Search found 299 matches

by Taxi645
Mon Jul 15, 2019 2:55 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus product range 2028
Replies: 62
Views: 7006

Re: Airbus product range 2028

Sorry guys for not responding earlier. As a none language thinker it’s not always easy for me to respond in time to all the points being made with the quality of argumentation to my liking. On timing: Yes 2030 or later is more realistic. On production rates: The production rates was more of a maxim...

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Wed Jul 10, 2019 9:26 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A351 Lite
Replies: 22
Views: 9427

Re: A351 Lite

My counter point would be to look at the capability comparisons of the above examples and the capability comparison between an ULTRAFAN A350-1000 at 280t MTOW and one at 319t. We would be talking about a wholly different payload-range bracket. Al the given examples are within range of what many air...

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Wed Jul 10, 2019 7:16 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A351 Lite
Replies: 22
Views: 9427

Re: A351 Lite

I am sure it is lighter (just the additional strengthening to support the higher A350-1000 operating weights would do that even if the wings were effectively identical). According to a briefing from one of the major wing suppliers, the A350-1000 wing has the same span of the A350-900, but 90% of th...

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Mon Jul 08, 2019 6:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A351 Lite
Replies: 22
Views: 9427

Re: A351 Lite

What your describing is a whole new sub-type, it’s going to need the same degree of certification as any other sub-type, which is still fairly substantial also do we have any particular information on the weight savings? https://www.flightglobal.com/news/articles/easa-certifies-a350-1000-engine-440...

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Mon Jul 08, 2019 4:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A351 Lite
Replies: 22
Views: 9427

Re: A351 Lite

Would there be a market for a A351 lite. Meaning a aircraft with the lenght of the A350-1000 but the wings engines and undercarige of the A350-900. It would have MTOW of 280 and a range similar to the B787-10. It would be ligther than a normal A350-1000 and have lower landing feess. It would not ne...

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Mon Jun 24, 2019 6:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR
Replies: 409
Views: 45533

Re: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR

Boeing has claimed all along that the NMA would not be much, if any, push on actual technology utilized; but, a major change in the production system used to produce the aircraft - which will be significantly cheaper than the old method. Don't take anything any company says as gospel. To believe NM...

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Wed Jun 19, 2019 11:52 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus product range 2028
Replies: 62
Views: 7006

Airbus product range 2028

Airbus over the past year has updated it's product line (end of A380, A321XLR, MTOW updates here and there). Also it has been talking about some future developments (further growth of the A220, hints of updates to the A350 etc). So below an updated list of a possible 2028 product range. As you can s...

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Tue Jun 18, 2019 12:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR
Replies: 409
Views: 45533

Re: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR

Just to explain further. If Boeing launches the NMA and thus commits it's resources to it, Airbus can immediately initiate a whole list of things to put the 737 in a lot more trouble still: - Increase A320 production further - Increase A220 production further - Launch an A322 based on the XLR desig...

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Tue Jun 18, 2019 9:15 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR
Replies: 409
Views: 45533

Re: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR

Just to explain further. If Boeing launches the NMA and thus commits it's resources to it, Airbus can immediately initiate a whole list of things to put the 737 in a lot more trouble still: - Increase A320 production further - Increase A220 production further - Launch an A322 based on the XLR design...

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Tue Jun 18, 2019 7:43 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR
Replies: 409
Views: 45533

Re: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR

Boeing has already fixed the MCAS issue. They had been working on it since the Lion Air crash. They might have fixed the technical aspect of it. There is more to the 737 situation than just the technical aspect of MCAS.... ;) You all must think Boeing has the most incompetent sales and marketing te...

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Tue Jun 18, 2019 7:12 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR
Replies: 409
Views: 45533

Re: Business Risk for Boeing: The A321XLR

What I find interesting is that for years it has been an A.net wisdom that Boeing would never replace the 757 because there was supposedly no market for this class of aircraft any more. And suddenly the A321(X)LR comes around and boom! So what happened here? What did Airbus see that everyone else m...

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Thu Jun 06, 2019 1:17 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What does the Rumored 6T MTOW Increase for the 787-10 Mean for the A359?
Replies: 161
Views: 23637

Re: What does the Rumored 6T MTOW Increase for the 787-10 Mean for the A359?

Why invest now in a higher MTOW for the 787-10 at the expense of efficiency at high TOW (high spanwise loading) while in a few years a new engine will give you the same range when actually improving efficiency over virtually it's whole useful range bracket while the competition (A350-900) won't be b...

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Sat Apr 06, 2019 1:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A320neo Family Production/Delivery Thread - 2019
Replies: 145
Views: 41364

Re: Airbus A320neo Family Production/Delivery Thread - 2019

Any change in engine allocation expected after the lowered MAX production rate.

Airbus must've increased calculated margins on future deals.

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Fri Mar 01, 2019 7:32 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Dutch government increases stock holding in KL-AF group.
Replies: 156
Views: 16748

Re: Dutch government increases stock holding in KL-AF group.

This whole thread is becoming ridiculous. It's either French-bashing or Dutch-bashing. Is it possible to have a grown-up discussion? My hope is that things will eventually calm down. Both the Dutch and the French will come to their senses for the greater good of AF-KLM. Neither the Dutch or the Fre...

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Thu Feb 28, 2019 7:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Dutch government increases stock holding in KL-AF group.
Replies: 156
Views: 16748

Re: Dutch government increases stock holding in KL-AF group.

"Declaration of war", "revenge". Let us put aside primal responses for a second... This move is mainly three things: 1 A signal, a line in the sand. We are serious about our interests and we won't be fooled around with. 2 An insurance policy to make sure that agreements made dur...

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Thu Feb 28, 2019 7:13 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Dutch government increases stock holding in KL-AF group.
Replies: 156
Views: 16748

Re: Dutch government increases stock holding in KL-AF group.

Can we get over this French vs Dutch stuff? It is so boring.

I think getting AF-KLM more competitive is a more important issue.

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Wed Feb 27, 2019 8:12 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Dutch government increases stock holding in KL-AF group.
Replies: 156
Views: 16748

Re: Dutch government increases stock holding in KL-AF group.

"Declaration of war", "revenge". Let us put aside primal responses for a second... This move is mainly three things: 1 A signal, a line in the sand. We are serious about our interests and we won't be fooled around with. 2 An insurance policy to make sure that agreements made duri...

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Tue Feb 26, 2019 10:40 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Dutch government increases stock holding in KL-AF group.
Replies: 156
Views: 16748

Re: Dutch government increases stock holding in KL-AF group.

Some people don't think further than a monkey on a rock.

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Tue Feb 26, 2019 7:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Dutch government increases stock holding in KL-AF group.
Replies: 156
Views: 16748

Re: Dutch government increases stock holding in KL-AF group.

I don't think the (primary) goal is to gain a share in excess of the French, if they intervene or not.

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Tue Feb 26, 2019 7:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air France-KLM Wants to Change KL CEO
Replies: 134
Views: 17596

Re: Air France-KLM Wants to Change KL CEO

Dutch state announced just now that it bought 12.7% shares in AF-KLM. Intention is to eventually equal the share of the French state.

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Sat Feb 23, 2019 8:12 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Reuters: Airbus pencils in orders for new A321XLR jet.
Replies: 197
Views: 44752

Re: Reuters: Airbus pencils in orders for new A321XLR jet.

If the rumoured 1.5% wing improvement are improved wing end devises that improve induced drag than possibly not much thrust increase is neccessary for the increased MTOW.

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Thu Feb 21, 2019 1:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A350 to have RR Ultrafan Engines from ~2025, Ostrower
Replies: 224
Views: 42195

Re: Airbus A350 to have RR Ultrafan Engines from ~2025, Ostrower

This suggests an order for 50 - 80 stretched A35ks would make early development viable for an "A350-1200" with EXISTING engines. That would allow the market to be tested in terms of size soon, as not all airlines want or need to wait till 2026++, and take the pressure off RR as the limiti...

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Wed Feb 20, 2019 9:24 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A350 to have RR Ultrafan Engines from ~2025, Ostrower
Replies: 224
Views: 42195

Re: Airbus A350 to have RR Ultrafan Engines from ~2025, Ostrower

260T MTOW: A350-800NEO A350-900NEO 290T MTOW: A350-1000NEO 316/9T MTOW: A350-1100 Thinking a bit more about it to following might make more sense: 280T MTOW: A350-900NEO, 66.8m A350-1000NEO, 71,8m (-2m shorter than the current 1000) 316/9T MTOW: A350-1100, 77,8m (4m longer than the current 1000) Ad...

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Wed Feb 20, 2019 8:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A350 to have RR Ultrafan Engines from ~2025, Ostrower
Replies: 224
Views: 42195

Re: Airbus A350 to have RR Ultrafan Engines from ~2025, Ostrower

260T MTOW: A350-800NEO A350-900NEO 290T MTOW: A350-1000NEO 316/9T MTOW: A350-1100 Thinking a bit more about it to following might make more sense: 280T MTOW: A350-900NEO, 66.8m A350-1000NEO, 71,8m (-2m shorter than the current 1000) 316/9T MTOW: A350-1100, 77,8m (4m longer than the current 1000) Ad...

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Wed Feb 20, 2019 7:10 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A350 to have RR Ultrafan Engines from ~2025, Ostrower
Replies: 224
Views: 42195

Re: Airbus A350 to have RR Ultrafan Engines from ~2025, Ostrower

Edit: the interesting thought now makes less sense when I realise that we should size everything based of the MZFW range and then let the max pax range fall out at a high level. 4600nm MZFW rage might not cut it. What components of the current 900 would be the limiting factor for the MZFW range? Is...

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Wed Feb 13, 2019 5:14 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air France-KLM Wants to Change KL CEO
Replies: 134
Views: 17596

Re: Air France-KLM Wants to Change KL CEO

The fact of Transavia being based in Holland and perceived as Dutch is actually proof that the group AF/KL is already happily consolidating things into Holland rather than the initial thesis of this thread that which was they are hampering the growth and development of the Dutch units to cover for ...

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Wed Feb 13, 2019 5:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A350 to have RR Ultrafan Engines from ~2025, Ostrower
Replies: 224
Views: 42195

Re: Airbus A350 to have RR Ultrafan Engines from ~2025, Ostrower

Sounds like they went from "Advance (that no one wanted) --> VP ultrafan" to "utrafan without VP --> ultrafan with VP" but then on a slightly later schedule. Seems to make sense. I would be really interested to know what MTOW, thurst levels and engine diameter such an A350NEO wou...

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Tue Feb 12, 2019 11:04 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air France-KLM Wants to Change KL CEO
Replies: 134
Views: 17596

Re: Air France-KLM Wants to Change KL CEO

Don't forgot the merger did not only have a bussiness dimension but also a politcal one. It was in the day's that policians thought that differences between North and South of Europe could be easily overcome. I think the merger was decided in that optimistic political climate. We now know that hasn'...

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Tue Feb 12, 2019 6:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air France-KLM Wants to Change KL CEO
Replies: 134
Views: 17596

Re: Air France-KLM Wants to Change KL CEO

A current example of how this matters: KL has money in the bank while AF/KL has a debt. On group level the logical thing to do is clear the debt with the reserves of KL. Or address what has caused the debt in the first place.... which is what happens in a well functioning company. The problem is th...

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Tue Feb 12, 2019 7:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Air France-KLM Wants to Change KL CEO
Replies: 134
Views: 17596

Re: Air France-KLM Wants to Change KL CEO

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alcazar_(airline)


Seems like a better match regarding culture and work ethic.
-->

Would SAS been a better merger partner for KLM?


https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alcazar_(airline)


Seems like a better match regarding culture and work ethic.

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Mon Feb 04, 2019 7:53 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates considering order changes - Airbus A380 for A330/A350 confirmed, Boeing 787 for 777-9 still possible
Replies: 881
Views: 138510

Re: Emirates is exploring switching the Airbus A380 to A350

One possibilty: A proper NEO (not one without a solid bussiness case) would probably require engines shared with a A330 successor (please don't discuss this it has all been discussed before). However Airbus is unlikely to decide on a A330 successor before Boeing has decided on NMA. Thus the continou...

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Fri Feb 01, 2019 7:40 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Emirates considering order changes - Airbus A380 for A330/A350 confirmed, Boeing 787 for 777-9 still possible
Replies: 881
Views: 138510

Re: Emirates is exploring switching the Airbus A380 to A350

Another possibility; Airbus is bringing in the ending of the line possibility once again to put pressure on EK to finally decide if they are willing to pay what it takes to extend the A380 production as long as required before Enders retires. This has never been a deal from heaven. With continous hi...

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Thu Jan 31, 2019 2:39 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019
Replies: 1126
Views: 153381

Re: Boeing 797 Thread - 2019

Boeing probably is playing it smart. A large part of Airbus product strategy will depend on wheter or not the NMA is launched. This also influences what options Airbus has with an A380NEO for instance and therefore the bussiness case of stretching production till the second half of the next decade. ...

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Thu Jan 24, 2019 5:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus strategy review augurs clean break under new CEO
Replies: 172
Views: 19925

Re: Airbus strategy review augurs clean break under new CEO

Nicely politically neutral between the Germans and the French, I'm sure the Dutch wouldn't mind being rewarded for their loyalty to the European project. I think Brexit has a strangle hold on high level Airbus strategy decisions till it is resolved. Enders strong statements are great evidence of th...

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Thu Jan 24, 2019 5:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus strategy review augurs clean break under new CEO
Replies: 172
Views: 19925

Re: Airbus strategy review augurs clean break under new CEO

If Airbus is going to do a strategic review of wing development and production post Brexit, I reckon the Dutch wouldn't say no: - Still strong competence in aviation tech - logistically well placed in relation to Germany, France and the sea. - Several underused local Airports. - Still got some cred...

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Sun Jan 20, 2019 11:22 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 Developments : more of a match for A320neo than Airbus says
Replies: 254
Views: 41737

Re: Airbus A220 Developments : more of a match for A320neo than Airbus says

Doing an A220-500 only makes sense if it makes more money for Airbus than an A320NEO. Not neccesarily true in a supply restricted situation as with the A320 series. That does not matter, as they would need to built production capability for the A220 as well. It does matter because of several reason...

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Sat Jan 19, 2019 3:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 Developments : more of a match for A320neo than Airbus says
Replies: 254
Views: 41737

Re: Airbus A220 Developments : more of a match for A320neo than Airbus says

seahawk wrote:
Doing an A220-500 only makes sense if it makes more money for Airbus than an A320NEO.


Not neccesarily true in a supply restricted situation as with the A320 series.

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Fri Jan 18, 2019 10:53 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 Developments : more of a match for A320neo than Airbus says
Replies: 254
Views: 41737

Re: Airbus A220 Developments : more of a match for A320neo than Airbus says

Lots of if's here, not dissimilar to those facing the MRJ. One thing for operating costs to be lower than for smaller members of the A320 family, but without economies of scale, acquisition cost may not be meaningfully different. Airbus has virtually the entire current and future PW engine building...

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Thu Jan 17, 2019 2:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 Developments : more of a match for A320neo than Airbus says
Replies: 254
Views: 41737

Re: Airbus A220 Developments : more of a match for A320neo than Airbus says

Thanks Keesje for bundling up the discussion a bit. For Airbus it could be interesting to launch the A220-500 and A321XLR together. Both likely EIS before NMA with the A220-500 opening the A320 series slots to be able to add the XLR and giving customers a lower cost option for shorter range mission...

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Thu Jan 17, 2019 11:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 Developments : more of a match for A320neo than Airbus says
Replies: 254
Views: 41737

Re: Airbus A220 Developments : more of a match for A320neo than Airbus says

Thanks Keesje for bundling up the discussion a bit. For Airbus it could be interesting to launch the A220-500 and A321XLR together. Both likely EIS before NMA with the A220-500 opening the A320 series slots to be able to add the XLR and giving customers a lower cost option for shorter range missions...

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Thu Jan 17, 2019 7:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Airbus A220 Receives ETOPS 180 Certification
Replies: 35
Views: 8430

Re: Airbus A220 Receives ETOPS 180 Certification

I won't be shocked if by 2025 an A220-500 is in service, production rate is 20/month and plans for more production sites outside North-America are in place.

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Wed Jan 16, 2019 3:05 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Should Airbus focus on A220 product increase instead of A320 mid-term?
Replies: 58
Views: 6975

Re: Should Airbus focus on A220 product increase instead of A320 mid-term?

Well, the latest communications from Airbus seem to indicate that they understand that economy of scale in the current narrow body market is essential and they are taking the rate increase and unit cost reduction really serious despite the fact that taking over the remainder might become more expens...

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Mon Jan 14, 2019 7:17 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: a MTOW increase on 787-10 to compete with A359?
Replies: 604
Views: 85953

Re: a MTOW increase on 787-10 to compete with A359?

7810MAX: MGTOW increase with a tail tank and 6 wheel MLGs Not necessarily a MAX per se, but enhanced versions of the family. If anything my -10MAX idea is a pretty doable -10ER. A true MAX version would have a GE9x or Ultrafan derivative for engine choices as well as my suggested enhancements above...

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Fri Jan 11, 2019 12:33 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Should RR launch an ultra-fan for A220 to A320-200 thrust class?
Replies: 11
Views: 1940

Re: Should RR launch an ultra-fan for A220 to A320-200 thrust class?

No. And here's why: 1. RR has their hands full trying to iron out problems with the engines they already have. We would be talking post 2025 EIS.... 2. A new program takes AGES to bring to market; by that time, GE/LEAP and PW will have their respective acts together, and the opportunity will have p...

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Fri Jan 11, 2019 12:56 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Should RR launch an ultra-fan for A220 to A320-200 thrust class?
Replies: 11
Views: 1940

Should RR launch an ultra-fan for A220 to A320-200 thrust class?

Should RR launch an ultra-fan for A220 to A320-200 thrust class? Probably the thing that is costing Airbus the most money right now is narrowbody engine availability and reliability. Lack of sufficient supply of reliable engines is a constrained on combined A220/A320 ramp up. Introducing an ultrafan...

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Fri Jan 11, 2019 12:27 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: A220 Longer term Impact on Airbus Strategy, the Canadian Connection
Replies: 66
Views: 9443

Re: A220 Longer term Impact on Airbus Strategy, the Canadian Connection

Well sales seem to be picking up, allowing rate increases, reducing cost per unit, in turn facilitating again more sales. Seems like a positive spiral at the moment.

I'm expecting more A220 fireworks mid-term.

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Thu Jan 10, 2019 2:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Ten A380 Orders Removed From Backlog
Replies: 166
Views: 32132

Re: Ten A380 Orders Removed From Backlog

I wouldn't count on many if any orders outside EK. I do remember EK also having another 16 as option?

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Wed Jan 09, 2019 2:07 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AMS reach max. flights, 3rd A380 gate opens end of january
Replies: 60
Views: 8798

Re: AMS reach max. flights, 3rd A380 gate opens end of january

Can't they just move some Freight movements/slots to Pax if required? There seems to be a lot Freight into AMS that could potentially move elsewhere (RTM, LXM, etc.)? Freight must be more "noisy" in any case as often with older planes and heavier (thus higher thrust ratings). Well, there ...

Jump to post
by Taxi645
Wed Jan 09, 2019 11:20 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: AMS reach max. flights, 3rd A380 gate opens end of january
Replies: 60
Views: 8798

Re: AMS reach max. flights, 3rd A380 gate opens end of january

AMS will also adopt policy to give slots preferably to airlines using quiet and fuel efficient aircraft in order to release pressure on this politically set limit of 500.000. That might mean that longer term short term sollutions like adding for instance 777W might not be the best option. True, but...

Jump to post