Search found 163 matches

by simpv
Thu Mar 07, 2019 7:12 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Top Unserved Routes from Asian Airports
Replies: 17
Views: 1879

Re: Top Unserved Routes from Asian Airports

Just to expand, here are the routes listed that have at least an estimated 75 PDEW, with some cities listed at above 100. PEK: none. HND: BCN is close (71.9). HKG: HNL is close (72.6) PVG: DUS (95.3), MAN (81), CAI (80.2), PEN (79.7), and GRU (72.9; close, but probably too far for an economical rout...

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by simpv
Thu Mar 07, 2019 7:00 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Top Unserved Routes from Asian Airports
Replies: 17
Views: 1879

Re: Top Unserved Routes from Asian Airports

HKG: HNL-HKG anytime soon? Maybe HA could look at that route. You mean HX? They got no money to expand, sadly. There are a fair amount of 2nd/3rd tier European cities on the list, although it's a little bit surprising that both TXL and HAM are among airports on the list but not DUS (Which CX used t...

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by simpv
Wed Mar 06, 2019 4:41 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: Top Unserved Routes from Asian Airports
Replies: 17
Views: 1879

Top Unserved Routes from Asian Airports

Anna.aero just published a list of the top 10 unserved routes from 10 of Asia's airports. https://www.anna.aero/2019/03/06/100-routes-asias-top-10-airports-non-stop-service/ Importantly, they also provide numbers on the potential (or lack thereof) for new routes. Of course, none of this takes into a...

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by simpv
Thu Feb 28, 2019 3:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Nonstop between California and Belgium
Replies: 45
Views: 5995

Re: Nonstop between California and Belgium

How much demand is there from California to BRU? EWR/IAD benefit from governmental/UN/NGOs/military/etc travel, most of which California doesn't have a lot of. ORD is a shorter stage length and can get connecting pax. I would say that any route would need to rely on connections on the BRU side. For ...

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by simpv
Tue Feb 26, 2019 4:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: U.S to grant Vietnam safety rating paving way for air service
Replies: 82
Views: 14221

Re: U.S to grant Vietnam safety rating paving way for air service

Agreed on all points. I just wonder if SJC could be a viable market for 1 or 2x/week? If you fly with such a low frequency you just get near-zero business demand to fill the front of the plane. My guess: LAX, 5x weekly. I agree. As has been discussed ad nauseum on this forum, SJC has long suffered ...

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by simpv
Tue Feb 26, 2019 4:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019
Replies: 1731
Views: 307631

Re: United Fleet/Network Thread - 2019

As per this week's OAG thread, SFO-MUC was extended through November, however on the UA website non-stops are bookable through Jan 2020 (in addition to the A380 flight on LH). Anybody have any info on whether SFO-MUC is being extended to year round?

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by simpv
Tue Feb 26, 2019 2:54 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AC to start YUL-GRU, YVR-AKL and YYZ-UIO
Replies: 77
Views: 11853

Re: AC to start YUL-GRU, YVR-AKL and YYZ-UIO

Curious if the YVR-AKL flight will have any impact on NZ. Don't they do daily in N. Summer? Is AC part of the UA/NZ agreement? Aside from being in * Alliance I don't know how close the two are, thus my question. I am aware being in an alliance doesn't necessarily mean all carriers cooperate with ea...

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by simpv
Tue Feb 26, 2019 2:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AC to start YUL-GRU, YVR-AKL and YYZ-UIO
Replies: 77
Views: 11853

Re: AC to start YUL-GRU, YVR-AKL and YYZ-UIO

EvanWSFO wrote:
Curious if the YVR-AKL flight will have any impact on NZ. Don't they do daily in N. Summer?


Is AC part of the UA/NZ agreement?

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by simpv
Sun Feb 24, 2019 3:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 2/24/2019: UP Drops IAH;UA Adds MSS/OGS/PIR/ATY;MS to IAD;AC Drops JAX,SEA-YYC;3M Adds MCO-VPS
Replies: 51
Views: 9819

Re: OAG Changes 2/24/2019: UP Drops IAH;UA Adds MSS/OGS/PIR/ATY;MS to IAD;AC Drops JAX,SEA-YYC;3M Adds MCO-VPS

It looks like this year UA's SFO-MUC flight won't end in October instead it will be flown daily in both October and November. It will be interesting to see if the flight is still around come December or if hibernation begins in December. Just looked and UA's SFO-MUC flight is bookable through Jan 2...

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by simpv
Sat Feb 23, 2019 3:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: US DOT awards Haneda slots
Replies: 765
Views: 132856

Re: US-Japan agree on additional Haneda slots; DOT to allocate

What is the long-term prospect for NH/JL at NRT? With those 12 additional frequencies, combined with US carriers moving to HND, how viable are some of those NRT routes that rely on connecting passengers? This expansion at HND seems to have the potential to scale down some of NH/JL's operations.

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by simpv
Fri Feb 22, 2019 3:03 pm
Forum: Aviation Hobby
Topic: Books on Aviation History
Replies: 11
Views: 2809

Books on Aviation History

I was wondering what everybody recommends for books on aviation history. This could include the origins, manufacturers, airlines, deregulation, etc.

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by simpv
Tue Feb 12, 2019 8:03 pm
Forum: Travel, Polls & Preferences
Topic: UA transpacific routes expansion at SFO
Replies: 20
Views: 3537

Re: UA transpacific routes expansion at SFO

I would wager that SFO is reaching the maximum for now for UA. SGN/BKK routinely come up, but between the JV with NH and lack of premium demand, probably not happening in this economic cycle. BNE maybe in the future, if we see the continued decentralization of US-Australia flying away from LAX. But ...

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by simpv
Tue Feb 12, 2019 2:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA Reducing IAH-SYD and LAX-SYD March to October
Replies: 91
Views: 17332

Re: UA Reducing IAH-SYD and LAX-SYD March to October

Shouldn't we also take into account the traffic funneled via AKL? UA and NZ do have a JV, and since NZ has added service to IAH and ORD, and UA has resumed its year-round service to SFO, perhaps this reduction is just a case of US-Australia traffic becoming less LAX-SYD dependent.

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by simpv
Sun Dec 16, 2018 7:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: San Francisco Bay Area Aviation 2018
Replies: 101
Views: 8619

Re: San Francisco Bay Area Aviation 2018

For the 2018 calendar year (Jan-Oct): Air Carrier landings up 3.7% For Oct 2018: Air Carrier landings down 2.8% https://media.flysfo.com/media/sfo/media/air-traffic/as201810.pdf As this shows, Sept and October have shown decreases in total aircraft landings and domestic passengers, but overall inter...

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by simpv
Thu Dec 13, 2018 9:00 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: San Francisco Bay Area Aviation 2018
Replies: 101
Views: 8619

Re: San Francisco Bay Area Aviation 2018

So it looks the trend of international growth at SFO is continuing, with the announced expansions/additions of MXP, DEL, MEL, YYZ, AKL, PPT, AMS, ICN, LIS, and LGW. However, I was looking at recent statistics, and noticed that over last two months domestic growth has been flat/negative, but internat...

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by simpv
Thu Dec 13, 2018 3:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: TP announces LIS-SFO
Replies: 42
Views: 2106

TP announces LIS-SFO

Just announced: http://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2018/12/13/1666767/0/en/TAP-Air-Portugal-to-Add-a-Third-New-U-S-Route-for-2019-San-Francisco-Becomes-TAP-s-8th-North-American-and-Only-West-Coast-Gateway.html 5x weekly, year-round flights from LIS-SFO begins on June 10, 2019. Uses the A330-9...

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by simpv
Wed Dec 12, 2018 10:27 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: European expansion in SFO
Replies: 71
Views: 10666

Re: European expansion in SFO

It is pretty crazy expansion. Though I think AY announced 4x week service as well.

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by simpv
Wed Dec 12, 2018 8:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA announces SFO-DEL/MEL/YYZ; Expands AKL/AMS/PPT/ICN.
Replies: 507
Views: 71168

Re: United Airlines CEO to Make Historic Route Announcement Tomorrow (12/12)

Objectively nothing historic about any part of this announcement. It doesn't greatly reduce travel times to many of these markets and certainly isn't opening up entirely untapped route opportunities. Yawn. Again, the actual announcement makes no mention of "historic." https://hub.united.c...

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by simpv
Wed Dec 12, 2018 7:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA announces SFO-DEL/MEL/YYZ; Expands AKL/AMS/PPT/ICN.
Replies: 507
Views: 71168

Re: United Airlines CEO to Make Historic Route Announcement Tomorrow (12/12)

I think there is too much negativity towards UA on this. Sure, some of the routes were already announced, but UA is the only US airline with nonstops to India, and the only one to fly to MEL and PPT. They've also done expansion at SFO domestically to places like PAE, CMH, and FAI. If DL had done thi...

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by simpv
Wed Dec 12, 2018 3:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA announces SFO-DEL/MEL/YYZ; Expands AKL/AMS/PPT/ICN.
Replies: 507
Views: 71168

Re: United Airlines CEO to Make Historic Route Announcement Tomorrow (12/12)

Good authority it’s IAH-JNB #confirmed If it is JNB, that would be a very cool route for UA. I'm somewhat surprised they wouldn't try EWR first though - no competition and probably a bigger local market. IAH does have more connection opportunities. Regardless of whether its IAH or EWR, I'd call tha...

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by simpv
Wed Dec 12, 2018 12:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA announces SFO-DEL/MEL/YYZ; Expands AKL/AMS/PPT/ICN.
Replies: 507
Views: 71168

Re: United Airlines CEO to Make Historic Route Announcement Tomorrow (12/12)

I agree that EWR-JNB or IAD-JNB is a good bet (plus isn't SAA going to downsize at some point??). Some other off-the-wall ideas:

SFO-BKK or SGN (only directs to the US)
EWR-ACC, DKR, LOS, CAI

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by simpv
Sat Dec 08, 2018 6:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Did United/Continental Ever Fly Mainland US - Guam?
Replies: 55
Views: 8488

Re: Did United/Continental Ever Fly Mainland US - Guam?

I believe that PR did a technical stopover from SFO/LAX on the way to MNL maybe 10 years ago. But don't think they could carry passengers.

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by simpv
Wed Dec 05, 2018 5:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air Italy announces LAX & SFO
Replies: 53
Views: 9727

Re: Air Italy announces LAX & SFO

Great! When was the last time SFO had a direct link to Italy? 2001?

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by simpv
Fri Nov 30, 2018 9:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: United Continental close to sealing deal on Avianca loan, partnership: WSJ
Replies: 14
Views: 3563

Re: United Continental close to sealing deal on Avianca loan, partnership: WSJ

Perhaps not great for consumers, but a nice counterweight to the LATAM-AA partnership.

What routes can we expect then from BOG?

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by simpv
Wed Nov 28, 2018 6:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian moving LGW-OAK to LGW-SFO
Replies: 77
Views: 10567

Re: Norwegian Exiting OAK for SFO

I told everyone this was happening months ago and no one believed it. Sorry, I still don't see how the thread title is accurate based on sources that can be cited... "Norwegian moving OAK-LGW to SFO-LGW" would absolutely be an accurate title, but the best info we have to go on otherwise i...

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by simpv
Wed Nov 28, 2018 2:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Norwegian moving LGW-OAK to LGW-SFO
Replies: 77
Views: 10567

Re: Norwegian Exiting OAK for SFO

From an article: https://www.sfgate.com/chris-mcginnis/article/Norwegian-Air-moves-flights-to-SFO-13409289.php "Norwegian Air spokesperson Anders Lindstrom said that the carrier is moving its flights for three main reasons: First, Norwegian thinks it can attract more premium class passengers fr...

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by simpv
Wed Nov 14, 2018 4:43 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Amazon HQ and B6 in LIC
Replies: 60
Views: 5540

Re: Amazon HQ and B6 in LIC

There was another thread on the Amazon HQ, but until this thread gets canned I'll repost what I posted there before the site was announced. This whole thing was just a charade to shake down two cities that otherwise wouldn't have done much to get Amazon by using other cities much more desperate. Go...

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by simpv
Tue Nov 06, 2018 1:55 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alitalia Will Fly to Washington D.C. From Rome Beginning In Summer 2019
Replies: 28
Views: 5817

Re: Alitalia Will Fly to Washington D.C. From Rome Beginning In Summer 2019

Does anybody know exactly what the restrictions AF/KL put on AZ in TATL flying? I was under the impression that AZ was restricted in how many flights it could add.

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by simpv
Tue Nov 06, 2018 1:50 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Amazon's HQ2 Impact on DC's aviation?
Replies: 104
Views: 10940

Re: Amazon's HQ2 Impact on DC's aviation?

So it appears that Amazon will split up HQ2 in Queens, NYC, and Arlington, VA. https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/05/technology/amazon-second-headquarters-split.html The article does mention that these will be highly paid positions (average of USD 100,000), and considering that Amazon currently houses ...

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by simpv
Mon Nov 05, 2018 3:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Amazon's HQ2 Impact on DC's aviation?
Replies: 104
Views: 10940

Re: Amazon's HQ2 Impact

This is so overblown on here!! Will this create some traffic yes. This is not some game changer that will support an entirely new hub like people are making it seem. Amazon i bet you will charter plane or use their own to move alot of cargo. AS stated: HQ2 is supposed to add 50,000 jobs but that is...

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by simpv
Mon Nov 05, 2018 3:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Amazon's HQ2 Impact on DC's aviation?
Replies: 104
Views: 10940

Re: Amazon's HQ2 Impact

Take a look at DCA arrivals on FlightAware. There's a TON of upgauging that can be done. Not necessarily to SEA, but there is a lot of CR2/E145/E75/CR7/CR9/319 traffic. https://flightaware.com/live/airport/KDCA/arrivals?;offset=40;order=actualarrivaltime;sort=DESC I did, and there are a LOT of smal...

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by simpv
Mon Nov 05, 2018 2:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Amazon's HQ2 Impact on DC's aviation?
Replies: 104
Views: 10940

Re: Amazon's HQ2 Impact

deltaffindfw wrote:
I don't know why you say IAD needs a "lifeline". UA is aggressively moving east coast connecting traffic from EWR to IAD and adding TATL flights.

Agreed. Edited the original post.

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by simpv
Mon Nov 05, 2018 2:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Amazon's HQ2 Impact on DC's aviation?
Replies: 104
Views: 10940

Amazon's HQ2 Impact on DC's aviation?

Reports today that Crystal City, VA, is in advanced discussions for Amazon's HQ2. https://www.apnews.com/b9247caa991749c2b2cff090a8faa773 It is located across the street from DCA--and with an influx of 50,000 high-paid workers, would certainly increase demand. If this turns out to be true, what woul...

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by simpv
Thu Nov 01, 2018 7:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Chile approves AA-LATAM-IAG JVs
Replies: 28
Views: 5041

Re: Chile approves AA-LATAM-IAG JVs

So it looks like Latin America will just be AA-Latam-IAG, and then UA-Copa-Avianca, if that JV is approved as well?

Only a matter of time until LH joins the party.

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by simpv
Thu Nov 01, 2018 1:15 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Next confirmed SQ non-stop Trans-Pacific destination: SEA
Replies: 224
Views: 27148

Re: Official: Singapore Announces SIN-SEA

Congrats to SEA, and amazing how much non-stop capacity there is on SIN-North America. There is probably enough traffic for 4x week, if there are onward connections to India and SE Asia on the SIN side. I assume this really puts pressure on DL though--I don't give that NRT-SIN leg that much longer t...

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by simpv
Thu Nov 01, 2018 12:39 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Alitalia bankruptcy and selling process discussion thread
Replies: 945
Views: 231446

Re: Alitalia bankruptcy and selling process discussion thread

... you can be absolutely 100% certain that a bid hasn't been placed by DL. Lol this aged well. If confirmed, foot meet mouth. I'd be both very wrong and stunned. Is there a source? I'm not seeing anything. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-alitalia-offers/alitalia-receives-two-binding-offers-one-...

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by simpv
Wed Oct 31, 2018 3:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ethiopian drops ADD-DUB-LAX, adds ADD-LFW(Lomé)-LAX
Replies: 106
Views: 22769

Re: Ethiopian drops local traffic between DUB and LAX

I think everyone overstates ET's strategic nuance. They have a staggering low cost structure due to very low labour costs, very low airport costs in Addis and fairly cheap cost of capital. They have a much lower unit cost between Africa and Europe, North America and Asia than all of their competiti...

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by simpv
Wed Oct 31, 2018 3:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta and Haneda
Replies: 97
Views: 15422

Re: Delta and Haneda

Could we also see DTW and ATL get HND slots while HNL/PDX and SEA stay at NRT with onward flights to SIN and MNL reaming giving Delta customers access through the SEA hub to SIN and MNL. Just a thought. What would be the advantage of this? SEA would be at a disadvantage for transporting passengers ...

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by simpv
Wed Oct 31, 2018 12:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ethiopian drops ADD-DUB-LAX, adds ADD-LFW(Lomé)-LAX
Replies: 106
Views: 22769

Re: Ethiopian drops local traffic between DUB and LAX

A surprising add, but a cool route.
How does ET do on the EWR-LFW route? Is it for connections, or people continuing to ADD?
I can't see this route lasting either--seems to have no advantage of local O&D, connecting traffic at LAX or LFW, or a more efficient routing.

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by simpv
Wed Oct 31, 2018 12:30 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UA starts SFO to Papeete today, increases to year-round service
Replies: 42
Views: 7850

Re: UA starts SFO-PPT today, increases to year-round service

Congrats to UA--it is a great route, and I hope it is a success!

Though how will this impact AF or TN? It must be driving down yields, since as of earlier this year they had a monopoly.

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by simpv
Mon Oct 29, 2018 6:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Delta and Haneda
Replies: 97
Views: 15422

Re: Delta and Haneda

What about United? Do we think they might request some slots and start slowly transitioning as well? The situation with UA is different because they are in a JV with ANA, which has a substantial operation at both HND and NRT. Whether or not UA flights to NRT survive depends largely on what ANA does...

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by simpv
Sun Oct 28, 2018 2:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 10/28/2018:F9 Drops GSP-LAS/MCO,SAT-CVG/RDU,PIT-MCO/SAN,AUS-SJC,BNA-TTN,MCI-RDU;UA Adds FAI-SFO
Replies: 97
Views: 11486

Re: OAG Changes 10/28/2018:F9 Drops GSP-LAS/MCO,SAT-CVG/RDU,PIT-MCO/SAN,AUS-SJC,BNA-TTN,MCI-RDU;UA Adds FAI-SFO

Two biased observations b/c they affect my travels: Looks like AA is pulling out of Vail entirely during the summer. That sucks - they had been running at least once a day thru DFW for the past decade or more. Now it’s UAX via DEN or drive. Also, continued expansion for destinations out of FAI on U...

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by simpv
Wed Oct 24, 2018 6:45 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: San Francisco Bay Area Aviation 2018
Replies: 101
Views: 8619

Re: San Francisco Bay Area Aviation 2018

Interesting: UA to add two round trip flights to BCN for the Mobile World Conference. https://www.bizjournals.com/sanfrancisco/news/2018/10/24/united-airlines-special-flight-barcelona-sfo-ual.html The article mentions that people want the service year round. Is there that much tech traffic between ...

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by simpv
Wed Oct 24, 2018 2:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Next confirmed SQ non-stop Trans-Pacific destination: SEA
Replies: 224
Views: 27148

Re: Unconfirmed: Next SQ non-stop trans-Pacific destination...SEA

I think SEA is plausible, but would have put my money on YVR first. I would think Canada-Singapore has more demand than SEA-SIN with AS connections. Speaking of which, I know SEA-SIN is slightly shorter, but since SQ has double-downed on SFO, it seems most of the cities could already be served from ...

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by simpv
Wed Oct 24, 2018 2:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: San Francisco Bay Area Aviation 2018
Replies: 101
Views: 8619

Re: San Francisco Bay Area Aviation 2018

Interesting: UA to add two round trip flights to BCN for the Mobile World Conference. https://www.bizjournals.com/sanfrancisco/news/2018/10/24/united-airlines-special-flight-barcelona-sfo-ual.html The article mentions that people want the service year round. Is there that much tech traffic between t...

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by simpv
Sun Oct 21, 2018 3:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Unconfirmed: China Southern to DFW
Replies: 63
Views: 7959

Re: China Southen announces dfw

Interesting if true. One step closer for China Southern to join OW?

Planes4you scooped the AF return to DFW before any official announcement, so I'm willing to believe this!

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by simpv
Wed Oct 17, 2018 6:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: San Francisco Bay Area Aviation 2018
Replies: 101
Views: 8619

Re: San Francisco Bay Area Aviation 2018

I've been reading a few updates from SFO, and it seems like the general expansion continues. UA added CMH, filling another hole. Timing seems good only for the SIN and Hawaii flights. Are there any other viable markets left? Perhaps MKE and CLT? Long shot of DSM? UA goes double daily on TPA, a good ...

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by simpv
Mon Oct 08, 2018 3:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: YYZ Toronto Pearson will be fully level 3 Slot Coordinated in 2019 like JFK & LHR, GTAA lies about YYZ maximum capacity
Replies: 39
Views: 6555

Re: YYZ Toronto Pearson will be fully level 3 Slot Coordinated in 2019 like JFK & LHR, GTAA lies about YYZ maximum capac

I assume that AC sees this, and this is why there has been impressive growth up at YUL. How much more capacity can YUL grow before it enters into similar problems like YYZ?

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by simpv
Mon Oct 08, 2018 3:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Joon take over 4 Air France Europe destinations S19
Replies: 40
Views: 9902

Re: Joon take over 4 Air France Europe destinations S19

I posted in the French aviation thread, but does anybody know how fast Joon can grow before it runs into problems with AF and its unions?

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