Search found 2561 matches

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by JayinKitsap
Sat Sep 18, 2021 9:17 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: New defence pact AUUKUS
Replies: 136
Views: 4497

Re: New defence pact AUUKUS

There were (and still are for the French Barracuda class) serious issues and delays in the just cancelled contract. In Dec 2018, in the placing of the contract 2 years in the making there were disputes over the termination clauses in the contract. Australia wanted a 2 year delay or 25% cost overrun...

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by JayinKitsap
Wed Sep 15, 2021 5:48 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: KC-46 now cleared to operationally refuel some aircraft
Replies: 25
Views: 2975

Re: KC-46 now cleared to operationally refuel some aircraft

I recall that the F-35 still hasn't reached full rate production, it hadn't by this article in Marchhttps://www.airforcemag.com/f-35-full-rate-still-months-away-but-wont-signal-production-surge/ It first flew in 2006, what is LockMart doing with this?! Boeing has screwed the pooch on the KC-46, that...

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by JayinKitsap
Wed Sep 15, 2021 5:37 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Amazon Fleet Discussion - 2021
Replies: 1019
Views: 147530

Re: Amazon Fleet Discussion - 2021

Since we're the Nice Thread! :D :D But I should have engaged my brain first. Outside of the military threads, the freighter threads are quite adult and reasonable compared to the food fights on so many threads. Yes, the Nice threads. It's interesting how more facts are brought forth and good discus...

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by JayinKitsap
Tue Sep 14, 2021 5:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Cessna SkyCourier Development and Testing Thread
Replies: 398
Views: 40987

Re: Cessna SkyCourier Development and Testing Thread

The cockpit is shown well, along with demonstration of the features for about 3 min starting at 2:00. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hRjgTrpKhnw I wonder if FedEX has reserved spots for its options, does seem strange that there has only been 1 plane ordered not by FedEX, might be such that other cu...

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by JayinKitsap
Sat Sep 11, 2021 1:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Mammoth freighters launches new 777 P-F programs.
Replies: 49
Views: 7516

Re: Mammoth freighters launches new 777 P-F programs.

Since a total of 79 744s and 20 763s have been converted I wonder at all of these rosy predictions for massive demand for converted 777s. The only scenario I see for that demand to materialize is if passenger traffic does not rebound, raising demand for dedicated freighters and creating a big surpl...

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by JayinKitsap
Thu Sep 09, 2021 8:57 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: New advertisement: B-52 re-engine back in the mix?
Replies: 213
Views: 51134

Re: New advertisement: B-52 re-engine back in the mix?

I suspect there were some loading conditions considered that made it stout. Shock waves of a blast would seriously affect a plane.

I recall KC Top Boom bringing up that new wing skins need to occur as well as the number of other improvements that are under contract.

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by JayinKitsap
Wed Sep 08, 2021 9:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing - Can Lockheed Martin Please Save Us?
Replies: 53
Views: 9089

Re: Boeing - Can Lockheed Martin Please Save Us?

It is quite interesting how a company that can make planes that have 99+% dispatch reliability is so terrible it should close its doors and give up any further work. Bombardier face planted so bad it sold its crown jewels, sold off all but their business jets, screwed up its light rail so bad the NY...

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by JayinKitsap
Tue Sep 07, 2021 4:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Ryanair ends jet order talks with Boeing amid price dispute
Replies: 330
Views: 50816

Re: Updated: Ryanair ends jet order talks with Boeing amid price dispute

Was involved from an MRO perspective in a major component overhaul contract with a large US airline. This MRO held the contract for 20+ years and provided good on-time performance at a then good price that the airline accepted. So at contract renewal, the MRO was told to drop their contract price b...

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by JayinKitsap
Tue Sep 07, 2021 8:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Jazz Aviation Dash 8 Retirement
Replies: 2
Views: 998

Re: Jazz Aviation Dash 8 Retirement

I am curious how all of the Dash 8 versions are doing. With the 8-400 production nearing its end, workers on strike, and the lease on the land ending at New Years is affecting valuations and maintenance big time. It may be that operating a -400 may now be less than the -300 so time to simplify the f...

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by JayinKitsap
Tue Sep 07, 2021 8:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Ryanair ends jet order talks with Boeing amid price dispute
Replies: 330
Views: 50816

Re: Updated: Ryanair ends jet order talks with Boeing amid price dispute

Ryanair has a ton of 737 options at various prices based on prior deals. Boeing will honor those until they expire. Pro rating these option prices to the -10 size would be an OK deal for both parties IF economic conditions remain comparable. This last year has been anything but normal, Aluminum pric...

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by JayinKitsap
Tue Sep 07, 2021 8:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airport architecture question: the rise and fall of the rotunda
Replies: 72
Views: 13856

Re: Airport architecture question: the rise and fall of the rotunda

Not sure if the term "toast rack" is used by the designers, but the name fits. Several island terminals connected underground with shuttles such as DEN and ATL are probably the most efficient for luggage transfer, passenger transfer, area per gate, cost per gate, and operation. DEN was abl...

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by JayinKitsap
Sun Sep 05, 2021 5:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Has Boeing permanently stopped production of all 777 passenger jets except 777X?
Replies: 30
Views: 8417

Re: Has Boeing permanently stopped production of all 777 passenger jets except 777X?

Boeing stopped taking orders for the 77L and 77W some time ago, only offering the 77X. However, production still has a few passenger planes and also the 77F to be built. I didn't look deep in the 777 production thread but I recall there are a dozen or so pre 77X still to be produced.

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by JayinKitsap
Sun Sep 05, 2021 7:46 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Skyscraper Fire in Milan
Replies: 15
Views: 1125

Re: Skyscraper Fire in Milan

This building used a rain screen exterior panel system much like the Grenfell Towers had. It was a foam faced on both sides with a 26 gauge aluminum bonded as a composite. This is placed with a 1" minimum air space behind that is flashed "to weather" so any wind driven rain that gets ...

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by JayinKitsap
Sun Sep 05, 2021 7:10 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Texas abortion law
Replies: 317
Views: 13773

Re: Texas abortion law

Everyone is missing the big thing here. Some talented lawyers looked at how the federal judiciary has blocked most state laws on abortion and other hot buttons because the federal court has jurisdiction over states actions. By not having a state action but allow for civil lawsuits is a States issue,...

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by JayinKitsap
Wed Sep 01, 2021 4:54 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: US military bases in Afghanistan after drawdown?
Replies: 124
Views: 13045

Re: US military bases in Afghanistan after drawdown?

Night vision goggles, radios, and security electronics are a big deal. That is unless the US only sent to Afghanistan in the last decade the old stuff, keeping the new gear outside of the country. Well, all of that equipment is being reverse engineered in China and Russia as we speak. It would have ...

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by JayinKitsap
Wed Sep 01, 2021 4:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will the Airbus 330neo be developed further ?
Replies: 164
Views: 22978

Re: Will the Airbus 330neo be developed further ?

It would be wonderful for Airbus to go ahead with this A330MAX, more power to them.

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by JayinKitsap
Tue Aug 31, 2021 11:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will the Airbus 330neo be developed further ?
Replies: 164
Views: 22978

Re: Will the Airbus 330neo be developed further ?

I would surmise that doing the A322 would have a much better ROI. Adding 30 pax and 600 NM range would take a big piece of the market where belly freight is low. Where high amount of freight a A330ceo does fine.

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by JayinKitsap
Tue Aug 31, 2021 11:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will the Airbus 330neo be developed further ?
Replies: 164
Views: 22978

Re: Will the Airbus 330neo be developed further ?

I would surmise that doing the A322 would have a much better ROI. Adding 30 pax and 600 NM range would take a big piece of the market where belly freight is low. Where high amount of freight a A330ceo does fine.

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by JayinKitsap
Mon Aug 30, 2021 5:04 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will the Airbus 330neo be developed further ?
Replies: 164
Views: 22978

Re: Will the Airbus 330neo be developed further ?

I think futher improvement still possible with re-engining - There exists an unique oppurtunity with PW1100G geared turbofan :spin: :spin: :spin: :spin: T7000/T1000 is more expensive than PW1100G on per pound of thrust basis, largely due to the economies of scale PW1100G enjoys with high volume A32...

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by JayinKitsap
Wed Aug 25, 2021 3:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: KE to retire A380 in the next 5 years, 747-8 within 10 years
Replies: 123
Views: 21509

Re: KE to retire A380 in the next 5 years, 747-8 within 10 years

In every field there are the sweet spots in designs: capacity of power generators, height and size of buildings, length of trains, size of ships, and yes size of planes. At the current tech level the sweet spot in wide body planes is the B789 & A359 fleets, bigger than that it is hard to improv...

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by JayinKitsap
Tue Aug 24, 2021 8:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: KE to retire A380 in the next 5 years, 747-8 within 10 years
Replies: 123
Views: 21509

Re: KE to retire A380 in the next 5 years, 747-8 within 10 years

Well there is a terrific opportunity for an upstart airline that can figure out how to make money with a A380 fleet. Hard to imagine, but with almost no capital cost, it could be done. In every field there are the sweet spots in designs: capacity of power generators, height and size of buildings, le...

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by JayinKitsap
Tue Aug 24, 2021 4:32 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Boeing MQ-25 News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 126
Views: 24747

Re: Boeing MQ-25 News and Discussion Thread

Once the MQ-25's are operational it is quite likely there will be other variants for coms, sensors, radars etc. Don't need stealth if the radar is on, but that would allow the carrier's radar to be off, or other patrol aircraft not needing their's on. You betting that the MQ-25 is the optimal platf...

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by JayinKitsap
Tue Aug 24, 2021 12:26 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Boeing MQ-25 News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 126
Views: 24747

Re: Boeing MQ-25 News and Discussion Thread

Once the MQ-25's are operational it is quite likely there will be other variants for coms, sensors, radars etc. Don't need stealth if the radar is on, but that would allow the carrier's radar to be off, or other patrol aircraft not needing their's on.

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by JayinKitsap
Tue Aug 24, 2021 12:05 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: US military bases in Afghanistan after drawdown?
Replies: 124
Views: 13045

Re: US military bases in Afghanistan after drawdown?

Well, we had in past removed any valuable equipment—KSA bases, for example. Apparently, when you forget about your people, equipment is way down the list. I totally agree, not trying to be a jerk about it. It's stupefying, really. And the abandonment of Bagram was all planned back on April 24th app...

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by JayinKitsap
Mon Aug 23, 2021 9:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer New Turboprop Aircraft News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 485
Views: 66881

Re: Embraer New Turboprop Aircraft News and Discussion Thread

At today's Embraer earnings event they had a few more details including images. SVP of Engineerings Luis Carlos Affonso said the basic configuration for 70-90 seater has largely been settled on, and the commercial team would have more to share later this year. The fuselage would have the same diame...

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by JayinKitsap
Mon Aug 23, 2021 4:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: US Activates the CRAF program for Afghanistan
Replies: 176
Views: 34461

Re: Updated: US Activates the CRAF program for Afghanistan

I wonder if they couldn't just reach an agreement with Emirates to run a shuttle between Dubai and Atlanta or something like that. They have plenty of A380s sitting idle. The US Government has a Buy American requirement, I’m sure there are some exceptions, but since this is work US carriers can do,...

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by JayinKitsap
Mon Aug 23, 2021 2:47 am
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Boeing MQ-25 News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 126
Views: 24747

Re: Boeing MQ-25 News and Discussion Thread

Well Lockheed and GA were both crying that Boeing had seriously underbid the program, this is the first time that drones will be flying off of carriers, a serious leap in capability. LM's bid was reported to be far higher. With the 3 contracts landed in the fall of 19 - MQ-25, the helos, and the T-...

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by JayinKitsap
Sun Aug 22, 2021 8:21 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: Boeing MQ-25 News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 126
Views: 24747

Re: Boeing MQ-25 News and Discussion Thread

Looking at some MQ-25 budget documents .... Unit cost is about $150M per. Not counting development, nor support, just production. You could easily buy an actual F/A 18 for much less! In addition, there are ~1.5B in "other support, which is not "initial spares" nor "RDT&E&quo...

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by JayinKitsap
Sun Aug 22, 2021 7:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: KE to retire A380 in the next 5 years, 747-8 within 10 years
Replies: 123
Views: 21509

Re: KE to retire A380 in the next 5 years, 747-8 within 10 years

These decisions are made by accountants using sophisticated computer programs, taking into account depreciation, tax laws, current and future operational costs, cargo capacity on pax planes, maintenance schedules, if an 'mx hog' with its costs, potential resale values and need for capacity. Look a ...

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by JayinKitsap
Sat Aug 21, 2021 6:08 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Reuters: Airbus launches A350 freighter
Replies: 1377
Views: 221855

Re: Updated: Reuters: Airbus launches A350 freighter

I have not posted in this thread in a long time. My last post said something like I wish Airbus the best with the A350F. However, I'm not sure that it will work out economically. Time will tell. Note that I'm also not sure that an B77X-F will work out economically as well. I believe that both the A...

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by JayinKitsap
Mon Aug 16, 2021 7:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Reuters: Airbus launches A350 freighter
Replies: 1377
Views: 221855

Re: Updated: Reuters: Airbus launches A350 freighter

Because Boeing's production lines are full? Unless Airbus invests a ton of money in A350F to improve its abilities I don't see it selling that much at all. It will have to compete with cheap end of line 777F and Boeing 777ERSF. A330 NEO-F is not launched and may never see the light of day as 330 go...

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by JayinKitsap
Mon Aug 16, 2021 12:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Reuters: Airbus launches A350 freighter
Replies: 1377
Views: 221855

Re: Updated: Reuters: Airbus launches A350 freighter

RR's power by the hour. This will not wor for RR, because some freight airlines use the plan around the clock and others only two times each night. DHL, UPS and Fedex would be very happy to get subsidized engines, and pay only a few hours a day. The perfect short-haul widebody freighter for them. T...

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by JayinKitsap
Sun Aug 15, 2021 11:25 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: New advertisement: B-52 re-engine back in the mix?
Replies: 213
Views: 51134

Re: New advertisement: B-52 re-engine back in the mix?

A little bird might be talking in background that the award for this phase is approaching. In early summer there were reports the program cost was rising by like 9%, probably fed by the review of the proposals, etc. I can't find any formal information as to award dates, etc. In today's market an ord...

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by JayinKitsap
Sun Aug 15, 2021 9:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Reuters: Airbus launches A350 freighter
Replies: 1377
Views: 221855

Re: Updated: Reuters: Airbus launches A350 freighter

Until we see booked orders, most of this is just speculation. The A350F would work well in fleets already flying the A350 due to the commonality for maintenance and pilot pools. For primarily freighter airlines adding the A350F means a totally new system - pilots, vendors, engine manufacturer's, RR'...

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by JayinKitsap
Sat Aug 14, 2021 9:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alaska Airlines Fleet/Network Thread - 2021
Replies: 1800
Views: 238286

Re: Alaska Airlines Fleet/Network Thread - 2021

My SO and I both had our first flights since 2019 last week. Her to Boston, me to MSP, both on miles in First. Her schedule changed twice, dropping two seats, upping her to first, then changing the schedule a 2nd time. Had to call their service number listed on the ticket. Customer service took less...

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by JayinKitsap
Fri Aug 13, 2021 9:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Embraer New Turboprop Aircraft News and Discussion Thread
Replies: 485
Views: 66881

Re: Embraer New Turboprop Aircraft News and Discussion Thread

Some considerations this moving of the engines to the rear addresses: - Above the wing engines are more difficult to maintain or do quick checks on at the gate. - Aren't there some newer requirements for belt armor of the cabin to protect for a blade out. This has moved the area damaged by a blade o...

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by JayinKitsap
Fri Aug 13, 2021 8:04 pm
Forum: Technical/Operations
Topic: Continuous explosion in jet engine during operation?
Replies: 21
Views: 2289

Re: Continuous explosion in jet engine during operation?

The roar is a portion of the energy being emitted as sound, verses heat, or pressure. Jet engines release a crazy amount of energy but it is steady state so 'burn' is the appropriate term. The internal combustion cycle is much closer to explosions, but as GF noted the propagation speeds are below th...

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by JayinKitsap
Fri Aug 13, 2021 7:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Amazon Fleet Discussion - 2021
Replies: 1019
Views: 147530

Re: Amazon Fleet Discussion - 2021

On a cost-benefit analysis, doing this panel upgrade when converting should have a nice short payback period. Probably a lot less power used as well as lighter too. IS&S says it reduces power consumption by 92 watts and weight by 180 pounds. Purports to reduce the number of individual component...

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by JayinKitsap
Fri Aug 13, 2021 5:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing/Production Thread - 2021
Replies: 669
Views: 146023

Re: Boeing 777X Testing/Production Thread - 2021

caoimhin wrote:
Niloko wrote:
It's not that large tho. Only 1 or 2 humans worth of length longer than 77W


The 77W is, itself, quite a large plane.


and the 779 is now the largest passenger aircraft still in production, with the 748 and A388 production about to totally cease.

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by JayinKitsap
Fri Aug 13, 2021 5:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qatar Airways has grounded 13 A350’s at the request of the Qatar Aviation regulator
Replies: 223
Views: 44014

Re: Qatar Airways has grounded 13 A350’s at the request of the Qatar Aviation regulator

Some factors that could cause Qatar's fuse skin to degrade faster than typical. 1. The hub is a very hot, constantly sunny location, also dusty. 2. The paint is in a gray, with little white pigment, which is quite reflective and also more "opaque'. More sunlight energy, in particular the UV, ge...

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by JayinKitsap
Fri Aug 13, 2021 5:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Amazon Fleet Discussion - 2021
Replies: 1019
Views: 147530

Re: Amazon Fleet Discussion - 2021

IS&S did let go one tidbit, which is that their system, which is installed now in some 500 aircraft, has proven to be extraordinarily-reliable, with a huge mean time between failures. The CEO said 250,000-300,000 hours mean time between failures, which I did a double-take on, but that's what he...

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by JayinKitsap
Sat Aug 07, 2021 7:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Reuters: Airbus launches A350 freighter
Replies: 1377
Views: 221855

Re: Updated: Reuters: Airbus launches A350 freighter

I hazard a guess that the insurer of the aircraft would only insure an aircraft with all certifications in place. No insurer would insure a new building unless it can be shown to have its certificate of occupancy. The lender will insist on being a named insured to protect its investment, etc. In Was...

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by JayinKitsap
Wed Aug 04, 2021 8:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Time to bring back (some) regulation
Replies: 121
Views: 10301

Re: Time to bring back (some) regulation

Yes, we should require 3 bags to be free for each ticket, including golf clubs, barbell sets, and skies. Delays should be compensated at $100/hr even if for maintenance or weather. Those planes can certainly fly through a tornado thank you. Lost bags get compensated at $1,000 each. Seats should be t...

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by JayinKitsap
Sun Aug 01, 2021 8:23 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Condor orders Airbus A330-900neo
Replies: 130
Views: 26414

Re: Condor orders Airbus A330-900neo

It’s somewhat of a big deal because AAX represents almost a quarter of the order book, and they are hardly the only questionable order at the moment (Iran Air for 28, UFO which is believed to be HNA group for 50). The fact that they were so spread out over ~7-10 years meant that unless Airbus start...

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by JayinKitsap
Sun Aug 01, 2021 4:06 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Reuters: Airbus launches A350 freighter
Replies: 1377
Views: 221855

Re: Updated: Reuters: Airbus launches A350 freighter

Do you think they can still halt the process and drop the whole thing if not enough commitments are obtained, say in the next twelve months? Of course they can, they did so with the A380F. Or do you think the freighter program is important enough such that Airbus launches it even if there is not an...

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by JayinKitsap
Fri Jul 30, 2021 9:05 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Condor orders Airbus A330-900neo
Replies: 130
Views: 26414

Re: Condor orders Airbus A330-900neo

You look at widebody deliveries overall, and there was a massive (possibly ridiculous) surge in the 2010's, with nearly 3,500 being delivered in the decade. In 2013, 2014, and 2015, all 3 of the A330, 777, and 787 were in 3-digit delivery mode, or virtually so (99 in the case of the 777). It is lit...

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by JayinKitsap
Fri Jul 30, 2021 8:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Reuters: Airbus launches A350 freighter
Replies: 1377
Views: 221855

Re: Updated: Reuters: Airbus launches A350 freighter

Now, I hope Airbus manages to build it and show what their concept can do. I'm not sure it will be a market success though. Perhaps yes, Perhaps no. It depends a lot on what Boeing does and how many 777W's get converted to Freighters. I also expect the 764-F to be developed and produced. Most of th...

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by JayinKitsap
Thu Jul 29, 2021 9:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Cessna SkyCourier Public Flying Demo Tomorrow at EAA Airventure Oshkosh
Replies: 76
Views: 9597

Re: Cessna SkyCourier Public Flying Demo Tomorrow at EAA Airventure Oshkosh

Yes, this 'ordinary aircraft' has probably been optimized for its intended mission. A certain quality of runway was used in the design, any rougher of a surface increases gear impact, doing floats or adding allowance for drifting snow etc would require stronger gear and structure along with a paylo...

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by JayinKitsap
Thu Jul 29, 2021 5:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing CEO's Comments On Their Next Airplane
Replies: 2225
Views: 244943

Re: Boeing CEO's Comments On Their Next Airplane

Boeing is a big ship that is quite hard to turn appreciably from its current momentum. They have had their way of doing business for decades, but the world is going to fully digital designs. Now the cockpit of the next version of any plane needs to be designed to new standards verses the way it was ...

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by JayinKitsap
Thu Jul 29, 2021 5:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Cessna SkyCourier Public Flying Demo Tomorrow at EAA Airventure Oshkosh
Replies: 76
Views: 9597

Re: Cessna SkyCourier Public Flying Demo Tomorrow at EAA Airventure Oshkosh

Well... If you wish to put up a $6 Million SkyCourier and a crew willing to be stranded to prove the aircraft in the worst weather in the world... That's up to you. If your not, then your not. I don't think the companies operating in the Arctic will be interested in that test. A new Twin Otter 400 ...

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