Search found 8550 matches

by par13del
Mon Jul 22, 2019 10:41 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 873
Views: 126624

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

In any event, I see no way that the MAX program returns an overall program profit. Same as the 787. So Boeing will have its cash cow - 737 - never make a profit along with the 787 which requires a paper write off, but Chpt.11 is so far outside the realm of possibility that when suggested as a possi...

Jump to post
by par13del
Sun Jul 21, 2019 5:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 873
Views: 126624

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

So as this is a unique situation, if resolved by a software update the regulators would revert to the procedures for normal software update?
I only asked in case we think this grounding is unique.

Jump to post
by par13del
Sun Jul 21, 2019 1:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 873
Views: 126624

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

So Boeing has the staff to travel to all the sites of the grounded a/c to upload the software in a "reasonable" period of time? On the test flight, is it something that the regulators would require, this grounding is somewhat unique in recent times when most countries now have their own re...

Jump to post
by par13del
Sun Jul 21, 2019 1:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 873
Views: 126624

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

Regardless, if a software update is approved, it still has to be loaded before the a/c can go back into commercial service. Since we have no new updates on where they are, just thought it would be interesting to speculate on how the ungrounding would work from a logistics point of view, will the reg...

Jump to post
by par13del
Sun Jul 21, 2019 11:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 873
Views: 126624

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

So let's speculate on the next item that could potentially cause problems if the a/c is cleared with a software fix. Over 400 or more ( those already delivered and continued production ) a/c will need to have the software uploaded and if required / demanded, proving test flights. If Boeing has to do...

Jump to post
by par13del
Sat Jul 20, 2019 3:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 873
Views: 126624

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

10 is closer to reality. I'm shocked how eagerly markets eats whatever bs Boeing feeds them. You saying the markets are made up of easily influenced investors? Hmmm....why exactly would folks make such markets so influential in the world and go there for financing if the principals are so easily fo...

Jump to post
by par13del
Fri Jul 19, 2019 5:38 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit part 6: Encore un moment Monsieur le Bourreau
Replies: 2037
Views: 108717

Re: Brexit part 6: Encore un moment Monsieur le Bourreau

It is troubling but unfortunately common that the victims keep defending the very people who are stripping their future bare at the same time. Well, they accounted for 52% of the voters who voted leave, and a lot of them were spread across all political parties, indeed there are / were labour stron...

Jump to post
by par13del
Fri Jul 19, 2019 5:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Expects a $5.6 Billion Hit for 737 Max Disruptions
Replies: 125
Views: 12919

Re: Boeing Expects a $5.6 Billion Hit for 737 Max Disruptions

I beg to differ. Remember Carrier in IN? This is a good description Basically: - Carrier asked for tax break or threatened to cut 2,100 jobs from one factory in Indiana and transfer production to Mexico; - Indiana offered around $1M in tax break; - Carrier said no way; - Indiana increased the offer...

Jump to post
by par13del
Fri Jul 19, 2019 3:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Expects a $5.6 Billion Hit for 737 Max Disruptions
Replies: 125
Views: 12919

Re: Boeing Expects a $5.6 Billion Hit for 737 Max Disruptions

There's no need to pass a law for that. Here's how it can play out: Company: local authorities, we need more tax break or we'll move jobs out. Local Authority, after many back and forth: here's several hundreds of millions of dollars of tax break. Please stay here. What is missing from your narrati...

Jump to post
by par13del
Fri Jul 19, 2019 3:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 873
Views: 126624

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

10 is closer to reality. I'm shocked how eagerly markets eats whatever bs Boeing feeds them. You saying the markets are made up of easily influenced investors? Hmmm....why exactly would folks make such markets so influential in the world and go there for financing if the principals are so easily fo...

Jump to post
by par13del
Fri Jul 19, 2019 2:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Expects a $5.6 Billion Hit for 737 Max Disruptions
Replies: 125
Views: 12919

Re: Boeing Expects a $5.6 Billion Hit for 737 Max Disruptions

Oh the games you can play with numbers! The key thing here is that the majority of the charge will not be cash paid out. Small airlines will require cash compensation, larger one's can also but if they have additional a/c on order, their progress payment will go away and or be much smaller. I suspe...

Jump to post
by par13del
Fri Jul 19, 2019 1:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 873
Views: 126624

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

If I were Boeing I’d ask Airbus to jump in and help solve the problem. The’ve got experience with FBW and software based flying models. And If I were Airbus I’d jump in immediately. It’s in interest of both for so many reasons. They should work closely and secretly and make the 737Max fly again asa...

Jump to post
by par13del
Fri Jul 19, 2019 10:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 873
Views: 126624

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

If I were Boeing I’d ask Airbus to jump in and help solve the problem. The’ve got experience with FBW and software based flying models. And If I were Airbus I’d jump in immediately. It’s in interest of both for so many reasons. They should work closely and secretly and make the 737Max fly again asa...

Jump to post
by par13del
Fri Jul 19, 2019 12:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 873
Views: 126624

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

And as a point of order, it was US contractors ability to spend the roughly 10% profit margin and cash generation virtually guaranteed on Military programmes (at least until the KC46) to underwrite their civil airliner developments that prompted the development of RLI for Airbus as a response. Rgds...

Jump to post
by par13del
Fri Jul 19, 2019 12:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Expects a $5.6 Billion Hit for 737 Max Disruptions
Replies: 125
Views: 12919

Re: Boeing Expects a $5.6 Billion Hit for 737 Max Disruptions

Its ok. They will lobby even harder for tax breaks. Maybe they should ask for "repayable loans." The word Loan denotes that a sum is intended to be replayed. I believe the main issue Boeing has with Airbus launch aid is the low level of interest. Ah no, in the A380 closing thread we had A...

Jump to post
by par13del
Fri Jul 19, 2019 12:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Expects a $5.6 Billion Hit for 737 Max Disruptions
Replies: 125
Views: 12919

Re: Boeing Expects a $5.6 Billion Hit for 737 Max Disruptions

So is 5.6 bil enough if they creatively add the deferred 787 cost for Boeing to go chpt.11, wipe out investors who are already sitting pretty with all the buy backs, get new investors - no shortage of willing participants, reduce other expenses so that when they emerge the company will be re-capita...

Jump to post
by par13del
Thu Jul 18, 2019 11:09 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit part 6: Encore un moment Monsieur le Bourreau
Replies: 2037
Views: 108717

Re: Brexit part 6: Encore un moment Monsieur le Bourreau

David Cameron made it quite clear that we will be leaving the customs union & single market during the referenda debate Lots of things were said during the campaign that were either wrong or complete lies. It's amusing that you continue to put so much weight on what an ex-politician said years ...

Jump to post
by par13del
Thu Jul 18, 2019 10:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing Expects a $5.6 Billion Hit for 737 Max Disruptions
Replies: 125
Views: 12919

Re: Boeing Expects a $5.6 Billion Hit for 737 Max Disruptions

So is 5.6 bil enough if they creatively add the deferred 787 cost for Boeing to go chpt.11, wipe out investors who are already sitting pretty with all the buy backs, get new investors - no shortage of willing participants, reduce other expenses so that when they emerge the company will be re-capital...

Jump to post
by par13del
Thu Jul 18, 2019 3:44 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit part 6: Encore un moment Monsieur le Bourreau
Replies: 2037
Views: 108717

Re: Brexit part 6: Encore un moment Monsieur le Bourreau

The vote also saw no less than 10 ministers in TM's government -and who can not vote against their own government- abstaining in the vote! BoJo can say whatever he likes, he clearly will not have anywhere near the majority in parliament to go any rougher than TM tried to do… Another extension, anyo...

Jump to post
by par13del
Thu Jul 18, 2019 3:40 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit part 6: Encore un moment Monsieur le Bourreau
Replies: 2037
Views: 108717

Re: Brexit part 6: Encore un moment Monsieur le Bourreau

it is an interesting case study for what happens if Populism meets a party that refuses to play..... best regards Thomas To put in in UK terms, what happens when Populism meets ELITES who refuse to play.......the blockers of Brexit are on both sides of the aisle. In some case studies the original B...

Jump to post
by par13del
Thu Jul 18, 2019 12:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 Developments : more of a match for A320neo than Airbus says
Replies: 254
Views: 41713

Re: Airbus A220 Developments : more of a match for A320neo than Airbus says

So if Airbus does the A220-500 will it have cockpit commonality with its earlier sibling or with the Airbus fleet above it, namely the A32X series?
Or to ask it another way, how extensive does Airbus want to have two narrow body fleets where small carriers dominate?

Jump to post
by par13del
Thu Jul 18, 2019 12:05 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit part 6: Encore un moment Monsieur le Bourreau
Replies: 2037
Views: 108717

Re: Brexit part 6: Encore un moment Monsieur le Bourreau

Sabenapilot, that is exactly what should have happened. If the politicians had just been honest in the first place, How could they be.....they created the situation which led to DC granting the referendum and they have done everything since then to ensure that the results of the vote are never impl...

Jump to post
by par13del
Wed Jul 17, 2019 9:24 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit part 6: Encore un moment Monsieur le Bourreau
Replies: 2037
Views: 108717

Re: Brexit part 6: Encore un moment Monsieur le Bourreau

Grizzly410 wrote:
Remembering NI voted remain in majority we may have an hint of the answer.

Yes they voted remain, but until the Catholics become the majority - which is on the way - they have consistently stated that they wanted to remain a part of the UK and not be reunited with the ROI.

Jump to post
by par13del
Wed Jul 17, 2019 4:04 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit part 6: Encore un moment Monsieur le Bourreau
Replies: 2037
Views: 108717

Re: Brexit part 6: Encore un moment Monsieur le Bourreau

So to be clear, we are ok with the principle of the EU all nations standing up in support of Ireland, but not with the UK standing up for the ROI? If placing the border in the Irish Sea works, fine, somehow I suspect that more than the DUP were against that option, time will tell. How is creating a...

Jump to post
by par13del
Tue Jul 16, 2019 4:21 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit part 6: Encore un moment Monsieur le Bourreau
Replies: 2037
Views: 108717

Re: Brexit part 6: Encore un moment Monsieur le Bourreau

One of the building blocks which has not been picked up, but might still be interesting nevertheless, is the one in which the EU initially offered the UK to have the backstop apply only to NI. It was first accepted and later dropped again by the British government, not because of Tory opposition, b...

Jump to post
by par13del
Tue Jul 16, 2019 12:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 873
Views: 126624

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

So is that a Boeing problem or the stockholders?
If Boeing only responds to them and they are keeping the stock price high, perhaps we are looking in the wrong place?

Jump to post
by par13del
Tue Jul 16, 2019 12:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AF to order A220, replace A380 with 787 or A350?
Replies: 169
Views: 31769

Re: AF to order A220

My main point is: if you are an airline like AF, have a monopoly at one of the largest airports and cities in the world, and your largest aircraft is the a359, you are doing something wrong. Is this not already a fact that we can see? AF has the A380, they are reducing the amount deployed and are r...

Jump to post
by par13del
Mon Jul 15, 2019 1:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IAG 737 Max Order Is Prompted by More Than Just Price: CEO
Replies: 133
Views: 19416

Re: IAG 737 Max Order Is Prompted by More Than Just Price: CEO

He's a Chief Executive and he's making a strategy decision, not a tactical one, and that's what the Board hired him to do. The idea that a Board would be so upset over this deal that they'd pressure him to do something different seems preposterous to me. My thought would be if the board decides to ...

Jump to post
by par13del
Mon Jul 15, 2019 1:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Question regarding MAX groundings
Replies: 9
Views: 3106

Re: Question regarding MAX groundings

In addition, the airlines should also have reduced crew cost. We have seen over the years that there are different pay levels for showing up to work, when the door closes and when the a/c actually pushes from the gate. 737 pilots who were going to be paid for X hours of flying are now flying less un...

Jump to post
by par13del
Mon Jul 15, 2019 12:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Leeham: 14 new airplanes and derivatives see EIS through 2027. ??
Replies: 30
Views: 2834

Re: Leeham: 14 new airplanes and derivatives see EIS through 2027. ??

So what happened to the MAX-9 and the MAX version to seat 200 pax for FR, I don't think that is the same as the MAX-10 which is supposed to eventually replace the MAX 9.

Jump to post
by par13del
Mon Jul 15, 2019 10:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Question regarding MAX groundings
Replies: 9
Views: 3106

Re: Question regarding MAX groundings

On the flip side, the grounding can be focused to loss of capacity only, which then get's into supply and demand. Less seats same number of pax means higher load factors and price increases. When oil rises the fuel surcharge kicks in pretty quickly, the MAX has been grounded for months eliminating a...

Jump to post
by par13del
Sun Jul 14, 2019 11:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IAG 737 Max Order Is Prompted by More Than Just Price: CEO
Replies: 133
Views: 19416

Re: IAG 737 Max Order Is Prompted by More Than Just Price: CEO

Willie (a 737 pilot) is in a weak negotiations position with Airbus & hates it. Why would he be in a weak position, I thought only Boeing did price gouging? Airbus cockpit commonality concept is supposed to encourage airlines to use their a/c for all segments of their portfolio, are you hinting...

Jump to post
by par13del
Sun Jul 14, 2019 2:12 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IAG 737 Max Order Is Prompted by More Than Just Price: CEO
Replies: 133
Views: 19416

Re: IAG 737 Max Order Is Prompted by More Than Just Price: CEO

Fuel based diversions when the winds get "bad", it has been thus for a while, see JetBlue and AA etc. with their transcons and 737's versus A320's.
To stir the pot, the additional comfort of the wider A32X on long flights did not win the day.

Jump to post
by par13del
Sun Jul 14, 2019 1:30 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit part 6: Encore un moment Monsieur le Bourreau
Replies: 2037
Views: 108717

Re: Brexit part 6: Encore un moment Monsieur le Bourreau

If there is no need for a border between the ROI and GB, does that mean that there are no border checks on Eurosta. After all, both are borders between GB and EU countries. Yeah but politics / rules / regulations / treaties do not change the fact that there is a body of water between the UK isles a...

Jump to post
by par13del
Sun Jul 14, 2019 1:19 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AF to order A220, replace A380 with 787 or A350?
Replies: 169
Views: 31769

Re: AF to order A220, replace A380 with 787 or A350?

What is the 223 and the 221, trying to understand how they simplify crew transition. If they are of the A220 generation, not sure they have the same cockpit type as the A318/319.

Jump to post
by par13del
Sun Jul 14, 2019 12:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 873
Views: 126624

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

There is another factor at play though, so far the FAA is leading global authority in aviation matters, if the MAX story ends with even the slightest doubt in the trustworthiness, independence and safety culture of the FAA, this will change and competing authorities will reach an equal status. Go b...

Jump to post
by par13del
Fri Jul 12, 2019 8:42 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: IAG 737 Max Order Is Prompted by More Than Just Price: CEO
Replies: 133
Views: 19416

Re: IAG 737 Max Order Is Prompted by More Than Just Price: CEO

Well one has to consider that first delivery is a couple years out, and everyone is expecting the MAX to return to the air so......

Jump to post
by par13del
Fri Jul 12, 2019 8:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 873
Views: 126624

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

ArgentoSystems wrote:
par13del wrote:
The more interesting thing would be if this satisfies those who are looking for scalps at the management level.

Certainly not. Good start though.

Good start for someone who had nothing to do with the MAX design but was put there to resolve production issues?
Ok.....

Jump to post
by par13del
Fri Jul 12, 2019 7:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 873
Views: 126624

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

The more interesting thing would be if this satisfies those who are looking for scalps at the management level.

Jump to post
by par13del
Fri Jul 12, 2019 7:29 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit part 6: Encore un moment Monsieur le Bourreau
Replies: 2037
Views: 108717

Re: Brexit part 6: Encore un moment Monsieur le Bourreau

Not in my opinion, if you look at her red lines, they all lead to one place, no deal Brexit which she does not now or ever supported, talking points only. Besides, if she really wanted to defend those red lines she would never have signed up to the WA which cannot pass parliament. Now that is a topi...

Jump to post
by par13del
Fri Jul 12, 2019 6:44 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit part 6: Encore un moment Monsieur le Bourreau
Replies: 2037
Views: 108717

Re: Brexit part 6: Encore un moment Monsieur le Bourreau

Remind us again of how many of them she stood on, none.
Points to make the Brexiters support her, she never intended to stand behind any of them, or to put it another way, explain why she never defended any of her red lines.

Jump to post
by par13del
Fri Jul 12, 2019 1:16 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit part 6: Encore un moment Monsieur le Bourreau
Replies: 2037
Views: 108717

Re: Brexit part 6: Encore un moment Monsieur le Bourreau

I should have added, just take a look at how the parliament is now, you cannot get any decision out of them for anything which makes sense, they are talking about motions to renegotiate, with who, parliament does not negotiate, the government does. No option can be selected because all sides are emp...

Jump to post
by par13del
Fri Jul 12, 2019 1:09 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit part 6: Encore un moment Monsieur le Bourreau
Replies: 2037
Views: 108717

Re: Brexit part 6: Encore un moment Monsieur le Bourreau

Ok, but what kind of a decision would that have to be, and on who's authority was this decision to be taken then? Either you're a democracy and you're trying to build concensus around a majority position, or you're actually advocating a dictatorship in which 1 person pushes through his point-of-vie...

Jump to post
by par13del
Fri Jul 12, 2019 12:14 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit part 6: Encore un moment Monsieur le Bourreau
Replies: 2037
Views: 108717

Re: Brexit part 6: Encore un moment Monsieur le Bourreau

With regards to suspening parliament or refusing to table bills to ensure MP's cannot have a say i have often thought for the fanatical "Brexit at any cost" crowd the democracy is their percived end point - it does not necessarily need to be part of the process as long as Brexit is achiev...

Jump to post
by par13del
Thu Jul 11, 2019 8:47 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Brexit part 6: Encore un moment Monsieur le Bourreau
Replies: 2037
Views: 108717

Re: Brexit part 6: Encore un moment Monsieur le Bourreau

Two parts to my response... Firstly, I wouldn't say the issue is what part(s) of the WA does the UK find acceptable or not (we know the major bone of contention is the Irish backstop). The issue is that some of our politicians do not understand the fact that the WA won't be re-opened and, worryingl...

Jump to post
by par13del
Thu Jul 11, 2019 8:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Atlanta Mayor OK's Smoking Ban at ATL
Replies: 189
Views: 13522

Re: Atlanta Mayor OK's Smoking Ban at ATL

VSMUT wrote:
I can control those. Your drinking doesn't affect me. Your smoking does.

Unfortunately, thousands are killed by drunk drivers.

Jump to post
by par13del
Thu Jul 11, 2019 2:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: France to charge aviation tax
Replies: 125
Views: 11533

Re: France to charge aviation tax

I don't think economists have found a better way than carbon pricing to tackle climate change, but I welcome contradiction. That may be the problem, as long as economist are the one's, finance (money) is the key, the environment etc is just another cause to further their industry. Just a contra tho...

Jump to post
by par13del
Thu Jul 11, 2019 2:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 873
Views: 126624

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

Boeing has cut production from 50+ to 40 or so, so even when the a/c is fit to fly, it will take time to get all the already produced and parked frames updated for delivery to clients, I don't think Boeing will get back to 50+ in 2020, not unless they go on a hiring binge, at present the backlog in ...

Jump to post
by par13del
Thu Jul 11, 2019 12:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019
Replies: 873
Views: 126624

Re: Boeing 737MAX Grounded Worldwide Q3 2019

The claim that because the Lion air flight had no problems with MCAS after it was turned off and all is ok without MCAS isnt that convincing to me as an outsider looking in? Being honest Well the claim was that MCAS was needed to keep the MAX in level flight, that alone was proof along with the hun...

Jump to post