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by blockski
Mon Sep 21, 2020 2:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Airbus unveils three hydrogen concepts
Replies: 131
Views: 9646

Re: Airbus unveiling three hydrogen concept plane today at 2pm CET

Hydrogen is worth exploring if you want aviation to have a future in a world where we need to reduce (and eventually eliminate) GHG emissions. Yes, it takes energy to create H2 so that the entire process is truly carbon-free, but aviation is always going to require fuel with a high enough energy den...

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by blockski
Fri Sep 11, 2020 3:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why United should establish a new TPA hub (or at least a focus city)
Replies: 64
Views: 7504

Re: Why United should establish a new TPA hub (or at least a focus city)

The demographics don’t really matter. The problem posted at the beginning of this thread still stands: The only value TPA would bring as a UA hub would be to serve as a LATAM/SA gateway. So why would UA compete against itself at IAH? Yep. The idea that TPA would make a good SE hub is completely uns...

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by blockski
Fri Aug 14, 2020 2:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DC Airports Thread - 2020
Replies: 104
Views: 13934

Re: DC Airports Thread - 2020

Any update on what's happening with planned new international flights? LOT has understandably only operated a handful of flights. Swiss was scheduled to start in March and Iberia in May, and now it seems questionable as to whether they will ever start. Were there any other routes scheduled to start...

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by blockski
Mon Jun 08, 2020 12:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why no second commercial airport for Atlanta?
Replies: 115
Views: 13524

Re: Why no second commercial airport for Atlanta?

Some airports completely closed - BWI replaced BAL (which is now a container port). The most recent American is example is DEN replacing Stapleton. The only examples of small airports emerging are for adding terminals and commercial service to existing airfields, and usually the impact is so small ...

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by blockski
Fri Jun 05, 2020 3:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why no second commercial airport for Atlanta?
Replies: 115
Views: 13524

Re: Why no second commercial airport for Atlanta?

Is LGA a "competitive hub" to JFK? Is MDW a "competitive hub" to ORD? Is HOU a "competitive hub" to IAH? Of course not. But they are secondary airports serving dense cities. Don't read too much into the 'hub' language - yes, absolutely, all of those airports are compet...

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by blockski
Fri Jun 05, 2020 12:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why no second commercial airport for Atlanta?
Replies: 115
Views: 13524

Re: Why no second commercial airport for Atlanta?

If the goal is to just provide closer access to populations in the northern suburbs, that's fine - but really small potatoes. We'd be talking something like PAE to SEA. Close to 4M resident in the MPO live on the northside of Atlanta, including Forsyth, Cherokee, DeKalb, Cobb, Gwinnett, Dawson, and...

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by blockski
Thu Jun 04, 2020 6:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why no second commercial airport for Atlanta?
Replies: 115
Views: 13524

Re: Why no second commercial airport for Atlanta?

There are lots of reasons why a second airport won't happen. But reverse the question: for what reason is a second airport necessary? What is the purpose? If the goal is to provide an alternative to Delta, then any effort is doomed to fail - it's not plausible that a second, competing airport would ...

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by blockski
Wed Jun 03, 2020 1:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why no second commercial airport for Atlanta?
Replies: 115
Views: 13524

Re: Why no second commercial airport for Atlanta?

Moreover, never has a second airport been built that would be smaller than the existing facility. DFW, ORD, IAH, etc. were all built out of necessity because the original airfields were simply too small and could not accommodate modern aircraft and larger passenger loads. It's very difficult to con...

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by blockski
Tue May 19, 2020 2:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Denver airport seeks to accelerate concourse projects by up to $560 million
Replies: 21
Views: 3300

Re: Denver airport seeks to accelerate concourse projects by up to $560 million

Two big factors play into how this money is allocated. First this is bond money that was bonded out back in 2018 for capital improvement projects,and due to the bond agreements the airport cannot take this money and spend it on things besides those projects. These projects have been planned since 2...

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by blockski
Fri May 15, 2020 2:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boston skyline height restrictions
Replies: 61
Views: 9029

Re: Boston skyline height restrictions

New York City and Chicago allow for 2000 feet, even though LaGuardia is 8 miles from Midtown Manhattan and Midway is 8 miles from Downtown Chicago. I have no idea how the FAA decides to pick these battles, only providing insight on what I know. My first thought with NYC and Chicago would be that th...

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by blockski
Fri May 15, 2020 12:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boston skyline height restrictions
Replies: 61
Views: 9029

Re: Boston skyline height restrictions

Fun fact - the FAA doesn't actually have any real veto power over anything. They can object if something will be a hazard, and that can have serious consequences for a project/city that decides to push forward. Lots of cities adjust their zoning laws in accordance with the FAA's airspace restriction...

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by blockski
Wed May 13, 2020 5:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Should airlines be allowed to hedge against fuel price flactuations ?
Replies: 58
Views: 5397

Re: Should airlines be allowed to hedge against fuel price flactuations ?

But o.k., I get your point. You mean to say if airlines and other consumers plan increased demand and buy forward contracts (or hedges) the forward price of oil (price of hedging) increases. Airlines get a signal to increase ticket prices which also means a signal to reduce the number of flights/ s...

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by blockski
Wed May 13, 2020 12:49 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Should airlines be allowed to hedge against fuel price flactuations ?
Replies: 58
Views: 5397

Re: Should airlines be allowed to hedge against fuel price flactuations ?

So far nobody told me which industry is better suited to cut oil consumption. Somebody has to cut consumption. Who? Nobody told you this because the entire premise of your question is silly. Various trading strategies (hedges, futures, options) do not not contradict the distribution effects of pric...

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by blockski
Mon May 11, 2020 1:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Time for the airlines to restart advertising
Replies: 114
Views: 10480

Re: Time for the airlines to restart advertising

Is why is it optimistic? look at TSA numbers. they are up up up week over week! Sounds like you haven't watched the news in a long time. Civil aviation worldwide is on life support for at least the next 18-24 months. “The news” cant even tell you what the weather will be like tomorrow without a per...

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by blockski
Wed May 06, 2020 8:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Time for the airlines to restart advertising
Replies: 114
Views: 10480

Re: Time for the airlines to restart advertising

advertising now would have negative value. And it's not like airlines have a lot of cash to spend on that right now, anyway. If you see any sort of 'advertising,' expect it to be about praising "front line workers" and other stuff similar to what you see from various brands, not sales deals.

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by blockski
Tue May 05, 2020 2:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Fleet, Network, & Livery Thread - 2020
Replies: 3102
Views: 540518

Re: United Fleet, Network, & Livery Thread - 2020

As the country is opening up, I made a couple calls to 3 friends and a relative that are are either a 1K or GS to see what there travel plans are and found out some startling, very concerning information. Below: United Global Service member based in Austin: Needs to go to SFO a few times in June bu...

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by blockski
Thu Apr 23, 2020 8:59 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier
Replies: 2164
Views: 380848

Re: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier

The pent up demand theory might hold some legs for next summer ie summer 2021. It won't be this summer 2020. 1.borders are closed 2. It's too close at this point alot of people book summer travel by now 3.the general public does not feed safe 4. Maybe the most import alot of the biggest destination...

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by blockski
Mon Apr 20, 2020 1:36 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Why do aviation safety agencies overlook obvious safety deficiencies ?
Replies: 60
Views: 8928

Re: Why do aviation safety agencies overlook obvious safety deficiencies ?

6) Yes I know I called even the regulatory agencies (like FAA, DGCA, etc.) as Safety-Agencies (like NTSB) but what is the point of mere regulations if all they end up doing is certifying unsafe aircraft ? The 737-MAX was certified by many such agencies across the world and what good did that do for...

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by blockski
Thu Apr 09, 2020 5:56 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Why do aviation safety agencies overlook obvious safety deficiencies ?
Replies: 60
Views: 8928

Re: Why do aviation safety agencies overlook obvious safety deficiencies ?

I would agree with the comments about cost/benefit. I would also note that there's a difference between a 'safety' agency with safety as their sole focus (like the NTSB) and a regulatory one with a broader mandate (like the FAA).

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by blockski
Tue Apr 07, 2020 9:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Fleet, Network, & Livery Thread - 2020
Replies: 3102
Views: 540518

Re: United Fleet, Network, & Livery Thread - 2020

https://twitter.com/AdamTuss/status/1247619950723969026
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Some news helicopter video here above IAD, showing a nearly empty parking lot and lots of United planes parked on the ramp and on the de-ice pads.

https://twitter.com/AdamTuss/status/1247619950723969026

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by blockski
Tue Apr 07, 2020 8:43 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Airport Photos in the wake of coronavirus impacts
Replies: 184
Views: 9918

Re: Airport Photos in the wake of coronavirus impacts

https://twitter.com/AdamTuss/status/1247619950723969026
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Here's a local news bit about the DC area, includes some aerial shots of IAD, including an empty parking lot and lots of United planes parked:

https://twitter.com/AdamTuss/status/1247619950723969026

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by blockski
Mon Apr 06, 2020 1:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airport construction projects question
Replies: 74
Views: 10717

Re: Airport construction projects question

Hi everyone. Just wondering there are a lot of major airport construction projects going on LAX,LGA, JFK, ORD, SLC, etc have they come to a stop due to convid-19?. There are two issues - one with health, and one with the economy. For health, lots of places have declared construction to be an 'essen...

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by blockski
Thu Apr 02, 2020 1:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Oil at $20/bbl. What does it mean for the 747 and A380?
Replies: 71
Views: 11170

Re: Oil at $20/bbl. What does it mean for the 747 and A380?

As for the aircraft implications, my theory is that low fuel prices and an uncertain economic future may lead airlines like EK, SQ, LH, BA to defer deliveries of new aircraft (specifically the 779), and extend the life of the existing VLA fleet. And yes there will be a contraction in passenger numb...

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by blockski
Thu Apr 02, 2020 11:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier
Replies: 2164
Views: 380848

Re: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier

You're kind of all over the place here. They had what was considered a very health amount of cash up until the world aviation market contracted by 75% inside of a month. Hind sight is 20/20. I expect the conversations of what level of catastrophe an airline should expect will be interesting over th...

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by blockski
Tue Mar 31, 2020 7:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Oil at $20/bbl. What does it mean for the 747 and A380?
Replies: 71
Views: 11170

Re: Oil at $20/bbl. What does it mean for the 747 and A380?

[ I don't think you're doing too well keeping up with, or analyzing, current events. Oil demand has crashed. Parked planes, parked cars, ~two billion people ordered to shelter in their homes. IHS Markit projects that Q1 2020 world oil demand will decline by 3.8 million barrels per day (BPD) from a ...

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by blockski
Tue Mar 31, 2020 7:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier
Replies: 2164
Views: 380848

Re: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier

Something to consider moving forward is Delta's covenant with MSP: "Delta elected to extend its airline lease agreement with the MAC through December 31, 2030. In addition, Delta made a significant commitment to MSP in signing a “hub covenant”. In its hub covenant, Delta agreed to maintain an ...

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by blockski
Mon Mar 30, 2020 8:49 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Extreme consolidation scenarios
Replies: 15
Views: 1818

Re: Extreme consolidation scenarios

DL/UA/AA may be ‘too large’ in their previous scope, yet all 3 expect to come out of Coronavirus as smaller carriers. While still unlikely, changes to the industry could allow the once ‘unthinkable’ to be looked at. If DL, UA, and AA each emerge as smaller carriers, it will be because the entire in...

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by blockski
Wed Mar 25, 2020 7:16 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: New United Livery - A Year in. Thoughts?
Replies: 19
Views: 1443

Re: New United Livery - A Year in. Thoughts?

It looks great. The new color scheme and the overall evolution of the total branding scheme (Polaris, website, livery, etc) is very nice.

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by blockski
Mon Mar 23, 2020 3:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier
Replies: 2164
Views: 380848

Re: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier

I'm convinced his TPG article is just another "fear mongering" spin by the media over this virus. So DL is going to downsize and emerge? What then about UA considering 80% of it's stock went into an equity buy back program? Seems like UA compared to DL should be in liquidation mode (AA pr...

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by blockski
Mon Mar 23, 2020 3:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier
Replies: 2164
Views: 380848

Re: Delta plans to emerge a "smaller" carrier

Could MSP, BOS, JFK/LGA, & SLC not theoretically do everything that DTW does today...? Yes. I never could figure out having two hubs (MSP and DTW) so close together. No other airline does that. What are you talking about? DTW-MSP is 530 miles. United has LAX and SFO (337mi) and IAD and EWR (212...

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by blockski
Mon Mar 16, 2020 6:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II
Replies: 1993
Views: 337628

Re: U.S. Airline Industry Request $50 Billion Dollar Bailout

Understand that airlines are hurting, but this is treating the symtoms and not the cause. What would be your suggestion, let a couple of airlines go under? Have a bunch of people unemployed? Create a mass disruption to the supply chain? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk If airlines go under, that'...

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by blockski
Mon Mar 16, 2020 6:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II
Replies: 1993
Views: 337628

Re: U.S. Airline Industry Request $50 Billion Dollar Bailout

They're specifically asking to be exempt from aviation taxes (including PFCs) until the end of 2021, which would be a huge blow to airports (which are already going to have a lot of problems to deal with). I realize A4A always has a particular axe to grind against the PFC, but this is a really bad i...

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by blockski
Fri Mar 13, 2020 7:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II
Replies: 1993
Views: 337628

Re: Coronavirus Aviation Related News & Discussion Thread - March 2020 - Part II

https://twitter.com/SalehaMohsin/status ... 6872461315

Seems like a move that a) won't help much, given how few tickets are being sold currently, and b) creates a bunch of new problems.
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The White House is floating the idea of letting airlines temporarily keep 7.5% excise tax and PFCs...

https://twitter.com/SalehaMohsin/status ... 6872461315

Seems like a move that a) won't help much, given how few tickets are being sold currently, and b) creates a bunch of new problems.

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by blockski
Fri Feb 21, 2020 12:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DC Airports Thread - 2020
Replies: 104
Views: 13934

Re: DC Airports Thread - 2020

Dedicated readers of this thread will note I included the link to this item on the MWAA Board Agenda in a previous post . :D The Board Meeting slides make it clear that the existing space is 9,100 sf, so I doubt there's an actual addition planned - just renovation. Just a quick measurement in Googl...

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by blockski
Thu Feb 20, 2020 2:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DC Airports Thread - 2020
Replies: 104
Views: 13934

Re: DC Airports Thread - 2020

OMAAT is reporting that Capital One will be building a lounge at IAD to open sometime next year. It will be in the main terminal post security, around 9,100ft², and cost around $7.5 million. For a space that large, it sounds like it will involve an addition. They're advertising "premium dining...

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by blockski
Thu Feb 20, 2020 2:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will there ever been a new greenfield major airport in the USA?
Replies: 144
Views: 14760

Re: Will there ever been a new greenfield major airport in the USA?

Do we really need any new greenfield airports?

We had a big push in the 50s-70s to build lots of new airports (or dramatically expand existing ones) and they all seem fine.

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by blockski
Wed Feb 19, 2020 8:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DC Airports Thread - 2020
Replies: 104
Views: 13934

Re: DC Airports Thread - 2020

More silver line delays possible after new flaws found in concrete panels and in train control software. https://wtop.com/tracking-metro-24-7/2020/01/new-details-on-silver-line-concrete-software-issues-that-could-contribute-to-opening-delay/ Surprise! Hello 2021! https://wtop.com/tracking-metro-24-...

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by blockski
Tue Feb 18, 2020 9:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: DC Airports Thread - 2020
Replies: 104
Views: 13934

Re: DC Airports Thread - 2020

Some pictures of DCA construction from social media: Most of the steel work on the New North Concourse is complete - the remaining task is to tie in the roof of the new concourse to the existing building: https://twitter.com/AdamTuss/status/1229869833266847744 You can also see a lot of vertical stee...

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by blockski
Tue Feb 18, 2020 4:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Time for UA to step up?
Replies: 241
Views: 29954

Re: Time for UA to step up?

That's not exactly true either. UA is not bigger at LGA than AA or DL at EWR. They're nearly the same but recall AA is nearly all mainline out of EWR and DL flies to more destinations out of EWR than UA out of LGA. UA has creep in flying RJs on LGA-ORD and IAH as well, and that's a rather new devel...

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by blockski
Tue Feb 18, 2020 1:31 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Time for UA to step up?
Replies: 241
Views: 29954

Re: Time for UA to step up?

The reason to stop talking about mergers is that future mergers for the US3 will not (and should not) be approved. It was reasonably clear after NW and DL was approved that we were going to go from 6 network carriers to 3. But now that we’re at 3, there are no more good reasons to allow any addition...

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by blockski
Sat Feb 15, 2020 12:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Time for UA to step up?
Replies: 241
Views: 29954

Re: Time for UA to step up?

If UA needs a true hub in the south, I would say beef up IAD more (then go for MCO or FLL but don't screw with RDU.) AA failed having a hub there and it's already a DL Focus City. UA retaliated when DL launched EWR-RDU with LGA-RDU and the latter got cut quickly. IAD is not a great place for connec...

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by blockski
Fri Feb 14, 2020 10:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Time for UA to step up?
Replies: 241
Views: 29954

Re: Time for UA to step up?

the only market UAL has yet to move to is the far Southeast. MIA, FLL, or MCO might make excellent Hub cities to connect with the rest of the system. Since there is already a presence in the Far SE putting a hub there is just a matter of terminal space. UAL was already in MIA and left MIA after bei...

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by blockski
Fri Feb 14, 2020 6:54 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Will SEA become the 2nd airport after ORD to be a hub for 2 of the US3?
Replies: 9
Views: 933

Re: Will SEA become the 2nd airport after ORD to be a hub for 2 of the US3?

sonicruiser wrote:
With the news of AA/AS expanding at SEA to counter DL, is SEA poised to be the 2nd US airport to be a hub for 2 of the US3 after ORD?


I'm not sure what standards you have for a hub. JFK already has AA and DL. LAX already has all three.

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by blockski
Fri Feb 14, 2020 6:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Time for UA to step up?
Replies: 241
Views: 29954

Re: Time for UA to step up?

I agree that FL is a no-go for a hub. It's too far out of the way. WN wouldn't be an obstacle if IA really wanted a hub at BNA. The problem with BNA is that it is space constrained with no room for expansion. SAV would be an interesting choice but I don't know if there's enough local sand for a dec...

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by blockski
Fri Feb 14, 2020 4:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Time for UA to step up?
Replies: 241
Views: 29954

Re: Time for UA to step up?

With AS joining AA in OneWorld greatly expanding their West Coast connectivity and DL growing in many cities including SEA, BOS, AUS, is it finally time for UA to make a move and expand outside of its hubs? Do yourself a favor before asking broad questions: research. You might start by charting dom...

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by blockski
Thu Feb 13, 2020 1:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JFK T4A Expansion
Replies: 114
Views: 21522

Re: JFK T4A Expansion

I don’t understand why they can’t just leave Terminal 1 alone and build a new small terminal on the T2/T3 site. When taking into account the space of T1, T2 and T3, simply building a new terminal on the T2/T3 site would be an ineffective use of real estate. PANYNJ is trying to maximize the limited ...

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by blockski
Wed Feb 12, 2020 6:15 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: HS2 Gets Approved
Replies: 51
Views: 1925

Re: HS2 Gets Approved

This is great news; they have their work cut out for them to contain costs, but the project is tremendously valuable. Tremendously valuable to whom? Why do we need to spend ludicrous amounts of money to save 20 minutes getting between Birmingham and London? As for containing costs, when has that ev...

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by blockski
Wed Feb 12, 2020 1:51 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: HS2 Gets Approved
Replies: 51
Views: 1925

Re: HS2 Gets Approved

This is great news; they have their work cut out for them to contain costs, but the project is tremendously valuable.

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by blockski
Mon Feb 03, 2020 2:30 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Taxi stand bureaucracy
Replies: 22
Views: 1543

Re: Taxi stand bureaucracy

But WHAT. IS. THE FREAKING. POINT. OF. THE TICKETS..... I worked as an MSP taxi starter once upon a time. The paper given to pax is not a "ticket". It is a customer information card. It contains average fares to various local locations and whom to contact if there is a problem on your rid...

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