Search found 2575 matches

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by JayinKitsap
Sat Sep 25, 2021 5:57 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Updated: RR Will Provide Jet Engines For The B-52 Re-engine
Replies: 271
Views: 56937

Re: New advertisement: B-52 re-engine back in the mix?

Congrats to RR, I was expecting PW or GE but this is good. I wonder where the others were. $ 2.6B / 608 = $4.276M each. The savings of overhauls at $2M each 6,000 hours comes into focus well. With Power by the hour hit by Covid, this will be a great revenue stream. 608 is a large % of the 3,600 BR70...

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by JayinKitsap
Sat Sep 25, 2021 5:11 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer New Turboprop Aircraft News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 537
Views: 75415

Re: Embraer New Turboprop Aircraft News and Discussion Thread

I'd speculated earlier that GE's subsidiary Dowty had figured out how to do a single-rotation propeller that effectively had the same thrust as contra-rotating propellers of the same diameter. I don't see how that could be possible in any scenario. No one can change the laws of physics, which is wh...

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by JayinKitsap
Thu Sep 23, 2021 8:19 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus 32X NEO program: why no length adjustment?
Replies: 48
Views: 6784

Re: Airbus 32X NEO program: why no length adjustment?

The whole neo effort was planned by Airbus to be a " minimum change " (thus, minimum cost) upgrade to the A32x family. The sales figures don't suggest Airbus made any blunders (ignoring active discussion about the value of the A319neo). This 'minimum change' was a real game changer, at le...

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by JayinKitsap
Thu Sep 23, 2021 7:58 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Mammoth freighters launches new 777 P-F programs.
Replies: 58
Views: 9724

Re: Mammoth freighters launches new 777 P-F programs.

Yeah. "Leading." Nice fluffy word. How's this for a definition of "leading": (A) over 40 years of experience engineering STCs and converting aircraft in-house; (B) successfully delivering well over 250 converted aircraft; (C) Converted the following: (D) converted aircraft have ...

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by JayinKitsap
Thu Sep 23, 2021 2:29 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: New defence pact AUUKUS
Replies: 242
Views: 11581

Re: New defence pact AUUKUS

I'm not saying you're wrong. I'm just saying you can buy brand new submarines for $600M, which is think is less then the $1B cost to refurbish each Collins. The cost of doing an Engineered Refueling Overhaul (ERO) of the Los Angeles subs is $406 million. The cost of a new Virginia class sub is over...

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by JayinKitsap
Thu Sep 23, 2021 2:13 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Lockheed reveals new LMXT refueling tanker
Replies: 101
Views: 6545

Re: Lockheed reveals new LMXT refueling tanker

Of course, it's not beyond the realm of possibility that Boeing offers a KC-46B with the same GenX fans that the new AF1 will be flying around. There's certainly a knock on benefit there for both programs. The kc-46B gets a range, efficiency and sustainment cost boost, and the new AF1 program gets ...

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by JayinKitsap
Wed Sep 22, 2021 6:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Reuters: Airbus launches A350 freighter
Replies: 1398
Views: 226202

Re: Updated: Reuters: Airbus launches A350 freighter

Meanwhile we see EK has signed up for five 77W P2F conversions from IAI: https://twitter.com/LeehamNews/status/1440414166368473089 Airbus better get moving on A350F, the SUVs converted to pickups are being bought by blue chip airlines. For a lot of 77W operators the only way to get a decent value o...

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by JayinKitsap
Wed Sep 22, 2021 4:18 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: New defence pact AUUKUS
Replies: 242
Views: 11581

Re: New defence pact AUUKUS

I would think a joint USN & Australia Base with Virginias would be the best move. Initially the onshore sub school and the dock / pier facilities to homeport 2 US boats, operating with both countries in the crew. Next, two leased to Australia boats, and two added US boats. Final buildout would b...

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by JayinKitsap
Wed Sep 22, 2021 3:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Reuters: Airbus launches A350 freighter
Replies: 1398
Views: 226202

Re: Updated: Reuters: Airbus launches A350 freighter

Meanwhile we see EK has signed up for five 77W P2F conversions from IAI: https://twitter.com/LeehamNews/status/1440414166368473089 Airbus better get moving on A350F, the SUVs converted to pickups are being bought by blue chip airlines. For a lot of 77W operators the only way to get a decent value o...

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by JayinKitsap
Sun Sep 19, 2021 7:37 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: New defence pact AUUKUS
Replies: 242
Views: 11581

Re: New defence pact AUUKUS

USNI has an article on the Attack class, it is an excellent source for Naval information. They regularly print the various reports to congress on boats, planes, etc. Not official navy but more in the know than any other media. They state "The U.S. Naval Institute is a non-profit membership asso...

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by JayinKitsap
Sun Sep 19, 2021 4:16 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: New defence pact AUUKUS
Replies: 242
Views: 11581

Re: New defence pact AUUKUS

The program is far from perfect, what ever is anyway?, Not even the P-8A ;) Wonder if this agreement would lead to possibly basing B3s in Austrailia. Is there any strategic or tactical advantage to do so? bt Interesting thought, does it add coverage compared to Guam and Diego Garcia? Australia has ...

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by JayinKitsap
Sun Sep 19, 2021 3:49 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Lockheed reveals new LMXT refueling tanker
Replies: 101
Views: 6545

Re: Lockheed reveals new LMXT refueling tanker

What is really important is the required specifications and evaluation standards for the proposal. Things like the following need to be the primary scoring. 1. Costs, of course - beside for the purchase, the cost of sustainment, cost per flight hour, cost per gallon delivered. 2. A fair evaluation f...

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by JayinKitsap
Sun Sep 19, 2021 3:04 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: New defence pact AUUKUS
Replies: 242
Views: 11581

Re: New defence pact AUUKUS

The Virginia class is built in 4 major sections, the propulsion plant would be a near complete section built in the US, the other 3 sections I envision being partially built either in the US or UK as it is very heavy very high strength steel requiring massive tooling. Work share where the Australia...

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by JayinKitsap
Sat Sep 18, 2021 9:17 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: New defence pact AUUKUS
Replies: 242
Views: 11581

Re: New defence pact AUUKUS

There were (and still are for the French Barracuda class) serious issues and delays in the just cancelled contract. In Dec 2018, in the placing of the contract 2 years in the making there were disputes over the termination clauses in the contract. Australia wanted a 2 year delay or 25% cost overrun...

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by JayinKitsap
Wed Sep 15, 2021 5:48 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: KC-46 now cleared to operationally refuel some aircraft
Replies: 32
Views: 4031

Re: KC-46 now cleared to operationally refuel some aircraft

I recall that the F-35 still hasn't reached full rate production, it hadn't by this article in Marchhttps://www.airforcemag.com/f-35-full-rate-still-months-away-but-wont-signal-production-surge/ It first flew in 2006, what is LockMart doing with this?! Boeing has screwed the pooch on the KC-46, that...

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by JayinKitsap
Wed Sep 15, 2021 5:37 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Amazon Fleet Discussion - 2021
Replies: 1023
Views: 149040

Re: Amazon Fleet Discussion - 2021

Since we're the Nice Thread! :D :D But I should have engaged my brain first. Outside of the military threads, the freighter threads are quite adult and reasonable compared to the food fights on so many threads. Yes, the Nice threads. It's interesting how more facts are brought forth and good discus...

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by JayinKitsap
Tue Sep 14, 2021 5:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Cessna SkyCourier Development and Testing Thread
Replies: 398
Views: 41161

Re: Cessna SkyCourier Development and Testing Thread

The cockpit is shown well, along with demonstration of the features for about 3 min starting at 2:00. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hRjgTrpKhnw I wonder if FedEX has reserved spots for its options, does seem strange that there has only been 1 plane ordered not by FedEX, might be such that other cu...

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by JayinKitsap
Sat Sep 11, 2021 1:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Mammoth freighters launches new 777 P-F programs.
Replies: 58
Views: 9724

Re: Mammoth freighters launches new 777 P-F programs.

Since a total of 79 744s and 20 763s have been converted I wonder at all of these rosy predictions for massive demand for converted 777s. The only scenario I see for that demand to materialize is if passenger traffic does not rebound, raising demand for dedicated freighters and creating a big surpl...

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by JayinKitsap
Thu Sep 09, 2021 8:57 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Updated: RR Will Provide Jet Engines For The B-52 Re-engine
Replies: 271
Views: 56937

Re: New advertisement: B-52 re-engine back in the mix?

I suspect there were some loading conditions considered that made it stout. Shock waves of a blast would seriously affect a plane.

I recall KC Top Boom bringing up that new wing skins need to occur as well as the number of other improvements that are under contract.

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by JayinKitsap
Wed Sep 08, 2021 9:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing - Can Lockheed Martin Please Save Us?
Replies: 53
Views: 9223

Re: Boeing - Can Lockheed Martin Please Save Us?

It is quite interesting how a company that can make planes that have 99+% dispatch reliability is so terrible it should close its doors and give up any further work. Bombardier face planted so bad it sold its crown jewels, sold off all but their business jets, screwed up its light rail so bad the NY...

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by JayinKitsap
Tue Sep 07, 2021 4:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Ryanair ends jet order talks with Boeing amid price dispute
Replies: 344
Views: 55647

Re: Updated: Ryanair ends jet order talks with Boeing amid price dispute

Was involved from an MRO perspective in a major component overhaul contract with a large US airline. This MRO held the contract for 20+ years and provided good on-time performance at a then good price that the airline accepted. So at contract renewal, the MRO was told to drop their contract price b...

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by JayinKitsap
Tue Sep 07, 2021 8:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Jazz Aviation Dash 8 Retirement
Replies: 2
Views: 1007

Re: Jazz Aviation Dash 8 Retirement

I am curious how all of the Dash 8 versions are doing. With the 8-400 production nearing its end, workers on strike, and the lease on the land ending at New Years is affecting valuations and maintenance big time. It may be that operating a -400 may now be less than the -300 so time to simplify the f...

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by JayinKitsap
Tue Sep 07, 2021 8:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Ryanair ends jet order talks with Boeing amid price dispute
Replies: 344
Views: 55647

Re: Updated: Ryanair ends jet order talks with Boeing amid price dispute

Ryanair has a ton of 737 options at various prices based on prior deals. Boeing will honor those until they expire. Pro rating these option prices to the -10 size would be an OK deal for both parties IF economic conditions remain comparable. This last year has been anything but normal, Aluminum pric...

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by JayinKitsap
Tue Sep 07, 2021 8:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airport architecture question: the rise and fall of the rotunda
Replies: 72
Views: 14024

Re: Airport architecture question: the rise and fall of the rotunda

Not sure if the term "toast rack" is used by the designers, but the name fits. Several island terminals connected underground with shuttles such as DEN and ATL are probably the most efficient for luggage transfer, passenger transfer, area per gate, cost per gate, and operation. DEN was abl...

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by JayinKitsap
Sun Sep 05, 2021 5:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Has Boeing permanently stopped production of all 777 passenger jets except 777X?
Replies: 30
Views: 8458

Re: Has Boeing permanently stopped production of all 777 passenger jets except 777X?

Boeing stopped taking orders for the 77L and 77W some time ago, only offering the 77X. However, production still has a few passenger planes and also the 77F to be built. I didn't look deep in the 777 production thread but I recall there are a dozen or so pre 77X still to be produced.

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by JayinKitsap
Sun Sep 05, 2021 7:46 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Skyscraper Fire in Milan
Replies: 15
Views: 1147

Re: Skyscraper Fire in Milan

This building used a rain screen exterior panel system much like the Grenfell Towers had. It was a foam faced on both sides with a 26 gauge aluminum bonded as a composite. This is placed with a 1" minimum air space behind that is flashed "to weather" so any wind driven rain that gets ...

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by JayinKitsap
Sun Sep 05, 2021 7:10 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Texas abortion law
Replies: 332
Views: 15163

Re: Texas abortion law

Everyone is missing the big thing here. Some talented lawyers looked at how the federal judiciary has blocked most state laws on abortion and other hot buttons because the federal court has jurisdiction over states actions. By not having a state action but allow for civil lawsuits is a States issue,...

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by JayinKitsap
Wed Sep 01, 2021 4:54 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: US military bases in Afghanistan after drawdown?
Replies: 124
Views: 13189

Re: US military bases in Afghanistan after drawdown?

Night vision goggles, radios, and security electronics are a big deal. That is unless the US only sent to Afghanistan in the last decade the old stuff, keeping the new gear outside of the country. Well, all of that equipment is being reverse engineered in China and Russia as we speak. It would have ...

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by JayinKitsap
Wed Sep 01, 2021 4:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will the Airbus 330neo be developed further ?
Replies: 164
Views: 23205

Re: Will the Airbus 330neo be developed further ?

It would be wonderful for Airbus to go ahead with this A330MAX, more power to them.

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by JayinKitsap
Tue Aug 31, 2021 11:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will the Airbus 330neo be developed further ?
Replies: 164
Views: 23205

Re: Will the Airbus 330neo be developed further ?

I would surmise that doing the A322 would have a much better ROI. Adding 30 pax and 600 NM range would take a big piece of the market where belly freight is low. Where high amount of freight a A330ceo does fine.

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by JayinKitsap
Tue Aug 31, 2021 11:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will the Airbus 330neo be developed further ?
Replies: 164
Views: 23205

Re: Will the Airbus 330neo be developed further ?

I would surmise that doing the A322 would have a much better ROI. Adding 30 pax and 600 NM range would take a big piece of the market where belly freight is low. Where high amount of freight a A330ceo does fine.

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by JayinKitsap
Mon Aug 30, 2021 5:04 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will the Airbus 330neo be developed further ?
Replies: 164
Views: 23205

Re: Will the Airbus 330neo be developed further ?

I think futher improvement still possible with re-engining - There exists an unique oppurtunity with PW1100G geared turbofan :spin: :spin: :spin: :spin: T7000/T1000 is more expensive than PW1100G on per pound of thrust basis, largely due to the economies of scale PW1100G enjoys with high volume A32...

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by JayinKitsap
Wed Aug 25, 2021 3:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: KE to retire A380 in the next 5 years, 747-8 within 10 years
Replies: 123
Views: 21579

Re: KE to retire A380 in the next 5 years, 747-8 within 10 years

In every field there are the sweet spots in designs: capacity of power generators, height and size of buildings, length of trains, size of ships, and yes size of planes. At the current tech level the sweet spot in wide body planes is the B789 & A359 fleets, bigger than that it is hard to improv...

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by JayinKitsap
Tue Aug 24, 2021 8:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: KE to retire A380 in the next 5 years, 747-8 within 10 years
Replies: 123
Views: 21579

Re: KE to retire A380 in the next 5 years, 747-8 within 10 years

Well there is a terrific opportunity for an upstart airline that can figure out how to make money with a A380 fleet. Hard to imagine, but with almost no capital cost, it could be done. In every field there are the sweet spots in designs: capacity of power generators, height and size of buildings, le...

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by JayinKitsap
Tue Aug 24, 2021 4:32 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Boeing MQ-25 News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 126
Views: 24837

Re: Boeing MQ-25 News and Discussion Thread

Once the MQ-25's are operational it is quite likely there will be other variants for coms, sensors, radars etc. Don't need stealth if the radar is on, but that would allow the carrier's radar to be off, or other patrol aircraft not needing their's on. You betting that the MQ-25 is the optimal platf...

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by JayinKitsap
Tue Aug 24, 2021 12:26 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Boeing MQ-25 News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 126
Views: 24837

Re: Boeing MQ-25 News and Discussion Thread

Once the MQ-25's are operational it is quite likely there will be other variants for coms, sensors, radars etc. Don't need stealth if the radar is on, but that would allow the carrier's radar to be off, or other patrol aircraft not needing their's on.

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by JayinKitsap
Tue Aug 24, 2021 12:05 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: US military bases in Afghanistan after drawdown?
Replies: 124
Views: 13189

Re: US military bases in Afghanistan after drawdown?

Well, we had in past removed any valuable equipment—KSA bases, for example. Apparently, when you forget about your people, equipment is way down the list. I totally agree, not trying to be a jerk about it. It's stupefying, really. And the abandonment of Bagram was all planned back on April 24th app...

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by JayinKitsap
Mon Aug 23, 2021 9:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer New Turboprop Aircraft News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 537
Views: 75415

Re: Embraer New Turboprop Aircraft News and Discussion Thread

At today's Embraer earnings event they had a few more details including images. SVP of Engineerings Luis Carlos Affonso said the basic configuration for 70-90 seater has largely been settled on, and the commercial team would have more to share later this year. The fuselage would have the same diame...

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by JayinKitsap
Mon Aug 23, 2021 4:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: US Activates the CRAF program for Afghanistan
Replies: 176
Views: 35097

Re: Updated: US Activates the CRAF program for Afghanistan

I wonder if they couldn't just reach an agreement with Emirates to run a shuttle between Dubai and Atlanta or something like that. They have plenty of A380s sitting idle. The US Government has a Buy American requirement, I’m sure there are some exceptions, but since this is work US carriers can do,...

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by JayinKitsap
Mon Aug 23, 2021 2:47 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Boeing MQ-25 News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 126
Views: 24837

Re: Boeing MQ-25 News and Discussion Thread

Well Lockheed and GA were both crying that Boeing had seriously underbid the program, this is the first time that drones will be flying off of carriers, a serious leap in capability. LM's bid was reported to be far higher. With the 3 contracts landed in the fall of 19 - MQ-25, the helos, and the T-...

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by JayinKitsap
Sun Aug 22, 2021 8:21 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Boeing MQ-25 News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 126
Views: 24837

Re: Boeing MQ-25 News and Discussion Thread

Looking at some MQ-25 budget documents .... Unit cost is about $150M per. Not counting development, nor support, just production. You could easily buy an actual F/A 18 for much less! In addition, there are ~1.5B in "other support, which is not "initial spares" nor "RDT&E&quo...

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by JayinKitsap
Sun Aug 22, 2021 7:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: KE to retire A380 in the next 5 years, 747-8 within 10 years
Replies: 123
Views: 21579

Re: KE to retire A380 in the next 5 years, 747-8 within 10 years

These decisions are made by accountants using sophisticated computer programs, taking into account depreciation, tax laws, current and future operational costs, cargo capacity on pax planes, maintenance schedules, if an 'mx hog' with its costs, potential resale values and need for capacity. Look a ...

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by JayinKitsap
Sat Aug 21, 2021 6:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Reuters: Airbus launches A350 freighter
Replies: 1398
Views: 226202

Re: Updated: Reuters: Airbus launches A350 freighter

I have not posted in this thread in a long time. My last post said something like I wish Airbus the best with the A350F. However, I'm not sure that it will work out economically. Time will tell. Note that I'm also not sure that an B77X-F will work out economically as well. I believe that both the A...

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by JayinKitsap
Mon Aug 16, 2021 7:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Reuters: Airbus launches A350 freighter
Replies: 1398
Views: 226202

Re: Updated: Reuters: Airbus launches A350 freighter

Because Boeing's production lines are full? Unless Airbus invests a ton of money in A350F to improve its abilities I don't see it selling that much at all. It will have to compete with cheap end of line 777F and Boeing 777ERSF. A330 NEO-F is not launched and may never see the light of day as 330 go...

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by JayinKitsap
Mon Aug 16, 2021 12:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Reuters: Airbus launches A350 freighter
Replies: 1398
Views: 226202

Re: Updated: Reuters: Airbus launches A350 freighter

RR's power by the hour. This will not wor for RR, because some freight airlines use the plan around the clock and others only two times each night. DHL, UPS and Fedex would be very happy to get subsidized engines, and pay only a few hours a day. The perfect short-haul widebody freighter for them. T...

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by JayinKitsap
Sun Aug 15, 2021 11:25 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Updated: RR Will Provide Jet Engines For The B-52 Re-engine
Replies: 271
Views: 56937

Re: New advertisement: B-52 re-engine back in the mix?

A little bird might be talking in background that the award for this phase is approaching. In early summer there were reports the program cost was rising by like 9%, probably fed by the review of the proposals, etc. I can't find any formal information as to award dates, etc. In today's market an ord...

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by JayinKitsap
Sun Aug 15, 2021 9:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Reuters: Airbus launches A350 freighter
Replies: 1398
Views: 226202

Re: Updated: Reuters: Airbus launches A350 freighter

Until we see booked orders, most of this is just speculation. The A350F would work well in fleets already flying the A350 due to the commonality for maintenance and pilot pools. For primarily freighter airlines adding the A350F means a totally new system - pilots, vendors, engine manufacturer's, RR'...

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by JayinKitsap
Sat Aug 14, 2021 9:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska Airlines Fleet/Network Thread - 2021
Replies: 1831
Views: 245512

Re: Alaska Airlines Fleet/Network Thread - 2021

My SO and I both had our first flights since 2019 last week. Her to Boston, me to MSP, both on miles in First. Her schedule changed twice, dropping two seats, upping her to first, then changing the schedule a 2nd time. Had to call their service number listed on the ticket. Customer service took less...

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by JayinKitsap
Fri Aug 13, 2021 9:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer New Turboprop Aircraft News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 537
Views: 75415

Re: Embraer New Turboprop Aircraft News and Discussion Thread

Some considerations this moving of the engines to the rear addresses: - Above the wing engines are more difficult to maintain or do quick checks on at the gate. - Aren't there some newer requirements for belt armor of the cabin to protect for a blade out. This has moved the area damaged by a blade o...

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