Search found 316 matches

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by Taxi645
Wed Aug 14, 2019 5:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?
Replies: 354
Views: 69250

Re: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?

https://aviationnews.online/2019/08/14/there-may-not-be-a-797-x-if-boeing-carries-on-like-this-say-analysts/ Speaking to analysts who were privy to the Boeing briefing a few months ago, they tell me that Boeing estimated then it was 65% likely it would go ahead. Airlines like United were especially ...

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by Taxi645
Mon Aug 05, 2019 1:36 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Should RR launch an ultra-fan for A220 to A320-200 thrust class?
Replies: 37
Views: 5381

Re: Should RR launch an ultra-fan for A220 to A320-200 thrust class?

If I recall things correctly the A+B duopoly were happy to simply make incremental improvements to their NB offerings for a couple of decades and held back from major revision including re-engining when that option became possible. Was it the prospect of a third player (Bombardier) entering the mar...

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by Taxi645
Sat Aug 03, 2019 5:54 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Updated: Airbus plans to open new A321neo assembly line in Toulouse
Replies: 73
Views: 2155

Re: Airbus studying an A321neo line in Toulouse

I don't think the work load devision between Germany and France is much of an issue:

- It's not a moving of production, but expansion.
- It would replace A380 production.

I think it would be a non-issue.

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by Taxi645
Fri Aug 02, 2019 5:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Should RR launch an ultra-fan for A220 to A320-200 thrust class?
Replies: 37
Views: 5381

Re: Should RR launch an ultra-fan for A220 to A320-200 thrust class?

It's a valid question but then we have to ask ourselves how the market is today and how it will evolve. For the A220 and A320 to reach such production levels, they would have to gain market share at the expense of other manufacturers or other aircraft models. So that should potentially open up prod...

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by Taxi645
Fri Aug 02, 2019 10:19 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Should RR launch an ultra-fan for A220 to A320-200 thrust class?
Replies: 37
Views: 5381

Re: Should RR launch an ultra-fan for A220 to A320-200 thrust class?

The time to get on these planes was when they were launched, not now. RR had their chance then and has to wait now for whatever is next. Around 2025-2028 we would be talking A220 gen2. That may be the next opportunity. 797 is the better option. Pratt has an exclusive on the A220 for a while. There ...

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by Taxi645
Fri Aug 02, 2019 7:20 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Should RR launch an ultra-fan for A220 to A320-200 thrust class?
Replies: 37
Views: 5381

Re: Should RR launch an ultra-fan for A220 to A320-200 thrust class?

The time to get on these planes was when they were launched, not now. RR had their chance then and has to wait now for whatever is next. Around 2025-2028 we would be talking A220 gen2. That may be the next opportunity. It would probably be an uphill fight against PW. It seems 35-50k lbs would seem ...

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by Taxi645
Thu Aug 01, 2019 10:18 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Should RR launch an ultra-fan for A220 to A320-200 thrust class?
Replies: 37
Views: 5381

Re: Should RR launch an ultra-fan for A220 to A320-200 thrust class?

Like a said, countless aircraft have been produced at high rates over the years with a sole engine OEM and PW has been in the business since radial engines. By 2025-2028 the GTF will be a matured product and I believe they’ll be ready. RR shouldn’t be targeting an aircraft that could command an ext...

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by Taxi645
Thu Aug 01, 2019 7:51 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Should RR launch an ultra-fan for A220 to A320-200 thrust class?
Replies: 37
Views: 5381

Re: Should RR launch an ultra-fan for A220 to A320-200 thrust class?

Far too soon for the A220 and RR. RR should start the Ultrafan on a wide-body (like they plan on) and slowly work the ultrafan onto whatever comes after the A320neo and MAX. We don't know when replacements for the A320neo and/or MAX will be launched (and if they are one for one replacements in the ...

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by Taxi645
Thu Aug 01, 2019 7:25 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Should RR launch an ultra-fan for A220 to A320-200 thrust class?
Replies: 37
Views: 5381

Re: Should RR launch an ultra-fan for A220 to A320-200 thrust class?

Far too soon for the A220 and RR. RR should start the Ultrafan on a wide-body (like they plan on) and slowly work the ultrafan onto whatever comes after the A320neo and MAX. We don't know when replacements for the A320neo and/or MAX will be launched (and if they are one for one replacements in the ...

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by Taxi645
Thu Aug 01, 2019 7:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Should RR launch an ultra-fan for A220 to A320-200 thrust class?
Replies: 37
Views: 5381

Re: Should RR launch an ultra-fan for A220 to A320-200 thrust class?

So with A220 orders materializing exponentially and the plane possibly on it's way to becoming mass produced like the MAX and the A320 (although not quite in those numbers), I think the question has become even more relevant: Will PW be able to provide sufficient engines if Airbus takes production n...

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by Taxi645
Wed Jul 31, 2019 5:58 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 (CSeries) Delivery/Production Thread - 2019
Replies: 527
Views: 130491

Re: Airbus A220 (CSeries) Delivery/Production Thread - 2019

A220 sales are slowly starting to indicate that increasing engine output up to or around 14 a year is not gonna cut it longer term. If Airbus behind doors is currently planning rates beyond 14 a year longer term, than Pratt better be ready or they they open the door to the competition. The competit...

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by Taxi645
Wed Jul 31, 2019 4:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 (CSeries) Delivery/Production Thread - 2019
Replies: 527
Views: 130491

Re: Airbus A220 (CSeries) Delivery/Production Thread - 2019

IIRC, the production system that Bombardier designed is very unique, full of proprietary tech. I don't think it would translate to the 321. Of course, the building could be stripped and rearranged for the 321 if the 220 fiunders, but that would be expensive. Aren't engines still the pacing item on ...

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by Taxi645
Wed Jul 31, 2019 10:20 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?
Replies: 354
Views: 69250

Re: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?

If I'm Airbus management, I would heavily discounted A320neo and A321neo when NSA arrived to the point where the fuel savings and cost reduction on NSA would be too damn expensive. Hence the above suggestion to tackle the less capable part of the narrowbody market first. That way you're compsting m...

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by Taxi645
Tue Jul 30, 2019 9:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Could the A220 take advantage of MAX grounding.
Replies: 71
Views: 10990

Re: Could the A220 take advantage of MAX grounding.

I wonder if PW would be able to deliver enough engines if Airbus REALLY cranks up production rates of the A220 or if they need RR in that game sooner rather than later.

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by Taxi645
Fri Jul 26, 2019 10:09 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?
Replies: 354
Views: 69250

Re: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?

Seems like a great plan to me. I take it this is a metal fuselage. Metal or composite is too complex a trade study for me to answer. Which ever works best over the life time of the NSA program. WIngs and wingbox would probably be composite though. Perhaps the smallest version wouldn't work at 6-abr...

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by Taxi645
Fri Jul 26, 2019 6:28 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?
Replies: 354
Views: 69250

Re: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?

Ok, so how about this: Focus the first phase of the NSA as a smaller replacement of the 737 with less range. Largest variant would be 737-800 size. Do this phase of NSA together with Embraer. Advantages of this strategy: - You hit Airbus hardest were it is most vulnerable: the A220 (and it’s low sc...

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by Taxi645
Thu Jul 25, 2019 9:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?
Replies: 354
Views: 69250

Re: Boeing 737 replacement, back on the table in summer 2019?

Ok, so how about this: Focus the first phase of the NSA as a smaller replacement of the 737 with less range. Largest variant would be 737-800 size. Do this phase of NSA together with Embraer. Advantages of this strategy: - You hit Airbus hardest were it is most vulnerable: the A220 (and it’s low sca...

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by Taxi645
Mon Jul 15, 2019 2:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus product range 2028
Replies: 63
Views: 7172

Re: Airbus product range 2028

Sorry guys for not responding earlier. As a none language thinker it’s not always easy for me to respond in time to all the points being made with the quality of argumentation to my liking. On timing: Yes 2030 or later is more realistic. On production rates: The production rates was more of a maxim...

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by Taxi645
Wed Jul 10, 2019 9:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A351 Lite
Replies: 22
Views: 9491

Re: A351 Lite

My counter point would be to look at the capability comparisons of the above examples and the capability comparison between an ULTRAFAN A350-1000 at 280t MTOW and one at 319t. We would be talking about a wholly different payload-range bracket. Al the given examples are within range of what many air...

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by Taxi645
Wed Jul 10, 2019 7:16 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A351 Lite
Replies: 22
Views: 9491

Re: A351 Lite

I am sure it is lighter (just the additional strengthening to support the higher A350-1000 operating weights would do that even if the wings were effectively identical). According to a briefing from one of the major wing suppliers, the A350-1000 wing has the same span of the A350-900, but 90% of th...

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by Taxi645
Mon Jul 08, 2019 6:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A351 Lite
Replies: 22
Views: 9491

Re: A351 Lite

What your describing is a whole new sub-type, it’s going to need the same degree of certification as any other sub-type, which is still fairly substantial also do we have any particular information on the weight savings? https://www.flightglobal.com/news/articles/easa-certifies-a350-1000-engine-440...

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by Taxi645
Mon Jul 08, 2019 4:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A351 Lite
Replies: 22
Views: 9491

Re: A351 Lite

Would there be a market for a A351 lite. Meaning a aircraft with the lenght of the A350-1000 but the wings engines and undercarige of the A350-900. It would have MTOW of 280 and a range similar to the B787-10. It would be ligther than a normal A350-1000 and have lower landing feess. It would not ne...

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by Taxi645
Mon Jun 24, 2019 6:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR
Replies: 410
Views: 46110

Re: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR

Boeing has claimed all along that the NMA would not be much, if any, push on actual technology utilized; but, a major change in the production system used to produce the aircraft - which will be significantly cheaper than the old method. Don't take anything any company says as gospel. To believe NM...

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by Taxi645
Wed Jun 19, 2019 11:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus product range 2028
Replies: 63
Views: 7172

Airbus product range 2028

Airbus over the past year has updated it's product line (end of A380, A321XLR, MTOW updates here and there). Also it has been talking about some future developments (further growth of the A220, hints of updates to the A350 etc). So below an updated list of a possible 2028 product range. As you can s...

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by Taxi645
Tue Jun 18, 2019 12:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR
Replies: 410
Views: 46110

Re: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR

Just to explain further. If Boeing launches the NMA and thus commits it's resources to it, Airbus can immediately initiate a whole list of things to put the 737 in a lot more trouble still: - Increase A320 production further - Increase A220 production further - Launch an A322 based on the XLR desig...

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by Taxi645
Tue Jun 18, 2019 9:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR
Replies: 410
Views: 46110

Re: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR

Just to explain further. If Boeing launches the NMA and thus commits it's resources to it, Airbus can immediately initiate a whole list of things to put the 737 in a lot more trouble still: - Increase A320 production further - Increase A220 production further - Launch an A322 based on the XLR design...

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by Taxi645
Tue Jun 18, 2019 7:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR
Replies: 410
Views: 46110

Re: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR

Boeing has already fixed the MCAS issue. They had been working on it since the Lion Air crash. They might have fixed the technical aspect of it. There is more to the 737 situation than just the technical aspect of MCAS.... ;) You all must think Boeing has the most incompetent sales and marketing te...

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by Taxi645
Tue Jun 18, 2019 7:12 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR
Replies: 410
Views: 46110

Re: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR

What I find interesting is that for years it has been an A.net wisdom that Boeing would never replace the 757 because there was supposedly no market for this class of aircraft any more. And suddenly the A321(X)LR comes around and boom! So what happened here? What did Airbus see that everyone else m...

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by Taxi645
Thu Jun 06, 2019 1:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What does the Rumored 6T MTOW Increase for the 787-10 Mean for the A359?
Replies: 161
Views: 23989

Re: What does the Rumored 6T MTOW Increase for the 787-10 Mean for the A359?

Why invest now in a higher MTOW for the 787-10 at the expense of efficiency at high TOW (high spanwise loading) while in a few years a new engine will give you the same range when actually improving efficiency over virtually it's whole useful range bracket while the competition (A350-900) won't be b...

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by Taxi645
Sat Apr 06, 2019 1:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A320neo Family Production/Delivery Thread - 2019
Replies: 178
Views: 50755

Re: Airbus A320neo Family Production/Delivery Thread - 2019

Any change in engine allocation expected after the lowered MAX production rate.

Airbus must've increased calculated margins on future deals.

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by Taxi645
Fri Mar 01, 2019 7:32 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Dutch government increases stock holding in KL-AF group.
Replies: 160
Views: 16801

Re: Dutch government increases stock holding in KL-AF group.

This whole thread is becoming ridiculous. It's either French-bashing or Dutch-bashing. Is it possible to have a grown-up discussion? My hope is that things will eventually calm down. Both the Dutch and the French will come to their senses for the greater good of AF-KLM. Neither the Dutch or the Fre...

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by Taxi645
Thu Feb 28, 2019 7:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Dutch government increases stock holding in KL-AF group.
Replies: 160
Views: 16801

Re: Dutch government increases stock holding in KL-AF group.

"Declaration of war", "revenge". Let us put aside primal responses for a second... This move is mainly three things: 1 A signal, a line in the sand. We are serious about our interests and we won't be fooled around with. 2 An insurance policy to make sure that agreements made dur...

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by Taxi645
Thu Feb 28, 2019 7:13 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Dutch government increases stock holding in KL-AF group.
Replies: 160
Views: 16801

Re: Dutch government increases stock holding in KL-AF group.

Can we get over this French vs Dutch stuff? It is so boring.

I think getting AF-KLM more competitive is a more important issue.

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by Taxi645
Wed Feb 27, 2019 8:12 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Dutch government increases stock holding in KL-AF group.
Replies: 160
Views: 16801

Re: Dutch government increases stock holding in KL-AF group.

"Declaration of war", "revenge". Let us put aside primal responses for a second... This move is mainly three things: 1 A signal, a line in the sand. We are serious about our interests and we won't be fooled around with. 2 An insurance policy to make sure that agreements made duri...

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by Taxi645
Tue Feb 26, 2019 10:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Dutch government increases stock holding in KL-AF group.
Replies: 160
Views: 16801

Re: Dutch government increases stock holding in KL-AF group.

Some people don't think further than a monkey on a rock.

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by Taxi645
Tue Feb 26, 2019 7:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Dutch government increases stock holding in KL-AF group.
Replies: 160
Views: 16801

Re: Dutch government increases stock holding in KL-AF group.

I don't think the (primary) goal is to gain a share in excess of the French, if they intervene or not.

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by Taxi645
Tue Feb 26, 2019 7:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air France-KLM Wants to Change KL CEO
Replies: 135
Views: 17662

Re: Air France-KLM Wants to Change KL CEO

Dutch state announced just now that it bought 12.7% shares in AF-KLM. Intention is to eventually equal the share of the French state.

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by Taxi645
Sat Feb 23, 2019 8:12 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Reuters: Airbus pencils in orders for new A321XLR jet.
Replies: 197
Views: 44983

Re: Reuters: Airbus pencils in orders for new A321XLR jet.

If the rumoured 1.5% wing improvement are improved wing end devises that improve induced drag than possibly not much thrust increase is neccessary for the increased MTOW.

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by Taxi645
Thu Feb 21, 2019 1:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A350 to have RR Ultrafan Engines from ~2025, Ostrower
Replies: 224
Views: 42541

Re: Airbus A350 to have RR Ultrafan Engines from ~2025, Ostrower

This suggests an order for 50 - 80 stretched A35ks would make early development viable for an "A350-1200" with EXISTING engines. That would allow the market to be tested in terms of size soon, as not all airlines want or need to wait till 2026++, and take the pressure off RR as the limiti...

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by Taxi645
Wed Feb 20, 2019 9:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A350 to have RR Ultrafan Engines from ~2025, Ostrower
Replies: 224
Views: 42541

Re: Airbus A350 to have RR Ultrafan Engines from ~2025, Ostrower

260T MTOW: A350-800NEO A350-900NEO 290T MTOW: A350-1000NEO 316/9T MTOW: A350-1100 Thinking a bit more about it to following might make more sense: 280T MTOW: A350-900NEO, 66.8m A350-1000NEO, 71,8m (-2m shorter than the current 1000) 316/9T MTOW: A350-1100, 77,8m (4m longer than the current 1000) Ad...

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by Taxi645
Wed Feb 20, 2019 8:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A350 to have RR Ultrafan Engines from ~2025, Ostrower
Replies: 224
Views: 42541

Re: Airbus A350 to have RR Ultrafan Engines from ~2025, Ostrower

260T MTOW: A350-800NEO A350-900NEO 290T MTOW: A350-1000NEO 316/9T MTOW: A350-1100 Thinking a bit more about it to following might make more sense: 280T MTOW: A350-900NEO, 66.8m A350-1000NEO, 71,8m (-2m shorter than the current 1000) 316/9T MTOW: A350-1100, 77,8m (4m longer than the current 1000) Ad...

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by Taxi645
Wed Feb 20, 2019 7:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A350 to have RR Ultrafan Engines from ~2025, Ostrower
Replies: 224
Views: 42541

Re: Airbus A350 to have RR Ultrafan Engines from ~2025, Ostrower

Edit: the interesting thought now makes less sense when I realise that we should size everything based of the MZFW range and then let the max pax range fall out at a high level. 4600nm MZFW rage might not cut it. What components of the current 900 would be the limiting factor for the MZFW range? Is...

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by Taxi645
Wed Feb 13, 2019 5:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air France-KLM Wants to Change KL CEO
Replies: 135
Views: 17662

Re: Air France-KLM Wants to Change KL CEO

The fact of Transavia being based in Holland and perceived as Dutch is actually proof that the group AF/KL is already happily consolidating things into Holland rather than the initial thesis of this thread that which was they are hampering the growth and development of the Dutch units to cover for ...

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by Taxi645
Wed Feb 13, 2019 5:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A350 to have RR Ultrafan Engines from ~2025, Ostrower
Replies: 224
Views: 42541

Re: Airbus A350 to have RR Ultrafan Engines from ~2025, Ostrower

Sounds like they went from "Advance (that no one wanted) --> VP ultrafan" to "utrafan without VP --> ultrafan with VP" but then on a slightly later schedule. Seems to make sense. I would be really interested to know what MTOW, thurst levels and engine diameter such an A350NEO wou...

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by Taxi645
Tue Feb 12, 2019 11:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air France-KLM Wants to Change KL CEO
Replies: 135
Views: 17662

Re: Air France-KLM Wants to Change KL CEO

Don't forgot the merger did not only have a bussiness dimension but also a politcal one. It was in the day's that policians thought that differences between North and South of Europe could be easily overcome. I think the merger was decided in that optimistic political climate. We now know that hasn'...

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by Taxi645
Tue Feb 12, 2019 6:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air France-KLM Wants to Change KL CEO
Replies: 135
Views: 17662

Re: Air France-KLM Wants to Change KL CEO

A current example of how this matters: KL has money in the bank while AF/KL has a debt. On group level the logical thing to do is clear the debt with the reserves of KL. Or address what has caused the debt in the first place.... which is what happens in a well functioning company. The problem is th...

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by Taxi645
Tue Feb 12, 2019 7:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air France-KLM Wants to Change KL CEO
Replies: 135
Views: 17662

Re: Air France-KLM Wants to Change KL CEO

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alcazar_(airline)


Seems like a better match regarding culture and work ethic.
-->

Would SAS been a better merger partner for KLM?


https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alcazar_(airline)


Seems like a better match regarding culture and work ethic.

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by Taxi645
Mon Feb 04, 2019 7:53 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates considering order changes - Airbus A380 for A330/A350 confirmed, Boeing 787 for 777-9 still possible
Replies: 879
Views: 138947

Re: Emirates is exploring switching the Airbus A380 to A350

One possibilty: A proper NEO (not one without a solid bussiness case) would probably require engines shared with a A330 successor (please don't discuss this it has all been discussed before). However Airbus is unlikely to decide on a A330 successor before Boeing has decided on NMA. Thus the continou...

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by Taxi645
Fri Feb 01, 2019 7:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates considering order changes - Airbus A380 for A330/A350 confirmed, Boeing 787 for 777-9 still possible
Replies: 879
Views: 138947

Re: Emirates is exploring switching the Airbus A380 to A350

Another possibility; Airbus is bringing in the ending of the line possibility once again to put pressure on EK to finally decide if they are willing to pay what it takes to extend the A380 production as long as required before Enders retires. This has never been a deal from heaven. With continous hi...

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by Taxi645
Thu Jan 31, 2019 2:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019
Replies: 1262
Views: 171680

Re: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019

Boeing probably is playing it smart. A large part of Airbus product strategy will depend on wheter or not the NMA is launched. This also influences what options Airbus has with an A380NEO for instance and therefore the bussiness case of stretching production till the second half of the next decade. ...

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