Just to expand, here are the routes listed that have at least an estimated 75 PDEW, with some cities listed at above 100. PEK: none. HND: BCN is close (71.9). HKG: HNL is close (72.6) PVG: DUS (95.3), MAN (81), CAI (80.2), PEN (79.7), and GRU (72.9; close, but probably too far for an economical rout...Jump to post
HKG: HNL-HKG anytime soon? Maybe HA could look at that route. You mean HX? They got no money to expand, sadly. There are a fair amount of 2nd/3rd tier European cities on the list, although it's a little bit surprising that both TXL and HAM are among airports on the list but not DUS (Which CX used t...Jump to post
Anna.aero just published a list of the top 10 unserved routes from 10 of Asia's airports. https://www.anna.aero/2019/03/06/100-routes-asias-top-10-airports-non-stop-service/ Importantly, they also provide numbers on the potential (or lack thereof) for new routes. Of course, none of this takes into a...Jump to post
How much demand is there from California to BRU? EWR/IAD benefit from governmental/UN/NGOs/military/etc travel, most of which California doesn't have a lot of. ORD is a shorter stage length and can get connecting pax. I would say that any route would need to rely on connections on the BRU side. For ...Jump to post
Agreed on all points. I just wonder if SJC could be a viable market for 1 or 2x/week? If you fly with such a low frequency you just get near-zero business demand to fill the front of the plane. My guess: LAX, 5x weekly. I agree. As has been discussed ad nauseum on this forum, SJC has long suffered ...Jump to post
As per this week's OAG thread, SFO-MUC was extended through November, however on the UA website non-stops are bookable through Jan 2020 (in addition to the A380 flight on LH). Anybody have any info on whether SFO-MUC is being extended to year round?Jump to post
Curious if the YVR-AKL flight will have any impact on NZ. Don't they do daily in N. Summer? Is AC part of the UA/NZ agreement? Aside from being in * Alliance I don't know how close the two are, thus my question. I am aware being in an alliance doesn't necessarily mean all carriers cooperate with ea...Jump to post
It looks like this year UA's SFO-MUC flight won't end in October instead it will be flown daily in both October and November. It will be interesting to see if the flight is still around come December or if hibernation begins in December. Just looked and UA's SFO-MUC flight is bookable through Jan 2...Jump to post
What is the long-term prospect for NH/JL at NRT? With those 12 additional frequencies, combined with US carriers moving to HND, how viable are some of those NRT routes that rely on connecting passengers? This expansion at HND seems to have the potential to scale down some of NH/JL's operations.Jump to post
I would wager that SFO is reaching the maximum for now for UA. SGN/BKK routinely come up, but between the JV with NH and lack of premium demand, probably not happening in this economic cycle. BNE maybe in the future, if we see the continued decentralization of US-Australia flying away from LAX. But ...Jump to post
Shouldn't we also take into account the traffic funneled via AKL? UA and NZ do have a JV, and since NZ has added service to IAH and ORD, and UA has resumed its year-round service to SFO, perhaps this reduction is just a case of US-Australia traffic becoming less LAX-SYD dependent.Jump to post
For the 2018 calendar year (Jan-Oct): Air Carrier landings up 3.7% For Oct 2018: Air Carrier landings down 2.8% https://media.flysfo.com/media/sfo/media/air-traffic/as201810.pdf As this shows, Sept and October have shown decreases in total aircraft landings and domestic passengers, but overall inter...Jump to post
So it looks the trend of international growth at SFO is continuing, with the announced expansions/additions of MXP, DEL, MEL, YYZ, AKL, PPT, AMS, ICN, LIS, and LGW. However, I was looking at recent statistics, and noticed that over last two months domestic growth has been flat/negative, but internat...Jump to post
Just announced: http://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2018/12/13/1666767/0/en/TAP-Air-Portugal-to-Add-a-Third-New-U-S-Route-for-2019-San-Francisco-Becomes-TAP-s-8th-North-American-and-Only-West-Coast-Gateway.html 5x weekly, year-round flights from LIS-SFO begins on June 10, 2019. Uses the A330-9...Jump to post
Objectively nothing historic about any part of this announcement. It doesn't greatly reduce travel times to many of these markets and certainly isn't opening up entirely untapped route opportunities. Yawn. Again, the actual announcement makes no mention of "historic." https://hub.united.c...Jump to post
I think there is too much negativity towards UA on this. Sure, some of the routes were already announced, but UA is the only US airline with nonstops to India, and the only one to fly to MEL and PPT. They've also done expansion at SFO domestically to places like PAE, CMH, and FAI. If DL had done thi...Jump to post
SFO-BKK, SGN, and DEL?Jump to post
Good authority it’s IAH-JNB #confirmed If it is JNB, that would be a very cool route for UA. I'm somewhat surprised they wouldn't try EWR first though - no competition and probably a bigger local market. IAH does have more connection opportunities. Regardless of whether its IAH or EWR, I'd call tha...Jump to post
I agree that EWR-JNB or IAD-JNB is a good bet (plus isn't SAA going to downsize at some point??). Some other off-the-wall ideas:
SFO-BKK or SGN (only directs to the US)
EWR-ACC, DKR, LOS, CAI
I believe that PR did a technical stopover from SFO/LAX on the way to MNL maybe 10 years ago. But don't think they could carry passengers.Jump to post
Perhaps not great for consumers, but a nice counterweight to the LATAM-AA partnership.
What routes can we expect then from BOG?
I told everyone this was happening months ago and no one believed it. Sorry, I still don't see how the thread title is accurate based on sources that can be cited... "Norwegian moving OAK-LGW to SFO-LGW" would absolutely be an accurate title, but the best info we have to go on otherwise i...Jump to post
From an article: https://www.sfgate.com/chris-mcginnis/article/Norwegian-Air-moves-flights-to-SFO-13409289.php "Norwegian Air spokesperson Anders Lindstrom said that the carrier is moving its flights for three main reasons: First, Norwegian thinks it can attract more premium class passengers fr...Jump to post
There was another thread on the Amazon HQ, but until this thread gets canned I'll repost what I posted there before the site was announced. This whole thing was just a charade to shake down two cities that otherwise wouldn't have done much to get Amazon by using other cities much more desperate. Go...Jump to post
Does anybody know exactly what the restrictions AF/KL put on AZ in TATL flying? I was under the impression that AZ was restricted in how many flights it could add.Jump to post
So it appears that Amazon will split up HQ2 in Queens, NYC, and Arlington, VA. https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/05/technology/amazon-second-headquarters-split.html The article does mention that these will be highly paid positions (average of USD 100,000), and considering that Amazon currently houses ...Jump to post
This is so overblown on here!! Will this create some traffic yes. This is not some game changer that will support an entirely new hub like people are making it seem. Amazon i bet you will charter plane or use their own to move alot of cargo. AS stated: HQ2 is supposed to add 50,000 jobs but that is...Jump to post
Take a look at DCA arrivals on FlightAware. There's a TON of upgauging that can be done. Not necessarily to SEA, but there is a lot of CR2/E145/E75/CR7/CR9/319 traffic. https://flightaware.com/live/airport/KDCA/arrivals?;offset=40;order=actualarrivaltime;sort=DESC I did, and there are a LOT of smal...Jump to post
Reports today that Crystal City, VA, is in advanced discussions for Amazon's HQ2. https://www.apnews.com/b9247caa991749c2b2cff090a8faa773 It is located across the street from DCA--and with an influx of 50,000 high-paid workers, would certainly increase demand. If this turns out to be true, what woul...Jump to post
Congrats to SEA, and amazing how much non-stop capacity there is on SIN-North America. There is probably enough traffic for 4x week, if there are onward connections to India and SE Asia on the SIN side. I assume this really puts pressure on DL though--I don't give that NRT-SIN leg that much longer t...Jump to post
... you can be absolutely 100% certain that a bid hasn't been placed by DL. Lol this aged well. If confirmed, foot meet mouth. I'd be both very wrong and stunned. Is there a source? I'm not seeing anything. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-alitalia-offers/alitalia-receives-two-binding-offers-one-...Jump to post
I think everyone overstates ET's strategic nuance. They have a staggering low cost structure due to very low labour costs, very low airport costs in Addis and fairly cheap cost of capital. They have a much lower unit cost between Africa and Europe, North America and Asia than all of their competiti...Jump to post
Could we also see DTW and ATL get HND slots while HNL/PDX and SEA stay at NRT with onward flights to SIN and MNL reaming giving Delta customers access through the SEA hub to SIN and MNL. Just a thought. What would be the advantage of this? SEA would be at a disadvantage for transporting passengers ...Jump to post
A surprising add, but a cool route.
How does ET do on the EWR-LFW route? Is it for connections, or people continuing to ADD?
I can't see this route lasting either--seems to have no advantage of local O&D, connecting traffic at LAX or LFW, or a more efficient routing.
Congrats to UA--it is a great route, and I hope it is a success!
Though how will this impact AF or TN? It must be driving down yields, since as of earlier this year they had a monopoly.
What about United? Do we think they might request some slots and start slowly transitioning as well? The situation with UA is different because they are in a JV with ANA, which has a substantial operation at both HND and NRT. Whether or not UA flights to NRT survive depends largely on what ANA does...Jump to post
Two biased observations b/c they affect my travels: Looks like AA is pulling out of Vail entirely during the summer. That sucks - they had been running at least once a day thru DFW for the past decade or more. Now it’s UAX via DEN or drive. Also, continued expansion for destinations out of FAI on U...Jump to post
Interesting: UA to add two round trip flights to BCN for the Mobile World Conference. https://www.bizjournals.com/sanfrancisco/news/2018/10/24/united-airlines-special-flight-barcelona-sfo-ual.html The article mentions that people want the service year round. Is there that much tech traffic between ...Jump to post
I think SEA is plausible, but would have put my money on YVR first. I would think Canada-Singapore has more demand than SEA-SIN with AS connections. Speaking of which, I know SEA-SIN is slightly shorter, but since SQ has double-downed on SFO, it seems most of the cities could already be served from ...Jump to post
Interesting: UA to add two round trip flights to BCN for the Mobile World Conference. https://www.bizjournals.com/sanfrancisco/news/2018/10/24/united-airlines-special-flight-barcelona-sfo-ual.html The article mentions that people want the service year round. Is there that much tech traffic between t...Jump to post
I've been reading a few updates from SFO, and it seems like the general expansion continues. UA added CMH, filling another hole. Timing seems good only for the SIN and Hawaii flights. Are there any other viable markets left? Perhaps MKE and CLT? Long shot of DSM? UA goes double daily on TPA, a good ...Jump to post
I assume that AC sees this, and this is why there has been impressive growth up at YUL. How much more capacity can YUL grow before it enters into similar problems like YYZ?Jump to post
I posted in the French aviation thread, but does anybody know how fast Joon can grow before it runs into problems with AF and its unions?Jump to post