Search found 14422 matches

by keesje
Tue Jul 27, 2021 8:49 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Another Boeing-Airbus tanker war is coming soon, KC-Y
Replies: 220
Views: 17878

Re: Another Boeing-Airbus tanker war is coming soon, KC-Y

Decent piece by Loren Thompson, though I think he misses the part about how many gallons the MRTT can actually offload at range vs. the KC-46 entirely. There is already enough blows to Airbus in that piece. Mentioning that the larger A330 offloads less fuel at range than the smaller KC-46 might con...

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by keesje
Sun Jul 25, 2021 12:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign and Prospects - 2021
Replies: 87
Views: 13209

Re: Boeing 777X Sales Campaign and Prospects - 2021

Once the aircraft is operational with airlines the performance information will be known by all kinds of people. Maybe even someone like you. But see the 779 is still in flight testing. Understand? So operational data in the real world with various airline flying all kinds of different missions is ...

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by keesje
Sat Jul 24, 2021 6:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A350F. Airbus looking to launch: Looking for customers
Replies: 808
Views: 127736

Re: A350F. Airbus looking to launch: Looking for customers

Scanning 777F fleets, it appears to me most 777F fleets are young. Seeing cargo airlines don't mind old airframes, that would hinder sales for either 777XF or A350-950F.. Also the currently grounded fleet stock of affordable, young A330s, A340s, 772ER's, 77W's remains a risk for the business case. A...

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by keesje
Mon Jul 19, 2021 10:44 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: F1 - 2021 Season
Replies: 292
Views: 21720

Re: F1 - 2021 Season

I think many were surprized watching Lewis celebrating his win the way he did, knowing what happened. Also about the flexibility of the UK press. Max would have received totally different feed-back from his countrymen if he had done this. Lewis made the choice to celebrate the way he did and downpla...

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by keesje
Mon Jul 19, 2021 4:10 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: F1 - 2021 Season
Replies: 292
Views: 21720

Re: F1 - 2021 Season

Hamilton was at fault, officially.

He drove Verstappen his major competitor out of the race, into hospital and won the race.

He was celebrating, dancing, ignoring as if nothing happened & denying any fault.

If Verstappen had done that, the dutch would call him to account. I'm amazed.

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by keesje
Mon Jul 19, 2021 7:01 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Fleet Thread - 2021
Replies: 412
Views: 65464

Re: Latest AA Fleet Rumors (July 2021)

Will the 787-9 replace the 777-200ER fleet? Seems a bit small to cover growth in Asian, cargo heavy markets. It would reduce up to 10t of payload per flight on many routes. https://epsilonaviation.files.wordpress.com/2019/06/payloadrange_midsizewidebody.jpg I think eventually AA will order the 787-...

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by keesje
Sun Jul 18, 2021 9:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Fleet Thread - 2021
Replies: 412
Views: 65464

Re: Latest AA Fleet Rumors (July 2021)

https://epsilonaviation.files.wordpress ... debody.jpg
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Will the 787-9 replace the 777-200ER fleet? Seems a bit small to cover growth in Asian, cargo heavy markets. It would reduce up to 10t of payload per flight on many routes. https://epsilonaviation.files.wordpress ... debody.jpg

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by keesje
Thu Jul 15, 2021 6:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AF-KLM Group Narrowbody tender
Replies: 121
Views: 17511

Re: AF-KLM Group Narrowbody tender

Do you think the fact the French government provides a bailout package to Air France would make a difference? I think in the end the financial part will play a significant role. Which financial part? The bailout? Loans. Some fail to see the difference between tax cuts, subsidies, gifts and loans. S...

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by keesje
Wed Jul 14, 2021 10:37 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Chaos In South Africa Following Zuma's Incarceration
Replies: 37
Views: 1772

Re: Chaos In South Africa Following Zuma's Incarceration

When the polarized followers of a corrupt, populist president go on the streets to protect their hero, representative, believing the leader it's all fraud, we know what happens.

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by keesje
Wed Jul 14, 2021 5:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United and Mesa with tentative Heart ES-19 order
Replies: 94
Views: 9847

Re: United and Mesa with tentative Heart ES-19 order

This site sure is hostile to new ideas. Hostile to futile ideas. They're only futile if nobody takes the steps to start advancing them. As a UA 1K who loves aviation but is starting to reckon with the environmental impact of my flying, including beginning to curtail my flying, these are the moves I...

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by keesje
Wed Jul 14, 2021 4:15 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: New Russian Fighter Jet
Replies: 84
Views: 8275

Re: New Russian Fighter Jet

The long expected Mikoyan light/ medium fighter I guess.

I guess ot must be either inferior or a clone :sarcastic:

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by keesje
Wed Jul 14, 2021 2:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United and Mesa with tentative Heart ES-19 order
Replies: 94
Views: 9847

Re: United and Mesa with tentative Heart ES-19 order

This site sure is hostile to new ideas. That's a big challenge we have. We all want a cleaner, sustainable environment longer term, little exceptions there. Good people start looking for solutions, politicians, people with other fields of expertise respond positively, sponsor, fund. At some point a...

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by keesje
Wed Jul 14, 2021 12:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Used Delta Aircraft Order A359/737-900ER
Replies: 681
Views: 156334

Re: Updated: Used Delta Aircraft Order A359/737-900ER

For me a confirmation of Delta / NWA value driven, pragmatic fleet development strategy. The batch of A350s / 739ER's seems a job well done.

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by keesje
Wed Jul 14, 2021 10:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AF-KLM Group Narrowbody tender
Replies: 121
Views: 17511

Re: AF-KLM Group Narrowbody tender

Some points to take into account: - AFKL want to consolidate as much as possible. - French government is a large stakeholder and will want to boost French/EU economy thus inclination to Airbus order. - KLs 737 fleet is relatively small, especially once all 73Gs and 73J are gone. - There won’t be a ...

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by keesje
Tue Jul 13, 2021 9:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AF-KLM Group Narrowbody tender
Replies: 121
Views: 17511

Re: AF-KLM Group Narrowbody tender

European flagcarriers will use narrowbodies on TATL; SAS, TAP, AirLingus, Chech, Iberia. Plus a string of non-flagcarriers, AA, UA, AirTransat.. from 2023-2024. LH seems the only carrier that explicitly said they don't need the XLR for now. And they will change their mind if the situation requires. ...

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by keesje
Tue Jul 13, 2021 7:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AF-KLM Group Narrowbody tender
Replies: 121
Views: 17511

Re: AF-KLM Group Narrowbody tender

In terms of maintenance, training, commonality, AF KLM has all capabilities already, 737 families, A320 families, A220, Embraer E1s, E2s , CFM LEAPS, PW GTFs, all on order/ in use. C919s, that would be new. Except for engines.

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by keesje
Tue Jul 13, 2021 3:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AF-KLM Group Narrowbody tender
Replies: 121
Views: 17511

Re: AF-KLM Group Narrowbody tender

A Jetblue Mint LR or XLR (17t payload?) RTM-BOS 3100NM, I think no problem.

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by keesje
Tue Jul 13, 2021 3:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United and Mesa with tentative Heart ES-19 order
Replies: 94
Views: 9847

Re: United and Mesa with tentative Heart ES-19 order

It seems everybody (certainly United techies) know the batteries are an insurmountable obstacle for the foreseeable future. But good will for the environment and our grandchildren sometime tends to change physics. Or at least we hope so. https://leehamnews.com/2021/07/08/the-true-cost-of-electric-ai...

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by keesje
Tue Jul 13, 2021 2:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AF-KLM Group Narrowbody tender
Replies: 121
Views: 17511

Re: AF-KLM Group Narrowbody tender

Over the years we see 737 customers also ordering / holding on to A321s, AC, UA, AA, QF, DL.. for capacity-range. That could be a consideration for KLM too. While the 737-10 can cover Europe well, Mddle East, Africa and cargo take a hit compared to A321s. In the past those routes were covered by A31...

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by keesje
Tue Jul 13, 2021 10:21 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AF-KLM Group Narrowbody tender
Replies: 121
Views: 17511

Re: AF-KLM Group Narrowbody tender

https://airinsight.com/in-conversation-with-airbus-coo-christian-scherer/ Interesting interview with Airbus COO. Seems Airbus is fully cocky now. Which is fair enough I suppose. Anyway what jumped out to me here was: “I think our friends at Boeing are in a pretty terrible spot where they have to ma...

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by keesje
Tue Jul 13, 2021 10:12 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AF-KLM Group Narrowbody tender
Replies: 121
Views: 17511

Re: AF-KLM Group Narrowbody tender

KLM - AF have an integrated maintenance & training infrastructure. AF using 737s or KLM A320's wouldn't cause much problems. All the capabilities are inhouse. except the PW GTF's. But that didn't stop AF ordering A220s. A 737MAX order is likely, also because of the 737 infrastructure (LEAP shop ...

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by keesje
Tue Jul 13, 2021 12:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AF-KLM Group Narrowbody tender
Replies: 121
Views: 17511

Re: AF-KLM Group Narrowbody tender

737-8 Could fit KLM / Transavia very well. KLM is one of the last legacy 737 operators in Europe. But the XLR seems very usefull too for KLM Middle East, Africa and TATL routes. For A318/A319 replacement first A223 will arrive in a few months at AF. And E2's are introduced at KLM as 737-700 replacem...

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by keesje
Fri Jul 09, 2021 4:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A321XLR Development Production Testing Thread - 2021
Replies: 151
Views: 39077

Re: Airbus A321XLR Development Production Testing Thread - 2021

New XLR assemblies arriving at the FAL. https://www.pilootenvliegtuig.nl/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/A321XLR-front-fuselage-1024x768.jpg https://www.pilootenvliegtuig.nl/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/2021-04-XLR-Worksharing-mapping-1024x724.png https://www.pilootenvliegtuig.nl/2021/07/09/dit-wordt-de-al...

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by keesje
Fri Jul 09, 2021 11:20 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Another Boeing-Airbus tanker war is coming soon, KC-Y
Replies: 220
Views: 17878

Re: Another Boeing-Airbus tanker war is coming soon, KC-Y

Interesting experiences from the front line, thanks for sharing! KC135 https://i0.wp.com/theaviationist.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/02/Boomer.jpg?resize=678%2C381&ssl=1 https://theaviationist.com/2013/02/26/boomer-kc135/ KC-10 https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/e/ee/A_KC-10A_Ex...

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by keesje
Thu Jul 08, 2021 11:49 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Another Boeing-Airbus tanker war is coming soon, KC-Y
Replies: 220
Views: 17878

Re: Another Boeing-Airbus tanker war is coming soon, KC-Y

KC-10 played a big role in Afghanistan war carrying up to 75t in pallets across the Atlantic. Big efficient aircraft made for 100.000 hrs with empty decks, rusting, not using them for transport, war logistics is a strategy no air force would understand. A complete waste of important capability. The ...

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by keesje
Thu Jul 08, 2021 8:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing/Production Thread - 2021
Replies: 618
Views: 124644

Re: Boeing 777X Testing/Production Thread - 2021

Amazes me people take Boeing EIS 2023 as the most reliable prediction. A flat learning curve after watching 15 years of corporate communication vs reality.

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by keesje
Thu Jul 08, 2021 1:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing/Production Thread - 2021
Replies: 618
Views: 124644

Re: Boeing 777X Testing/Production Thread - 2021

I'm afraid this is a bit more than a list of isolated problems to be fixed. That approach might be one one of the root problems (Ref. JATR). Do you have a source for the EIS of 2025? All I have seen is certification in mid to late 2023. The biggest 777X customer is taking Boeing’s latest timeline fo...

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by keesje
Thu Jul 08, 2021 9:42 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Updated: Germany signs order for Five Boeing P-8A Poseidon Aircraft
Replies: 242
Views: 26649

Re: Updated: Germany signs order for Five Boeing P-8A Poseidon Aircraft

The french will likely go with a domestic program. That's what they say. Big winged (range, 3 engine over water redundancy). They already ordered 8x this one for related missions. https://www.navalnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Falcon-8X-Archange-Dassault-Aviation.png https://www.navalnews.com/...

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by keesje
Wed Jul 07, 2021 11:32 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Another Boeing-Airbus tanker war is coming soon, KC-Y
Replies: 220
Views: 17878

Re: Another Boeing-Airbus tanker war is coming soon, KC-Y

Airbus needs to produce a tanker that comes remotely close to the KC-46 before participating in any competition. Didn't Airbus win all competitions since the KC-46 launch? .. but good we agree Airbus shouldn't compete! Boeing can then offer DoD a tanker transport Boeing deems suitable, negotiate re...

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by keesje
Wed Jul 07, 2021 7:06 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Another Boeing-Airbus tanker war is coming soon, KC-Y
Replies: 220
Views: 17878

Re: Another Boeing-Airbus tanker war is coming soon, KC-Y

An MRTT has a cargo 45t payload and a KC-46 30t. The MRTT has a huge lower cargo deck, the KC46 doesn't, it carries fuel there. https://u0v052dm9wl3gxo0y3lx0u44wz-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/A330-MRTT-Lower-Deck-1200x346.jpg https://www.thinkdefence.co.uk/2011/07/the-pros-and-...

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by keesje
Tue Jul 06, 2021 4:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing/Production Thread - 2021
Replies: 618
Views: 124644

Re: Boeing 777X Testing/Production Thread - 2021

Lots of good information / considerations on the page, thnx. The 4 second rule, 787 software application, all point towards an overambitious acceptance of the changed product rule and a cost / time driven practice of qualifying changes, systems interactions and the required way of certification (ide...

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by keesje
Tue Jul 06, 2021 2:09 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Another Boeing-Airbus tanker war is coming soon, KC-Y
Replies: 220
Views: 17878

Re: Another Boeing-Airbus tanker war is coming soon, KC-Y

Boeing need this aquisition asap. By the time the KC-Y contract is signed, Boeing and Airbus would have moved beyond the current crisis. Neither company need this contract ASAP. Both these companies need the airline industry to recover ASAP so new commercial airlines gets delivered. Boeing has star...

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by keesje
Tue Jul 06, 2021 11:55 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Another Boeing-Airbus tanker war is coming soon, KC-Y
Replies: 220
Views: 17878

Re: Another Boeing-Airbus tanker war is coming soon, KC-Y

Just the minor detail, that is the KC-46 is a tanker, not meant to be a transport, though that is an added benefit. A C-46 would indicate a transport aircraft and highly unlikely that any of those nations you have carefully chosen would ever want one, considering they all have transport aircraft in...

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by keesje
Tue Jul 06, 2021 8:56 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Another Boeing-Airbus tanker war is coming soon, KC-Y
Replies: 220
Views: 17878

Re: Another Boeing-Airbus tanker war is coming soon, KC-Y

Lowest costs for minimum spec was introduced after NG/Airbus won. A goalpost protectionist thing by an outraged congress. https://www.theguardian.com/business/2008/mar/03/airlineindustry I'm perfectly ok with that, it was the GFC, Boeing was deep into 787 trouble & needed the contract. Same now...

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by keesje
Tue Jul 06, 2021 7:24 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Another Boeing-Airbus tanker war is coming soon, KC-Y
Replies: 220
Views: 17878

Re: Another Boeing-Airbus tanker war is coming soon, KC-Y

Lowest costs for minimum spec was introduced after NG/Airbus won. A goalpost protectionist thing by an outraged congress. https://www.theguardian.com/business/2008/mar/03/airlineindustry I'm perfectly ok with that, it was the GFC, Boeing was deep into 787 trouble & needed the contract. Same now,...

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by keesje
Mon Jul 05, 2021 7:14 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Another Boeing-Airbus tanker war is coming soon, KC-Y
Replies: 220
Views: 17878

Re: Another Boeing-Airbus tanker war is coming soon, KC-Y

E.g. the Australians and RAF can be savvy/ focused with their expensive C17's, because their MRTT's can do a lot, for much lower cost. Boeing sees that as a threat to their C-17 bu$iness. Well Boeing doesn't have a C-17 business anymore, so... And even when KC-X was being fought over the C-17 progr...

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by keesje
Mon Jul 05, 2021 9:48 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Another Boeing-Airbus tanker war is coming soon, KC-Y
Replies: 220
Views: 17878

Re: Another Boeing-Airbus tanker war is coming soon, KC-Y

He ignores the fact that different militaries have different needs. He still hasn't answered why so many European militaries went with the A400 over the C17. It's the same argument, only in reverse. I'm perfectly ok with USAF again ordering the awesome KC46 for whatever tbd reasons. I only advise A...

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by keesje
Sun Jul 04, 2021 10:44 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: United confirms order for 200 737MAX and 70 A321neo
Replies: 925
Views: 155828

Re: Updated: United confirms order for 200 737MAX and 70 A321neo

We're living in a world of qoutes. An executive says something in a context on a specific moment & it immediately becomess the irreversable truth/ prove for months. Until the next qoute. :veryhappy:

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by keesje
Sat Jul 03, 2021 11:32 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Another Boeing-Airbus tanker war is coming soon, KC-Y
Replies: 220
Views: 17878

Re: Another Boeing-Airbus tanker war is coming soon, KC-Y

The MRTT is more capable in almost all areas, so someone invented it was "too" capable, was too big and had to be as cheap as possible, but it wasn't the USAF. Politics/ congress intervened after NG/ Airbus won. What exactly is wrong with the US government buying local to preserve technol...

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by keesje
Sat Jul 03, 2021 7:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A321XLR Development Production Testing Thread - 2021
Replies: 151
Views: 39077

Re: Airbus A321XLR Development Production Testing Thread - 2021

https://www.airway1.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/A321XLR-front.jpg https://www.airway1.com/airbus-receives-first-fuselage-front-section-from-a321xlr/ Airbus received three of the six sections that are part of the front fuselage of the A321XLR, the longest-range variant of the single-aisle jet fam...

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by keesje
Fri Jul 02, 2021 4:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus and Boeing backlog
Replies: 8
Views: 2233

Re: Airbus and Boeing backlog

Interesting topic. Airbus and Boeing give longer term production rate forecasts, those help. Lessors play an increasingly big role. Also if an airline wants to start up quickly without high upfront costs. From 2020 is indeed a totally different story, with lots of good aircraft parked and traded and...

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by keesje
Fri Jul 02, 2021 11:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: United confirms order for 200 737MAX and 70 A321neo
Replies: 925
Views: 155828

Re: Updated: United confirms order for 200 737MAX and 70 A321neo

Does anyone know how many seats A321NEO and MAX-10 will have in United configuration, or is too soon to know? I assume the A321NEO will have somewhere between 6 and 12 more than the MAX if they are equivalently configured. I think it is still too soon to know, both delivery are scheduled for 2023. ...

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by keesje
Fri Jul 02, 2021 11:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A321XLR Development Production Testing Thread - 2021
Replies: 151
Views: 39077

Re: Airbus A321XLR Development Production Testing Thread - 2021

Will it be one PW and the other CFM as in the other prototypes (A320neo/A321neo), or will it be the two prototypes of XLRs with the same engine? Usually both aircraft types / engines are tested & certified. The XLR's are offered with current versions (33k lbs) of the Leaps and PW1100s. Many are...

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by keesje
Fri Jul 02, 2021 8:08 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Korean Air makes bid for Asiana
Replies: 239
Views: 51311

Re: Korean Air makes bid for Asiana

Korean Air might become one of the A350F launching customers. Modifying, greening their large cargo fleet. They are producing hundreds of A350 cargo doors btw. Crew commonality with the incoming A350s. https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EwTntaiWQAIYpCO?format=jpg&name=large https://mobile.twitter.com/h...

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by keesje
Thu Jul 01, 2021 10:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Korean Air makes bid for Asiana
Replies: 239
Views: 51311

Re: Korean Air makes bid for Asiana

I agree, i think KE will be a major 777X buyer. There's a lot going on there. 747-8s, A380s and 777-300ERs. Although it will happen over a long period of time. Maybe the replacement of the 380s and 747-8s will come first and then 777s much much later Korean gets 30 A350-900s & -1000s. A low ris...

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by keesje
Thu Jul 01, 2021 6:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Korean Air makes bid for Asiana
Replies: 239
Views: 51311

Re: Korean Air makes bid for Asiana

While I think that the A380s are as good as toast, I would be more interested in the fate of the A350s. KE has none and if they plan to shut down the entire OZ fleet, that does not bode well for an introduction of A350s at KE. I think that this will influence fleet planing at KE in the long term. O...

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by keesje
Thu Jul 01, 2021 2:36 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Updated: Switzerland deciding to buy F-35A fighter jets
Replies: 326
Views: 44377

Re: Updated: Switzerland deciding to buy F-35A fighter jets

quote="art"]You keep saying that F-35 is cheaper to operate than all the others. I have never seen any data suggesting that it is cheaper to operate than F/A-18. For a small, "rich", neutral country like Switzerland, operating cost should be lower on the requirement list. So wou...

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by keesje
Thu Jul 01, 2021 2:12 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Belgian F16 collides with air base building (pilot ejected)
Replies: 11
Views: 1879

Re: Belgian F16 collides with air base building (pilot ejected)

Engine spooled up unexpectedly, aircraft started rolling towards a building, pilot pulled out in time. https://i.dailymail.co.uk/1s/2021/07/01/14/44916191-9745067-image-a-4_1625146801970.jpg https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9745067/amp/Belgian-fighter-jet-crashes-buildin...

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