Search found 663 matches

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by tphuang
Mon Sep 17, 2018 4:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: China Southern plots global growth from Guangzhou and Beijing
Replies: 15
Views: 2171

Re: China Southern plots global growth from Guangzhou and Beijing

Guangzhou-Boston? That's the kind of thinking that causes average fares to drop right through the floor. Guangzhou isn't Tokyo or Seoul, not with the business connections nor large population of upper incomes. Sichuan is due to start Chengdu-Boston. CAN is a much bigger market than CTU and with the...

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by tphuang
Mon Sep 17, 2018 2:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: China Southern plots global growth from Guangzhou and Beijing
Replies: 15
Views: 2171

Re: China Southern plots global growth from Guangzhou and Beijing

I am really not sure how daxing would be able to compete in yields with pek. Seems like they will struggle against ca for the Beijing market.

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by tphuang
Mon Sep 17, 2018 1:00 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 9/16/2018:3M Scales Back;KE to BOS;F9 Drops BOI-DEN;DL Drops MSP-PBI
Replies: 56
Views: 7982

Re: OAG Changes 9/16/2018:3M Scales Back;KE to BOS;F9 Drops BOI-DEN;DL Drops MSP-PBI

klm617 wrote:
TropicalSky wrote:
Interesting that Delta is jumping into the pool on JFK-YVR....that's a busy route



This might be to link up with WS

DL is definitely already on JFK-YVR. Nothing new here.

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by tphuang
Sat Sep 15, 2018 6:49 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will DL return to HKG again?
Replies: 79
Views: 7996

Re: Will DL return to HKG again?

Yyc does not have anywhere near the demand needed to be international hub. YYC serves 45 international destinations on three continents, nonstop. More than half (24) of them are beyond USA/transborder. While it's certainly no YYZ/LAX/JFK/etc... to say that it isn't an international hub, is to not g...

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by tphuang
Sat Sep 15, 2018 4:23 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will DL return to HKG again?
Replies: 79
Views: 7996

Re: Will DL return to HKG again?

The JV with WS is starting to ramp up as well. In two weeks time we’ll know the plans for 787-9 and I wouldn’t be surprised if the first destination is HKG from either YYC, YYZ or YVR. That would be a huge disaster against ac at yyz and yvr + cx at hkg. Yyc to hkg has minimal demand. Yyc does not h...

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by tphuang
Fri Sep 14, 2018 7:03 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Will DL return to HKG again?
Replies: 79
Views: 7996

Re: Will DL return to HKG again?

DL has made a bet to go through ICN for all its Asian traffic. And based on the recent quarterly earning report, this is paying off in great dividends at least in the short term. If you fly to HKG a lot, DL is not going to be your airline, but that applies to not many people in continental USA.

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by tphuang
Fri Sep 14, 2018 6:57 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Jersey bill proposes tax hike for United only
Replies: 52
Views: 7942

Re: New Jersey bill proposes tax hike for United only

Lol, UA is not going to punish NJ if something like this passes. They are not going to kill the golden goose. If they try anything like that, I'm sure NJ can pull some string behind the scene to make more gates at EWR available for other airlines. I'm sure B6 and WN would gladly have access more ga...

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by tphuang
Fri Sep 14, 2018 4:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Hawaiian going to BOS
Replies: 125
Views: 14569

Re: Hawaiian going to BOS

Hawaii is so so so out of the way going to Asia. These flights arent even aligned with their nonstop flights. I guess if you wanted to stay for a day or two in Hawaii on your way to /from Asia this could work. As per the note, HA has first class flatbed seats. The flight is longer than TATL flights...

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by tphuang
Fri Sep 14, 2018 3:51 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: New Jersey bill proposes tax hike for United only
Replies: 52
Views: 7942

Re: New Jersey bill proposes tax hike for United only

Lol, UA is not going to punish NJ if something like this passes. They are not going to kill the golden goose. If they try anything like that, I'm sure NJ can pull some string behind the scene to make more gates at EWR available for other airlines. I'm sure B6 and WN would gladly have access more gat...

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by tphuang
Wed Sep 12, 2018 4:56 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What's Going On In Nashville? - 2018
Replies: 1770
Views: 102574

Re: What's Going On In Nashville? - 2018

I’ve been commuting multiple times weekly on Delta BNA-ATL-BNA for 4 years. I’ve never been on a flight less than 75% full, even since they upgauged some flights to the 757. My experience on SWA plus those of friends who have flown them since they launched is that SWA has horrible loads certain tim...

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by tphuang
Wed Sep 12, 2018 4:42 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What's Going On In Nashville? - 2018
Replies: 1770
Views: 102574

Re: What's Going On In Nashville? - 2018

it's far too premature to say WN will loose here without seeing some data coming out. A lot will depend how committed WN is to BNA. DL has made a habit of loosing money on a lot of money on routes out of SEA/BOS/RDU to build market relevance. WN can certainly do the same if it wants to gain even mo...

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by tphuang
Tue Sep 11, 2018 7:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What's Going On In Nashville? - 2018
Replies: 1770
Views: 102574

Re: What's Going On In Nashville? - 2018

it's far too premature to say WN will loose here without seeing some data coming out. A lot will depend how committed WN is to BNA. DL has made a habit of loosing money on a lot of money on routes out of SEA/BOS/RDU to build market relevance. WN can certainly do the same if it wants to gain even mor...

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by tphuang
Mon Sep 10, 2018 8:47 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Orlando air service discussion - 2018
Replies: 226
Views: 17248

Re: Orlando air service discussion - 2018

ULCC model really doesn't work very well for LH. People find the narrow pitch more intolerable and more full service airlines make their money up front and can take losses at back to price match.

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by tphuang
Mon Sep 10, 2018 8:30 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 9/9/2018:AA Adds PHX-MSN/GRR;DL Drops CVG-PHX,DTW-PIA;F9 Drops CLT-AUS/SAT;LA Drops LIM-MCO;UA Adds LAX-RDD
Replies: 90
Views: 11182

Re: OAG Changes 9/9/2018:AA Adds PHX-MSN/GRR;DL Drops CVG-PHX,DTW-PIA;F9 Drops CLT-AUS/SAT;LA Drops LIM-MCO;UA Adds LAX-

I wonder if they'd be willing to either put A320s on DCA-FLL/MCO or shift more frequencies to them. They certainly already dominates WN on these routes, but they are lacking slots. Any chance you have the fare data on FLL/MCO-DCA/BWI? I'd be interested to see how much B6 outperforms from DCA. But I...

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by tphuang
Mon Sep 10, 2018 3:10 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 9/9/2018:AA Adds PHX-MSN/GRR;DL Drops CVG-PHX,DTW-PIA;F9 Drops CLT-AUS/SAT;LA Drops LIM-MCO;UA Adds LAX-RDD
Replies: 90
Views: 11182

Re: OAG Changes 9/9/2018:AA Adds PHX-MSN/GRR;DL Drops CVG-PHX,DTW-PIA;F9 Drops CLT-AUS/SAT;LA Drops LIM-MCO;UA Adds LAX-

DL JFK-SJU JUN 1.9>1.5[1.5] Rather anemic for summer VFR traffic, and it would be almost 2 years after Hurricane Maria. JFK SJU Is a route that is basically owned by B6, the PR and DR market as a whole from NY. DL is on the route but I would bet my last penny they (DL) are not making a cent on this...

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by tphuang
Mon Sep 10, 2018 4:38 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 9/9/2018:AA Adds PHX-MSN/GRR;DL Drops CVG-PHX,DTW-PIA;F9 Drops CLT-AUS/SAT;LA Drops LIM-MCO;UA Adds LAX-RDD
Replies: 90
Views: 11182

Re: OAG Changes 9/9/2018:AA Adds PHX-MSN/GRR;DL Drops CVG-PHX,DTW-PIA;F9 Drops CLT-AUS/SAT;LA Drops LIM-MCO;UA Adds LAX-

B6 vastly outperforms DL on BOS-TPA also. That may be true today, but DL will be up to 3x in BOS-TPA on mainline capacity not seen since the Song days. Yes, DL is in the building up phase at BOS. Do you have average fare data? I'd be curious to see it. :) here is JFK/EWR/BOS-TPA data from Q1. LF co...

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by tphuang
Sun Sep 09, 2018 7:35 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 9/9/2018:AA Adds PHX-MSN/GRR;DL Drops CVG-PHX,DTW-PIA;F9 Drops CLT-AUS/SAT;LA Drops LIM-MCO;UA Adds LAX-RDD
Replies: 90
Views: 11182

Re: OAG Changes 9/9/2018:AA Adds PHX-MSN/GRR;DL Drops CVG-PHX,DTW-PIA;F9 Drops CLT-AUS/SAT;LA Drops LIM-MCO;UA Adds LAX-

Thanks enilria! I was told many years ago by a member of the executive suite at JetBlue that TPA was their worst performing Florida city. Since then smaller cities like SRQ and DAB have come aboard so TPA may no longer be worst. But 2 daily JFK TPA in January does say a lot Agreed. TPA is different...

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by tphuang
Sat Sep 08, 2018 3:21 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Network Thread 2018
Replies: 294
Views: 30916

Re: JetBlue Network Thread 2018

Some may LF of newly added route. JFKATL DL,69987,79572,87.95% B6,15737,18300,85.99% BOSATL WN,22365,26834,83.35% DL,119459,134254,88.98% NK,5792,6670,86.84% B6,34506,42350,81.48% MCOATL WN,43474,51082,85.11% DL,176438,197020,89.55% NK,17664,20570,85.87% B6,7562,9300,81.31% F9,11782,14260,82.62% FL...

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by tphuang
Sat Sep 08, 2018 12:32 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: JetBlue Network Thread 2018
Replies: 294
Views: 30916

Re: JetBlue Network Thread 2018

B6 launched BUR-BOS this week and the second BUR-JFK daytime flight. Anyone have an idea what the numbers are looking on these flights so far and with future bookings? it's going to be hard to say for a while. My guess is JFK-BUR remains their best performing non-mint transcon. BOS-BUR is really no...

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by tphuang
Fri Sep 07, 2018 8:48 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Network Thread 2018
Replies: 352
Views: 42076

Re: American Airlines Network Thread 2018

They are the leader on jfk lax. They are weaker out of sfo but still yielding very well. The one to watch out is Mia transcon which is facing increased b6 pressure. I’m pretty sure (almost certain) MIA transcons are not going away, with the amount of connections those flights get. They do not only ...

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by tphuang
Fri Sep 07, 2018 7:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Network Thread 2018
Replies: 352
Views: 42076

Re: American Airlines Network Thread 2018

miaami wrote:
Curious how the JFK-LAX/SFO trans-cons are doing? Could this be the next thing AA cedes to DL/B6?

They are the leader on jfk lax. They are weaker out of sfo but still yielding very well.

The one to watch out is Mia transcon which is facing increased b6 pressure.

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by tphuang
Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: “Someday jetBlue will be in Europe”
Replies: 154
Views: 13789

Re: “Someday jetBlue will be in Europe”

I'll reiterate that I agree that B6 could be a TATL disruptor to some extent, but I think it's important to quantify what an investment that would be. For context, B6 has without a doubt disrupted, for example, the LAXJFK transcon market, but they've had to rapidly grow their share of that nonstop ...

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by tphuang
Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:02 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: “Someday jetBlue will be in Europe”
Replies: 154
Views: 13789

Re: “Someday jetBlue will be in Europe”

As for schedule, that's another overhyped myth here. For vast majority of corporate travelers on company dime, you have to be quite flexible with your time. In your experience maybe, but it's important to point out that nearly 50% of corporate revenue between NYC and LON comes from 20 accounts - th...

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by tphuang
Fri Sep 07, 2018 1:36 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: “Someday jetBlue will be in Europe”
Replies: 154
Views: 13789

Re: “Someday jetBlue will be in Europe”

It's hard to see how DL or BA would be able to react quickly and effectively to B6 flying an heavily Mint-configured A220-100 on JFK/BOS-LCY. Talk about disruptive! Huh? You're aware that BA essentially already does exactly that ... yes? But a twice daily itinerary on A220-100 without having to mak...

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by tphuang
Thu Sep 06, 2018 9:25 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: “Someday jetBlue will be in Europe”
Replies: 154
Views: 13789

Re: “Someday jetBlue will be in Europe”

If they can make all J config A220-100 work on JFK-LCY, I would imagine they go with that. 2 daily BOS-LCY would be competitive to legacy JV's BOS-LHR schedule. I think we both know that those are highly unlikely. It'll be 321LRs with Mint. We will find out soon i think. Otherwise, I would imagine ...

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by tphuang
Thu Sep 06, 2018 8:44 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: “Someday jetBlue will be in Europe”
Replies: 154
Views: 13789

Re: “Someday jetBlue will be in Europe”

Some good chuckles out of that one. Even if they blanketed BOS and JFK (in what... five years time?) it wouldn't 'devastate' the legacy JVs. Mint has been a somewhat impactful cup in the bucket that is transcon flying. B6's TATL presence would be a mere drop in the transatlantic tub. Somewhat impac...

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by tphuang
Thu Sep 06, 2018 8:01 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: “Someday jetBlue will be in Europe”
Replies: 154
Views: 13789

Re: “Someday jetBlue will be in Europe”

They believe they can cut the front cabin pricing by half which would devastate the legacies jv. Some good chuckles out of that one. Even if they blanketed BOS and JFK (in what... five years time?) it wouldn't 'devastate' the legacy JVs. Mint has been a somewhat impactful cup in the bucket that is ...

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by tphuang
Thu Sep 06, 2018 6:20 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why Delta outearns UA & AA - dominating its largest hubs - market share data by US network hubs
Replies: 88
Views: 8708

Re: Why Delta outearns UA & AA - dominating its largest hubs - market share data by US network hubs

What is the difference between padding the A14 figures and getting more people there at the time they say they are going to? I have honestly never planned a trip based on the time I think the flight "should take." I make plans based on the time the airline says I will arrive. And I only c...

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by tphuang
Thu Sep 06, 2018 5:18 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why Delta outearns UA & AA - dominating its largest hubs - market share data by US network hubs
Replies: 88
Views: 8708

Re: Why Delta outearns UA & AA - dominating its largest hubs - market share data by US network hubs

They pad their schedule ridiculously. So the argument against that is they hurt their own profit by increasing block time. Well they can increase the turnaround time instead of just padding schedule. But they choose not to do that so they can pad the a14 figures. What is the difference between padd...

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by tphuang
Thu Sep 06, 2018 4:38 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why Delta outearns UA & AA - dominating its largest hubs - market share data by US network hubs
Replies: 88
Views: 8708

Re: Why Delta outearns UA & AA - dominating its largest hubs - market share data by US network hubs

They pad their schedule ridiculously. So the argument against that is they hurt their own profit by increasing block time. Well they can increase the turnaround time instead of just padding schedule. But they choose not to do that so they can pad the a14 figures.

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by tphuang
Thu Sep 06, 2018 4:34 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: “Someday jetBlue will be in Europe”
Replies: 154
Views: 13789

Re: “Someday jetBlue will be in Europe”

They applied for lots of slots at Heathrow this winter but didn't get anything. CEO Hayes is in London next week speaking at an aviation conference with the title being about jetBlue's European service plans. Curious why Heathrow. Gatwick or Stansted would seem to be a better fit. Because JetBlue g...

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by tphuang
Thu Sep 06, 2018 2:46 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: “Someday jetBlue will be in Europe”
Replies: 154
Views: 13789

Re: “Someday jetBlue will be in Europe”

this article is from the presentation Robin Hayes gave on JetBlue's TATL plans. https://www.forbes.com/sites/marisagarcia/2018/09/06/could-jetblues-mint-win-over-the-atlantic-can-ryanairs-london-base-help/#7c3391f13057 nothing really new here other than writer's speculation that they might fly into ...

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by tphuang
Thu Sep 06, 2018 1:29 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Indianapolis Aviation Thread - 2018
Replies: 1786
Views: 106074

Re: Indianapolis Aviation Thread - 2018

I think it’s a given that any dl focus cities at ind will generate much better than at aus. But the idea of aus focus city is more for strategic reason. Just like dl incursion into sea and Boston, which are bleeding money but they think it’s a good long term strategic play.

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by tphuang
Thu Sep 06, 2018 12:28 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Network Thread 2018
Replies: 352
Views: 42076

Re: American Airlines Network Thread 2018

Interestingly at Cowen conference, AA just said DCA is its third most profitable hub after CLT/DFW. Didn't expect that. Weren't they just saying this about ORD when they announced the Asian cuts? I don't believe them on the ORD stuff. this is quite interesting https://www.dallasnews.com/business/am...

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by tphuang
Thu Sep 06, 2018 12:23 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qatar Airways announces Da Nang Vietnam
Replies: 33
Views: 4783

Re: Qatar Airways announces Da Nang Vietnam

An interesting add. Surprising to a degree, and innovative in the vein of niche routes such as Canberra, Chiang Mai, Penang & Krabi. I hope it's a success and brings tourists plus some business traffic to the region, so aiding its development. I'd think all of the places you mentioned in there ...

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by tphuang
Thu Sep 06, 2018 12:22 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qatar Airways announces Da Nang Vietnam
Replies: 33
Views: 4783

Re: Qatar Airways announces Da Nang Vietnam

interesting. Although I wonder how many people have even heard of Danang in the West, since Asians don't need to trek all the way to Qatar in order to fly there. Development in Da Nang is just insane. Ever since they open the international terminal in 2011, you're seeing new resorts being built lef...

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by tphuang
Thu Sep 06, 2018 2:03 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Qatar Airways announces Da Nang Vietnam
Replies: 33
Views: 4783

Re: Qatar Airways announces Da Nang Vietnam

interesting. Although I wonder how many people have even heard of Danang in the West, since Asians don't need to trek all the way to Qatar in order to fly there.

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by tphuang
Thu Sep 06, 2018 12:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: UPDATED: AA drops ORD-PEK/PVG, reduces NRT
Replies: 456
Views: 57603

Re: UPDATED: AA drops ORD-PEK/PVG, reduces NRT

I think the most profitable route to China from the US is held by Delta via ICN and it's Korean air partner. Great transfer airport in a good location. Delta has really worked to improve that relationship for a reason not a chance. If direct flight is so low yielding, why would flights through ICN ...

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by tphuang
Wed Sep 05, 2018 9:09 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What the heck is going on with American Airlines?
Replies: 196
Views: 29580

Re: What the heck is going on with American Airlines?

So in other words, its all speculation. No problem, its an enthusiast message board. Just wanted to clear up what you and a few others stated so unequivocally. Generally speaking, I tend to agree with you but I would love to see some data. And taking Kirby's word on a competitor's confidential, mar...

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by tphuang
Wed Sep 05, 2018 7:26 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What the heck is going on with American Airlines?
Replies: 196
Views: 29580

Re: What the heck is going on with American Airlines?

Several folks have asserted on this thread that Delta is just barely making money in NYC, and/or has inly been amking money for the last 2 years. Does anyone have a link to or other information to verify that this is true? You mean aside from what Kirby said recently? As for more in depth, you'd ha...

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by tphuang
Wed Sep 05, 2018 6:31 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What the heck is going on with American Airlines?
Replies: 196
Views: 29580

Re: What the heck is going on with American Airlines?

Pretty fair summary. Kind of crazy if you tell me but that's exactly how it feels in NYC. DL did hit NYC out of the park. There were a few naysayers. It did cost DL lots of $$$ but the timing of it appeared right. I'm not sure what choice AA had however, with gaining PHL, after the US merger. But a...

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by tphuang
Wed Sep 05, 2018 1:16 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: American Airlines Network Thread 2018
Replies: 352
Views: 42076

Re: American Airlines Network Thread 2018

Interestingly at Cowen conference, AA just said DCA is its third most profitable hub after CLT/DFW. Didn't expect that.

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by tphuang
Wed Sep 05, 2018 1:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: What the heck is going on with American Airlines?
Replies: 196
Views: 29580

Re: What the heck is going on with American Airlines?

DL knew that it would be a long hard slog to dominance in NY, and that it was going to take significant investment (including short-term losses) to get there. AA's merger with US opened the door, and DL dove in. Hard. They fortunately had the financial stability elsewhere to absorb the hit they kne...

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by tphuang
Wed Sep 05, 2018 12:24 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: CX 777's to US West Coast and ORD vs Australia
Replies: 8
Views: 2274

Re: CX 777's to US West Coast and ORD vs Australia

i'm not too sure how much of the first class CX does sell out to JFK. My guess is a good amount of that is filled up by award tickets and upgrades.

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by tphuang
Wed Sep 05, 2018 12:20 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: Administration holds 100K Kavanaugh Papers
Replies: 112
Views: 2471

Re: Administration holds 100K Kavanaugh Papers

how is this airliners related? I posted this in wrong forum. Please delete this.

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by tphuang
Wed Sep 05, 2018 1:34 am
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: Why Delta outearns UA & AA - dominating its largest hubs - market share data by US network hubs
Replies: 88
Views: 8708

Re: Why Delta outearns UA & AA - dominating its largest hubs - market share data by US network hubs

Their operations are less reliable than some airlines. Their product is inferior in general. Add a bit more meat to the bones of that argument if you don't mind. Who is Delta less reliable than? Because every single objective source I've seen has their on-time performance and completion factor bett...

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by tphuang
Tue Sep 04, 2018 9:13 pm
Forum: Civil Aviation
Topic: OAG Changes 9/2/2018:AA/AS/DL/UA/WN
Replies: 79
Views: 10587

Re: OAG Changes 9/2/2018:AA/AS/DL/UA/WN

They aren't acting like they are losing in SJC IMHO, although AS wasn't acting like they were losing in SFO until they did... According to AS, there were 44 new routes launched in 2017 and they still serve 36 of them. Maybe the routes dropped were weighted more towards SFO but I think it's too earl...

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by tphuang
Tue Sep 04, 2018 8:35 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: More traffic from Taiwan to Japan than China?
Replies: 41
Views: 3810

Re: More traffic from Taiwan to Japan than China?

I agree that CI and BR must be making a lot of money given the high demand and limited supply in the market. One only needs to see HKG-TPE traffic to see how much demand there is if the artificial barriers are lifted. Taiwan would probably be flooded with mainlanders like in HK. I'm not sure Taipei...

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by tphuang
Tue Sep 04, 2018 7:36 pm
Forum: Non-Aviation
Topic: More traffic from Taiwan to Japan than China?
Replies: 41
Views: 3810

Re: More traffic from Taiwan to Japan than China?

Nowhere in my statement did I say Taiwan does not operate like an independent country, but it's just a fact that ROC does not have a policy of independence. Their policy has always been they are the official ruling gov't of China and Taiwan. Read my words carefully, I wrote them in that way for a r...

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