Search found 1747 matches

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by Ruscoe
Sun Jun 07, 2020 1:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas Project Sunrise developments
Replies: 48
Views: 5167

Re: Qantas Project Sunrise developments

IMO when the time is right, in several years, Qantas will put out a new RFP to Airbus and Boeing. Unless Boeing come up with a MTOW increase for the 787 or the 777X is better than predicted, it will be Airbus.. ... Are you saying that the whole evaluation work done in 2018-2019 was completely usele...

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by Ruscoe
Sun Jun 07, 2020 7:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas Project Sunrise developments
Replies: 48
Views: 5167

Re: Qantas Project Sunrise developments

IMO when the time is right, in several years, Qantas will put out a new RFP to Airbus and Boeing.
Unless Boeing come up with a MTOW increase for the 787 or the 777X is better than predicted, it will be Airbus..

Ruscoe

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by Ruscoe
Tue Jun 02, 2020 4:03 am
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Invest in Airbus or Boeing
Replies: 27
Views: 2608

Re: Invest in Airbus or Boeing

Why?, but I am not looking for financial advice. I pay an expensive advisor for that but I am interested to hear what A.neters may think. It is actually very relevant to the current situation, where neither manufacturer would likely survive without patient investors and the assessment that Airbus wi...

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by Ruscoe
Mon Jun 01, 2020 11:24 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Invest in Airbus or Boeing
Replies: 27
Views: 2608

Invest in Airbus or Boeing

I am thinking this is a good time to buy into Airbus or Boeing via the stock market. So I looked at the figures quoted on Yahoo Finance. They show that the Market Price for Airbus in Euros is 56.77 in Paris, with a Target price of 121 Euro in one years time and for Boeing a Market price of 151.39 US...

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by Ruscoe
Fri Mar 13, 2020 7:46 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Project Sunrise Approved - Pilot Agreement or Not
Replies: 376
Views: 56045

Re: Project Sunrise Approved - Pilot Agreement or Not

According to todays Australian newspaper Alan Joyce has asked Airbus for more time to make a decision, but only giving the pilots till March 30 to agree to the new deal. Airbus confirmed they were in discussions. If the pilots don’t agree then the A350 will be removed from the package and given to a...

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by Ruscoe
Sat Feb 29, 2020 11:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Project Sunrise Approved - Pilot Agreement or Not
Replies: 376
Views: 56045

Re: Project Sunrise Approved - Pilot Agreement or Not

The Coronavirus threat is economic. If it goes pandemic then 12 months should see the end of the infective phase, but the economic effect will last much longer. Some years. Since the aircraft will not be delivered for 2+ years, the benefits of non stop, would not seem to be important. However if bus...

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by Ruscoe
Thu Feb 20, 2020 6:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Project Sunrise Approved - Pilot Agreement or Not
Replies: 376
Views: 56045

Re: Project Sunrise Approved - Pilot Agreement or Not

Well, some financial analysts are predicting Qantas will take a big hit from the coronavirus.
What surprises me is that they are prepared to take on Sunrise at this time, with the uncertainty ahead

Ruscoe

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by Ruscoe
Fri Dec 06, 2019 7:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: After Neo/Max - The Next Clean Sheet Need
Replies: 58
Views: 7044

Re: After Neo/Max - The Next Clean Sheet Need

Whoever produces the next Single aisle, the most important question to determine is the width of the fuselage. The extra weight necessary to carry around a 2nd aisle is obviously not working out, so the next best thing is to make a single aisle wide enough for 2 people to pass. From my observations ...

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by Ruscoe
Sat Nov 23, 2019 11:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737 Max 10 Rollout
Replies: 134
Views: 28898

Re: Boeing 737 Max 10 Rollout

Changes to 737-10 are more than MLG and length. Some of the others are: Mid exit door 4" wider MTOW ``92,000kg Changes to flaps Changes to Centre of Gravity to prevent "tail tip" Autoland Changes Changes to body configuration to reduce risk of tail strike Refer http://www.737.org.uk R...

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by Ruscoe
Mon Oct 21, 2019 7:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - October 2019
Replies: 417
Views: 98057

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - October 2019

Probably well known but just noticed EVA Air are advertising the 787-10 on the back of Brisbane buses.
Ruscoe

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by Ruscoe
Fri Oct 04, 2019 3:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Australian Aviation Thread - October 2019
Replies: 417
Views: 98057

Re: Australian Aviation Thread - October 2019

Air Transport world are quoting the Chief Technical Pilot of Qantas on various Project Sunrise matters. The one that caught my eye is that the proposed LHR to Sydney information gathering flight with a 789 delivery is expected to burn 85T of fuel with 55 pax. New York to Sydney is considered the mos...

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by Ruscoe
Sat Sep 07, 2019 3:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019
Replies: 1441
Views: 370142

Re: Boeing 777X Testing Thread - 2019

Whilst the outside diameter and overall shape, of the fuselage is the same, it has been redesigned to increase internal width.
My biggest concern, whilst remote, would be that the fuselage distorted due to a design weakness.

Ruscoe

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by Ruscoe
Wed Jul 10, 2019 6:05 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: EASA: Check for cracks in A380 outer rear spar.
Replies: 21
Views: 6379

Re: EASA: Check for cracks in A380 outer rear spar.

Can someone tell me why this inspection is related to time since manufacture and not flight hours?
Ruscoe

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by Ruscoe
Sat Jun 22, 2019 12:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Bloomberg:Airbus Says It Must Slash A350 Costs to Win Wide-Body Price War
Replies: 292
Views: 36634

Re: Bloomberg:Airbus Says It Must Slash A350 Costs to Win Wide-Body Price War

Is it Boeing doing well on cost reduction, or is it Airbus doing badly? Or both? That's a good question. Taking away the MAX debacle, looking at their figures, they obviously have been doing some serious cost reductions. Several years ago, Boeing came to the conclusion that Airbus can build airplan...

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by Ruscoe
Mon Jun 03, 2019 7:13 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Qantas saying it is almost ready to select Project Sunrise aircraft
Replies: 1494
Views: 288030

Re: Updated: Qantas saying it is almost ready to select Project Sunrise aircraft

News story on final proposals due by August: https://www.news.com.au/finance/business/breaking-news/qantas-wants-sydlhr-jet-proposals-by-aug/news-story/b60f3541f2b5364fd7e46ef663a04741 "If the business case works, we will put in an order." Lightsaber When I saw this the first thing that w...

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by Ruscoe
Mon May 20, 2019 5:47 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated, confirmed - Air NZ picks Boeing for wide-body order
Replies: 292
Views: 55925

Re: Report - Air NZ picks Boeing for wide-body order

There was earlier reporting of a 1% increase in MTOW, taking advantage of the stronger wing-body join required for the 787-10. That would work out to 2.5t. Have you heard how they might achieve a 4t increase? We've heard no whispers from other sources as far as I'm aware. No I heard of a 2T increas...

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by Ruscoe
Mon May 20, 2019 3:16 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated, confirmed - Air NZ picks Boeing for wide-body order
Replies: 292
Views: 55925

Re: Report - Air NZ picks Boeing for wide-body order

I predict a 789 with 4T increase in MTOW.
Ruscoe

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by Ruscoe
Sat Mar 30, 2019 8:04 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Thoughts on Southwest’s reliance one one fleet type?
Replies: 71
Views: 8190

Re: Thoughts on Southwest’s reliance one one fleet type?

They do have another type it's called the 737NG.
Now imagine the chaos around the world if they were grounded.
Ruscoe

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by Ruscoe
Mon Mar 25, 2019 9:20 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Confirmed: StarLux orders 17 A350s
Replies: 96
Views: 9901

Re: Confirmed: StarLux orders 17 A350s

If the Capital cost of the aircraft is low enough they might have a chance.
Ruscoe

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by Ruscoe
Sat Mar 02, 2019 12:44 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Reuters: Rolls Royce withdraws bid for Boeing NMA project
Replies: 235
Views: 34028

Re: Reuters: Rolls Royce withdraws bid for Boeing NMA project

Can someone quantify the differences in fuel burn and weight between the CFM and Pratt on the NEO's. If its significant why is the CFM selling on the NEO?
Ruscoe

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by Ruscoe
Tue Feb 26, 2019 9:50 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus New Economy Seat Prototype
Replies: 67
Views: 9793

Re: Airbus New Economy Seat Prototype

Another thing is that with wide open sides, and no dividers, you are going to have a lot more physical contact with your neighbour, and there will be a lot more rubbish and personal items falling onto the floor inc aisle.

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by Ruscoe
Tue Feb 26, 2019 9:37 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: New Boeing Combat Drone
Replies: 72
Views: 16883

Re: New Boeing Combat Drone

It's interesting also because I'm pretty sure that the RAAF are the only other Air Force apart from USA to have the F18 Growler, with the possibility of Finland also getting them in the future..
Ruscoe

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by Ruscoe
Tue Feb 26, 2019 1:32 pm
Forum: Military Aviation & Space Flight
Topic: New Boeing Combat Drone
Replies: 72
Views: 16883

New Boeing Combat Drone

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-02-27/ ... d/10851000

The ABC are reporting that Boeing in conjunction with the RAAF, have developed a "Combat Drone" in Brisbane.

Ruscoe
-->

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-02-27/ ... d/10851000

The ABC are reporting that Boeing in conjunction with the RAAF, have developed a "Combat Drone" in Brisbane.

Ruscoe

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by Ruscoe
Thu Feb 21, 2019 12:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: First B777-9X of LH in PAE now
Replies: 95
Views: 23253

Re: First B777-9X of LH in PAE now

The 777X with 18" Aisles and 2" armrests can fit 10 seats across each 17.2". 1.5" armrests, and 17" aisles allows a 10 abreast seat width of just over 18". These seat widths are calculated using the "Airbus" method. By comparison the 359 at 10 abreast with 2&q...

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by Ruscoe
Sat Feb 16, 2019 12:19 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United B78X IAD-PEK
Replies: 72
Views: 14814

Re: United B78X IAD-PEK

The published payload range chart shows the 78X can fly 35T 6000nm at MTOW.
That looks like full pax to me.

Ruscoe

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by Ruscoe
Thu Feb 07, 2019 5:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: QF officially cancels final 8 A380s.
Replies: 216
Views: 38324

Re: QF officially cancels final 8 A380s.

This decision, without a transfer to another Airbus aircraft, indicates to me that QF are working on a common pilot rating for all their widebody needs. I thought it was possible that QF might go for the 321, and slowly replace the 738 with 320 as they became due, and I suppose it is still possible...

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by Ruscoe
Thu Feb 07, 2019 4:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: QF officially cancels final 8 A380s.
Replies: 216
Views: 38324

Re: QF officially cancels final 8 A380s.

This decision, without a transfer to another Airbus aircraft, indicates to me that QF are working on a common pilot rating for all their widebody needs. I thought it was possible that QF might go for the 321, and slowly replace the 738 with 320 as they became due, and I suppose it is still possible ...

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by Ruscoe
Mon Feb 04, 2019 6:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas CEO dials back on expectations for Project Sunrise Jet
Replies: 145
Views: 32651

Re: Qantas CEO dials back on expectations for Project Sunrise Jet

I smell a MTOW increase for the 789 & 10 coming, 265T.

Ruscoe

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by Ruscoe
Fri Feb 01, 2019 7:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates considering order changes - Airbus A380 for A330/A350 confirmed, Boeing 787 for 777-9 still possible
Replies: 879
Views: 142030

Re: Emirates is exploring switching the Airbus A380 to A350

My take is that EK has decided not to order additional 380's. Consequently they want to order more 777X, and need some sort of lever to keep Boeing pricing under control.

Ruscoe

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by Ruscoe
Wed Jan 16, 2019 6:02 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: a MTOW increase on 787-10 to compete with A359?
Replies: 605
Views: 88715

Re: a MTOW increase on 787-10 to compete with A359?

IMO the reason we have not yet seen an ER 787-10 is because Boeing currently does not have to. They are producing as many 787 at a new higher rate as they can. Ifsales and sales prospects indicate a substantial rate reduction you may see it. Any tech advancement will almost certainly be available to...

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by Ruscoe
Fri Jan 04, 2019 6:31 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Data: scrap value of an A380
Replies: 41
Views: 10901

Re: Data: scrap value of an A380

Thanks,
So the 45 million (51) is for the two frames, not per frame.
Ruscoe

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by Ruscoe
Thu Jan 03, 2019 11:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Data: scrap value of an A380
Replies: 41
Views: 10901

Re: Data: scrap value of an A380

It's unclear to me if the $45 million is for each aircraft, or for both together.
Can anyone clarify for me?
Thanks
Ruscoe

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by Ruscoe
Wed Dec 26, 2018 7:53 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Brussels Airlines A330 Suffers Dual Engine Failure
Replies: 211
Views: 38594

Re: Brussels Airlines A330 Suffers Dual Engine Failure

[/quote]That far south your fuel isn’t going to freeze.[/quote] Eeeehh?? At 40000 feet it is still -55°C outside, no matter the latitude. And if you are referring to the second flame out, it was over northern France....[/quote] What I am thinking is not the fuel freezing, it is small droplets of wat...

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by Ruscoe
Tue Dec 25, 2018 11:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Brussels Airlines A330 Suffers Dual Engine Failure
Replies: 211
Views: 38594

Re: Brussels Airlines A330 Suffers Dual Engine Failure

<sarcasm> Ice in the gas tank again? :cold: </sarcasm> :duck: Very early on in its career the A332 had some engine shutdowns due to frozen fuel . Can't remember might have been caused by water contamination. Sorry have no reference just memory from many years ago. If I recall correctly it had somet...

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by Ruscoe
Mon Dec 24, 2018 1:38 am
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: 787-8LR based on 787-9?
Replies: 21
Views: 6069

Re: 787-8LR based on 787-9?

IMO the most obvious next development of the 787 line is not an 8LR but a 10ER. However this is not going to happen for a long time because it would be such a good aircraft, that it would put an early nail in the coffin of the 777X. The only way imo we will see significant further development of the...

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by Ruscoe
Mon Dec 17, 2018 11:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus strategy review augurs clean break under new CEO
Replies: 172
Views: 20487

Re: Airbus strategy review augurs clean break under new CEO

Best measure is what is happening in the market. Boeing just announced a new 20billion share buy back and a 20% increase in dividend, as well as paying over 4billion for 80% share in Embraer. Boeing $322 share, PE 18, EPS $17, Market Cap $ 180 billion, 568 million shares outstanding, Cash 10 billion...

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by Ruscoe
Tue Dec 04, 2018 7:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Icelandair fancy landing @LHR [video]
Replies: 17
Views: 6920

Re: Icelandair fancy landing @LHR [video]

Rather than a bounce, I think he was a few knots fast, which under the circumstances was probably a good idea. I'd say he got a gust of wind, while the aircraft was still at flying speed, and he handled it well. Also remember Boeing has been to Iceland do do x wind testing so these guys probably hav...

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by Ruscoe
Wed Nov 28, 2018 1:53 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Next Wide Body Freighter will be the A330neo?
Replies: 142
Views: 11715

Re: Next Wide Body Freighter will be the A330neo?

After comparing the Payload range graphs of the 332F v 767F, I doubt any range or payload issues are the reason the 767 dominates. The 332F can carry 65T 3750nm or 50T 5000nm. The 767F can carry 55T 3250nm, 50T 3750nm, and only 35T 5000nm. Therefore there must be other reasons. The obvious first pla...

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by Ruscoe
Thu Nov 22, 2018 10:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus - hiring for new narrowbody and A350 neo
Replies: 160
Views: 26418

Re: Airbus - hiring for new narrowbody and A350 neo

IMO this is a response to the fact that the Boeing MOM and new narrow body are likely to proceed, possibly at the same time, and Airbus need to provide an appropriate response, which this is. There will always be a market for a narrowbody MOM with similar range and capacity to a widebody MOM, and th...

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by Ruscoe
Wed Nov 14, 2018 4:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas CEO dials back on expectations for Project Sunrise Jet
Replies: 145
Views: 32651

Re: Qantas CEO dials back on expectations for Project Sunrise Jet

Joyce said, to quote the Australian Business Traveller, "Our belief is [ULR flights are] NOT going to be full pax and freight....." ; I interpret this to mean that neither manufacturer is going to be able to meet this requirement, but he goes on to say that even so they can be made commerc...

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by Ruscoe
Mon Nov 05, 2018 9:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus revises 2018 delivery target
Replies: 138
Views: 14447

Re: Airbus revises 2018 delivery target

SQ22 wrote:
Is there any need of having the onging B vs. A discussions? If you can't stop eith it thread will be locked.


Why not make a "sticky" thread for AvB matters and then quickly shut down threads or remove posts that are off topic by being AvB.

Ruscoe

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by Ruscoe
Thu Nov 01, 2018 4:45 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus revises 2018 delivery target
Replies: 138
Views: 14447

Re: Airbus resorts to trickery on delivery goal

Well it’s Airbus’ credibility so I’d assume that they care.[/quote] The question for me is why would management even try to fudge. A sophisticated investor would pick this up immediately, so the comments must be for the non sophisticated or just as likely Govt. I think the latter is the driver, and ...

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by Ruscoe
Mon Oct 29, 2018 8:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Lion Air 737MAX8 Crashed Jakarta to Pangkal Pinang
Replies: 3187
Views: 611287

Re: Lion Air 737MAX8 Crashed Jakarta to Pangal Pinang

So there is an altitude drop when turning soon after take off and again at the end when the pilot rewquests a return and is turning, only this last one results in loss of control and the subsequent crash. What causes an aircraft to loose altitude when turning? If a 737 is anything like the small air...

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by Ruscoe
Mon Oct 29, 2018 7:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Lion Air 737MAX8 Crashed Jakarta to Pangkal Pinang
Replies: 3187
Views: 611287

Re: Lion Air 737MAX8 Crashed Jakarta to Pangal Pinang

So sorry for the loss of life in this accident. That is the sad thing. We will of course have to figure out the cause, but at this point there are many, many potential things that could have brought this airplane down. While speculating is fine, jumping to conclusions is not ("it must have bee...

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by Ruscoe
Fri Oct 26, 2018 11:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: La Tribune: Several Future A330neo Operators Have Asked Airbus To Delay Deliveries
Replies: 93
Views: 22214

Re: La Tribune: Several Future A330neo Operators Have Asked Airbus To Delay Deliveries

IMO the problems of the 330NEO are Corporate not technical. The NEO should be a lot cheaper to purchase than the 787, and then it would sell ++, but it is not. Boeing can sell the 787 at similar pricing to the NEO, pay off substantial amounts of deferred production costs, and tooling, and the 787 st...

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by Ruscoe
Fri Oct 26, 2018 4:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas 787-9 Exceeding Expectations on Perth-London Route
Replies: 124
Views: 29822

Re: Qantas 787-9 Exceeding Expectations on Perth-London Route

evanb wrote:
So far it's only been operating during the Australian winter.


My understanding (word of mouth) is that they "flew" this mission every day for more than a year at the prevailing conditions, in simulation, and rarely had a problem.

Ruscoe

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by Ruscoe
Wed Oct 24, 2018 8:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qantas 787-9 Exceeding Expectations on Perth-London Route
Replies: 124
Views: 29822

Re: Qantas 787-9 Exceeding Expectations on Perth-London Route

I have an ULR question, not specifically QF. Do I remember an ULR flight that occasionally needed to be towed to the runway as the fuel burned taxiing would have put them short? My brain gets scrambled and I may be making up false memories, but at least I don’t try and pass it off as fact! The taxi...

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by Ruscoe
Tue Oct 23, 2018 7:52 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Lufthansa looking at buying 20 A350 or 787 according to Bloomberg
Replies: 171
Views: 29719

Re: Lufthansa looking at buying 20 A350 or 787 according to Bloomberg

A quick look at the payload range graphs shows that: 789 (at 254T) can carry 280pax + 35T cargo 6000nm (more than enough for FRA-LAX 789 can carry 325pax (bit of a squeeze) + 27T cargo 6000nm 781 can carry 325 pax + 10T Cargo 6000nm 359 (at 280T) 325Pax + 25T Cargo 6000nm (it is limited by its Max s...

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by Ruscoe
Mon Oct 22, 2018 5:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why has the success of the A321 and 739 only been recent?
Replies: 16
Views: 5640

Re: Why has the success of the A321 and 739 only been recent?

If you look at the payload range graphs of the 739Max you see that if you load it to the MZFW of the 738Max, you can fly an extra 500nm, carrying the same payload, because you can top off the tanks and still stay within the MTOW. I expect the increased MTOW of the 9 will contributes somewhat to a sa...

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by Ruscoe
Thu Oct 18, 2018 10:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Folding 777 Wingtips
Replies: 125
Views: 25455

Re: Folding 777 Wingtips

Another advantage I see is that if new wingtip technology comes along, or a longer wing is required, it could be incorporated without changing the Code, .
Ruscoe

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