new turboprop plane [June/2020]

I think Embraer has witnessed that if you go head to head with Airbus or Boeing you better have a lot of time, political back-up and money. https://i191.photobucket.com/albums/z160/keesje_pics/Turbolineraircraftturboprop-1.jpg?t=1208899184 keesje So far Embraer has been smart enough to stay away the...

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by keesje
Thu Jun 04, 2020 1:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Reuters: Boeing considering 757-Plus and 767-X
Replies: 520
Views: 90170

Re: Reuters: Boeing considering 757-Plus and 767-X

Remote and autonomous flight developments, in combination with FBW/flight envelope protection, pilot activity monitoring (PAM) and autoland, might relax cockpit requirements. Maybe efficiency improvements by flying with 2 pilots instead of 3 on longer 757/'767 category flights, if the (single) berth...

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by keesje
Thu Jun 04, 2020 8:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer's has projects for a new turboprop plane [June/2020]
Replies: 127
Views: 17443

Re: Embraer's has projects for a new turboprop plane [June/2020]

I wonder, would it be possible to have 5 or 6 abreast turboprops with capacity between 100-150 seats these days? I've heard that almost half of the flights around the world are less than 500 miles (cited by many videos on news network like tech insider, etc.). Could they target these market by prov...

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by keesje
Thu Jun 04, 2020 7:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer's has projects for a new turboprop plane [June/2020]
Replies: 127
Views: 17443

Re: Embraer's has projects for a new turboprop plane [June/2020]

Airbus had long discussions with Alenia, Alenia wanting to launch a new TP, even going alone. Airbus preferring upgrades to existing ATR platforms. The succes of the -600s upgrade over the Q400s pushed back the discussion I guess. The 11.000 shp TP400 would best suit a 200 seat M.7 turboprop it seem...

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by keesje
Wed Jun 03, 2020 7:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer's has projects for a new turboprop plane [June/2020]
Replies: 127
Views: 17443

Re: Embraer's has projects for a new turboprop plane [June/2020]

On a project basis, more partners might be interested, e.g. Raytheon Collins, the Koreans, Kawasaki.

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by keesje
Wed Jun 03, 2020 12:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Reuters: Boeing considering 757-Plus and 767-X
Replies: 520
Views: 90170

Re: Reuters: Boeing considering 757-Plus and 767-X

Maybe take a look at this systems that is being certified/ offered today.. It changes your opinion on where we are on autonomous flight. Garmin has been secretly working on it for years. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d-ruFmgTpqA https://www.bright.nl/sites/default/files/styles/block_image/public/c...

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by keesje
Tue Jun 02, 2020 10:44 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Reuters: Boeing considering 757-Plus and 767-X
Replies: 520
Views: 90170

Re: Reuters: Boeing considering 757-Plus and 767-X

For more than a decade Boeing has been trying to suppress all signals and incidents that their cockpit phylosophy has had it's best days. What still was good 20 years ago might not be good enough for 2040. Let alone what was good enough 50 years ago. Research and reports addressing this topic (e.g. ...

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by keesje
Sun May 31, 2020 9:08 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: A400M Update Thread 2020
Replies: 63
Views: 8417

Re: A400M Update Thread 2020

The certification of automatic low-level flight under visual meteorological conditions has now been achieved. Automatic low-level flight under instrument meteorological conditions is expected to be certified in the second quarter of 2021. A400M wins certification for automatic low-level flight Inhe...

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by keesje
Sat May 30, 2020 7:06 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Is American really done with the 757?
Replies: 54
Views: 10090

Re: Is American really done with the 757?

I saw an AA 777 on AMS this morning, never have seen that in 25 yrs. I've seen 757s. Things are changing.

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by keesje
Fri May 29, 2020 9:18 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IMAGES: Pan Am Worldport opened 60 years ago today
Replies: 51
Views: 9231

Re: IMAGES: Pan Am Worldport opened 60 years ago today

For all of the history it had, it sure met an ignominious end. To call that building a dump the last few years it was open would be the understatement of the century. In many countries we see the phenomenon that landmarks are demolished for practical reasons, rather then restored into their origina...

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by keesje
Thu May 28, 2020 9:18 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.
Replies: 355
Views: 16407

Re: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.

I've got a packed props full of big burly oil workers heading up North with enough gear for weeks. Let’s have a ramp crew chief lesson. Your flight is LGA-DCA on a CRJ-200. 45 minute flight, 50 passengers booked, 100 checked bags, bad weather along the East coast. You’ll get a call from the captain...

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by keesje
Thu May 28, 2020 8:25 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: News on Air Force Light Attack Experiment (OA-X)
Replies: 136
Views: 26078

Re: News on Air Force Light Attack Experiment (OA-X)

I'm looking at this from an operational stanpoint. Air forces have no choice at this stage. Air Forces are buying what is available, but new / old twin engines concepts keep popping up for a reason. https://www.airway1.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/Akaer_mosquito_04-990x557.jpg https://www.airway1....

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by keesje
Wed May 27, 2020 10:39 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: News on Air Force Light Attack Experiment (OA-X)
Replies: 136
Views: 26078

Re: News on Air Force Light Attack Experiment (OA-X)

There is no twin engined CAS for sale. That probably explain why Tucano & PC9 variants get selected. No choice helps a lot. As I told you before, I talked to flight crew who where quiet clear on their preferences. I would prefer speed & a spare engine too, flying above ISIS fighters.

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by keesje
Wed May 27, 2020 7:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.
Replies: 355
Views: 16407

Re: Development paths for new scope compliant aircraft.

This isn't something to be proud of it's pathetic. The super rich aren't our friends. I'm not trying to screw over other workers. I recognize the world we live in but I'm not calling for pilots to take huge paycuts so that corporations can make more money. That wouldn't be rational. There are plent...

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by keesje
Tue May 26, 2020 11:15 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: News on Air Force Light Attack Experiment (OA-X)
Replies: 136
Views: 26078

Re: News on Air Force Light Attack Experiment (OA-X)

The Bronco II looks to have a massive cross section & the pusher prop looks inefficient and noisy. Noisy isn't handy when you are sneaking in. I would prefer the Bronco I's cleaner, more efficient and redundant 2 engine configuration. If you are fighting fundamentalist, an extra engine & spe...

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