Search found 5175 matches

by ckfred
Mon Sep 21, 2020 5:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Doug Parker Statement About AA Never Posting Losses Again
Replies: 42
Views: 6739

Re: Doug Parker Statement About AA Never Posting Losses Again

Hindsight is always 20:20. I think the point Parker was trying to make is that the airline industry was no longer chasing market share by charging low fares, and it was no longer flying large aircraft and dropping fares to fill them. The industry was really mindful of the cost of getting an aircraft...

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by ckfred
Mon Sep 21, 2020 4:37 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Chicago Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 891
Views: 126948

Re: Chicago Aviation Thread - 2020

I suspect that any large airport project across the country will be delayed, simply because travel volume is so light. While leisure travel will probably rebound as a vaccine becomes readily available, some analysts suspect that it might be 2022 or 2023, before we see any business travel of signific...

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by ckfred
Thu Jul 16, 2020 7:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership
Replies: 416
Views: 51084

Re: AA & B6 announce Northeast Partnership

I think airlines are simply trying to survive for the next 1 to 3 years. I've read that aviation pundits think it will be some time after a vaccine becomes readily available, before businesses put employee back on airplanes. My wife works in financial services, and there were executives from Europe ...

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by ckfred
Thu Jun 04, 2020 7:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: American Airlines Business & Finance Discussion
Replies: 355
Views: 66698

Re: FT: Investors bet AA will file for BK

I got an update from CNBC earlier today. AA was up, after it announced that the July schedule would be increased 55% over the May schedule. Here's something else to consider. My wife's boss told her that corporate is really concerned at the number of people who are carrying their full or nearly full...

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by ckfred
Mon Apr 06, 2020 4:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 4/5/2020: Jaw-Dropping
Replies: 152
Views: 25260

Re: OAG Changes 4/5/2020: Jaw-Dropping

This is how bad it is at AA. A friend of mine is a 737 captain. He started with AA about 30 years ago. He made captain in '08 and switched to the 737 in '09. He has no schedule for April. Now, he assumes that he will get called for a trip or two this month. But, a lot of very senior pilots are seein...

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by ckfred
Mon Apr 06, 2020 4:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airport construction projects question
Replies: 74
Views: 10717

Re: Airport construction projects question

I can't tell you specifically what is going on at ORD. But, construction is considered essential in Illinois, so construction projects big and small are continuing. I've seen roofing projects in my neighborhood. The addition and new football bleachers are going up at my son's high school. Downtown C...

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by ckfred
Fri Apr 03, 2020 4:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier
Replies: 2164
Views: 380905

Re: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier

Well, (some) fares didn't go down: I checked a round-trip to Europe for end of June-early July and prices are what they were 2 years ago. So, whatever route is flown is not done at discounted fares. All fares went down, but the decrease hasn't extended into late June yet. ATL hasn't been mentioned ...

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by ckfred
Sat Mar 28, 2020 9:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Fleet Updates - 2020
Replies: 1173
Views: 194045

Re: AA Fleet Updates - 2020

The speed at which air travel returns sort of depends on who you are. Employees in businesses which have have suffered through little or no effects will get back to traveling. My wife works for a financial services firm. Management has said that they anticipate no lay-offs, as long as financial mark...

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by ckfred
Wed Mar 25, 2020 5:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier
Replies: 2164
Views: 380905

Re: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier

But, when people get cooped up, they will make up for lost time, once they can get out and about. When they can. A lot of my friends are now unemployed. Even assuming this resolves quickly, it'll be awhile before they have built the reserves to start traveling. We have a Federal Reserve Bank Presid...

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by ckfred
Tue Mar 24, 2020 7:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Fleet Updates - 2020
Replies: 1173
Views: 194045

Re: AA Fleet Updates - 2020

I read that AA is flying 777s on DFW-FRA, solely with cargo. There is enough airfreight demand between central Texas to Germany that AA will fly one to three times per week. I also saw that AA has at least on 787 on PHL-ORD, doing a round-trip. That was last week. So, I don't know if that is in the ...

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by ckfred
Mon Mar 23, 2020 12:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier
Replies: 2164
Views: 380905

Re: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier

I know it took some time for airlines to recover after 9/11. Simply put, people were afraid to get on airplanes, thinking terrorists would try to cause more crashes. People were unsure if the government could screen passengers and keep terrorists and explosives off of airplanes. And then there were ...

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by ckfred
Fri Mar 13, 2020 4:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Network Thread - 2020
Replies: 1951
Views: 245219

Re: American Airlines Network Thread - 2020

This morning, Warren Buffet announced that the Berkshire Hathaway shareholders' meeting will not have the public in attendance. All events held with the meeting are cancelled. So, will AA, as well as other carriers, drop their extra weekend service to OMA for May 2 through May 5? I don't remember al...

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by ckfred
Tue Mar 10, 2020 7:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Sale-leaseback on 788s for American
Replies: 42
Views: 11786

Re: Sale-leaseback on 788s for American

The advantage for Boeing is that AA's 788s are now being sold, meaning that Boeing will get paid for the agreed-upon price, when AA takes delivery. With Boeing Capital owning the aircraft and leasing to AA, Boeing gets money with every lease payment that AA makes. So, Boeing's cash flow will improve...

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by ckfred
Tue Mar 10, 2020 7:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 3/8/2020:AA Drops PHX-PIT/TPA,CHAPHL,DFWOAK Adds ORDHNL;DL Drops KIXSEA;UA Drops IAHCAK,FLLSFO,IAHYEG,MSYSFO
Replies: 104
Views: 18443

Re: OAG Changes 3/8/2020:AA Drops PHX-PIT/TPA,CHAPHL,DFWOAK Adds ORDHNL;DL Drops KIXSEA;UA Drops IAHCAK,FLLSFO,IAHYEG,MS

I just read on CNBC's website that AA is cutting international flying by 10% this summer, with huge cuts on flying to Asia. Domestic flying in April will be around 7.5%. I'm guessing that changes in flying listed on this post are a combination of Coronavirus and lack of MAX aircraft. Listening to CN...

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by ckfred
Tue Feb 25, 2020 7:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Chicago Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 891
Views: 126948

Re: Chicago Aviation Thread - 2020

Here's another problem with Peotone, getting there. Both ORD and MDW have CTA rapid transit from the Loop, and ORD has Metra commuter rail service from the Loop and the north suburbs. Peotone has no rail service in the area. And here's what I think the the big problem. Because it took so long to bui...

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by ckfred
Tue Feb 25, 2020 6:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 2/23/2020:AA Drops ORD-CRW/DLH,Adds Back JFK Flights;UA Drops JAN-ORD Again;UP Exits FLL-GGT
Replies: 70
Views: 13402

Re: OAG Changes 2/23/2020:AA Drops ORD-CRW/DLH,Adds Back JFK Flights;UA Drops JAN-ORD Again;UP Exits FLL-GGT

Back in the 1970s and early 1980s, my father-in-law used to fly to Duluth from Cleveland on NW for business, changing planes at ORD. Generally, the 727s flying between ORD and DLH were full. But, that was 40+ years ago. It might be that DL has the bulk of traffic going in and out of Duluth, connecti...

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by ckfred
Wed Feb 19, 2020 4:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why Is DL More Profitable Than UA and AA?
Replies: 142
Views: 20849

Re: Why Is DL More Profitable Than UA and AA?

You would have to think that for the past year, the 737 MAX situation has played to Delta's favor. AA, UA, and WN have had to cancel tens of thousands of flights due to the lack of narrowbody aircraft. Delta, having no MAX jets in its fleet, has been able to fly the schedule that its wanted for the ...

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by ckfred
Fri Feb 07, 2020 3:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Chicago Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 891
Views: 126948

Re: Chicago Aviation Thread - 2020

I dropped off my wife at ORD this morning. As I was heading east on I-190, I saw a new ATS train heading south, over I-190, towards the terminals. It appeared to be empty. My assumption is that the track work and other renovations are far enough along that they can start testing the new ATS cars. I'...

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by ckfred
Mon Jan 27, 2020 6:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 1/26/2020:UA Cuts IAH-PBI,JAN-ORD;Adds ORD-MFR;NK Cuts JAX-DTW
Replies: 65
Views: 10908

Re: OAG Changes 1/26/2020:UA Cuts IAH-PBI,JAN-ORD;Adds ORD-MFR;NK Cuts JAX-DTW

On AA's LAX-ATL frequencies, the questions no one is asking is how much of that traffic is O&D Los Angeles, and how much is connecting for destinations throughout the Pacific? Perhaps the fourth flight is meant for connections.

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by ckfred
Wed Jan 22, 2020 9:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA "American Champions" program
Replies: 56
Views: 5368

Re: AA "American Champions" program

It doesn't matter what industry you look at. There will be people who don't like management or find that a job wears on them. I know a lot of school teachers. It is surprising how many teachers think their superintendent is an idiot. But, they still love teaching. But, a few teachers I know used to ...

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by ckfred
Wed Jan 15, 2020 10:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Chicago Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 891
Views: 126948

Re: Chicago Aviation Thread - 2020

It seems to me that the economy lot south of the rental car garage can't be that big of an issue. I've heard that it's the structure where the tickets are dispensed for entry to the lot and payment is made while exiting that is the problem. Considering that the ATS elevated tracks will remain, if t...

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by ckfred
Tue Jan 14, 2020 11:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Chicago Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 891
Views: 126948

Re: Chicago Aviation Thread - 2020

It seems to me that the economy lot south of the rental car garage can't be that big of an issue. I've heard that it's the structure where the tickets are dispensed for entry to the lot and payment is made while exiting that is the problem. Considering that the ATS elevated tracks will remain, if th...

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by ckfred
Sat Jan 11, 2020 9:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Chicago Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 891
Views: 126948

Re: Chicago Aviation Thread - 2020

Regarding the various VAL systems: only O'Hare and Taipei (as well as the deceased install in Jacksonville, where O'Hare did buy the rolling stock) used the wider VAL 256 standard. So O'Hare has an orphan which Siemens (who now uses Matra's patents) is not pursuing, even though a successor to VAL 2...

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by ckfred
Tue Jan 07, 2020 5:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Chicago Aviation Thread - 2020
Replies: 891
Views: 126948

Re: Chicago Aviation Thread - 2020

IIRC, part of the problem with the ATS is that gauge of track for automated systems is no longer used. I don't know if gauge for new systems is wider or narrower, but I seem to recall that the City decided that trying to rebuild the existing track to a current gauge was exorbitant. So, you have a co...

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by ckfred
Tue Dec 17, 2019 9:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: 2019 College Football Charters Thread
Replies: 146
Views: 21067

Re: 2019 College Football Charters Thread

Anyone figured out how North Central College (suburban Chicago) and Wisconsin-Whitewater are getting to the Houston area for the Stagg Bowl (DIII championship)? Normally, DIII schools play in conferences that are geographically small, requiring only bus travel.

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by ckfred
Tue Dec 17, 2019 8:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q4 2019, Production suspended
Replies: 5670
Views: 745462

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q4 2019, Production suspended

I think what has Boeing, its suppliers, the airlines, pilot unions, and the like upset is that the FAA will no longer give a timeline for getting the MAX recertified and back into the air. I understand that a lot of "penciled-in" dates have come and gone. But someone at the FAA must have a...

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by ckfred
Tue Dec 10, 2019 8:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Chicago Aviation Thread - 2019
Replies: 1170
Views: 220124

Re: Chicago Aviation Thread - 2019

The $64,000 question for ORD is when the ATS system will resume operations. Neither the City nor the primary contractor will give a completion date, since the prior dates were all wrong. The system was never supposed to go into full shutdown for any extended period of time. Last spring, the plan was...

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by ckfred
Tue Dec 10, 2019 8:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Announces AUS-BOS/SJC/SJD, One-Off BOS-SDF/OMA/AGS + More
Replies: 61
Views: 12187

Re: AA Announces AUS-BOS/SJC/SJD, One-Off BOS-SDF/OMA/AGS + More

United has flown SFO-OMA the weekend of the Berkshire Hathaway shareholders meeting. I'm a shareholder and have attended the meeting several times. It now attracts about 30,000 to 40,000 people. I've met people from San Francisco, LA, New York, Boston, as well as Europe, Japan, and China. If you try...

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by ckfred
Sun Dec 08, 2019 5:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing NMA in doubt as customers push for all new 737MAX and 757 replacement
Replies: 1049
Views: 152734

Re: Boeing NMA in doubt as customers push for all new 737MAX and 757 replacement

The 757 was supposed to be the clean sheet replacement for the 727. The 727-100 seated around 125 passengers, in the denser configurations common post-deregulation. (When AA introduced the 727-100, it was 22F and 66Y, for a total of 88 seats.) The 727-200 seated around 150 passengers. But, Eastern t...

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by ckfred
Fri Dec 06, 2019 7:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Leadership Recognizes Widening Gap Between Itself, Delta - article
Replies: 232
Views: 38434

Re: AA Leadership Recognizes Widening Gap Between Itself, Delta - article

Crandall looks pretty good right now. A good friend of mine has been an AA pilot for 30 years. I haven't asked him lately what he thinks of Doug Parker. However, as mad as he used to get at Bob Crandall before he retired, he has felt that every CEO since, including Arpey, Horton, and Carty has not ...

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by ckfred
Tue Nov 12, 2019 7:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Eagle ERJ 145 Slides Off Icy Runway
Replies: 65
Views: 10768

Re: American Eagle ERJ 145 Slides Off Icy Runway

I looked at most of the local Chicago TV stations coverage on their websites. It's amazing how badly people understand commercial aviation. First, several passengers were fuming that it was going to be several hours, before their checked baggage would be available. No kidding. Do they not understand...

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by ckfred
Thu Nov 07, 2019 5:11 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q4 2019, Production suspended
Replies: 5670
Views: 745462

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q4 2019

An entity that is profit-making seems far more willing to issue a schedule, and then keep changing it, compared to government which much prefers to hedge its bets. Case in point is the automated transit system at ORD. About a month ago, the Chicago Aviation Department announced that the system will ...

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by ckfred
Thu Nov 07, 2019 4:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Fleet Repaint Thread
Replies: 267
Views: 65190

Re: United Fleet Repaint Thread

Earlier this week, I saw a photo of MAXs parked outside of the factory. There were two 737-9s in UA colors. One on the old livery. One in the new.

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by ckfred
Thu Nov 07, 2019 4:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Leadership Recognizes Widening Gap Between Itself, Delta - article
Replies: 232
Views: 38434

Re: AA Leadership Recognizes Widening Gap Between Itself, Delta - article

Crandall looks pretty good right now. A good friend of mine has been an AA pilot for 30 years. I haven't asked him lately what he thinks of Doug Parker. However, as mad as he used to get at Bob Crandall before he retired, he has felt that every CEO since, including Arpey, Horton, and Carty has not ...

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by ckfred
Sun Nov 03, 2019 6:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Leadership Recognizes Widening Gap Between Itself, Delta - article
Replies: 232
Views: 38434

Re: AA Leadership Recognizes Widening Gap Between Itself, Delta - article

Some of the operational issues are because the mechanics are without a contract. A friend of mine at AA says that even pilots are a bit annoyed, when a mechanic decides that something must be fixed that would normally be left until an airplane arrives at its overnight airport. When Doug Parker and S...

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by ckfred
Sun Nov 03, 2019 6:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 11/3/2019:AA Exits MIA-CMW/HOG/SCU/SNU/VRA,JFK-SEA;B6 Exits FLL-CMW/HOG/SNU;NK and WN Extension
Replies: 46
Views: 9949

Re: OAG Changes 11/3/2019:AA Exits MIA-CMW/HOG/SCU/SNU/VRA,JFK-SEA;B6 Exits FLL-CMW/HOG/SNU;NK and WN Extension

I could see AA dropping ORD-COS in the summer, but you would think that in the winter, AA would want a round trip from ORD to every Colorado airport near a ski resort.

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by ckfred
Fri Nov 01, 2019 4:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing NMA in doubt as customers push for all new 737MAX and 757 replacement
Replies: 1049
Views: 152734

Re: Boeing NMA in doubt as customers push for all new 737MAX and 757 replacement

I seem to remember that back around 2005 or 2006, Boeing started hinting that it was considering a new narrowbody as a successor to the 737, as well as the 757-200. A friend of mine at AA told me that both AA and Southwest expressed interest. AA needed a plane to replace the retired F100 fleet. The ...

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by ckfred
Tue Sep 10, 2019 3:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA Fleet Updates - 2019
Replies: 993
Views: 188494

Re: AA Fleet Updates - 2019

It seems to me that one of the MD-80s should go to the Museum of Flight in Seattle.

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by ckfred
Thu Aug 22, 2019 11:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UNITED airlines @ Schiphol
Replies: 57
Views: 10599

Re: UNITED airlines @ Schiphol

A while back, there was a WSJ article about where jobs will go, if the UK does follow through on Brexit, particularly in the financial services sector. Frankfurt has some restrictive zoning laws that makes the building of the huge trading rooms common with banks and brokerage houses all but impossib...

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by ckfred
Mon Aug 19, 2019 4:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumor: American Airlines to Modify Project Oasis Planes.
Replies: 258
Views: 53705

Re: Rumor: American Airlines to Modify Project Oasis Planes.

Considering how many AA MD-80s and F100s I've flown, with no entertainment whatsoever, I always bring a book, a couple of magazines, and the Chicago Tribune and the WSJ. If the 738 has no IFE, I start with the WSJ.

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by ckfred
Mon Aug 19, 2019 4:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Rumor: American Airlines to Modify Project Oasis Planes.
Replies: 258
Views: 53705

Re: Rumor: American Airlines to Modify Project Oasis Planes.

I don’t understand the fixation on seat back IFE that many people have on this forum. Wouldn’t it be simpler to have in seat power in all seats and bring your own device? Here's the rub. I don't travel for business, so I don't have a laptop. I have a tablet, but it's ancient and very slow. I only t...

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by ckfred
Tue Aug 13, 2019 3:41 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA gets permanent injunction against mechanics union
Replies: 117
Views: 17961

Re: AA gets permanent injunction against mechanics union

First, I know a lot of unionized workers who gladly take on overtime. When pay is time and a half or double, a few hours per week adds up. The fact that AA mechanics aren't taking overtime tells me there is a concerted effort to disrupt AA's operations. Second, I wonder if legacy AA employees are ha...

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by ckfred
Mon Aug 12, 2019 5:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Network Thread - 2019
Replies: 934
Views: 166665

Re: American Airlines Network Thread - 2019

Still, this is nothing like back in the late 1980s and early 1990s, when service to the West Coast from ORD was mostly widebodies (DC-10s, 762s, and 763s). That included SEA, SFO, LAX, SAN, PHX, and LAS.

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by ckfred
Sat Aug 10, 2019 6:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: American Airlines Increases International Presence, Makes First Entrance Into Africa
Replies: 509
Views: 111950

Re: Updated: American Airlines Increases International Presence, Makes First Entrance Into Africa

After reading all of the comments about Doug Parker, the question I have is whether the unions now regret supporting Parker and his efforts to have US buy AA out of bankruptcy. Any thoughts? Of course, the unions initially like every AA CEO, grew to dislike him strongly, then missed him when the ne...

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by ckfred
Thu Aug 08, 2019 5:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: American Airlines Increases International Presence, Makes First Entrance Into Africa
Replies: 509
Views: 111950

Re: Updated: American Airlines Increases International Presence, Makes First Entrance Into Africa

After reading all of the comments about Doug Parker, the question I have is whether the unions now regret supporting Parker and his efforts to have US buy AA out of bankruptcy. Any thoughts? Of course, the unions initially like every AA CEO, grew to dislike him strongly, then missed him when the nex...

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by ckfred
Thu Aug 01, 2019 5:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American extending life of some 757s, A320s, and 737s
Replies: 70
Views: 18166

Re: American extending life of some 757s, A320s, and 737s

I saw an interview on CNBC with Doug Parker on the day of the earnings release. He said that retirement plans are being modified and will continue to be modified with the continued grounding of the MAX. He was polite, but you could tell that he is frustrated that Boeing and the FAA can't seem to giv...

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by ckfred
Tue Jul 30, 2019 6:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United forms partnership with Clear
Replies: 34
Views: 5599

Re: United forms partnership with Clear

Clear is also getting involved with the screening at sports venues. So, if you fly out of an airport with Clear, and you go to games at the local sports stadium that has Clear screening, it really makes sense to join Clear. I know Clear operates at DTW, as well as the home field of the Detroit Tiger...

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by ckfred
Tue Jul 30, 2019 6:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA move to T5 in LHR?
Replies: 72
Views: 13627

Re: AA move to T5 in LHR?

Assuming that AA is pushing BA to allows a shift its LHR operations from Terminal 3 to Terminal 5, one has to assume that BA would like to move its ORD departures from Terminal 5 to Terminal 3. IB already departs out out of ORD T3 for MAD, as does JAL for MRT. The problem is that BA has been using a...

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by ckfred
Tue Jul 30, 2019 6:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AA ORD Ground Stop 7-29-2019
Replies: 27
Views: 6785

Re: AA ORD Ground Stop 7-29-2019

This was probably 15 years ago, but I had dropped off my wife at ORD. She was flying Eagle that evening to CLT. About the time I pulled in the driveway, she called to say that the flight was cancelled, as were many other flights. The AA baggage office was a madhouse, because people were trying to ge...

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by ckfred
Thu Jun 27, 2019 3:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: ORD "People Mover" Shutdown Causing Headaches
Replies: 77
Views: 19266

Re: ORD "People Mover" Shutdown Causing Headaches

My experience and the experience of friends for arriving at T5 is that Immigration and Customs aren't the bottlenecks. It's waiting for checked bags. Several years ago, I flew LHR-ORD on a BA 773. I could not believe the number of people who had checked bags, as well as the size of the bags. You wou...

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