Search found 73 matches

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by yonahleung
Fri Oct 23, 2020 7:20 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: The case for more aircraft production cuts/playing chicken
Replies: 278
Views: 29066

Re: The case for more aircraft production cuts/playing chicken

I don't know what you think, lightsaber, but I think they're smoking weed in Toulouse. Airbus said it had asked suppliers to “protect” a production rate of 47 A320-family jets a month, up from 40, meaning it wants suppliers to be ready to support that rate when needed. It indicated the earliest suc...

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by yonahleung
Wed Jun 10, 2020 3:51 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Cathay Pacific News and Discussion thread
Replies: 465
Views: 116187

Re: Cathay Pacific News and Discussion thread

All in all it's pretty much a nationalization of CX in a different guise. CX is worth $34-some billion and after the $4.5 billion loss in April and now the $30 billion bail out package, you can do the math. The Aviation 2020 Holding is set up and owned by the HK government. With the 2 non-voting bo...

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by yonahleung
Tue Jun 09, 2020 3:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Cathay Pacific News and Discussion thread
Replies: 465
Views: 116187

Re: Cathay Pacific News and Discussion thread

Current rumour in Hong Kong is that there may be a state bailout of Cathay Pacific.

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by yonahleung
Thu Apr 23, 2020 4:14 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1896
Views: 67841

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020

Do you think professors and teachers are going to teach with masks on? How can they interact and have a discussion with students? It is not a solution at all and just one more way that the government wants to control you. What is so hard to understand? You're not wearing a mask literally every mome...

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by yonahleung
Thu Apr 23, 2020 4:09 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1896
Views: 67841

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020

Do you think professors and teachers are going to teach with masks on? How can they interact and have a discussion with students? It is not a solution at all and just one more way that the government wants to control you. Yes. And it is common sight here in Hong Kong. You just react and have a disc...

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by yonahleung
Sun Apr 19, 2020 6:56 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1896
Views: 67841

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020

https://www.medicalnewstoday.com/articles/new-study-questions-the-effectiveness-of-masks-against-sars-cov-2 This is not the final word on masks, only one study. It does raise serious questions about homemade and surgical masks and the covid-19 virus. No kidding. Not to mention people who wear masks...

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by yonahleung
Sun Apr 19, 2020 6:51 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1896
Views: 67841

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020

Some good insights from this Harvard modeling study. They warn that one-time strong quarantine efforts might simply create a later spike, which could actually be a worse spike, when quarantines are reduced. https://dash.harvard.edu/bitstream/handle/1/42638988/Social%20distancing%20strategies%20for%...

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by yonahleung
Tue Apr 14, 2020 4:46 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1896
Views: 67841

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020

And it is not proven that fresh food market was the starting point - it is being argued it was a spreading venue, and that makes sence. How efficient is a total change of lifestyle? Should US lead by example with closing of farm stores and farmer markets? Some infection recalls occur every few week...

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by yonahleung
Thu Apr 09, 2020 9:51 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1896
Views: 67841

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020

The first (reliable) results of the first immune testing are now live published. Now, means now, news meeting is still live ongoing in TV., Test results are form district "Heinsberg" in Germany, in this case from the city "Gangelt" , where there was the famous big carnival party...

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by yonahleung
Sun Apr 05, 2020 1:27 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: End of Coronavirus Emergency Prediction Thread
Replies: 30
Views: 1576

Re: End of Coronavirus Emergency Prediction Thread

I suspect it will depend on whether we can prove that the universal use of masks will be an effective social distancing measure that can flatten the curve far enough to allow a new normal. If masks can be proven to be useful and there is a very effective drug against the Wuhan virus, maybe restricti...

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by yonahleung
Sat Apr 04, 2020 6:15 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1896
Views: 67841

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020

The situation with 3M mask production in the US isn't black and white, and other countries have done similar things. However it seems only US citizens are doing such things : https://www.bbc.com/news/world-52161995 The president of the French Côte d'Azur region said that Americans went as far as br...

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by yonahleung
Fri Apr 03, 2020 5:16 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1896
Views: 67841

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020

With the ease of restrictions in China seems to make the Corona coming back can we assume that we need the countries to stay in lockdown until there is a vaccine? If yes can we assume that a vaccine will arrive in 12-18 month time in enough quantities, shall the world be in lockdown until june 2021...

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by yonahleung
Fri Apr 03, 2020 10:27 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020
Replies: 1896
Views: 67841

Re: Coronavirus Non Aviation Thread - April 2020

With the ease of restrictions in China seems to make the Corona coming back can we assume that we need the countries to stay in lockdown until there is a vaccine? If yes can we assume that a vaccine will arrive in 12-18 month time in enough quantities, shall the world be in lockdown until june 2021...

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by yonahleung
Fri Mar 27, 2020 7:59 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 166033

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Epidemiologist Behind Highly-Cited Coronavirus Model Admits He Was Wrong, Drastically Revises Model Amanda Prestigiacomo March 26th, 2020 https://www.dailywire.com/news/epidemiologist-behind-highly-cited-coronavirus-model-admits-he-was-wrong-drastically-revises-model Epidemiologist Neil Ferguson, w...

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by yonahleung
Wed Mar 25, 2020 2:35 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 166033

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

OK so NYC is the epicenter of this virus in the US. This was to be expected, population density in NYC is the highest across the nation. Mass public transit, connectivity with the world. So far despite having 16,000 cases in NYC, no reports of hospitals over stressed, lack of ventilators or such, n...

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by yonahleung
Sat Mar 14, 2020 4:37 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 166033

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

France is closing schools but that is too little too late. Even Belgium that was very conservative at first is taking much heavier steps. France will undoubtly follow in Italy's footsteps as Macron's pro-industrial stance will come back to bite him and his elite friends in the rear. I live in Paris...

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by yonahleung
Fri Mar 13, 2020 3:24 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 166033

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

A listener to UK radio rang the radio station to say he went to the supermarket just before it opened to get some shopping this morning. He said there were 500 people at the entrance doors. Once the doors were opened there was a mad rush to the toilet paper shelves - but no toilet paper! Is this a ...

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by yonahleung
Fri Mar 13, 2020 2:37 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 166033

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Closing schools - a good idea? I wonder if closing schools is actually likely to exacerbate things. Firstly, children appear to be very little affected when they catch the virus. Secondly, if children stop spending the day at school, they will need adult supervision. Who is going to supervise them?...

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by yonahleung
Fri Mar 13, 2020 6:54 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 166033

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

I am from Hong Kong and my advice is, a near complete lockdonw would only last 2-3 weeks and things will start getting back on track soon. Practice social distancing and you keep the number of cases at a level the healthcare system can manage and life will start going back to normal. South Korea is ...

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by yonahleung
Sat Mar 07, 2020 7:00 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 166033

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

bennett123 wrote:
Gatibosgru

What is PTO?.

If you cancel, will they compensate you?.

paid time off, which is called annual leave in most other countries

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by yonahleung
Tue Mar 03, 2020 4:32 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 166033

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

I would hazard to speculate that with the ability to trace the whereabouts of everyone from facial recognition and alipay/ wechat pay, it would be really easy to identify patient zero? The Chinese news has been able to identify some pretty interesting infection paths from surveillance cameras (e.g. ...

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by yonahleung
Sun Mar 01, 2020 7:50 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 166033

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Is there any historical pandemic that has similar transmission and mortality rates as the Coronavirus? It seems everyone forgot about H1N1 all of the sudden... In 2009, a novel H1N1 influenza (flu) virus emerged to cause the first flu pandemic in 40 years. The 2009 H1N1 pandemic was estimated to be...

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by yonahleung
Sat Feb 29, 2020 3:58 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 166033

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Things are bad but I don’t see the apocalypse everyone is predicting, specially when we learn that it is not the massive killer virus it is portrayed as Mmm... The word from the health specialists in the UK is that a lot of people are expected to catch COVID-19 unless measures are taken to stop its...

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by yonahleung
Fri Feb 28, 2020 12:38 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 166033

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Increase in new cases slowing down. Looks like we are going to plateau at about 100,000 infected. https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019%E2%80%9320_coronavirus_outbreak That is if you believe the Chinese figures. Seeing the US stock market's reaction we now kn...

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by yonahleung
Sun Feb 23, 2020 8:11 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 166033

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Objectively, the mortality rate for Coronavirus infections is no higher than the mortality rate for regular influenza infections. Perhaps it is time to admit you can’t control the spread and just advise people to be as hygienic as possible. Shutting down the entire planet is not gonna work. It will...

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by yonahleung
Sun Feb 23, 2020 4:02 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 166033

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Objectively, the mortality rate for Coronavirus infections is no higher than the mortality rate for regular influenza infections. Perhaps it is time to admit you can’t control the spread and just advise people to be as hygienic as possible. Shutting down the entire planet is not gonna work. It will...

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by yonahleung
Fri Feb 21, 2020 4:17 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 166033

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

The numbers in China do not correlate with the response. The outbreaks in Iran, Japan, and Korea make it seem implausible that China did so well out of Hubei. I believe people respond to Pavlovian conditioning. China has created a system that isn't conducive to stopping to virus nor restarting the ...

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by yonahleung
Thu Feb 20, 2020 5:17 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 166033

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

There's a live video on Youtube with continously updated figures: https://youtu.be/qgylp3Td1Bw One country that surprises me is Vietnam. 16 cases, and already 15 recovered. 0 deaths. Are they doing something differently, or are their stats off? Pretty up to date table: https://www.worldometers.info...

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by yonahleung
Fri Feb 14, 2020 5:28 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 166033

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Japan, Singapore, Hong Kong, and probably South Korea and Malaysia are in full outbreak, in my opinion. Singapore technically is still clusters of cases. The only problem is that the raw number of cluster had been increasing. I also didn't even realized that they're up to 67 confirmed cases now, as...

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by yonahleung
Fri Feb 14, 2020 7:40 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 166033

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

https://headlines.yahoo.co.jp/hl?a=20200214-00000037-kyodonews-soci This news says a patient in seventy years old whom the infected doctor saw in Wakayama prefecture has been newly confirmed positive and diagnosed as pneumonic. He is in serious condition. I think they are saying that the doctor had...

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by yonahleung
Thu Feb 13, 2020 5:00 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 166033

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

On man, the confirmed cases is up to 52,565 sudden!y. They're now including clinically diagnosed but not tested cases, so I guess that will confuse the numbers, but also that confirmed cases number does not appear to include those recovered or dead, from looking at https://ncov.dxy.cn/ncovh5/view/p...

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by yonahleung
Tue Feb 11, 2020 5:43 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 166033

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Latest news out of HK: https://www.thestandnews.com/politics/%E6%AD%A6%E6%BC%A2%E8%82%BA%E7%82%8E-%E9%9D%92%E8%A1%A3%E9%95%B7%E5%BA%B7%E9%82%A8%E5%BA%B7%E7%BE%8E%E6%A8%93-07-%E5%96%AE%E4%BD%8D%E6%A8%93%E4%B8%8A%E6%A8%93%E4%B8%8B%E5%85%88%E5%BE%8C%E7%A2%BA%E8%A8%BA-%E7%96%91%E7%B3%9E%E6%B8%A0%E6%8E%...

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by yonahleung
Mon Feb 10, 2020 7:40 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 166033

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Latest news coming out of China is that the incubation period can be up to 24 days for some patients.
https://hk.on.cc/hk/bkn/cnt/cnnews/20200210/bkn-20200210140538648-0210_00952_001.html

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by yonahleung
Sun Feb 09, 2020 5:38 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 166033

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

China has shut down their economy, appears to be forcing people into quarantine, forgoing weeks of Macau tax revenue, extended the Chinese new year. Lightsaber Correct me if I am wrong but does not the extended holiday finish soon? I have an idea that (apart from in areas in lockdown) people will g...

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by yonahleung
Sat Feb 08, 2020 6:38 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 166033

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

A particular person, be they young, old, infirm, handicapped, pregnant, will all experience a new viral disease somewhat differently. Genetics, current health, previous viral history all weigh in. Cases in China, from available data, seem to be showing it leveling off at about 3500 new cases a day ...

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by yonahleung
Fri Feb 07, 2020 4:16 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: What are you worrying about right now?
Replies: 74
Views: 2596

Re: What are you worrying about right now?

I am worried about running out of masks before the Coronavirus outbreak ends. I am in Hong Kong and someone from my building (of more than 1000 flats) and the building next to mine are both subject to household quarantine.

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by yonahleung
Thu Feb 06, 2020 7:09 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 166033

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Will this be like Spanish influenza where high school gyms and community dance halls become hospital wards? I guess we have a use for those empty department stores... :duck: This is such a slow outbreak... Lightsaber Already happening. They have turned the Wuhan Convention Centre into the "Ark...

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by yonahleung
Thu Feb 06, 2020 2:32 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 166033

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

Wuhan doctors can only test 4,200 samples per day. In other words, a technical limitation is, in my opinion, forcing under reporting of the issue: https://www.msn.com/en-in/news/other/wuhan-speeds-up-diagnosis-of-ncov-patients/ar-BBZIdxP All indications is that if a patient dies untested, they are ...

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by yonahleung
Thu Feb 06, 2020 4:38 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Novel Coronavirus outbreak
Replies: 4092
Views: 166033

Re: Novel Coronavirus outbreak

The most important issue is that this coronavirus has the potential to crash our healthcare systems, like SARS. While traffic accidents and the seasonal flu does not. From statistics available on the internet, some hospitals in Hubei have more than 100 medical personnel infected by the virus. If the...

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by yonahleung
Wed Feb 05, 2020 10:14 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: post coronavirus fares ?
Replies: 5
Views: 1145

Re: post coronavirus fares ?

From the experience of SARS, those of us in Hong Kong expect this to last until May. You are overly optimistic with the timeframe. We should be more worried about how many Asian carriers will still be standing at the end of all this. At the height of SARS, flights were still operating into HKG, thou...

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by yonahleung
Tue Jan 21, 2020 7:33 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: ANA - Singapore Airlines to form JV
Replies: 32
Views: 6495

Re: ANA - Singapore Airlines to form JV

J343 wrote:
Will this move open the oppirtunity for CX and JL to form a JV for HKG-Japan flights? They have extensive codesharing for most routes to and from Japan and HK vice versa.

Competition authorities would not allow. If CX and JL forms a JV there will be a monopoly on most HKG-Japan flights.

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by yonahleung
Wed Aug 28, 2019 1:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Probe launched after oxygen bottles on CX planes found half-empty before flight from YYZ to HKG
Replies: 27
Views: 11290

Re: Probe launched after oxygen bottles on CX planes found half-empty before flight from YVZ to HKG

I suspect this is sabotage by pro-Chinese ground crew at YYZ. We all know that the Chinese government is bullying CX and it is understandable that some pro-Chinese crew will take it into their own hands to "punish" CX. This is the Chinese modus operandi.

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by yonahleung
Mon Aug 26, 2019 6:26 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: CX and other companies fighting social media
Replies: 33
Views: 3579

Re: CX and other companies fighting social media

This is just CX being bullied by the Commies. A sad state of affairs when you can't speak your mind on social media in a personal capacity.
Why these CX employees were fired is because there are pro-commie CX employees reporting them on social media!

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by yonahleung
Tue May 14, 2019 3:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Business insider: Boeing 737-800 is “older version of MAX”
Replies: 104
Views: 18002

Re: Business insider: Boeing 737-800 is “older version of MAX”

If the 737-800 is not an older version of the MAX then why is there any grandfathering in certification? What's wrong with you guys?

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by yonahleung
Tue May 07, 2019 8:37 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Aeroflot 1492 SSJ100 fire at Moscow (SVO) - 40+ confirmed dead
Replies: 832
Views: 158142

Re: Updated: Aeroflot 1492 SSJ100 fire at Moscow (SVO) - 40+ confirmed dead

In law there are offences that carries "strict liability", that is you do not need to possess a certain state of mind before you are guilty of the offence. This is a matter of life and death. As a lawyer I do not see how you can escape without any liability if you did block the aisle or ex...

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by yonahleung
Sat Feb 10, 2018 4:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why do governments paint their aircraft in airline liveries?
Replies: 12
Views: 2675

Re: Why do governments paint their aircraft in airline liveries?

Actually, most countries have a dedicated fleet with a special livery ( usually run by the Air Force ) and all major countries do so : US, China, Russia, Japan, France, Germany... no "camouflage whatsoever". So as said above, the comaratively few who share their national commercial airlin...

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by yonahleung
Thu Jan 18, 2018 10:53 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: France govt abandons the Notre Dame des Landes Airport project
Replies: 52
Views: 8049

Re: France govt abandons the Notre Dame des Landes Airport project

I was thinking about visiting Mt St Michel and looked at RNS and was surprised about how little service and how small the airport is. According to Wikipedia, it closed 2016 with 640,000 passengers (despite a +18.8% increase over 2015). Why does RNS see so little service? Rennes is a relatively larg...

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by yonahleung
Wed Dec 06, 2017 3:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: HNA's financial woes
Replies: 98
Views: 27108

Re: HNA's airlines miss lease payments

Seems like the group can be both profitable and insolvent (in both the balance sheet sense and cashflow sense)

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by yonahleung
Mon Dec 04, 2017 2:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Lufthansa now Skytrax 5-Star
Replies: 34
Views: 9169

Re: Lufthansa now Skytrax 5-Star

I cannot think of anything of LH that deserves 5-stars...
The 320s? European Business Class? That 1 EUR biscuit on european flights? Unfriendly cabin crews? Honestly I am out of words for this
I guess this just shows Skytrax is a money game.

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by yonahleung
Sat Dec 02, 2017 3:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: CI Launches LGW + Future Codeshare with BA
Replies: 22
Views: 5217

Re: CI Launches LGW + Future Codeshare with BA

Cunard wrote:
But was that really the situation, did China Airlines actually off load passengers baggage in favour of cargo on the inaugural TPE to LGW route as I find that rather hard to believe regardless of what has been posted by the OP.

I can't see that from the two links posted by the OP...

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